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Daily Technical Outlook

                                                                                                                    28th October 2011

        Indices               Close       % Chg.      Mirroring the positive set of global market cues, the domestic
 BSE SENSEX                  17288.83       0.20      markets witnessed a flat but positive opening. The overall
 S&P CNX NIFTY                5201.80       0.20      trend remained range bound due to truncated trading
 NIFTY NOV. FUT.              5232.05       0.06      session. Selling pressure was witnessed at higher levels as
 India VIX                     22.69        1.70
                                                      markets came off the highs for the day. The markets
                                                      managed to close above the 5200 level to end the day with
        S&P CNX NIFTY Technical Levels                marginal gains. It closed near the lows for the day. The top
                   Level 1    Level 2     Level 3
                                                      gainers for the day were Hindalco, Coal India, Cipla, SBI,
                                                      PNB, Bharti Airtel, Grasim, Ranbaxy, Sterlite and L&T.
Support             5161       4987        4757
Resistance          5230       5325        5416       Technically, the market breadth remained robust amidst
                                                      lower volumes. The global market set of cues are
            * Volume (Lacs Shares)                    positive. The domestic markets are likely to witness a
                  26/10/11   25/10/11     % Chg.      gap up opening. The Nifty remains placed above its 50-
BSE                 857        1740        -50.75     day SMA, which is a short term positive and triggering
NSE                1372        6666        -79.41     the current phase of uptrend. Moreso, the Stochastic,
Total              2229        8406        -73.48
                                                      RSI, KST and MACD are placed above their respective
Source – BSE & NSE                                    averages and in the positive territory. All these
                                                      conditions would lead to buying support at regular
             * Turnover ( ` Crores)                   intervals. However, the prevailing technical negatives
                  26/10/11   25/10/11     % Chg.      continue are likely to cap the upside gains. The
BSE                748.08     2438.04      -69.32     Stochastic is placed in the over bought zone on the daily
NSE               2185.33    14791.92      -85.23     charts and would lead to profit taking and selling
NSE F&O           20737.23   248830.95     -91.67     pressure at regular intervals. The Nifty continues to trade
Total             23670.64   266060.91     -91.10     below its 200-day SMA. Further the 50-day SMA remains
Source – BSE & NSE                                    placed below the 100-day SMA. All these conditions
                                                      would lead to selling pressure and profit taking
             Market Breadth (NSE)
                                                      especially at higher levels. The ADX, +DI line and –DI
Advances                       1200                   line are moving sideways, indicating a range bound
Declines                        237                   trend. The market sentiment remains cautious as Nifty
Same                            54                    index has managed to sustain above the 5161 level. Now,
Total                          1491                   it is important that the Nifty continues to sustain above
A/D Ratio                     5.06 : 1                the 5161 level for it to move higher and test the 5230 level
Source – NSE                                          followed by the 5325 level. In the meanwhile the markets
      Moving Averages S&P CNX NIFTY
                                                      would take cues from the global markets and the
                                                      earnings season. The support levels for Nifty are placed at
50 Day SMA                    4999.59
                                         ◄Negative    5161, 4987, 4757, 4563 and 4387. The Nifty faces resistance
100 Day SMA                   5241.76
                                                      at the 5230, 5325 and 5416.
200 Day SMA                   5411.67    ◄Negative

                                                                 Intra-day Resistance                        Intra-day Support
        Indices              Close         Pivot Point          R1       R2         R3                 S1           S2         S3
BSE SENSEX                     17289                 17304      17335      17381          17458         17258        17227         17150
S&P CNX NIFTY                    5202                 5206       5215        5229          5252          5192          5183         5160
NIFTY NOV. FUT.                  5232                 5239       5251        5269          5299          5220          5209         5178

* Figures not strictly comparable as 26/10/11 was a truncated trading session.

Sanjay Bhatia (AVP – Technicals), Email Id sanjay@keynotecapitals.net                   Yahoo Chat Id: keytechnicals@yahoo.in
                                                               Keynote Capitals Ltd.
             th
            4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                             www.keynotecapitals.com
Short Term Trading Ideas Based On Technical Analysis (5 - 7 Days)


                                                                                    Stop
                                                       Initiation      Stop         Loss                      Target
         Stock           Close          Action           Price        Loss *         (%)        Target         (%)          Remarks
APIL                       530.90      Buy Above           535.00       523.00         2.24       560.00          4.67
Fortis                     123.30      Buy Above           124.00       121.00         2.42       130.00          4.84
Sun Pharma                 503.75      Buy Above           506.00       490.00         3.16       540.00          6.72
* Stop Losses are to be considered on Closing basis only.




                                                               Keynote Capitals Ltd.
             th
            4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                             www.keynotecapitals.com
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redistributed to any other person. Persons into whose possession this document may come are required to observe these restrictions.
This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based upon it. This report
is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction where such an offer or
solicitation would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal
recommendation or take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients.
We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable though its
accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Neither Keynote Capitals Ltd., nor any person connected with it, accepts any liability
arising from the use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their own investigations and take their own
professional advice. Price and value of the investments referred to in this material may go up or down. Past performance is not a guide
for future performance. Certain transactions -including those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment
grade securities - involve substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. Reports based on technical analysis centers on studying
charts of a stock’s price movement and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company’s fundamentals and as such, may not
match with a report on a company’s fundamentals.
Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on this material only. While we endeavor to update on a
reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us
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subject to change without notice. Our proprietary trading and investment businesses may make investment decisions that are
inconsistent with the recommendations expressed herein.
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The analyst for this report certifies that all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect his or her personal views about the
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related to specific recommendations or views expressed in this report.
No part of this material may be duplicated in any form and/or redistributed without Keynote Capitals Ltd’s., prior written consent.




                                                           Keynote Capitals Ltd.
      th
     4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                         www.keynotecapitals.com

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Keynote technicals daily report 281011

  • 1. Daily Technical Outlook 28th October 2011 Indices Close % Chg. Mirroring the positive set of global market cues, the domestic BSE SENSEX 17288.83 0.20 markets witnessed a flat but positive opening. The overall S&P CNX NIFTY 5201.80 0.20 trend remained range bound due to truncated trading NIFTY NOV. FUT. 5232.05 0.06 session. Selling pressure was witnessed at higher levels as India VIX 22.69 1.70 markets came off the highs for the day. The markets managed to close above the 5200 level to end the day with S&P CNX NIFTY Technical Levels marginal gains. It closed near the lows for the day. The top Level 1 Level 2 Level 3 gainers for the day were Hindalco, Coal India, Cipla, SBI, PNB, Bharti Airtel, Grasim, Ranbaxy, Sterlite and L&T. Support 5161 4987 4757 Resistance 5230 5325 5416 Technically, the market breadth remained robust amidst lower volumes. The global market set of cues are * Volume (Lacs Shares) positive. The domestic markets are likely to witness a 26/10/11 25/10/11 % Chg. gap up opening. The Nifty remains placed above its 50- BSE 857 1740 -50.75 day SMA, which is a short term positive and triggering NSE 1372 6666 -79.41 the current phase of uptrend. Moreso, the Stochastic, Total 2229 8406 -73.48 RSI, KST and MACD are placed above their respective Source – BSE & NSE averages and in the positive territory. All these conditions would lead to buying support at regular * Turnover ( ` Crores) intervals. However, the prevailing technical negatives 26/10/11 25/10/11 % Chg. continue are likely to cap the upside gains. The BSE 748.08 2438.04 -69.32 Stochastic is placed in the over bought zone on the daily NSE 2185.33 14791.92 -85.23 charts and would lead to profit taking and selling NSE F&O 20737.23 248830.95 -91.67 pressure at regular intervals. The Nifty continues to trade Total 23670.64 266060.91 -91.10 below its 200-day SMA. Further the 50-day SMA remains Source – BSE & NSE placed below the 100-day SMA. All these conditions would lead to selling pressure and profit taking Market Breadth (NSE) especially at higher levels. The ADX, +DI line and –DI Advances 1200 line are moving sideways, indicating a range bound Declines 237 trend. The market sentiment remains cautious as Nifty Same 54 index has managed to sustain above the 5161 level. Now, Total 1491 it is important that the Nifty continues to sustain above A/D Ratio 5.06 : 1 the 5161 level for it to move higher and test the 5230 level Source – NSE followed by the 5325 level. In the meanwhile the markets Moving Averages S&P CNX NIFTY would take cues from the global markets and the earnings season. The support levels for Nifty are placed at 50 Day SMA 4999.59 ◄Negative 5161, 4987, 4757, 4563 and 4387. The Nifty faces resistance 100 Day SMA 5241.76 at the 5230, 5325 and 5416. 200 Day SMA 5411.67 ◄Negative Intra-day Resistance Intra-day Support Indices Close Pivot Point R1 R2 R3 S1 S2 S3 BSE SENSEX 17289 17304 17335 17381 17458 17258 17227 17150 S&P CNX NIFTY 5202 5206 5215 5229 5252 5192 5183 5160 NIFTY NOV. FUT. 5232 5239 5251 5269 5299 5220 5209 5178 * Figures not strictly comparable as 26/10/11 was a truncated trading session. Sanjay Bhatia (AVP – Technicals), Email Id sanjay@keynotecapitals.net Yahoo Chat Id: keytechnicals@yahoo.in Keynote Capitals Ltd. th 4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 2. Short Term Trading Ideas Based On Technical Analysis (5 - 7 Days) Stop Initiation Stop Loss Target Stock Close Action Price Loss * (%) Target (%) Remarks APIL 530.90 Buy Above 535.00 523.00 2.24 560.00 4.67 Fortis 123.30 Buy Above 124.00 121.00 2.42 130.00 4.84 Sun Pharma 503.75 Buy Above 506.00 490.00 3.16 540.00 6.72 * Stop Losses are to be considered on Closing basis only. Keynote Capitals Ltd. th 4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 3. Disclaimer This document is not for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and must not be reproduced or redistributed to any other person. Persons into whose possession this document may come are required to observe these restrictions. This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based upon it. This report is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients. We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable though its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Neither Keynote Capitals Ltd., nor any person connected with it, accepts any liability arising from the use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their own investigations and take their own professional advice. Price and value of the investments referred to in this material may go up or down. Past performance is not a guide for future performance. Certain transactions -including those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade securities - involve substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. Reports based on technical analysis centers on studying charts of a stock’s price movement and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company’s fundamentals and as such, may not match with a report on a company’s fundamentals. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on this material only. While we endeavor to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so. Prospective investors and others are cautioned that any forward-looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to change without notice. Our proprietary trading and investment businesses may make investment decisions that are inconsistent with the recommendations expressed herein. We and our affiliates, officers, directors, and employees world wide may: (a) from time to time, have long or short positions in, and buy or sell the securities thereof, of company (ies) mentioned herein or (b) be engaged in any other transaction involving such securities and earn brokerage or other compensation or act as a market maker in the financial instruments of the company (ies) discussed herein or act as advisor or lender / borrower to such company (ies) or have other potential conflict of interest with respect to any recommendation and related information and opinions. The analyst for this report certifies that all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect his or her personal views about the subject company or companies and its or their securities, and no part of his or her compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly related to specific recommendations or views expressed in this report. No part of this material may be duplicated in any form and/or redistributed without Keynote Capitals Ltd’s., prior written consent. Keynote Capitals Ltd. th 4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com