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India Morning Note
    a       g
Mond
   day, June 25, 2012

Dom
  mestic Mark
            kets Snapsh
                      hot                                  Views on markets t
                                                                            today
 Nam of Index
   me                   Jun 21       Jun 22   Change (%)
                                                       )   • India markets snapped th
                                                                 an                     hree-day winning strea and
                                                                                                              ak
                                                             close
                                                                 ed on neg   gative note on Friday as Reliance
 Sensex             17,032.56     16,972.51     -0.35%
                                                             Indu
                                                                ustries continued to ree over worr
                                                                                        el         ries about o
                                                                                                              output
 CNX Nifty
   X                  5,165.00     5,146.05     -0.37%
                                                             from its KG-D6 block, whi cement makers dro
                                                                m                       ile                    opped
 BSE Mid-cap          6,002.48     6,010.21      0.13%       after receiving a record fine from a compe
                                                                 r         g                      m           etition
 BSE IT               5,677.50     5,663.69     -0.24%       regu
                                                                ulator on price fixing charges. The falls came on a
                                                                                                   e          e
 BSE Banks          11,562.75     11,561.05     -0.01%       day when risk assets we    ere hit by growing w worries
FII A
    Activity                                     (`Cr)       abou the global econom and Moody's Inve
                                                                 ut                     my                     estors
                                                             Serv
                                                                vice downgrade of so    ome of the world's major
 Date
    e                     Buy          Sell        Net       bank The rup
                                                                 ks.        pee fell to a record lo for a se
                                                                                                   ow          econd
 21-Jun                 1,525         1,764        -239      conssecutive   session,
                                                                            s           p
                                                                                        past   the    psycholog
                                                                                                              gically
 20-Jun                 1,972         1,720        252       impoortant 57 to a d      dollar mark, once again
 Tota Jun
    al                 28,276        27,872        404       undeerscoring India's we  eak fiscal health slowing
 2012 YTD             311,310      268,967       42342       econnomy.
                                                           • Cemment stock    ks dropped after the Compe
                                                                                          d                     etition
MF A
   Activity                                       (`Cr)
                                                             Commmission of India on Thursday lev   vied a pena alty of
 Date
    e                     Buy          Sell        Net       over `6,000Cr on 11 cement com
                                                                 r                                  mpanies du  ue to
 21-Jun                   439          459          -21      viola
                                                                 ation of the provision of the Competition Act,
                                                                                         ns          C          n
 20-Jun                   536          348         188       2002 which de
                                                                  2,           eals with anti-competiitive agreem
                                                                                                                ments
 Tota Jun
    al                  6,467         5,928        539       inclu
                                                                 uding cartels. Telecom stocks fell across the board
 2012 YTD              60,331        66,259       -5928
                                                             as the much-awaited m
                                                                  t                      meeting of the high-p   power
                                                             ministerial pane on auctio of telecom spectru
                                                                               el         on                    um on
Volu
   ume & Adva
            ances / Dec
                      clines                                 Thur rsday was reported
                                                                              s           dly deferrred indefin  nitely.
                                      NSE          BSE       Howwever, the s  slump in gloobal crude prices sparrked a
 Trad
    ding Volume (Cr)                63.64         20.49      rally in oil stock such as O
                                                                 y            ks         ONGC.
 Turn
    nover (`Cr)                    10,048         2,087    • Markket breadth was marg
                                                                            h          ginally wea at ~0.98x as
                                                                                                   ak
 Advances                             681         1,363      investors sold l
                                                                            large cap s
                                                                                      stocks. On provisional basis,
                                                                                                   p
                                                             both FIIs and do
                                                                h           omestic ins
                                                                                      stitutions so equities worth
                                                                                                  old
 Declines                             778         1,392
                                                             `1.74bn and `0.02bn, respeectively in cash segment.
                                                                                                   c
 Unchanged                             84          129
                                                           • Asian markets are trading mix this morning. Nik
                                                                                                  m           kkei is
 Tota
    al                              1,543         2,884
                                                             trading lower as defensive stocks are helping to offset
                                                                            s
Glob Markets
   bal                                                       glob jitters as euro zone policymak
                                                                bal         s          e          kers appeared no
 Inde
    ex                     Late Values
                              est             Change (%)
                                                       )     close to resolving the regi
                                                                 er                    ion's debt crisis heading into
 DJIA
    A                            12,640.78       0.53%       anotther European summit this week.
 NAS
   SDAQ                           2,892.42       1.17%     • India markets are expect
                                                                 an                      ted to open lower as Asian
                                                                                                     n
 Nikk *
    kei                           8,785.10      -0.15%
                                                             markets are mostly tradin lower. However, Finance
                                                                                        ng          H
                                                                             ation that In
                                                             minister’s indica           ndia will unveil measur
                                                                                                               res on
 Hang Seng *                     19,000.26       0.03%
                                                             Monday to arrest the slide of its curre ency may se the
                                                                                                               et
* as o 8.25AM IST
     of                                                      market’s directiion.
Curr
   rencies / Co
              ommodities Snapshot
                       s                                   Econom and Cor
                                                                mic     rporate Dev
                                                                                  velopments
                                                                                           s
                                    Latest     Previous    • With merchand
                                                                 h           dise deman slowing down in g
                                                                                         nd                     global
                                    Quote         Close
                                                             markets, the C  Commerce Ministry is drawing a new
 Indian Rupee per $                  57.12        56.28
                                                             strattegy for ach
                                                                             hieving expoorts of $500
                                                                                                    0bn by the eend of
 Indian Rupee per €                  71.60        71.71      2013 3-14. As pe senior Co
                                                                             er          ommerce Ministry offic
                                                                                                    M           cial, it
 NYM
   MEX Crude Oil($/bbl)              79.90        79.76      will take around a month to prepare the action plan.
 Gold ($/oz)
    d                             1,572.70     1,566.10      The focus will be on red    ducing trannsaction cossts of
 Silve ($/oz)
     er                              26.68        26.66      expoorters, ensuuring they do not face non-tariff ba
                                                                                                    n           arriers
                                                             in th importing countries.
                                                                 he          g

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   note Capitals Research
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TOP GAINERS                                          Buzzin Stocks
                                                          ng
(BSE A-Group)
   E                                                 •   Suzlon Group, which con   ntrols wind-turbine maker
                    Previous   Currennt   Change            lon Energy, said that it will sell stake in its C
                                                         Suzl                      t                        China
 Com
   mpany Name
            e
                    Close(`
                          `)   Price(`
                                     `)      (%)         mannufacturing unit to C China Powe New Energy
                                                                                                er
 Shre Cement
    ee              2712.45
                          5    2924.55      7.82         Dev
                                                           velopment C Ltd for `3
                                                                       Co         340Cr.
 Man
   nappuram Fin
              n       23.05
                          5      24.60      6.72
                                                     •   The Calcutta High Court on Friday nul
                                                                                   n           llified a law that
 India Hotels
     an               56.40
                          0      59.80      6.03         forced Tata Mo
                                                                      otors to forfe Singur la
                                                                                   eit        and acquired by
 Fina
    ancial Tech      669.60
                          0     699.10      4.41         the company t build a f
                                                                       to          factory, in a decision that
 Relia
     ance Power       99.10
                          0     102.45      3.38         could pave the way for the automaker to rec
                                                                       e                                    coup
(BSE Mid-Cap)
   E                                                     som of its $31
                                                           me         10mn invest  tment in the developme
                                                                                              e             ent.
                                                     •   Stat
                                                            te-run CIL h
                                                                       has hiked th prices by an averag of
                                                                                  he        y         ge
                    Previous   Currennt   Change
 Com
   mpany Name
            e                                            10-1
                                                            15% for no on-coking ccoal mined from seleected
                    Close(`
                          `)   Price(`
                                     `)      (%)
 INDI
    IAB POWER         12.46      13.70       9.95        bloc in Weste Coalfield
                                                            cks        ern        ds.
 Shre Cement
    ee              2712.45    2924.55       7.82    •   Elec
                                                            ctrical goods maker Ha  avells India will invest u to
                                                                                                 w           up
 India Infoline
     a                59.45      63.65       7.06        `5000Cr over the next three yea        ars on var   rious
 Man
   nappuram Fin
              n       23.05      24.60       6.72            vities as it looks to ac
                                                         activ                      chieve over 50% growt in th
 India Hotels
     an               56.40      59.80       6.03        overall turnove to touch `
                                                                        er          `10,000Cr.
                                                     •   Essa Oil had filed petition seeking sta governm
                                                             ar                      n           ate       ment
TOP LOSERS                                               to allow repaym ment in instaalments and waive inte
                                                                                                 d         erest
(BSE A-Group)
   E                                                         elation to its sales tax d
                                                         in re            s           deferment liability.
                    Previous   Currennt   Change     • EID Parry has initiated dialogue with banks to
                                                                      s                               s
 Com
   mpany Name
            e
                    Close(`
                          `)   Price(`
                                     `)      (%)       rest
                                                          tructure loan to the tun of around `200Cr, w
                                                                      n          ne        d         which
 Jaipr
     rakash Asso      74.55
                          5      71.30
                                     0      -4.36      the company has taken for its refinery projec in
                                                                                                      ct
 JUBL FOOD
    L               1182.70
                          0    1136.00
                                     0      -3.95      Andhra Pradesh h.
 Hind
    dalco Inds       121.30
                          0     117.25
                                     5      -3.34    US markets
 ACC
   C                1256.00
                          0    1214.50
                                     0      -3.30
                                                     U.S. stocks finishhed higher on Friday as inves
                                                                                  r          y,         stors
 Torr
    rent Power       182.60
                          0     177.15
                                     5      -2.98
                                                     cheere news tha the Euro
                                                           ed          at         opean Central Bank w would
(BSE Mid-Cap)
   E                                                       urther steps to ease loa collateral for banks. The
                                                     take fu          s           an
                                                     Dow Joones industrial average was up 67.21 points or
                                                                                   e         6           s,
                    Previous   Currennt   Change
 Com
   mpany Name
            e                                        0.53%, at 12,640.
                                                            ,          .80. The Staandard & Poor's 500 In
                                                                                                        ndex
                    Close(`
                          `)   Price(`
                                     `)      (%)
 Mad
   dras Cements
              s      156.05     149.70      -4.07    was up 9.51 point or 0.72% at 1,335.02. The Nas
                                                           p          ts,        %,                     sdaq
 JUBL FOOD
    L               1182.70    1136.00      -3.95    Compo osite Index was up 33   3.33 points or 1.17% at
                                                                                             s,        %,
 Vijay Bank
     ya               59.55      57.55      -3.36    2,892.443.
 Mon
   nnet Ispat Ene
                e    362.00     352.25      -2.69
 Jai C
     Corp             57.15      55.70      -2.54




Keyn
   note Capitals Research
                        h                   (resea
                                                 arch@keyno
                                                          otecapitals.net)                (+912
                                                                                              22-3026600
                                                                                                       00)
 



                                                                                                                                     




                                                                                                                                     




 India and Globa Economic Calendar
     a         al       c

    Countries /              Mon
                               nday                     Tuesday                  Wed
                                                                                   dnesday                    Thursday

   Reg
     gions                    25-Jun                     26
                                                          6-Jun                     27-Jun
                                                                                    2                          28-Jun

   Ind
     dia                                                                   Money S
                                                                                 Supply




   US                New Home sales
                            e                   S&P/Case
                                                       e-Shiller           Durable Goods orde
                                                                                            er         Gross Domestic
                                                                                                             D
                                                Home Price Indices                                     Product Annualized
                                                                                                             t          d
                                                (YoY)                                                  (Q1)

                                                Consumeer                                              Initial Jo
                                                                                                                obless Claim
                                                                                                                           ms
                                                Confidence                                             (Jun 23) )



   Glo
     obal            Germany Consumer           UK's Publ Sector
                                                        lic                Germany CPI Data
                                                                                 y                     EUROPEEAN COUNC
                                                                                                                     CIL
                             ce
                     Confidenc                  Net Borro
                                                        owing                                          MEETIN
                                                                                                            NG

                     Germany Retail                                        Japan's                     UK CUR
                                                                                                            RRENT
                     Sales                                                 manufac  cturingPMI &       ACCOUNT (Q1)
                                                                           retail tra
                                                                                    ade data

                     UK Housin prices
                             ng                                                                        UK Gros Domestic
                                                                                                             ss       c
                                                                                                       Product (YoY)
                                                                                                             t




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                                              NOTE CAPITTALS LTD.
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                   eport is purely for informa ation purpose and is bassed on public information News cont
                                                                                    c             n.          tent is attribu
                                                                                                                            utable to
various media, unle specified otherwise. A market related statistic data perta
                    ess                       All                      cal          ains to the im
                                                                                                 mmediately preceding trad  ding day,
unless stated other
      s             rwise. Neithe the informa
                                 er           ation nor any opinion expressed in this report constitutes an off
                                                          y                         s                         fer, or an invitation to
make an offer, to bbuy or sell the securities m
                                              mentioned he erein. We or any of our directors, offic
                                                                                                  cers or emplo
                                                                                                              oyees shall not in any
way be responsible for any loss arising from the use of this report. Investors are advised to apply their own judgmen before
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acting on the conteents of this re
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Keynote capitals india morning note jun 25-'12

  • 1.       India Morning Note a g Mond day, June 25, 2012 Dom mestic Mark kets Snapsh hot Views on markets t today Nam of Index me Jun 21 Jun 22 Change (%) ) • India markets snapped th an hree-day winning strea and ak close ed on neg gative note on Friday as Reliance Sensex 17,032.56 16,972.51 -0.35% Indu ustries continued to ree over worr el ries about o output CNX Nifty X 5,165.00 5,146.05 -0.37% from its KG-D6 block, whi cement makers dro m ile opped BSE Mid-cap 6,002.48 6,010.21 0.13% after receiving a record fine from a compe r g m etition BSE IT 5,677.50 5,663.69 -0.24% regu ulator on price fixing charges. The falls came on a e e BSE Banks 11,562.75 11,561.05 -0.01% day when risk assets we ere hit by growing w worries FII A Activity (`Cr) abou the global econom and Moody's Inve ut my estors Serv vice downgrade of so ome of the world's major Date e Buy Sell Net bank The rup ks. pee fell to a record lo for a se ow econd 21-Jun 1,525 1,764 -239 conssecutive session, s p past the psycholog gically 20-Jun 1,972 1,720 252 impoortant 57 to a d dollar mark, once again Tota Jun al 28,276 27,872 404 undeerscoring India's we eak fiscal health slowing 2012 YTD 311,310 268,967 42342 econnomy. • Cemment stock ks dropped after the Compe d etition MF A Activity (`Cr) Commmission of India on Thursday lev vied a pena alty of Date e Buy Sell Net over `6,000Cr on 11 cement com r mpanies du ue to 21-Jun 439 459 -21 viola ation of the provision of the Competition Act, ns C n 20-Jun 536 348 188 2002 which de 2, eals with anti-competiitive agreem ments Tota Jun al 6,467 5,928 539 inclu uding cartels. Telecom stocks fell across the board 2012 YTD 60,331 66,259 -5928 as the much-awaited m t meeting of the high-p power ministerial pane on auctio of telecom spectru el on um on Volu ume & Adva ances / Dec clines Thur rsday was reported s dly deferrred indefin nitely. NSE BSE Howwever, the s slump in gloobal crude prices sparrked a Trad ding Volume (Cr) 63.64 20.49 rally in oil stock such as O y ks ONGC. Turn nover (`Cr) 10,048 2,087 • Markket breadth was marg h ginally wea at ~0.98x as ak Advances 681 1,363 investors sold l large cap s stocks. On provisional basis, p both FIIs and do h omestic ins stitutions so equities worth old Declines 778 1,392 `1.74bn and `0.02bn, respeectively in cash segment. c Unchanged 84 129 • Asian markets are trading mix this morning. Nik m kkei is Tota al 1,543 2,884 trading lower as defensive stocks are helping to offset s Glob Markets bal glob jitters as euro zone policymak bal s e kers appeared no Inde ex Late Values est Change (%) ) close to resolving the regi er ion's debt crisis heading into DJIA A 12,640.78 0.53% anotther European summit this week. NAS SDAQ 2,892.42 1.17% • India markets are expect an ted to open lower as Asian n Nikk * kei 8,785.10 -0.15% markets are mostly tradin lower. However, Finance ng H ation that In minister’s indica ndia will unveil measur res on Hang Seng * 19,000.26 0.03% Monday to arrest the slide of its curre ency may se the et * as o 8.25AM IST of market’s directiion. Curr rencies / Co ommodities Snapshot s Econom and Cor mic rporate Dev velopments s Latest Previous • With merchand h dise deman slowing down in g nd global Quote Close markets, the C Commerce Ministry is drawing a new Indian Rupee per $ 57.12 56.28 strattegy for ach hieving expoorts of $500 0bn by the eend of Indian Rupee per € 71.60 71.71 2013 3-14. As pe senior Co er ommerce Ministry offic M cial, it NYM MEX Crude Oil($/bbl) 79.90 79.76 will take around a month to prepare the action plan. Gold ($/oz) d 1,572.70 1,566.10 The focus will be on red ducing trannsaction cossts of Silve ($/oz) er 26.68 26.66 expoorters, ensuuring they do not face non-tariff ba n arriers in th importing countries. he g Keyn note Capitals Research h (reseaarch@keyno otecapitals.net) (+91222-3026600 00) Keyynote Capita Research is also available on als h Bloo omberg KNTE <GO>, Tho E omson One A Analytics, Re euters Knowwledge, Capit IQ, TheMa tal arkets.com and securitie a es.com Keynote Capitals Institu utional Resea arch - winner of “India’s Best IPO Analyst Award 2009” by MCX-Zee Business To unsubsc cribe from th mailing lis please reply to unsub his st, bscribe@keyynotecapitals s.net
  • 2.       TOP GAINERS Buzzin Stocks ng (BSE A-Group) E • Suzlon Group, which con ntrols wind-turbine maker Previous Currennt Change lon Energy, said that it will sell stake in its C Suzl t China Com mpany Name e Close(` `) Price(` `) (%) mannufacturing unit to C China Powe New Energy er Shre Cement ee 2712.45 5 2924.55 7.82 Dev velopment C Ltd for `3 Co 340Cr. Man nappuram Fin n 23.05 5 24.60 6.72 • The Calcutta High Court on Friday nul n llified a law that India Hotels an 56.40 0 59.80 6.03 forced Tata Mo otors to forfe Singur la eit and acquired by Fina ancial Tech 669.60 0 699.10 4.41 the company t build a f to factory, in a decision that Relia ance Power 99.10 0 102.45 3.38 could pave the way for the automaker to rec e coup (BSE Mid-Cap) E som of its $31 me 10mn invest tment in the developme e ent. • Stat te-run CIL h has hiked th prices by an averag of he y ge Previous Currennt Change Com mpany Name e 10-1 15% for no on-coking ccoal mined from seleected Close(` `) Price(` `) (%) INDI IAB POWER 12.46 13.70 9.95 bloc in Weste Coalfield cks ern ds. Shre Cement ee 2712.45 2924.55 7.82 • Elec ctrical goods maker Ha avells India will invest u to w up India Infoline a 59.45 63.65 7.06 `5000Cr over the next three yea ars on var rious Man nappuram Fin n 23.05 24.60 6.72 vities as it looks to ac activ chieve over 50% growt in th India Hotels an 56.40 59.80 6.03 overall turnove to touch ` er `10,000Cr. • Essa Oil had filed petition seeking sta governm ar n ate ment TOP LOSERS to allow repaym ment in instaalments and waive inte d erest (BSE A-Group) E elation to its sales tax d in re s deferment liability. Previous Currennt Change • EID Parry has initiated dialogue with banks to s s Com mpany Name e Close(` `) Price(` `) (%) rest tructure loan to the tun of around `200Cr, w n ne d which Jaipr rakash Asso 74.55 5 71.30 0 -4.36 the company has taken for its refinery projec in ct JUBL FOOD L 1182.70 0 1136.00 0 -3.95 Andhra Pradesh h. Hind dalco Inds 121.30 0 117.25 5 -3.34 US markets ACC C 1256.00 0 1214.50 0 -3.30 U.S. stocks finishhed higher on Friday as inves r y, stors Torr rent Power 182.60 0 177.15 5 -2.98 cheere news tha the Euro ed at opean Central Bank w would (BSE Mid-Cap) E urther steps to ease loa collateral for banks. The take fu s an Dow Joones industrial average was up 67.21 points or e 6 s, Previous Currennt Change Com mpany Name e 0.53%, at 12,640. , .80. The Staandard & Poor's 500 In ndex Close(` `) Price(` `) (%) Mad dras Cements s 156.05 149.70 -4.07 was up 9.51 point or 0.72% at 1,335.02. The Nas p ts, %, sdaq JUBL FOOD L 1182.70 1136.00 -3.95 Compo osite Index was up 33 3.33 points or 1.17% at s, %, Vijay Bank ya 59.55 57.55 -3.36 2,892.443. Mon nnet Ispat Ene e 362.00 352.25 -2.69 Jai C Corp 57.15 55.70 -2.54 Keyn note Capitals Research h (resea arch@keyno otecapitals.net) (+912 22-3026600 00)
  • 3.       India and Globa Economic Calendar a al c Countries / Mon nday Tuesday Wed dnesday Thursday Reg gions 25-Jun 26 6-Jun 27-Jun 2 28-Jun Ind dia Money S Supply US New Home sales e S&P/Case e-Shiller Durable Goods orde er Gross Domestic D Home Price Indices Product Annualized t d (YoY) (Q1) Consumeer Initial Jo obless Claim ms Confidence (Jun 23) ) Glo obal Germany Consumer UK's Publ Sector lic Germany CPI Data y EUROPEEAN COUNC CIL ce Confidenc Net Borro owing MEETIN NG Germany Retail Japan's UK CUR RRENT Sales manufac cturingPMI & ACCOUNT (Q1) retail tra ade data UK Housin prices ng UK Gros Domestic ss c Product (YoY) t KEYN NOTE CAPITTALS LTD. The Rub 9th Floo Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumba – 400 028 by, or, ai 8 Tel. : +9 9122-30266 6000 • www w.keynotec capitals.com m Disclaiimer: This re eport is purely for informa ation purpose and is bassed on public information News cont c n. tent is attribu utable to various media, unle specified otherwise. A market related statistic data perta ess All cal ains to the im mmediately preceding trad ding day, unless stated other s rwise. Neithe the informa er ation nor any opinion expressed in this report constitutes an off y s fer, or an invitation to make an offer, to bbuy or sell the securities m mentioned he erein. We or any of our directors, offic cers or emplo oyees shall not in any way be responsible for any loss arising from the use of this report. Investors are advised to apply their own judgmen before e e s m e o nt acting on the conteents of this re eport. The rep port has not been edited due to time c d constraints.