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Document Name Here | Month 2016 | Version 1 | Public | Internal Use Only | Confidential | Strictly Confidential (DELETE CLASSIFICATION)
© 2016 Ipsos. All rights reserved. Contains Ipsos' Confidential and Proprietary information
and may not be disclosed or reproduced without the prior written consent of Ipsos.
1
Ipsos MORI
June 2016 POLITICAL MONITOR
Document Name Here | Month 2016 | Version 1 | Public | Internal Use Only | Confidential | Strictly Confidential (DELETE CLASSIFICATION) 2
SATISFACTION WITH THE
GOVERNMENT AND
PARTY LEADERS
3Political Monitor | March 2016 | Final | Public
19%
32%
49%
38%
44%
17%
ARE YOU SATISFIED OR DISSATISFIED WITH THE WAY…. IS RUNNING THE COUNTRY / DOING HIS JOB
AS PRIME MINISTER /LEADER OF THE LABOUR PARTY/LEADER OF THE LIBERAL DEMOCRATS / LEADER OF
UKIP?
Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor
Base: 1,257 British adults 18+, 11th – 14th June 2016 When asked about Nigel Farage and Tim Farron the sample was split sampled with 634 and 623
British adults 18+ asked about each respectively. Swing is calculated as the average of change in % “satisfied” and % “dissatisfied
Satisfaction with leaders and the Government
32%
59%
9%
+3.5%
swing from May 2016
-3%
swing from May 2016
-0.5%
swing from May 2016
-1%
swing from May 2016
+2.5%
swing from May 2016
-23 Net -25 Net -6 Net -13 Net -27 Net
SATISFIED 35% SATISFIED 27% SATISFIED 38% SATISFIED 19% SATISFIED 32%
DISSATISFIED 58% DISSATISFIED 52% DISSATISFIED 44% DISSATISFIED 32% DISSATISFIED 59%
35%
58%
7%
27%
52%
21%
David Cameron Jeremy Corbyn Nigel Farage Tim Farron The Government
4Political Monitor | March 2016 | Final | Public
HOW SATISFIED OR DISSATISFIED ARE YOU WITH THE WAY … IS RUNNING THE COUNTRY / DOING HIS
JOB AS … ?
Source: Ipsos MORI Political MonitorBase: c.1,000 British adults each month
Satisfaction with Party leaders May 2010 – June’16
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
2010
2010
2010
2010
2011
2011
2011
2011
2011
2011
2012
2012
2012
2012
2012
2012
2013
2013
2013
2013
2013
2013
2014
2014
2014
2014
2014
2014
2015
2015
2015
2015
2015
2015
2016
2016
2016
CAMERON FARAGE CORBYN FARRON
35%
38%
27%
19%
5Political Monitor | March 2016 | Final | Public
HOW SATISFIED OR DISSATISFIED ARE YOU WITH THE WAY … IS DOING HIS JOB AS PRIME MINISTER?
Source: Ipsos MORI Political MonitorBase: c.1,000 British adults each month
Net satisfaction with Prime Ministers
CAMERON BROWN MAJOR BLAIR THATCHER
Netsatisfaction
NUMBER OF MONTHS FROM BECOMING PRIME MINISTER
Note: Data collected prior to February 2008 was collected via face-to-face methodology; data collected from February 2008 was via telephone
6Political Monitor | March 2016 | Final | Public
HOW SATISFIED OR DISSATISFIED ARE YOU WITH THE WAY … IS DOING HIS JOB AS LEADER OF THE …
PARTY?
Source: Ipsos MORI Political MonitorBase: c.1,000 British adults each month
Net satisfaction with Opposition Leaders (1994 – 2016)
Note: Data collected prior to February 2008 was collected via face-to-face methodology; data collected from February 2008 was via telephone
Number of months from becoming Opposition Leader
Netsatisfaction
HOWARD BLAIR (94-97) DUNCAN SMITH (01-03) MILIBAND (10-15) CAMERON (05-10) HAGUE (97-01) CORBYN (15-present)
7Political Monitor | March 2016 | Final | Public
ARE YOU SATISFIED OR DISSATISFIED WITH THE WAY DAVID CAMERON IS DOING HIS JOB AS LEADER OF
THE CONSERVATIVE PARTY / AS PRIME MINISTER?
Source: Ipsos MORI Political MonitorBase: 1,257 British adults 18+, 11th – 14th June 2016
David Cameron (satisfaction)
35%
58%
7%
June 2016 May 2006 –June 2016
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
May-06
Oct-06
Jun-07
Dec-07
May-08
Oct-08
Mar-09
Aug-09
Jan-10
Jun-10
Dec-10
May-11
Oct-11
Mar-12
Aug-12
Jan-13
Jun-13
Nov-13
Apr-14
Sep-14
Feb-15
Jul-15
Jan-16
Jun-16
Note: Data collected prior to February 2008 was collected via face-to-face methodology; data collected from February 2008 was via telephone
SATISFIED 35%
DISSATISFIED 58%
DON’T KNOW 7%
Net = -23
Dissatisfied
Satisfied
8Political Monitor | March 2016 | Final | Public
69%
27%
5%
ARE YOU SATISFIED OR DISSATISFIED WITH THE WAY DAVID CAMERON IS DOING HIS JOB AS LEADER OF
THE CONSERVATIVE PARTY/AS PRIME MINISTER?
Source: Ipsos MORI Political MonitorBase: 354 Conservative supporters 18+, 11th – 14th June 2016
David Cameron (satisfaction among Tory supporters)
June 2016 May 2006 –June 2016
Note: Data collected prior to February 2008 was collected via face-to-face methodology; data collected from February 2008 was via telephone
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
May06
Jul06
Oct06
Jan07
May07
Jul07
Sep07
Dec07
Feb08
Apr08
Jun08
Aug08
Oct-08
Dec-08
Feb-09
Apr-09
Jun-09
Aug-09
Oct-09
Dec-09
Feb-10
Apr-10
Jun-10
Sep-10
Jan-11
Mar-11
May-11
Jul-11
Sep-11
Nov-11
Jan-12
Mar-12
May-12
Jul-12
Sep-12
Nov-12
Jan-13
Mar-13
May-13
Jul-13
Sep-13
Nov-13
Jan-14
Mar-14
May-14
Jul-14
Sep-14
Nov-14
Jan-15
Mar-15
Apr-15
Jul-15
Oct-15
Dec-15
Feb-16
Apr-16
Jun-16
SATISFIED 69%
DISSATISFIED 27%
DON’T KNOW 5%
Net = +42
Satisfied
Dissatisfied
9Political Monitor | March 2016 | Final | Public
27%
52%
21%
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
Sep-15
Oct-15
Nov-15
Dec-15
Jan-16
Feb-16
Mar-16
Aprl-16
May-16
Jun-16
SATISFIED 27%
DISSATISFIED 52%
DON’T KNOW 21%
Net = -25
ARE YOU SATISFIED OR DISSATISFIED WITH THE WAY JEREMY CORBYN IS DOING HIS JOB AS LEADER OF
THE LABOUR PARTY?
Source: Ipsos MORI Political MonitorBase: 1,257 British adults 18+, 11th – 14th June 2016
Jeremy Corbyn (satisfaction)
June 2016 September 2015 – June 2016
Note: Data collected prior to February 2008 was collected via face-to-face methodology; data collected from February 2008 was via telephone
Satisfied
Dissatisfied
10Political Monitor | March 2016 | Final | Public
50%
35%
15%
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
Sep-15
Oct-15
Nov-15
Dec-15
Jan-16
Feb-16
Mar-16
Aprl-16
May-16
Jun-16
SATISFIED 50%
DISSATISFIED 35%
DON’T KNOW 15%
Net = +15
ARE YOU SATISFIED OR DISSATISFIED WITH THE WAY JEREMY CORBYN IS DOING HIS JOB AS LEADER OF
THE LABOUR PARTY?
Source: Ipsos MORI Political MonitorBase: 378 Labour supporters 18+, 11th – 14th June 2016
Jeremy Corbyn (satisfaction amongst Labour supporters)
June 2016 September 2015 – June 2016
Satisfied
Dissatisfied
11Political Monitor | March 2016 | Final | Public
19%
32%
49%
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
Sep-15
Oct-15
Nov-15
Dec-15
Jan-16
Feb-16
Mar-16
Aprl-16
May-16
Jun-16
SATISFIED 19%
DISSATISFIED 32%
DON’T KNOW 49%
Net = -13
ARE YOU SATISFIED OR DISSATISFIED WITH THE WAY TIM FARRON IS DOING HIS JOB AS LEADER OF THE
LIBERAL DEMOCRATS?
Source: Ipsos MORI Political MonitorBase: 623 British adults 18+, 11th – 14th June 2016
Tim Farron (satisfaction)
June 2016 September 2015 – June 2016
Satisfied
Dissatisfied
12Political Monitor | March 2016 | Final | Public
38%
44%
17%
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
Mar-13
Apr-13
May-13
Jun-13
Jul-13
Aug-13
Sep-13
Oct-13
Nov-13
Dec-13
Jan-14
Feb-14
Mar-14
Apr-14
May-14
Jun-14
Jul-14
Aug-14
Sep-14
Oct-14
Nov-14
Dec-14
Jan-15
Feb-15
Mar-15
Apr-152
Apr-15
Jun-15
Jul-15
Sep-15
Oct-15
Nov-15
Dec-15
Jan-16
Feb-16
Mar-16
Aprl-16
May-16
Jun-16
SATISFIED 38%
DISSATISFIED 44%
DON’T KNOW 17%
Net = -6
ARE YOU SATISFIED OR DISSATISFIED WITH THE WAY NIGEL FARAGE IS DOING HIS JOB AS LEADER OF THE
UNITED KINGDOM INDEPENDENCE PARTY?
Source: Ipsos MORI Political MonitorBase: 634 British adults 18+, 11th – 14th June 2016
Nigel Farage (satisfaction)
May 2016 March 2013 – May 2016
Satisfied
Dissatisfied
Document Name Here | Month 2016 | Version 1 | Public | Internal Use Only | Confidential | Strictly Confidential (DELETE CLASSIFICATION) 13
ECONOMIC
OPTIMISM
14Political Monitor | March 2016 | Final | Public
19%
31%29%
21%
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
May-04
Nov-04
May-05
Nov-05
Jun-06
Jan-07
Sep-07
Apr-08
Oct-08
Apr-09
Oct-09
Apr-10
Nov-10
May-11
Nov-11
May-12
Nov-12
May-13
Nov-13
May-14
Nov-14
Apr-15
Dec-15
Jun-16
IMPROVE 19%
STAY THE SAME 31%
GET WORSE 29%
DON’T KNOW 21%
EOI = -10
DO YOU THINK THAT THE GENERAL ECONOMIC CONDITION OF THE COUNTRY WILL IMPROVE, STAY THE
SAME OR GET WORSE OVER THE NEXT 12 MONTHS?
Source: Ipsos MORI Political MonitorBase: 1,257 British adults 18+, 11th – 14th June 2016
Economic Optimism Index
June 2016
15Political Monitor | March 2016 | Final | Public
DO YOU THINK THAT THE GENERAL ECONOMIC CONDITION OF THE COUNTRY WILL IMPROVE, STAY THE
SAME OR GET WORSE OVER THE NEXT 12 MONTHS?
Source: Ipsos MORI Political MonitorBase: c.1,000 British adults each month
The Ipsos MORI Economic Optimism Index
-80
-60
-40
-20
0
20
40
Jun1998
Oct1998
Feb1999
Jun1999
Oct1999
Feb2000
Jun2000
Oct2000
Feb2001
Jun2001
Oct2001
Feb2002
Jun2002
Oct2002
Feb2003
Jun2003
Oct2003
Feb2004
Jun2004
Oct2004
Feb2005
Jun2005
Oct2005
Feb2006
Jun2006
Oct2006
Feb2007
Jun2007
Oct2007
Feb2008
Jun2008
Oct2008
Feb2009
Jun2009
Oct2009
Feb2010
Jun2010
Oct2010
Feb2011
Jun2011
Oct2011
Feb2012
Jun2012
Oct2012
Feb2013
Jun2013
Oct2013
Feb2014
Jun2014
Oct2014
Feb2015
Jun2015
Oct2015
Feb2016
Jun2016
-10
Document Name Here | Month 2016 | Version 1 | Public | Internal Use Only | Confidential | Strictly Confidential (DELETE CLASSIFICATION) 16
Party image
17Political Monitor | March 2016 | Final | Public
WHICH POLITICAL PARTY DO YOU THINK HAS THE BEST TEAM OF LEADERS TO DEAL WITH THE
COUNTRY’S PROBLEMS?
Source: Ipsos MORI Political MonitorBase: 1,257 British adults 18+, 11th – 14th June 2016
Which party has the best team of leaders?
43%
16%
4%
2%
3%
16%
16%
January 2016 June 2016
CONSERVATIVE
LABOUR
UKIP
LIB DEM
OTHER
NONE OF THESE
DON’T KNOW
36%
19%3%2%
3%
19%
17%
18Political Monitor | March 2016 | Final | Public
WHICH POLITICAL PARTY DO YOU THINK IS MOST CLEAR AND UNITED ABOUT WHAT ITS POLICIES
SHOULD BE?
Source: Ipsos MORI Political MonitorBase: 1,257 British adults 18+, 11th – 14th June 2016
Which party is the most clear and united?
January 2016 June 2016
CONSERVATIVE
LABOUR
UKIP
GREEN
LIB DEM
OTHER
33%
13%
11%
5%
8%
15%
15%
24%
13%
11%
5%7%
24%
17%
Document Name Here | Month 2016 | Version 1 | Public | Internal Use Only | Confidential | Strictly Confidential (DELETE CLASSIFICATION)
© 2016 Ipsos. All rights reserved. Contains Ipsos' Confidential and Proprietary information
and may not be disclosed or reproduced without the prior written consent of Ipsos.
19
June 2016
POLITICAL MONITOR

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Ipsos MORI Political Monitor: June 2016 - Voting Intention

  • 1. Document Name Here | Month 2016 | Version 1 | Public | Internal Use Only | Confidential | Strictly Confidential (DELETE CLASSIFICATION) © 2016 Ipsos. All rights reserved. Contains Ipsos' Confidential and Proprietary information and may not be disclosed or reproduced without the prior written consent of Ipsos. 1 Ipsos MORI June 2016 POLITICAL MONITOR
  • 2. Document Name Here | Month 2016 | Version 1 | Public | Internal Use Only | Confidential | Strictly Confidential (DELETE CLASSIFICATION) 2 SATISFACTION WITH THE GOVERNMENT AND PARTY LEADERS
  • 3. 3Political Monitor | March 2016 | Final | Public 19% 32% 49% 38% 44% 17% ARE YOU SATISFIED OR DISSATISFIED WITH THE WAY…. IS RUNNING THE COUNTRY / DOING HIS JOB AS PRIME MINISTER /LEADER OF THE LABOUR PARTY/LEADER OF THE LIBERAL DEMOCRATS / LEADER OF UKIP? Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor Base: 1,257 British adults 18+, 11th – 14th June 2016 When asked about Nigel Farage and Tim Farron the sample was split sampled with 634 and 623 British adults 18+ asked about each respectively. Swing is calculated as the average of change in % “satisfied” and % “dissatisfied Satisfaction with leaders and the Government 32% 59% 9% +3.5% swing from May 2016 -3% swing from May 2016 -0.5% swing from May 2016 -1% swing from May 2016 +2.5% swing from May 2016 -23 Net -25 Net -6 Net -13 Net -27 Net SATISFIED 35% SATISFIED 27% SATISFIED 38% SATISFIED 19% SATISFIED 32% DISSATISFIED 58% DISSATISFIED 52% DISSATISFIED 44% DISSATISFIED 32% DISSATISFIED 59% 35% 58% 7% 27% 52% 21% David Cameron Jeremy Corbyn Nigel Farage Tim Farron The Government
  • 4. 4Political Monitor | March 2016 | Final | Public HOW SATISFIED OR DISSATISFIED ARE YOU WITH THE WAY … IS RUNNING THE COUNTRY / DOING HIS JOB AS … ? Source: Ipsos MORI Political MonitorBase: c.1,000 British adults each month Satisfaction with Party leaders May 2010 – June’16 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 2010 2010 2010 2010 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2012 2012 2012 2012 2012 2012 2013 2013 2013 2013 2013 2013 2014 2014 2014 2014 2014 2014 2015 2015 2015 2015 2015 2015 2016 2016 2016 CAMERON FARAGE CORBYN FARRON 35% 38% 27% 19%
  • 5. 5Political Monitor | March 2016 | Final | Public HOW SATISFIED OR DISSATISFIED ARE YOU WITH THE WAY … IS DOING HIS JOB AS PRIME MINISTER? Source: Ipsos MORI Political MonitorBase: c.1,000 British adults each month Net satisfaction with Prime Ministers CAMERON BROWN MAJOR BLAIR THATCHER Netsatisfaction NUMBER OF MONTHS FROM BECOMING PRIME MINISTER Note: Data collected prior to February 2008 was collected via face-to-face methodology; data collected from February 2008 was via telephone
  • 6. 6Political Monitor | March 2016 | Final | Public HOW SATISFIED OR DISSATISFIED ARE YOU WITH THE WAY … IS DOING HIS JOB AS LEADER OF THE … PARTY? Source: Ipsos MORI Political MonitorBase: c.1,000 British adults each month Net satisfaction with Opposition Leaders (1994 – 2016) Note: Data collected prior to February 2008 was collected via face-to-face methodology; data collected from February 2008 was via telephone Number of months from becoming Opposition Leader Netsatisfaction HOWARD BLAIR (94-97) DUNCAN SMITH (01-03) MILIBAND (10-15) CAMERON (05-10) HAGUE (97-01) CORBYN (15-present)
  • 7. 7Political Monitor | March 2016 | Final | Public ARE YOU SATISFIED OR DISSATISFIED WITH THE WAY DAVID CAMERON IS DOING HIS JOB AS LEADER OF THE CONSERVATIVE PARTY / AS PRIME MINISTER? Source: Ipsos MORI Political MonitorBase: 1,257 British adults 18+, 11th – 14th June 2016 David Cameron (satisfaction) 35% 58% 7% June 2016 May 2006 –June 2016 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 May-06 Oct-06 Jun-07 Dec-07 May-08 Oct-08 Mar-09 Aug-09 Jan-10 Jun-10 Dec-10 May-11 Oct-11 Mar-12 Aug-12 Jan-13 Jun-13 Nov-13 Apr-14 Sep-14 Feb-15 Jul-15 Jan-16 Jun-16 Note: Data collected prior to February 2008 was collected via face-to-face methodology; data collected from February 2008 was via telephone SATISFIED 35% DISSATISFIED 58% DON’T KNOW 7% Net = -23 Dissatisfied Satisfied
  • 8. 8Political Monitor | March 2016 | Final | Public 69% 27% 5% ARE YOU SATISFIED OR DISSATISFIED WITH THE WAY DAVID CAMERON IS DOING HIS JOB AS LEADER OF THE CONSERVATIVE PARTY/AS PRIME MINISTER? Source: Ipsos MORI Political MonitorBase: 354 Conservative supporters 18+, 11th – 14th June 2016 David Cameron (satisfaction among Tory supporters) June 2016 May 2006 –June 2016 Note: Data collected prior to February 2008 was collected via face-to-face methodology; data collected from February 2008 was via telephone 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 May06 Jul06 Oct06 Jan07 May07 Jul07 Sep07 Dec07 Feb08 Apr08 Jun08 Aug08 Oct-08 Dec-08 Feb-09 Apr-09 Jun-09 Aug-09 Oct-09 Dec-09 Feb-10 Apr-10 Jun-10 Sep-10 Jan-11 Mar-11 May-11 Jul-11 Sep-11 Nov-11 Jan-12 Mar-12 May-12 Jul-12 Sep-12 Nov-12 Jan-13 Mar-13 May-13 Jul-13 Sep-13 Nov-13 Jan-14 Mar-14 May-14 Jul-14 Sep-14 Nov-14 Jan-15 Mar-15 Apr-15 Jul-15 Oct-15 Dec-15 Feb-16 Apr-16 Jun-16 SATISFIED 69% DISSATISFIED 27% DON’T KNOW 5% Net = +42 Satisfied Dissatisfied
  • 9. 9Political Monitor | March 2016 | Final | Public 27% 52% 21% 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 Sep-15 Oct-15 Nov-15 Dec-15 Jan-16 Feb-16 Mar-16 Aprl-16 May-16 Jun-16 SATISFIED 27% DISSATISFIED 52% DON’T KNOW 21% Net = -25 ARE YOU SATISFIED OR DISSATISFIED WITH THE WAY JEREMY CORBYN IS DOING HIS JOB AS LEADER OF THE LABOUR PARTY? Source: Ipsos MORI Political MonitorBase: 1,257 British adults 18+, 11th – 14th June 2016 Jeremy Corbyn (satisfaction) June 2016 September 2015 – June 2016 Note: Data collected prior to February 2008 was collected via face-to-face methodology; data collected from February 2008 was via telephone Satisfied Dissatisfied
  • 10. 10Political Monitor | March 2016 | Final | Public 50% 35% 15% 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 Sep-15 Oct-15 Nov-15 Dec-15 Jan-16 Feb-16 Mar-16 Aprl-16 May-16 Jun-16 SATISFIED 50% DISSATISFIED 35% DON’T KNOW 15% Net = +15 ARE YOU SATISFIED OR DISSATISFIED WITH THE WAY JEREMY CORBYN IS DOING HIS JOB AS LEADER OF THE LABOUR PARTY? Source: Ipsos MORI Political MonitorBase: 378 Labour supporters 18+, 11th – 14th June 2016 Jeremy Corbyn (satisfaction amongst Labour supporters) June 2016 September 2015 – June 2016 Satisfied Dissatisfied
  • 11. 11Political Monitor | March 2016 | Final | Public 19% 32% 49% 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 Sep-15 Oct-15 Nov-15 Dec-15 Jan-16 Feb-16 Mar-16 Aprl-16 May-16 Jun-16 SATISFIED 19% DISSATISFIED 32% DON’T KNOW 49% Net = -13 ARE YOU SATISFIED OR DISSATISFIED WITH THE WAY TIM FARRON IS DOING HIS JOB AS LEADER OF THE LIBERAL DEMOCRATS? Source: Ipsos MORI Political MonitorBase: 623 British adults 18+, 11th – 14th June 2016 Tim Farron (satisfaction) June 2016 September 2015 – June 2016 Satisfied Dissatisfied
  • 12. 12Political Monitor | March 2016 | Final | Public 38% 44% 17% 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 Mar-13 Apr-13 May-13 Jun-13 Jul-13 Aug-13 Sep-13 Oct-13 Nov-13 Dec-13 Jan-14 Feb-14 Mar-14 Apr-14 May-14 Jun-14 Jul-14 Aug-14 Sep-14 Oct-14 Nov-14 Dec-14 Jan-15 Feb-15 Mar-15 Apr-152 Apr-15 Jun-15 Jul-15 Sep-15 Oct-15 Nov-15 Dec-15 Jan-16 Feb-16 Mar-16 Aprl-16 May-16 Jun-16 SATISFIED 38% DISSATISFIED 44% DON’T KNOW 17% Net = -6 ARE YOU SATISFIED OR DISSATISFIED WITH THE WAY NIGEL FARAGE IS DOING HIS JOB AS LEADER OF THE UNITED KINGDOM INDEPENDENCE PARTY? Source: Ipsos MORI Political MonitorBase: 634 British adults 18+, 11th – 14th June 2016 Nigel Farage (satisfaction) May 2016 March 2013 – May 2016 Satisfied Dissatisfied
  • 13. Document Name Here | Month 2016 | Version 1 | Public | Internal Use Only | Confidential | Strictly Confidential (DELETE CLASSIFICATION) 13 ECONOMIC OPTIMISM
  • 14. 14Political Monitor | March 2016 | Final | Public 19% 31%29% 21% 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 May-04 Nov-04 May-05 Nov-05 Jun-06 Jan-07 Sep-07 Apr-08 Oct-08 Apr-09 Oct-09 Apr-10 Nov-10 May-11 Nov-11 May-12 Nov-12 May-13 Nov-13 May-14 Nov-14 Apr-15 Dec-15 Jun-16 IMPROVE 19% STAY THE SAME 31% GET WORSE 29% DON’T KNOW 21% EOI = -10 DO YOU THINK THAT THE GENERAL ECONOMIC CONDITION OF THE COUNTRY WILL IMPROVE, STAY THE SAME OR GET WORSE OVER THE NEXT 12 MONTHS? Source: Ipsos MORI Political MonitorBase: 1,257 British adults 18+, 11th – 14th June 2016 Economic Optimism Index June 2016
  • 15. 15Political Monitor | March 2016 | Final | Public DO YOU THINK THAT THE GENERAL ECONOMIC CONDITION OF THE COUNTRY WILL IMPROVE, STAY THE SAME OR GET WORSE OVER THE NEXT 12 MONTHS? Source: Ipsos MORI Political MonitorBase: c.1,000 British adults each month The Ipsos MORI Economic Optimism Index -80 -60 -40 -20 0 20 40 Jun1998 Oct1998 Feb1999 Jun1999 Oct1999 Feb2000 Jun2000 Oct2000 Feb2001 Jun2001 Oct2001 Feb2002 Jun2002 Oct2002 Feb2003 Jun2003 Oct2003 Feb2004 Jun2004 Oct2004 Feb2005 Jun2005 Oct2005 Feb2006 Jun2006 Oct2006 Feb2007 Jun2007 Oct2007 Feb2008 Jun2008 Oct2008 Feb2009 Jun2009 Oct2009 Feb2010 Jun2010 Oct2010 Feb2011 Jun2011 Oct2011 Feb2012 Jun2012 Oct2012 Feb2013 Jun2013 Oct2013 Feb2014 Jun2014 Oct2014 Feb2015 Jun2015 Oct2015 Feb2016 Jun2016 -10
  • 16. Document Name Here | Month 2016 | Version 1 | Public | Internal Use Only | Confidential | Strictly Confidential (DELETE CLASSIFICATION) 16 Party image
  • 17. 17Political Monitor | March 2016 | Final | Public WHICH POLITICAL PARTY DO YOU THINK HAS THE BEST TEAM OF LEADERS TO DEAL WITH THE COUNTRY’S PROBLEMS? Source: Ipsos MORI Political MonitorBase: 1,257 British adults 18+, 11th – 14th June 2016 Which party has the best team of leaders? 43% 16% 4% 2% 3% 16% 16% January 2016 June 2016 CONSERVATIVE LABOUR UKIP LIB DEM OTHER NONE OF THESE DON’T KNOW 36% 19%3%2% 3% 19% 17%
  • 18. 18Political Monitor | March 2016 | Final | Public WHICH POLITICAL PARTY DO YOU THINK IS MOST CLEAR AND UNITED ABOUT WHAT ITS POLICIES SHOULD BE? Source: Ipsos MORI Political MonitorBase: 1,257 British adults 18+, 11th – 14th June 2016 Which party is the most clear and united? January 2016 June 2016 CONSERVATIVE LABOUR UKIP GREEN LIB DEM OTHER 33% 13% 11% 5% 8% 15% 15% 24% 13% 11% 5%7% 24% 17%
  • 19. Document Name Here | Month 2016 | Version 1 | Public | Internal Use Only | Confidential | Strictly Confidential (DELETE CLASSIFICATION) © 2016 Ipsos. All rights reserved. Contains Ipsos' Confidential and Proprietary information and may not be disclosed or reproduced without the prior written consent of Ipsos. 19 June 2016 POLITICAL MONITOR