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FORSIT
Towards optimized spatial quantification of cocoa agroforests in
multi-use tropical landscapes: an application in Cameroon
Frederick Nkeumoe Numbisi
19th November, 2019
How manytrees for a chocolate
fix?
(Ake Mamo and Philippe Vaast, 2014 – ICRAF Blog)
Cocoa production - a source of income and
means to send me to school!!!
Why is the cocoa tree (Theobroma cacao) an
important perennialcrop?
2
Data Source: FAOSTAT 2019 (Accessed on Nov 4th, 2019)
60-70% of global cocoa bean is
produced in tropical sub-Saharan Africa
3
60-70% of global cocoa bean is
produced in tropical sub-Saharan Africa
Data Source: FAOSTAT data 2019 (Accessed on Nov. 4th, 2019)
4
What future for cocoa production?
5
Schroth et al ., 2016, Vulnerability to climate change of cocoa in West Africa
Southward retraction of climatically suitable
areas is predicted by 2050
A lot of climatically unsuitable (<20%)
areas across the belt except for Cameroon.
Savannah transition areas increasingly
vulnerable
What prospects for cocoa production in the
African belt?
6
Increasing rate of expansion of cocoa harvest
area in Cameroon?
Data Source: FAOSTAT data 2019 (Accessed on Nov. 4th, 2019)
7
Cameroon:
Increasing cocoa harvest
area
What is the contribution of farm expansion to
production records?
Data Source: FAOSTAT data 2019 (Accessed on Nov. 4th, 2019)
Cameroon:
Increasing cocoa harvest area
8
What is the actual area of cocoa land on the
ground?
Data Source: FAOSTAT 2019 (Accessed on Nov 4th, 2019)
9
Diverse tree species
retained or planted
Similar canopy to
transition forests
Unsuccessfuluse of
multi-spectral data
(Ordway et al., 2017)
10
How to map cocoa agroforests from transition
forests?
Challenges
Ce – Ceiba pentandra
Ir – Milicia excelca
Ci – Citrus spp
Mu – Musa spp
Co – Theobroma cacao
Ta – Erythrophleum suaveolens
11
Which horizontal pattern of tree/crop to adopt?
Challenges
Land tenure constraints
Diversifying farm income and
source of nutrition
Changing microclimate –
related
production/investment
losses
12
How are cocoa farmers adapting to changing climates?
Challenges
13
What was our focus? Changes in the configuration of cocoa
trees
What was our focus? Delineating cocoa agroforests
14
Ground truth data
Delineating cocoa agroforests
“BAU”
Vegetation indices
Multi-spectral optical images: RapidEye
NDVI
EVI
SAVI
MSAVI
15
SAR backscatter
Omar et al ., 2017, interaction of SAR L- and C-bands with forest canopy
16
Delineating cocoa agroforests
Multi-seasonal variability in SAR
backscatter
Delineating cocoa agroforests
17
Image textures
Discriminate
vegetation
elements and
boundary
Across season
Texture variability
Variability in
Mean cross
section Sigma0
Within season
Texture variability
ResolutionCells
Statistics
18
Delineating cocoa agroforests
The grey level co-occurrence matrix
(GLCM) textures
19
Hall-Beyer, 2017 Practical guidelines for choosing GLCM textures
Delineating cocoa agroforests
Delineating cocoa agroforests
Image classification
Dry season
2015
Multi-seasons
2015 - 2017
RapideEyemulti-spectral
Opticalimage TOA reflectance,
NDVI, gNDVI, EVI, SAVI, MSAVI
20
Method
Delineating cocoa agroforests
1 2 3
4
5
6 21
Results
22
Delineating cocoa agroforests
RE1 thematic map
GL3 thematic map
81.0%
88.1%
Results
23
Delineating cocoa agroforests
Optimizing class prediction
Grey level quantization
24
12.8% 11.8% 9.9% 10.3%
Optimizing class prediction
Results
25
Mapping canopy closure
26
In-situ Digital Hemispherical
Photographs
Sentinel-1A SAR Backscatter
ForestLandscape
Savannah -Forest
Landscape
27
Mapping canopy closure
Canopy gap fraction prediction
Spatialcorrelation
Random Forest
regression
Spatialcorrelation
Canopy gap
maps
SAR
backscatter
Ground
truth data
Ground
truth data
SAR
backscatter
28
Random Forest
regression
Mapping canopy closure
Results
Savannah -Forest
Landscape
short scale (18 m)
spatial correlation
29
Mapping canopy closure
Results
long scale (51 m)
spatial correlation
Forest Landscape
30
Mapping canopy closure
31
Main findings
Cocoa trees in agroforests were managed at much smaller spatial
distances, in a random pattern, and without regard of distances to
non-cocoa trees
Texture images from multi-seasonal Sentinel-1A SAR backscatter
provided reliable information to discriminate cocoa agroforests from
transition forests
Canopy gap fraction was spatially correlation at scales that reflect the
distribution of dominant canopy trees in the cocoa production
landscapes
REDD+
implementation:
MRV
Zero-deforestation
from the cocoa supply
chain
Climate change
impact prediction
32
Opportunities
Thank you for your attention
33

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Spatial Discrimination of Land Uses in Multi-use Tropical Landscapes

  • 1. FORSIT Towards optimized spatial quantification of cocoa agroforests in multi-use tropical landscapes: an application in Cameroon Frederick Nkeumoe Numbisi 19th November, 2019
  • 2. How manytrees for a chocolate fix? (Ake Mamo and Philippe Vaast, 2014 – ICRAF Blog) Cocoa production - a source of income and means to send me to school!!! Why is the cocoa tree (Theobroma cacao) an important perennialcrop? 2
  • 3. Data Source: FAOSTAT 2019 (Accessed on Nov 4th, 2019) 60-70% of global cocoa bean is produced in tropical sub-Saharan Africa 3
  • 4. 60-70% of global cocoa bean is produced in tropical sub-Saharan Africa Data Source: FAOSTAT data 2019 (Accessed on Nov. 4th, 2019) 4
  • 5. What future for cocoa production? 5
  • 6. Schroth et al ., 2016, Vulnerability to climate change of cocoa in West Africa Southward retraction of climatically suitable areas is predicted by 2050 A lot of climatically unsuitable (<20%) areas across the belt except for Cameroon. Savannah transition areas increasingly vulnerable What prospects for cocoa production in the African belt? 6
  • 7. Increasing rate of expansion of cocoa harvest area in Cameroon? Data Source: FAOSTAT data 2019 (Accessed on Nov. 4th, 2019) 7 Cameroon: Increasing cocoa harvest area
  • 8. What is the contribution of farm expansion to production records? Data Source: FAOSTAT data 2019 (Accessed on Nov. 4th, 2019) Cameroon: Increasing cocoa harvest area 8
  • 9. What is the actual area of cocoa land on the ground? Data Source: FAOSTAT 2019 (Accessed on Nov 4th, 2019) 9
  • 10. Diverse tree species retained or planted Similar canopy to transition forests Unsuccessfuluse of multi-spectral data (Ordway et al., 2017) 10 How to map cocoa agroforests from transition forests? Challenges
  • 11. Ce – Ceiba pentandra Ir – Milicia excelca Ci – Citrus spp Mu – Musa spp Co – Theobroma cacao Ta – Erythrophleum suaveolens 11 Which horizontal pattern of tree/crop to adopt? Challenges
  • 12. Land tenure constraints Diversifying farm income and source of nutrition Changing microclimate – related production/investment losses 12 How are cocoa farmers adapting to changing climates? Challenges
  • 13. 13 What was our focus? Changes in the configuration of cocoa trees
  • 14. What was our focus? Delineating cocoa agroforests 14 Ground truth data
  • 15. Delineating cocoa agroforests “BAU” Vegetation indices Multi-spectral optical images: RapidEye NDVI EVI SAVI MSAVI 15
  • 16. SAR backscatter Omar et al ., 2017, interaction of SAR L- and C-bands with forest canopy 16 Delineating cocoa agroforests
  • 17. Multi-seasonal variability in SAR backscatter Delineating cocoa agroforests 17
  • 18. Image textures Discriminate vegetation elements and boundary Across season Texture variability Variability in Mean cross section Sigma0 Within season Texture variability ResolutionCells Statistics 18 Delineating cocoa agroforests
  • 19. The grey level co-occurrence matrix (GLCM) textures 19 Hall-Beyer, 2017 Practical guidelines for choosing GLCM textures Delineating cocoa agroforests
  • 20. Delineating cocoa agroforests Image classification Dry season 2015 Multi-seasons 2015 - 2017 RapideEyemulti-spectral Opticalimage TOA reflectance, NDVI, gNDVI, EVI, SAVI, MSAVI 20
  • 23. RE1 thematic map GL3 thematic map 81.0% 88.1% Results 23 Delineating cocoa agroforests
  • 24. Optimizing class prediction Grey level quantization 24
  • 25. 12.8% 11.8% 9.9% 10.3% Optimizing class prediction Results 25
  • 26. Mapping canopy closure 26 In-situ Digital Hemispherical Photographs
  • 27. Sentinel-1A SAR Backscatter ForestLandscape Savannah -Forest Landscape 27 Mapping canopy closure
  • 28. Canopy gap fraction prediction Spatialcorrelation Random Forest regression Spatialcorrelation Canopy gap maps SAR backscatter Ground truth data Ground truth data SAR backscatter 28 Random Forest regression Mapping canopy closure
  • 29. Results Savannah -Forest Landscape short scale (18 m) spatial correlation 29 Mapping canopy closure
  • 30. Results long scale (51 m) spatial correlation Forest Landscape 30 Mapping canopy closure
  • 31. 31 Main findings Cocoa trees in agroforests were managed at much smaller spatial distances, in a random pattern, and without regard of distances to non-cocoa trees Texture images from multi-seasonal Sentinel-1A SAR backscatter provided reliable information to discriminate cocoa agroforests from transition forests Canopy gap fraction was spatially correlation at scales that reflect the distribution of dominant canopy trees in the cocoa production landscapes
  • 32. REDD+ implementation: MRV Zero-deforestation from the cocoa supply chain Climate change impact prediction 32 Opportunities
  • 33. Thank you for your attention 33