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1QFY2011 Result Update | Banking
                                                                                                                            July 16 2010



 South Indian Bank                                                                         NEUTRAL
                                                                                           CMP                                 Rs193
 Performance Highlights                                                                    Target Price                            -
  




 Particulars (Rs cr)       1QFY11      4QFY10     % chg (qoq)     1QFY10    % chg (yoy)    Investment Period                            -
 Net Interest Income           167         79           112.2        152           9.8
                                                                                           Stock Info
 Pre-Prov Profit               104         52           102.3        107          (2.3)
 PAT                            58         39            51.3         60          (2.8)    Sector                              Banking
 Source: Company, Angel Research                                                           Market Cap (Rs cr)                       2,175
                                                                                           Beta                                       0.8
 South Indian Bank announced its 1QFY2011 results, reporting net profit of Rs58cr
                                                                                           52 Week High / Low                  196/93
 in line with our estimates. The core business performance of the bank was above
                                                                                           Avg. Daily Volume                  129,254
 expectations on the back of strong traction in CASA deposits. The bank has been
 consistently growing its advances above industry levels during the past few               Face Value (Rs)                            10
 quarters, with improving asset quality and profitability. On the valuation front,         BSE Sensex                              17,956
 due to the recent sharp run up in the price, we maintain our Neutral rating on the        Nifty                                    5,394
 stock.                                                                                    Reuters Code                        SIBK.BO
                                                                                           Bloomberg Code                      SIB@IN
 Business growth above industry with commendable asset quality and profitability:
 The bank’s business growth continued to show strong traction, with advances
 growth at 33.6% yoy and deposits at 25.1% yoy. CASA deposits stood at
                                                                                           Shareholding Pattern (%)
 Rs5,852cr (up 9.9% qoq) and constituted 25.1% (up by around 200bp qoq) of
 total deposits. NRI deposits constituted 16.1% of total deposits. Asset quality           Promoters                                    -

 remained stable with the gross and net NPA ratio at 1.3% and 0.4% respectively,           MF / Banks / Indian Fls                   11.3
 and a healthy provision coverage ratio of 71%.                                            FII / NRIs / OCBs                         40.3
                                                                                           Indian Public / Others                    48.4
 Outlook and Valuation

 We expect the bank to deliver profitable growth above the average growth rate of
 its peer group and sustain normalised RoE at 14-16% levels. At current levels the         Abs. (%)                  3m      1yr      3yr
 stock is trading at fair valuations of 6.8x FY2012E EPS of Rs28.5 and 1.1x                Sensex                    2.1   26.0      17.4
 FY2012E ABV of Rs171.9. Hence, we maintain our Neutral rating on the stock.               SIB                   10.0      95.3      58.1




 Key Financials
     Particulars (Rs cr)               FY2009      FY2010         FY2011E     FY2012E
     NII                                  523          568           684           800
     % chg                               32.7          8.7           20.4         16.9    Vaibhav Agrawal
                                                                                          022 – 4040 3800 Ext: 333
     Net Profit                           195          234           254           322
                                                                                          vaibhav.agrawal@angeltrade.com
     % chg                               28.4         20.0            8.7        26. 9
     NIM (%)                              2.9          2.5            2.5          2.5    Amit Rane
     EPS (Rs)                            17.2         20.7           22.5         28.5    022 – 4040 3800 Ext: 326
     P/E (x)                             10.9          9.1            8.4          6.8    amitn.rane@angeltrade.com
     P/ABV (x)                            1.8          1.5            1.3          1.1
     RoA (%)                              1.0          1.0            0.9          1.0    Shrinivas Bhutda
                                                                                          022 – 4040 3800 Ext: 316
     RoE (%)                             16.0         17.0           16.2         17.9
                                                                                          shrinivas.bhutda@angeltrade.com
     Source: Company, Angel Research




Please refer to important disclosures at the end of this report                                                                         1
South Indian Bank | 1QFY2011 Result Update




               Exhibit 1: 1QFY2011 Performance
               Parameter (Rs cr)                 1QFY11 4QFY10 % chg (qoq) 1QFY10 % chg (yoy)
               Interest Earned                      540      514       5.1      465            16.1
               Interest Expenses                    373      435     (14.3)     313            19.2
               Net Interest Income                  167       79     112.2      152             9.8
               Non-Interest Income                   42       44      (5.0)      56          (25.6)
               Total Income                         209      123      70.3      208             0.3
               Operating Expenses                   105       71      47.1      102             3.1
               Pre-Prov Profit                      104       52     102.3      107            (2.3)
               Provisions & Cont.                    17       (3)   (642.2)      10            60.1
               PBT                                   88       55      60.4       96            (9.1)
               Prov. for Taxes                       29       16      82.2       36          (19.5)
               PAT                                   58       39      51.3       60            (2.8)
               EPS (Rs)                              5.2     3.4      51.3       5.3           (2.8)
               Cost to Income (%)                   50.1    58.0                48.7
               Effective Tax Rate (%)               33.4    29.4                37.7
               Net NPA (%)                           0.4     0.4                 0.7
               Source: Company, Angel Research

               Exhibit 2: 1QFY2011 Actual v/s Estimates
               Parameter                               Estimates       Actual          Variation (%)
               Net Interest Income                          158          167                    5.8
               Non-Interest Income                           41           42                    2.2
               Total Income                                 199          209                    5.1
               Operating Expenses                            96          105                    9.0
               Pre-Prov Profit                              103          104                    1.5
               Provisions & Cont.                            14           17                   20.7
               PBT                                           89           88                   (1.5)
               Prov. for Taxes                               30           29                   (3.3)
               PAT                                           59           58                   (0.5)
               Source: Company, Angel Research

               Robust business growth continued

               The bank’s business growth continued to register strong traction, with advances
               growth at 33.6% yoy and deposits growth at 25.1% yoy. The bank’s CASA deposits
               stood at Rs5,852cr (up 9.9% qoq) and constituted 25.1% (up by around 200bp
               sequentially) of total deposits. NRI deposits constituted 16.1% of total deposits,
               which costs approx 3% for the bank.

               The key drivers for growth in advances were the disbursals to the power and
               infrastructure sectors, and the loans against gold. The bank has been quite
               aggressively growing the high-yielding (12% avg. yield) and low-risk weighted
               short-term loans against gold, which stood at Rs3,000cr (up from Rs1,700cr in
               1QFY2010). Management targets to lend Rs1,000cr incrementally in the
               remaining part of FY2011.

               During the quarter, net interest income (NII) of the bank increased by 9.8% yoy to
               Rs167cr on the back of strong traction in CASA deposits. Reported NIMs improved
               marginally by 6bp sequentially to 2.83% from 2.77% in 4QFY2010.




July 16 2010                                                                                       2
South Indian Bank | 1QFY2011 Result Update




               Exhibit 3: Trend in advances and deposits

                 (Rs Cr)                       Advances                                                   Deposits
                                                                                                                                                 (%)
                                               Advances QoQ growth                                        Deposits QoQ growth
                 25,000                                                                                                                          14.0
                                                                                                                                                 12.0
                 20,000
                                                                                                                                                 10.0
                 15,000                                                                                                                          8.0
                 10,000                                                                                                                          6.0
                                                                                                                                                 4.0
                  5,000
                                                                                                                                                 2.0
                        -                                                                                                                        -




                                     1QFY09


                                                       2QFY09


                                                                     3QFY09


                                                                                  4QFY09


                                                                                              1QFY10


                                                                                                         2QFY10


                                                                                                                   3QFY10


                                                                                                                               4QFY10


                                                                                                                                        Q1FY11
               Source: Company, Angel Research




               Healthy asset quality

               The bank’s gross and net NPAs have been on a steady decline since 4QFY2009,
               due to lower slippages and higher recoveries. The bank’s gross NPAs were up
               5.7% sequentially at Rs223cr; the gross and net NPA ratio remained flat
               sequentially at 1.3% and 0.4%, respectively. The bank maintained healthy
               provision coverage at 71%. The annualised gross slippage ratio for 1QFY2011 fell
               to 0.6% compared to 1.5% for FY2010.


               Exhibit 4: NPAs declining

                  (%)                Gross NPA (LHS)                                   Net NPA (LHS)                       NPA Coverage (RHS)     (%)
                 2.5                                                                                                                             90.0
                                                                                                                                                 80.0
                 2.0                                                                                                                             70.0
                                                                                                                                                 60.0
                 1.5
                                                                                                                                                 50.0
                                                                                                                                                 40.0
                 1.0
                                                                                                                                                 30.0
                 0.5                                                                                                                             20.0
                                                                                                                                                 10.0
                  -                                                                                                                              -
                            1QFY09


                                              2QFY09


                                                                3QFY09


                                                                              4QFY09


                                                                                           1QFY10


                                                                                                       2QFY10


                                                                                                                  3QFY10


                                                                                                                               4QFY10


                                                                                                                                        Q1FY11




               Source: Company, Angel Research




July 16 2010                                                                                                                                            3
South Indian Bank | 1QFY2011 Result Update



               Operating expenses under control

               SIB, during FY2010, had provided aggressively for employee cost during the first
               three quarters. As a result, operating expenses increased by 47.1% sequentially.
               The cost-to-income ratio of the bank deteriorated to 50.1% in 1QFY2011 as
               against 48.7% in 1QFY2010. During FY2011, the bank plans to add another 60
               branches to its current network of 580 branches. Going forward, the bank’s
               operating expenses are expected to grow in the range of 12-13% over FY2011-
               12E, thereby implying a sustainable cost-to-income ratio of 45% during the period.


               Exhibit 5: Trend in productivity

                  (%)              Employee Cost (RHS)                  Cost-to-income ratio (LHS)                       (Rs cr)
                 70                                                                                                         80
                 60                                                                                                         70
                 50                                                                                                         60
                                                                                                                            50
                 40
                                                                                                                            40
                 30
                                                                                                                            30
                 20                                                                                                         20
                 10                                                                                                         10
                 -                                                                                                          -
                          1QFY09


                                    2QFY09


                                             3QFY09


                                                      4QFY09


                                                               1QFY10


                                                                          2QFY10


                                                                                       3QFY10


                                                                                                       4QFY10


                                                                                                                1QFY11
               Source: Company, Angel Research

               Non-interest income continued to disappoint

               During 1QFY2011, the bank’s non-interest income excluding treasury increased
               3.2% yoy, while the treasury income declined 64.1% yoy to Rs9.2cr resulting in
               decline of 25.6% yoy and 5.0% on a sequential basis in total non-interest income.
               Going forward, the growth in non-interest income excluding treasury is estimated
               to be in line with the advances growth. However, on account of lower treasury
               gains, overall non-interest income is estimated to decline by 16.4% in FY2011E.


               Exhibit 6: Break-up of non-interest income
               Parameter (Rs cr)                          1QFY11 4QFY10                qoq (%)             1QFY10 yoy (%)
               Non-Interest Income
                                                               32            38          (15.8)                 31          3.2)
               excluding Treasury
               Treasury Gains                                    9                 6            52.5            25       (64.0)
               Total                                           42            44             (5.0)               56       (25.6)
               Source: Company, Angel Research




July 16 2010                                                                                                                       4
South Indian Bank | 1QFY2011 Result Update



               Comfortable Capital Adequacy

               The bank’s capital adequacy ratio (CAR) stood at a comfortable 16.0%, with Tier-I
               capital of 13.1% at the end of 1QFY2011.


               Exhibit 7: Comfortable capital adequacy

                 20.0                               Capital Adequacy Ratio (%)
                 19.0
                 18.0
                 17.0
                 16.0
                 15.0
                 14.0
                 13.0
                 12.0
                        1QFY09



                                 2QFY09



                                          3QFY09



                                                     4QFY09



                                                              1QFY10



                                                                       2QFY10



                                                                                 3QFY10



                                                                                          4QFY10



                                                                                                   1QFY11
               Source: Company, Angel Research


               Investment Arguments
               Profitable, cost-efficient and technologically up-to-date network

               The bank’s largely semi-urban branch network is concentrated in the southern
               states of the country. While enjoying customer loyalty that comes from years of
               association, the bank has ensured that it remains sufficiently in step with product,
               technology and service level developments in the industry thereby maintaining its
               market share over the past ten years. Thus, the bank’s profitable, cost-efficient and
               technologically up-to-date network constitutes a reasonably attractive standalone
               franchise.

               Niche NRI deposit base underpins deposit cost advantage over several peers

               The bank’s deposit franchise includes a niche NRI customer base that contributes a
               meaningful 16.1% of total deposits and gives it a distinguishing cost advantage
               over several of its peers. Thus, we believe that the bank will be relatively better-
               placed to protect its NIMs going forward.

               Outlook and Valuation

               At the CMP, the stock is trading at fair valuations of 6.8x FY2012E EPS of Rs28.5
               and 1.1x FY2012E ABV of Rs171.9. Hence, we maintain our Neutral rating on the
               stock.




July 16 2010                                                                                           5
South Indian Bank | 1QFY2011 Result Update




               Exhibit 8: Key Assumptions
               Particulars                                                    Earlier Estimates                          Revised Estimates
               (%)                                                     FY2011E                    FY2012E           FY2011E                  FY2012E
               Credit growth                                                  19.0                   20.0                 19.0                       20.0
               Deposit growth                                                 18.0                   18.0                 18.0                       18.0
               CASA Ratio                                                     22.3                   21.6                 22.6                       21.7
               NIMs                                                               2.5                   2.5                 2.5                          2.5
               Other Income growth                                           (16.8)                  18.6                (16.4)                      19.1
               Growth in Staff Expenses                                       14.0                   16.0                 14.0                       16.0
               Growth in Other Expenses                                       14.0                   16.0                 14.0                       16.0
               Slippages                                                          1.4                   1.3                 1.4                          1.3
               Coverage Ratio                                                 73.1                   74.5                 73.3                       74.7
               Treasury gain/(loss) (% of
                                                                                  0.3                   0.3                 0.3                          0.3
               investments)
               Source: Company, Angel Research




               Exhibit 9: Change in estimates
               Particulars                                          FY2011E                                               FY2012E
                                                        Earlier       Revised                             Earlier           Revised
               (Rs cr)                                                                  Var (%)                                      Var (%)
                                                       Estimates     Estimates                           Estimates         Estimates
               Net Interest Income                        682           684               0.2               797               800     0.4
               Non-Interest Income                       173                 174          0.4                 206               207                  0.9
               Total Income                              856                 858          0.3                 1,003            1,007                 0.5
               Operating Expenses                        417                 417             -                484               484                      -
               Pre-Prov Profit                           438                 441          0.6                 518               523                  0.9
               Provisions & Cont.                         55                 56           0.7                  34                    35              2.6
               PBT                                       383                 385          0.5                 485               489                  0.8
               Prov. for Taxes                           130                 131          0.5                 165               166                  0.8
               PAT                                       253                 254          0.5                 320               322                  0.8
               Source: Company, Angel Research



               Exhibit 10: P/ABV Bands - South Indian Bank

                  (Rs)                     Price              0.3                 0.6               0.9                  1.2                       1.5
                250

                200

                150

                100

                  50

                     0
                                              Oct-03




                                                                                         Oct-06




                                                                                                                                          Oct-09
                                  Dec-02




                                                                               Jan-06




                                                                                                                            Jan-09
                                                          Jul-04


                                                                    Apr-05




                                                                                                     Jul-07


                                                                                                                Apr-08




                                                                                                                                                         Jul-10
                         Mar-02




               Source: Company, Angel research




July 16 2010                                                                                                                                                 6
South Indian Bank | 1QFY2011 Result Update




Exhibit 11: Recommendation summary
                                                                             FY2012E                 FY10-12E
                                   CMP     Tgt Price   Upside   FY2012E                  FY2012E                 FY2012E    FY2012E
Company         Reco                                                        Tgt P/ABV                 CAGR in
                                    (Rs)        (Rs)      (%)   P/ABV (x)                  P/E (x)                RoA (%)    RoE (%)
                                                                                   (x)                 EPS (%)
AXISBK          Accumulate        1,359      1,477        7.9        2.6          2.8        13.5        27.4         1.6      20.5
HDFCBK          Accumulate        2,039      2,204        8.1        3.3          3.5        17.6        34.3         1.7      20.0
ICICIBK         Buy                902       1,145      26.9         1.7          2.2        15.0        29.2         1.4      15.1
YesBk           Neutral            299             -        -        2.4             -       15.6        16.6         1.2      16.6
SIB             Neutral            193             -        -        1.1             -        6.8        17.1         1.0      17.9
FedBk           Neutral            357             -        -        1.1             -        7.6        31.4         1.4      14.6
SBI             Accumulate        2,441      2,596        6.3        1.4          1.6        10.7        25.7         1.0      19.5
BOI             Neutral            394             -        -        1.3             -        7.7        24.3         0.8      17.3
CorpBk          Accumulate         533         561        5.2        1.0          1.1         5.7         6.6         0.9      18.5
IndBk           Neutral            241             -        -        1.1             -        5.9         8.1         1.4      21.1
DenaBk          Buy                  97        115      18.3         0.8          1.0         4.4        10.9         0.9      18.4
IOB             Accumulate         110         118        7.5        0.8          0.8         5.5        23.8         0.6      14.6
OBC             Neutral            372             -        -        1.0             -        6.2        15.0         0.9      16.6
PNB             Reduce            1068         948     (11.2)        1.5          1.3         7.4         8.3         1.2      21.6
UnionBk         Neutral            326             -        -        1.3             -        5.8        17.1         1.1      24.1
Source: Company, Angel Research




July 16 2010                                                                                                                       7
South Indian Bank | 1QFY2011 Result Update



               Income Statement                                                                         (Rs cr)
               Y/E March                FY2006    FY2007     FY2008 FY2009       FY2010    FY2011E    FY2012E
               Net Interest Income         310       368         394       523      568        684        800
               - YoY Growth (%)           20.7       18.5        7.2      32.7      8.7       20.4        16.9
               Other Income                 72       122         143       164      208        174        207
               - YoY Growth (%)          (29.4)      68.1       17.3      15.2     26.9      (16.4)       19.1
               Operating Income            382       489         537       687      777        858       1,007
               - YoY Growth (%)            6.4       27.9        9.7      28.0     13.0       10.5        17.4
               Operating Expenses          222       219         248       328      366        417        484
               - YoY Growth (%)           22.1       (1.4)      13.4      32.4     11.5       14.0        16.0
               Pre - Provision Profit      160       270         289       359      411        441        523
               - YoY Growth (%)           (9.6)      68.4        6.8      24.3     14.5        7.4        18.7
               Prov and Cont                87       124          57        57       43         56          35
               - YoY Growth (%)          (44.8)      41.5      (54.0)      0.7    (24.5)      28.7       (37.7)
               Profit Before Tax            73       146         232       301      367        385        489
               - YoY Growth (%)          283.0      100.7       58.3      30.0     21.9        4.8        26.9
               Prov. for Taxation           18         42         80       107      134        131        166
               - as a % of PBT            24.7       28.9       34.6      35.4     36.4       34.0        34.0
               PAT                          55       104         152       195      234        254        322
               - YoY Growth (%)          295.0       89.5       45.6      28.4     20.0        8.7        26.9




               Balance Sheet                                                                          (Rs cr)
               Y/E March                FY2006    FY2007     FY2008     FY2009   FY2010    FY2011E    FY2012E
               Share Capital               70         70         90       113      113        113         113
               Reserve & Surplus          570       654       1,071      1,191    1,372      1,573      1,828
               Deposits                  9,579    12,239     15,156     18,092   23,012     27,154     32,042
               - Growth (%)                13         28         24        19       27         18          18
               Borrowings                   1         33         28       257         1       390         461
               Tier 2 Capital             200       174         155       155      330        233         275
               Other Liabilities &
                                          407       483         590       575      706        667         835
               Provisions
               Total Liabilities        10,827    13,653     17,090     20,384   25,534     30,130     35,554
               Cash in Hand and
                                          546       700         974       998     1,391      1,901      2,403
               with RBI
               Bal. with banks &
                                          797      1,246        729      1,038     597       1,507      1,778
               money at call
               Investments               2,739     3,430      4,572      6,075    7,156      7,353      8,141
               Advances                  6,370     7,919     10,454     11,852   15,823     18,760     22,512
               - Growth (%)                19         24         32        13       34         19          20
               Fixed Assets                90         90        113       136      153        190         224
               Other Assets               285       268         249       284      415        420         496
               Total Assets             10,827    13,653     17,090     20,384   25,534     30,130     35,554
               - Growth (%)               14.2      26.1       25.2       19.3     25.3       18.0       18.0




July 16 2010                                                                                                    8
South Indian Bank | 1QFY2011 Result Update



               Ratio Analysis
               Y/E March                  FY2006    FY2007   FY2008   FY2009   FY2010   FY2011E   FY2012E
               Profitability ratios (%)
               NIMs                          3.2       3.1      2.6      2.9      2.5       2.5       2.5
               Cost to Income ratio         58.0      44.8     46.2     47.8     47.1      48.6      48.1
               ROA                           0.5       0.9      1.0      1.0      1.0       0.9       1.0
               ROE                          10.0      15.5     16.4     16.0     17.0      16.2      17.9
               B/S ratios (%)
               CASA ratio                   26.4      23.9     24.1     23.8     23.1      22.6      21.7
               Credit/Deposit ratio         66.5      64.7     69.0     65.5     68.8      69.3      70.5
               Networth/ Assets             18.5      18.2     16.6     15.4     16.7      17.8      18.2
               CAR                          13.0      11.1     13.8     14.8     15.4      13.3      11.9
               - Tier I                      8.4       8.8     12.1     13.2     12.4      10.9       9.8
               Asset Quality (%)
               Gross NPAs                    5.0       3.9      1.8      2.2      1.3       1.1       0.9
               Net NPAs                      1.9       1.0      0.3      1.1      0.4       0.3       0.2
               Slippages                     1.8       2.2      0.7      1.6      1.5       1.4       1.3
               NPA prov / avg. assets        0.7       0.7      0.1      0.1      0.2       0.1       0.1
               Provision Coverage           63.9      75.8     82.0     48.4     70.8      73.3      74.7
               Per Share Data (Rs.)
               EPS                           7.8      14.8     16.8     17.2     20.7      22.5      28.5
               ABVPS (75% Cover)            85.9     100.1    126.3    107.6    129.1     147.3     171.9
               DPS                           1.8       2.5      3.0      3.0      4.0       4.0       5.0
               Valuation Ratios
               PER (x)                      24.1      12.7     11.2     10.9      9.1       8.4       6.8
               P/ABVPS (x)                   2.2       1.9      1.5      1.8      1.5       1.3       1.1
               Dividend Yield                1.0       1.3      1.6      1.6      2.1       2.1       2.7
               Dupont Analysis
               NII                           3.1       3.0      2.6      2.8      2.5       2.5       2.4
               (-) Prov. Exp.                0.9       1.0      0.4      0.3      0.2       0.2       0.1
               Adj NII                       2.2       2.0      2.2      2.5      2.3       2.3       2.3
               Treasury                     (0.0)      0.3      0.2      0.2      0.3       0.1       0.1
               Int. Sens. Inc.               2.2       2.2      2.4      2.7      2.6       2.3       2.4
               Other Inc.                    0.7       0.7      0.7      0.7      0.6       0.6       0.6
               Op. Inc.                      2.9       3.0      3.1      3.4      3.2       2.9       3.0
               Opex                          2.2       1.8      1.6      1.8      1.6       1.5       1.5
               PBT                           0.7       1.2      1.5      1.6      1.6       1.4       1.5
               Taxes                         0.2       0.3      0.5      0.6      0.6       0.5       0.5
               ROA                           0.5       0.9      1.0      1.0      1.0       0.9       1.0
               Leverage                     18.5      18.2     16.6     15.4     16.7      17.8      18.2
               ROE                          10.0      15.5     16.4     16.0     17.0      16.2      17.9




July 16 2010                                                                                         9
South Indian Bank | 1QFY2011 Result Update



  Research Team Tel: 022 - 4040 3800                    E-mail: research@angeltrade.com                   Website: www.angeltrade.com

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 Angel Broking Limited, its affiliates, directors, its proprietary trading and investment businesses may, from time to time, make
 investment decisions that are inconsistent with or contradictory to the recommendations expressed herein. The views contained in this
 document are those of the analyst, and the company may or may not subscribe to all the views expressed within.

 Reports based on technical and derivative analysis center on studying charts of a stock's price movement, outstanding positions and
 trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company's fundamentals and, as such, may not match with a report on a company's
 fundamentals.

 The information in this document has been printed on the basis of publicly available information, internal data and other reliable
 sources believed to be true, but we do not represent that it is accurate or complete and it should not be relied on as such, as this
 document is for general guidance only. Angel Broking Limited or any of its affiliates/ group companies shall not be in any way
 responsible for any loss or damage that may arise to any person from any inadvertent error in the information contained in this report.
 Angel Broking Limited has not independently verified all the information contained within this document. Accordingly, we cannot testify,
 nor make any representation or warranty, express or implied, to the accuracy, contents or data contained within this document. While
 Angel Broking Limited endeavours to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory,
 compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so.
 This document is being supplied to you solely for your information, and its contents, information or data may not be reproduced,
 redistributed or passed on, directly or indirectly.

 Angel Broking Limited and its affiliates may seek to provide or have engaged in providing corporate finance, investment banking or
 other advisory services in a merger or specific transaction to the companies referred to in this report, as on the date of this report or in
 the past.

 Neither Angel Broking Limited, nor its directors, employees or affiliates shall be liable for any loss or damage that may arise from or in
 connection with the use of this information.

 Note: Please refer to the important `Stock Holding Disclosure' report on the Angel website (Research Section). Also, please
 refer to the latest update on respective stocks for the disclosure status in respect of those stocks. Angel Broking Limited and
 its affiliates may have investment positions in the stocks recommended in this report.




 Disclosure of Interest Statement                                         South Indian Bank
 1. Analyst ownership of the stock                                                No
 2. Angel and its Group companies ownership of the stock                          No
 3. Angel and its Group companies' Directors ownership of the stock               No
 4. Broking relationship with company covered                                     No

 Note: We have not considered any Exposure below Rs 1 lakh for Angel, its Group companies and Directors.



 Ratings (Returns) :             Buy (> 15%)                      Accumulate (5% to 15%)                 Neutral (-5 to 5%)
                                 Reduce (-5% to 15%)              Sell (< -15%)



July 16 2010                                                                                                                              10

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South Indian Bank

  • 1. 1QFY2011 Result Update | Banking July 16 2010 South Indian Bank NEUTRAL CMP Rs193 Performance Highlights Target Price -   Particulars (Rs cr) 1QFY11 4QFY10 % chg (qoq) 1QFY10 % chg (yoy) Investment Period - Net Interest Income 167 79 112.2 152 9.8 Stock Info Pre-Prov Profit 104 52 102.3 107 (2.3) PAT 58 39 51.3 60 (2.8) Sector Banking Source: Company, Angel Research Market Cap (Rs cr) 2,175 Beta 0.8 South Indian Bank announced its 1QFY2011 results, reporting net profit of Rs58cr 52 Week High / Low 196/93 in line with our estimates. The core business performance of the bank was above Avg. Daily Volume 129,254 expectations on the back of strong traction in CASA deposits. The bank has been consistently growing its advances above industry levels during the past few Face Value (Rs) 10 quarters, with improving asset quality and profitability. On the valuation front, BSE Sensex 17,956 due to the recent sharp run up in the price, we maintain our Neutral rating on the Nifty 5,394 stock. Reuters Code SIBK.BO Bloomberg Code SIB@IN Business growth above industry with commendable asset quality and profitability: The bank’s business growth continued to show strong traction, with advances growth at 33.6% yoy and deposits at 25.1% yoy. CASA deposits stood at Shareholding Pattern (%) Rs5,852cr (up 9.9% qoq) and constituted 25.1% (up by around 200bp qoq) of total deposits. NRI deposits constituted 16.1% of total deposits. Asset quality Promoters - remained stable with the gross and net NPA ratio at 1.3% and 0.4% respectively, MF / Banks / Indian Fls 11.3 and a healthy provision coverage ratio of 71%. FII / NRIs / OCBs 40.3 Indian Public / Others 48.4 Outlook and Valuation We expect the bank to deliver profitable growth above the average growth rate of its peer group and sustain normalised RoE at 14-16% levels. At current levels the Abs. (%) 3m 1yr 3yr stock is trading at fair valuations of 6.8x FY2012E EPS of Rs28.5 and 1.1x Sensex 2.1 26.0 17.4 FY2012E ABV of Rs171.9. Hence, we maintain our Neutral rating on the stock. SIB 10.0 95.3 58.1 Key Financials Particulars (Rs cr) FY2009 FY2010 FY2011E FY2012E NII 523 568 684 800 % chg 32.7 8.7 20.4 16.9 Vaibhav Agrawal 022 – 4040 3800 Ext: 333 Net Profit 195 234 254 322 vaibhav.agrawal@angeltrade.com % chg 28.4 20.0 8.7 26. 9 NIM (%) 2.9 2.5 2.5 2.5 Amit Rane EPS (Rs) 17.2 20.7 22.5 28.5 022 – 4040 3800 Ext: 326 P/E (x) 10.9 9.1 8.4 6.8 amitn.rane@angeltrade.com P/ABV (x) 1.8 1.5 1.3 1.1 RoA (%) 1.0 1.0 0.9 1.0 Shrinivas Bhutda 022 – 4040 3800 Ext: 316 RoE (%) 16.0 17.0 16.2 17.9 shrinivas.bhutda@angeltrade.com Source: Company, Angel Research Please refer to important disclosures at the end of this report 1
  • 2. South Indian Bank | 1QFY2011 Result Update Exhibit 1: 1QFY2011 Performance Parameter (Rs cr) 1QFY11 4QFY10 % chg (qoq) 1QFY10 % chg (yoy) Interest Earned 540 514 5.1 465 16.1 Interest Expenses 373 435 (14.3) 313 19.2 Net Interest Income 167 79 112.2 152 9.8 Non-Interest Income 42 44 (5.0) 56 (25.6) Total Income 209 123 70.3 208 0.3 Operating Expenses 105 71 47.1 102 3.1 Pre-Prov Profit 104 52 102.3 107 (2.3) Provisions & Cont. 17 (3) (642.2) 10 60.1 PBT 88 55 60.4 96 (9.1) Prov. for Taxes 29 16 82.2 36 (19.5) PAT 58 39 51.3 60 (2.8) EPS (Rs) 5.2 3.4 51.3 5.3 (2.8) Cost to Income (%) 50.1 58.0 48.7 Effective Tax Rate (%) 33.4 29.4 37.7 Net NPA (%) 0.4 0.4 0.7 Source: Company, Angel Research Exhibit 2: 1QFY2011 Actual v/s Estimates Parameter Estimates Actual Variation (%) Net Interest Income 158 167 5.8 Non-Interest Income 41 42 2.2 Total Income 199 209 5.1 Operating Expenses 96 105 9.0 Pre-Prov Profit 103 104 1.5 Provisions & Cont. 14 17 20.7 PBT 89 88 (1.5) Prov. for Taxes 30 29 (3.3) PAT 59 58 (0.5) Source: Company, Angel Research Robust business growth continued The bank’s business growth continued to register strong traction, with advances growth at 33.6% yoy and deposits growth at 25.1% yoy. The bank’s CASA deposits stood at Rs5,852cr (up 9.9% qoq) and constituted 25.1% (up by around 200bp sequentially) of total deposits. NRI deposits constituted 16.1% of total deposits, which costs approx 3% for the bank. The key drivers for growth in advances were the disbursals to the power and infrastructure sectors, and the loans against gold. The bank has been quite aggressively growing the high-yielding (12% avg. yield) and low-risk weighted short-term loans against gold, which stood at Rs3,000cr (up from Rs1,700cr in 1QFY2010). Management targets to lend Rs1,000cr incrementally in the remaining part of FY2011. During the quarter, net interest income (NII) of the bank increased by 9.8% yoy to Rs167cr on the back of strong traction in CASA deposits. Reported NIMs improved marginally by 6bp sequentially to 2.83% from 2.77% in 4QFY2010. July 16 2010 2
  • 3. South Indian Bank | 1QFY2011 Result Update Exhibit 3: Trend in advances and deposits (Rs Cr) Advances Deposits (%) Advances QoQ growth Deposits QoQ growth 25,000 14.0 12.0 20,000 10.0 15,000 8.0 10,000 6.0 4.0 5,000 2.0 - - 1QFY09 2QFY09 3QFY09 4QFY09 1QFY10 2QFY10 3QFY10 4QFY10 Q1FY11 Source: Company, Angel Research Healthy asset quality The bank’s gross and net NPAs have been on a steady decline since 4QFY2009, due to lower slippages and higher recoveries. The bank’s gross NPAs were up 5.7% sequentially at Rs223cr; the gross and net NPA ratio remained flat sequentially at 1.3% and 0.4%, respectively. The bank maintained healthy provision coverage at 71%. The annualised gross slippage ratio for 1QFY2011 fell to 0.6% compared to 1.5% for FY2010. Exhibit 4: NPAs declining (%) Gross NPA (LHS) Net NPA (LHS) NPA Coverage (RHS) (%) 2.5 90.0 80.0 2.0 70.0 60.0 1.5 50.0 40.0 1.0 30.0 0.5 20.0 10.0 - - 1QFY09 2QFY09 3QFY09 4QFY09 1QFY10 2QFY10 3QFY10 4QFY10 Q1FY11 Source: Company, Angel Research July 16 2010 3
  • 4. South Indian Bank | 1QFY2011 Result Update Operating expenses under control SIB, during FY2010, had provided aggressively for employee cost during the first three quarters. As a result, operating expenses increased by 47.1% sequentially. The cost-to-income ratio of the bank deteriorated to 50.1% in 1QFY2011 as against 48.7% in 1QFY2010. During FY2011, the bank plans to add another 60 branches to its current network of 580 branches. Going forward, the bank’s operating expenses are expected to grow in the range of 12-13% over FY2011- 12E, thereby implying a sustainable cost-to-income ratio of 45% during the period. Exhibit 5: Trend in productivity (%) Employee Cost (RHS) Cost-to-income ratio (LHS) (Rs cr) 70 80 60 70 50 60 50 40 40 30 30 20 20 10 10 - - 1QFY09 2QFY09 3QFY09 4QFY09 1QFY10 2QFY10 3QFY10 4QFY10 1QFY11 Source: Company, Angel Research Non-interest income continued to disappoint During 1QFY2011, the bank’s non-interest income excluding treasury increased 3.2% yoy, while the treasury income declined 64.1% yoy to Rs9.2cr resulting in decline of 25.6% yoy and 5.0% on a sequential basis in total non-interest income. Going forward, the growth in non-interest income excluding treasury is estimated to be in line with the advances growth. However, on account of lower treasury gains, overall non-interest income is estimated to decline by 16.4% in FY2011E. Exhibit 6: Break-up of non-interest income Parameter (Rs cr) 1QFY11 4QFY10 qoq (%) 1QFY10 yoy (%) Non-Interest Income 32 38 (15.8) 31 3.2) excluding Treasury Treasury Gains 9 6 52.5 25 (64.0) Total 42 44 (5.0) 56 (25.6) Source: Company, Angel Research July 16 2010 4
  • 5. South Indian Bank | 1QFY2011 Result Update Comfortable Capital Adequacy The bank’s capital adequacy ratio (CAR) stood at a comfortable 16.0%, with Tier-I capital of 13.1% at the end of 1QFY2011. Exhibit 7: Comfortable capital adequacy 20.0 Capital Adequacy Ratio (%) 19.0 18.0 17.0 16.0 15.0 14.0 13.0 12.0 1QFY09 2QFY09 3QFY09 4QFY09 1QFY10 2QFY10 3QFY10 4QFY10 1QFY11 Source: Company, Angel Research Investment Arguments Profitable, cost-efficient and technologically up-to-date network The bank’s largely semi-urban branch network is concentrated in the southern states of the country. While enjoying customer loyalty that comes from years of association, the bank has ensured that it remains sufficiently in step with product, technology and service level developments in the industry thereby maintaining its market share over the past ten years. Thus, the bank’s profitable, cost-efficient and technologically up-to-date network constitutes a reasonably attractive standalone franchise. Niche NRI deposit base underpins deposit cost advantage over several peers The bank’s deposit franchise includes a niche NRI customer base that contributes a meaningful 16.1% of total deposits and gives it a distinguishing cost advantage over several of its peers. Thus, we believe that the bank will be relatively better- placed to protect its NIMs going forward. Outlook and Valuation At the CMP, the stock is trading at fair valuations of 6.8x FY2012E EPS of Rs28.5 and 1.1x FY2012E ABV of Rs171.9. Hence, we maintain our Neutral rating on the stock. July 16 2010 5
  • 6. South Indian Bank | 1QFY2011 Result Update Exhibit 8: Key Assumptions Particulars Earlier Estimates Revised Estimates (%) FY2011E FY2012E FY2011E FY2012E Credit growth 19.0 20.0 19.0 20.0 Deposit growth 18.0 18.0 18.0 18.0 CASA Ratio 22.3 21.6 22.6 21.7 NIMs 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 Other Income growth (16.8) 18.6 (16.4) 19.1 Growth in Staff Expenses 14.0 16.0 14.0 16.0 Growth in Other Expenses 14.0 16.0 14.0 16.0 Slippages 1.4 1.3 1.4 1.3 Coverage Ratio 73.1 74.5 73.3 74.7 Treasury gain/(loss) (% of 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 investments) Source: Company, Angel Research Exhibit 9: Change in estimates Particulars FY2011E FY2012E Earlier Revised Earlier Revised (Rs cr) Var (%) Var (%) Estimates Estimates Estimates Estimates Net Interest Income 682 684 0.2 797 800 0.4 Non-Interest Income 173 174 0.4 206 207 0.9 Total Income 856 858 0.3 1,003 1,007 0.5 Operating Expenses 417 417 - 484 484 - Pre-Prov Profit 438 441 0.6 518 523 0.9 Provisions & Cont. 55 56 0.7 34 35 2.6 PBT 383 385 0.5 485 489 0.8 Prov. for Taxes 130 131 0.5 165 166 0.8 PAT 253 254 0.5 320 322 0.8 Source: Company, Angel Research Exhibit 10: P/ABV Bands - South Indian Bank (Rs) Price 0.3 0.6 0.9 1.2 1.5 250 200 150 100 50 0 Oct-03 Oct-06 Oct-09 Dec-02 Jan-06 Jan-09 Jul-04 Apr-05 Jul-07 Apr-08 Jul-10 Mar-02 Source: Company, Angel research July 16 2010 6
  • 7. South Indian Bank | 1QFY2011 Result Update Exhibit 11: Recommendation summary FY2012E FY10-12E CMP Tgt Price Upside FY2012E FY2012E FY2012E FY2012E Company Reco Tgt P/ABV CAGR in (Rs) (Rs) (%) P/ABV (x) P/E (x) RoA (%) RoE (%) (x) EPS (%) AXISBK Accumulate 1,359 1,477 7.9 2.6 2.8 13.5 27.4 1.6 20.5 HDFCBK Accumulate 2,039 2,204 8.1 3.3 3.5 17.6 34.3 1.7 20.0 ICICIBK Buy 902 1,145 26.9 1.7 2.2 15.0 29.2 1.4 15.1 YesBk Neutral 299 - - 2.4 - 15.6 16.6 1.2 16.6 SIB Neutral 193 - - 1.1 - 6.8 17.1 1.0 17.9 FedBk Neutral 357 - - 1.1 - 7.6 31.4 1.4 14.6 SBI Accumulate 2,441 2,596 6.3 1.4 1.6 10.7 25.7 1.0 19.5 BOI Neutral 394 - - 1.3 - 7.7 24.3 0.8 17.3 CorpBk Accumulate 533 561 5.2 1.0 1.1 5.7 6.6 0.9 18.5 IndBk Neutral 241 - - 1.1 - 5.9 8.1 1.4 21.1 DenaBk Buy 97 115 18.3 0.8 1.0 4.4 10.9 0.9 18.4 IOB Accumulate 110 118 7.5 0.8 0.8 5.5 23.8 0.6 14.6 OBC Neutral 372 - - 1.0 - 6.2 15.0 0.9 16.6 PNB Reduce 1068 948 (11.2) 1.5 1.3 7.4 8.3 1.2 21.6 UnionBk Neutral 326 - - 1.3 - 5.8 17.1 1.1 24.1 Source: Company, Angel Research July 16 2010 7
  • 8. South Indian Bank | 1QFY2011 Result Update Income Statement (Rs cr) Y/E March FY2006 FY2007 FY2008 FY2009 FY2010 FY2011E FY2012E Net Interest Income 310 368 394 523 568 684 800 - YoY Growth (%) 20.7 18.5 7.2 32.7 8.7 20.4 16.9 Other Income 72 122 143 164 208 174 207 - YoY Growth (%) (29.4) 68.1 17.3 15.2 26.9 (16.4) 19.1 Operating Income 382 489 537 687 777 858 1,007 - YoY Growth (%) 6.4 27.9 9.7 28.0 13.0 10.5 17.4 Operating Expenses 222 219 248 328 366 417 484 - YoY Growth (%) 22.1 (1.4) 13.4 32.4 11.5 14.0 16.0 Pre - Provision Profit 160 270 289 359 411 441 523 - YoY Growth (%) (9.6) 68.4 6.8 24.3 14.5 7.4 18.7 Prov and Cont 87 124 57 57 43 56 35 - YoY Growth (%) (44.8) 41.5 (54.0) 0.7 (24.5) 28.7 (37.7) Profit Before Tax 73 146 232 301 367 385 489 - YoY Growth (%) 283.0 100.7 58.3 30.0 21.9 4.8 26.9 Prov. for Taxation 18 42 80 107 134 131 166 - as a % of PBT 24.7 28.9 34.6 35.4 36.4 34.0 34.0 PAT 55 104 152 195 234 254 322 - YoY Growth (%) 295.0 89.5 45.6 28.4 20.0 8.7 26.9 Balance Sheet (Rs cr) Y/E March FY2006 FY2007 FY2008 FY2009 FY2010 FY2011E FY2012E Share Capital 70 70 90 113 113 113 113 Reserve & Surplus 570 654 1,071 1,191 1,372 1,573 1,828 Deposits 9,579 12,239 15,156 18,092 23,012 27,154 32,042 - Growth (%) 13 28 24 19 27 18 18 Borrowings 1 33 28 257 1 390 461 Tier 2 Capital 200 174 155 155 330 233 275 Other Liabilities & 407 483 590 575 706 667 835 Provisions Total Liabilities 10,827 13,653 17,090 20,384 25,534 30,130 35,554 Cash in Hand and 546 700 974 998 1,391 1,901 2,403 with RBI Bal. with banks & 797 1,246 729 1,038 597 1,507 1,778 money at call Investments 2,739 3,430 4,572 6,075 7,156 7,353 8,141 Advances 6,370 7,919 10,454 11,852 15,823 18,760 22,512 - Growth (%) 19 24 32 13 34 19 20 Fixed Assets 90 90 113 136 153 190 224 Other Assets 285 268 249 284 415 420 496 Total Assets 10,827 13,653 17,090 20,384 25,534 30,130 35,554 - Growth (%) 14.2 26.1 25.2 19.3 25.3 18.0 18.0 July 16 2010 8
  • 9. South Indian Bank | 1QFY2011 Result Update Ratio Analysis Y/E March FY2006 FY2007 FY2008 FY2009 FY2010 FY2011E FY2012E Profitability ratios (%) NIMs 3.2 3.1 2.6 2.9 2.5 2.5 2.5 Cost to Income ratio 58.0 44.8 46.2 47.8 47.1 48.6 48.1 ROA 0.5 0.9 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.9 1.0 ROE 10.0 15.5 16.4 16.0 17.0 16.2 17.9 B/S ratios (%) CASA ratio 26.4 23.9 24.1 23.8 23.1 22.6 21.7 Credit/Deposit ratio 66.5 64.7 69.0 65.5 68.8 69.3 70.5 Networth/ Assets 18.5 18.2 16.6 15.4 16.7 17.8 18.2 CAR 13.0 11.1 13.8 14.8 15.4 13.3 11.9 - Tier I 8.4 8.8 12.1 13.2 12.4 10.9 9.8 Asset Quality (%) Gross NPAs 5.0 3.9 1.8 2.2 1.3 1.1 0.9 Net NPAs 1.9 1.0 0.3 1.1 0.4 0.3 0.2 Slippages 1.8 2.2 0.7 1.6 1.5 1.4 1.3 NPA prov / avg. assets 0.7 0.7 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 Provision Coverage 63.9 75.8 82.0 48.4 70.8 73.3 74.7 Per Share Data (Rs.) EPS 7.8 14.8 16.8 17.2 20.7 22.5 28.5 ABVPS (75% Cover) 85.9 100.1 126.3 107.6 129.1 147.3 171.9 DPS 1.8 2.5 3.0 3.0 4.0 4.0 5.0 Valuation Ratios PER (x) 24.1 12.7 11.2 10.9 9.1 8.4 6.8 P/ABVPS (x) 2.2 1.9 1.5 1.8 1.5 1.3 1.1 Dividend Yield 1.0 1.3 1.6 1.6 2.1 2.1 2.7 Dupont Analysis NII 3.1 3.0 2.6 2.8 2.5 2.5 2.4 (-) Prov. Exp. 0.9 1.0 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.1 Adj NII 2.2 2.0 2.2 2.5 2.3 2.3 2.3 Treasury (0.0) 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.1 Int. Sens. Inc. 2.2 2.2 2.4 2.7 2.6 2.3 2.4 Other Inc. 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.6 Op. Inc. 2.9 3.0 3.1 3.4 3.2 2.9 3.0 Opex 2.2 1.8 1.6 1.8 1.6 1.5 1.5 PBT 0.7 1.2 1.5 1.6 1.6 1.4 1.5 Taxes 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.5 ROA 0.5 0.9 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.9 1.0 Leverage 18.5 18.2 16.6 15.4 16.7 17.8 18.2 ROE 10.0 15.5 16.4 16.0 17.0 16.2 17.9 July 16 2010 9
  • 10. South Indian Bank | 1QFY2011 Result Update Research Team Tel: 022 - 4040 3800 E-mail: research@angeltrade.com Website: www.angeltrade.com DISCLAIMER This document is solely for the personal information of the recipient, and must not be singularly used as the basis of any investment decision. Nothing in this document should be construed as investment or financial advice. Each recipient of this document should make such investigations as they deem necessary to arrive at an independent evaluation of an investment in the securities of the companies referred to in this document (including the merits and risks involved), and should consult their own advisors to determine the merits and risks of such an investment. Angel Broking Limited, its affiliates, directors, its proprietary trading and investment businesses may, from time to time, make investment decisions that are inconsistent with or contradictory to the recommendations expressed herein. The views contained in this document are those of the analyst, and the company may or may not subscribe to all the views expressed within. Reports based on technical and derivative analysis center on studying charts of a stock's price movement, outstanding positions and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company's fundamentals and, as such, may not match with a report on a company's fundamentals. The information in this document has been printed on the basis of publicly available information, internal data and other reliable sources believed to be true, but we do not represent that it is accurate or complete and it should not be relied on as such, as this document is for general guidance only. Angel Broking Limited or any of its affiliates/ group companies shall not be in any way responsible for any loss or damage that may arise to any person from any inadvertent error in the information contained in this report. Angel Broking Limited has not independently verified all the information contained within this document. Accordingly, we cannot testify, nor make any representation or warranty, express or implied, to the accuracy, contents or data contained within this document. While Angel Broking Limited endeavours to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so. This document is being supplied to you solely for your information, and its contents, information or data may not be reproduced, redistributed or passed on, directly or indirectly. Angel Broking Limited and its affiliates may seek to provide or have engaged in providing corporate finance, investment banking or other advisory services in a merger or specific transaction to the companies referred to in this report, as on the date of this report or in the past. Neither Angel Broking Limited, nor its directors, employees or affiliates shall be liable for any loss or damage that may arise from or in connection with the use of this information. Note: Please refer to the important `Stock Holding Disclosure' report on the Angel website (Research Section). Also, please refer to the latest update on respective stocks for the disclosure status in respect of those stocks. Angel Broking Limited and its affiliates may have investment positions in the stocks recommended in this report. Disclosure of Interest Statement South Indian Bank 1. Analyst ownership of the stock No 2. Angel and its Group companies ownership of the stock No 3. Angel and its Group companies' Directors ownership of the stock No 4. Broking relationship with company covered No Note: We have not considered any Exposure below Rs 1 lakh for Angel, its Group companies and Directors. Ratings (Returns) : Buy (> 15%) Accumulate (5% to 15%) Neutral (-5 to 5%) Reduce (-5% to 15%) Sell (< -15%) July 16 2010 10