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Market Outlook
                                                                                                                            India Research
                                                                                                                                 June 22, 2010

Dealer’s Diary                                                                                   Domestic Indices      Chg (%)       (Pts)   (Close)

The key indices surged after China announced over the weekend that it will                       BSE Sensex              1.7%      305.7 17,877
allow its currency more freedom to move against the US dollar, which should                      Nifty                   1.7%       90.7      5,353
spur its economic growth. An end to the row over regulation of Unit Linked                       MID CAP                 1.3%       90.1      7,066
Insurance Products (ULIPs) and firm Asian stocks, aided the rally on the                         SMALL CAP               1.2%      107.6      8,954
domestic bourses. Metals and realty shares rallied. The market extended gains                    BSE HC                  1.0%       54.3      5,657
in morning trade, remained range bound in early afternoon trade and pared                        BSE PSU                 0.6%       52.1      9,256
gains after hitting fresh intraday highs in mid-afternoon trade. Both the Sensex                 BANKEX                  2.0%      222.3 11,102
and Nifty closed up by 1.7% each, while the BSE mid-cap and small-cap indices                    AUTO                    1.5%      122.0      8,257
closed up by 1.3% and 1.2%, respectively. Among the front-liners, Sterlite                       METAL                   5.2%      764.2 15,586
Industries, Tata Steel, Hindalco Industries, ICICI Bank and JP Associates were up                OIL & GAS               0.9%       90.7 10,384
by 4–8%, while HDFC Bank and Bharti Airtel were the only losers, which ended                     BSE IT                  0.7%       35.4      5,436
down by 0.3% and 0.1%, respectively. Among the mid-caps, Edelweiss Capital,
Fresenius Kabi, Mahindra Lifespace Developers, India Infoline and Geekay
                                                                                                 Global Indices        Chg (%)      (Pts)    (Close)
Finance were up by 5–19%, while Kwality Dairy, IBN18 Broadcast, Patni
Computer Systems, KGN Industries and GTL declined by 2–5%.                                       Dow Jones               -0.1%      (8.2)    10,442
                                                                                                 NASDAQ                  -0.9%    (20.7)      2,289
Markets Today                                                                                    FTSE                     0.9%      48.3      5,299
                                                                                                 Nikkei                   2.4%    243.0      10,238
The trend deciding level for the day is 17817/5329 levels. If NIFTY trades
                                                                                                 Hang Seng                3.1%    625.5      20,912
above this level during the first half-an-hour of trade then we may witness a
                                                                                                 Straits Times            1.8%      52.2      2,886
further rally up to 17979–18082/5391–5429 levels. However, if NIFTY trades
                                                                                                 Shanghai Com             2.9%      73.0      2,586
below 17817/5329 levels for the first half-an-hour of trade then it may correct
up to 17714–17552/5291–5229 levels.
                                                                                                 Indian ADRs           Chg (%)      (Pts)    (Close)
  Indices                              S2                 S1             R1               R2     Infosys                 -0.3%      (0.2)     $63.2
  SENSEX                        17,552                17,714          17,979         18,082      Wipro                    1.6%       0.4      $22.4

  NIFTY                          5,229                 5,291           5,391          5,429      Satyam                   1.8%       0.1       $5.1
                                                                                                 ICICI Bank               2.3%       0.9      $39.0
News Analysis                                                                                    HDFC Bank                2.7%       4.1     $154.6

        RBI seeks transparency in NPA compromise settlements
                                                                                                 Advances / Declines               BSE          NSE
        Bharti Airtel to invest US $100mn in Zain Uganda
                                                                                                 Advances                        1,837          964
Refer detailed news analysis on the following page.
                                                                                                 Declines                        1,063          356
  Net Inflows (June 18, 2010)                                                                    Unchanged                         96            47
  Rs cr              Purch                   Sales             Net        MTD            YTD
  FII                   2,134               1,439              695      4,843        25,379      Volumes (Rs cr)
  MFs                     511                 557              (46)       468        (6,662)     BSE                                          4,112
                                                                                                 NSE                                         12,790
  FII Derivatives (June 21, 2010)
                                                                                        Open
  Rs cr                                     Purch            Sales         Net
                                                                                      Interest
  Index Futures                             3,587            3,162        4,26       15,782
  Stock Futures                             5,578            5,773       (196)       30,812


  Gainers / Losers
                         Gainers                                         Losers
                            Price                                           Price
  Company                               Chg (%)        Company                       Chg (%)
                             (Rs)                                            (Rs)
  Sesa Goa                    388             9.5      Patni Comp.           537        (3.8)
  Sterlite Inds               184             8.3      GTL                     416      (2.5)
  Tata Steel                  504             6.3      MMTC               31,296        (2.4)
  Hindalco                    153             5.6      Glenmark Phar.          266      (1.0)
  JSW Steel                 1,095             5.5      Zee Entert              293      (1.0)

Please refer to important disclosures at the end of this report                                     Sebi Registration No: INB 0109965391
Market Outlook | India Research


                               RBI seeks transparency in NPA compromise settlements

                               The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) has directed banks to carry out the settlement of non-
                               performing assets (NPAs) in a transparent manner. The RBI expressed concerns that some
                               banks were agreeing to smaller amounts than what they could recover. Debt Recovery
                               Tribunals (DRTs) also observed that banks adopted different parameters for different
                               borrowers and agreed to a lesser amount as against the claimed amount, despite the
                               availability of ample securities and by ignoring RBI guidelines. Further, RBI told banks that
                               the officer or authority sanctioning the compromise settlements must append a certificate
                               stating that the settlements are in conformity with RBI guidelines.



                               Bharti Airtel to invest US $100mn in Zain Uganda

                               Bharti Airtel plans to invest up to US $100mn in Uganda over the next two years towards
                               network expansion, distribution, infrastructure and broadband extension. The company
                               recently concluded a US $9bn takeover of Zain’s Africa assets in 15 African countries. We
                               believe these initiatives to pay off in the long run and help the company gain a strong
                               subscriber market share. We maintain Buy on the stock with a Target Price of Rs360.




                                Economic and Political News

                                Yuan rises to the highest level against dollar in modern era
                                IT Dept may demand Rs8,500cr tax over transfer pricing
                                Karnataka clears 69 new investment proposals
                                To promote multiplexes in HP, government exempts entertainment tax for five years



                                Corporate News

                                National Textile Corporation eyes Rs750cr from Mumbai mill sell-off
                                Saudi Binladin Group makes 20% open offer for Maytas Infra
                                Jyothy Labs board okays raising Rs300cr via QIP
                             Source: Economic Times, Business Standard, Business Line, Financial Express, Mint




       Events for the day
       Steel Strips Wheels                    Dividend, Results




June 22, 2010                                                                                                                    2
Market Outlook | India Research


Research Team Tel: 022-4040 3800                                         E-mail: research@angeltrade.com                                      Website: www.angeltrade.com


 DISCLAIMER

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 this document should be construed as investment or financial advice. Each recipient of this document should make such investigations as they deem
 necessary to arrive at an independent evaluation of an investment in the securities of the companies referred to in this document (including the merits and
 risks involved), and should consult their own advisors to determine the merits and risks of such an investment.


 Angel Securities Limited, its affiliates, directors, its proprietary trading and investment businesses may, from time to time, make investment decisions that
 are inconsistent with or contradictory to the recommendations expressed herein. The views contained in this document are those of the analyst, and the
 company may or may not subscribe to all the views expressed within.


 Reports based on technical and derivative analysis center on studying charts of a stock's price movement, outstanding positions and trading volume, as
 opposed to focusing on a company's fundamentals and, as such, may not match with a report on a company's fundamentals.


 The information in this document has been printed on the basis of publicly available information, internal data and other reliable sources believed to be
 true, and is for general guidance only. Angel Securities Limited has not independently verified all the information contained within this document.
 Accordingly, we cannot testify, nor make any representation or warranty, express or implied, to the accuracy, contents or data contained within this
 document. While Angel Securities Limited endeavours to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be
 regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so.


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June 22, 2010                                                                                                                                                                           3

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Market Outlook - June 22, 2010

  • 1. Market Outlook India Research June 22, 2010 Dealer’s Diary Domestic Indices Chg (%) (Pts) (Close) The key indices surged after China announced over the weekend that it will BSE Sensex 1.7% 305.7 17,877 allow its currency more freedom to move against the US dollar, which should Nifty 1.7% 90.7 5,353 spur its economic growth. An end to the row over regulation of Unit Linked MID CAP 1.3% 90.1 7,066 Insurance Products (ULIPs) and firm Asian stocks, aided the rally on the SMALL CAP 1.2% 107.6 8,954 domestic bourses. Metals and realty shares rallied. The market extended gains BSE HC 1.0% 54.3 5,657 in morning trade, remained range bound in early afternoon trade and pared BSE PSU 0.6% 52.1 9,256 gains after hitting fresh intraday highs in mid-afternoon trade. Both the Sensex BANKEX 2.0% 222.3 11,102 and Nifty closed up by 1.7% each, while the BSE mid-cap and small-cap indices AUTO 1.5% 122.0 8,257 closed up by 1.3% and 1.2%, respectively. Among the front-liners, Sterlite METAL 5.2% 764.2 15,586 Industries, Tata Steel, Hindalco Industries, ICICI Bank and JP Associates were up OIL & GAS 0.9% 90.7 10,384 by 4–8%, while HDFC Bank and Bharti Airtel were the only losers, which ended BSE IT 0.7% 35.4 5,436 down by 0.3% and 0.1%, respectively. Among the mid-caps, Edelweiss Capital, Fresenius Kabi, Mahindra Lifespace Developers, India Infoline and Geekay Global Indices Chg (%) (Pts) (Close) Finance were up by 5–19%, while Kwality Dairy, IBN18 Broadcast, Patni Computer Systems, KGN Industries and GTL declined by 2–5%. Dow Jones -0.1% (8.2) 10,442 NASDAQ -0.9% (20.7) 2,289 Markets Today FTSE 0.9% 48.3 5,299 Nikkei 2.4% 243.0 10,238 The trend deciding level for the day is 17817/5329 levels. If NIFTY trades Hang Seng 3.1% 625.5 20,912 above this level during the first half-an-hour of trade then we may witness a Straits Times 1.8% 52.2 2,886 further rally up to 17979–18082/5391–5429 levels. However, if NIFTY trades Shanghai Com 2.9% 73.0 2,586 below 17817/5329 levels for the first half-an-hour of trade then it may correct up to 17714–17552/5291–5229 levels. Indian ADRs Chg (%) (Pts) (Close) Indices S2 S1 R1 R2 Infosys -0.3% (0.2) $63.2 SENSEX 17,552 17,714 17,979 18,082 Wipro 1.6% 0.4 $22.4 NIFTY 5,229 5,291 5,391 5,429 Satyam 1.8% 0.1 $5.1 ICICI Bank 2.3% 0.9 $39.0 News Analysis HDFC Bank 2.7% 4.1 $154.6 RBI seeks transparency in NPA compromise settlements Advances / Declines BSE NSE Bharti Airtel to invest US $100mn in Zain Uganda Advances 1,837 964 Refer detailed news analysis on the following page. Declines 1,063 356 Net Inflows (June 18, 2010) Unchanged 96 47 Rs cr Purch Sales Net MTD YTD FII 2,134 1,439 695 4,843 25,379 Volumes (Rs cr) MFs 511 557 (46) 468 (6,662) BSE 4,112 NSE 12,790 FII Derivatives (June 21, 2010) Open Rs cr Purch Sales Net Interest Index Futures 3,587 3,162 4,26 15,782 Stock Futures 5,578 5,773 (196) 30,812 Gainers / Losers Gainers Losers Price Price Company Chg (%) Company Chg (%) (Rs) (Rs) Sesa Goa 388 9.5 Patni Comp. 537 (3.8) Sterlite Inds 184 8.3 GTL 416 (2.5) Tata Steel 504 6.3 MMTC 31,296 (2.4) Hindalco 153 5.6 Glenmark Phar. 266 (1.0) JSW Steel 1,095 5.5 Zee Entert 293 (1.0) Please refer to important disclosures at the end of this report Sebi Registration No: INB 0109965391
  • 2. Market Outlook | India Research RBI seeks transparency in NPA compromise settlements The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) has directed banks to carry out the settlement of non- performing assets (NPAs) in a transparent manner. The RBI expressed concerns that some banks were agreeing to smaller amounts than what they could recover. Debt Recovery Tribunals (DRTs) also observed that banks adopted different parameters for different borrowers and agreed to a lesser amount as against the claimed amount, despite the availability of ample securities and by ignoring RBI guidelines. Further, RBI told banks that the officer or authority sanctioning the compromise settlements must append a certificate stating that the settlements are in conformity with RBI guidelines. Bharti Airtel to invest US $100mn in Zain Uganda Bharti Airtel plans to invest up to US $100mn in Uganda over the next two years towards network expansion, distribution, infrastructure and broadband extension. The company recently concluded a US $9bn takeover of Zain’s Africa assets in 15 African countries. We believe these initiatives to pay off in the long run and help the company gain a strong subscriber market share. We maintain Buy on the stock with a Target Price of Rs360. Economic and Political News Yuan rises to the highest level against dollar in modern era IT Dept may demand Rs8,500cr tax over transfer pricing Karnataka clears 69 new investment proposals To promote multiplexes in HP, government exempts entertainment tax for five years Corporate News National Textile Corporation eyes Rs750cr from Mumbai mill sell-off Saudi Binladin Group makes 20% open offer for Maytas Infra Jyothy Labs board okays raising Rs300cr via QIP Source: Economic Times, Business Standard, Business Line, Financial Express, Mint Events for the day Steel Strips Wheels Dividend, Results June 22, 2010 2
  • 3. Market Outlook | India Research Research Team Tel: 022-4040 3800 E-mail: research@angeltrade.com Website: www.angeltrade.com DISCLAIMER This document is solely for the personal information of the recipient, and must not be singularly used as the basis of any investment decision. Nothing in this document should be construed as investment or financial advice. Each recipient of this document should make such investigations as they deem necessary to arrive at an independent evaluation of an investment in the securities of the companies referred to in this document (including the merits and risks involved), and should consult their own advisors to determine the merits and risks of such an investment. Angel Securities Limited, its affiliates, directors, its proprietary trading and investment businesses may, from time to time, make investment decisions that are inconsistent with or contradictory to the recommendations expressed herein. The views contained in this document are those of the analyst, and the company may or may not subscribe to all the views expressed within. Reports based on technical and derivative analysis center on studying charts of a stock's price movement, outstanding positions and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company's fundamentals and, as such, may not match with a report on a company's fundamentals. The information in this document has been printed on the basis of publicly available information, internal data and other reliable sources believed to be true, and is for general guidance only. Angel Securities Limited has not independently verified all the information contained within this document. Accordingly, we cannot testify, nor make any representation or warranty, express or implied, to the accuracy, contents or data contained within this document. While Angel Securities Limited endeavours to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so. This document is being supplied to you solely for your information, and its contents, information or data may not be reproduced, redistributed or passed on, directly or indirectly. Angel Securities Limited and its affiliates may seek to provide or have engaged in providing corporate finance, investment banking or other advisory services in a merger or specific transaction to the companies referred to in this report, as on the date of this report or in the past. Neither Angel Securities Limited, nor its directors, employees or affiliates shall be liable for any loss or damage that may arise from or in connection with the use of this information. Note: Please refer to the important `Stock Holding Disclosure' report on the Angel website (Research Section). Address: Acme Plaza, ‘A’ Wing, 3rd Floor, M.V. Road, Opp. Sangam Cinema, Andheri (E), Mumbai - 400 059. Tel : (022) 3952 4568 / 4040 3800 Angel Broking Ltd: BSE Sebi Regn No : INB 010996539 / CDSL Regn No: IN - DP - CDSL - 234 - 2004 / PMS Regn Code: PM/INP000001546 Angel Securities Ltd:BSE: INB010994639/INF010994639 NSE: INB230994635/INF230994635 Membership numbers: BSE 028/NSE:09946 Angel Capital & Debt Market Ltd: INB 231279838 / NSE FNO: INF 231279838 / NSE Member code -12798 Angel Commodities Broking (P) Ltd: MCX Member ID: 12685 / FMC Regn No: MCX / TCM / CORP / 0037 NCDEX : Member ID 00220 / FMC Regn No: NCDEX / TCM / CORP / 0302 June 22, 2010 3