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@4PsMarketing #4PsEDGE
      @Ben_4Ps
Welcome

§ Ben Millar
§ Digital Strategist @ 4Ps Marketing
§ @Ben_4Ps
What we’re going to talk about
               today
§
§ An Incredibly Brief History of SEO & Rankings as a
    Metric
§ Personalisation
§ Filter Bubbles
§ Magic Keywords
§ ‘Building’ Bubbles > Building Links
§ Rankings & Personalisation: Close the gap
§
The 1990’s
A Very Brief History of SEO
      Earliest Search Engines (Mid
      90’s)
      • Keyword stuffing, keyword density


      Backrub (Pre-Google)
      • Quality and quantity of Links
         (PageRank)


      Google (1998)
      • Offsite and onsite
Google’s First Home Page
Rankings: A Meaningful Metric




 Less Distraction, Less Filtering
Personalisation in Google: A Timeline

           Live testing – Mar. 29th 2004



             Integrated within Google
           search (signed-in users) Nov.
                      11 2005


           Default to all users – Dec. 4
                      2009
The End of Rankings?
57 Signals of Personalised Search




       …even when not signed in!
Personalisation Signals: What Might they Be?




                                Time Taken to Type a Query                      Frequency of
      Search History
                                   Time Spend on a SERPS                Google.com Vs. Toolbar Use
         Location
                                  Daily Volume of Requests          Historical Use of ‘I Feel Lucky’ button
         Browser
                             Average Position of a Clicked Result           Enter Key Vs. Mouse
  The Computer We Use
                                            Time                     Use of Advanced Search Operators
      The Language
                                            Date                               Use of IiGoogle
Operating System & Version
                                    Topic of Ads Clicked                     Frequency of Typos
    Screen Resolution
                                  Frequency of Ads Clicked                   Use of Autosuggest
Personalisation Based on Location
Personalisation Based on Location
              (Mobile)
Personalisation Based on Search
              History
Personalisation Based on
    Personal Sharing
Personalisation Based on
     Previous Query
“That personal
ecosystem of information
 that’s been catered by
   these algorithms” [Eli
Pariser, The Filter Bubble]




   “…figurative sphere
 surrounding you as you
  search the Internet.“
 [Shira Lazar, CBS News]
Filter-Free
The Motivation Behind Duck Duck
               Go

             “ We believe any tailoring of the organic
             results should be opt-in and not opt-out.”




           In a recent Pew Report, 65% of people said
           personalized search was a "bad thing" since "it
           may limit the information you get online and
           what search results you see" compared to just
           29% who said it was a "good thing" because "it
           gives you results that are more relevant to you."
           When asked a different way 73% said they were
           "Not OK" with it because it was an invasion of
           privacy.
The Experiment



Obama   Abortion   6th Sept. 2012

                   131 Users
     Gun
    Control
The Results: [Abortion]

US: Abortion                   Orderings:
                Subjects: 48
    (off)                         11



US: Abortion
                Subjects: 43   Orderings: 8
    (on)
The Results: [Gun Control]

 US: Gun                       Orderings:
                Subjects: 43
Control (off)                     10



 US: Gun
                Subjects: 40   Orderings: 8
Control (on)
The Results: [Obama]

US: Obama                   Orderings:
             Subjects: 49
    (off)                      11



US: Obama                   Orderings:
             Subjects: 45
    (on)                       11
What Did They Discover?
    “We saw about as much variation in the ‘off’ state as
                     the ‘on’ state.”



      “No ordering received a majority across the whole
    study, and several orderings were only seen by one or
                        two people.”



     “We saw a lot of different links (not just orderings).
    And we also saw a lot of different news results within
                     the news blocks.”


     “The news varied a lot. In the Obama search, news
    was the first link. Some people were getting Fox News
     while others got the LA Times and a few people got
                           other stuff.”
…And,


       “We
    stumbled
  upon magic
   keywords.”
Magic Keywords


           “A magic
          keyword is a
       search that can
         transform the
       Google results of
       later searches.”
Searching for Social Security
        after Taxes
More Magic
     Taxes

 Social Security

  Health Care

   Abortion

     Ohio

    Election
Variations of the Magic Keyword
            How many links are inserted

               Which links are inserted

          Which order they are inserted in

              Where they are inserted

        Which later searches are transformed

      How many later searches are transformed

         Transformations across on/off states

            Transcends private browsing
Yes for Obama, No For Romney
Conclusions

    The Filter Bubble is
  “real and important”




  Political & Sociological
  ramifications of biased
       personalisation
Squeeze Into More Filter
      Bubbles?
  Google+ [Friends]
  • If one of your friends +1’s a page it’s more likely to show
       up in your personalised results.


  Google+ [+1 Brands]
  • If you +1 a page, that page is more likely to show up in
       your search results.


  Google+ [Brand’s Share]
  • If you +1 a brand’s G+ page, anything that brand shares
       on G+ is more likely to show up in your search results.
The Future of Search



  “…make your          “In the future you    “It’ll be very hard
World feel smaller.”      become the            for people to
                             query.”        watch or consume
                                            something that has
                                             not in some sense
                                             been tailored for
                                                     them.”
Lower CTRs & SERP Bait

                     Universal
                      Search




                      Instant
                      Search




                    Knowledge
                      Graph
Better SEO, Less Clicks?
The Problems With Rankings
         Do not tell the full story


       Time Consuming & Expensive




          Old Fashioned, dated
          methodology
Alternatives to Rankings
  % Share of traffic from a target group(s) of keyword(s)
  •brand versus non-brand
  •converting versus non-converting



  Total number of unique keywords driving organic traffic to the site
  •brand versus non-brand
  •converting versus non-converting



  Total number (or volume as a %) of landing pages receiving organic traffic
  •Brand versus non-brand
  •Converting versus non-converting



  Page views generated by non-brand traffic
  •Especially useful for media business




  Conversions assisted by organic search
  •brand- versus non-brand
But If You Must Continue to
      check Rankings…
                      Ranking




        Average
        Position in
        Analytics
                              A More
                            Meaningful
                             Metric in a
                              World of
                            Personalised
                              Search
Takeaways
Rankings
§ Are you taking the right approach?




Personalisation
§ Are you bursting bubbles?



Magic Keywords
§ Are they salient to your industry?
    Will they be?
Any Questions?




@4PsMarketing #4PsEDGE
      @Ben_4Ps
Further Learnings
References
                http://www.distilled.net/blog/seo/dont-build-links-build-bubbles/




http://connect.slingshotseo.com/a-tale-of-two-studies-establishing-google-bing-click_through-rates




            http://www.ted.com/talks/eli_pariser_beware_online_filter_bubbles.html




                                 https://duckduckgo.com/about




                         https://en-gb.facebook.com/about/graphsearch




      http://marketingland.com/yahoos-mayer-in-the-future-you-become-the-query-31721
                                http://www.thefilterbubble.com/

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Are Rankings Relevant in 2013? - Ben Millar

  • 2.
  • 3. Welcome § Ben Millar § Digital Strategist @ 4Ps Marketing § @Ben_4Ps
  • 4. What we’re going to talk about today § § An Incredibly Brief History of SEO & Rankings as a Metric § Personalisation § Filter Bubbles § Magic Keywords § ‘Building’ Bubbles > Building Links § Rankings & Personalisation: Close the gap §
  • 6. A Very Brief History of SEO Earliest Search Engines (Mid 90’s) • Keyword stuffing, keyword density Backrub (Pre-Google) • Quality and quantity of Links (PageRank) Google (1998) • Offsite and onsite
  • 8. Rankings: A Meaningful Metric Less Distraction, Less Filtering
  • 9. Personalisation in Google: A Timeline Live testing – Mar. 29th 2004 Integrated within Google search (signed-in users) Nov. 11 2005 Default to all users – Dec. 4 2009
  • 10. The End of Rankings?
  • 11. 57 Signals of Personalised Search …even when not signed in!
  • 12. Personalisation Signals: What Might they Be? Time Taken to Type a Query Frequency of Search History Time Spend on a SERPS Google.com Vs. Toolbar Use Location Daily Volume of Requests Historical Use of ‘I Feel Lucky’ button Browser Average Position of a Clicked Result Enter Key Vs. Mouse The Computer We Use Time Use of Advanced Search Operators The Language Date Use of IiGoogle Operating System & Version Topic of Ads Clicked Frequency of Typos Screen Resolution Frequency of Ads Clicked Use of Autosuggest
  • 14. Personalisation Based on Location (Mobile)
  • 15. Personalisation Based on Search History
  • 16. Personalisation Based on Personal Sharing
  • 17. Personalisation Based on Previous Query
  • 18. “That personal ecosystem of information that’s been catered by these algorithms” [Eli Pariser, The Filter Bubble] “…figurative sphere surrounding you as you search the Internet.“ [Shira Lazar, CBS News]
  • 20. The Motivation Behind Duck Duck Go “ We believe any tailoring of the organic results should be opt-in and not opt-out.” In a recent Pew Report, 65% of people said personalized search was a "bad thing" since "it may limit the information you get online and what search results you see" compared to just 29% who said it was a "good thing" because "it gives you results that are more relevant to you." When asked a different way 73% said they were "Not OK" with it because it was an invasion of privacy.
  • 21. The Experiment Obama Abortion 6th Sept. 2012 131 Users Gun Control
  • 22. The Results: [Abortion] US: Abortion Orderings: Subjects: 48 (off) 11 US: Abortion Subjects: 43 Orderings: 8 (on)
  • 23. The Results: [Gun Control] US: Gun Orderings: Subjects: 43 Control (off) 10 US: Gun Subjects: 40 Orderings: 8 Control (on)
  • 24. The Results: [Obama] US: Obama Orderings: Subjects: 49 (off) 11 US: Obama Orderings: Subjects: 45 (on) 11
  • 25. What Did They Discover? “We saw about as much variation in the ‘off’ state as the ‘on’ state.” “No ordering received a majority across the whole study, and several orderings were only seen by one or two people.” “We saw a lot of different links (not just orderings). And we also saw a lot of different news results within the news blocks.” “The news varied a lot. In the Obama search, news was the first link. Some people were getting Fox News while others got the LA Times and a few people got other stuff.”
  • 26. …And, “We stumbled upon magic keywords.”
  • 27. Magic Keywords “A magic keyword is a search that can transform the Google results of later searches.”
  • 28. Searching for Social Security after Taxes
  • 29. More Magic Taxes Social Security Health Care Abortion Ohio Election
  • 30. Variations of the Magic Keyword How many links are inserted Which links are inserted Which order they are inserted in Where they are inserted Which later searches are transformed How many later searches are transformed Transformations across on/off states Transcends private browsing
  • 31. Yes for Obama, No For Romney
  • 32. Conclusions The Filter Bubble is “real and important” Political & Sociological ramifications of biased personalisation
  • 33. Squeeze Into More Filter Bubbles? Google+ [Friends] • If one of your friends +1’s a page it’s more likely to show up in your personalised results. Google+ [+1 Brands] • If you +1 a page, that page is more likely to show up in your search results. Google+ [Brand’s Share] • If you +1 a brand’s G+ page, anything that brand shares on G+ is more likely to show up in your search results.
  • 34. The Future of Search “…make your “In the future you “It’ll be very hard World feel smaller.” become the for people to query.” watch or consume something that has not in some sense been tailored for them.”
  • 35. Lower CTRs & SERP Bait Universal Search Instant Search Knowledge Graph
  • 36. Better SEO, Less Clicks?
  • 37. The Problems With Rankings Do not tell the full story Time Consuming & Expensive Old Fashioned, dated methodology
  • 38. Alternatives to Rankings % Share of traffic from a target group(s) of keyword(s) •brand versus non-brand •converting versus non-converting Total number of unique keywords driving organic traffic to the site •brand versus non-brand •converting versus non-converting Total number (or volume as a %) of landing pages receiving organic traffic •Brand versus non-brand •Converting versus non-converting Page views generated by non-brand traffic •Especially useful for media business Conversions assisted by organic search •brand- versus non-brand
  • 39. But If You Must Continue to check Rankings… Ranking Average Position in Analytics A More Meaningful Metric in a World of Personalised Search
  • 40. Takeaways Rankings § Are you taking the right approach? Personalisation § Are you bursting bubbles? Magic Keywords § Are they salient to your industry? Will they be?
  • 43. References http://www.distilled.net/blog/seo/dont-build-links-build-bubbles/ http://connect.slingshotseo.com/a-tale-of-two-studies-establishing-google-bing-click_through-rates http://www.ted.com/talks/eli_pariser_beware_online_filter_bubbles.html https://duckduckgo.com/about https://en-gb.facebook.com/about/graphsearch http://marketingland.com/yahoos-mayer-in-the-future-you-become-the-query-31721 http://www.thefilterbubble.com/

Editor's Notes

  1. Nice , easy start to the day.
  2. Cast your mind back to the mid-90’s…
  3. NOSTALGIA. And Here’s what Google looked like at this time! I know this is probably a silly question as there’s no one under 30 in the room… Was anyone working in SEO at this time or in the late 90’s? I wasn’t. I was mostly listening to UK Garage in Vauxhall Novas .
  4. Rankings were relevant because users were served pretty much the same SERPS from mid 90’s to mid 00’s And there was less clutter in the serps So of course you’ll remember the many infamous heat maps & AOL’s leaked CTR data. Rankings = visibility = traffic = conversions. This Story was easy to understand. But Search Changed…
  5. 3 key dates Smoking ban in Northern Ireland Albania’s worst ever power cut Nepalise Government – Mount Everest – Climate Change in the Himalayas
  6. At this time everyone prophesised the end of the rankings. Articles, blogs, press… “I don’t think rankings matter anymore. Given the highly personalized, geo-targeted, socially-influenced rankings that Google and Bing provide today, no two people see the same search results in the same order.” Bit OTT! Approx 1 in 5 searches were personalised. LIKEWISE the death of rankings was a bit OTT. They still exist now. Is that because they’re useful or because marketers were used to reportings on rankings? Were busy execs used to KPIs in the form of rankings as a easy-to-understand SEO glance? That’s my argument to people who say Ranking = ego construct. --- But, from a search perspective, we don’t (or rather we shouldn’t) live in that world anymore and we haven’t for some time… So let’s take a look at exactly what personalisation entails.
  7. In Eli Pariser’s TED talk (a man whom I’ll refer to again in more detail later on) it was claimed a Google engineer stated there are 57 signals involved in personalisation. So even when you’re logged out of Google and with a clear cache and no cookies, Google is still personalizing search results for each user based on the search history of each IP address and your geographic location. Why not test it? Do a couple of searches for the same terms at different locations (work, office, coffee shop ), on different devices and see what turns up. Now imagine if there are 57 signals. We know what a lot of them are…but 57?
  8. One curious character, Rene Pickhardt a Webscience PHD Student began to imagine what they might be. He got to a few dozen and gave up! Some we know about, some we’re not so sure about, some…WHAT!? Now as SEO’s there’s some we know about and can demonstrate and CATER TO …
  9. Car park in London signed out
  10. Car park in London signed out (mobile)
  11. Google knows I’ve looked at E-consultancy before.
  12. Of Course Google+ Changed things with Search, plus your world. As did Facebook in Bing. Then there’s the other Google properties – Youtube , FlickR . And of course Linkedin .
  13. You can clearly see in this SERPS you’re being shown a the WIKI page for California because ‘you recently searched for flag. So what? What is the net sum of all of this personalisation? Well – it’s FILTER BUBBLES!
  14. Filter Bubbles are refined and tailored subsets of results which provide you with information you are in some way already connected to – based on your demographic, the behaviours you have demonstrated online and the connections you have. Eli Quote: Shira Quote:
  15. So, to clarify, personalised search has led to filter bubbles which has exacerbated the variation of results between users in organic search. Why does this concern us? Well there’s 2 very distinct points to make. Ethical - now Us as marketers – later The chap Eli Parisner whom I mentioned earlier gave a Ted Talk, actually gave his TED talk about Filter Bubbles: he is primarily concerned with the ethical. He Believes; (a filter bubble), seeing more and more of what you already agree with, and less and less (relevant and important) opposing viewpoints. This effective filtering is troublesome when looking for raw information on a subject. Many people use Google as a starting point. Hence it should be neutral; unbiased. “A world constructed from the familiar is a world in which there’s nothing to learn ... (since there is) invisible autopropaganda , indoctrinating us with our own ideas.” [Eli Pariser ] Duck Duck Go, which Eli’s involved with, exists (or rather the USP is) because they want people to break free from their filter bubbles.
  16. Quote 1 & The user does not know about filter bubbles! Quote 2 OUR CTO, Matt Stannard believe this is akin to China’s censorship of the net. Where is the transparency?
  17. Gabriel Weinberg @ Duck Duck Go “ This was the first  in a series  of experiments we're doing to explore the state of Google search tailoring -- the fact that different people see different results on Google based on who they are.” Not scientific, not a masterpiece. Page 1 ONLY. I know what you’re thinking – where’s the little pic? Bad day for news. Note – these are informational searches – sensitive topics. Neutrality is important here.
  18. Talk about the slide: …and one vital thing on top….
  19. Like the flag & country example earlier. Labelled – ‘You Searched for’ & Bolded – last instance of taxes
  20. Do these keywords relate to you? No one knows the scope of magic keywords.
  21. magic keywords have their own internal variation, presumably based on personal factors.
  22. Political Ramifications here. Is this right? What about if: You recently searched for cheap flatpack furniture; here’s Ikea.
  23. Filter Bubbles = real & Important. There are ethical implications. But what about as marketers? How can we use our understanding of filter bubbles to our advantage? And should our filter-bubble-bursting strategies alter our SEO reporting practices and how we look at rankings?
  24. Perhaps the single most important thing you can do to burst into more bubbles is to get active on Google plus. No more excuses. No more ‘not us’ industries. Google employee bonuses – 25% bonus. It’s here to stay. I don’t like it. STOCKHOLM SYNDROME. Identify influencers. What they +1 effects their friend’s search results so get them to +1 you page(s) Fan acquisition. Trade off giveaways for +1s on a CPA basis in the knowledge that you’ll be able to remarket to them; altering their search results. What about celebrity endorsements? Snoop Doog – 5 Million +1s. Is he an influencer of your target audiance ? Influence their results with a +1 & a product share. But of course – meaningful metrics; quality not quantity. Fan acquisitions might not be worthwhile. Maybe direct traffic is? | Increases in avg. pos. of rankings | Brand Awareness | conversions with G+ as a touchpoint --- The other thing about filter bubbles? The basics: RESEARCH AND REAFFIRM YOUR TARGET MARKET WHERE ARE THEY, WHEN ARE THEY THERE AND WHAT ARE THEY DOING? Tailor your content and content distribution to match (more on this later) Like, Pin, Join, link, share, comment, post, blog – GET INTO more bubbles --- Steph had a good point on this: re brand term competitors – they’re in your bubble. Get in theirs!
  25. Quote 1, 2 3: HOW CAN YOU BE MORE PERSONALISED SEARCH FRIENDLY? A whole variety of things: If you’re a multi-site bricks & motar operator then localised search strategies are easier Keep Bounce rates down across ALL devices – good content, compelling CTAs ( upsteam / hitwise ) Language & local factors Spread of traffic sources: direct traffic helps – encourage bookmarking In case it wasn’t clear enough – SEO AND SOCIAL are having a dirty affair. Embrace it. What about the future of the SERPS?
  26. Universal Search Instant Search Knowledge Graph & more to come? CTRs are declining. Have been for a while – famous study from slingshot. 10,000’s searches. My data isn’t quite as gloomy. Let’s look at a SERPS.
  27. Look at all the things you can get from the SERPS – why click? What the shop looks like. Where it is on a map. Address. Phone Number. Opening Hours. Nearest Opening Hours Reviews, aggregate & actual. This puts a real emphasis on refining and understanding your keyword sets. But understanding which keywords are informational | Navigational | Transactional & likelihood of converting = you can apply the appropriate measurements, and more importantly the right effort to them. So, rankings…
  28. Not all bad. Provides some benchmark. Easy, but misleading. But how many are you tracking? How are they grouped? Technology issues. It’s an industry problem But if I was the CEO of … & what would I do if ranking reports were abolished tomorrow?
  29. OBVIOUSLY brand awareness, goals, conversions, transactions and revenue. But not applicable to all websites. Not applicable to all stages of the journey.
  30. Explain. What is avg. pos ? Disparity means? Answer:
  31. Do you need help training/re-educating? We Can help.