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Food Security and the G20

          Joseph W. Glauber, USDA
         IFPRI-OXFAM America Policy Series
                              May 1, 2012
Declining real maize, wheat and
2005$/bu
              soybean prices




Deflated by GDP implicit price deflator, 2005 = 100 (BEA 2011)
Historical Price Volatility
Percent




 Source: Chicago Mercantile Exchange
G20 Action Plan of Food Price Volatility

 Ag Market Information System
 (AMIS)/Rapid Response Forum
 Global Ag Geo-monitoring Initiative
 (GEOGLAM)
 Wheat Initiative
 Tropical Ag Platform
 Platform for Ag Risk Management
Sources of Growth in Crop Production to
   Meet Global Food Needs by 2050 (percent)
                          Arable land   Increases in         Yield increases
                          expansion     cropping intensity
  All developing               21                 8                71
  countries
   sub-Saharan Africa          25                 6                69
   Near East/N. Africa         -7                17                90
   Latin America/Carib         30                18                52
   South Asia                   5                 8                87
   East Asia                    2                12                86
  World                         9                14                77




Source: Bruinsma (2009)
US agricultural output, input, and total factor
        productivity (TFP) indexes
                            1948 = 100




Source: USDA, Economic Research Service
Trends in public and private food and agricultural
         research spending in the United States
Billion 2006 US $




Source: Fuglie et al. 2011
From Heisey, Wang and Fuglie 2011
Enhancing Global Ag Research
        Collaboration
Convene regular Meetings of Ag Chief
Scientists (MACS)
Goals:
 – Identify global research priorities and targets
 – Facilitate research collaboration by public and
   private sector research organizations
 – Track progress on established research goals
Work within appropriate existing
mechanisms (eg, GCARD, CGIAR, TAP,
GRA)
Potential Research Platforms
Open access to scholarly publications and
other technical documentation
Open access to germplasm collections
Open access to genomic and genetic data
Improving agricultural innovation systems
Improving agricultural statistics

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IFPRI Oxfam America Policy Roundtable -- Joseph Glauber

  • 1. Food Security and the G20 Joseph W. Glauber, USDA IFPRI-OXFAM America Policy Series May 1, 2012
  • 2. Declining real maize, wheat and 2005$/bu soybean prices Deflated by GDP implicit price deflator, 2005 = 100 (BEA 2011)
  • 3. Historical Price Volatility Percent Source: Chicago Mercantile Exchange
  • 4. G20 Action Plan of Food Price Volatility Ag Market Information System (AMIS)/Rapid Response Forum Global Ag Geo-monitoring Initiative (GEOGLAM) Wheat Initiative Tropical Ag Platform Platform for Ag Risk Management
  • 5. Sources of Growth in Crop Production to Meet Global Food Needs by 2050 (percent) Arable land Increases in Yield increases expansion cropping intensity All developing 21 8 71 countries sub-Saharan Africa 25 6 69 Near East/N. Africa -7 17 90 Latin America/Carib 30 18 52 South Asia 5 8 87 East Asia 2 12 86 World 9 14 77 Source: Bruinsma (2009)
  • 6. US agricultural output, input, and total factor productivity (TFP) indexes 1948 = 100 Source: USDA, Economic Research Service
  • 7. Trends in public and private food and agricultural research spending in the United States Billion 2006 US $ Source: Fuglie et al. 2011
  • 8. From Heisey, Wang and Fuglie 2011
  • 9. Enhancing Global Ag Research Collaboration Convene regular Meetings of Ag Chief Scientists (MACS) Goals: – Identify global research priorities and targets – Facilitate research collaboration by public and private sector research organizations – Track progress on established research goals Work within appropriate existing mechanisms (eg, GCARD, CGIAR, TAP, GRA)
  • 10. Potential Research Platforms Open access to scholarly publications and other technical documentation Open access to germplasm collections Open access to genomic and genetic data Improving agricultural innovation systems Improving agricultural statistics