The extreme future of organizations and what it means for your businessfrederic de meyerfounderinstitute for future firstname.lastname@example.org
why do I have to bother about long-term trends?
let’s start with a challenge:what do these have in common?
here’s a hint… In 2002 Barbie lost its Until 2006 Coca ColaFord almost got out of market predominance was boycotted GM’s Hummer saw business in the early to a new competitor multiple times in India sales drop 85% from1900’s for sticking to it who just entered this due to its water 2006 to 2009standardized products market the year mismanagement before practices
sometimes long-term shifts canhave short-term consequences!
Building a vision of the future is about connecting the dots
There’s different types of megatrends trends we can be trends that are taking shape but a tiny bit relatively certain of: future impact relatively uncertain: speculative: DEMOGRAPHIC TECHNOLOGY• aging population • ubiquitous computing • disintermediation• increasing world population • disintermediation • crowdsourcing• genY/Milennials • crowdsourcing • social Media• urbanization/geographic mobility • social Media • augmented Reality• multi-ethnic society • SaaS, DIY • 3D• widening gap rich-poor • cloud Computing • enhanced humans SUSTAINABILITY BUSINESS TRENDS • global warming • shared value (CSR) • decentralization • scarcity of resources • social Entrepreneurship • gamification • energy dependency • Cause marketing • virtualization • declining biodiversity • social Business • new business models • green technologies • open inno/sourcing CONSUMER GEOPOLITICS • mass customization • radical transparency • power shift to East • trade blocs and unions • social buying • globalization 3.0 • trade blocs and unions • the Market State • sustainable/ethical buying • rising middle class • the Market State • Virtual currencies SOCIETY • dematerialization • talent shortage (digitization) • boundary blurring • digital divide
The future of professional organizationscan a $40b company be run by a single person?
The world becomes your R&D centerOpen innovation User generated Open sourcing platforms innovationMost of Fortune 500 use Open sourcing spreads even Fiat Mio made through input open innovation now to pharmaceutical market of +10,000 customers
Manufacturing without factories3D printing impact on manufacturing, spare parts, transport, logistics, … New opportunities in design and software
Can marketing tasks be done more efficiently with alternative business models? Open Open Innovation Innovation Open Open source source Outsourcing Outsourcing 3D Printing 3D Printing
Technology becomes pervasive Are Cloud computing, consumerization of IT and Do-it-Yourself Taking away control and responsibility of IT?
What would a virtual company look like?Disadvantages: Advantages: R&D• complexity • cost-efficiency gains• loss of control • lean company• less loyalty from contributors • constant innovation Open Open • more loyalty from customers Innovation Manufact Innovation ICT Open uring Open source source Cloud, Outsourcing Outsourcing Consumerization, 3D Printing 3D Printing DIY Virtual Virtual company Crowdsourcing Crowdsourcing Self help Social buying Social buying Social media Cust. Marketing Service Affiliate Micro-tasking programs ‘Crowd-selling’ Admin Sales
What would a virtual company look like? R&D Open Innovation Open Manufac ICT source turing Cloud Outsourcing Consumeri 3D Printing zation Virtual company Virtual Social media Crowdsourcing Self help Social buying Cust. Marketing Service Affiliate programs Micro-tasking ‘Crowd-selling’ Admin Sales
What would a virtual company look like? R&D Open Innovation Manufact ICT Open uring source Cloud Outsourcing Consumerization 3D Printing Virtual Crowdsourcing Social media Social buying Self help Cust. Marketing Service Affiliate Micro-tasking programs ‘Crowd-selling’ Admin Sales
But what does it mean for your business? R&D Open Innovation Open Manufac ICT source turing Cloud Outsourcing Consumeri 3D Printing zation Virtual company Virtual Social media Crowdsourcing Self help Social buying Cust. Marketing Service Affiliate programs Micro-tasking ‘Crowd-selling’ HRM Sales
Building your vision of the future is about connecting the dots
The future cannot be predicted …but it can be made ! (ancient African saying) www.i4fi.com www.fredericdemeyer.com additional questions: email@example.com
Are you prepared to make the maximum out of long-term trends? “Frederic offers a unique insight of how global changes translate into new business opportunities. This book is an essential tool for any future-oriented manager or entrepreneur and anyone involved in innovation strategies” Philippe De Ridder, co-founder, Board of Innovation “Designing and implementing a good strategy is quite a challenge. In an increasingly complex world, it is becoming increasingly difficult to recognize the core from the noise. This book on megatrends will help you do this. It will give you the necessary insights to focus on the themes that are crucial to the future of your company. A must read!” Jeroen De Flander, co-founder, The Performance Factory, author of Strategy Execution Heroes “This excellent book is a comprehensive overview of the major trends and also offers a methodology to better assess the future reality and master its consequences. The author provides an essential guide for any strategy exercise” Peter Corijn, Vice-President, Procter & Gamble Now available on click here (in presentation mode)
Are you prepared to make the maximum out of long-term trends? 40 megatrend fact-sheets that will: prepare your team for long- term planning session; help you understand the long-term challenges of your business; discover new opportunities for your business; generate innovative ideas to ensure your long-term success! Now available at: www.i4fi.com/useful_tools