Kommunikation i en sammankopplad värld <br />i förhållande till transformerande förändring<br />Dennis Pamlin<br />
Information, Knowledge and Wisdom in the 21st Century: Transformative Transparency and Mobile Connectivity, Implications w...
Converging trends and emergingopportunities (>16 converging trends)<br /><ul><li>Geopolitical shifts
Accelerated technological development
Growing ecological footprint/Need for fertile soil
Climate change/Increased-decreased use of fossil fuel
Increased Toxic chemicals/Endocrine disrupters
Growing population (appx 50% more people in 2050 than now)
Aging population (China will havemoreolderadultsthan the population of the US in 2050)
Pandemics
Antibiotic resistance
Gender imbalance
Urbanisation (2008 first time in history with more people in cities… 75% by 2050)
Terrorism
Shifting ethical boundaries
Decentralised production/ Glocalisation
Changing income distribution
Transformative transparency</li></ul>16! <br />20,922,789,888,000<br />20 trillion, <br />922 billion, <br />789 million, ...
1. Growing need for natural resources => <br />War and trade conflicts & accelerated uptake of new solutions<br />2. Aging...
The end of many exponential trends (due to physical limits)<br />
…the birth of many new exponential trends<br />
What are we looking at?<br />One planet many worlds<br />
3. The world- What is happening?<br />
3. The world- What is happening?<br />“The day is not far off when the economic problem will take the back seat where it b...
15 June 2011 <br />1.9 overweight <br />More than 1.9 billion people worldwide were overweight in 2010, a 25 percent incre...
14 September 2010 <br />925 million in chronic hunger worldwide<br />a child dying every six seconds because of undernouri...
New ideas needed<br />- but how deep are the roots of the current?<br /> 1000=> The colapse of the Roman empire (economis...
THREE THINGS CHANGINGeducation as we know it<br />
DEPLOYMENT<br />INSTALLATION<br />Turningpoint<br />More efficiently solving old problems - winners among old players<br /...
2. The 21st century infrastructure: The internet of things<br />An infrastructure connecting not only people, but things (...
=> Global citizens and story chains/context<br />illustration: A global map of scientific collaboration between researcher...
3. Augmented reality and new tools for “prosumers”Trust/networks and data/presentation the most valuable assets<br />
=> Transformative transparency and more focus on directing development<br />
Ideas that might inspire<br />
1. 9 billion solutions (beyond incremental improvments)<br />Whatare the solutions that 9 billion peoplecanuse?<br />
2. Diversity without “Cyberbalkanization” How do we encourage diversity without generating gaps in society?<br />The long-...
3. Creation of creative networks<br />Who sets the framework for “A person who liked this also liked this is…” <br />
4. Smart interfaces<br />Encourage interfaces that everyone can use<br />
Is the mobile app the nextinternal combustion engine?<br />
A unique interface<br />
Examples from the 21st Century Office app  <br />
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Information, Knowledge and Wisdom in the 21st Century

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Dennis Pamlin
EDEN Annual Conference 2011, Dublin

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Information, Knowledge and Wisdom in the 21st Century

  1. 1.
  2. 2. Kommunikation i en sammankopplad värld <br />i förhållande till transformerande förändring<br />Dennis Pamlin<br />
  3. 3. Information, Knowledge and Wisdom in the 21st Century: Transformative Transparency and Mobile Connectivity, Implications when e-Learning Becomes the Main Way of Learning…<br />All this in 30 min… <br />Dennis Pamlin, Director, UN Global Compact, and WWF Consultant, Senior associate at CASS (Chinese Academy of Social Sciences)<br />
  4. 4. Converging trends and emergingopportunities (>16 converging trends)<br /><ul><li>Geopolitical shifts
  5. 5. Accelerated technological development
  6. 6. Growing ecological footprint/Need for fertile soil
  7. 7. Climate change/Increased-decreased use of fossil fuel
  8. 8. Increased Toxic chemicals/Endocrine disrupters
  9. 9. Growing population (appx 50% more people in 2050 than now)
  10. 10. Aging population (China will havemoreolderadultsthan the population of the US in 2050)
  11. 11. Pandemics
  12. 12. Antibiotic resistance
  13. 13. Gender imbalance
  14. 14. Urbanisation (2008 first time in history with more people in cities… 75% by 2050)
  15. 15. Terrorism
  16. 16. Shifting ethical boundaries
  17. 17. Decentralised production/ Glocalisation
  18. 18. Changing income distribution
  19. 19. Transformative transparency</li></ul>16! <br />20,922,789,888,000<br />20 trillion, <br />922 billion, <br />789 million, <br />888 thousand<br />
  20. 20. 1. Growing need for natural resources => <br />War and trade conflicts & accelerated uptake of new solutions<br />2. Aging population => <br />Pressure on/collapse of financial systems & morelong-term thinking<br />3. Emerging countries grow stronger => <br />New values and structures<br />4. Rapid technology development and convergence => <br />Accelerate trends and contribute to thresholds<br />5. Transformative transparency & connectivity<br />New ethics and possibility to create networks<br />
  21. 21. The end of many exponential trends (due to physical limits)<br />
  22. 22. …the birth of many new exponential trends<br />
  23. 23. What are we looking at?<br />One planet many worlds<br />
  24. 24.
  25. 25. 3. The world- What is happening?<br />
  26. 26. 3. The world- What is happening?<br />“The day is not far off when the economic problem will take the back seat where it belongs, and that the arena of the heart and head will be occupied . . . by our real problems - the problems of life and of human relations, of creation and behaviour and religion.”<br />Keynes, J.M., foreword to Essays in Persuasion, 1931<br />
  27. 27. 15 June 2011 <br />1.9 overweight <br />More than 1.9 billion people worldwide were overweight in 2010, a 25 percent increase since 2002<br />The trend over the last decade toward heavier populations cuts across regions and income levels. In India, 19 percent of adults are overweight, up from 14 percent in 2002. In Mexico, the figure has risen by 8 percentage points since 2002, while Brazil’s is up by 7 points and the rate in the U.K. is up by 5 points. East Asia has seen a 4 point increase over the period. The United States leads all industrialized countries with 78.6 percent of the adult population overweight, although Micronesia and Polynesia top all countries. There, nearly 88 percent of the over-15 population is overweight.<br />http://www.worldwatch.org/nearly-two-billion-people-worldwide-now-overweight-0<br />
  28. 28. 14 September 2010 <br />925 million in chronic hunger worldwide<br />a child dying every six seconds because of undernourishment <br />• Two thirds of the world's undernourished live in just seven countries — Bangladesh, China, the Democratic Republic of Congo, Ethiopia, India, Indonesia and Pakistan. • The region with the most undernourished people continues to be Asia and the Pacific with 578 million.• The proportion of undernourished people remains highest in sub-Saharan Africa at 30 percent in 2010, or 239 million.<br />http://www.fao.org/news/story/en/item/45210/icode/<br />
  29. 29. New ideas needed<br />- but how deep are the roots of the current?<br /> 1000=> The colapse of the Roman empire (economist)<br /> 1700-talet Enlightenment (mechanic science)<br /> 1850 Industialism(more and bigger is better)<br /> 1944 Bretton Woods (one global and GDP focused economy)<br />
  30. 30. THREE THINGS CHANGINGeducation as we know it<br />
  31. 31. DEPLOYMENT<br />INSTALLATION<br />Turningpoint<br />More efficiently solving old problems - winners among old players<br />Applying paradigm to innovate across society – new winners<br />Time<br />20-30 years<br />1. Few understand why ICT is so important right now<br />A connected society is emerging and the opportunities revolutionary <br />Two different periods of each technological revolution<br />1771-<br />The industrial revolution<br />1829-<br />Steam, coal, iron & railways<br />1875-<br />Steel & heavy engineering<br />1908-<br />Automobile, oil, mass production<br />1971-<br />IT & telecommunication<br />Source: Professor Carlota Perez, Universities of Cambridge, Tallinn and Sussex<br />
  32. 32. 2. The 21st century infrastructure: The internet of things<br />An infrastructure connecting not only people, but things (>50 billions 2020)<br />
  33. 33. => Global citizens and story chains/context<br />illustration: A global map of scientific collaboration between researchers, <br />published 23rd of February 2011 by Olivier H. Beauchesnehttp://olihb.com/2011/01/23/map-of-scientific-collaboration-between-researchers/<br />
  34. 34. 3. Augmented reality and new tools for “prosumers”Trust/networks and data/presentation the most valuable assets<br />
  35. 35. => Transformative transparency and more focus on directing development<br />
  36. 36. Ideas that might inspire<br />
  37. 37. 1. 9 billion solutions (beyond incremental improvments)<br />Whatare the solutions that 9 billion peoplecanuse?<br />
  38. 38. 2. Diversity without “Cyberbalkanization” How do we encourage diversity without generating gaps in society?<br />The long-tail<br />
  39. 39. 3. Creation of creative networks<br />Who sets the framework for “A person who liked this also liked this is…” <br />
  40. 40. 4. Smart interfaces<br />Encourage interfaces that everyone can use<br />
  41. 41. Is the mobile app the nextinternal combustion engine?<br />
  42. 42. A unique interface<br />
  43. 43. Examples from the 21st Century Office app  <br />
  44. 44. Examples from the 21st Century Office app  <br />1. Calculate<br />
  45. 45. Examples from the 21st Century Office app  <br />2. Illustrate <br />
  46. 46. Examples from the 21st Century Office app  <br />3. Invest<br />
  47. 47. Examples from the 21st Century Office app  <br />4. Inform<br />
  48. 48. Examples from the 21st Century Office app  <br />5. Rank<br />
  49. 49. Examples from the 21st Century Office app  <br />6. Collect<br />
  50. 50. Examples from the 21st Century Office app  <br />8. Interact<br />Comment<br />
  51. 51. Examples from the 21st Century Office app  <br />7. Connect clusters<br />
  52. 52. A new world is emerging<br />http://transformative-applications.net/<br />
  53. 53. Three final thoughts<br />Encourage depth by celebrating deep narratives<br />Embrace complexity and uncertainty that delivers<br />Support the X-factor (5-10%)<br />
  54. 54. Become agenda setters<br />Please!<br />
  55. 55. 谢谢!<br />Sustainable development<br />www.pamlin.net<br />
  56. 56. Dreaming With BRICs: The Path to 2050 (Goldman Sachs) <br />http://www.gs.com/insight/research/reports/report6.htmlhttp://www2.goldmansachs.com/ideas/brics/brics-dream.html, October 2003<br />
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