Information, Knowledge and Wisdom in the 21st Century
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Information, Knowledge and Wisdom in the 21st Century

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Dennis Pamlin

Dennis Pamlin
EDEN Annual Conference 2011, Dublin

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Information, Knowledge and Wisdom in the 21st Century Information, Knowledge and Wisdom in the 21st Century Presentation Transcript

  • Kommunikation i en sammankopplad värld
    i förhållande till transformerande förändring
    Dennis Pamlin
  • Information, Knowledge and Wisdom in the 21st Century: Transformative Transparency and Mobile Connectivity, Implications when e-Learning Becomes the Main Way of Learning…
    All this in 30 min…
    Dennis Pamlin, Director, UN Global Compact, and WWF Consultant, Senior associate at CASS (Chinese Academy of Social Sciences)
  • Converging trends and emergingopportunities (>16 converging trends)
    • Geopolitical shifts
    • Accelerated technological development
    • Growing ecological footprint/Need for fertile soil
    • Climate change/Increased-decreased use of fossil fuel
    • Increased Toxic chemicals/Endocrine disrupters
    • Growing population (appx 50% more people in 2050 than now)
    • Aging population (China will havemoreolderadultsthan the population of the US in 2050)
    • Pandemics
    • Antibiotic resistance
    • Gender imbalance
    • Urbanisation (2008 first time in history with more people in cities… 75% by 2050)
    • Terrorism
    • Shifting ethical boundaries
    • Decentralised production/ Glocalisation
    • Changing income distribution
    • Transformative transparency
    16!
    20,922,789,888,000
    20 trillion,
    922 billion,
    789 million,
    888 thousand
  • 1. Growing need for natural resources =>
    War and trade conflicts & accelerated uptake of new solutions
    2. Aging population =>
    Pressure on/collapse of financial systems & morelong-term thinking
    3. Emerging countries grow stronger =>
    New values and structures
    4. Rapid technology development and convergence =>
    Accelerate trends and contribute to thresholds
    5. Transformative transparency & connectivity
    New ethics and possibility to create networks
  • The end of many exponential trends (due to physical limits)
  • …the birth of many new exponential trends
  • What are we looking at?
    One planet many worlds
  • 3. The world- What is happening?
  • 3. The world- What is happening?
    “The day is not far off when the economic problem will take the back seat where it belongs, and that the arena of the heart and head will be occupied . . . by our real problems - the problems of life and of human relations, of creation and behaviour and religion.”
    Keynes, J.M., foreword to Essays in Persuasion, 1931
  • 15 June 2011
    1.9 overweight
    More than 1.9 billion people worldwide were overweight in 2010, a 25 percent increase since 2002
    The trend over the last decade toward heavier populations cuts across regions and income levels. In India, 19 percent of adults are overweight, up from 14 percent in 2002. In Mexico, the figure has risen by 8 percentage points since 2002, while Brazil’s is up by 7 points and the rate in the U.K. is up by 5 points. East Asia has seen a 4 point increase over the period. The United States leads all industrialized countries with 78.6 percent of the adult population overweight, although Micronesia and Polynesia top all countries. There, nearly 88 percent of the over-15 population is overweight.
    http://www.worldwatch.org/nearly-two-billion-people-worldwide-now-overweight-0
  • 14 September 2010
    925 million in chronic hunger worldwide
    a child dying every six seconds because of undernourishment
    • Two thirds of the world's undernourished live in just seven countries — Bangladesh, China, the Democratic Republic of Congo, Ethiopia, India, Indonesia and Pakistan. • The region with the most undernourished people continues to be Asia and the Pacific with 578 million.• The proportion of undernourished people remains highest in sub-Saharan Africa at 30 percent in 2010, or 239 million.
    http://www.fao.org/news/story/en/item/45210/icode/
  • New ideas needed
    - but how deep are the roots of the current?
     1000=> The colapse of the Roman empire (economist)
     1700-talet Enlightenment (mechanic science)
     1850 Industialism(more and bigger is better)
     1944 Bretton Woods (one global and GDP focused economy)
  • THREE THINGS CHANGINGeducation as we know it
  • DEPLOYMENT
    INSTALLATION
    Turningpoint
    More efficiently solving old problems - winners among old players
    Applying paradigm to innovate across society – new winners
    Time
    20-30 years
    1. Few understand why ICT is so important right now
    A connected society is emerging and the opportunities revolutionary
    Two different periods of each technological revolution
    1771-
    The industrial revolution
    1829-
    Steam, coal, iron & railways
    1875-
    Steel & heavy engineering
    1908-
    Automobile, oil, mass production
    1971-
    IT & telecommunication
    Source: Professor Carlota Perez, Universities of Cambridge, Tallinn and Sussex
  • 2. The 21st century infrastructure: The internet of things
    An infrastructure connecting not only people, but things (>50 billions 2020)
  • => Global citizens and story chains/context
    illustration: A global map of scientific collaboration between researchers,
    published 23rd of February 2011 by Olivier H. Beauchesnehttp://olihb.com/2011/01/23/map-of-scientific-collaboration-between-researchers/
  • 3. Augmented reality and new tools for “prosumers”Trust/networks and data/presentation the most valuable assets
  • => Transformative transparency and more focus on directing development
  • Ideas that might inspire
  • 1. 9 billion solutions (beyond incremental improvments)
    Whatare the solutions that 9 billion peoplecanuse?
  • 2. Diversity without “Cyberbalkanization” How do we encourage diversity without generating gaps in society?
    The long-tail
  • 3. Creation of creative networks
    Who sets the framework for “A person who liked this also liked this is…”
  • 4. Smart interfaces
    Encourage interfaces that everyone can use
  • Is the mobile app the nextinternal combustion engine?
  • A unique interface
  • Examples from the 21st Century Office app 
  • Examples from the 21st Century Office app 
    1. Calculate
  • Examples from the 21st Century Office app 
    2. Illustrate
  • Examples from the 21st Century Office app 
    3. Invest
  • Examples from the 21st Century Office app 
    4. Inform
  • Examples from the 21st Century Office app 
    5. Rank
  • Examples from the 21st Century Office app 
    6. Collect
  • Examples from the 21st Century Office app 
    8. Interact
    Comment
  • Examples from the 21st Century Office app 
    7. Connect clusters
  • A new world is emerging
    http://transformative-applications.net/
  • Three final thoughts
    Encourage depth by celebrating deep narratives
    Embrace complexity and uncertainty that delivers
    Support the X-factor (5-10%)
  • Become agenda setters
    Please!
  • 谢谢!
    Sustainable development
    www.pamlin.net
  • Dreaming With BRICs: The Path to 2050 (Goldman Sachs)
    http://www.gs.com/insight/research/reports/report6.htmlhttp://www2.goldmansachs.com/ideas/brics/brics-dream.html, October 2003