The Codex of Business Writing Software for Real-World Solutions 2.pptx
Honorary Minister Mohamed Najib Boulif - Moroccan risk management policy
1. Kingdom of Morocco
Moroccan risk Management policy
Mr Mohamed Najib Boulif
Minister of General Affaires and Governance
August 28, 2012
2. Impact and resilience
Disasters are random phenomena
The impacts can be disastrous or
limited depending on the degree of
preparedness and resilience
3. Resilience is a complex
process
Prepardness is a complex process
that begins with a collective
awareness.
It takes to have a vision, budgets,
coordination and implementation
capacity.
This is why risk management should
be a national priority at local and
national levels
4. Decision making needs
figures
Earthquakes cost Morocco an average
of 85 Million $ per year
The North region is the most exposed
The probability for an earthquake to
cause a loss of 1.5 billion $ is 25% on
the coming 30 years
5. Decision making needs
figures
Annual losses caused by floods are 5
times more important than those
caused by earthquakes.
Annual losses caused by flood are
around 0.44 billion $ per year
A tsunami similar to the one occurred
in the 1755 will produce a wave high
as 8 m and will sink the whole
Casablanca port
6. Flood losses
Country Level Losses Million MAD
Return Period
Average Annual
Occupancy Loss 20 50 100 500 1,000
Residential 1,895 9,399 11,232 12,092 13,065 14,718
Commercial 434 1,965 2,342 2,530 2,708 3,006
Industrial 471 2,072 2,242 2,231 2,477 2,569
Essential F 369 1,913 2,214 2,351 2,497 2,751
Infrastructures 1,210 3,152 3,323 3,218 3,427 3,648
All Exposures 4,380 18,501 21,354 22,423 24,174 26,692
#6
7. Our strategy: triggers
repetitive disasters,
International Organizations work
Sectoral Risk work need more
coordination
awareness increases among politics
8. A need for a new strategy
since 2008: Morocco has worked to
settle a comprehensive and integrated
strategy to coordinate efforts and to
respond to the country new needs in
term of the Risk Management
10. Major actions
Top-down
Assessment and Modelization of 5 major risks
(Flood, Earthquake, Tsunamis, Droughts,
landslides) and
Estimation of impacts on infrastructure,
population and economy
Identification of Mitigation Measures: « what- if »
scenarios,
Mitigation measures cost/benefit analysis
Financing: law project for insurance to cover
natural disasters
Insurance to cover risks in agriculture
Bottom-up
Assessment of community perception of risk
11. Assessment objectives
Generate risk maps
Calculate the probability of occurrence of
hazards
calculate with enough precision the
level of exposure of infrastructures, population,
economy
◦ Calculate average annual losses (AAL) ,
◦ Generate Loss Exceedancy Curve (LEC)
◦ Casualities
◦ Cost /benefit analysis for mitigation measures
12. Short-term actions
Bureau for coordination at high level
National Plateform (Hyogo Framework
for Action)
Sectoral strategies
Aggregation of sectoral strategies=
national Strategy
Financial instruments: budgets, funds,
insurances
Data ( Information system)
Strategy deployment
Regional cooperation
13. Developed country
contribution
Capacity building and Knowledge
transfer
Cooperation enhancement among
regions
Local and Regional funds for
emergency responses