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Honorary Minister Mohamed Najib Boulif - Moroccan risk management policy


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Honorary Minister Mohamed Najib Boulif - Moroccan risk management policy

  1. 1. Kingdom of Morocco Moroccan risk Management policyMr Mohamed Najib BoulifMinister of General Affaires and Governance August 28, 2012
  2. 2. Impact and resilience Disasters are random phenomena The impacts can be disastrous or limited depending on the degree of preparedness and resilience
  3. 3. Resilience is a complexprocess Prepardness is a complex process that begins with a collective awareness. It takes to have a vision, budgets, coordination and implementation capacity. This is why risk management should be a national priority at local and national levels
  4. 4. Decision making needsfigures Earthquakes cost Morocco an average of 85 Million $ per year The North region is the most exposed The probability for an earthquake to cause a loss of 1.5 billion $ is 25% on the coming 30 years
  5. 5. Decision making needsfigures Annual losses caused by floods are 5 times more important than those caused by earthquakes. Annual losses caused by flood are around 0.44 billion $ per year A tsunami similar to the one occurred in the 1755 will produce a wave high as 8 m and will sink the whole Casablanca port
  6. 6. Flood losses Country Level Losses Million MAD Return Period Average Annual Occupancy Loss 20 50 100 500 1,000 Residential 1,895 9,399 11,232 12,092 13,065 14,718 Commercial 434 1,965 2,342 2,530 2,708 3,006 Industrial 471 2,072 2,242 2,231 2,477 2,569 Essential F 369 1,913 2,214 2,351 2,497 2,751 Infrastructures 1,210 3,152 3,323 3,218 3,427 3,648 All Exposures 4,380 18,501 21,354 22,423 24,174 26,692 #6
  7. 7. Our strategy: triggers repetitive disasters, International Organizations work Sectoral Risk work need more coordination awareness increases among politics
  8. 8. A need for a new strategy since 2008: Morocco has worked to settle a comprehensive and integrated strategy to coordinate efforts and to respond to the country new needs in term of the Risk Management
  9. 9. Strategy components Price volatility Management of natural disasters Drought risks
  10. 10. Major actionsTop-down Assessment and Modelization of 5 major risks (Flood, Earthquake, Tsunamis, Droughts, landslides) and Estimation of impacts on infrastructure, population and economy Identification of Mitigation Measures: « what- if » scenarios, Mitigation measures cost/benefit analysis Financing: law project for insurance to cover natural disasters Insurance to cover risks in agricultureBottom-up Assessment of community perception of risk
  11. 11. Assessment objectives Generate risk maps Calculate the probability of occurrence of hazards calculate with enough precision the level of exposure of infrastructures, population,economy ◦ Calculate average annual losses (AAL) , ◦ Generate Loss Exceedancy Curve (LEC) ◦ Casualities ◦ Cost /benefit analysis for mitigation measures
  12. 12. Short-term actions Bureau for coordination at high level National Plateform (Hyogo Framework for Action) Sectoral strategies Aggregation of sectoral strategies= national Strategy Financial instruments: budgets, funds, insurances Data ( Information system) Strategy deployment Regional cooperation
  13. 13. Developed countrycontribution Capacity building and Knowledge transfer Cooperation enhancement among regions Local and Regional funds for emergency responses
  14. 14. Thank you