More Related Content
Similar to COVID-19 Update (International): August 13, 2020 (14)
More from Steve Shafer (20)
COVID-19 Update (International): August 13, 2020
- 2. Italy
256,218
35,356
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Italy projection as of 2020-08-13
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
0
200
400
600
800
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 251,713 (476) -- Deaths: 35,225 (10) -- Case Mortality: 14.0% -- Daily Change: +3.7% Cases, -0.5% Deaths
2020-08-13 International: 2
- 3. Spain
383,933
28,752
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Spain projection as of 2020-08-13
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
0
250
500
750
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 329,784 (3,172) -- Deaths: 28,752 (0) -- Case Mortality: 8.7% -- Daily Change: +4.1% Cases, +0.0% Deaths
2020-08-13 International: 3
- 4. Portugal
56,243
1,815
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Portugal projection as of 2020-08-13
0
200
400
600
800
0
10
20
30
40
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 53,223 (278) -- Deaths: 1,764 (3) -- Case Mortality: 3.3% -- Daily Change: +0.4% Cases, +1.8% Deaths
2020-08-13 International: 4
- 5. France
261,703
30,528
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
France projection as of 2020-08-13
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
0
250
500
750
1,000
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 244,088 (4,733) -- Deaths: 30,375 (47) -- Case Mortality: 12.4% -- Daily Change: +9.5% Cases, +1.7% Deaths
2020-08-13 International: 5
- 6. Germany
232,697
9,316
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Germany projection as of 2020-08-13
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
0
100
200
300
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 220,859 (1,319) -- Deaths: 9,213 (5) -- Case Mortality: 4.2% -- Daily Change: +4.1% Cases, +0.4% Deaths
2020-08-13 International: 6
- 7. Switzerland
39,664
2,003
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Switzerland projection as of 2020-08-13
0
250
500
750
1,000
1,250
0
20
40
60
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 37,169 (274) -- Deaths: 1,991 (1) -- Case Mortality: 5.4% -- Daily Change: +1.6% Cases, +6.0% Deaths
2020-08-13 International: 7
- 8. Austria
24,312
736
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Austria projection as of 2020-08-13
0
200
400
600
800
0
10
20
30
40
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 22,439 (194) -- Deaths: 724 (1) -- Case Mortality: 3.2% -- Daily Change: +1.7% Cases, -0.4% Deaths
2020-08-13 International: 8
- 9. Sweden
87,175
5,875
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Sweden projection as of 2020-08-13
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
0
30
60
90
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 83,455 (329) -- Deaths: 5,774 (4) -- Case Mortality: 6.9% -- Daily Change: +3.2% Cases, -9.1% Deaths
2020-08-13 International: 9
- 10. Netherlands
68,066
6,197
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Netherlands projection as of 2020-08-13
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
0
50
100
150
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 61,718 (1,327) -- Deaths: 6,182 (4) -- Case Mortality: 10.0% -- Daily Change: +7.8% Cases, +5.2% Deaths
2020-08-13 International: 10
- 11. United Kingdom
328,319
47,931
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
United Kingdom projection as of 2020-08-13
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
0
250
500
750
1,000
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 315,581 (1,039) -- Deaths: 46,791 (77) -- Case Mortality: 14.8% -- Daily Change: +2.4% Cases, -2.2% Deaths
2020-08-13 International: 11
- 12. Iceland
2,102
10
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Iceland projection as of 2020-08-13
0
20
40
60
0.0
1.0
2.0
3.0
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 1,972 (4) -- Deaths: 10 (0) -- Case Mortality: 0.5% -- Daily Change: -3.4% Cases, NaN% Deaths
2020-08-13 International: 12
- 13. Canada
129,444
9,177
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Canada projection as of 2020-08-13
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
0
50
100
150
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 122,703 (314) -- Deaths: 9,052 (14) -- Case Mortality: 7.4% -- Daily Change: -0.1% Cases, -1.0% Deaths
2020-08-13 International: 13
- 14. Australia
33,311
887
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Australia projection as of 2020-08-13
0
200
400
600
0
10
20
30
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 22,358 (231) -- Deaths: 361 (9) -- Case Mortality: 1.6% -- Daily Change: -3.9% Cases, +5.4% Deaths
2020-08-13 International: 14
- 15. New Zealand
1,593
22
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
New Zealand projection as of 2020-08-13
0
20
40
60
80
0.0
1.0
2.0
3.0
4.0
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 1,589 (19) -- Deaths: 22 (0) -- Case Mortality: 1.4% -- Daily Change: +17.9% Cases, +0.0% Deaths
2020-08-13 International: 15
- 16. China
91,780
4,740
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
China projection as of 2020-08-13
0
2,000
4,000
0
100
200
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 89,045 (87) -- Deaths: 4,697 (4) -- Case Mortality: 5.3% -- Daily Change: -6.9% Cases, +2.2% Deaths
2020-08-13 International: 16
- 17. Taiwan
506
7
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Taiwan projection as of 2020-08-13
0.0
5.0
10.0
15.0
20.0
0.00
0.25
0.50
0.75
1.00
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 481 (1) -- Deaths: 7 (0) -- Case Mortality: 1.5% -- Daily Change: -10.3% Cases, NaN% Deaths
2020-08-13 International: 17
- 18. South Korea
15,296
313
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
South Korea projection as of 2020-08-13
0
200
400
600
0
10
20
30
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 14,770 (56) -- Deaths: 305 (0) -- Case Mortality: 2.1% -- Daily Change: +3.8% Cases, +0.3% Deaths
2020-08-13 International: 18
- 19. Singapore
61,975
27
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Singapore projection as of 2020-08-13
0
250
500
750
1,000
0
20
40
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 55,395 (42) -- Deaths: 27 (0) -- Case Mortality: 0.0% -- Daily Change: -7.2% Cases, +0.0% Deaths
2020-08-13 International: 19
- 20. Japan
79,178
1,131
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Japan projection as of 2020-08-13
0
500
1,000
1,500
0
25
50
75
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 51,288 (986) -- Deaths: 1,066 (8) -- Case Mortality: 2.1% -- Daily Change: -2.0% Cases, +5.6% Deaths
2020-08-13 International: 20
- 21. South Africa
759,212
19,933
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
South Africa projection as of 2020-08-13
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
0
200
400
600
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 568,919 (2,810) -- Deaths: 11,010 (259) -- Case Mortality: 1.9% -- Daily Change: -7.0% Cases, +0.9% Deaths
2020-08-13 International: 21
- 22. Israel
107,513
907
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Israel projection as of 2020-08-13
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
0
25
50
75
100
125
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 88,151 (1,558) -- Deaths: 639 (17) -- Case Mortality: 0.7% -- Daily Change: +0.5% Cases, +1.0% Deaths
2020-08-13 International: 22
- 23. Turkey
261,284
6,228
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Turkey projection as of 2020-08-13
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
0
50
100
150
200
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 244,392 (1,212) -- Deaths: 5,891 (18) -- Case Mortality: 2.4% -- Daily Change: +1.9% Cases, -0.5% Deaths
2020-08-13 International: 23
- 24. Lebanon
13,003
165
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Lebanon projection as of 2020-08-13
0
100
200
300
0.0
5.0
10.0
15.0
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 7,413 (292) -- Deaths: 89 (2) -- Case Mortality: 1.2% -- Daily Change: +5.5% Cases, +5.5% Deaths
2020-08-13 International: 24
- 25. Iran
380,000
23,868
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Iran projection as of 2020-08-13
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
0
50
100
150
200
250
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 333,699 (2,510) -- Deaths: 18,988 (188) -- Case Mortality: 5.7% -- Daily Change: -1.0% Cases, -1.5% Deaths
2020-08-13 International: 25
- 26. Iraq
222,262
7,502
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Iraq projection as of 2020-08-13
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
0
50
100
150
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 160,436 (3,441) -- Deaths: 5,588 (57) -- Case Mortality: 3.5% -- Daily Change: +1.8% Cases, +0.3% Deaths
2020-08-13 International: 26
- 27. Egypt
100,652
5,760
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Egypt projection as of 2020-08-13
0
500
1,000
1,500
0
25
50
75
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 95,963 (129) -- Deaths: 5,085 (26) -- Case Mortality: 5.3% -- Daily Change: -7.6% Cases, -3.8% Deaths
2020-08-13 International: 27
- 28. Saudi Arabia
320,755
3,984
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Saudi Arabia projection as of 2020-08-13
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
0
50
100
150
200
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 293,037 (1,569) -- Deaths: 3,269 (36) -- Case Mortality: 1.1% -- Daily Change: -1.0% Cases, +2.4% Deaths
2020-08-13 International: 28
- 29. Kuwait
83,936
562
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Kuwait projection as of 2020-08-13
0
250
500
750
1,000
0
10
20
30
40
50
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 73,785 (717) -- Deaths: 489 (3) -- Case Mortality: 0.7% -- Daily Change: +1.7% Cases, +0.2% Deaths
2020-08-13 International: 29
- 30. United Arab Emirates
67,686
376
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
United Arab Emirates projection as of 2020-08-13
0
250
500
750
0
10
20
30
40
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 63,212 (246) -- Deaths: 358 (0) -- Case Mortality: 0.6% -- Daily Change: -2.0% Cases, -3.2% Deaths
2020-08-13 International: 30
- 31. Oman
90,266
811
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Oman projection as of 2020-08-13
0
500
1,000
1,500
0
20
40
60
80
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 82,299 (249) -- Deaths: 539 (6) -- Case Mortality: 0.7% -- Daily Change: -3.1% Cases, +3.6% Deaths
2020-08-13 International: 31
- 32. Qatar
100,674
218
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Qatar projection as of 2020-08-13
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
0
25
50
75
100
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 113,938 (292) -- Deaths: 190 (2) -- Case Mortality: 0.2% -- Daily Change: +2.3% Cases, +1.7% Deaths
2020-08-13 International: 32
- 33. Bahrain
50,315
204
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Bahrain projection as of 2020-08-13
0
200
400
600
0
10
20
30
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 45,264 (460) -- Deaths: 166 (1) -- Case Mortality: 0.4% -- Daily Change: +2.1% Cases, +1.7% Deaths
2020-08-13 International: 33
- 34. Brazil
4,084,077
128,115
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Brazil projection as of 2020-08-13
0
20,000
40,000
60,000
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 3,164,785 (55,155) -- Deaths: 104,201 (1,175) -- Case Mortality: 3.3% -- Daily Change: -0.2% Cases, -0.3% Deaths
2020-08-13 International: 34
- 35. Chile
412,001
11,834
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Chile projection as of 2020-08-13
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
0
100
200
300
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 378,168 (1,552) -- Deaths: 10,205 (27) -- Case Mortality: 2.7% -- Daily Change: -1.0% Cases, -2.6% Deaths
2020-08-13 International: 35
- 36. Colombia
635,346
24,627
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Colombia projection as of 2020-08-13
0
5,000
10,000
0
200
400
600
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 422,519 (12,066) -- Deaths: 13,837 (362) -- Case Mortality: 3.3% -- Daily Change: +1.6% Cases, +0.8% Deaths
2020-08-13 International: 36
- 37. Peru
625,740
26,488
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Peru projection as of 2020-08-13
0
20,000
40,000
60,000
80,000
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 489,680 (0) -- Deaths: 21,501 (0) -- Case Mortality: 4.4% -- Daily Change: -1.4% Cases, -0.8% Deaths
2020-08-13 International: 37
- 38. Mexico
632,996
69,923
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Mexico projection as of 2020-08-13
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
0
250
500
750
1,000
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 498,380 (5,858) -- Deaths: 54,666 (737) -- Case Mortality: 11.0% -- Daily Change: -1.4% Cases, +1.7% Deaths
2020-08-13 International: 38
- 39. Ukraine
110,036
2,506
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Ukraine projection as of 2020-08-13
0
500
1,000
1,500
0
20
40
60
80
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 86,504 (1,481) -- Deaths: 1,999 (20) -- Case Mortality: 2.3% -- Daily Change: +1.6% Cases, +2.7% Deaths
2020-08-13 International: 39
- 40. Russia
994,727
17,914
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Russia projection as of 2020-08-13
0
3,000
6,000
9,000
12,000
0
200
400
600
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 900,745 (5,054) -- Deaths: 15,231 (128) -- Case Mortality: 1.7% -- Daily Change: -0.7% Cases, -0.9% Deaths
2020-08-13 International: 40
- 41. India
3,600,438
71,186
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
India projection as of 2020-08-13
0
20,000
40,000
60,000
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 2,396,637 (66,999) -- Deaths: 47,033 (942) -- Case Mortality: 2.0% -- Daily Change: +1.4% Cases, +1.6% Deaths
2020-08-13 International: 41
- 42. Pakistan
298,603
6,507
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Pakistan projection as of 2020-08-13
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
0
100
200
300
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 285,921 (730) -- Deaths: 6,129 (17) -- Case Mortality: 2.1% -- Daily Change: -2.6% Cases, -2.5% Deaths
2020-08-13 International: 42