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Maxwell A. Cameron
Department of Political Science, UBC
October 2015
Post-Election Cooperation in Parliament
Trust and Confidence
Table of Contents
Executive Summary	
Forming Government: Cooperation and Confidence	
Understanding Our Democracy:A Crash Course 	
Power,Accountability and the PMO	
Genuine or False Majority: Governing forYour Base	
Cooperation: Governing for Canadians	
Cooperation in Government:Around the World and in Canada 	
Cooperation in the 2015 Post-Election Context	
Conclusion 	
Want to Read More?	
Q&A	
Glossary of KeyTerms	
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
1
Trust and Confidence: Post-Election Cooperation in Parliament
It seems likely that none of the federal parties will win enough
seats on October 19 to form a majority government on their own.
Broadly speaking, this leaves two possibilities: a minority or
coalition government. Both options demand cooperation and
compromise among our parliamentarians.
Canada’s parliamentary system can ensure good government
even when no party wins an absolute number of seats or votes.
Moreover, a coalition or minority government operating with the
support of other parties on budgets and confidence votes, may
offer many advantages over the false majority it replaces.
Minority or coalition governments can better represent
the interests of the majority of Canadians by emphasizing
cooperation between parties instead of polarization. Increased
representation of Canadian interests in government yields
policies that benefit Canadians broadly. Historically, Canada
has benefited from cooperation - minority governments have
given Canadians our national health care program, our pension
plan.
The effectiveness of a coalition or minority government depends
on the leadership of the parties involved. If our leaders act in a
spirit of cooperation for the common good, the advantages
could include restoring independence and integrity between
the government and legislature, introducing policies favoured
by broad majorities, and giving greater say to our elected
representatives. It could also dampen the hyper-partisanship
that has infected our politics.
These advantages stem from the confidence convention, which
requires that a leader have the trust and confidence of the majority
of MPs to serve as prime minister.
Many Canadians do not fully understand some of our democratic
traditions, due to misinformation. First and foremost, we do not
directly elect Canada’s prime minister. Rather, we hold our prime
minister accountable through our elected representatives, whose
confidence the prime minister needs to lead. In minority or
coalition government, leaders are highly motivated to build and
maintain trust and support across party lines.
This paper aims to combat myths around Canada’s democracy
and suggest minority and coalition governments as legitimate
and desirable alternatives.
Executive Summary ENDORSED BY
Peter Russell
Professor Emeritus, and Past President,
Canadian Political Science Association,
Department of Political Science,
University ofToronto
Andrew Heard
Associate Professor, Political Science
Department, Simon Fraser University
David Boyd
Adjunct Professor in Resource and
Environmental Management at Simon
Fraser University
Patti Tamara Lenard
Assistant Professor, Graduate School of
Public and International Affairs, University
of Ottawa
MelissaWilliams
Professor of Political Science, and founding
Director of the Centre for Ethics at the
University ofToronto
Monique Deveaux
Professor, Canada Research Chair in Ethics
& Global Social Change, Department of
Philosophy, University of Guelph
Yasmin Dawood
Associate Professor, Faculty of Law,
University ofToronto
Paul Thomas
Professor Emeritus, University of Manitoba
Donald Savoie
Canada Research Chair in Public
Administration and Governance, University
of Moncton
John Courtney
Professor Emeritus, Political Studies, and
Senior Policy Fellow, Johnson-Shoyama
Graduate School of Public Policy,
University of Saskatchewan
2
Trust and Confidence: Post-Election Cooperation in Parliament
The key to forming government in Canada is securing the
cooperation, trust, and confidence (supportive votes) of the
majority of elected representatives. This can be accomplished by
winning a majority of seats, forming a coalition, or securing a
supply and confidence understanding between parties. Parties in
Canada do not automatically win the right to govern, even if they
secure the largest number of votes or seats.
Although uncommon given the strength of party discipline in
Canada, governments can in principle be brought down by votes of
non-confidence and replaced by either a minority government or
coalition that does command the confidence of the House. This
does not amount to an abuse of the system, nor does it constitute a
violation of the rules or conventions of parliamentary democracy.
To the contrary, this confidence convention is a basic feature of
accountability and sovereignty in parliamentary governments
(Franks 1989, 10-13).
Moreover, a minority or coalition government may well
represent more Canadians than the false majority it replaces.
Post-election cooperation among parliamentarians may foster
healthy debate across party lines, and may provide opportunities
for political parties to advance the interest of a broader spectrum
of Canadian voters. It is no surprise that important Canadian
policy innovations – our health care system, our pension plan,
bilingualism – are outcomes of cooperation across party lines.
Forming Government: Cooperation and Confidence
“It is no surprise that important
Canadian policy innovations – our
health care system, our pension plan,
bilingualism – are outcomes of
cooperation across party lines.”
3
Trust and Confidence: Post-Election Cooperation in Parliament
Understanding Our Democracy: A Crash Course
“Canadian voters do not directly
choose their prime minister. In our
parliamentary system, the government
is formed by the leader of the party that
can command the confidence of the
House of Commons.”
1. The Senate is the rough equivalent of the House of Lords in the UK, but without the hereditary titles and judicial functions.
Canada has a mixed constitution. We are a parliamentary
democracy with a constitutional monarchy. Our system of
government was inherited from the Westminster parliament of
the United Kingdom. Like Westminster, Canada’s parliament
is composed of two chambers. We have an elected House of
Commons and an appointed Senate1.
We exercise our right to be governed by people of our choosing by
electing candidates of political parties to the House of Commons.
Only the House of Commons is a democratic representative
institution because its members are elected by the people.
What do our elected parliamentarians do? For starters,
they select the government of the day.
Canadian voters do not directly choose their prime minister.
In our parliamentary system, the government is formed by the
leader of the party that can command the confidence of the
House of Commons.
Although half of all Canadians think the prime minister
is directly elected (Aucoin et al 2011: 189-190), in fact MPs
in the House of Commons determine who forms the government.
They do this by deciding which political party (or parties, if
the government is a coalition) has the support of a majority of
MPs. In a majority government, this can be a simple matter of
whipped votes. However in a minority or coalition government,
parties will need to work together in a spirit of cooperation for
the good of all Canadians.
The Queen, Canada’s head of state, is represented in Canada by the
Governor General, who has primarily symbolic powers. However,
when no party emerges with a clear majority, or when the
governing party does not have the confidence of the House, the
Governor General’s powers and prerogatives become critical.
If the prime minister loses the confidence of the majority of MPs,
the Governor General may, on the advice of the prime minister,
dissolve the parliament and call an election. But he or she also
has the prerogative to offer the opposition the chance to form the
government, especially if they can make the case that they can
command the confidence of the House.
4
Trust and Confidence: Post-Election Cooperation in Parliament
Power, Accountability and the PMO
At the top of our system is the prime minister. Although the
powers of the prime minister are unwritten - many of the most
important features of our constitution are based on unwritten
conventions (Heard 2014) - they are substantial2. Indeed, over
our history, the office of the prime minister (or PMO) has
accumulated inordinate power at the expense of the House
of Commons (Aucoin et al. 2011: 1-4; see also Savoie 2008).
Nonetheless, both the prime minister and cabinet are responsible
to the House. This is what is meant by “responsible government.”
Government serves only as long as it commands the confidence
of the House of Commons.
Notice the elegance of the solution. The power of the prime
minister rests on a cooperative relationship with the House.
The House is comprised of elected representatives (including
ministers) who are accountable to the electorate. Through our
elected representatives (both opposition and government
backbenchers), the electorate is therefore able to hold the prime
minister accountable. At any time, a prime minister who loses
the trust and confidence of the House of Commons loses the
right to lead our country.
However, under majority governments, the confidence
convention can and has been twisted to evade rather than
uphold accountability. In recent years governments and
opposition alike have relied on the threat of non-confidence to
whip votes. This makes a pantomime out of parliament, and costs
Canadians because it makes MPs more faithful representatives
of their parties than their constituents. A coalition or minority
government could make parliament work for all Canadians, and
curtail a further concentration of power in the PMO.
2. One of the curiosities of the Canadian constitution—also a British inheritance—is that the office of the prime minister is not formally specified.
“At any time, a prime minister
who loses the trust and confidence
of the House of Commons loses
the right to lead our country.”
5
Trust and Confidence: Post-Election Cooperation in Parliament
Canada’s electoral system is based on giving seats to whoever
wins the most votes in each riding. This is called the first-past-
the-post system.
When a political party wins a majority of the seats in the House
of Commons, it can form a majority government. This means
that the leader of the largest party can command the confidence
of the House solely with the support of MPs from his or her own
party. The assumption is that a majority government represents
the interests of the majority of Canadians.
However, in a first-past-the-post electoral system, it is possible
to form what Peter H. Russell (2008: 5) calls “false” majority
governments. This is where a majority government is formed
by a “party that has won a majority of seats in the House of
Commons but has obtained less than 50% of the popular vote.”
(also see Cairns 1968, 55, 61-2).
In majority governments leaders and parties have strong
incentives to act in the interest of their support base, ignoring
Canadians who did not vote for them. In a false majority,
the MPs from opposing parties can be completely ignored
despite the fact that, taken together, they represent a majority
of the electorate.
Genuine or False Majority:
Governing for Your Base
“In majority governments leaders
and parties have strong incentives
to act in the interest of their support
base, ignoring Canadians who did
not vote for them.”
6
Trust and Confidence: Post-Election Cooperation in Parliament
Genuine majority governments and false majority governments
are two possible election outcomes. When no party has a major-
ity, a couple of other possibilities emerge: minority and coalition
governments.
Since minority and coalition governments are structurally
more sensitive to the broad majority of the electorate, they tend
to be more supportive of policies and programs that benefit
broad majorities. This is why welfare states are more robust in
European countries with parliamentary systems of government
and proportional electoral systems (Russell 2008: 93). In the
Canadian context, the Pearson minority government created
Medicare, the Canada Pension Plan and brought us our flag.
Both coalition and minority governments demand cooperation
across party lines. The difference is how formalized the
cooperation is:
Coalition: A coalition is formed when two or more
parties agree to form government and share cabinet or
other appointments. Together, or with the support of
other parties or MPs, they can command the confidence
of the House. In a coalition, parties can agree to work
together on certain matters and maintain independent
positions on others. International examples (Sweden,
Norway, Germany, and Switzerland) have demonstrated
that through shared appointments and shared priorities,
these are relatively stable governments. Canada has very
little experience with coalition government.
Minority Government: A minority government
occurs when government is formed by a party that does
not have a majority of seats in parliament. A minority
government must win confidence votes (“yes” votes on
budgets and matters of confidence) from other parties to
remain in office. Often this is secured through a policy
accord, which outlines shared priorities and a time line
for working together. In the Canadian context, minority
governments have been frequent, often brief (on average
less than two years) but highly productive.
Cooperation: Governing for Canadians
Coalition and minority governments have the potential to
represent the views of a broader spectrum of voters than
governments with parliamentary majorities based on pluralities;
they are based on compromise and a more consensual approach to
politics; they may be more responsible and accountable; and they
tend to enhance the power of ordinary members of parliament
(Franks 38; Lijphart 1984, 23).
Canada’s parliamentary system requires the branches of
government work together cooperatively. Our system
upholds the rule of law by embedding the executive (what we
normally think of as the “government”) within the legislature.
But this arrangement works best when parliament is genuinely
capable of holding the prime minister and the government
accountable. Majority governments can work against this kind
of accountability and become veritable elective dictatorships.
For Canadians, cooperation could mean a productive
government engaged in vigorous, but not hyper-partisan
debate, implementing well thought out social and economic
policies that benefit the country broadly.
“Since minority and coalition governments
are structurally more sensitive to the
broad majority of the electorate, they
tend to be more supportive of social
policies and welfare programs that
benefit broad majorities.”
7
Trust and Confidence: Post-Election Cooperation in Parliament
Coalition government is commonplace in parliamentary
democracies around the world. “In most Western democracies,”
writes Gregory Luebbert, “elections do not decide who will govern.
Who will govern is instead decided by coalition negotiations
among political parties.” (Luebbert 1986: 1). According to one
study, no less than 87 percent of the governments formed in
western European and Commonwealth parliamentary systems
were coalition or minority governments; only 13 percent were
single-party majority governments (cited in Russell 2008: 79).
Minority and coalition governments around the world are generally
quite stable. There is no relationship between the frequency of
minority governments and political or regime instability.
In the Canadian context, despite minority governments tending to
be fairly brief, they have often been quite productive. Medicare, the
Canada Pension Plan, and bilingualism were all introduced under
Lester B. Pearson’s back-to-back minority Liberal governments in
the 1960s. It is not surprising then to learn that the polls suggest
most Canadians support the idea of a minority or coalition gov-
ernment if no party wins an absolute majority in the 2015 election.
An erroneous interpretation of Canadian politics has gained
ground. According to this view, which is at odds with our
traditions and conventions, “losers don’t get to form coalitions”
(Stephen Harper, quoted in Aucoin et al. 2008: 187). This is
false and misleading (see Mitchell, 2015).
Cooperation in Government: Around the World and in Canada
Formal coalitions are unfamiliar at the federal level but
minority governments are quite common. Since 1921 we have
had 29 elections, 13 of which produced minority governments.
There are a number of reasons why, despite indications of
widespread popular support, coalitions have been the exception:
•	 Under our first-past-the-post system, artificial
or “false” majority governments are easily constructed
through the electoral system.
•	 Historically, Canada’s party system has tended to produce
centrist governments, but Canadian politics have become
more polarized and fragmented. This may make cooperation
in parliament increasingly necessary in the future.
•	 Prime ministers are often unhappy about not having
full control of government. Opposition leaders fear
that their party will lose its identity as a junior partner
in a coalition.
This last point, in particular, does not mean that majority
governments are better for voters or democracy. The confidence
convention – which forces leadership to approach governance
in the spirit of cooperation instead of divisiveness – is good for
both voters and democracy. Coalition governments are generally
associated with policy moderation and inclusiveness. European
social democracies have often rested on broad coalitions, which
are easier to sustain with proportional representation than under
first-past-the-post electoral systems (Schneider and Soskice
2009: 21-23). Scandinavian countries like Sweden and Norway, for
example, have had very stable and successful coalition governments.
Grand coalitions in Germany including the Green Party helped
that country shift from fossil fuels and become a leader in
renewable energy.
Politicians can make minority parliaments work well if they
approach governing in a spirit of cooperation. Often the success
of minority governments depends on the behaviour of politicians.
“Politicians can make minority parliaments
work well if they approach governing in
a spirit of cooperation. Often the success
of minority governments depends on the
behaviour of politicians.”
8
Trust and Confidence: Post-Election Cooperation in Parliament
Up until election day in Canada, the major national political
parties tend to campaign with the goal of winning a majority.
Assuming that no coalitions are announced between now and
October 19, there are basically three possible election outcomes:
a single party wins a majority, a single party forms a minority
government, or a coalition is announced. We are familiar with
majorities in Canada, so will focus on the alternatives.
If no party wins 170 seats in an election (an absolute majority in
a 338 seat legislature) the normal result is a minority government.
The governing party has the right to carry on until the prime
minister resigns or meets the House and is defeated. As the
head of a caretaker government, the prime minister cannot
make appointments and, of course, legislation cannot be passed
until the House sits.
If the opposition parties cooperate and reach an agreement to
form either a minority government with supply and confidence,
or a formal coalition, they must wait for the government to meet
the House and be defeated before the Governor General may invite
them to form government.
Parliament is normally convened shortly after an election.
Although there is no time limit on how soon the new parliament
must be convened, (except the requirement that it must meet
once a year) there would be strong objections if the delay were
too long. Until parliament meets and the prime minister’s party
wins a vote of confidence in the newly elected House of Commons,
the government is in “caretaker mode” and cannot take any new
initiatives, including important appointments.
The first occasion to meet the confidence test is normally the
Speech from the Throne, which immediately follows the election
of a Speaker and inaugurates the new parliament. If a government
falls on a Speech from the Throne, it is the prerogative of the
Governor General to invite the leader of the opposition party with
the most seats to form a new government. The prime minister
may advise a dissolution of parliament and a new election, but the
Governor General has the prerogative to reject that advice from a
Cooperation in the 2015 Post-Election Context
prime minister who has lost the confidence of the House,
especially if there is a reasonable expectation that there is an
alternative government that commands the confidence of the
House, and not much time has passed since the election.
Moreover, the Governor General also has the power to dismiss the
prime minister in order to allow another party or coalition to form
the government—but only if the prime minister has not resigned
following a vote of non-confidence and, again, assuming that an
opposition party leader can make the case that as prime minister
of a minority or coalition government his government can
command the confidence of the House for a reasonable period
of time. In such a situation, it would be important for the parties
to have credible agreement to work together.
Should a government fall on a vote of non-confidence, it is
essential that the opposition demonstrate the capacity to
form a government. This requires that political parties wishing
to form government have already started working cooperatively
either on a supply and confidence arrangement or a coalition
so that they are ready to indicate their intention to form a
government to the Governor General.
A minority government may involve a congenial working
relationship without any formal accord between parties.
Sometimes these arrangements work for a short period of time,
and sometimes they are more long-lasting. They can also involve
shifting alliances among various parties. A coalition, on the
other hand, could conceivably create a more enduring governing
arrangement along the lines of the grand coalitions in Western
European democracies.
In either scenario, the party leaders will need to engage
thoughtfully in a process of negotiation. If they exercise their
leadership wisely, they may reach agreement on a common
policy agenda, sustain cooperation and make parliament
work for Canadians.
9
Trust and Confidence: Post-Election Cooperation in Parliament
The key to forming government in Canada is securing the
cooperation, trust and confidence of the majority of elected
representatives. This can be accomplished by winning a majority
of seats, forming a coalition, or securing a supply and confidence
arrangement. Canadians need to be prepared for the eventuality
of coalition or minority government in the event that no party
wins an absolute majority of seats on October 19. Parliamentary
systems of government are uniquely well suited to ensuring that
stable governments are formed even in such circumstances. We
have a history in Canada of productive minority governments that
work cooperatively in the best interest of Canadians and there are
examples around the world of successful coalition governments.
•	 We vote to choose an elected member, not the prime
minister. It’s our elected representatives who form the
government of Canada.
•	 A party leader must have the confidence of the majority
of MPs to earn the right to be prime minister, and this
demands cooperation if there is no majority.
•	 Canada’s parliamentary system and its achievements
are built on cooperation. Minority government with
cooperation between parties has given Canada our health
care plan and pension plan.
Conclusion
•	 The benefits of minority governments have stood the
test of time. In Canada, such governments are relatively
commonplace, and they have been brief but productive.
Coalitions are uncommon in our history, but the
experience of other democracies suggests they can
be inclusive, and effective.
•	 The effectiveness of a coalition or minority governments,
however, rests on the leadership of the parties involved,
and their spirit of cooperation and negotiation.
•	 Many Canadians’ understanding of coalition governments
comes from the prorogation of parliament in 2008-2009.
This generated a negative and misinformed view of our
democratic traditions. Coalition governments do not
represent a hijacking of our democracy federal parties.
As Canadians consider how to vote on October 19, they should
consider the advantages of parliament that is not dominated by
a single party with a false majority. Cooperation—whether in
the shape of a short-term arrangement to support a minority
government or a more enduring coalition—is part of the very
design of our democracy.
10
Trust and Confidence: Post-Election Cooperation in Parliament
Aucoin, Peter, et al. 2011. Democratizing the Constitution:
Reforming Responsible Government. Toronto: Emond
Montgomery Publications.
Cairns, Alan. “The Electoral System and the Party System in
Canada, 1921-1965.” The Canadian Journal of Political Science
1, no. 1 (1968): 55-80.
Forsey, Eugene. 1980. How Canadians Govern Themselves,
8th Edition. Ottawa: Library of Parliament, Canada.
Franks, C.E.S. 1989. The Parliament of Canada. Toronto:
University of Toronto Press.
Hazell, Robert and Akash Paun, eds. 2009. Making Minority
Government Work: Hung parliaments and the challenges
for Westminster and Whitehall. The Constitution Unit,
Institute for Government, University College London.
https://www.ucl.ac.uk/constitution-unit/publications/tabs/
unit-publications/147.pdf
Heard, Andrew D. 2014. Canadian Constitutional Conventions:
The Marriage of Law and Politics, 2nd Edition. Toronto: Oxford
University Press.
Lijphart, Arend. 1984. Democracies: Patterns of Majoritarian and
Consensus Government in Twenty-One Countries. New Haven:
Yale University Press.
Want to Read More?
Loat, Alison and Michael MacMillan. 2014. Tragedy in the
Commons. Toronto: Random House.
Luebbert, Gregory M. 1986. Comparative Democracy:
Policymaking and Governing Coalitions in Europe and Israel.
New York: Columbia University Press.
Mitchell, David. July 20, 2015. “When ‘losers’ have the right to
form government.” The Globe and Mail, http://www.theglobe-
andmail.com/globe-debate/when-losers-have-the-right-to-
form-a-government/article25566174/
Rathgeber, Brent. 2014. Irresponsible Government: The Decline
of Parliamentary Democracy in Canada. Toronto: Dundurn.
Russell, Peter H. 2008. Two Cheers for Minority Government:
The Evolution of Canadian Parliamentary Democracy. Toronto:
Emond Montgomery Publications.
Savoie, Donald. 2008. Court Government and the Collapse of
Accountability in Canada and the United Kingdom. Toronto:
University of Toronto Press.
Schneider, Ben Ross and Peter Soskice. “Inequality in Developed
Countries and Latin America: Coordinated, liberal and
hierarchical systems.” Economy and Society, Vol. 38, no. 1, 2009,
pp. 17-52.
Smith, David E. 2007. The People’s House of Commons: Theory of
Democracy in Contention. Toronto: University of Toronto Press.
10
11
Trust and Confidence: Post-Election Cooperation in Parliament
Why is there talk of coalitions during this election?
If no party wins 170 seats (an absolute majority in a 338 seat
legislature), the tradition in Westminster parliamentary democracies
is to allow minority governments or coalitions to govern.
Doesn’t this mean instability?
Minority governments can be quite stable, although in
Canada they have tended to be brief (on average under two years).
Coalitions at the federal level are rare in Canada but are common-
place in many parliamentary democracies around
the world and they can be very stable.
But are there precedents for this in Canada?
There are precedents for coalition and minority governments
in Canada, both federally and provincially. Liberal Party leader
Mackenzie King governed with the support of the Progressive
Party after losing his plurality of seats to Arthur Meighen in
the 1925 election. When his government fell the Conservative
Party formed a short-lived government with the support of the
Progressives in 1926. King won re-election later that fall. David
Peterson’s Liberal Party in Ontario formed government in
1985-1990, even though it had the second largest number of
seats, thanks to an accord with the NDP. The NDP government
of Roy Romanow formed a coalition with the Saskatchewan
Liberal Party in 1999. BC Liberals and Conservatives worked in
coalition between 1941-1951. Two Lester Pearson back-to-back
minority governments created Medicare, the Canada Pension
Plan, multiculturalism policies, and introduced a new flag.
They did this with NDP support.
Q&A
But if the losers gang up on the party that won
the most votes or seats, isn’t that undemocratic?
No. A party or coalition only has the right to govern if it
commands the confidence of the House of Commons. Polls
suggest most Canadians support the idea of a coalition if no
party wins an absolute majority in the 2015 election.
Is there a precedent in Canada for the Governor
General to refuse to dissolve parliament and ask
the opposition to form government?
Yes, this occurred in the famous King–Byng affair. In 1926 Prime
Minister Mackenzie King asked Governor General Lord Byng to
dissolve Parliament and call an election. Byng refused and invited
the Conservative Party leader to form a government, which he
attempted—but the new government was short lived.
Why are there so few coalitions in Canada’s history?
Under our first-past-the-post system, artificial or “false” majorities
are easily constructed through the alchemy of the electoral system.
In a competitive three-party system, coalitions and minority
governments are the norm.
Why is our system not well understood?
Half of all Canadians, according to one poll, think the prime
minister is directly elected (Aucoin et al 2011: 189-190). Even
our politicians do not understand the rules of the game well.
David Mitchell (2015) laments the absence of “a simple, publicly
accessible description of the conventions related to government
formation, unlike Britain, Australia and New Zealand.”
11
12
Trust and Confidence: Post-Election Cooperation in Parliament
Coalition
Two or more parties, agree to form government and share
cabinet or other appointments. The parties that form the
coalition government may have enough seats to form a
majority government, or a coalition government may need
the support of other parties or independent MPs to have
majority support in the House.
Confidence convention
Government must have the confidence of the House of Commons.
Elected dictatorship
(Hyperbole) A parliamentary system in which too much power
has been concentrated in the prime minister and PMO.
First-past-the-post
An electoral system based on constituency-level competitions
among candidates from different parties. Each riding is carried
by the candidate who wins a plurality of votes.
Glossary of Key Terms
Minority government
A minority government occurs when government is formed
by a party that does not have a majority of seats in parliament.
A minority government must win confidence votes (“yes” votes
on budgets and matters of confidence) from other parties to
remain in office.
Parliamentarism
A constitutional system in which the government (or executive
branch) is selected by the legislature.
Supply and confidence
Votes of confidence and support for budgets to ensure
a minority government survives.
12

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trust-and-confidence

  • 1. Maxwell A. Cameron Department of Political Science, UBC October 2015 Post-Election Cooperation in Parliament Trust and Confidence
  • 2. Table of Contents Executive Summary Forming Government: Cooperation and Confidence Understanding Our Democracy:A Crash Course Power,Accountability and the PMO Genuine or False Majority: Governing forYour Base Cooperation: Governing for Canadians Cooperation in Government:Around the World and in Canada Cooperation in the 2015 Post-Election Context Conclusion Want to Read More? Q&A Glossary of KeyTerms 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
  • 3. 1 Trust and Confidence: Post-Election Cooperation in Parliament It seems likely that none of the federal parties will win enough seats on October 19 to form a majority government on their own. Broadly speaking, this leaves two possibilities: a minority or coalition government. Both options demand cooperation and compromise among our parliamentarians. Canada’s parliamentary system can ensure good government even when no party wins an absolute number of seats or votes. Moreover, a coalition or minority government operating with the support of other parties on budgets and confidence votes, may offer many advantages over the false majority it replaces. Minority or coalition governments can better represent the interests of the majority of Canadians by emphasizing cooperation between parties instead of polarization. Increased representation of Canadian interests in government yields policies that benefit Canadians broadly. Historically, Canada has benefited from cooperation - minority governments have given Canadians our national health care program, our pension plan. The effectiveness of a coalition or minority government depends on the leadership of the parties involved. If our leaders act in a spirit of cooperation for the common good, the advantages could include restoring independence and integrity between the government and legislature, introducing policies favoured by broad majorities, and giving greater say to our elected representatives. It could also dampen the hyper-partisanship that has infected our politics. These advantages stem from the confidence convention, which requires that a leader have the trust and confidence of the majority of MPs to serve as prime minister. Many Canadians do not fully understand some of our democratic traditions, due to misinformation. First and foremost, we do not directly elect Canada’s prime minister. Rather, we hold our prime minister accountable through our elected representatives, whose confidence the prime minister needs to lead. In minority or coalition government, leaders are highly motivated to build and maintain trust and support across party lines. This paper aims to combat myths around Canada’s democracy and suggest minority and coalition governments as legitimate and desirable alternatives. Executive Summary ENDORSED BY Peter Russell Professor Emeritus, and Past President, Canadian Political Science Association, Department of Political Science, University ofToronto Andrew Heard Associate Professor, Political Science Department, Simon Fraser University David Boyd Adjunct Professor in Resource and Environmental Management at Simon Fraser University Patti Tamara Lenard Assistant Professor, Graduate School of Public and International Affairs, University of Ottawa MelissaWilliams Professor of Political Science, and founding Director of the Centre for Ethics at the University ofToronto Monique Deveaux Professor, Canada Research Chair in Ethics & Global Social Change, Department of Philosophy, University of Guelph Yasmin Dawood Associate Professor, Faculty of Law, University ofToronto Paul Thomas Professor Emeritus, University of Manitoba Donald Savoie Canada Research Chair in Public Administration and Governance, University of Moncton John Courtney Professor Emeritus, Political Studies, and Senior Policy Fellow, Johnson-Shoyama Graduate School of Public Policy, University of Saskatchewan
  • 4. 2 Trust and Confidence: Post-Election Cooperation in Parliament The key to forming government in Canada is securing the cooperation, trust, and confidence (supportive votes) of the majority of elected representatives. This can be accomplished by winning a majority of seats, forming a coalition, or securing a supply and confidence understanding between parties. Parties in Canada do not automatically win the right to govern, even if they secure the largest number of votes or seats. Although uncommon given the strength of party discipline in Canada, governments can in principle be brought down by votes of non-confidence and replaced by either a minority government or coalition that does command the confidence of the House. This does not amount to an abuse of the system, nor does it constitute a violation of the rules or conventions of parliamentary democracy. To the contrary, this confidence convention is a basic feature of accountability and sovereignty in parliamentary governments (Franks 1989, 10-13). Moreover, a minority or coalition government may well represent more Canadians than the false majority it replaces. Post-election cooperation among parliamentarians may foster healthy debate across party lines, and may provide opportunities for political parties to advance the interest of a broader spectrum of Canadian voters. It is no surprise that important Canadian policy innovations – our health care system, our pension plan, bilingualism – are outcomes of cooperation across party lines. Forming Government: Cooperation and Confidence “It is no surprise that important Canadian policy innovations – our health care system, our pension plan, bilingualism – are outcomes of cooperation across party lines.”
  • 5. 3 Trust and Confidence: Post-Election Cooperation in Parliament Understanding Our Democracy: A Crash Course “Canadian voters do not directly choose their prime minister. In our parliamentary system, the government is formed by the leader of the party that can command the confidence of the House of Commons.” 1. The Senate is the rough equivalent of the House of Lords in the UK, but without the hereditary titles and judicial functions. Canada has a mixed constitution. We are a parliamentary democracy with a constitutional monarchy. Our system of government was inherited from the Westminster parliament of the United Kingdom. Like Westminster, Canada’s parliament is composed of two chambers. We have an elected House of Commons and an appointed Senate1. We exercise our right to be governed by people of our choosing by electing candidates of political parties to the House of Commons. Only the House of Commons is a democratic representative institution because its members are elected by the people. What do our elected parliamentarians do? For starters, they select the government of the day. Canadian voters do not directly choose their prime minister. In our parliamentary system, the government is formed by the leader of the party that can command the confidence of the House of Commons. Although half of all Canadians think the prime minister is directly elected (Aucoin et al 2011: 189-190), in fact MPs in the House of Commons determine who forms the government. They do this by deciding which political party (or parties, if the government is a coalition) has the support of a majority of MPs. In a majority government, this can be a simple matter of whipped votes. However in a minority or coalition government, parties will need to work together in a spirit of cooperation for the good of all Canadians. The Queen, Canada’s head of state, is represented in Canada by the Governor General, who has primarily symbolic powers. However, when no party emerges with a clear majority, or when the governing party does not have the confidence of the House, the Governor General’s powers and prerogatives become critical. If the prime minister loses the confidence of the majority of MPs, the Governor General may, on the advice of the prime minister, dissolve the parliament and call an election. But he or she also has the prerogative to offer the opposition the chance to form the government, especially if they can make the case that they can command the confidence of the House.
  • 6. 4 Trust and Confidence: Post-Election Cooperation in Parliament Power, Accountability and the PMO At the top of our system is the prime minister. Although the powers of the prime minister are unwritten - many of the most important features of our constitution are based on unwritten conventions (Heard 2014) - they are substantial2. Indeed, over our history, the office of the prime minister (or PMO) has accumulated inordinate power at the expense of the House of Commons (Aucoin et al. 2011: 1-4; see also Savoie 2008). Nonetheless, both the prime minister and cabinet are responsible to the House. This is what is meant by “responsible government.” Government serves only as long as it commands the confidence of the House of Commons. Notice the elegance of the solution. The power of the prime minister rests on a cooperative relationship with the House. The House is comprised of elected representatives (including ministers) who are accountable to the electorate. Through our elected representatives (both opposition and government backbenchers), the electorate is therefore able to hold the prime minister accountable. At any time, a prime minister who loses the trust and confidence of the House of Commons loses the right to lead our country. However, under majority governments, the confidence convention can and has been twisted to evade rather than uphold accountability. In recent years governments and opposition alike have relied on the threat of non-confidence to whip votes. This makes a pantomime out of parliament, and costs Canadians because it makes MPs more faithful representatives of their parties than their constituents. A coalition or minority government could make parliament work for all Canadians, and curtail a further concentration of power in the PMO. 2. One of the curiosities of the Canadian constitution—also a British inheritance—is that the office of the prime minister is not formally specified. “At any time, a prime minister who loses the trust and confidence of the House of Commons loses the right to lead our country.”
  • 7. 5 Trust and Confidence: Post-Election Cooperation in Parliament Canada’s electoral system is based on giving seats to whoever wins the most votes in each riding. This is called the first-past- the-post system. When a political party wins a majority of the seats in the House of Commons, it can form a majority government. This means that the leader of the largest party can command the confidence of the House solely with the support of MPs from his or her own party. The assumption is that a majority government represents the interests of the majority of Canadians. However, in a first-past-the-post electoral system, it is possible to form what Peter H. Russell (2008: 5) calls “false” majority governments. This is where a majority government is formed by a “party that has won a majority of seats in the House of Commons but has obtained less than 50% of the popular vote.” (also see Cairns 1968, 55, 61-2). In majority governments leaders and parties have strong incentives to act in the interest of their support base, ignoring Canadians who did not vote for them. In a false majority, the MPs from opposing parties can be completely ignored despite the fact that, taken together, they represent a majority of the electorate. Genuine or False Majority: Governing for Your Base “In majority governments leaders and parties have strong incentives to act in the interest of their support base, ignoring Canadians who did not vote for them.”
  • 8. 6 Trust and Confidence: Post-Election Cooperation in Parliament Genuine majority governments and false majority governments are two possible election outcomes. When no party has a major- ity, a couple of other possibilities emerge: minority and coalition governments. Since minority and coalition governments are structurally more sensitive to the broad majority of the electorate, they tend to be more supportive of policies and programs that benefit broad majorities. This is why welfare states are more robust in European countries with parliamentary systems of government and proportional electoral systems (Russell 2008: 93). In the Canadian context, the Pearson minority government created Medicare, the Canada Pension Plan and brought us our flag. Both coalition and minority governments demand cooperation across party lines. The difference is how formalized the cooperation is: Coalition: A coalition is formed when two or more parties agree to form government and share cabinet or other appointments. Together, or with the support of other parties or MPs, they can command the confidence of the House. In a coalition, parties can agree to work together on certain matters and maintain independent positions on others. International examples (Sweden, Norway, Germany, and Switzerland) have demonstrated that through shared appointments and shared priorities, these are relatively stable governments. Canada has very little experience with coalition government. Minority Government: A minority government occurs when government is formed by a party that does not have a majority of seats in parliament. A minority government must win confidence votes (“yes” votes on budgets and matters of confidence) from other parties to remain in office. Often this is secured through a policy accord, which outlines shared priorities and a time line for working together. In the Canadian context, minority governments have been frequent, often brief (on average less than two years) but highly productive. Cooperation: Governing for Canadians Coalition and minority governments have the potential to represent the views of a broader spectrum of voters than governments with parliamentary majorities based on pluralities; they are based on compromise and a more consensual approach to politics; they may be more responsible and accountable; and they tend to enhance the power of ordinary members of parliament (Franks 38; Lijphart 1984, 23). Canada’s parliamentary system requires the branches of government work together cooperatively. Our system upholds the rule of law by embedding the executive (what we normally think of as the “government”) within the legislature. But this arrangement works best when parliament is genuinely capable of holding the prime minister and the government accountable. Majority governments can work against this kind of accountability and become veritable elective dictatorships. For Canadians, cooperation could mean a productive government engaged in vigorous, but not hyper-partisan debate, implementing well thought out social and economic policies that benefit the country broadly. “Since minority and coalition governments are structurally more sensitive to the broad majority of the electorate, they tend to be more supportive of social policies and welfare programs that benefit broad majorities.”
  • 9. 7 Trust and Confidence: Post-Election Cooperation in Parliament Coalition government is commonplace in parliamentary democracies around the world. “In most Western democracies,” writes Gregory Luebbert, “elections do not decide who will govern. Who will govern is instead decided by coalition negotiations among political parties.” (Luebbert 1986: 1). According to one study, no less than 87 percent of the governments formed in western European and Commonwealth parliamentary systems were coalition or minority governments; only 13 percent were single-party majority governments (cited in Russell 2008: 79). Minority and coalition governments around the world are generally quite stable. There is no relationship between the frequency of minority governments and political or regime instability. In the Canadian context, despite minority governments tending to be fairly brief, they have often been quite productive. Medicare, the Canada Pension Plan, and bilingualism were all introduced under Lester B. Pearson’s back-to-back minority Liberal governments in the 1960s. It is not surprising then to learn that the polls suggest most Canadians support the idea of a minority or coalition gov- ernment if no party wins an absolute majority in the 2015 election. An erroneous interpretation of Canadian politics has gained ground. According to this view, which is at odds with our traditions and conventions, “losers don’t get to form coalitions” (Stephen Harper, quoted in Aucoin et al. 2008: 187). This is false and misleading (see Mitchell, 2015). Cooperation in Government: Around the World and in Canada Formal coalitions are unfamiliar at the federal level but minority governments are quite common. Since 1921 we have had 29 elections, 13 of which produced minority governments. There are a number of reasons why, despite indications of widespread popular support, coalitions have been the exception: • Under our first-past-the-post system, artificial or “false” majority governments are easily constructed through the electoral system. • Historically, Canada’s party system has tended to produce centrist governments, but Canadian politics have become more polarized and fragmented. This may make cooperation in parliament increasingly necessary in the future. • Prime ministers are often unhappy about not having full control of government. Opposition leaders fear that their party will lose its identity as a junior partner in a coalition. This last point, in particular, does not mean that majority governments are better for voters or democracy. The confidence convention – which forces leadership to approach governance in the spirit of cooperation instead of divisiveness – is good for both voters and democracy. Coalition governments are generally associated with policy moderation and inclusiveness. European social democracies have often rested on broad coalitions, which are easier to sustain with proportional representation than under first-past-the-post electoral systems (Schneider and Soskice 2009: 21-23). Scandinavian countries like Sweden and Norway, for example, have had very stable and successful coalition governments. Grand coalitions in Germany including the Green Party helped that country shift from fossil fuels and become a leader in renewable energy. Politicians can make minority parliaments work well if they approach governing in a spirit of cooperation. Often the success of minority governments depends on the behaviour of politicians. “Politicians can make minority parliaments work well if they approach governing in a spirit of cooperation. Often the success of minority governments depends on the behaviour of politicians.”
  • 10. 8 Trust and Confidence: Post-Election Cooperation in Parliament Up until election day in Canada, the major national political parties tend to campaign with the goal of winning a majority. Assuming that no coalitions are announced between now and October 19, there are basically three possible election outcomes: a single party wins a majority, a single party forms a minority government, or a coalition is announced. We are familiar with majorities in Canada, so will focus on the alternatives. If no party wins 170 seats in an election (an absolute majority in a 338 seat legislature) the normal result is a minority government. The governing party has the right to carry on until the prime minister resigns or meets the House and is defeated. As the head of a caretaker government, the prime minister cannot make appointments and, of course, legislation cannot be passed until the House sits. If the opposition parties cooperate and reach an agreement to form either a minority government with supply and confidence, or a formal coalition, they must wait for the government to meet the House and be defeated before the Governor General may invite them to form government. Parliament is normally convened shortly after an election. Although there is no time limit on how soon the new parliament must be convened, (except the requirement that it must meet once a year) there would be strong objections if the delay were too long. Until parliament meets and the prime minister’s party wins a vote of confidence in the newly elected House of Commons, the government is in “caretaker mode” and cannot take any new initiatives, including important appointments. The first occasion to meet the confidence test is normally the Speech from the Throne, which immediately follows the election of a Speaker and inaugurates the new parliament. If a government falls on a Speech from the Throne, it is the prerogative of the Governor General to invite the leader of the opposition party with the most seats to form a new government. The prime minister may advise a dissolution of parliament and a new election, but the Governor General has the prerogative to reject that advice from a Cooperation in the 2015 Post-Election Context prime minister who has lost the confidence of the House, especially if there is a reasonable expectation that there is an alternative government that commands the confidence of the House, and not much time has passed since the election. Moreover, the Governor General also has the power to dismiss the prime minister in order to allow another party or coalition to form the government—but only if the prime minister has not resigned following a vote of non-confidence and, again, assuming that an opposition party leader can make the case that as prime minister of a minority or coalition government his government can command the confidence of the House for a reasonable period of time. In such a situation, it would be important for the parties to have credible agreement to work together. Should a government fall on a vote of non-confidence, it is essential that the opposition demonstrate the capacity to form a government. This requires that political parties wishing to form government have already started working cooperatively either on a supply and confidence arrangement or a coalition so that they are ready to indicate their intention to form a government to the Governor General. A minority government may involve a congenial working relationship without any formal accord between parties. Sometimes these arrangements work for a short period of time, and sometimes they are more long-lasting. They can also involve shifting alliances among various parties. A coalition, on the other hand, could conceivably create a more enduring governing arrangement along the lines of the grand coalitions in Western European democracies. In either scenario, the party leaders will need to engage thoughtfully in a process of negotiation. If they exercise their leadership wisely, they may reach agreement on a common policy agenda, sustain cooperation and make parliament work for Canadians.
  • 11. 9 Trust and Confidence: Post-Election Cooperation in Parliament The key to forming government in Canada is securing the cooperation, trust and confidence of the majority of elected representatives. This can be accomplished by winning a majority of seats, forming a coalition, or securing a supply and confidence arrangement. Canadians need to be prepared for the eventuality of coalition or minority government in the event that no party wins an absolute majority of seats on October 19. Parliamentary systems of government are uniquely well suited to ensuring that stable governments are formed even in such circumstances. We have a history in Canada of productive minority governments that work cooperatively in the best interest of Canadians and there are examples around the world of successful coalition governments. • We vote to choose an elected member, not the prime minister. It’s our elected representatives who form the government of Canada. • A party leader must have the confidence of the majority of MPs to earn the right to be prime minister, and this demands cooperation if there is no majority. • Canada’s parliamentary system and its achievements are built on cooperation. Minority government with cooperation between parties has given Canada our health care plan and pension plan. Conclusion • The benefits of minority governments have stood the test of time. In Canada, such governments are relatively commonplace, and they have been brief but productive. Coalitions are uncommon in our history, but the experience of other democracies suggests they can be inclusive, and effective. • The effectiveness of a coalition or minority governments, however, rests on the leadership of the parties involved, and their spirit of cooperation and negotiation. • Many Canadians’ understanding of coalition governments comes from the prorogation of parliament in 2008-2009. This generated a negative and misinformed view of our democratic traditions. Coalition governments do not represent a hijacking of our democracy federal parties. As Canadians consider how to vote on October 19, they should consider the advantages of parliament that is not dominated by a single party with a false majority. Cooperation—whether in the shape of a short-term arrangement to support a minority government or a more enduring coalition—is part of the very design of our democracy.
  • 12. 10 Trust and Confidence: Post-Election Cooperation in Parliament Aucoin, Peter, et al. 2011. Democratizing the Constitution: Reforming Responsible Government. Toronto: Emond Montgomery Publications. Cairns, Alan. “The Electoral System and the Party System in Canada, 1921-1965.” The Canadian Journal of Political Science 1, no. 1 (1968): 55-80. Forsey, Eugene. 1980. How Canadians Govern Themselves, 8th Edition. Ottawa: Library of Parliament, Canada. Franks, C.E.S. 1989. The Parliament of Canada. Toronto: University of Toronto Press. Hazell, Robert and Akash Paun, eds. 2009. Making Minority Government Work: Hung parliaments and the challenges for Westminster and Whitehall. The Constitution Unit, Institute for Government, University College London. https://www.ucl.ac.uk/constitution-unit/publications/tabs/ unit-publications/147.pdf Heard, Andrew D. 2014. Canadian Constitutional Conventions: The Marriage of Law and Politics, 2nd Edition. Toronto: Oxford University Press. Lijphart, Arend. 1984. Democracies: Patterns of Majoritarian and Consensus Government in Twenty-One Countries. New Haven: Yale University Press. Want to Read More? Loat, Alison and Michael MacMillan. 2014. Tragedy in the Commons. Toronto: Random House. Luebbert, Gregory M. 1986. Comparative Democracy: Policymaking and Governing Coalitions in Europe and Israel. New York: Columbia University Press. Mitchell, David. July 20, 2015. “When ‘losers’ have the right to form government.” The Globe and Mail, http://www.theglobe- andmail.com/globe-debate/when-losers-have-the-right-to- form-a-government/article25566174/ Rathgeber, Brent. 2014. Irresponsible Government: The Decline of Parliamentary Democracy in Canada. Toronto: Dundurn. Russell, Peter H. 2008. Two Cheers for Minority Government: The Evolution of Canadian Parliamentary Democracy. Toronto: Emond Montgomery Publications. Savoie, Donald. 2008. Court Government and the Collapse of Accountability in Canada and the United Kingdom. Toronto: University of Toronto Press. Schneider, Ben Ross and Peter Soskice. “Inequality in Developed Countries and Latin America: Coordinated, liberal and hierarchical systems.” Economy and Society, Vol. 38, no. 1, 2009, pp. 17-52. Smith, David E. 2007. The People’s House of Commons: Theory of Democracy in Contention. Toronto: University of Toronto Press. 10
  • 13. 11 Trust and Confidence: Post-Election Cooperation in Parliament Why is there talk of coalitions during this election? If no party wins 170 seats (an absolute majority in a 338 seat legislature), the tradition in Westminster parliamentary democracies is to allow minority governments or coalitions to govern. Doesn’t this mean instability? Minority governments can be quite stable, although in Canada they have tended to be brief (on average under two years). Coalitions at the federal level are rare in Canada but are common- place in many parliamentary democracies around the world and they can be very stable. But are there precedents for this in Canada? There are precedents for coalition and minority governments in Canada, both federally and provincially. Liberal Party leader Mackenzie King governed with the support of the Progressive Party after losing his plurality of seats to Arthur Meighen in the 1925 election. When his government fell the Conservative Party formed a short-lived government with the support of the Progressives in 1926. King won re-election later that fall. David Peterson’s Liberal Party in Ontario formed government in 1985-1990, even though it had the second largest number of seats, thanks to an accord with the NDP. The NDP government of Roy Romanow formed a coalition with the Saskatchewan Liberal Party in 1999. BC Liberals and Conservatives worked in coalition between 1941-1951. Two Lester Pearson back-to-back minority governments created Medicare, the Canada Pension Plan, multiculturalism policies, and introduced a new flag. They did this with NDP support. Q&A But if the losers gang up on the party that won the most votes or seats, isn’t that undemocratic? No. A party or coalition only has the right to govern if it commands the confidence of the House of Commons. Polls suggest most Canadians support the idea of a coalition if no party wins an absolute majority in the 2015 election. Is there a precedent in Canada for the Governor General to refuse to dissolve parliament and ask the opposition to form government? Yes, this occurred in the famous King–Byng affair. In 1926 Prime Minister Mackenzie King asked Governor General Lord Byng to dissolve Parliament and call an election. Byng refused and invited the Conservative Party leader to form a government, which he attempted—but the new government was short lived. Why are there so few coalitions in Canada’s history? Under our first-past-the-post system, artificial or “false” majorities are easily constructed through the alchemy of the electoral system. In a competitive three-party system, coalitions and minority governments are the norm. Why is our system not well understood? Half of all Canadians, according to one poll, think the prime minister is directly elected (Aucoin et al 2011: 189-190). Even our politicians do not understand the rules of the game well. David Mitchell (2015) laments the absence of “a simple, publicly accessible description of the conventions related to government formation, unlike Britain, Australia and New Zealand.” 11
  • 14. 12 Trust and Confidence: Post-Election Cooperation in Parliament Coalition Two or more parties, agree to form government and share cabinet or other appointments. The parties that form the coalition government may have enough seats to form a majority government, or a coalition government may need the support of other parties or independent MPs to have majority support in the House. Confidence convention Government must have the confidence of the House of Commons. Elected dictatorship (Hyperbole) A parliamentary system in which too much power has been concentrated in the prime minister and PMO. First-past-the-post An electoral system based on constituency-level competitions among candidates from different parties. Each riding is carried by the candidate who wins a plurality of votes. Glossary of Key Terms Minority government A minority government occurs when government is formed by a party that does not have a majority of seats in parliament. A minority government must win confidence votes (“yes” votes on budgets and matters of confidence) from other parties to remain in office. Parliamentarism A constitutional system in which the government (or executive branch) is selected by the legislature. Supply and confidence Votes of confidence and support for budgets to ensure a minority government survives. 12