IBN KHALDUN (1332-1406) analyzed the rise and decline of states and civilizations. He identified key factors including:
- States rise due to strong group solidarity (asabiyyah) and are founded on military might and financial support.
- Decline is due to the weakening of religious influence, the rise of luxury, and rulers becoming isolated from and controlled by unrelated groups.
- Decline happens in five stages: overcoming enemies, autocratic rule, leisure, contentment, and finally wastefulness and lavishness.
- Urbanization influences factors like population size, occupations, income levels, social behaviors, and rates of change between nomadic (badawa