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• What is subprime & prime?
• What is crisis?
• How subprime crisis developed?
• Housing bubble burst
• Subprime crisis: losses
• Response to the crisis
2
PRESENTATION OUTLINE
PRIME LOANS AND SUBPRIME LOANS
• PRIME - borrowers - good credit - lower interest - low
rates compared to subprime
• SUBPRIME - borrowers - bankruptcies, defaults, or late
payment histories
3
• An unstable and dangerous situation -
individual, group, community or whole
society.
• Negative changes - economic, political, social
or environmental affairs,
4
WHAT IS CRISIS……???
5
HOUSING BUBBLE
DEVELOPMENT………
THE SUBPRIME MORTGAGE CRISIS
• Until 2006, US housing market - flourishing - so easy to get a
home loan
• Subprime mortgages - expectations - home price - continue to
rise - refinance their home - before the higher interest rates
were to go into effect
• 2005 - peak of the subprime boom - 1 in 5 was subprime
• Reset – higher interest rate – higher amount / Month
6
Large Loan given at
low rate of interest
FINANCIAL INSTITUTUION/
INVESTMENT BANK
Small loans
distributed at high
rate of interest
Money is Invested
HIGH profits
7
America faced BUBBLE trouble!
8
Sources:
Glick R. & lansing K. J. 2010. “Global Household Leverage, House Prices, and Consumption”. FRBSF Economic Letter.
http://www.frbsf.org/economic-research/publications/economic-letter/2010/january/global-household-leverage-house-prices-consumption/
THE SUBPRIME MORTGAGE CRISIS
• Defaults (Borrower) – Foreclosure (Bank) – Auction (Bank)
• Auction (Bank) - Sell lower price – inadequate to close –
difference to be paid (Borrower)
• Selling homes - PROBLEM – home prices ↓ - not enough to
cover the mortgage
• In US
Housing market: 3 Mil. Foreclosures (2008)
Banking sector: $1-$2 tril. Bailout
World stock markets: 50% loss, $30 tril. Wealth disappeared (2008)
Subprime Defaulters
Bankrupt
FINANCIAL INSTITUTUION/
INVESTMENT BANK
Bankrupt
Investor House
10
Housing market: 3 Mil.
Foreclosures (2008)
Banking : $1-$2 tril. Bailout
World stock: 50% loss, $30
tril. Wealth disappeared
(2008)
11
• losses were not incurred by homeowners but by the
financial system.
• Large losses were incurred by the following groups:
- Mortgage lenders
- Investment banks
- Foreign investors
- Insurance companies
12
THE SUBPRIME MORTGAGE CRISIS : Losses
• US: Bailout Package – around $800 bn
• Emergency Economic Stabilization Act of 2008 and
the Homeowners Affordability and Stability Plan.
• A bill called the Derivatives Markets Transparency
and Accountability Act of 2009 – to regulate the CDS
market.
Responses to the Crisis
13
The Subprime Crisis

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The Subprime Crisis

  • 1.
  • 2. • What is subprime & prime? • What is crisis? • How subprime crisis developed? • Housing bubble burst • Subprime crisis: losses • Response to the crisis 2 PRESENTATION OUTLINE
  • 3. PRIME LOANS AND SUBPRIME LOANS • PRIME - borrowers - good credit - lower interest - low rates compared to subprime • SUBPRIME - borrowers - bankruptcies, defaults, or late payment histories 3
  • 4. • An unstable and dangerous situation - individual, group, community or whole society. • Negative changes - economic, political, social or environmental affairs, 4 WHAT IS CRISIS……???
  • 6. THE SUBPRIME MORTGAGE CRISIS • Until 2006, US housing market - flourishing - so easy to get a home loan • Subprime mortgages - expectations - home price - continue to rise - refinance their home - before the higher interest rates were to go into effect • 2005 - peak of the subprime boom - 1 in 5 was subprime • Reset – higher interest rate – higher amount / Month 6
  • 7. Large Loan given at low rate of interest FINANCIAL INSTITUTUION/ INVESTMENT BANK Small loans distributed at high rate of interest Money is Invested HIGH profits 7
  • 8. America faced BUBBLE trouble! 8 Sources: Glick R. & lansing K. J. 2010. “Global Household Leverage, House Prices, and Consumption”. FRBSF Economic Letter. http://www.frbsf.org/economic-research/publications/economic-letter/2010/january/global-household-leverage-house-prices-consumption/
  • 9. THE SUBPRIME MORTGAGE CRISIS • Defaults (Borrower) – Foreclosure (Bank) – Auction (Bank) • Auction (Bank) - Sell lower price – inadequate to close – difference to be paid (Borrower) • Selling homes - PROBLEM – home prices ↓ - not enough to cover the mortgage • In US Housing market: 3 Mil. Foreclosures (2008) Banking sector: $1-$2 tril. Bailout World stock markets: 50% loss, $30 tril. Wealth disappeared (2008)
  • 10. Subprime Defaulters Bankrupt FINANCIAL INSTITUTUION/ INVESTMENT BANK Bankrupt Investor House 10 Housing market: 3 Mil. Foreclosures (2008) Banking : $1-$2 tril. Bailout World stock: 50% loss, $30 tril. Wealth disappeared (2008)
  • 11. 11
  • 12. • losses were not incurred by homeowners but by the financial system. • Large losses were incurred by the following groups: - Mortgage lenders - Investment banks - Foreign investors - Insurance companies 12 THE SUBPRIME MORTGAGE CRISIS : Losses
  • 13. • US: Bailout Package – around $800 bn • Emergency Economic Stabilization Act of 2008 and the Homeowners Affordability and Stability Plan. • A bill called the Derivatives Markets Transparency and Accountability Act of 2009 – to regulate the CDS market. Responses to the Crisis 13

Editor's Notes

  1. Negative changes - with little or no warning
  2. Global Household Leverage, House Prices, and Consumption Reuven Glick and Kevin J. Lansing
  3. Mortgage lenders: One thirds of top 30 mortgage lenders have either been acquired or have filed for bankruptcy or have been liquidated. Investment banks: Since the housing bubble burst, the five largest U.S. investment banks have either filed for bankruptcy (Lehman Brothers), been acquired by other Firms or become commercial banks subject to greater Regulation. Foreign investors (mainly banks and governments) who had invested in mortgage backed securities. Insurance companies: (e.g., AIG) who had sold credit default swaps. Credit default swaps are a type of contract that insures against the mortgage-backed securities.
  4. and the Homeowners Affordability and Stability Plan. Former President Bill Clinton and former Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan indicated they did not properly regulate derivatives, including credit default swaps.