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Rift Valley Fever : Socio-Economics and Burden
Impact using Knowledge Attitude and Practices in
Garissa, Kenya
Presented at KVA Scientific Conference at Boma Hotel, Eldoret 25th
April 2014
Nanyingi M O, Thumbi S M, Muchemi G M, Rashid I M, Bett B, Kiama S G and
Njenga K
History, Etiology and Epidemiology
Montgomery , 1912, Daubney 1931, Davies 1975, Jost et al., 2010
 RVF viral zoonosis of cyclic
occurrence(5-10yrs), described In
Kenya in 1912 isolated in 1931 in
sheep with hepatic necrosis and
fatal abortions.
 RVFV is an OIE transboundary
high impact pathogen and CDC
category A select agent.
Etiology: Phlebovirus in
Bunyaviridae (Family).
 Genome: tripartite RNA segments
designated large (L), medium (M),
and small (S) contained in a
spherical (80–120 nm in diameter)
lipid bilayer.
 Risk factors:
Precipitation: > 600mm, flooding
Altitude: <1100masl
Vector +: Aedes, culicines spp
NDVI: 0.1 units > 3 months
Soil : Solonetz, Solanchaks,
planosols
 Historical Outbreaks
 Epidemics in Africa and recently
Arabian Peninsula; in Egypt (1977),
Kenya (1997–1998, 2006-2007),
Saudi Arabia (2000–2001) and
Yemen (2000–2001), Sudan (2007)
and Mauritania (2010)
Research Objectives
 To assess the level of knowledge of pastoralists to
causation and transmission risk factors of RVF
occurrence in Garissa.
 To evaluate their attitude and practices in response
to RVF outbreaks and management in the context of
climate change shocks.
 To estimate the socioeconomic, livelihood losses
and burden impacts of Rift Valley Fever in Garissa
during the recent outbreak of 2006-2007.
Justification
 Economic and Public Health significance
There is significant impact on livestock and public health
leading due to morbidity, mortality with interventional costs
estimated at Ksh. 5 billion in Kenya.
Trade and Phytosanitary (SPS) barriers.
Recent RVF outbreaks in the Horn of Africa have led to decline
of 2.3% of potential marketed value of cattle and 1% decline in
the value of dairy and goat/sheep production and a 1% decline
in the overall value of meat. Consequent export market bans to
the EU and ME.
Kenya: RVF Geographical Distribution 2006 -2007
 Geographical coverage:
29 districts > 85% in
Garissa, Kilifi, Baringo, Ijara
 Livestock: Mortality of $10
Million
Human: 700 cases, 158
deaths.
3.4 DALYs per 1000 people
Household costs of $10 for
human cases
Munyua et al., 2010, Data source: DVS 2014
Research Methodology: Study Area and Design
 Garissa: 33,620km2
,
623,060 persons, 1,358,007
Livestock.
 Climate: Rainfall Bimodal
- MAM, OND annual av.
<300-600 mm, Diurnal T°
<20- 38°C Altitude 70- 400 m
asl
Historical OutbreakS:
Epidemics in 1997–1998,
2006-2007)
 Criteria: 2006-2007 village
hotspots, high pop. density,
urbanization, transhumance
corridors
Study Design and Approach
 Target population: Pastoralists within 2km radius of RVF “hotspot;
Kept livestock > 10yrs and present during the last outbreak.
 Community based cross-sectional household survey (March 2012 &
2013): Bulla unit of sampling(10-15 households) & clustering of
humans
Probability proportionate to size approach every tenth household in a
division
 Multistage sampling: consenting individuals aged ≥ 18 years living
in the study area for >1 year prior to study.
 Segregation according to occupation, age, gender level of education
and the duration of stay.
 Geomapping of 30 selected households households & recruitment
250 participants *(Pastoralists,Livestock traders/brokers,)
Dohoo et al., 2003).
Research tools and Participatory Rural Approaches
 Structured Questionnaires: 25 pretested for consistence and
validity in 20 households.
 Key Informant Interviews: in-depth face to face interviews to
selected participants for experience and expert opinion
(pastoralists, veterinary and health personnel).
 Focus Group Discussions: 30 participants (20 men/10
women), 5 participants per FGD for 30 mins
 Matrix and pair wise ranking and scoring: Listing of livestock
diseases.
 Transect walks and triangulation at livestock markets,
watering points
Economic model for Value chain Impacts
Adapted from Rich and Wanyoike 2010
Data Analysis
 Bivariate analysis was performed to explore associations
between overall knowledge and independent variables such as
age, sex, marital status, education and occupation.
 Associations were considered to be statistically significant if
they achieved a p < 0.05.
 Logistic regression models were fitted to estimate
independent associations between subscale knowledge and
predictor variables
 Livelihood analysis for value chain by disruption of livestock
markets and livelihood adaptation/diversification pathways.
Results : Disease Listing
Knowledge of clinical signs of RVF in Garissa livestock keepers
 There was a positive correlation between level of education, occupation
and knowledge of disease (Pearson’s correlation coefficient r2 = 0.6).
 185 respondents (74%) had good knowledge of RVF (symptoms scored
>50%).
 Risk factor analysis indicated > 150 (60%) understood the consumption
of meat of dead or infected animal, milk, touching aborted fetuses
caused disease.
Socio_economic impacts
 The minimum, average and maximum expenditure per
month of livestock households during outbreak period: Ksh
5000, 10,000 and 20,000 Ksh ) US$ 1 to Ksh 85.
 Mass vaccination and prophylaxis cost estimated to cost >
Ksh. 1 billion to confer (70% coverage for herd immunity),
RiftVax unit cost of Ksh.12per dose. (P = 0.414)
 Transhumance: School droput (50%), human displacement
and pastoral dropout was significant with projected
economic costs of Ksh. 500 Million .
 Foregone revenue due to disruption of livestock markets
during the outbreak period(3 months) estimated at Ksh. 3
Billion
Research Gaps
 Disease Burden Analysis for Zoonotic Diseases?
 Lack of denominator population data of livestock
causes underestimation of impact and Burden
 Lack of national level estimates of socioeconomics
of Zoonotic diseases.
 Collaborative linkages to be strengthened in
multidisciplinary groups = ZDU
ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
Data and Financial Support
Field work facilitation
 Veterinary Staff
Kinyua J, Garissa
Asaava LL , Fafi
Obonyo M, Daadab
Study Participants and NGOs
 All community members in study sites
Local administrators
Department of Veterinary Services
Contact : mnanyingi@kemricdc.org, mnanyingi@gmail.com

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The Socio-Economics and Burden Impact of Rift Valley Fever in Garissa, Kenya

  • 1. Rift Valley Fever : Socio-Economics and Burden Impact using Knowledge Attitude and Practices in Garissa, Kenya Presented at KVA Scientific Conference at Boma Hotel, Eldoret 25th April 2014 Nanyingi M O, Thumbi S M, Muchemi G M, Rashid I M, Bett B, Kiama S G and Njenga K
  • 2. History, Etiology and Epidemiology Montgomery , 1912, Daubney 1931, Davies 1975, Jost et al., 2010  RVF viral zoonosis of cyclic occurrence(5-10yrs), described In Kenya in 1912 isolated in 1931 in sheep with hepatic necrosis and fatal abortions.  RVFV is an OIE transboundary high impact pathogen and CDC category A select agent. Etiology: Phlebovirus in Bunyaviridae (Family).  Genome: tripartite RNA segments designated large (L), medium (M), and small (S) contained in a spherical (80–120 nm in diameter) lipid bilayer.  Risk factors: Precipitation: > 600mm, flooding Altitude: <1100masl Vector +: Aedes, culicines spp NDVI: 0.1 units > 3 months Soil : Solonetz, Solanchaks, planosols  Historical Outbreaks  Epidemics in Africa and recently Arabian Peninsula; in Egypt (1977), Kenya (1997–1998, 2006-2007), Saudi Arabia (2000–2001) and Yemen (2000–2001), Sudan (2007) and Mauritania (2010)
  • 3. Research Objectives  To assess the level of knowledge of pastoralists to causation and transmission risk factors of RVF occurrence in Garissa.  To evaluate their attitude and practices in response to RVF outbreaks and management in the context of climate change shocks.  To estimate the socioeconomic, livelihood losses and burden impacts of Rift Valley Fever in Garissa during the recent outbreak of 2006-2007.
  • 4. Justification  Economic and Public Health significance There is significant impact on livestock and public health leading due to morbidity, mortality with interventional costs estimated at Ksh. 5 billion in Kenya. Trade and Phytosanitary (SPS) barriers. Recent RVF outbreaks in the Horn of Africa have led to decline of 2.3% of potential marketed value of cattle and 1% decline in the value of dairy and goat/sheep production and a 1% decline in the overall value of meat. Consequent export market bans to the EU and ME.
  • 5. Kenya: RVF Geographical Distribution 2006 -2007  Geographical coverage: 29 districts > 85% in Garissa, Kilifi, Baringo, Ijara  Livestock: Mortality of $10 Million Human: 700 cases, 158 deaths. 3.4 DALYs per 1000 people Household costs of $10 for human cases Munyua et al., 2010, Data source: DVS 2014
  • 6. Research Methodology: Study Area and Design  Garissa: 33,620km2 , 623,060 persons, 1,358,007 Livestock.  Climate: Rainfall Bimodal - MAM, OND annual av. <300-600 mm, Diurnal T° <20- 38°C Altitude 70- 400 m asl Historical OutbreakS: Epidemics in 1997–1998, 2006-2007)  Criteria: 2006-2007 village hotspots, high pop. density, urbanization, transhumance corridors
  • 7. Study Design and Approach  Target population: Pastoralists within 2km radius of RVF “hotspot; Kept livestock > 10yrs and present during the last outbreak.  Community based cross-sectional household survey (March 2012 & 2013): Bulla unit of sampling(10-15 households) & clustering of humans Probability proportionate to size approach every tenth household in a division  Multistage sampling: consenting individuals aged ≥ 18 years living in the study area for >1 year prior to study.  Segregation according to occupation, age, gender level of education and the duration of stay.  Geomapping of 30 selected households households & recruitment 250 participants *(Pastoralists,Livestock traders/brokers,) Dohoo et al., 2003).
  • 8. Research tools and Participatory Rural Approaches  Structured Questionnaires: 25 pretested for consistence and validity in 20 households.  Key Informant Interviews: in-depth face to face interviews to selected participants for experience and expert opinion (pastoralists, veterinary and health personnel).  Focus Group Discussions: 30 participants (20 men/10 women), 5 participants per FGD for 30 mins  Matrix and pair wise ranking and scoring: Listing of livestock diseases.  Transect walks and triangulation at livestock markets, watering points
  • 9. Economic model for Value chain Impacts Adapted from Rich and Wanyoike 2010
  • 10. Data Analysis  Bivariate analysis was performed to explore associations between overall knowledge and independent variables such as age, sex, marital status, education and occupation.  Associations were considered to be statistically significant if they achieved a p < 0.05.  Logistic regression models were fitted to estimate independent associations between subscale knowledge and predictor variables  Livelihood analysis for value chain by disruption of livestock markets and livelihood adaptation/diversification pathways.
  • 11. Results : Disease Listing
  • 12. Knowledge of clinical signs of RVF in Garissa livestock keepers  There was a positive correlation between level of education, occupation and knowledge of disease (Pearson’s correlation coefficient r2 = 0.6).  185 respondents (74%) had good knowledge of RVF (symptoms scored >50%).  Risk factor analysis indicated > 150 (60%) understood the consumption of meat of dead or infected animal, milk, touching aborted fetuses caused disease.
  • 13. Socio_economic impacts  The minimum, average and maximum expenditure per month of livestock households during outbreak period: Ksh 5000, 10,000 and 20,000 Ksh ) US$ 1 to Ksh 85.  Mass vaccination and prophylaxis cost estimated to cost > Ksh. 1 billion to confer (70% coverage for herd immunity), RiftVax unit cost of Ksh.12per dose. (P = 0.414)  Transhumance: School droput (50%), human displacement and pastoral dropout was significant with projected economic costs of Ksh. 500 Million .  Foregone revenue due to disruption of livestock markets during the outbreak period(3 months) estimated at Ksh. 3 Billion
  • 14. Research Gaps  Disease Burden Analysis for Zoonotic Diseases?  Lack of denominator population data of livestock causes underestimation of impact and Burden  Lack of national level estimates of socioeconomics of Zoonotic diseases.  Collaborative linkages to be strengthened in multidisciplinary groups = ZDU
  • 15. ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS Data and Financial Support Field work facilitation  Veterinary Staff Kinyua J, Garissa Asaava LL , Fafi Obonyo M, Daadab Study Participants and NGOs  All community members in study sites Local administrators Department of Veterinary Services Contact : mnanyingi@kemricdc.org, mnanyingi@gmail.com