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The Education Policy Outlook 2018:
Putting Student Learning at the Centre
Andreas Schleicher
Special Advisor on Education Policy to the Secretary General
Director for Education and Skills
Education Policy Reform Dialogues
Madrid, Spain
11-12 June 2018
Preparing students for their future, not our past
The post-truth world where reality becomes fungible
• Virality seems privileged over quality
in the distribution of information
• Truth and fact are losing currency
Scarcity of attention and abundance of information
• Algorithms sort us into groups of like-minded
individuals create echo chambers that amplify our
views, leave us uninformed of opposing arguments,
and polarise our societies
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
ChineseTaipei-2
Sweden-9
France-5
Portugal
Greece
Singapore-2
Thailand
Macao(China)-7
Brazil-2
Spain
UnitedKingdom
Bulgaria
ongKong(China)
Korea-7
Belgium-4
Denmark-4
Croatia-5
Israel-10
NewZealand-4
Netherlands-3
Uruguay
Hungary4
Australia
OECDaverage-3
ominicanRepublic
Ireland-7
Poland-3
CostaRica3
Lithuania
Japan-5
Mexico
Russia-8
CzechRepublic
Italy
Peru
Colombia4
Finland-6
Chile
Latvia
SlovakRepublic
B-S-J-G(China)11
Switzerland
Austria-3
Luxembourg
Iceland
Germany
Estonia
Slovenia
%
Boys Girls
15-year-olds feeling bad if not connected to the Internet (PISA)
Students are using more time online outside school on a typical school day (PISA)
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
200
Chile39
Sweden56
Uruguay33
CostaRica31
Spain44
Italy40
Australia52
Estonia50
NewZealand51
Hungary43
Russia42
Netherlands48
Denmark55
SlovakRepublic40
CzechRepublic43
Austria42
Latvia46
Singapore45
Belgium44
Poland46
Iceland51
OECDaverage-2743
Ireland48
Croatia40
Portugal42
Finland48
Israel34
Macao(China)45
Switzerland40
Greece41
HongKong(China)39
Mexico30
Slovenia37
Japan31
Korea20
Minutes per day
2015 2012
Figure III.13.3
Percentage of High Internet Users (spending 2 to 6 hours on line per day), during weekdays
5
Digitalisation and education
Democratizing
Concentrating
Particularizing
Homogenizing
Empowering
Disempowering
The kind of things that are
easy to teach are now easy to
automate, digitize or
outsource
35
40
45
50
55
60
65
70
1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2006 2009
Routine manual
Nonroutine manual
Routine cognitive
Nonroutine analytic
Nonroutine interpersonal
Mean task input in percentiles of 1960 task distribution
Tasks
without
use of ICT
Tasks with
use of ICT
Non routine tasks
Routine tasks
Non routine tasks
Routine tasks
Tasks
without
use of ICT
Tasks with
use of ICT
TWO EFFECTS OF DIGITALISATION
Non routine tasks,
Low use of ICT
Non routine tasks,
High use of ICT
Routine tasks,
Low use of ICT
Routine tasks,
High use of ICT
Non routine tasks,
Low use of ICT
Non routine tasks,
High use of ICT
Routine tasks,
Low use of ICT
Routine tasks,
High use of ICT
TWO EFFECTS OF DIGITALISATION
(
The Race between Technology and Education
Inspired by “The race between
technology and education”
Pr. Goldin & Katz (Harvard)
Industrial revolution
Digital revolution
Social pain
Universal
public schooling
Technology
Education
Prosperity
Social pain
Prosperity
Comparing skills of computers and adults
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
Level 1 and Below Level 2 Level 3 Level 4-5
Literacy Proficiency in OECD Countries (PIAAC)
Near-term
computer
capabilities
When fast gets really fast, being slow to adapt makes you really slow
Learning time and science performance Figure II.6.23
Finland
Germany Switzerland
Japan Estonia
Sweden
Netherlands
New Zealand
Macao
(China)
Iceland
Hong Kong
(China) Chinese Taipei
Uruguay
Singapore
Poland
United States
Israel
Bulgaria
Korea
Russia Italy
Greece
B-S-J-G (China)
Colombia
Chile
Mexico
Brazil
Costa
Rica
Turkey
Montenegro
Peru
Qatar
Thailand
United
Arab
Emirates
Tunisia
Dominican
Republic
R² = 0.21
300
350
400
450
500
550
600
35 40 45 50 55 60
PISAsciencescore
Total learning time in and outside of school
OECD average
OECD average
OECDaverage
Learning time and science performance (PISA)
Figure II.6.23
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
Finland
Germany
Switzerland
Japan
Estonia
Sweden
Netherlands
NewZealand
Australia
CzechRepublic
Macao(China)
UnitedKingdom
Canada
Belgium
France
Norway
Slovenia
Iceland
Luxembourg
Ireland
Latvia
HongKong(China)
OECDaverage
ChineseTaipei
Austria
Portugal
Uruguay
Lithuania
Singapore
Denmark
Hungary
Poland
SlovakRepublic
Spain
Croatia
UnitedStates
Israel
Bulgaria
Korea
Russia
Italy
Greece
B-S-J-G(China)
Colombia
Chile
Mexico
Brazil
CostaRica
Turkey
Montenegro
Peru
Qatar
Thailand
UnitedArabEmirates
Tunisia
DominicanRepublic
Scorepointsinscienceperhouroflearningtime
Hours Intended learning time at school (hours) Study time after school (hours) Score points in science per hour of total learning time
OECD Facilitates Needed Cooperation
o Working with governments to
understand what drives economic,
social and environmental changes
o Promoting polices to improve the economic and
social well-being of people around the world
o Sharing policy experiences
and seeking solutions to
common problems
The Five Pillars of the Education Directorate
The Five Pillars of the Education Directorate
Policy development and
implementation
Innovation and the future of
education
Developing and using skills
Teaching and learning
Measuring outcomes
OECD aims to provide answers – Directorate for Education and Skills
The Five Pillars of the Education Directorate
The Five Pillars of the Education Directorate
Policy development and
implementation
o Early Childhood Education and Care Policy
Reviews
o Education 2030
o Strength Through Diversity
o In-Depth Analysis of Higher Education Topics
o Country Reviews of Education Policy
o Education for Indigenous Students
o School Resources Review
o Strategic Education Governance
o Education Policy Outlook
OECD aims to provide answers – Directorate for Education and Skills
Preparing
Students for
the Future
Equity and
quality
Evaluation and
Assessment
School
improvement
Funding
Governance
SYSTEM
STUDENTS
INSTITUTIONS
The Education Policy Outlook 2018: Putting Student Learning at the Centre
Preparing
Students for
the Future
Equity and
quality
Evaluation and
Assessment
School
improvement
Funding
Governance
STUDENTS
o Looks into the evolution of education policy landscapes in 43
education systems during 2008-2017, which touch the lives of
over 300 million students.
o Identifies common areas of education policy priorities and
policy actions to foster equity and quality and prepare students
for the future
o Identifies over 200 key education policies across
33 education systems .
o Aims to understand the evolution of education policy priorities
and principles of action in 43 education systems by drawing on
the review of more than 150 publications of OECD country-
based work, responses to the EPO 2016-17 Survey, EPO country
profiles and international evidence.
o Traces the policy life cycle from implementation, evaluation,
evolution to completion of key education policies.
The Education Policy Outlook 2018: Putting Student Learning at the Centre
Trends in the Evolution of Policy Priorities: Equity and Quality
6
7
7
8
9
13
14
15
20
29
0 5 10 15 20 25 30
Delaying tracking
Improving the integration of SEN students
Bridging performance gaps among students from different minority groups
Bridging performance gaps among boys and girls
Preventing school repetition
Bridging performance gaps among students and regions
Improving the inclusion of immigrant students
Raising access to and quality of ECEC
Improving student performance for all
Bridging gaps in performance due to socio-economic background
Persisting policy
priorities (2008-2017)
Emerging policy priorities
(2014-2017)
Number of Education Systems
Source: PISA 2012Low math performance
High math performance
Mathematics performance
of the 10% most disadvantaged
American 15-year-olds (~Mexico)
Mathematics performance
of the 10% most privileged
American 15-year-olds (~Japan)
Poverty need not be destiny:
PISA math performance by decile of social background
PISAmathematicsperformance
Comparing like with like –
Learning outcomes by international deciles of the PISA index of economic, social and cultural status (ESCS)
280
330
380
430
480
530
580
630
DominicanRepublic40
Algeria52
Kosovo10
Qatar3
FYROM13
Tunisia39
Montenegro11
Jordan21
UnitedArabEmirates3
Georgia19
Lebanon27
Indonesia74
Mexico53
Peru50
CostaRica38
Brazil43
Turkey59
Moldova28
Thailand55
Colombia43
Iceland1
TrinidadandTobago14
Romania20
Israel6
Bulgaria13
Greece13
Russia5
Uruguay39
Chile27
Latvia25
Lithuania12
SlovakRepublic8
Italy15
Norway1
Spain31
Hungary16
Croatia10
Denmark3
OECDaverage12
Sweden3
Malta13
UnitedStates11
Macao(China)22
Ireland5
Austria5
Portugal28
Luxembourg14
HongKong(China)26
CzechRepublic9
Poland16
Australia4
UnitedKingdom5
Canada2
France9
Korea6
NewZealand5
Switzerland8
Netherlands4
Slovenia5
Belgium7
Finland2
Estonia5
VietNam76
Germany7
Japan8
ChineseTaipei12
B-S-J-G(China)52
Singapore11
Scorepoints
Bottom decile Second decile Middle decile Ninth decile Top decile
Figure I.6.7
% of
students in
the bottom
international
deciles of
ESCS
OECD median student
Disadvantaged schools often have more teachers…
24.2
25.8
27.0
27.7
23
24
25
26
27
28
Bottom quarter Second quarter Third quarter Top quarter
Students per class
Average class size in <9th grade>, by quarter of school socio-economic profile (OECD average)
…but teachers in disadvantaged schools are less qualified…
Figure 3.5
Science teachers without a university major in science, by school socio-economic profile (OECD Average)
31
26
25
21
15
17
19
21
23
25
27
29
31
33
35
Bottom quarter Second quarter Third quarter Top quarter
Trends in the Evolution of Policy Priorities: Preparing Students for the Future
8
12
17
18
18
18
18
19
25
29
0 5 10 15 20 25 30
Internationalising the higher education sector
Decreasing levels of youth unemployment and NEETs
Increasing the quality of tertiary education
Creating or strengthening apprenticeship systems
Reducing high school leaving rates
Raising the attractiveness of VET
Increasing equal access to tertiary education
Facilitating the school-to-work transition for students
Increasing employer engagement in VET
Reducing skills mismatch
Number of Education Systems
Persisting policy
priorities (2008-2017)
Emerging policy
priorities (2014-2017)
Expanding access to and quality of ECEC
Identified as a priority by the OECD in 14 education systems;
Only 1 education system reported it as such in its responses to the EPO Survey 2016-2017
Priority: Increase access to and quality of ECEC
Number of years in pre-primary education among students attending socio-economically
disadvantaged and advantaged schools (2015)
0
1
2
3
4
5
Sweden
Estonia
Russia
Latvia
Bulgaria
Iceland
Norway
Hungary
Denmark
Finland
Singapore
Israel
Belgium
HongKong…
Spain
SlovakRepublic
Uruguay
France
Macao(China)
Brazil
B-S-J-G(China)
Japan
Germany
CzechRepublic
Lithuania
Slovenia
Thailand
Austria
Croatia
Italy
ChineseTaipei
OECDaverage
Poland
Peru
Korea
Mexico
Luxembourg
Greece
Montenegro
Dominican…
NewZealand
UnitedKingdom
UnitedStates
Switzerland
CostaRica
Qatar
UnitedArab…
Colombia
Australia
Canada
Chile
Ireland
Tunisia
Portugal
Turkey
%students
Disadvantaged schools Advantaged schools
FIFTEEN-YEAR-OLDS IN
ADVANTAGED SCHOOLS ARE
MORE LIKELY TO HAVE ATTENDED
PRE-PRIMARY SCHOOL
Priority: Increase access to and quality of ECEC
Number of years in pre-primary education among students attending socio-economically
disadvantaged and advantaged schools (2015)
0
1
2
3
4
5
Sweden
Estonia
Russia
Latvia
Bulgaria
Iceland
Norway
Hungary
Denmark
Finland
Singapore
Israel
Belgium
HongKong…
Spain
SlovakRepublic
Uruguay
France
Macao(China)
Brazil
B-S-J-G(China)
Japan
Germany
CzechRepublic
Lithuania
Slovenia
Thailand
Austria
Croatia
Italy
ChineseTaipei
OECDaverage
Poland
Peru
Korea
Mexico
Luxembourg
Greece
Montenegro
Dominican…
NewZealand
UnitedKingdom
UnitedStates
Switzerland
CostaRica
Qatar
UnitedArab…
Colombia
Australia
Canada
Chile
Ireland
Tunisia
Portugal
Turkey
%students
Disadvantaged schools Advantaged schools
FIFTEEN-YEAR-OLDS IN
ADVANTAGED SCHOOLS ARE
MORE LIKELY TO HAVE ATTENDED
PRE-PRIMARY SCHOOL
Education systems worked to
increase ECEC access, improve its
quality and the transition to
primary education.
Older policies (2008-2017) tend
to be broader in scope, more
recent policies (2014-2017) tend
to be targeted at children from
disadvantaged backgrounds.
2008-2017
What happened?
Priority: Increase access to and quality of ECEC
Enrolment rates in ECEC and primary education, age 3 (2005 and 2015)
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
France
Denmark
Iceland
Spain
Norway
Germany
Korea
Sweden
NewZealand
Estonia
Latvia
Slovenia
Netherlands
Hungary
Japan
EU22average
OECDaverage
CzechRepublic
Austria
Finland
Australia
Luxembourg
Poland
SlovakRepublic
Colombia
Chile
Mexico
Ireland
Turkey
CostaRica
Italy
Portugal
UnitedStates
Switzerland
% Enrolment at age 3 (2005) Enrolment at age 3 (2015)
In 14 Education Systems: AUS,
CZE, FIN, FRA, DEU, ITA, JPN, KOR,
LVA, LUX, PRT, SVK, ESP, GBR (ENG)
OECD Principle of action: Increase
access to and quality of ECEC by, for
example, implementing monitoring
systems.
Increasing coverage of ECEC by
providing new infrastructure and
programmes was only reported
as a priority by CHL.
Priority: Increase access to and quality of ECEC (2008-17)
What the
OECD
said:
What
Education
Systems
said:
Ensure
coverage and
quality in ECEC
for the
youngest
What
was
done?
Further Policy Evidence:
ECEC curriculum (revised
2016)
Series of policies to improve
coverage and equity in ECEC
(2014-18)
After-school childcare for 3-5
year-olds (2013); Nuri
curriculum (2012)
Need to better
define goals
and content
Integrating students with an
immigrant background into the
education system
Identified as a priority by the OECD in 14 education systems;
6 education system reported it as such in their responses
to the EPO Survey 2016-2017
Priority: Integrating immigrant students into the education system
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
Macao(China)-11
Qatar15
Luxembourg16
HongKong(China)-9
Switzerland9
Canada9
NewZealand6
Australia3
UnitedStates8
Austria7
Belgium4
Israel-6
Sweden7
Germany3
UnitedKingdom8
Ireland9
France
OECDaverage3
Jordan-5
Norway6
Spain4
Croatia
Greece3
Netherlands
Denmark3
Estonia-2
Italy4
Slovenia-2
Portugal
Russia-2
% 2015 2006
Change between 2006 and 2015 in the percentage of immigrant students
Change (2015 – 2006) in the percentage of
immigrant students is statistically
significant
Priority: Integrating immigrant students into the education system
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
Macao(China)-11
Qatar15
Luxembourg16
HongKong(China)-9
Switzerland9
Canada9
NewZealand6
Australia3
UnitedStates8
Austria7
Belgium4
Israel-6
Sweden7
Germany3
UnitedKingdom8
Ireland9
France
OECDaverage3
Jordan-5
Norway6
Spain4
Croatia
Greece3
Netherlands
Denmark3
Estonia-2
Italy4
Slovenia-2
Portugal
Russia-2
% 2015 2006
Change between 2006 and 2015 in the percentage of immigrant students
Change (2015 – 2006) in the percentage of
immigrant students is statistically
significant
OECD Education systems have
become more diverse in terms of
the backgrounds of students they
serve.
The increased diversity is related to
the growing number of immigrant
students enrolling in their schools.
2008-2017
What happened?
Priority: Integrating immigrant students into the education system
Percentage of students attaining baseline academic proficiency, by immigrant background (2015)
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
Canada
Ireland
NewZealand
Estonia
Australia
UnitedKingdom-11
Hungary
Portugal-14
Luxembourg-24
Norway-25
Latvia-21
CzechRepublic-19
Spain-23
EUaverage-22
UnitedStates-22
OECDaverage-24
Belgium-31
Denmark-33
Germany-37
Slovenia-34
Italy-24
Finland-42
France-36
Austria-38
Greece-29
Iceland-39
Chile-20
SlovakRepublic-35
CostaRica-14
Mexico-34
%
First-generation immigrant students Native students
What the
OECD
said:
What
Education
Systems
said:
In 14 Education Systems: AUT, BEL
(Fl, Fr, Dg), FIN, FRA, DEU, ISL, LUX,
POL, SWE, CHE, TUR, GBR (ENG)
OECD Principle of action: Ensure early
intervention for immigrant students with
language courses and specific teacher
training
Reducing performance and
attainment gaps between
native and immigrant
students is a priority
in 6 Education Systems:
BEL (Fl), DEU, FIN, ISL, SWE,
TUR
Refugee children and youth
should be swiftly integrated into
the mainstream compulsory
education system to avoid
segregation
Ex: Standard curriculum should
include German language training
Priority: Integrating immigrant students into the education system (2008-17)
What
was
done? National Core Curriculum for Instruction Preparing for
Basic Education (2015); National Core Curriculum for
Instruction Preparing for Basic Education (2015); National
Core Curriculum for Instruction Preparing for General
Upper Secondary Education (2015); Preparatory Education
for Vocational Training (2015)
Qualification Initiative “Getting ahead through
education” (2008); National Action Plan on Integration
(NAP-I, 2011); Programme on language education
(2016); Programme on building bridges to early
education for families with refugee background and
low SES (2017)A lot…
Address literacy gaps
between students with an
immigrant background and
native students
Ex: Ensure staff have good
knowledge of children’s mother-
tongue so children can learn
properly at a young age
Preparing students for the future
Creating new value connotes
processes of creating, making,
bringing into being and formulating;
and outcomes that are innovative,
fresh and original, contributing
something of intrinsic positive worth.
The constructs that underpin the
competence are creativity/ creative
thinking/ inventive thinking, curiosity,
global mind-set, …
.
In a structurally imbalanced world,
the imperative of reconciling diverse
perspectives and interests, in local
settings with sometimes global
implications, will require young
people to become adept in handling
tensions, dilemmas and trade-offs.
Underlying constructs are empathy,
resilience/stress resistance
trust, …
Dealing with novelty, change,
diversity and ambiguity assumes that
individuals can think for themselves
and work with others. This suggests
a sense of responsibility, and moral
and intellectual maturity, with which
a person can reflect upon and
evaluate their actions in the light of
their experiences and personal and
societal goals; what they have been
taught and told; and what is right or
wrong
Underlying constructs include critical
thinking skills, meta-learning skills
(including learning to learn skills),
mindfulness, problem solving skills,
responsibility, …
Anticipation mobilises
cognitive skills, such as
analytical or critical thinking,
to foresee what may be
needed in the future or how
actions taken today might
have consequences for the
future
Reflective practice is the
ability to take a critical stance
when deciding, choosing and
acting, by stepping back from
what is known or assumed
and looking at a situation
from other, different
perspectives
Both reflective practice and
anticipation contribute to the
willingness to take responsible
actions
Implications for pedagogy
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
Arts Humanities Mathematics National Language/s PE/Health Science Technologies
Numberofmappedcontentitems
Skills, Attitudes and Values Key concepts
2030 Learning
Framework
Competency
Development
Cycle
Compound
competencies
for 2030
Current curricula and 2030 aspirations
Preliminary findings of curriculum content mapping (lower secondary; Ontario, Canada)
Current curricula and 2030 aspirations
Preliminary findings of curriculum content mapping (lower secondary; Japan)
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
Arts Humanities Mathematics National Language/s PE/Health Science Technologies
Numberofmappedcontentitems
Skills, Attitudes and Values Key
concepts
2030
Learning
Framewo
rk
Competency
Development
Cycle
Compound
competencies
for 2030
Some lessons from high performers
• Rigor, focus and coherence
• Remain true to the disciplines
– but aim at interdisciplinary learning and the capacity of students to see
problems through multiple lenses
– Balance knowledge of disciplines and knowledge about disciplines
• Focus on areas with the highest transfer value
– Requiring a theory of action for how this transfer value occurs
• Authenticity
– Thematic, problem-based, project-based, co-creation in conversation
• Some things are caught not taught
– Immersive learning propositions
What teachers say
and what teachers do
96% of teachers: My role as a teacher
is to facilitate students own inquiry
86%: Students learn best
by findings solutions on their own
74%: Thinking and reasoning is more
important than curriculum content
-2.00 -1.50 -1.00 -0.50 0.00
Prevalence of memorisation
rehearsal, routine exercises, drill and
practice and/or repetition
0.00 0.50 1.00 1.50 2.00
Switzerland
Poland
Germany
Japan
Korea
France
Sweden
Shanghai-China
Canada
Singapore
United States
Norway
Spain
Netherlands
United Kingdom
Prevalence of elaboration
reasoning, deep learning, intrinsic
motivation, critical thinking,
creativity, non-routine problems
High Low Low High
Memorisation is less useful as problems become more difficult
(OECD average)
R² = 0.81
0.70
1.00
300 400 500 600 700 800
Difficulty of mathematics item on the PISA scale
1
Source: Figure 4.3
Difficult problem
Easy problem
Greater
success
Less
success
Odds ratio
Elaboration strategies are more useful as problems become
more difficult (OECD average)
R² = 0.82
0.80
1.50
300 400 500 600 700 800
Difficulty of mathematics item on the PISA scale
2
Source: Figure 6.2
Difficult
problem
Greater
success
Less
success
Easy problem
Odds ratio
Ensuring successful transitions by
decreasing early school leaving rates
Identified as a priority by the OECD in 18 education systems;
10 education system reported it as such in their responses
to the EPO Survey 2016-2017
Priority: Ensuring successful transitions by decreasing early school leaving rates
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
Korea
Israel
Lithuania
Finland
NewZealand
Netherlands
Chile
Slovenia
Poland
Austria
Latvia
Canada
Portugal
UnitedStates
Hungary
Germany
Denmark
OECDaverage
EU22average
Slovak…
Italy
Norway
CzechRepublic
Luxembourg
Indonesia
Sweden
Spain
Turkey
Brazil
Mexico
CostaRica
2015 2005
Trends in first-time upper secondary graduation rates for students younger than 25 (2005, 2015)
Priority: Ensuring successful transitions by decreasing early school leaving rates
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
Korea
Israel
Lithuania
Finland
NewZealand
Netherlands
Chile
Slovenia
Poland
Austria
Latvia
Canada
Portugal
UnitedStates
Hungary
Germany
Denmark
OECDaverage
EU22average
Slovak…
Italy
Norway
CzechRepublic
Luxembourg
Indonesia
Sweden
Spain
Turkey
Brazil
Mexico
CostaRica
2015 2005
Trends in first-time upper secondary graduation rates for students younger than 25 (2005, 2015)
2008-2017
What happened ?
OECD education systems have implemented
policies to keep students in the system, while
improving their learning opportunities.
Policy options reported include advancing student
guidance, revising qualifications, updating course
curricula and increasing participation in STEM-
related fields. Recently-implemented policies
concentrate on similar areas, but also on
technology education and support for migrants
and refugees.
What the
OECD
said:
What
Education
Systems
said:
In 18 Education Systems: BEL (Fl, Fr,
Dg), CHL, EST, FRA, DEU, ISL, ITA, LVA,
MEX, PRT, SVK, SVN, ESP, SWE, COL
OECD principle of action: Provide more and
earlier individualised support to students at
risk of falling behind. Favour policies that
encourage students to go back to school.
Reducing performance and
attainment gaps between native and
immigrant students is a priority
in 10 Education Systems: BEL (Fl, Fr),
FRA, DEU, ITA, LVA, NOR, PRT, ESP,
SWE
Further reduce
grade repetition and
early school leaving
Priority: Ensuring successful transitions by decreasing early school leaving rates (2008-17)
What
was
done?
Foster a close partnership
between business and
VET, so that VET responds
to labour market needs
Series of policies to promote
student success, including a new
framework of competences, a
National Plan for School Success
(PNPSE), tutoring for students who
repeat two grades and the
Curriculum Flexibility and Autonomy
Programme
Programme to Reduce Early
Dropout in Education and Training
(2014-20)
Improving the attractiveness and
relevance of Vocational Education
Training (VET)
Identified as a priority by 16 the OECD in education systems;
7 education system reported it as such in their responses to the
EPO Survey 2016-2017
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
Iceland
Luxembourg
Austria
Poland
Latvia
Germany
UnitedKingdom2
Belgium
Norway
Sweden
NewZealand
France
Japan
Canada
Chile1
Australia
UnitedStates
Ireland1
OECDaverage
Denmark
Hungary
EU22average
Portugal
Colombia
Slovenia
Estonia
CostaRica
Finland
Mexico
CzechRepublic
SlovakRepublic
Spain
Korea
Turkey
Greece
Italy
%
vocational Below upper secondary general or no distinction Tertiary
Priority: Improving the attractiveness and relevance of VET
Employment rates of 25-34 year-olds, by educational attainment and programme orientation (2016)
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
Iceland
Luxembourg
Austria
Poland
Latvia
Germany
UnitedKingdom2
Belgium
Norway
Sweden
NewZealand
France
Japan
Canada
Chile1
Australia
UnitedStates
Ireland1
OECDaverage
Denmark
Hungary
EU22average
Portugal
Colombia
Slovenia
Estonia
CostaRica
Finland
Mexico
CzechRepublic
SlovakRepublic
Spain
Korea
Turkey
Greece
Italy
%
vocational Below upper secondary general or no distinction Tertiary
Priority: Improving the attractiveness and relevance of VET
Employment rates of 25-34 year-olds, by educational attainment and programme orientation (2016)
2008-2017
What happened ?
OECD education systems have
implemented strategies and tools
to improve the quality of VET
programmes and policies to
support students during their
transition into post-secondary
education or the labour market
and to improve access to VET and
its attractiveness.
What the
OECD
said:
What
Education
Systems
said:
Improving attractiveness of VET is a
priority
in 7 Education Systems: BEL (Fr), CAN
(federal view), DEU, PRT, SVK, ESP,
SWE
Priority: Improving the attractiveness and relevance of VET (2008-17)
What
was
done?
Provide young people with the
generic, transferable skills to
support occupational mobility and
lifelong learning, and with
occupational-specific skills that
meet employers’ immediate
needs.
Further policy evidence: Szabóky Adolf
vocational scholarship programme
(2016) formerly known as the
Vocational School Scholarship Scheme
(Fr): Pact for Excellence in
Teaching (2015-30)
In 16 Education Systems: BEL (Fl, Fr,
Dg), CZE, DNK, EST, FRA, DEU, GRC,
IRL, ISR, MEX, PRT, SVN, ESP, SWE
OECD principle of action (attractiveness):
Making programmes more relevant to the
labour market, facilitating pathways to
tertiary education or higher-level VET (if at
upper secondary level), and further
involving employers in the establishment of
curriculum.
3.
Three key education policy lessons
learnt from this report
3 Key education policy lessons from this report
1. System complexity means that no policy makes it or breaks it alone, and the contexts in which
they interact, with increased diversity, are key to their success. However, system complexity can
be good news after all, as it can mean that different approaches can exist in order to address one
same problem depending on the context (e.g. reducing early school leaving, or skills mismatch).
2. New policy priorities have been identified, with corresponding areas of policy action, with an
increased focus on improving student performance for all in schools (low performers) or
integrating immigrant students into the education system... At the same time, ECEC appeared as a
more “silent” priority, yet with several key education policies reported and recent developments.
3. Equity in education is about providing adapted opportunities for all to succeed, and should
therefore include support to mid and high performers too. This includes, bridging performance
gaps related to student background, but at the same time, being able to offer opportunities for
students at different performance levels to reach their full potential and push it further. In the
same way, facilitating smooth transitions for all students in a comprehensive and inclusive
education system can strengthen students’ success in education, the labour market and as part of
a community, today and in the future…
Thank you!
Andreas.Schleicher@oecd.org

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The Education Policy Outlook 2018 - Putting Student Learning at the Centre

  • 1. The Education Policy Outlook 2018: Putting Student Learning at the Centre Andreas Schleicher Special Advisor on Education Policy to the Secretary General Director for Education and Skills Education Policy Reform Dialogues Madrid, Spain 11-12 June 2018
  • 2. Preparing students for their future, not our past The post-truth world where reality becomes fungible • Virality seems privileged over quality in the distribution of information • Truth and fact are losing currency Scarcity of attention and abundance of information • Algorithms sort us into groups of like-minded individuals create echo chambers that amplify our views, leave us uninformed of opposing arguments, and polarise our societies
  • 4. Students are using more time online outside school on a typical school day (PISA) 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 200 Chile39 Sweden56 Uruguay33 CostaRica31 Spain44 Italy40 Australia52 Estonia50 NewZealand51 Hungary43 Russia42 Netherlands48 Denmark55 SlovakRepublic40 CzechRepublic43 Austria42 Latvia46 Singapore45 Belgium44 Poland46 Iceland51 OECDaverage-2743 Ireland48 Croatia40 Portugal42 Finland48 Israel34 Macao(China)45 Switzerland40 Greece41 HongKong(China)39 Mexico30 Slovenia37 Japan31 Korea20 Minutes per day 2015 2012 Figure III.13.3 Percentage of High Internet Users (spending 2 to 6 hours on line per day), during weekdays
  • 6. The kind of things that are easy to teach are now easy to automate, digitize or outsource 35 40 45 50 55 60 65 70 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2006 2009 Routine manual Nonroutine manual Routine cognitive Nonroutine analytic Nonroutine interpersonal Mean task input in percentiles of 1960 task distribution
  • 7. Tasks without use of ICT Tasks with use of ICT Non routine tasks Routine tasks Non routine tasks Routine tasks Tasks without use of ICT Tasks with use of ICT TWO EFFECTS OF DIGITALISATION
  • 8. Non routine tasks, Low use of ICT Non routine tasks, High use of ICT Routine tasks, Low use of ICT Routine tasks, High use of ICT Non routine tasks, Low use of ICT Non routine tasks, High use of ICT Routine tasks, Low use of ICT Routine tasks, High use of ICT TWO EFFECTS OF DIGITALISATION (
  • 9. The Race between Technology and Education Inspired by “The race between technology and education” Pr. Goldin & Katz (Harvard) Industrial revolution Digital revolution Social pain Universal public schooling Technology Education Prosperity Social pain Prosperity
  • 10. Comparing skills of computers and adults 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% Level 1 and Below Level 2 Level 3 Level 4-5 Literacy Proficiency in OECD Countries (PIAAC) Near-term computer capabilities
  • 11. When fast gets really fast, being slow to adapt makes you really slow
  • 12. Learning time and science performance Figure II.6.23 Finland Germany Switzerland Japan Estonia Sweden Netherlands New Zealand Macao (China) Iceland Hong Kong (China) Chinese Taipei Uruguay Singapore Poland United States Israel Bulgaria Korea Russia Italy Greece B-S-J-G (China) Colombia Chile Mexico Brazil Costa Rica Turkey Montenegro Peru Qatar Thailand United Arab Emirates Tunisia Dominican Republic R² = 0.21 300 350 400 450 500 550 600 35 40 45 50 55 60 PISAsciencescore Total learning time in and outside of school OECD average OECD average OECDaverage
  • 13. Learning time and science performance (PISA) Figure II.6.23 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 Finland Germany Switzerland Japan Estonia Sweden Netherlands NewZealand Australia CzechRepublic Macao(China) UnitedKingdom Canada Belgium France Norway Slovenia Iceland Luxembourg Ireland Latvia HongKong(China) OECDaverage ChineseTaipei Austria Portugal Uruguay Lithuania Singapore Denmark Hungary Poland SlovakRepublic Spain Croatia UnitedStates Israel Bulgaria Korea Russia Italy Greece B-S-J-G(China) Colombia Chile Mexico Brazil CostaRica Turkey Montenegro Peru Qatar Thailand UnitedArabEmirates Tunisia DominicanRepublic Scorepointsinscienceperhouroflearningtime Hours Intended learning time at school (hours) Study time after school (hours) Score points in science per hour of total learning time
  • 14. OECD Facilitates Needed Cooperation o Working with governments to understand what drives economic, social and environmental changes o Promoting polices to improve the economic and social well-being of people around the world o Sharing policy experiences and seeking solutions to common problems
  • 15. The Five Pillars of the Education Directorate The Five Pillars of the Education Directorate Policy development and implementation Innovation and the future of education Developing and using skills Teaching and learning Measuring outcomes OECD aims to provide answers – Directorate for Education and Skills
  • 16. The Five Pillars of the Education Directorate The Five Pillars of the Education Directorate Policy development and implementation o Early Childhood Education and Care Policy Reviews o Education 2030 o Strength Through Diversity o In-Depth Analysis of Higher Education Topics o Country Reviews of Education Policy o Education for Indigenous Students o School Resources Review o Strategic Education Governance o Education Policy Outlook OECD aims to provide answers – Directorate for Education and Skills
  • 17. Preparing Students for the Future Equity and quality Evaluation and Assessment School improvement Funding Governance SYSTEM STUDENTS INSTITUTIONS The Education Policy Outlook 2018: Putting Student Learning at the Centre
  • 18. Preparing Students for the Future Equity and quality Evaluation and Assessment School improvement Funding Governance STUDENTS o Looks into the evolution of education policy landscapes in 43 education systems during 2008-2017, which touch the lives of over 300 million students. o Identifies common areas of education policy priorities and policy actions to foster equity and quality and prepare students for the future o Identifies over 200 key education policies across 33 education systems . o Aims to understand the evolution of education policy priorities and principles of action in 43 education systems by drawing on the review of more than 150 publications of OECD country- based work, responses to the EPO 2016-17 Survey, EPO country profiles and international evidence. o Traces the policy life cycle from implementation, evaluation, evolution to completion of key education policies. The Education Policy Outlook 2018: Putting Student Learning at the Centre
  • 19. Trends in the Evolution of Policy Priorities: Equity and Quality 6 7 7 8 9 13 14 15 20 29 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 Delaying tracking Improving the integration of SEN students Bridging performance gaps among students from different minority groups Bridging performance gaps among boys and girls Preventing school repetition Bridging performance gaps among students and regions Improving the inclusion of immigrant students Raising access to and quality of ECEC Improving student performance for all Bridging gaps in performance due to socio-economic background Persisting policy priorities (2008-2017) Emerging policy priorities (2014-2017) Number of Education Systems
  • 20. Source: PISA 2012Low math performance High math performance Mathematics performance of the 10% most disadvantaged American 15-year-olds (~Mexico) Mathematics performance of the 10% most privileged American 15-year-olds (~Japan) Poverty need not be destiny: PISA math performance by decile of social background PISAmathematicsperformance
  • 21. Comparing like with like – Learning outcomes by international deciles of the PISA index of economic, social and cultural status (ESCS) 280 330 380 430 480 530 580 630 DominicanRepublic40 Algeria52 Kosovo10 Qatar3 FYROM13 Tunisia39 Montenegro11 Jordan21 UnitedArabEmirates3 Georgia19 Lebanon27 Indonesia74 Mexico53 Peru50 CostaRica38 Brazil43 Turkey59 Moldova28 Thailand55 Colombia43 Iceland1 TrinidadandTobago14 Romania20 Israel6 Bulgaria13 Greece13 Russia5 Uruguay39 Chile27 Latvia25 Lithuania12 SlovakRepublic8 Italy15 Norway1 Spain31 Hungary16 Croatia10 Denmark3 OECDaverage12 Sweden3 Malta13 UnitedStates11 Macao(China)22 Ireland5 Austria5 Portugal28 Luxembourg14 HongKong(China)26 CzechRepublic9 Poland16 Australia4 UnitedKingdom5 Canada2 France9 Korea6 NewZealand5 Switzerland8 Netherlands4 Slovenia5 Belgium7 Finland2 Estonia5 VietNam76 Germany7 Japan8 ChineseTaipei12 B-S-J-G(China)52 Singapore11 Scorepoints Bottom decile Second decile Middle decile Ninth decile Top decile Figure I.6.7 % of students in the bottom international deciles of ESCS OECD median student
  • 22. Disadvantaged schools often have more teachers… 24.2 25.8 27.0 27.7 23 24 25 26 27 28 Bottom quarter Second quarter Third quarter Top quarter Students per class Average class size in <9th grade>, by quarter of school socio-economic profile (OECD average)
  • 23. …but teachers in disadvantaged schools are less qualified… Figure 3.5 Science teachers without a university major in science, by school socio-economic profile (OECD Average) 31 26 25 21 15 17 19 21 23 25 27 29 31 33 35 Bottom quarter Second quarter Third quarter Top quarter
  • 24. Trends in the Evolution of Policy Priorities: Preparing Students for the Future 8 12 17 18 18 18 18 19 25 29 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 Internationalising the higher education sector Decreasing levels of youth unemployment and NEETs Increasing the quality of tertiary education Creating or strengthening apprenticeship systems Reducing high school leaving rates Raising the attractiveness of VET Increasing equal access to tertiary education Facilitating the school-to-work transition for students Increasing employer engagement in VET Reducing skills mismatch Number of Education Systems Persisting policy priorities (2008-2017) Emerging policy priorities (2014-2017)
  • 25. Expanding access to and quality of ECEC Identified as a priority by the OECD in 14 education systems; Only 1 education system reported it as such in its responses to the EPO Survey 2016-2017
  • 26. Priority: Increase access to and quality of ECEC Number of years in pre-primary education among students attending socio-economically disadvantaged and advantaged schools (2015) 0 1 2 3 4 5 Sweden Estonia Russia Latvia Bulgaria Iceland Norway Hungary Denmark Finland Singapore Israel Belgium HongKong… Spain SlovakRepublic Uruguay France Macao(China) Brazil B-S-J-G(China) Japan Germany CzechRepublic Lithuania Slovenia Thailand Austria Croatia Italy ChineseTaipei OECDaverage Poland Peru Korea Mexico Luxembourg Greece Montenegro Dominican… NewZealand UnitedKingdom UnitedStates Switzerland CostaRica Qatar UnitedArab… Colombia Australia Canada Chile Ireland Tunisia Portugal Turkey %students Disadvantaged schools Advantaged schools FIFTEEN-YEAR-OLDS IN ADVANTAGED SCHOOLS ARE MORE LIKELY TO HAVE ATTENDED PRE-PRIMARY SCHOOL
  • 27. Priority: Increase access to and quality of ECEC Number of years in pre-primary education among students attending socio-economically disadvantaged and advantaged schools (2015) 0 1 2 3 4 5 Sweden Estonia Russia Latvia Bulgaria Iceland Norway Hungary Denmark Finland Singapore Israel Belgium HongKong… Spain SlovakRepublic Uruguay France Macao(China) Brazil B-S-J-G(China) Japan Germany CzechRepublic Lithuania Slovenia Thailand Austria Croatia Italy ChineseTaipei OECDaverage Poland Peru Korea Mexico Luxembourg Greece Montenegro Dominican… NewZealand UnitedKingdom UnitedStates Switzerland CostaRica Qatar UnitedArab… Colombia Australia Canada Chile Ireland Tunisia Portugal Turkey %students Disadvantaged schools Advantaged schools FIFTEEN-YEAR-OLDS IN ADVANTAGED SCHOOLS ARE MORE LIKELY TO HAVE ATTENDED PRE-PRIMARY SCHOOL Education systems worked to increase ECEC access, improve its quality and the transition to primary education. Older policies (2008-2017) tend to be broader in scope, more recent policies (2014-2017) tend to be targeted at children from disadvantaged backgrounds. 2008-2017 What happened?
  • 28. Priority: Increase access to and quality of ECEC Enrolment rates in ECEC and primary education, age 3 (2005 and 2015) 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 France Denmark Iceland Spain Norway Germany Korea Sweden NewZealand Estonia Latvia Slovenia Netherlands Hungary Japan EU22average OECDaverage CzechRepublic Austria Finland Australia Luxembourg Poland SlovakRepublic Colombia Chile Mexico Ireland Turkey CostaRica Italy Portugal UnitedStates Switzerland % Enrolment at age 3 (2005) Enrolment at age 3 (2015)
  • 29. In 14 Education Systems: AUS, CZE, FIN, FRA, DEU, ITA, JPN, KOR, LVA, LUX, PRT, SVK, ESP, GBR (ENG) OECD Principle of action: Increase access to and quality of ECEC by, for example, implementing monitoring systems. Increasing coverage of ECEC by providing new infrastructure and programmes was only reported as a priority by CHL. Priority: Increase access to and quality of ECEC (2008-17) What the OECD said: What Education Systems said: Ensure coverage and quality in ECEC for the youngest What was done? Further Policy Evidence: ECEC curriculum (revised 2016) Series of policies to improve coverage and equity in ECEC (2014-18) After-school childcare for 3-5 year-olds (2013); Nuri curriculum (2012) Need to better define goals and content
  • 30. Integrating students with an immigrant background into the education system Identified as a priority by the OECD in 14 education systems; 6 education system reported it as such in their responses to the EPO Survey 2016-2017
  • 31. Priority: Integrating immigrant students into the education system 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 Macao(China)-11 Qatar15 Luxembourg16 HongKong(China)-9 Switzerland9 Canada9 NewZealand6 Australia3 UnitedStates8 Austria7 Belgium4 Israel-6 Sweden7 Germany3 UnitedKingdom8 Ireland9 France OECDaverage3 Jordan-5 Norway6 Spain4 Croatia Greece3 Netherlands Denmark3 Estonia-2 Italy4 Slovenia-2 Portugal Russia-2 % 2015 2006 Change between 2006 and 2015 in the percentage of immigrant students Change (2015 – 2006) in the percentage of immigrant students is statistically significant
  • 32. Priority: Integrating immigrant students into the education system 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 Macao(China)-11 Qatar15 Luxembourg16 HongKong(China)-9 Switzerland9 Canada9 NewZealand6 Australia3 UnitedStates8 Austria7 Belgium4 Israel-6 Sweden7 Germany3 UnitedKingdom8 Ireland9 France OECDaverage3 Jordan-5 Norway6 Spain4 Croatia Greece3 Netherlands Denmark3 Estonia-2 Italy4 Slovenia-2 Portugal Russia-2 % 2015 2006 Change between 2006 and 2015 in the percentage of immigrant students Change (2015 – 2006) in the percentage of immigrant students is statistically significant OECD Education systems have become more diverse in terms of the backgrounds of students they serve. The increased diversity is related to the growing number of immigrant students enrolling in their schools. 2008-2017 What happened?
  • 33. Priority: Integrating immigrant students into the education system Percentage of students attaining baseline academic proficiency, by immigrant background (2015) 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 Canada Ireland NewZealand Estonia Australia UnitedKingdom-11 Hungary Portugal-14 Luxembourg-24 Norway-25 Latvia-21 CzechRepublic-19 Spain-23 EUaverage-22 UnitedStates-22 OECDaverage-24 Belgium-31 Denmark-33 Germany-37 Slovenia-34 Italy-24 Finland-42 France-36 Austria-38 Greece-29 Iceland-39 Chile-20 SlovakRepublic-35 CostaRica-14 Mexico-34 % First-generation immigrant students Native students
  • 34. What the OECD said: What Education Systems said: In 14 Education Systems: AUT, BEL (Fl, Fr, Dg), FIN, FRA, DEU, ISL, LUX, POL, SWE, CHE, TUR, GBR (ENG) OECD Principle of action: Ensure early intervention for immigrant students with language courses and specific teacher training Reducing performance and attainment gaps between native and immigrant students is a priority in 6 Education Systems: BEL (Fl), DEU, FIN, ISL, SWE, TUR Refugee children and youth should be swiftly integrated into the mainstream compulsory education system to avoid segregation Ex: Standard curriculum should include German language training Priority: Integrating immigrant students into the education system (2008-17) What was done? National Core Curriculum for Instruction Preparing for Basic Education (2015); National Core Curriculum for Instruction Preparing for Basic Education (2015); National Core Curriculum for Instruction Preparing for General Upper Secondary Education (2015); Preparatory Education for Vocational Training (2015) Qualification Initiative “Getting ahead through education” (2008); National Action Plan on Integration (NAP-I, 2011); Programme on language education (2016); Programme on building bridges to early education for families with refugee background and low SES (2017)A lot… Address literacy gaps between students with an immigrant background and native students Ex: Ensure staff have good knowledge of children’s mother- tongue so children can learn properly at a young age
  • 36.
  • 37.
  • 38.
  • 39. Creating new value connotes processes of creating, making, bringing into being and formulating; and outcomes that are innovative, fresh and original, contributing something of intrinsic positive worth. The constructs that underpin the competence are creativity/ creative thinking/ inventive thinking, curiosity, global mind-set, … . In a structurally imbalanced world, the imperative of reconciling diverse perspectives and interests, in local settings with sometimes global implications, will require young people to become adept in handling tensions, dilemmas and trade-offs. Underlying constructs are empathy, resilience/stress resistance trust, … Dealing with novelty, change, diversity and ambiguity assumes that individuals can think for themselves and work with others. This suggests a sense of responsibility, and moral and intellectual maturity, with which a person can reflect upon and evaluate their actions in the light of their experiences and personal and societal goals; what they have been taught and told; and what is right or wrong Underlying constructs include critical thinking skills, meta-learning skills (including learning to learn skills), mindfulness, problem solving skills, responsibility, …
  • 40. Anticipation mobilises cognitive skills, such as analytical or critical thinking, to foresee what may be needed in the future or how actions taken today might have consequences for the future Reflective practice is the ability to take a critical stance when deciding, choosing and acting, by stepping back from what is known or assumed and looking at a situation from other, different perspectives Both reflective practice and anticipation contribute to the willingness to take responsible actions Implications for pedagogy
  • 41. 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 Arts Humanities Mathematics National Language/s PE/Health Science Technologies Numberofmappedcontentitems Skills, Attitudes and Values Key concepts 2030 Learning Framework Competency Development Cycle Compound competencies for 2030 Current curricula and 2030 aspirations Preliminary findings of curriculum content mapping (lower secondary; Ontario, Canada)
  • 42. Current curricula and 2030 aspirations Preliminary findings of curriculum content mapping (lower secondary; Japan) 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 Arts Humanities Mathematics National Language/s PE/Health Science Technologies Numberofmappedcontentitems Skills, Attitudes and Values Key concepts 2030 Learning Framewo rk Competency Development Cycle Compound competencies for 2030
  • 43. Some lessons from high performers • Rigor, focus and coherence • Remain true to the disciplines – but aim at interdisciplinary learning and the capacity of students to see problems through multiple lenses – Balance knowledge of disciplines and knowledge about disciplines • Focus on areas with the highest transfer value – Requiring a theory of action for how this transfer value occurs • Authenticity – Thematic, problem-based, project-based, co-creation in conversation • Some things are caught not taught – Immersive learning propositions
  • 44. What teachers say and what teachers do
  • 45. 96% of teachers: My role as a teacher is to facilitate students own inquiry
  • 46. 86%: Students learn best by findings solutions on their own
  • 47. 74%: Thinking and reasoning is more important than curriculum content
  • 48. -2.00 -1.50 -1.00 -0.50 0.00 Prevalence of memorisation rehearsal, routine exercises, drill and practice and/or repetition 0.00 0.50 1.00 1.50 2.00 Switzerland Poland Germany Japan Korea France Sweden Shanghai-China Canada Singapore United States Norway Spain Netherlands United Kingdom Prevalence of elaboration reasoning, deep learning, intrinsic motivation, critical thinking, creativity, non-routine problems High Low Low High
  • 49. Memorisation is less useful as problems become more difficult (OECD average) R² = 0.81 0.70 1.00 300 400 500 600 700 800 Difficulty of mathematics item on the PISA scale 1 Source: Figure 4.3 Difficult problem Easy problem Greater success Less success Odds ratio
  • 50. Elaboration strategies are more useful as problems become more difficult (OECD average) R² = 0.82 0.80 1.50 300 400 500 600 700 800 Difficulty of mathematics item on the PISA scale 2 Source: Figure 6.2 Difficult problem Greater success Less success Easy problem Odds ratio
  • 51. Ensuring successful transitions by decreasing early school leaving rates Identified as a priority by the OECD in 18 education systems; 10 education system reported it as such in their responses to the EPO Survey 2016-2017
  • 52. Priority: Ensuring successful transitions by decreasing early school leaving rates 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 Korea Israel Lithuania Finland NewZealand Netherlands Chile Slovenia Poland Austria Latvia Canada Portugal UnitedStates Hungary Germany Denmark OECDaverage EU22average Slovak… Italy Norway CzechRepublic Luxembourg Indonesia Sweden Spain Turkey Brazil Mexico CostaRica 2015 2005 Trends in first-time upper secondary graduation rates for students younger than 25 (2005, 2015)
  • 53. Priority: Ensuring successful transitions by decreasing early school leaving rates 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 Korea Israel Lithuania Finland NewZealand Netherlands Chile Slovenia Poland Austria Latvia Canada Portugal UnitedStates Hungary Germany Denmark OECDaverage EU22average Slovak… Italy Norway CzechRepublic Luxembourg Indonesia Sweden Spain Turkey Brazil Mexico CostaRica 2015 2005 Trends in first-time upper secondary graduation rates for students younger than 25 (2005, 2015) 2008-2017 What happened ? OECD education systems have implemented policies to keep students in the system, while improving their learning opportunities. Policy options reported include advancing student guidance, revising qualifications, updating course curricula and increasing participation in STEM- related fields. Recently-implemented policies concentrate on similar areas, but also on technology education and support for migrants and refugees.
  • 54. What the OECD said: What Education Systems said: In 18 Education Systems: BEL (Fl, Fr, Dg), CHL, EST, FRA, DEU, ISL, ITA, LVA, MEX, PRT, SVK, SVN, ESP, SWE, COL OECD principle of action: Provide more and earlier individualised support to students at risk of falling behind. Favour policies that encourage students to go back to school. Reducing performance and attainment gaps between native and immigrant students is a priority in 10 Education Systems: BEL (Fl, Fr), FRA, DEU, ITA, LVA, NOR, PRT, ESP, SWE Further reduce grade repetition and early school leaving Priority: Ensuring successful transitions by decreasing early school leaving rates (2008-17) What was done? Foster a close partnership between business and VET, so that VET responds to labour market needs Series of policies to promote student success, including a new framework of competences, a National Plan for School Success (PNPSE), tutoring for students who repeat two grades and the Curriculum Flexibility and Autonomy Programme Programme to Reduce Early Dropout in Education and Training (2014-20)
  • 55. Improving the attractiveness and relevance of Vocational Education Training (VET) Identified as a priority by 16 the OECD in education systems; 7 education system reported it as such in their responses to the EPO Survey 2016-2017
  • 57. 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 Iceland Luxembourg Austria Poland Latvia Germany UnitedKingdom2 Belgium Norway Sweden NewZealand France Japan Canada Chile1 Australia UnitedStates Ireland1 OECDaverage Denmark Hungary EU22average Portugal Colombia Slovenia Estonia CostaRica Finland Mexico CzechRepublic SlovakRepublic Spain Korea Turkey Greece Italy % vocational Below upper secondary general or no distinction Tertiary Priority: Improving the attractiveness and relevance of VET Employment rates of 25-34 year-olds, by educational attainment and programme orientation (2016) 2008-2017 What happened ? OECD education systems have implemented strategies and tools to improve the quality of VET programmes and policies to support students during their transition into post-secondary education or the labour market and to improve access to VET and its attractiveness.
  • 58. What the OECD said: What Education Systems said: Improving attractiveness of VET is a priority in 7 Education Systems: BEL (Fr), CAN (federal view), DEU, PRT, SVK, ESP, SWE Priority: Improving the attractiveness and relevance of VET (2008-17) What was done? Provide young people with the generic, transferable skills to support occupational mobility and lifelong learning, and with occupational-specific skills that meet employers’ immediate needs. Further policy evidence: Szabóky Adolf vocational scholarship programme (2016) formerly known as the Vocational School Scholarship Scheme (Fr): Pact for Excellence in Teaching (2015-30) In 16 Education Systems: BEL (Fl, Fr, Dg), CZE, DNK, EST, FRA, DEU, GRC, IRL, ISR, MEX, PRT, SVN, ESP, SWE OECD principle of action (attractiveness): Making programmes more relevant to the labour market, facilitating pathways to tertiary education or higher-level VET (if at upper secondary level), and further involving employers in the establishment of curriculum.
  • 59. 3. Three key education policy lessons learnt from this report
  • 60. 3 Key education policy lessons from this report 1. System complexity means that no policy makes it or breaks it alone, and the contexts in which they interact, with increased diversity, are key to their success. However, system complexity can be good news after all, as it can mean that different approaches can exist in order to address one same problem depending on the context (e.g. reducing early school leaving, or skills mismatch). 2. New policy priorities have been identified, with corresponding areas of policy action, with an increased focus on improving student performance for all in schools (low performers) or integrating immigrant students into the education system... At the same time, ECEC appeared as a more “silent” priority, yet with several key education policies reported and recent developments. 3. Equity in education is about providing adapted opportunities for all to succeed, and should therefore include support to mid and high performers too. This includes, bridging performance gaps related to student background, but at the same time, being able to offer opportunities for students at different performance levels to reach their full potential and push it further. In the same way, facilitating smooth transitions for all students in a comprehensive and inclusive education system can strengthen students’ success in education, the labour market and as part of a community, today and in the future…