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WHY SHOULD WE BE UNCERTAIN?
Jeffrey R. Taylor
1jtaylor@neoninc.org
Approaches to Uncertainty
jtaylor@neoninc.org 2
What can NEON do to help?!?
• Offer Standardized Approaches
• Make Data and Algorithms Freely Available to Everyone
• Provide Forums/Workshops to Focus on Uncertainty
• Emphasize this is Papers/Classes/Labs
• Help Educate Policy Makers
jtaylor@neoninc.org 3
Propagation of Uncertainty
jtaylor@neoninc.org 4
Data Products at a Site Continental Scale
Data Products
• Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change
Guidance Notes
How Do We Manage This Problem?
jtaylor@neoninc.org 5
Very Qualitative, but Digestible…
Ultimately Must be Communicated…
jtaylor@neoninc.org 6
VISION: Tracing Policy Back to Science
jtaylor@neoninc.org 7
NEON Data Portal
All Data, Data Quality Information, Uncertainty Calculations,
and Algorithm Details are freely available to everyone
jtaylor@neoninc.org 8
data.neoninc.org
NEON ATBDs
Available for all at…
jtaylor@neoninc.org 9
data.neoninc.org
Summary
• Uncertainty is (finally) gaining attention as an important
part of informing environmental data
• Standards will be necessary to compare uncertainty
between different network measurements and continental
scale estimates
• Transparency and open communication are essential for
effective understanding of uncertainty
• Advocacy at the Policy Maker level will advance the
impact of uncertainty estimates
jtaylor@neoninc.org 10

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Taylor workshop esa_2014

  • 1. WHY SHOULD WE BE UNCERTAIN? Jeffrey R. Taylor 1jtaylor@neoninc.org
  • 3. What can NEON do to help?!? • Offer Standardized Approaches • Make Data and Algorithms Freely Available to Everyone • Provide Forums/Workshops to Focus on Uncertainty • Emphasize this is Papers/Classes/Labs • Help Educate Policy Makers jtaylor@neoninc.org 3
  • 4. Propagation of Uncertainty jtaylor@neoninc.org 4 Data Products at a Site Continental Scale Data Products
  • 5. • Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change Guidance Notes How Do We Manage This Problem? jtaylor@neoninc.org 5 Very Qualitative, but Digestible…
  • 6. Ultimately Must be Communicated… jtaylor@neoninc.org 6
  • 7. VISION: Tracing Policy Back to Science jtaylor@neoninc.org 7
  • 8. NEON Data Portal All Data, Data Quality Information, Uncertainty Calculations, and Algorithm Details are freely available to everyone jtaylor@neoninc.org 8 data.neoninc.org
  • 9. NEON ATBDs Available for all at… jtaylor@neoninc.org 9 data.neoninc.org
  • 10. Summary • Uncertainty is (finally) gaining attention as an important part of informing environmental data • Standards will be necessary to compare uncertainty between different network measurements and continental scale estimates • Transparency and open communication are essential for effective understanding of uncertainty • Advocacy at the Policy Maker level will advance the impact of uncertainty estimates jtaylor@neoninc.org 10