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Distrito Tec Final Presentation
Monterrey, MX - June 21, 2017
Presentation
Team
KELLY OLSON
MS CEE, SDC, Y1
kmolson@stanford.edu
MAX O’KREPKI
MS CEE, SDC, Y1
maxo@stanford.edu
DEREK OUYANG
LECTURER
douyang1@stanford.edu
IAN BICK
MS CEE, EES, Y1
ianbick@stanford.edu
RUBI RODRIGUEZ
MS MS&E, Y2
rubi1rdz@stanford.edu
JACOB WAGGONER
MA PUBL POL, Y1
jacobw1@stanford.edu
Other Students
● Caleb Smith (MA Public Policy)
● Alex Duvall (MS CEE, SDC)
● Kevin Keene (MS CEE, SDC)
● Xiaodong Lu (MS CEE, SDC)
● Jingping Bai (MS CEE, EES)
● Raul Cabrera (BS CEE)
● Brandon Sutter (BS CEE)
● Ana Sophia Mifsud (BS ENVS)
● Jake Glassman (BS ENVS)
● Andre Gaona (BS CHEM E)
Glenn Katz, Lecturer
Jack Lundquist, TA
Outline
● SUS Project-Based Learning Methodology
● Problem Definition Phase
● Problem Solution Phase
● Concluding Remarks
Problem Solving
Cost Benefit
Analysis
Open-
Ended
Inquiry
Model
Formulation
Knowledge
Acquisition
Problem Definition
Problem
Definition
Solution
3
Solution
4
Solution
2
Cost
Benefit
Analysis
Solution
Pathway
Design
Solution
5
Solution
1
SUS Project-Based Learning Methodology
Field
Visit
SUS Project-Based Learning Methodology
Well Being &
Equity
ResilienceSustainability
City Geopolitical Boundary
Governance System
Economic System
Mobility System
Energy System
Water System
Constituents
Land Use + Activities
Geospatial system
Virtual System
Actors
Data / Blueprint of Infrastructure Dashboard of Indicators
Roadmap of Goals
City Geopolitical Boundary
Problem Solving
Cost Benefit
Analysis
Open-
Ended
Inquiry
Model
Formulation
Knowledge
Acquisition
Problem Definition
Problem
Definition
Solution
3
Solution
4
Solution
2
Cost
Benefit
Analysis
Solution
Pathway
Design
Solution
5
Solution
1
SUS Project-Based Learning Methodology
Field
Visit
Meeting with Chemical Engineering faculty at Tec
Meeting with IMPLANC, local urban development
authority
DistritoTec leader Jose Antonio presenting to Stanford
and Tec students about the DistritoTec Master Plan
Stanford students viewing DistritoTec model on campus
Stanford students providing feedback to Tec students
during their class workshops
Stanford students providing feedback to Tec students
during their class workshops
Stanford and Tec students
Stanford and Tec students visiting other parts of
Monterrey
Stanford and Tec students visiting other parts of
Monterrey
Stanford and Tec students visiting other parts of
Monterrey
At the end of our field visit, our understanding of
DistritoTec’s roadmap: Four types of ‘Sustainability’
Our approach is to understand how DistritoTec performs in these different
measures, set aspirational goals, and design/engineer systems that meet these
sustainability goals.
HealthEcological Social Economic
Problem Solving
Cost Benefit
Analysis
Open-
Ended
Inquiry
Model
Formulation
Knowledge
Acquisition
Problem Definition
Problem
Definition
Solution
3
Solution
4
Solution
2
Cost
Benefit
Analysis
Solution
Pathway
Design
Solution
5
Solution
1
SUS Project-Based Learning Methodology
Field
Visit
Well Being &
Equity
ResilienceSustainability
City Geopolitical Boundary
Governance System
Economic System
Mobility System
Energy System
Water System
Constituents
Land Use + Activities
Geospatial system
Virtual System
Actors
Data / Blueprint of Infrastructure Dashboard of Indicators
Roadmap of Goals
City Geopolitical Boundary
Problem Definition Phase
Problem Definition Phase
Economic Prosperity
Walking/Biking Scores
Energy consumption/ use intensity
Flood vulnerability (“peak flow”)
Improve quality of life
Reduce SOV use and reliance
Mitigate environmental impact
Efficiency, cleanliness, capacity
Flood Mitigation
Data / Blueprint of Infrastructure Dashboard of Indicators
Roadmap of Goals
Problem Definition Phase
Economic Prosperity
Walking/Biking Scores
Energy consumption/ use intensity
Flood vulnerability (“peak flow”)
Improve quality of life
Reduce SOV use and reliance
Mitigate environmental impact
Efficiency, cleanliness, capacity
Flood Mitigation
Data / Blueprint of Infrastructure Dashboard of Indicators
Roadmap of Goals
Land Use
Methodology: Understand variation in economic productivity across DT, as measured by wages,
profits, and total gross product
MTY-wide Industry Indicators
Parcel AreaCurrent
Land Use
INEGI MTY
Economic
Indicators
INEGI
DENUE
Industry Profits (per emp)
Industry Wages (per emp)
Industry TGP (per emp)
Industry Emp. Ranges
Business Emp. Ranges
Business Profits
Business Wages
Business TGP
Parcel TGP (per m2
)
Parcel Wages (per m2
)
Parcel Profits (per m2
)
Productivity (per m2
)
Land Use: Methodology
Land Use: Results
> 0.15
0.022
< 0.001
● Smaller businesses tend to
be more productive
● Many of the lowest
productivity areas have a
lot of off-street parking
● Three areas stand out:
○ N. Sin Nombre 35
○ Av. Jesús Cantú Leal
○ Calle 2 de Abril
Land Use: Next Steps
1. Match industries to economic indicators at a finer scale
2. Estimate all land values, including residential
3. Estimate present and future demand (e.g., with survey, income data)
4. Verify and deepen analysis (e.g., with business survey)
Pathway Steps served Cost Benefit CBA Score Priority
Obtain Land Value Data 2 2 or 6/10 6/10 0 or 4/10 High
INEGI Income Data License 3 4/10 6/10 2/10 High
INEGI, NAICS Cross-reference 1 2/10 3/10 1/10 Med
Community Survey 2, 3 8/10 8/10 0/10 Low
Business Survey 4 7/10 5/10 -2/10 Low
Problem Definition Phase
Economic Prosperity
Walking/Biking Scores
Flood vulnerability (“peak flow”)
Energy consumption/ use intensity
Improve quality of life
Reduce SOV use and reliance
Mitigate environmental impact
Efficiency, cleanliness, capacity
Flood Mitigation
Data / Blueprint of Infrastructure Dashboard of Indicators
Roadmap of Goals
Mobility
Mobility: Methodology
Methodology: Understand the differences in access at the block level residents have to certain
facilities by either walking or biking.
Street Network
Network Configuration
File
Service Area Analysis
Accessibility metric
using network analyst
Geographic Location:
● Food stores
● Hospitals
● Parks
● Shopping
Centers
● Schools
Existing Facilities
DT Mobility Network
Walk / Bike Score
(Accessibility metric)
Mobility: Results, Walk Score
Average walk score of 5
Mobility: Results, Bike Score
Average bike score of 28
Mobility: Version 2
● Version 2 of the model would account for access thresholds
○ The current scores are always “chasing cars”
○ Only measure physical accessibility relative to driving
○ Next layer of the model could indicate areas that meet certain access thresholds
● Incorporate additional data to produce more holistic scores
○ More holistic scores would indicate the competitiveness of sustainable mobility
● The inclusion of this data could be used to model mobility patterns in the
district
○ Models could estimate the effects of policy on mobility patterns
○ Could be used to test different intervention scenarios
Mobility: Next Steps
Pathway Steps served Cost Benefit Priority
Mexican
Census
1 2/10 7/10 High
Community
Survey
1, 2 8/10 8/10 High
ITESM,
Monterrey
3 6/10 7/10 Med
1. Incorporate socio-economic factors (crime, health, cost)
2. Survey residents to determine which facilities are key
3. Physical Infrastructure Condition
Problem Definition Phase
Economic Prosperity
Walking/Biking Scores
Energy consumption/ use intensity
Flood vulnerability (“peak flow”)
Improve quality of life
Reduce SOV use and reliance
Mitigate environmental impact
Efficiency, cleanliness, capacity
Flood Mitigation
Data / Blueprint of Infrastructure Dashboard of Indicators
Roadmap of Goals
Energy
Energy: Methodology
Methodology: Understand the difference in energy consumption across
Distrito Tec with regards to capacity and efficiency.
CUS
Parcel Area
Parcel ID
Disaggregated
Land Use
Baseline
Land Use
EUI
Baseline EUI
Current Land Use
Current Energy Consumption
(Kbtu)
Disaggregated
Energy Consumption
Current
Future
EUI (kBtu/m2)
EUI (kBtu/m2)Land Use
Land Use Energy Consumption
Energy Consumption
Energy: Next Steps
1) Reduce energy consumption
2) Increase energy efficiency in new and current buildings
3) Achieve national goals for renewable energy consumption
Pathway Steps served Cost Benefit CBA Score Priority
Renewable energy
data
3 6/10 8/10 2/10 Medium
Energy metering 2 6/10 9/10 3/10 High
Develop energy
efficiency standards
for buildings
1,2 4/10 9/10 5/10 High
Revise construction
regulations
1,2 4/10 5/10 1/10 Low
Problem Definition Phase
Economic Prosperity
Walking/Biking Scores
Energy consumption/ use intensity
Flood vulnerability (“peak flow”)
Improve quality of life
Reduce SOV use and reliance
Mitigate environmental impact
Efficiency, cleanliness, capacity
Flood Mitigation
Data / Blueprint of Infrastructure Dashboard of Indicators
Roadmap of Goals
Water
Illustrate regional relative flood risk by using fuzzy logic to overlay elevation,
flow accumulation, and surface runoff characteristics.
Flow Accumulation Surface Runoff Digital Elevation Map
Water: Methodology
Water: Fuzzy Logic Methodology
Fuzzy OverlayFuzzy Membership
• How does the parameter
relate to flood risk?
• linear, Gaussian, custom
function, etc
• How do we overlay these
memberships to find
relative flood risk?
• Sum, product, max, min,
gamma…
Distrito Tec
Relative Flood Hazard
Water: Next Steps
1. More parameters needed to increase flood risk accuracy and applicability
2. A modified fuzzy logic model could be applied to locate sites where green
infrastructure projects are most desirable.
3. Understanding economics of flood damages for project planning and financing
Parameters Steps Served Priority
Precipitation Data 1 High
Precise Impermeable Surface Area 1, 2 High
Historical Flood Locations 1, 2 High
Soil Properties (clay %, sand %, bulk density…) 1 Med
Income and Productivity 3 Med
Normalized Difference Water Index 1 Low
Normalized Difference Vegetation Index 1, 2 Low
Project Definition Phase Maps are online:
sus.stanford.edu/monterrey
Monterrey Visit to Stanford: 16-17 May 2017
Problem Solving
Cost Benefit
Analysis
Open-
Ended
Inquiry
Model
Formulation
Knowledge
Acquisition
Problem Definition
Goal
Setting
Solution
3
Solution
4
Solution
2
Cost
Benefit
Analysis
Solution
Pathway
Design
Solution
5
Solution
1
SUS Project-Based Learning Methodology
Field
Visit
Problem
Definition
Problem Definition: Goal Setting
By 2025, to improve Distrito Tec, achieve the following as feasibly and affordably as possible.
Increase economic
productivity/wealth
As measured by business
profit/wages/TGP
And reduce SOV use As measured by walk and bike
scores
And mitigate stormwater
vulnerability
As measured by peak flow
While maintaining energy capacity As measured by EUI
Problem Solving
Cost Benefit
Analysis
Open-
Ended
Inquiry
Model
Formulation
Knowledge
Acquisition
Problem Definition
Goal
Setting
Solution
3
Solution
4
Solution
2
Cost
Benefit
Analysis
Solution
Pathway
Design
Solution
5
Solution
1
SUS Project-Based Learning Methodology
Field
Visit
Problem
Definition
Stanford students brainstorming solutions to the design
problem
Stanford students brainstorming solutions to the design
problem
Students brainstormed 20+ interventions, picked 5
Problem Solving
Cost Benefit
Analysis
Open-
Ended
Inquiry
Model
Formulation
Knowledge
Acquisition
Problem Definition
Goal
Setting
Solution
3
Solution
4
Solution
2
Cost
Benefit
Analysis
Solution
Pathway
Design
Solution
5
Solution
1
SUS Project-Based Learning Methodology
Field
Visit
Problem
Definition
Solution Pathways Overview
Parking
Complete Streets
Bike Infrastructure
Community Centers
Stormwater Retention
Parking
Quantitative Cost-Benefit
> 0.15
0.022
< 0.001
Low
Productivity
High
Off-street
Parking
High
On-street
Parking
Redevelop 1 m2
+$77,000 MXN per year
(Assumes average profitability)
Qualitative Considerations
Current demand for parking
Increased on-street pressure
Less productive uses more
equitable?
Induced parking demand
Complete Streets: The Micro Scale
▪ Encourage alternative transportation ▪ Ensure pedestrian safety
▪ Energize neglected or empty areas
with economic activity
▪ Enhance connectivity and quality of green
spaces (include rainwater harvesting)
Economic opportunity—
complete streets:
● Stimulate the local
economy
● Spur private investment
● Raise property values
Other opportunities:
● Protect bikers with
continuity of bike lanes
● Incorporate rainwater
retention and reuse Bike Score
Profit per Area
Wages
Locating
intervention
based on
goals/metrics:
Complete Streets: The Macro Scale Opportunity
Proposal for Expansion
Original Proposal New Proposal
Bike Infrastructure
Bike Infrastructure
● Enable residents to reach more of the existing facilities by bike
● Bikeway improvements vary widely
○ Range from sharrows to painted lanes to separated lanes (plastic posts, cement blocks)
● Bikeway improvements tie into the larger city network
● Preliminary analysis suggests substantial benefits can be realized from
bikeway improvements
○ Average bike score improvement of 13%
Community Centers
Roma
Alta Vista
Narvarte
○ Centers would:
■ Provide essential services
within walking and biking
distance.
■ Be placed in areas with low
walk and bike scores.
■ Make a better use of
underutilized parking lots.
Community Center Proposal
○ Demographic Data
■ Age density
■ Educational level
■ Unemployment
○ Potential Services
■ Fitness centers
■ Conference rooms
■ Cafe
■ Educational rooms
■ Computer rooms
Stormwater Retention
● Case study on peak flow and
applicability of several stormwater
retention technologies
● Objectives are to:
○ Determine causes of floods
○ Establish which technologies
are applicable to study area
and Monterrey as a whole
○ Show quantitative benefits
these technologies
○ Encourage investment in
green infrastructure
Peak Flow Calculations:
Rational Method: Q = kCiA
• Rainfall intensity determined via
state-level isohyetal map
• Runoff determined via land usage and
increases with storm intensity
Stormwater Retention
Peak Stormwater Flow (East & West drains):
Return Period 2 year Storm 5 year Storm 10 year Storm
Peak Flow (m3
/s) 2.0 2.8 3.4
Sewer Capacity
(1% slope and 36” pipe)
● 1.9 m3
/s → Sewers cannot
accommodate a 2-year
storm
Stormwater Retention
Stormwater Retention
● Detention Basin
○ Park elevation is 0.7m - 1.0m
above storm drain
○ Pumping water to basin is
prohibitively expensive
● Underground Storage Tank
○ Storm flow outside the sewer
main capacity diverted to
water tank
○ 240 m3
tank recommended to
prevent sewer overflow for a
20 year, 18 minute storm
○ Estimated cost: $94,800 MXN
Conclusions
1. Trash mitigation could help to restore design sewer capacity
2. Sewer capacity in Parque Tecnologico insufficient to handle 2 year storm
3. Low infiltration in high-clay Monterrey soils reduces applicability of permeable
pavement and suggests storage and flow diversion are more effective.
• Detention basins and underground water tanks are particularly applicable
stormwater control technologies
4. Using regional flood risk maps and historical flood data could aid in identifying
the most effective sites for stormwater controls.
Stormwater Retention
Summary of Recommendations
Problem Solving: Satisficing Solution Pathway
By 2025, to improve Distrito Tec, achieve the following as feasibly and affordably as possible.
Parking Complete
Streets
Bike
Infrastructure
Community
Centers
Stormwater
Retention
Increase
economic
productivity.
As measured
by business
profit/wages
And reduce SOV
use.
As measured
by walk and
bike scores
And mitigate
stormwater
vulnerability.
As measured
by peak flow
While
maintaining
energy capacity.
As measured
by EUI
Next Steps for Research
● Further data from the GIS lab and engagement with IMPLANC
● Community engagement through community surveys
○ Attitude towards biking and public transit
○ Perceived safety of biking and public transit
○ Most important or most frequented destinations that require access via transit
○ Extent to which one considers cost when selecting transit mode and energy consumption
○ Facility types that residents would like to have closer to their homes
○ Facilities and services for which residents are willing to pay
○ Resident awareness of flood and standing water risk
○ Resident knowledge of alternative energy
● Incorporate digital and geospatial feedback
(where appropriate)
○ Example: Map.Social
Thank you!

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Stanford SUS Project: Distrito Tec

  • 1. Distrito Tec Final Presentation Monterrey, MX - June 21, 2017
  • 2. Presentation Team KELLY OLSON MS CEE, SDC, Y1 kmolson@stanford.edu MAX O’KREPKI MS CEE, SDC, Y1 maxo@stanford.edu DEREK OUYANG LECTURER douyang1@stanford.edu IAN BICK MS CEE, EES, Y1 ianbick@stanford.edu RUBI RODRIGUEZ MS MS&E, Y2 rubi1rdz@stanford.edu JACOB WAGGONER MA PUBL POL, Y1 jacobw1@stanford.edu Other Students ● Caleb Smith (MA Public Policy) ● Alex Duvall (MS CEE, SDC) ● Kevin Keene (MS CEE, SDC) ● Xiaodong Lu (MS CEE, SDC) ● Jingping Bai (MS CEE, EES) ● Raul Cabrera (BS CEE) ● Brandon Sutter (BS CEE) ● Ana Sophia Mifsud (BS ENVS) ● Jake Glassman (BS ENVS) ● Andre Gaona (BS CHEM E) Glenn Katz, Lecturer Jack Lundquist, TA
  • 3. Outline ● SUS Project-Based Learning Methodology ● Problem Definition Phase ● Problem Solution Phase ● Concluding Remarks
  • 4. Problem Solving Cost Benefit Analysis Open- Ended Inquiry Model Formulation Knowledge Acquisition Problem Definition Problem Definition Solution 3 Solution 4 Solution 2 Cost Benefit Analysis Solution Pathway Design Solution 5 Solution 1 SUS Project-Based Learning Methodology Field Visit
  • 5. SUS Project-Based Learning Methodology Well Being & Equity ResilienceSustainability City Geopolitical Boundary Governance System Economic System Mobility System Energy System Water System Constituents Land Use + Activities Geospatial system Virtual System Actors Data / Blueprint of Infrastructure Dashboard of Indicators Roadmap of Goals City Geopolitical Boundary
  • 6. Problem Solving Cost Benefit Analysis Open- Ended Inquiry Model Formulation Knowledge Acquisition Problem Definition Problem Definition Solution 3 Solution 4 Solution 2 Cost Benefit Analysis Solution Pathway Design Solution 5 Solution 1 SUS Project-Based Learning Methodology Field Visit
  • 7. Meeting with Chemical Engineering faculty at Tec
  • 8. Meeting with IMPLANC, local urban development authority
  • 9. DistritoTec leader Jose Antonio presenting to Stanford and Tec students about the DistritoTec Master Plan
  • 10. Stanford students viewing DistritoTec model on campus
  • 11. Stanford students providing feedback to Tec students during their class workshops
  • 12. Stanford students providing feedback to Tec students during their class workshops
  • 13. Stanford and Tec students
  • 14. Stanford and Tec students visiting other parts of Monterrey
  • 15. Stanford and Tec students visiting other parts of Monterrey
  • 16. Stanford and Tec students visiting other parts of Monterrey
  • 17. At the end of our field visit, our understanding of DistritoTec’s roadmap: Four types of ‘Sustainability’ Our approach is to understand how DistritoTec performs in these different measures, set aspirational goals, and design/engineer systems that meet these sustainability goals. HealthEcological Social Economic
  • 18. Problem Solving Cost Benefit Analysis Open- Ended Inquiry Model Formulation Knowledge Acquisition Problem Definition Problem Definition Solution 3 Solution 4 Solution 2 Cost Benefit Analysis Solution Pathway Design Solution 5 Solution 1 SUS Project-Based Learning Methodology Field Visit
  • 19. Well Being & Equity ResilienceSustainability City Geopolitical Boundary Governance System Economic System Mobility System Energy System Water System Constituents Land Use + Activities Geospatial system Virtual System Actors Data / Blueprint of Infrastructure Dashboard of Indicators Roadmap of Goals City Geopolitical Boundary Problem Definition Phase
  • 20. Problem Definition Phase Economic Prosperity Walking/Biking Scores Energy consumption/ use intensity Flood vulnerability (“peak flow”) Improve quality of life Reduce SOV use and reliance Mitigate environmental impact Efficiency, cleanliness, capacity Flood Mitigation Data / Blueprint of Infrastructure Dashboard of Indicators Roadmap of Goals
  • 21. Problem Definition Phase Economic Prosperity Walking/Biking Scores Energy consumption/ use intensity Flood vulnerability (“peak flow”) Improve quality of life Reduce SOV use and reliance Mitigate environmental impact Efficiency, cleanliness, capacity Flood Mitigation Data / Blueprint of Infrastructure Dashboard of Indicators Roadmap of Goals Land Use
  • 22. Methodology: Understand variation in economic productivity across DT, as measured by wages, profits, and total gross product MTY-wide Industry Indicators Parcel AreaCurrent Land Use INEGI MTY Economic Indicators INEGI DENUE Industry Profits (per emp) Industry Wages (per emp) Industry TGP (per emp) Industry Emp. Ranges Business Emp. Ranges Business Profits Business Wages Business TGP Parcel TGP (per m2 ) Parcel Wages (per m2 ) Parcel Profits (per m2 ) Productivity (per m2 ) Land Use: Methodology
  • 23. Land Use: Results > 0.15 0.022 < 0.001 ● Smaller businesses tend to be more productive ● Many of the lowest productivity areas have a lot of off-street parking ● Three areas stand out: ○ N. Sin Nombre 35 ○ Av. Jesús Cantú Leal ○ Calle 2 de Abril
  • 24. Land Use: Next Steps 1. Match industries to economic indicators at a finer scale 2. Estimate all land values, including residential 3. Estimate present and future demand (e.g., with survey, income data) 4. Verify and deepen analysis (e.g., with business survey) Pathway Steps served Cost Benefit CBA Score Priority Obtain Land Value Data 2 2 or 6/10 6/10 0 or 4/10 High INEGI Income Data License 3 4/10 6/10 2/10 High INEGI, NAICS Cross-reference 1 2/10 3/10 1/10 Med Community Survey 2, 3 8/10 8/10 0/10 Low Business Survey 4 7/10 5/10 -2/10 Low
  • 25. Problem Definition Phase Economic Prosperity Walking/Biking Scores Flood vulnerability (“peak flow”) Energy consumption/ use intensity Improve quality of life Reduce SOV use and reliance Mitigate environmental impact Efficiency, cleanliness, capacity Flood Mitigation Data / Blueprint of Infrastructure Dashboard of Indicators Roadmap of Goals Mobility
  • 26. Mobility: Methodology Methodology: Understand the differences in access at the block level residents have to certain facilities by either walking or biking. Street Network Network Configuration File Service Area Analysis Accessibility metric using network analyst Geographic Location: ● Food stores ● Hospitals ● Parks ● Shopping Centers ● Schools Existing Facilities DT Mobility Network Walk / Bike Score (Accessibility metric)
  • 27. Mobility: Results, Walk Score Average walk score of 5
  • 28. Mobility: Results, Bike Score Average bike score of 28
  • 29. Mobility: Version 2 ● Version 2 of the model would account for access thresholds ○ The current scores are always “chasing cars” ○ Only measure physical accessibility relative to driving ○ Next layer of the model could indicate areas that meet certain access thresholds ● Incorporate additional data to produce more holistic scores ○ More holistic scores would indicate the competitiveness of sustainable mobility ● The inclusion of this data could be used to model mobility patterns in the district ○ Models could estimate the effects of policy on mobility patterns ○ Could be used to test different intervention scenarios
  • 30. Mobility: Next Steps Pathway Steps served Cost Benefit Priority Mexican Census 1 2/10 7/10 High Community Survey 1, 2 8/10 8/10 High ITESM, Monterrey 3 6/10 7/10 Med 1. Incorporate socio-economic factors (crime, health, cost) 2. Survey residents to determine which facilities are key 3. Physical Infrastructure Condition
  • 31. Problem Definition Phase Economic Prosperity Walking/Biking Scores Energy consumption/ use intensity Flood vulnerability (“peak flow”) Improve quality of life Reduce SOV use and reliance Mitigate environmental impact Efficiency, cleanliness, capacity Flood Mitigation Data / Blueprint of Infrastructure Dashboard of Indicators Roadmap of Goals Energy
  • 32. Energy: Methodology Methodology: Understand the difference in energy consumption across Distrito Tec with regards to capacity and efficiency. CUS Parcel Area Parcel ID Disaggregated Land Use Baseline Land Use EUI Baseline EUI Current Land Use Current Energy Consumption (Kbtu) Disaggregated Energy Consumption
  • 33. Current Future EUI (kBtu/m2) EUI (kBtu/m2)Land Use Land Use Energy Consumption Energy Consumption
  • 34. Energy: Next Steps 1) Reduce energy consumption 2) Increase energy efficiency in new and current buildings 3) Achieve national goals for renewable energy consumption Pathway Steps served Cost Benefit CBA Score Priority Renewable energy data 3 6/10 8/10 2/10 Medium Energy metering 2 6/10 9/10 3/10 High Develop energy efficiency standards for buildings 1,2 4/10 9/10 5/10 High Revise construction regulations 1,2 4/10 5/10 1/10 Low
  • 35. Problem Definition Phase Economic Prosperity Walking/Biking Scores Energy consumption/ use intensity Flood vulnerability (“peak flow”) Improve quality of life Reduce SOV use and reliance Mitigate environmental impact Efficiency, cleanliness, capacity Flood Mitigation Data / Blueprint of Infrastructure Dashboard of Indicators Roadmap of Goals Water
  • 36. Illustrate regional relative flood risk by using fuzzy logic to overlay elevation, flow accumulation, and surface runoff characteristics. Flow Accumulation Surface Runoff Digital Elevation Map Water: Methodology
  • 37. Water: Fuzzy Logic Methodology Fuzzy OverlayFuzzy Membership • How does the parameter relate to flood risk? • linear, Gaussian, custom function, etc • How do we overlay these memberships to find relative flood risk? • Sum, product, max, min, gamma…
  • 39. Water: Next Steps 1. More parameters needed to increase flood risk accuracy and applicability 2. A modified fuzzy logic model could be applied to locate sites where green infrastructure projects are most desirable. 3. Understanding economics of flood damages for project planning and financing Parameters Steps Served Priority Precipitation Data 1 High Precise Impermeable Surface Area 1, 2 High Historical Flood Locations 1, 2 High Soil Properties (clay %, sand %, bulk density…) 1 Med Income and Productivity 3 Med Normalized Difference Water Index 1 Low Normalized Difference Vegetation Index 1, 2 Low
  • 40. Project Definition Phase Maps are online: sus.stanford.edu/monterrey
  • 41. Monterrey Visit to Stanford: 16-17 May 2017
  • 42. Problem Solving Cost Benefit Analysis Open- Ended Inquiry Model Formulation Knowledge Acquisition Problem Definition Goal Setting Solution 3 Solution 4 Solution 2 Cost Benefit Analysis Solution Pathway Design Solution 5 Solution 1 SUS Project-Based Learning Methodology Field Visit Problem Definition
  • 43. Problem Definition: Goal Setting By 2025, to improve Distrito Tec, achieve the following as feasibly and affordably as possible. Increase economic productivity/wealth As measured by business profit/wages/TGP And reduce SOV use As measured by walk and bike scores And mitigate stormwater vulnerability As measured by peak flow While maintaining energy capacity As measured by EUI
  • 44. Problem Solving Cost Benefit Analysis Open- Ended Inquiry Model Formulation Knowledge Acquisition Problem Definition Goal Setting Solution 3 Solution 4 Solution 2 Cost Benefit Analysis Solution Pathway Design Solution 5 Solution 1 SUS Project-Based Learning Methodology Field Visit Problem Definition
  • 45. Stanford students brainstorming solutions to the design problem
  • 46. Stanford students brainstorming solutions to the design problem
  • 47. Students brainstormed 20+ interventions, picked 5
  • 48. Problem Solving Cost Benefit Analysis Open- Ended Inquiry Model Formulation Knowledge Acquisition Problem Definition Goal Setting Solution 3 Solution 4 Solution 2 Cost Benefit Analysis Solution Pathway Design Solution 5 Solution 1 SUS Project-Based Learning Methodology Field Visit Problem Definition
  • 49. Solution Pathways Overview Parking Complete Streets Bike Infrastructure Community Centers Stormwater Retention
  • 50. Parking Quantitative Cost-Benefit > 0.15 0.022 < 0.001 Low Productivity High Off-street Parking High On-street Parking Redevelop 1 m2 +$77,000 MXN per year (Assumes average profitability) Qualitative Considerations Current demand for parking Increased on-street pressure Less productive uses more equitable? Induced parking demand
  • 51. Complete Streets: The Micro Scale ▪ Encourage alternative transportation ▪ Ensure pedestrian safety ▪ Energize neglected or empty areas with economic activity ▪ Enhance connectivity and quality of green spaces (include rainwater harvesting)
  • 52. Economic opportunity— complete streets: ● Stimulate the local economy ● Spur private investment ● Raise property values Other opportunities: ● Protect bikers with continuity of bike lanes ● Incorporate rainwater retention and reuse Bike Score Profit per Area Wages Locating intervention based on goals/metrics: Complete Streets: The Macro Scale Opportunity
  • 53. Proposal for Expansion Original Proposal New Proposal
  • 55. Bike Infrastructure ● Enable residents to reach more of the existing facilities by bike ● Bikeway improvements vary widely ○ Range from sharrows to painted lanes to separated lanes (plastic posts, cement blocks) ● Bikeway improvements tie into the larger city network ● Preliminary analysis suggests substantial benefits can be realized from bikeway improvements ○ Average bike score improvement of 13%
  • 56. Community Centers Roma Alta Vista Narvarte ○ Centers would: ■ Provide essential services within walking and biking distance. ■ Be placed in areas with low walk and bike scores. ■ Make a better use of underutilized parking lots.
  • 57. Community Center Proposal ○ Demographic Data ■ Age density ■ Educational level ■ Unemployment ○ Potential Services ■ Fitness centers ■ Conference rooms ■ Cafe ■ Educational rooms ■ Computer rooms
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  • 60. Stormwater Retention ● Case study on peak flow and applicability of several stormwater retention technologies ● Objectives are to: ○ Determine causes of floods ○ Establish which technologies are applicable to study area and Monterrey as a whole ○ Show quantitative benefits these technologies ○ Encourage investment in green infrastructure
  • 61. Peak Flow Calculations: Rational Method: Q = kCiA • Rainfall intensity determined via state-level isohyetal map • Runoff determined via land usage and increases with storm intensity Stormwater Retention
  • 62. Peak Stormwater Flow (East & West drains): Return Period 2 year Storm 5 year Storm 10 year Storm Peak Flow (m3 /s) 2.0 2.8 3.4 Sewer Capacity (1% slope and 36” pipe) ● 1.9 m3 /s → Sewers cannot accommodate a 2-year storm Stormwater Retention
  • 63. Stormwater Retention ● Detention Basin ○ Park elevation is 0.7m - 1.0m above storm drain ○ Pumping water to basin is prohibitively expensive ● Underground Storage Tank ○ Storm flow outside the sewer main capacity diverted to water tank ○ 240 m3 tank recommended to prevent sewer overflow for a 20 year, 18 minute storm ○ Estimated cost: $94,800 MXN
  • 64. Conclusions 1. Trash mitigation could help to restore design sewer capacity 2. Sewer capacity in Parque Tecnologico insufficient to handle 2 year storm 3. Low infiltration in high-clay Monterrey soils reduces applicability of permeable pavement and suggests storage and flow diversion are more effective. • Detention basins and underground water tanks are particularly applicable stormwater control technologies 4. Using regional flood risk maps and historical flood data could aid in identifying the most effective sites for stormwater controls. Stormwater Retention
  • 66. Problem Solving: Satisficing Solution Pathway By 2025, to improve Distrito Tec, achieve the following as feasibly and affordably as possible. Parking Complete Streets Bike Infrastructure Community Centers Stormwater Retention Increase economic productivity. As measured by business profit/wages And reduce SOV use. As measured by walk and bike scores And mitigate stormwater vulnerability. As measured by peak flow While maintaining energy capacity. As measured by EUI
  • 67. Next Steps for Research ● Further data from the GIS lab and engagement with IMPLANC ● Community engagement through community surveys ○ Attitude towards biking and public transit ○ Perceived safety of biking and public transit ○ Most important or most frequented destinations that require access via transit ○ Extent to which one considers cost when selecting transit mode and energy consumption ○ Facility types that residents would like to have closer to their homes ○ Facilities and services for which residents are willing to pay ○ Resident awareness of flood and standing water risk ○ Resident knowledge of alternative energy ● Incorporate digital and geospatial feedback (where appropriate) ○ Example: Map.Social