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International experiences in
       evaluation and selection of mass
                transit projects
                                                   Ben Owen
                                                 Visiting Fellow


                                                   www.embarq.org
Photo credits (L to R): Meena Kadri, Jacek.NL, Gerardo Arévalo Tamayo (all via Flickr)
National programs studied




                      Reviewed
                      Review pending
Contextual factors that influence evaluation
processes
 Categories of project
 supported by program             Mass
                                 transit
 National mass transit
 policies                        Surface
                                transport
 Age of program
                             Urban / national
 Planning requirements        infrastructure
Evaluation frameworks
 Justification for project
 • Socioeconomic analysis (CBA, cost-
   effectiveness, assessment of indirect effects)
 • Policy and strategic factors (examples to come)
 • Factors may be
    • Treated as requirements (i.e., project must achieve a
      minimum internal rate of return, must display
      consistency with policy factors)
    • Rated (i.e., ‘high’, ‘medium’, ‘low’)
 Other viability analyses
 • Financial, legal, technical, commercial, planning, etc.
 • Usually treated as requirements
Socioeconomic evaluation: Cost-benefit
  analysis
     Focus on (discounted) direct, monetizable
     societal impacts of a project over its life
 Consumer surplus
 • Travel time
 • Vehicle operating costs /
   fares                                                      Costs to government
 • Travel quality                                             • Project capital
                                                                contributions
                                              Benefit-cost
 Producer surplus                                             • (Project operating and
                                                 ratio
 • Vehicle operating costs                                      maintenance subsidies)
                                              Internal rate
                                                of return
 Externalities                                Net present
                                                              Costs to infrastructure
 • Noise                                         value
                                                              managers / project operators
 • Air pollution / GHG
                                                              • Project capital
   emissions
                                                                contributions
 • Traffic collisions

(Also negative impacts during construction)
Complementary socioeconomic evaluations
  Further socioeconomic impacts may serve to
  ‘adjust’ cost-benefit analysis results
• Wider / indirect
  economic benefits
  (i.e., agglomeration, imp
  roved job matching)
• Environmental impacts
  (i.e., water
  quality, habitats, viewsh
  eds, physical activity)
• Equity / distributional
  effects
                               Photo credit: Ariel Cruz Pizarro (via Flickr)
Strategic and policy evaluation factors
 Consistency with national government policies
 and priorities
  • Investments
  • Reforms
 Urban
 development and
 transport priorities
  • Land use
  • Transport plans and
    other investments

                                    Photo credit: Ferdi (via Flickr)
Policy consistency: Colombia
 Objectives: reverse decreases in transit mode
 share through better service quality, balance
 supply and demand
 Cities must
 commit to
 coordinating /
 rationalizing
 privately operated
 transport services
 as part of funding
 agreements                      Photo credit: miguelmatus (via Flickr)
Policy consistency: New Zealand
 Objectives: support economic growth and productivity
 improvements
 Projects rated
 on how
 effectively
 they meet
 associated
 objectives
 (reduce
 congestion, i
 mprove travel
 time
                                     Photo credit: Nankai (via Wikipedia)
 reliability)
Land use: United States
 Projects evaluated based
 on
  • Existing land use in
    corridor (population
    density, employment, p
    arking supply, etc.)
  • Potential to shape
    corridor and regional
    economic
    development, based on
    policies and plans       Photo: Jeff Wood (via Flickr)
Evaluations and decision-making
 In most cases, technical staff at national agency
 or technical committee conducts evaluation
  • May be at multiple points during project development
 … but funding decision-makers are non-
 technical (i.e., political figures)
 Evaluation process should yield information that
 supports informed decisions
  • Costs and benefits, socioeconomic and otherwise
  • May be scaled to project cost/complexity
  • Rationale for a viability determination or rating (or
    rejection)
Thank you!
                                                   Ben Owen
                                                bowen@wri.org
                                                +1 202 729-7600



                                                   www.embarq.org
Photo credits (L to R): Aaron Hockley, Omar Bárcena, Rupert Brun (all via Flickr)

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Ben Owen - International Experiences in Evaluation and Selection of Mass Transit Projects

  • 1. International experiences in evaluation and selection of mass transit projects Ben Owen Visiting Fellow www.embarq.org Photo credits (L to R): Meena Kadri, Jacek.NL, Gerardo Arévalo Tamayo (all via Flickr)
  • 2. National programs studied Reviewed Review pending
  • 3. Contextual factors that influence evaluation processes Categories of project supported by program Mass transit National mass transit policies Surface transport Age of program Urban / national Planning requirements infrastructure
  • 4. Evaluation frameworks Justification for project • Socioeconomic analysis (CBA, cost- effectiveness, assessment of indirect effects) • Policy and strategic factors (examples to come) • Factors may be • Treated as requirements (i.e., project must achieve a minimum internal rate of return, must display consistency with policy factors) • Rated (i.e., ‘high’, ‘medium’, ‘low’) Other viability analyses • Financial, legal, technical, commercial, planning, etc. • Usually treated as requirements
  • 5. Socioeconomic evaluation: Cost-benefit analysis Focus on (discounted) direct, monetizable societal impacts of a project over its life Consumer surplus • Travel time • Vehicle operating costs / fares Costs to government • Travel quality • Project capital contributions Benefit-cost Producer surplus • (Project operating and ratio • Vehicle operating costs maintenance subsidies) Internal rate of return Externalities Net present Costs to infrastructure • Noise value managers / project operators • Air pollution / GHG • Project capital emissions contributions • Traffic collisions (Also negative impacts during construction)
  • 6. Complementary socioeconomic evaluations Further socioeconomic impacts may serve to ‘adjust’ cost-benefit analysis results • Wider / indirect economic benefits (i.e., agglomeration, imp roved job matching) • Environmental impacts (i.e., water quality, habitats, viewsh eds, physical activity) • Equity / distributional effects Photo credit: Ariel Cruz Pizarro (via Flickr)
  • 7. Strategic and policy evaluation factors Consistency with national government policies and priorities • Investments • Reforms Urban development and transport priorities • Land use • Transport plans and other investments Photo credit: Ferdi (via Flickr)
  • 8. Policy consistency: Colombia Objectives: reverse decreases in transit mode share through better service quality, balance supply and demand Cities must commit to coordinating / rationalizing privately operated transport services as part of funding agreements Photo credit: miguelmatus (via Flickr)
  • 9. Policy consistency: New Zealand Objectives: support economic growth and productivity improvements Projects rated on how effectively they meet associated objectives (reduce congestion, i mprove travel time Photo credit: Nankai (via Wikipedia) reliability)
  • 10. Land use: United States Projects evaluated based on • Existing land use in corridor (population density, employment, p arking supply, etc.) • Potential to shape corridor and regional economic development, based on policies and plans Photo: Jeff Wood (via Flickr)
  • 11. Evaluations and decision-making In most cases, technical staff at national agency or technical committee conducts evaluation • May be at multiple points during project development … but funding decision-makers are non- technical (i.e., political figures) Evaluation process should yield information that supports informed decisions • Costs and benefits, socioeconomic and otherwise • May be scaled to project cost/complexity • Rationale for a viability determination or rating (or rejection)
  • 12. Thank you! Ben Owen bowen@wri.org +1 202 729-7600 www.embarq.org Photo credits (L to R): Aaron Hockley, Omar Bárcena, Rupert Brun (all via Flickr)