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Gaziulusoy ryan
- 1. IMAGINING TRANSITIONS Designing aVisioning Process for Systemic Urban Sustainability Futures Dr. İdil Gaziulusoy Assistant Professor, Sustainable Design Aalto University @blindpsykhe #VP2040! Dr. Chris Ryan Professor, Urban Eco-innovation University of Melbourne @CRyanChris #VP2040!
- 2. It is nowcommonly accepted that to achieve sustainability there is a requirement for structural, systemic, societal-level transformations which are known as “system innovations” or “transitions”. (Raworth, 2012)(Steffen et al., 2015) SUSTAINABLE RESILIENT JUST
- 3. (Ceschin & Gaziulusoy,2016) Evolution of Design for Sustainability Field
- 4. (Ceschin & Gaziulusoy,2016) Palliative Evolution of Design for Sustainability Field
- 5. (Ceschin & Gaziulusoy,2016) Palliative Evolution of Design for Sustainability Field Design for system innovations and transitions as an emerging field is underpinned by complex systems theories and sustainability science, and it integrates theories of social and technological system changes with design theory. (Irwin, 2015; Gaziulusoy & Brezet, 2015; Ryan, 2008)
- 6. Transitions are 3-FoldDesign Challenges… (Gaziulusoy & Ryan, 2017)
- 7. Transitions are 3-FoldDesign Challenges… (Gaziulusoy & Ryan, 2017)
- 8. Transitions are 3-FoldDesign Challenges… (Gaziulusoy & Ryan, 2017)
- 9. conceptualisation of newsystems (CREATIVE) Transitions are 3-Fold Design Challenges… (Gaziulusoy & Ryan, 2017)
- 10. conceptualisation of newsystems (CREATIVE) Transitions are 3-Fold Design Challenges… (Gaziulusoy & Ryan, 2017)
- 11. conceptualisation of newsystems (CREATIVE) selecting, designing and developing new systems (TECHNICAL) Transitions are 3-Fold Design Challenges… (Gaziulusoy & Ryan, 2017)
- 12. conceptualisation of newsystems (CREATIVE) selecting, designing and developing new systems (TECHNICAL) Transitions are 3-Fold Design Challenges… (Gaziulusoy & Ryan, 2017)
- 13. conceptualisation of newsystems (CREATIVE) selecting, designing and developing new systems (TECHNICAL) designing participatory and democratic processes of deliberation (POLITICAL) Transitions are 3-Fold Design Challenges… (Gaziulusoy & Ryan, 2017)
- 14. Cities are significantintervention points for transitions because…
- 15. Cities are significantintervention points for transitions because… World’s cities are responsible for up to 70 per cent of greenhouse gas emissions while occupying just 2 per cent of its land. (UN Habitat, 2011)
- 16. Cities are significantintervention points for transitions because… World’s cities are responsible for up to 70 per cent of greenhouse gas emissions while occupying just 2 per cent of its land. (UN Habitat, 2011) Cities are gaining power… The largest 300 cities account for nearly half (48%) of world economic output yet contain only 19% of world population. Some of these cities outperformed their countries. (Brookings Institute, 2012)
- 17. Cities are significantintervention points for transitions because… World’s cities are responsible for up to 70 per cent of greenhouse gas emissions while occupying just 2 per cent of its land. (UN Habitat, 2011) Cities are gaining power… The largest 300 cities account for nearly half (48%) of world economic output yet contain only 19% of world population. Some of these cities outperformed their countries. (Brookings Institute, 2012) Cities are beehives of creativity and innovation and play a significant role in social movements reclaiming democratic and environmental rights. (Bettencourt & West, 2011; Leichenko, 2011; Arampatzi, 2016; Harmanşah, 2014; Harvey, 2012)
- 18. Cities are significantintervention points for transitions because… World’s cities are responsible for up to 70 per cent of greenhouse gas emissions while occupying just 2 per cent of its land. (UN Habitat, 2011) Cities are gaining power… The largest 300 cities account for nearly half (48%) of world economic output yet contain only 19% of world population. Some of these cities outperformed their countries. (Brookings Institute, 2012) Problem Concentration Agency Increase Solution Potential Cities are beehives of creativity and innovation and play a significant role in social movements reclaiming democratic and environmental rights. (Bettencourt & West, 2011; Leichenko, 2011; Arampatzi, 2016; Harmanşah, 2014; Harvey, 2012)
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- 25. Drivers of UrbanChange (Ryan, Twomey, Gaziulusoy, McGrail & Chandler, 2015)
- 26. Drivers of UrbanChange Socio-cultural new understandings of well-being extent & reaction to inequality communal modes of living values & attitude to eco-centric lifestyles attitudes to affluence entitlement active lifestyles Geo-demographic populationgrowth increasingdensity new modesof housingmigration ageing population urban sprawl &infill dynamics multiple careers Technological additive manufacturing internet of things robotics & automation improved energy storage advanced artificial intelligence new materials hyperconnectivity big data nanotechnology electric & self-driving vehicles green manufacturing Environmental peak oil & other resource constraints extreme weather urban heat island effect rising sea levels Economic public debt new business models corporate responsibility local currencies macro-economic growth peer to peer networks environmental market mechanisms crowd-source funding globalisation independent workers gamification sharing economy & collaborative consumption Political digital democracy & gov3.0 civic activities participatory governance micro political parties national policies global climate treaties (Ryan, Twomey, Gaziulusoy, McGrail & Chandler, 2015)
- 27. Engagement (Research) Action (Research) Design(Research) Visions, Scenarios and Pathways for Transitioning to Low-carbon Resilient Futures in Australian Cities
- 28. Long-term, slow changes Mainstreampractices (business, research, governance, markets) Niche innovations (new social practices, technologies, business models etc) pressure pressure Multi-level Model of System Innovation (Geels, 2005; Geels & Schot, 2007) LANDSCAPE REGIME NICHE
- 29. Design-led Methodology visions scenarios pathways 2014 2015 2016 2013 kick-off Participatory Iterative Creative &Analytical & Integrative Transdisciplinary
- 30. Year 0 1 2 Visioning Workshops Melbourne & Sydney “Glimpses of theFuture” Prototype Scenarios Expert interviews Scenarios Workshop Adelaide Scenarios Stakeholder conversations Design Workshops Desktop Research
- 31. Year 0 1 2 Visioning Workshops Melbourne & Sydney “Glimpses of theFuture” Prototype Scenarios Expert interviews Scenarios Workshop Adelaide Scenarios Stakeholder conversations Design Workshops Desktop Research
- 32. Year 0 1 2 Visioning Workshops Melbourne & Sydney “Glimpses of theFuture” Prototype Scenarios Expert interviews Scenarios Workshop Adelaide Scenarios Stakeholder conversations Design Workshops Desktop Research
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- 34. Visioning Workshop ProcessDesign Larger context, top-down pressures (“landscape”)
- 35. Goals: Visioning Workshop ProcessDesign Larger context, top-down pressures (“landscape”)
- 36. Capture expert knowledgeabout city support systems without losing sight of couplings Goals: Visioning Workshop Process Design Larger context, top-down pressures (“landscape”)
- 37. Capture expert knowledgeabout city support systems without losing sight of couplings Goals: Visioning Workshop Process Design Larger context, top-down pressures (“landscape”)
- 38. Capture expert knowledgeabout city support systems without losing sight of couplings Embed in the visions implications of what’s currently emerging (“niches”) Goals: Visioning Workshop Process Design Larger context, top-down pressures (“landscape”)
- 39. Capture expert knowledgeabout city support systems without losing sight of couplings Embed in the visions implications of what’s currently emerging (“niches”) Goals: Visioning Workshop Process Design Larger context, top-down pressures (“landscape”)
- 40. Capture expert knowledgeabout city support systems without losing sight of couplings Embed in the visions implications of what’s currently emerging (“niches”) Embed in the visions causal links to the present (“regime”) Goals: Visioning Workshop Process Design Larger context, top-down pressures (“landscape”)
- 41. Capture expert knowledgeabout city support systems without losing sight of couplings Embed in the visions implications of what’s currently emerging (“niches”) Embed in the visions causal links to the present (“regime”) Goals: Visioning Workshop Process Design Larger context, top-down pressures (“landscape”)
- 42. Capture expert knowledgeabout city support systems without losing sight of couplings Embed in the visions implications of what’s currently emerging (“niches”) Embed in the visions causal links to the present (“regime”) Create systemic visions at different system levels (products/services/spaces, neighbourhood, city) Goals: Visioning Workshop Process Design Larger context, top-down pressures (“landscape”)
- 43. Capture expert knowledgeabout city support systems without losing sight of couplings Embed in the visions implications of what’s currently emerging (“niches”) Embed in the visions causal links to the present (“regime”) Create systemic visions at different system levels (products/services/spaces, neighbourhood, city) Goals: Visioning Workshop Process Design Larger context, top-down pressures (“landscape”)
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- 46. Shelter Food & Water EnergyTransport Lifestyle/ Behaviour Process Topic Commissioned designer Niche actor Regime actor Topic expert Topicexpert Topic expert At the beginning…
- 47. Shelter Food & Water EnergyTransport Lifestyle/ Behaviour Process Topic Commissioned designer Niche actor Regime actor Topic expert Topicexpert Topic expert At the beginning…
- 48. Shelter Food & Water EnergyTransport Lifestyle/ Behaviour Process Topic Commissioned designer Niche actor Regime actor Topic expert Topicexpert Topic expert At the beginning… Round 1: 45’
- 49. Shelter Food & Water EnergyTransport Lifestyle/ Behaviour Process Topic Commissioned designer Niche actor Regime actor Topic expert Topicexpert Topic expert At the beginning… Round 1: 45’ Round 2: 25’
- 50. Shelter Food & Water EnergyTransport Lifestyle/ Behaviour Process Topic Commissioned designer Niche actor Regime actor Topic expert Topicexpert Topic expert At the beginning… Round 1: 45’ Round 2: 25’ Round 3-5: 20’
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- 58. Capture expert knowledgeabout city support systems without losing sight of couplings Embed in the visions implications of what’s currently emerging (“niches”) Embed in the visions causal links to the present (“regime”) Create systemic visions at different system levels (products/services/spaces, neighbourhood, city) Goals: Reflections
- 59. Capture expert knowledgeabout city support systems without losing sight of couplings Embed in the visions implications of what’s currently emerging (“niches”) Embed in the visions causal links to the present (“regime”) Create systemic visions at different system levels (products/services/spaces, neighbourhood, city) Goals: Reflections Achieved Partially Achieved Not Achieved
- 60. Capture expert knowledgeabout city support systems without losing sight of couplings Embed in the visions implications of what’s currently emerging (“niches”) Embed in the visions causal links to the present (“regime”) Create systemic visions at different system levels (products/services/spaces, neighbourhood, city) Goals: Reflections Achieved Partially Achieved Not Achieved
- 61. Capture expert knowledgeabout city support systems without losing sight of couplings Embed in the visions implications of what’s currently emerging (“niches”) Embed in the visions causal links to the present (“regime”) Create systemic visions at different system levels (products/services/spaces, neighbourhood, city) Goals: Reflections Achieved Partially Achieved Not Achieved
- 62. Capture expert knowledgeabout city support systems without losing sight of couplings Embed in the visions implications of what’s currently emerging (“niches”) Embed in the visions causal links to the present (“regime”) Create systemic visions at different system levels (products/services/spaces, neighbourhood, city) Goals: Reflections Achieved Partially Achieved Not Achieved
- 63. Capture expert knowledgeabout city support systems without losing sight of couplings Embed in the visions implications of what’s currently emerging (“niches”) Embed in the visions causal links to the present (“regime”) Create systemic visions at different system levels (products/services/spaces, neighbourhood, city) Goals: Reflections Achieved Partially Achieved Not Achieved
- 64. Reflections Topic Commissioned designer Niche actor Topic expert Topicexpert Topic expert Designers were key in achieving systemic integration Regime actor
- 65. Reflections Topic Commissioned designer Niche actor Topic expert Topicexpert Topic expert Designers were key in achieving systemic integration Regime actor
- 66. Reflections Topic Commissioned designer Niche actor Topic expert Topicexpert Topic expert Designers were key in achieving systemic integration Diversity of disciplinary background was important Regime actor
- 67. Next time Topic Commissioned designer Niche actor Topicexpert Topic expert Topic expert Regime actor
- 68. Next time Topic Commissioned designer Niche actor Topicexpert Topic expert Topic expert Regime actor
- 69. Next time Topic Commissioned designer Niche actor Topicexpert Topic expert Topic expert Double the size of designer team Regime actor
- 70. Next time Topic Commissioned designer Niche actor Topicexpert Topic expert Topic expert Double the size of designer team More niche actors Regime actor
- 71. Next time Topic Commissioned designer Niche actor Topicexpert Topic expert Topic expert Double the size of designer team More niche actors Regime actor Two topics each table
- 72. Next time Topic Commissioned designer Niche actor Topicexpert Topic expert Topic expert Double the size of designer team More niche actors Regime actor Two topics each table “Plausibility” is not a relevant goal - find ways to convince stakeholders they’re not wasting their money
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