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Social care and hospital use
at the end of life
Authors: Martin Bardsley and Theo Georghiou




December 2010                                 © Nuffield Trust
Mapping social care use at the end of life

Background
•   Data gathered for predictive modelling of social care
    admissions
•   Analysis based on 3 PCT/LA areas
•   Individual level data over 3+ years
•   PCT: GP register, Mortality, Hospital records (IP, OP, A&E)
•   LA: Social care services received
•   Looked at hospital and social care information on a cohort of
    16,479 people who died within a one year period.


                                                               © Nuffield Trust
Linking information flows




                            © Nuffield Trust
One person’s story: Based on anonymised data sets
linking health and social care activity




                                                    © Nuffield Trust
What proportion of people who died accessed
any social care service?




                                              © Nuffield Trust
Percentage of people receiving local authority-funded
social care in months before death, by site




                                                        © Nuffield Trust
Changes in specific care services, year before death




                                                       © Nuffield Trust
Change in low intensity SC services, year before death




                                                         © Nuffield Trust
Differences in social care use by health condition




                                                     © Nuffield Trust
Approximate cost of services, year before death




                                                  © Nuffield Trust
Approximate cost per user, year before death




                                               © Nuffield Trust
Average cost per person in the last 12 months of life,
by diagnostic group




                                                         © Nuffield Trust
Average inpatient and social care cost per month (£m)
in 12 months before death




                                                        © Nuffield Trust
Average cost per person (£000s) by age group
in last 12 months




                                               © Nuffield Trust
Inpatient vs social care costs – inverse relationship




                                                        © Nuffield Trust
www.nuffieldtrust.org.uk


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December 2010                                © Nuffield Trust

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Social care and hospital use at the end of life

  • 1. Social care and hospital use at the end of life Authors: Martin Bardsley and Theo Georghiou December 2010 © Nuffield Trust
  • 2. Mapping social care use at the end of life Background • Data gathered for predictive modelling of social care admissions • Analysis based on 3 PCT/LA areas • Individual level data over 3+ years • PCT: GP register, Mortality, Hospital records (IP, OP, A&E) • LA: Social care services received • Looked at hospital and social care information on a cohort of 16,479 people who died within a one year period. © Nuffield Trust
  • 3. Linking information flows © Nuffield Trust
  • 4. One person’s story: Based on anonymised data sets linking health and social care activity © Nuffield Trust
  • 5. What proportion of people who died accessed any social care service? © Nuffield Trust
  • 6. Percentage of people receiving local authority-funded social care in months before death, by site © Nuffield Trust
  • 7. Changes in specific care services, year before death © Nuffield Trust
  • 8. Change in low intensity SC services, year before death © Nuffield Trust
  • 9. Differences in social care use by health condition © Nuffield Trust
  • 10. Approximate cost of services, year before death © Nuffield Trust
  • 11. Approximate cost per user, year before death © Nuffield Trust
  • 12. Average cost per person in the last 12 months of life, by diagnostic group © Nuffield Trust
  • 13. Average inpatient and social care cost per month (£m) in 12 months before death © Nuffield Trust
  • 14. Average cost per person (£000s) by age group in last 12 months © Nuffield Trust
  • 15. Inpatient vs social care costs – inverse relationship © Nuffield Trust
  • 16. www.nuffieldtrust.org.uk Sign-up for our newsletter www.nuffieldtrust.org.uk/newsletter Follow us on Twitter (http://twitter.com/NuffieldTrust) December 2010 © Nuffield Trust