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Focus on access to social care for older
people
Ruth Thorlby and Holly Holder,
Nuffield Trust

23 October 2013
© Nuffield Trust and Health Foundation

© Nuffield Trust
Background
Central Government allocations to English local
authorities reduced by 14% in real terms between
2011/12 and 2014/15.
In 2013, a further reduction of 10% was announced
between 2014/15 and 2015/16.
The reductions come at a time when demand for publicly
funded social care had already been rising faster than
funding for several years.

There is concern that reductions in the volume or quality
of publicly funded social care will lead to unmet need and
pressure on health services.
© Nuffield Trust and Health Foundation
Research questions
How have local authorities have responded to reductions
in their income?
Can we track trends annually?
Is it possible to say anything how changes in spending
and activity have affected older adults’ health and
wellbeing?

© Nuffield Trust and Health Foundation
Method
Background literature review

Exploration of survey data from:
• Social care service users
• Directors of Adult Social Care Services
• Established national surveys e.g. ELSA, HSE
Descriptive analysis of data published annually by
NASCIS

2009/10 taken as a baseline year

© Nuffield Trust and Health Foundation
Percentage change in total net current spending
(real terms) by local authority between 2009-10 and
2012-13
Percentage change in net current spending (real
terms), 2009/10-2012/13

60%

40%

20%

Local authority

0%

Average
-20%

-40%

-60%

© Nuffield Trust and Health Foundation

Local authority
Trends in other sources of LA income for older adults

Real terms income by source (£000s)

2500

2000

1500
Client Contributions
Joint Arrangements

1000

NHS

500

0
2005/06

2006/07

© Nuffield Trust and Health Foundation

2007/08

2008/09
2009/10
Financial year

2010/11

2011/12

2012/13
Change in real terms net current spending nationally
by service area since 2005/6, older people
Net current spending (real terms) by activity (£000s)

3000

2500

Assessment and care management

2000

Nursing care placements
Residential care placements
Supported and other accommodation

1500

Home and day care
Direct Payments
1000

Equipment and adaptations
Meals
Other services to older people

500

0
2005/06

2006/07

© Nuffield Trust and Health Foundation

2007/08

2008/09 2009/10
Financial year

2010/11

2011/12

2012/13
Changes in service user numbers for communitybased, residential care and nursing care services
since 2009/10
Chaneg relative to index year (2009/10 = 100)

105
100
95
90
85
Community Based Services
80

Residential Care
Nursing Care

75
70
65
60
2009/10

2010/11

2011/12
Financial Year

© Nuffield Trust and Health Foundation

2012/13
Changes in user numbers for different forms of
community based care since 2009/10
Change relative to index year (2009/10 = 100)

120

100

80
Home Care

60

Day Care
Meals

40

Equipment & Adaptations

20

0
2009/10

2010/11

2011/12
Financial Year

© Nuffield Trust and Health Foundation

2012/13
How have local authorities responded to the
reductions in their income?
Annual Survey of Directors of Adult Social Services
(ADASS) 2013/14
• 82% of savings from ‘efficiencies’
• 13% of savings from service reduction

• 5% of savings from increased income
Eligibility for publicly funded help:
• 87% of LAs now only give help to those with
‘substantial’ or ‘critical’ levels of need (2013/14)
compared with 63% in 2005/6
© Nuffield Trust and Health Foundation
Change in the number of service users in receipt of
high, intermediate and low-intensity social care
support since 2009-10 for all adults
Change relative to index year (2009/10 = 100)

110

100

90

Less than or equal to 2 hours Number of
Service Users
More than 2 hours and less than or equal to
5 hours Number of Service Users

80

More than 5 hours and less than or equal to
10 hours Number of Service Users

70

More than 10 hours inc overnight/live in/24
hour Number of Service Users
60

50
2009/10

2010/11

2011/12
Financial Year

© Nuffield Trust and Health Foundation

2012/13
Has quality suffered?
ADASS 2013/14 Survey

• 87% of respondents do not agree that quality of life for
services users has suffered as a result of savings
• 93% do not think quality of care has suffered

• 28% believe that savings have increased pressure on
the NHS

© Nuffield Trust and Health Foundation
Where do we go from here?
Three groups we need to watch:

• Social care users facing reduced services/higher
contributions
• People who are no longer eligible for state funded help

• People who were never eligible for state funded help
• .. And their carers!

© Nuffield Trust and Health Foundation
www.qualitywatch.org.uk

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Twitter.com/Quality_Watch

23 October 2013
© Nuffield Trust and Health Foundation
www.qualitywatch.org.uk

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Ruth Thorlby & Holly Holder: Social care for older people

  • 1. Focus on access to social care for older people Ruth Thorlby and Holly Holder, Nuffield Trust 23 October 2013 © Nuffield Trust and Health Foundation © Nuffield Trust
  • 2. Background Central Government allocations to English local authorities reduced by 14% in real terms between 2011/12 and 2014/15. In 2013, a further reduction of 10% was announced between 2014/15 and 2015/16. The reductions come at a time when demand for publicly funded social care had already been rising faster than funding for several years. There is concern that reductions in the volume or quality of publicly funded social care will lead to unmet need and pressure on health services. © Nuffield Trust and Health Foundation
  • 3. Research questions How have local authorities have responded to reductions in their income? Can we track trends annually? Is it possible to say anything how changes in spending and activity have affected older adults’ health and wellbeing? © Nuffield Trust and Health Foundation
  • 4. Method Background literature review Exploration of survey data from: • Social care service users • Directors of Adult Social Care Services • Established national surveys e.g. ELSA, HSE Descriptive analysis of data published annually by NASCIS 2009/10 taken as a baseline year © Nuffield Trust and Health Foundation
  • 5. Percentage change in total net current spending (real terms) by local authority between 2009-10 and 2012-13 Percentage change in net current spending (real terms), 2009/10-2012/13 60% 40% 20% Local authority 0% Average -20% -40% -60% © Nuffield Trust and Health Foundation Local authority
  • 6. Trends in other sources of LA income for older adults Real terms income by source (£000s) 2500 2000 1500 Client Contributions Joint Arrangements 1000 NHS 500 0 2005/06 2006/07 © Nuffield Trust and Health Foundation 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10 Financial year 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13
  • 7. Change in real terms net current spending nationally by service area since 2005/6, older people Net current spending (real terms) by activity (£000s) 3000 2500 Assessment and care management 2000 Nursing care placements Residential care placements Supported and other accommodation 1500 Home and day care Direct Payments 1000 Equipment and adaptations Meals Other services to older people 500 0 2005/06 2006/07 © Nuffield Trust and Health Foundation 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10 Financial year 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13
  • 8. Changes in service user numbers for communitybased, residential care and nursing care services since 2009/10 Chaneg relative to index year (2009/10 = 100) 105 100 95 90 85 Community Based Services 80 Residential Care Nursing Care 75 70 65 60 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 Financial Year © Nuffield Trust and Health Foundation 2012/13
  • 9. Changes in user numbers for different forms of community based care since 2009/10 Change relative to index year (2009/10 = 100) 120 100 80 Home Care 60 Day Care Meals 40 Equipment & Adaptations 20 0 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 Financial Year © Nuffield Trust and Health Foundation 2012/13
  • 10. How have local authorities responded to the reductions in their income? Annual Survey of Directors of Adult Social Services (ADASS) 2013/14 • 82% of savings from ‘efficiencies’ • 13% of savings from service reduction • 5% of savings from increased income Eligibility for publicly funded help: • 87% of LAs now only give help to those with ‘substantial’ or ‘critical’ levels of need (2013/14) compared with 63% in 2005/6 © Nuffield Trust and Health Foundation
  • 11. Change in the number of service users in receipt of high, intermediate and low-intensity social care support since 2009-10 for all adults Change relative to index year (2009/10 = 100) 110 100 90 Less than or equal to 2 hours Number of Service Users More than 2 hours and less than or equal to 5 hours Number of Service Users 80 More than 5 hours and less than or equal to 10 hours Number of Service Users 70 More than 10 hours inc overnight/live in/24 hour Number of Service Users 60 50 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 Financial Year © Nuffield Trust and Health Foundation 2012/13
  • 12. Has quality suffered? ADASS 2013/14 Survey • 87% of respondents do not agree that quality of life for services users has suffered as a result of savings • 93% do not think quality of care has suffered • 28% believe that savings have increased pressure on the NHS © Nuffield Trust and Health Foundation
  • 13. Where do we go from here? Three groups we need to watch: • Social care users facing reduced services/higher contributions • People who are no longer eligible for state funded help • People who were never eligible for state funded help • .. And their carers! © Nuffield Trust and Health Foundation
  • 14. www.qualitywatch.org.uk Sign-up for our newsletter www.qualitywatch.org.uk/newsletter Follow us on Twitter: Twitter.com/Quality_Watch 23 October 2013 © Nuffield Trust and Health Foundation