- The US equity market has outperformed the Canadian market over the past quarter due to its sector compositions which favor healthcare and technology over energy and utilities. As a result, the US dollar has strengthened against the Canadian dollar.
- Low energy prices have negatively impacted the Canadian economy, particularly in Alberta, with major firms beginning layoffs. However, low prices are boosting the US economy through increased consumer spending.
- Uncertainty around oil prices and the new NDP government in Alberta are curtailing capital investment, which is now flowing to other provinces like Saskatchewan and British Columbia. Oil prices are expected to remain low due to oversupply and weak demand.
This report details performance, investment themes, and position changes to the Seton Hall University Student Managed Investment Fund Portfolio thru May 2018.
- The document discusses upcoming Q3 earnings reports and their importance for providing fundamental insights into global supply and demand trends. It notes markets have been volatile due to uncertainty, but earnings reports will help reduce uncertainty by revealing actual profit levels.
- It also summarizes the recent rise in oil prices driven by falling rig counts and geopolitical concerns, but notes inventory levels remain high and further gains may be limited. For natural gas, it discusses oversupply issues and low prices but signs the downward trend may be reversing.
This edition of Energy Perspectives summarizes industry activity in 2015 and outlook for 2016. Cost-cutting and balance sheet restructurings prevailed in 2015 in an effort to ensure survival in early 2016. M&A activity may be led by distressed opportunities, while bankruptcies are expected to accelerate. Once the industry reaches equilibrium, consolidation is expected as a means to capitalize on the “New Normal.”
The document provides an analysis of current economic and market conditions in the United States and globally. It notes that while US stock markets are hovering near all-time highs, the strength of the dollar has declined this year, reducing returns for US investors. It discusses ongoing uncertainty related to the US presidential election and Federal Reserve interest rate policy. The document examines conditions and outlooks across various commodity markets including crude oil, natural gas, precious metals and cattle.
Energy Industry Report: Energy Perspectives - January 2015Duff & Phelps
This edition of Energy Perspectives provides a recap of industry activity in 2014. Despite fairly consistent falling crude oil prices over the past six months, the industry experienced a record number of oilfield (OFS) M&A transactions for the fourth year in a row, achieving 329 announced transactions in 2014. For more detail on recent OFS trends, public comps and deal activity, read the report.
U.S. markets saw mixed returns in December as signs of economic recovery were offset by weaknesses emerging in the housing and bond markets. While job growth and consumer confidence recovered from hurricanes, housing data showed declining sales and rising inventories. Bond yields also inverted for the first time since 2000, a potential warning sign of recession. The Federal Reserve raised rates again but investors hoped this signaled the end of the tightening cycle. Overall, the document assessed recent economic indicators and market performance in December and provided an outlook looking into 2006.
The document summarizes and analyzes recent economic data and events that impact commodity markets. It discusses:
- The July US jobs report which showed 215,000 jobs added and unemployment at 5.3%, a result that was neither strongly positive nor negative. This leaves uncertainty around the timing of the Fed's first rate hike.
- Comments from an Atlanta Fed president supporting a September rate hike if data holds.
- Implications for commodity markets, including that oil and natural gas prices declined last week while uncertainty persists over the Fed and US dollar.
- Upcoming seasonal trends that may lead to natural gas price increases in the next few months.
The document provides an economic and market review for Q1 2009. It summarizes key economic indicators such as GDP, inflation, unemployment and housing prices. It also reviews the performance of major asset classes and indexes in 2008. Nearly all asset classes lost money last year except investment-grade fixed income. The S&P 500 fell over 30% while small cap and international markets declined over 35%.
This report details performance, investment themes, and position changes to the Seton Hall University Student Managed Investment Fund Portfolio thru May 2018.
- The document discusses upcoming Q3 earnings reports and their importance for providing fundamental insights into global supply and demand trends. It notes markets have been volatile due to uncertainty, but earnings reports will help reduce uncertainty by revealing actual profit levels.
- It also summarizes the recent rise in oil prices driven by falling rig counts and geopolitical concerns, but notes inventory levels remain high and further gains may be limited. For natural gas, it discusses oversupply issues and low prices but signs the downward trend may be reversing.
This edition of Energy Perspectives summarizes industry activity in 2015 and outlook for 2016. Cost-cutting and balance sheet restructurings prevailed in 2015 in an effort to ensure survival in early 2016. M&A activity may be led by distressed opportunities, while bankruptcies are expected to accelerate. Once the industry reaches equilibrium, consolidation is expected as a means to capitalize on the “New Normal.”
The document provides an analysis of current economic and market conditions in the United States and globally. It notes that while US stock markets are hovering near all-time highs, the strength of the dollar has declined this year, reducing returns for US investors. It discusses ongoing uncertainty related to the US presidential election and Federal Reserve interest rate policy. The document examines conditions and outlooks across various commodity markets including crude oil, natural gas, precious metals and cattle.
Energy Industry Report: Energy Perspectives - January 2015Duff & Phelps
This edition of Energy Perspectives provides a recap of industry activity in 2014. Despite fairly consistent falling crude oil prices over the past six months, the industry experienced a record number of oilfield (OFS) M&A transactions for the fourth year in a row, achieving 329 announced transactions in 2014. For more detail on recent OFS trends, public comps and deal activity, read the report.
U.S. markets saw mixed returns in December as signs of economic recovery were offset by weaknesses emerging in the housing and bond markets. While job growth and consumer confidence recovered from hurricanes, housing data showed declining sales and rising inventories. Bond yields also inverted for the first time since 2000, a potential warning sign of recession. The Federal Reserve raised rates again but investors hoped this signaled the end of the tightening cycle. Overall, the document assessed recent economic indicators and market performance in December and provided an outlook looking into 2006.
The document summarizes and analyzes recent economic data and events that impact commodity markets. It discusses:
- The July US jobs report which showed 215,000 jobs added and unemployment at 5.3%, a result that was neither strongly positive nor negative. This leaves uncertainty around the timing of the Fed's first rate hike.
- Comments from an Atlanta Fed president supporting a September rate hike if data holds.
- Implications for commodity markets, including that oil and natural gas prices declined last week while uncertainty persists over the Fed and US dollar.
- Upcoming seasonal trends that may lead to natural gas price increases in the next few months.
The document provides an economic and market review for Q1 2009. It summarizes key economic indicators such as GDP, inflation, unemployment and housing prices. It also reviews the performance of major asset classes and indexes in 2008. Nearly all asset classes lost money last year except investment-grade fixed income. The S&P 500 fell over 30% while small cap and international markets declined over 35%.
Capital Markets Industry Insights - Q1 2016Duff & Phelps
Prospective middle-market issuers are being greeted with robust demand from both traditional private credit investors and crossover public market participants. While monetary policy concerns weighed heavily on market participants for much of the first quarter, the Fed’s more dovish posture of recent weeks has triggered an increase in risk appetite across the credit markets.
Stocks rallied in May, with several indexes reaching record highs. Economic conditions have improved from a year ago, with inflation stabilizing and business spending recovering. Corporate earnings grew 8.1% in the first quarter, ending a streak of 14 quarters of double-digit growth. While markets have reached milestones, valuations are still relatively reasonable compared to the tech bubble peak in 2000.
This weekly newsletter discusses commodity market trends and provides trading signals. It summarizes that commodities prices continue to weaken due to slowing global growth, especially in China, which is hurting demand. Commodity prices often decline before recessions, so the markets may be signaling an increased recession risk. Short positions are recommended for crude oil, gasoline, diesel and natural gas based on supply/demand fundamentals and technical factors like prices breaching psychological barriers. The dollar's strength is also cited as a bearish influence for commodity prices.
Various leading indicators suggest a constructive backdrop for equities ahead. Improving economic fundamentals and positive leading indicators like the LEI and ISM Services Index signal further equity market gains. The author recommends an overweight position in equities over bonds, with a focus on cyclical sectors that have outperformed recently. On the fixed income side, the author advocates a "bear flattener" strategy of favoring corporate bonds over Treasuries and long-term bonds over short-term bonds.
This document provides an outlook for the 4th quarter of 2013 from Deutsche Asset & Wealth Management's U.S. Chief Investment Strategist, Larry Adam. It discusses recent market performance and signals that key factors are aligning for an acceleration in U.S. economic growth in 2014, including a pickup in global growth boosting exports, increased business spending, and easing fiscal drag. While the economic recovery remains weak compared to past cycles, the risks in the near term relate more to confidence than structural issues, and the impact of recent government furloughs appears limited.
- The stock market has risen 17% year-to-date but may be overextended in the short-term given lackluster business fundamentals and economic growth.
- After a potential short-term pullback, stocks could see 20-30% upside over the next year, supported by low interest rates and high liquidity.
- However, the author cautions that weak revenue growth, upcoming fiscal tightening, and downward revisions to earnings estimates could trigger a market correction from current levels.
The latest quarterly strategic report that gives a summary of top market trends impacting major spend categories, and gives actionable insights to drive strategic value for your organization.
- Three tech companies - Google, Amazon, and Microsoft - reported strong earnings which led to a $100 billion increase in their combined market capitalization.
- The document discusses speculative valuations and bubbles in certain sectors like tech, pharmaceuticals, and biotech that have been fueled by low interest rates and stimulus seeking growth.
- Both oil and natural gas prices declined during the week as inventories rose more than expected and demand remains weak despite stimulus measures.
Mercer Capital's Value Focus: Energy Industry | Q1 2021 | Region Focus: Eagle...Mercer Capital
Mercer Capital's Energy Industry newsletter provides perspective on valuation issues. Each newsletter also typically includes macroeconomic trends, industry trends, and guideline public company metrics.
« Market Perspectives » est notre revue mensuelle des marchés. Elle présente de la façon la plus synthétique possible :
- notre analyse des principaux faits marquants et indicateurs macro susceptibles de dessiner les marchés sur le mois.
- notre vision sur les différentes classes d’actifs
Cette revue sera continument enrichie avec nos indicateurs quantitatifs.
La plupart de nos analyses sont disponibles sur www.finlightresearch.com
Our monthly publication “Market Perspectives” presents a synthetic view of all the asset classes we cover.
The report is composed of six sections covering Macro, Equities, FI & credit, FX, Commodities and Alternatives.
Each section is preceded by a summary of our views on the related asset class.
Most of our publications are available on our web site www.finlightresearch.com
2011 promises to be the year of commodities. Every global event in the last three
years has either been triggered by commodities or has, in a roundabout way, led to
increased influence of commodity prices on the macro-economic environment.
The recent events in Egypt are a case in point. Even in the ongoing currency wars,
commodity currencies like the Australian Dollar and Brazilian Real have shown genuine
muscle and there is nothing on the horizon to show that the trend is changing.
Domestic and international stocks fell last week despite some positive economic indicators in the US. Treasury yields also declined as concerns about slowing global growth remained. Commodity prices dropped significantly, with several commodities reaching multi-year lows. While US economic data such as home sales and jobless claims were encouraging, corporate earnings came in mixed with some large technology companies reporting disappointing results. Overall, markets pulled back after recent highs, though the earnings season has started out better than expected overall.
The document provides an analysis of recent market and economic events from the perspective of an investment advisory firm. It discusses factors like low oil and gas prices, consumer spending, Chinese economic slowdown, European debt issues, and upcoming US Federal Reserve decisions that could impact markets. While remaining cautiously optimistic, the firm believes markets may continue fluctuating but eventually retest recent lows unless economic data improves globally. In summary, the document analyzes recent market movements in light of economic news and provides the firm's outlook on whether current conditions can sustain an upward trend.
In this issue:
1. TD Wealth Asset Allocation Committee: Market outlook: the year ahead
2. TD Economics: A foundation for uncertain times
3. TD Wealth: New principal residence exemption rules
LBS - Asset Allocation Model – February UpdateMark MacIsaac
Robust and synchronized upswing in global economic growth, still accelerating earnings growth, global consensus earnings projections continuing to improve and accommodative financial conditions all remained supportive of equities in January.
The document discusses peak oil theory and political factors affecting the oil market. It argues that while Hubbert's peak oil theory is valid, geological limitations alone will not cause economic issues due to vast untapped reserves. However, the oil market is not truly free and government intervention in exploration, pricing, consumption and other areas could potentially lead to constraints on supply and serious economic problems in the future for political rather than geological reasons. The bottom line is that sustained commodity shortages only occur when governments interfere in markets.
The document discusses Saudi Arabia's recent decision to significantly lower oil export prices. It analyzes two possible scenarios for how this strategy may impact the global economy. Scenario 1 is that Saudi succeeds in terminating higher-cost US shale gas projects, allowing it to later raise oil prices again. Lower gas prices may also boost the US economy and public opinion of Saudi. However, Scenario 2 is that the strategy fails if other OPEC nations increase production to maintain revenues, and if lower prices stimulate greater global demand and fail to curb alternative energy development. The document considers whether Saudi's move will have its intended consequences.
The document discusses investment outlooks for 2016. Key points include:
- Continued low global growth is expected, along with subdued inflation and accommodative monetary policy.
- Risks remain skewed downward, and markets could become volatile on negative news.
- In equities, favor areas with economic tailwinds like the Eurozone, Japan, and US financial and consumer sectors.
- In fixed income, favor a balanced approach including credit sensitive sectors like high yield bonds and senior loans.
This document analyzes Southwestern Energy Company (SWN), an independent energy company focused on natural gas and oil exploration. It summarizes the company's operations, stock performance, and financial metrics. The analyst provides a positive economic outlook, expecting GDP and energy demand to increase gradually. The report recommends buying SWN stock based on its research and intrinsic value estimate of $43.51, above the current market price.
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Capital Markets Industry Insights - Q1 2016Duff & Phelps
Prospective middle-market issuers are being greeted with robust demand from both traditional private credit investors and crossover public market participants. While monetary policy concerns weighed heavily on market participants for much of the first quarter, the Fed’s more dovish posture of recent weeks has triggered an increase in risk appetite across the credit markets.
Stocks rallied in May, with several indexes reaching record highs. Economic conditions have improved from a year ago, with inflation stabilizing and business spending recovering. Corporate earnings grew 8.1% in the first quarter, ending a streak of 14 quarters of double-digit growth. While markets have reached milestones, valuations are still relatively reasonable compared to the tech bubble peak in 2000.
This weekly newsletter discusses commodity market trends and provides trading signals. It summarizes that commodities prices continue to weaken due to slowing global growth, especially in China, which is hurting demand. Commodity prices often decline before recessions, so the markets may be signaling an increased recession risk. Short positions are recommended for crude oil, gasoline, diesel and natural gas based on supply/demand fundamentals and technical factors like prices breaching psychological barriers. The dollar's strength is also cited as a bearish influence for commodity prices.
Various leading indicators suggest a constructive backdrop for equities ahead. Improving economic fundamentals and positive leading indicators like the LEI and ISM Services Index signal further equity market gains. The author recommends an overweight position in equities over bonds, with a focus on cyclical sectors that have outperformed recently. On the fixed income side, the author advocates a "bear flattener" strategy of favoring corporate bonds over Treasuries and long-term bonds over short-term bonds.
This document provides an outlook for the 4th quarter of 2013 from Deutsche Asset & Wealth Management's U.S. Chief Investment Strategist, Larry Adam. It discusses recent market performance and signals that key factors are aligning for an acceleration in U.S. economic growth in 2014, including a pickup in global growth boosting exports, increased business spending, and easing fiscal drag. While the economic recovery remains weak compared to past cycles, the risks in the near term relate more to confidence than structural issues, and the impact of recent government furloughs appears limited.
- The stock market has risen 17% year-to-date but may be overextended in the short-term given lackluster business fundamentals and economic growth.
- After a potential short-term pullback, stocks could see 20-30% upside over the next year, supported by low interest rates and high liquidity.
- However, the author cautions that weak revenue growth, upcoming fiscal tightening, and downward revisions to earnings estimates could trigger a market correction from current levels.
The latest quarterly strategic report that gives a summary of top market trends impacting major spend categories, and gives actionable insights to drive strategic value for your organization.
- Three tech companies - Google, Amazon, and Microsoft - reported strong earnings which led to a $100 billion increase in their combined market capitalization.
- The document discusses speculative valuations and bubbles in certain sectors like tech, pharmaceuticals, and biotech that have been fueled by low interest rates and stimulus seeking growth.
- Both oil and natural gas prices declined during the week as inventories rose more than expected and demand remains weak despite stimulus measures.
Mercer Capital's Value Focus: Energy Industry | Q1 2021 | Region Focus: Eagle...Mercer Capital
Mercer Capital's Energy Industry newsletter provides perspective on valuation issues. Each newsletter also typically includes macroeconomic trends, industry trends, and guideline public company metrics.
« Market Perspectives » est notre revue mensuelle des marchés. Elle présente de la façon la plus synthétique possible :
- notre analyse des principaux faits marquants et indicateurs macro susceptibles de dessiner les marchés sur le mois.
- notre vision sur les différentes classes d’actifs
Cette revue sera continument enrichie avec nos indicateurs quantitatifs.
La plupart de nos analyses sont disponibles sur www.finlightresearch.com
Our monthly publication “Market Perspectives” presents a synthetic view of all the asset classes we cover.
The report is composed of six sections covering Macro, Equities, FI & credit, FX, Commodities and Alternatives.
Each section is preceded by a summary of our views on the related asset class.
Most of our publications are available on our web site www.finlightresearch.com
2011 promises to be the year of commodities. Every global event in the last three
years has either been triggered by commodities or has, in a roundabout way, led to
increased influence of commodity prices on the macro-economic environment.
The recent events in Egypt are a case in point. Even in the ongoing currency wars,
commodity currencies like the Australian Dollar and Brazilian Real have shown genuine
muscle and there is nothing on the horizon to show that the trend is changing.
Domestic and international stocks fell last week despite some positive economic indicators in the US. Treasury yields also declined as concerns about slowing global growth remained. Commodity prices dropped significantly, with several commodities reaching multi-year lows. While US economic data such as home sales and jobless claims were encouraging, corporate earnings came in mixed with some large technology companies reporting disappointing results. Overall, markets pulled back after recent highs, though the earnings season has started out better than expected overall.
The document provides an analysis of recent market and economic events from the perspective of an investment advisory firm. It discusses factors like low oil and gas prices, consumer spending, Chinese economic slowdown, European debt issues, and upcoming US Federal Reserve decisions that could impact markets. While remaining cautiously optimistic, the firm believes markets may continue fluctuating but eventually retest recent lows unless economic data improves globally. In summary, the document analyzes recent market movements in light of economic news and provides the firm's outlook on whether current conditions can sustain an upward trend.
In this issue:
1. TD Wealth Asset Allocation Committee: Market outlook: the year ahead
2. TD Economics: A foundation for uncertain times
3. TD Wealth: New principal residence exemption rules
LBS - Asset Allocation Model – February UpdateMark MacIsaac
Robust and synchronized upswing in global economic growth, still accelerating earnings growth, global consensus earnings projections continuing to improve and accommodative financial conditions all remained supportive of equities in January.
The document discusses peak oil theory and political factors affecting the oil market. It argues that while Hubbert's peak oil theory is valid, geological limitations alone will not cause economic issues due to vast untapped reserves. However, the oil market is not truly free and government intervention in exploration, pricing, consumption and other areas could potentially lead to constraints on supply and serious economic problems in the future for political rather than geological reasons. The bottom line is that sustained commodity shortages only occur when governments interfere in markets.
The document discusses Saudi Arabia's recent decision to significantly lower oil export prices. It analyzes two possible scenarios for how this strategy may impact the global economy. Scenario 1 is that Saudi succeeds in terminating higher-cost US shale gas projects, allowing it to later raise oil prices again. Lower gas prices may also boost the US economy and public opinion of Saudi. However, Scenario 2 is that the strategy fails if other OPEC nations increase production to maintain revenues, and if lower prices stimulate greater global demand and fail to curb alternative energy development. The document considers whether Saudi's move will have its intended consequences.
The document discusses investment outlooks for 2016. Key points include:
- Continued low global growth is expected, along with subdued inflation and accommodative monetary policy.
- Risks remain skewed downward, and markets could become volatile on negative news.
- In equities, favor areas with economic tailwinds like the Eurozone, Japan, and US financial and consumer sectors.
- In fixed income, favor a balanced approach including credit sensitive sectors like high yield bonds and senior loans.
This document analyzes Southwestern Energy Company (SWN), an independent energy company focused on natural gas and oil exploration. It summarizes the company's operations, stock performance, and financial metrics. The analyst provides a positive economic outlook, expecting GDP and energy demand to increase gradually. The report recommends buying SWN stock based on its research and intrinsic value estimate of $43.51, above the current market price.
Looking for SEO company in UK? If yes! Come and browse top SEO agency in UK, Which is specialized in local and national services includes generate higher organic traffic on websites, generate leads, increase sales, websites designing and development at affordable budget.
Vimal Kumar Sharma seeks a top executive role where he can utilize his strong technical and managerial mining skills. He has over 2 years of experience managing large-scale open cast mining operations for ACC Ltd in India. His expertise includes areas like drilling, blasting, equipment operation, production planning, and meeting statutory requirements. He holds an M.E. in Mining Engineering and has received additional training in cement manufacturing, mining machinery, and management.
CW CC poetic sound technique review_111116MMcCardle
The document discusses starting a session in 5 minutes, asking about weekend plans, and includes a disclaimer that the session will be recorded for learning purposes such as lessons for absent students or students reviewing for a test. It also provides the vision and mission statements for Georgia Cyber Academy focusing on developing confident leaders through rigorous academics and individualized learning.
Endless Opportunities The Only Home Business You’ll Need! RICH has built unique and attractive services and product lines to accommodate its users! Our mission is to ensure stability, and profitability with the most overriding factor being program longevity! Unlike many small boutique companies that only have a few products, RICH offers a variety of products and services, of which many will become global multibillion-dollar household names in the future. RICH does not subscribe to the theory of quality product limitations. All quality products from “A to Z” are candidates from Telecom and Graphic Design to Marketing and IT Development to name just a few.
Pop-rock music originated in the 1960s in the US and combines elements of pop and rock music, featuring instruments like drums, bass guitar, electric guitar, keyboards, vocals, and synthesizers. Artists such as Elton John, Paul McCartney, and Rod Stewart are representatives of the pop-rock genre.
Presentasi ini berisi tentang apa itu Apps4God, mengapa perlu Apps4God, dan bagaimana melakukan Apps4God. Terdapat langkah-langkah praktis dalam memulai dan mengembangkan gerakan Apps4God.
El documento resume la historia del automóvil desde sus orígenes en vehículos de vapor en el siglo XVIII hasta la era moderna. Algunos de los hitos más importantes incluyen la creación del primer automóvil con motor de gasolina en 1885, el comienzo de la producción masiva en la década de 1900, y el desarrollo de motores más eficientes y menos contaminantes a partir de la década de 1960. El texto también menciona algunos de los principales tipos de automóviles como turismos, camionetas, deportivos y monovolú
This document analyzes music videos and their relationship to the song lyrics through different lenses such as "Closer to the edge" focusing on the artists, "Love the way you lie" connecting lyrics and visuals, and "Animals" exploring voyeurism. It also examines "Style" through dream-like elements, "Black or White" as a performance and conceptual video, "I want Love" focusing on star image, and "Roar" as a performance and narrative video.
Allison McGillivray has extensive clinical experience working with trauma populations including youth, individuals with medical issues, and those experiencing homelessness or exploitation. She has a PsyD in clinical psychology and is pursuing licensure. Her experience includes residential counseling, individual/group therapy, case management, and supervision roles. She utilizes approaches like DBT, CBT, MI, and relational therapy to meet client needs.
AIM provides logistics expertise survey / inspection on “no cure no pay” terms whereby aim assumes the risks of safely forwarding stranded goods to the intended destination port. It also undertakes confidential investigations to determine the residual values of damaged and/or rejected goods worldwide to provide concerned insurers / cargo owners with offers to purchase such goods. AIM offers fee-based consultancy regarding the valuation of distressed and damaged cargo, and associated marine logistics. It provides survey/inspection services for ships, cargoes, bunkers and other marine matters.
Presentasi ini menjelaskan identitas gerakan Apps4God sebagai komunitas yang dibentuk untuk memuliakan Tuhan. Di dalamnya terdapat dasar Alkitab, motivasi, dan pengembangan Apps4God secara praktikal.
The document is a curriculum vitae for Vinay Kumar A.S. that summarizes his career experience and qualifications. It includes details about his 3.6 years of experience as a Design Engineer, expertise in CAD software, educational background of a Bachelor's degree in Mechanical Engineering, and current employment with David Brown Gear Systems as a Design Engineer since December 2013 where his responsibilities include gearbox design, drawings, 3D modeling, and project management.
1. The document discusses barriers to scaling electronic structure methods to large systems, such as the inability of sparse matrix multiplication kernels to access strong parallel scaling and entrenched data structures that limit innovation.
2. It proposes a fast, generic, and data local N-body solver approach using new mathematics that is not constrained by row-column data structures and allows a single programming model.
3. Key aspects of this approach include exploiting locality in higher dimensional product volumes through techniques like occlusion-culling, resolving identity iteratively to compress matrices by orders of magnitude, and developing optimized sparse matrix multiplication kernels.
Angela Schmidt is seeking a leadership role in pathology after over 35 years of experience in histology, histotechnology, and medical laboratory technology. She has extensive experience supervising histology departments and implementing new technologies and procedures. Her resume details her career history and accomplishments in histology lab management, technical skills, training and education.
Merrill Lynch provides an overview of their Canadian equity strategy and outlook. They maintain a cautious outlook on the overall market and preference for defensive sectors. They expect Canadian GDP growth to slow from 2.9% in 2006 to 2.3% in 2007, weighing on corporate earnings. Their analysis suggests TSX earnings per share growth may contract in 2007 rather than the 13% consensus growth. Foreign and domestic investors may also shift away from Canadian stocks due to weaker resource sectors and the Canadian dollar, putting downward pressure on valuations.
This Invast report covered the October 2013 Portfolio Performance Review with emphasis on portfolio changes. We also mentioned trends in AGM sessions from reporting trading and earning numbers to growth plans like acquisitions and mergers. Lastly, we shared our book review of Tim Ferriss' The Four Hour Work Week with goal setting insights for traders and investors.
- WRHE had a poor third quarter, declining 3.8% net due to underperformance of services stocks as hurricanes and oil dominated the market.
- Services stocks are at extremely low valuations with high fear levels baked in, but fundamentals remain strong with stable credit markets, employment, and liquidity.
- The US economy remains flexible and services-led, driven by technology and finance, and will manage through hurricane impacts despite perceptions that it is finished.
- WRHE believes conditions are at extremes and change is likely, and that services stocks will reassert leadership and "catch up" with earnings growth when the market refocuses on fundamentals.
- October proved to be a positive month for global markets, with the Canadian S&P/TSX and U.S. S&P500 seeing impressive year-to-date returns. Investor sentiment continued to improve from the lows seen in the spring.
- Factors contributing to the improved outlook in October included the anticipated second round of U.S. quantitative easing, strong second quarter corporate earnings, and the results of the U.S. midterm elections maintaining political gridlock.
- The materials and information technology sectors performed strongest for the Canadian market in October, driven by gains in commodity prices and Research in Motion's new product announcement respectively.
The portfolio manager discusses the Third Avenue Focused Credit Fund. They reiterate their commitment to maximizing value in the portfolio and returning capital to shareholders in a timely manner. Eight of the top ten holdings have restructured in the past two years, reducing debt levels. The manager believes the portfolio contains significant embedded value that will be realized as market conditions normalize and corporate events occur. They intend to provide transparency to shareholders through monthly fact sheets and quarterly commentary on the fund's website. The manager also discusses recent volatility in the high yield and distressed debt markets, noting that credit spreads spiked in 2015 but it is unclear if this will lead to recession or opportunity.
This is where Deitric Muhammad predicted the so-called Credit Crunch/Financial Crisis 2008, the rise of telecommunications and banking in Africa, and more! Yes, he was THE FIRST person to ACCURATELY PREDICT the World Financial Crisis as early as October 2005!!!
The Fed kept interest rates unchanged at its latest meeting. While the US economy is expanding moderately, the global economy remains weak. The Fed signaled that it will raise rates when further improvement is seen in the labor market. Commodity markets declined after the meeting due to ongoing concerns about the global economy. The author remains bearish on oil and natural gas due to oversupply issues. Short positions in these sectors generated gains last week. The author will be monitoring US economic data and changes in the global supply/demand picture for signs of a reversal in prices.
The document provides a quarterly review by Seaport Investment Management. It summarizes the volatile market conditions in Q1 2016, with global equities rebounding from losses to end barely positive. It discusses ongoing economic slowing and downward revisions to growth forecasts. Seaport's portfolio returned 2.2% in Q1 through a defensive structure that has buffered volatility while providing stable income. The portfolio remains defensively positioned across asset classes like equity, credit, and mortgage to balance upside potential with downside protection.
The document summarizes the outlook and strategy of the Global Commodity Systematic Program (GCS) managed by Global Advisors. GCS uses a rules-based, non-discretionary approach to identify and manage trends across 35 commodity markets. It expects profitable opportunities over the next few years due to factors such as the devaluation of paper currencies, continued demand growth in emerging markets like China, a supply shock from reduced commodity investment, and increasing investment in commodities from stock market investors. Charts are presented supporting these views, and it is argued that if commodity markets exhibit strong trends, the GCS program will be able to generate strong returns managing those trends.
Invbots training materials 20210104 - Macro StrategyInvbots Limited
1) 2021 will see key events that could impact global equity market performance such as US elections, central bank meetings, and earnings seasons.
2) A global macro strategy bases holdings on overall economic and political views, using combinations of strategies across asset classes like currencies, interest rates, and stock indexes.
3) Factors like market cap, sectors, currencies, and macroeconomic data influence different equity indexes differently and studying these relationships is important for understanding market moves.
This document provides an analysis of recent market movements and economic factors. It summarizes that the recent rally in US equities could make October the strongest month of the year. It also discusses that irrational behavior by markets and investors has driven prices rather than economic fundamentals. Specific companies like Walmart are seen as reflecting the broader economic challenges of slowing demand and rising costs. The document concludes by acknowledging the irrational forces at play in global markets and economies.
The Equity Observer - Weekly Insights December 9, 2018Eric J. Weigel
- Equity markets declined significantly last week, with US small caps taking the biggest losses. Year-to-date, US large caps are barely positive while small caps are down 4.6%.
- Risk aversion has increased as volatility has risen from last year's lows. Yield spreads continue to widen, indicating concern in the markets.
- All major global markets declined last week, with Germany suffering the largest losses. REITs were one of the only bright spots, up over 6% year-to-date.
- The decline has caused over half of stocks in the analyst's universe to now be in a down trend phase. Models favor reducing risk exposure through positive allocations to cash and
The document discusses recent underperformance in the US credit sector and factors driving spread widening, including fears over a Chinese economic slowdown, high corporate debt issuance, and declining oil prices. It analyzes how the metals and mining sector decline suggests China fears as the dominant factor rather than just oil prices. While the short-term market reaction has been painful, mispricings create opportunities. The document advocates a balanced approach of assessing risks and opportunities rather than reacting to short-term volatility.
LBS Asset Allocation August Update - July 28, 2017Mark MacIsaac
Global economic data continues to show strong growth, but signs point to a peak in momentum. While US and Eurozone manufacturing surveys weakened, emerging market equities continue outperforming. Key indicators like flattening yield curves and disconnect between commodities and the US dollar suggest growth is likely decelerating. The document recommends slightly increasing exposure to emerging market equities and reducing underweight of other developed markets. It also recommends overweighting health care in the US and financials in Canada.
The memo warns that a U.S. recession is likely as concerns about the stock market and economy have risen dramatically. It recommends shifting to a market neutral strategy as equity values will remain depressed for an extended period. Several indicators point to worsening economic conditions, such as banks entering risk aversion mode, high yield bonds becoming illiquid, weaker auto and revenue growth sales, impacts from low oil prices yet to be fully realized, and declining freight volumes. Caution is advised given these rising concerns about a potential recession.
- Global stock markets rose strongly in the third quarter of 2010, with the S&P 500 experiencing its best September performance since 1939 due to gains in the telecommunications sector.
- Commodity prices also increased, with base metal prices leading gains, while bond markets were boosted by strong investor demand that pushed yields lower.
- By the end of the third quarter, fears of a slowdown in China's economy, a double-dip recession in the US, and the European sovereign debt crisis all subsided, helping fuel the stock market rebound.
- Global stock markets rose strongly in the third quarter of 2010, with the S&P 500 experiencing its best September performance since 1939 due to gains in the telecommunications sector. Commodity prices also increased.
- Materials stocks performed well, particularly in fertilizer, metals and mining, as Chinese economic indicators exceeded expectations, calming fears of an Asian slowdown.
- Investor demand for fixed income remained strong despite low bond yields, as flows continued into government and corporate bonds seeking stability and income. However, bond prices may fall as money rotates to equities.
Active Trading Plan: Insights & Opportunities 09 & 10 August 2021Unum Capital
The document provides an active trading plan and analysis for the week ahead, covering various global markets, sectors, and stocks. It identifies technical setups and trading opportunities based on chart patterns and recent price action. Key areas discussed include the strong US jobs report supporting the US dollar, weakness in gold and other commodities, mixed opportunities across South African sectors, and long and short setups developing on individual stocks based on technical indicators.
- Real interest rates in the US are currently at their most negative level in almost three decades, which is an important development that should not be ignored by investors.
- Historically, periods of deeply negative real rates have typically been followed by improvements in leading economic indicators and increased spending, consumption, and demand for assets by both consumers and businesses.
- Based on historical relationships, the current negative real rate environment suggests that US economic prospects and equity markets may find increased support and possibly a sustained rally in the coming year.
This document provides an investment outlook and recommendations for building a defensive portfolio amid rising economic and political risks while also seizing opportunities. It recommends maintaining adequate liquidity through cash reserves, holding high-quality intermediate bonds for diversification and yield, and selectively investing in areas with potential for earnings growth like technology and healthcare stocks as well as US small caps and high-yield bonds when prices decline due to market volatility. While there are challenges like low productivity growth, the document argues that innovation and business creation will support continued economic expansion over the long term.
1. Market Update
Many of the same themes within the
market over the past year have continued
in the most recent quarter. Healthcare and
Technology continue to lead while Energy
and Utilities continue to lag. Due to the
compositions of the Canadian and
American equity markets, significantly
better performance has been achievable in
the United States. As a result of this, and
more particularly the factors leading to the
continued divergence in equity market
performance, the USD$ continues to trend
favorably relative to the CDN$. Our Can-Am
portfolio is allocated accordingly.
Energy Prices
The big news, particularly here at home, is a continuation of low energy prices. This has
had a negative effect on the Canadian economy, shown by major firms beginning to lay
off staff in an attempt to cut costs. For the U.S., where energy production is a
significantly smaller component of the country's gross domestic product, low energy
prices are boosting their economy as consumers have more discretionary income with
lower gasoline prices.
With the recent election of an NDP government in Alberta, low oil prices are not the
only thing curtailing capital investment in our province. Businesses and investors alike
are in the “wait and see” mode as a result of the uncertain outlook for the Alberta
economy. Our contacts tell us that much of the capital investment, once destined for
Alberta, is now going to Saskatchewan and British Columbia.
The outlook for oil prices remains weak as meaningful improvement to the supply /
demand equilibrium seems to be a long way off. On the demand side, Asian economic
growth continues to decelerate, now that the physical build-out appears to be complete.
Economic growth in the developed countries is anemic—at best. On the supply side, oil
production continues to grow. OPEC has stated they will be ramping up production to
maintain market share—generally viewed as in retaliation to the “American Shale
Revolution”. Additionally, oil in storage has hit multi decade highs, limiting any
significant upside to crude oil prices. The full effect of lower energy prices on the
Canadian economy is yet to be determined, but it appears to be extending well beyond
the Alberta border and into many different industry groups. The days of $100 per barrel
oil appear to be over.
Can-Am Portfolio Response
We have continued to favor the U.S. market over the Canadian market as the domestic
economy appears to be unraveling. Our highly refined stock selection process has kept
us out of the energy and utility sectors and directed us into better performing sectors
which are very underrepresented in the Canadian market—Healthcare and Technology.
(Continued on page 2)
Inside the Issue
Page 1
Market Update
Page 2
Global Tensions
Page 3
Oil Price Outlook
Diversified American
Growth
Summary
Page 4
Summer Survey
Our Team
Mike Seed
First Vice–President and
Portfolio Manager
(780) 970-5359
Mike.Seed@cibc.com
Jack Seed
First Vice-President and
Investment Advisor
(780) 970-5360
Jack.Seed@cibc.com
Ken Gordon
Investment Advisor
(780) 970-5362
Ken.Gordon@cibc.com
Holly Chung
Client Associate
(780) 970-5363
Holly.Chung@cibc.com
Keanan Boomer
Financial Associate
(780) 498-5048
Keanan.Boomer@cibc.com
Relative Index Weight
Good Sectors Strength TSX SPX
Health Care 100% 2% 11%
Technology 89% 3% 16%
Consumer 78% 15% 23%
Total - Good Sectors 19% 49%
Relative Index Weight
Bad Sectors Strength TSX SPX
Utilities 0% 6% 5%
Energy 11% 24% 8%
Telecom 22% 2% 1%
Total - Bad Sectors 32% 14%
Manulife Place
Suite 1780, 10180 101 St.
Edmonton, AB T5J 3S4
seedfinancialgroup@cibc.ca
2. Page 2
Canada—TSX Index
United States—S&P500 Index
Health Care Sector
Technology Sector
Energy Sector
Global Tensions
There are a number of global factors currently affecting various asset
classes and economic sectors. We continue to see unrest in parts of Europe
as well as the Middle East. Tensions continue to run high in the Euro-zone,
as Greece fights to meet the terms of its bailout, which it needs in order to
avoid a debt default. Sanctions applied to Russia after their invasion of the
Ukraine have caused a rapid deterioration in the Russian economy. This
has been compounded by low oil prices and an unwillingness from
President Putin to have meaningful negotiations with his western
counterparts. Also, ISIS continues to make threatening statements towards
the United States and Canada, putting these governments on high alert. In
addition to these issues, the markets have been adjusting for an interest
increase by the U.S. Federal Reserve. Consensus seems to be forming
around a 0.25% increase at the Fed’s September meeting.
Can-Am Portfolio Response
Despite local and global disruptions, we continue to achieve strong
portfolio performance through strict adherence to our continually evolving,
highly disciplined portfolio management methodologies. We have
implemented a number of very significant upgrades to our Can-Am
management strategy over the past 6 months:
Style Diversification—through the implementation of four non-correlated equity
sub-strategies. Each strategy is well defined within its unique quantitative model and
employs an embedded sell discipline to maintain continuous exposure to top-ranked
companies across four diversified equity mandates.
Relative Strength—measures the trajectory angle of market-traded, investable
assets. We are currently tracking 1300 items in our Relative Strength (RS) Matrix
universe, including stocks, preferred shares and various other asset classes such as
bonds and commodities through the use of exchange traded funds. The universe is
ranked daily, with the strongest trending item receiving a RS ranking of 100% and the
weakest item receiving a ranking of 0%. The implementation of our RS scoring system is
to ensure we continually maintain an overall portfolio ranking of 80%+. The theory
behind employing RS is derived from Sir Isaac Newton’s First Law of Physics—”An
object in motion remains in motion unless acted upon by an unbalanced force.” An
investment performing better than the majority of options will likely to continue to do
so—until it does not.
Dynamic Currency Allocation (NEW!)—While we have been very pleased with
the performance of our Can-Am equity mandate over the past several years, we knew
we were leaving a lot of performance on the table as a result of the fixed allocation of
only 15 American stocks within the 40 stock Can-Am mandate. Given that our
Diversified American Growth mandate has compounded at 32+% annually for the past
3 years, elimination of the fixed Canadian / American allocation shackles has occurred.
This required a complete rebuild of our tracking systems and block trading platform,
but we are pleased to announce we have broken free from the restraints.
Currency Adjusted Relative Strength Matrix (NEW!)—With the
implementation of a dynamic currency allocation model, we needed to have a means
to truly asses the slope trend of our RS universe in a common currency—the Loonie.
Where historically, the RS Matrix compared the slope trend of all 1300 constituents in
our universe daily, it did not take into account the +/- impact of the USD$/CDN$ slope
trend in addition to that of the U.S. holdings themselves. By embedding the currency
impact within all American items in the RS Matrix, we now have a well-defined
methodology to guide us to an optimal allocation between American and Canadian
holdings.
Dynamic Fixed Income Allocation (NEW!) - Our recently implemented Dynamic
Fixed Income Allocation methodology, as described in our last newsletter, allows us to
(Continued from page 1)
(Continued on page 3)
Utility Sector
3. continuously measure the health of the equity market in relation to bonds and cash. When bonds achieve a RS score of 70%+, we lower
our equity allocation and get defensive. When this last occurred, in October 2014, we liquidated 30% of all client equity allocations and
moved into bonds, temporarily, to weather the storms. For a traditional balanced portfolio with 60% equity and 40% fixed income, we
quickly transitioned to 40% equity and 60% fixed income. If required, we would have continued to get more defensive.
RSQ Ranking (NEW!) - Our newly implemented RSQ ranking was designed to identify turning points. It combines Relative Strength,
as described above, with 3 additional shorter term measures designed to identify an unbalanced force, signaling the requirement for
reallocation of portfolio holdings. The RSQ Ranking was specifically designed to get us into new strong trends and out of new weak
trends quicker. “Trends” can be inferred to relate to individual stocks, stock sectors, stocks vs. bonds and currency allocation decisions.
Preemptive Inversion Defense (NEW!) - About 80% of the time, stocks with the
highest RS scores are the best daily performers. About 20% of the time, stocks with the worst RS
are the best performers. Periodically, there are periods lasting 1-2 weeks where the best
performing stocks are sold down and the worst performing stocks are bought up. We call this a
Relative Strength Inversion. During a period of inversion, the worst performing stocks are not
actually being bought. In a traditional sense, traders are typically covering short positions where
the have profited on the stocks decline. But the effect is the same. During an inversion, money is
coming out of stocks temporarily. Periods of inversion occur 2-4 time per year. Inversions
typically occur after extended stretches of very strong performance by the top Relative Strength
stocks. To preemptively defend our equity allocation from these periods of performance inversion, we have developed a methodology
whereby we “flatten out” our typically concentrated sector allocations after periods of statistically significant out-performance relative to the
overall market (benchmark). When we breach the upper threshold of relative performance, on a trailing 30 day basis, we take some profits
from our big winners and diversify out into quantitatively “buy” ranked stocks within sectors the portfolio is underrepresented in.
(Continued from page 2) Page 3
Oil Price Outlook & Economic Impact
Energy - Outlook
We see the break points for the price of oil as $50
and $60. It is critical to note that the energy sector
makes up a large portion of the TSX, so what hap-
pens in the Alberta economy has far reaching
affects on the rest of the country.
While these scenarios may have very different im-
pacts on our local economy, our Can-Am model
has the ability to adapt to all market circumstances
as they unfold, and invest in assets that thrive in
each particular market condition.
Price of Oil
2-4 Year
Probability
Impact Commentary
Below $50 25%
Canadian
Very Negative
Oil prices slide further and cause a number of
potential problems in Alberta. Capital expenditures
in this province will likely slow down or stop
completely, combined with a sharp downturn in
the real estate and job market.
American & World
Positive
Between $50
and $60
50%
Canadian
Slightly Negative
Continued uncertainty in the energy market,
companies likely remain in a holding pattern. This
would cause expenditures to slow but not stop all
together, with more gradual downturns in real
estate and employment.
American & World
Slightly positive
Above $60 25%
Canadian
Positive
A market showing resilience through this coming
period would be constructive for the province as a
whole. A rebound in prices could lead to fewer job
cuts and stabilization of the Alberta economy.
American & World
Neutral
Normal Day 80% Inversion Day 20%
Relative Daily Relative Daily
Strength Group Strength Group
Quintile Performance Quintile Performance
100% - 80% 0.51% 100% - 80% -0.21%
80% - 60% 0.33% 80% - 60% -0.03%
60% - 40% 0.15% 60% - 40% 0.15%
40% - 20% -0.03% 40% - 20% 0.33%
20% - 0% -0.21% 20% - 0% 0.51%
Summary
Investing is measured in very simple terms—what was the return achieved and what was the volatility incurred to achieve that return. Our
investment methodology turns the idea of “safe investing” on its ear. The traditional Canadian favorite sectors (Banks, Energy, Utilities) have
significantly lagged the overall market for many, many months. We have a number of new people coming in to learn about what we do that feel
that their portfolio is “defensive” because of their current investment professionals “words of wisdom.” This is often a cover up for poor
performance and a lack of investment management process. In our opinion, a stock itself cannot be described as “conservative”, only an
investment strategy as a whole. Portfolio management methodology (or lack thereof) is what determines risk. The traditional methodology of
“buying good companies and holding them for the long-term” results in large volatility and a coin toss as to what the long-term outcome will be.
We strongly believe that the employment of active, advanced methodologies to limit risk, preserve capital and foster predictable short and
long-term portfolio returns is paramount to achieve the objectives we have placed upon ourselves. We are continually refining our wealth
management disciplines as each day is a learning opportunity wasted if we do not. As each year passes and technology advances, traditional
inactive methods of portfolio “management” are becoming obsolete—if they are not already.
1 Month 6 Month 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year
Seed Financial Group
Diversified American Growth
5.53% 18.14% 38.76% 36.38% 32.49%
S&P500 Benchmark 4.38% 11.27% 28.56% 27.55% 27.36%
TSX Composite Index -1.22% 3.33% 5.80% 12.20% 12.58%
All performance shown in C$, net of management fees
Seed Financial Group—Diversified American Growth Our Diversified American Growth portfolio mandate has an exceptional
track record of providing strong returns with limited volatility. It
employs all of the strategies as our Can-Am mandate, except for
dynamic currency allocation. While our outlook for American equities
remains very favorable, there will come a time where Canadian
equities become more attractive. Our strategy is to convert the
Diversified American Growth portfolios to Can-Am portfolios at that
time, providing a single equity solution for all environments.