SlideShare a Scribd company logo
Michael Arone, CFA, Chief Investment Strategist for US Intermediary Business Group
David B. Mazza, Head of Research, SPDR ETFs and SSGA Funds
Matthew Bartolini, CFA, Research Strategist, SPDR ETFs and SSGA Funds
Jared Rowley, CFA, Research Strategist, SPDR ETFs and SSGA Funds
Key Points
•	In 2016, we expect continued low growth, subdued
inflation and generally accommodative monetary policy.
•	Risks are skewed to the downside as fragile markets could
quickly turn volatile on a single bad data point or negative
news event.
•	In equities, we favor areas of growth with macro-economic
tailwinds such as the Eurozone, Japan, and financial and
consumer related sectors in the US.
•	In fixed income, we favor taking a balanced approach with
a mix of interest rate and credit sensitive sectors such as
high yield and senior loans.
2016ETF&
INVESTMENT
OUTLOOK
State Street Global Advisors 22
2016 ETF and Investment Outlook
Key Takeaways
•	 Our base case for 2016 is that investors should be
prepared for more of the “low and slow” growth that
has characterized the global economy since the
financial crisis. That means in equities, we believe
investors should look for pockets of opportunities
and growth.
•	 Outside the US, tilting to the Eurozone and Japan
where the accommodative and pro-growth macro
currents provide the strongest tailwinds is ideal.
•	 For the US, a resilient consumer and a potential
Federal Reserve rate hike should continue to support
and fuel top and bottom line growth in consumer
related and financial sectors.
•	 In fixed income, still-low government bond yields
and the desire for protection from potentially rising
rates mean investors may have to explore more
credit- sensitive sectors including high yield, senior
loans and convertibles.
THEBIGPICTURE
Investing in a ‘Low and Slow’ Growth Environment
•	 In US equities, investors favored large-cap stocks
over small-cap names.
•	 In the style spectrum, investors paid up for growth
as consumer cyclicals, technology and health care led
the way, while some traditional value sectors such as
energy had a tough year.
•	 In international stocks, investors clearly preferred
developed markets as emerging economies continued
to struggle on China worries, weak commodity prices
and a strong US dollar.
•	 In fixed income, investors favored government bonds
over corporate credit, and within corporates they
favored investment grade over high yield, as concerns
over the impact of falling oil prices weighed on the
high yield market.
Figure 1: Comparison of Major Asset Classes’
2015 Performance
-12 -4-8
Large Cap vs. Small Cap
S&P 500 Index
Russell 2000 Index
Growth vs. Value
Russell 1000 Growth
Russell 1000 Value
Developed vs. Emerging
MSCI EAFE Index
MSCI EM Index
Gov’t vs. Corporate
US Treasuries
IG Corporate Bonds
Inv. Grade vs. High Yield
IG Corporate Bonds
High Yield
620 10
3.4
-1.5
-0.2
7.7
-10.1
0.7
0.9
-0.1
-0.1
-2.3
Performance (%)
Source: State Street Global Advisors, Bloomberg, as of November 24, 2015.
Indices representing each respective asset class are as follows – US Treasuries:
Barclays U.S. Treasury Index, IG Corporate Bonds: Barclays U.S. Corporate Investment
Grade Bond Index, High Yield: Barclays U.S. Corporate High Yield Bond Index.
Past performance is not a guarantee of future results.
The index returns are unmanaged and do not reflect the deduction of any fees
or expenses. The index returns reflect all items of income, gain and loss and the
reinvestment of dividends and other income.
What worked in 2015?
Looking at the relative performance of major asset classes
(see Figure 1), some clear trends emerge:
State Street Global Advisors 3State Street Global Advisors 3
2016 ETF and Investment Outlook
US Economy
There are many unknowns as we head into 2016, such as the
pace of potential Federal Reserve rate hikes, whether other
central banks will unleash more quantitative easing (QE) and
who will reside in the White House. However, there seems to
be broad consensus on two issues: global growth is slowing
and inflation remains subdued. US economic growth slowed to
2.1 percent in the third quarter after rising 3.9 percent in the
second quarter.1
Yet, there are still some reasons to be optimistic. The US
consumer has been incredibly resilient, while job growth and
the housing market are both trending in the right direction (see
Figure 2). The unemployment rate has fallen to 5 percent, its
lowest level since the financial crisis, with nonfarm payrolls
rising at an average of more than 200,000 a month in 2015.2
With these favorable conditions in place, it’s hard to argue
the US will slip into recession.
Fed Outlook
Our view is that the Fed most likely raises rates by 25 basis
points at the December 2015 meeting, which would be the
first hike in nearly a decade. After a likely lift-off in December,
we expect a series of four quarter-point rate hikes in 2016.
Rising rates may result in capital losses for investors in US
government bonds such as Treasuries, particularly in longer
duration debt. At the same time, the low level of absolute rates
makes credit-sensitive sectors more attractive.
Therefore, in fixed income, we favor sectors beyond traditional
bond benchmarks such as the Barclays U.S. Aggregate Bond
Index. We think investors should consider fixed income areas
that are more sensitive to credit conditions than to rising rates,
such as senior loans, convertible securities and high yield.
What could increase market
volatility in 2016?
•	 Further economic slowing and market dislocations
in China
•	 A major slowdown in US earnings growth at a time
when investors are questioning equity valuations
•	 US Presidential and Congressional elections
•	 Another debt flare-up in the Eurozone
•	 Escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East
Figure 2: Labor and Housing Markets are Improving
M (Full Time Employment) M (Home Sales)
— US Full Time Employment
— US New Home and Existing Home Sales
3
6
5
4
110
116
120
124
Dec
2007
20112009 2013 Dec
2015
Source: State Street Global Advisors, Bloomberg, as of November 9, 2015.
After a likely lift-off in December, we
expect a series of four quarter-point
rate hikes in 2016.
Setting the Scene for 2016
State Street Global Advisors 4
2016 ETF and Investment Outlook
Eurozone: Gaining Momentum
We think some of the best opportunities for developed
markets might be outside the US, and we like the Eurozone
in particular. We base our case for the Eurozone on continued
accommodative monetary policy, encouraging fundamental
growth trends and emerging stability in southern Europe.
Following a double-dip recession in 2012, the Eurozone has
gained traction and posted economic growth every quarter
since the third quarter of 2013 (see Figure 3).
Also, Europe is a large net importer of commodities—which
have fallen 21 percent in 20153
—and these lower input costs
should improve European corporate profits. Additionally,
the region’s exporters have benefitted from the euro’s
weakness, while other positives include a pick-up in
household consumption and retail sales. We project
Eurozone GDP full-year growth of 1.4 percent in 2015.
Looking ahead, we forecast 1.6 percent growth in 2016.
Emerging Markets: Focus on Quality
It was yet another disappointing year for developing markets
with the MSCI Emerging Markets Index down about 8.0
percent so far in 2015 and on track to underperform the US
for the third straight year.4
Yet, we don’t think investors should
give up on this notoriously volatile asset class. Instead, they
need to be selective and focus on quality, as decades of debt-
fueled growth have left many corporate balance sheets in poor
condition. Furthermore, emerging markets’ return on equity—a
key metric for assessing shareholder value—is now lower than
that of developed markets for the first time in 13 years.5
However, many emerging market countries have unveiled new
fiscal and economic reforms aimed at fostering sustainable
growth and boosting competitiveness. Therefore, a larger
emphasis on companies with strong corporate governance,
quality balance sheets and a high return on equity could
provide tailwinds for an emerging market allocation.
Emerging markets’ return on equity is
now lower than that of developed markets
for the first time in 13 years.
Figure 3: Eurozone Growth
42
44
46
48
50
52
54
56
-1.5
-1.0
-0.5
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
Dec
2012
Sep
2013
Jun
2014
Mar
2015
Sep
2015
 Eurozone YoY GDP Growth — Markit Eurozone Manufacturing PMI Index
GDP Growth (%) PMI Index Level
Source: State Street Global Advisors, Bloomberg, as of November 9, 2015.
We think some of the best opportunities for
developed markets might be outside the US,
and we like the Eurozone in particular.
State Street Global Advisors 5
Key Takeaways
Standing at $2.1 trillion with more than 1,800 funds,6
the US ETF industry is on track for another record-setting
year with about $196 billion of net inflows through the
end of November 2015.7
Big picture, investors favored
equity funds. 
In particular, currency hedged ETFs posted strong inflows in
2015 as investors in international developed equities looked
for protection against a rising US dollar (see Figure 4). We
also saw investors trying to time a bottom in the beleaguered
energy sector and herding behavior in high yield ETFs with
investors moving in and out of this category based on market
and credit conditions.
As for more nuanced flow trends, in US sectors, while there was
bargain hunting in the beaten-down energy sector, investors
paid up for growth and performance in health care (see Figure
5). Also, investors avoided rate-sensitive sectors, including
utilities and financials, although we did see the financial
sector attract a significant $4 billion over the last six months
of the year due to increased expectations for a Fed rate hike.8
Finally, in fixed income, investors favored core aggregate
funds and government debt, followed by investment-grade
and high yield corporate bonds (see Figure 6). For the most
part, investors didn’t venture too far outside their comfort
zone in fixed income ETFs, sticking to sectors in the Barclays
U.S. Aggregate Bond Index rather than more non-traditional
sectors such as senior loans and convertibles.
WHATTHEFLOWSARETELLINGUS
2016 ETF and Investment Outlook
Figure 4: Equity Fund Flows by Region
n Currency Hedged
n Int’l–Region
n US
n Int’l–Single Country
n Int’l–Broad
n Global
Billions ($)
0
30
60
90
120
150
1
46.7
34.4
27.4
12.4
8.3
4.8
Source: State Street Global Advisors, Bloomberg, as of November 24, 2015.
Figure 5: US Equity Sector Fund Flows
n Industrials
n Utilities
n Consumer Staples
n Telecom
n Health Care
n Energy
n Consumer Discretionary
n Technology
n Materials
Billions ($)
0
15
-10
25
1
-3.8
-2.9
7.5
3.4
7.755
Source: State Street Global Advisors, Bloomberg, as of November 24, 2015.
While there was bargain hunting in the
beaten-down energy sector, investors
paid up for growth and performance in
health care.
State Street Global Advisors 6
2016 ETF and Investment Outlook
Bottom Fishing in Energy
Although energy ETFs attracted the second-highest flows after
the white-hot health care sector, it was a tough year for the
energy sector in terms of performance, with the S&P Energy
Select Sector Index down 20 percent for the 12 months ending
in October.9
Focusing on the largest energy sector ETF, the
Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLE), we see that the flows
this year reflect actual buying of the ETF, rather than short
positioning (see Figure 7). This suggests that investors are
indeed positioning for a bottom in the energy sector.
Currency Hedged ETFs:
Separating the Signal from the Noise
While currency hedged ETFs amassed nearly $47 billion
through the first 11 months of the year for a more than 200
percent increase from year-end 2014, about 75 percent of these
assets came into the funds in the first four months of the year,
with over $11 billion in March alone.10
In the same four-month
span, the US dollar strengthened 5 percent, nearly half of its
entire 2015 appreciation. So while total asset flows are
significant, the trend into the currency hedged space was the
strongest in the first quarter when the European Central Bank
(ECB) moved the currency markets with the implementation
of its QE program of buying 60 billion euros of bonds a month.
With the Fed on track to raise rates and the ECB hinting at
further stimulus, this trend may come back into fashion.
High Yield Herding
With $4 billion of high yield ETF fund flows this year (see
Figure 6), the speculative grade bond segment is poised
to finish 2015 in the black, unless there is a major shift in
sentiment. Of course, if the past is any prelude, this could
indeed occur.
As of the end of September, the category actually had
year-to-date outflows of close to $250 million as high
yield credit spreads widened 151 basis points over their
five-year average. However, since the end of September,
nearly $5 billion has rushed into the high yield category
as spreads tightened 83 basis points.11
Figure 7: Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLE)
Flows vs. Short Interest
Fund Flows ($B) Short Interest Ratio (%)
40
June
2014
Oct
2014
Feb
2015
Jun
2015
Oct
2015
20
30
50
10
60
0
2
4
6
-2
8
 XLE Fund Flow Accumulation
— XLE Short Interest over Shares Outstanding Ratio
Source: State Street Global Advisors, Bloomberg, as of November 9, 2015.
Figure 6: Fixed Income Sector Flows
n Aggregate
n Government
n IG Corp
n Preferred
n High Yield Corp
n Municipals
n Inflation Protected
Billions ($)
0
30
60
n Mortgage-Backed
n Asset-Backed
n Convertible
15
45
11.3
20.3
11.0
4.5
4.0
Source: State Street Global Advisors, Bloomberg, as of November 24, 2015.
State Street Global Advisors 7
ETFIMPLEMENTATIONIDEAS
2016 ETF and Investment Outlook
Key Takeaways
Our base case is that investors should be prepared for a
challenging “low and slow” scenario for global growth. We
don’t think the growth story is over or that a bear market
is imminent, but investors may need to be more selective.
Rather than buy the equities market with broad exposures,
investors could target specific regions, sectors and
industries. In fixed income, we favor the more credit-
sensitive areas of the bond markets for yield and some
potential rising rate protection.
Equities: Go Where the Growth Is
In the US, we favor sector and industry investing to take
advantage of fundamental trends in the economy and macro
environment, such as earnings momentum and rising rates.
Financial stocks and related banking sub-industries including
regional banks have historically benefited from rising rates and
a strengthening economy. The early part of the tightening cycle
is especially constructive, as higher rates create more room for
banks to increase the margins on their loans without stifling
demand. Also, banks are generally more willing to lend against
a backdrop of improving economic conditions. So, to the degree
the Fed’s moves reflect its confidence in the economy, we’d
expect lending activity to respond in kind.
Implementation Idea
KRE SPDR® S&P® Regional Banking ETF
As the economy continues to gain steam and consumer
confidence trends higher, investors should consider the
consumer discretionary sector to add an element of growth
in a slow growth macro-driven world. Consumer discretionary
firms should benefit from this increased spending and
confidence as lower energy costs and a decline in import
prices translate into fatter wallets for consumers.
Earnings estimates reflect this macro oriented growth
backdrop, as discretionary is projected to have the highest
growth rate of any sector in 2016.12
Additionally, we believe homebuilders and the more
discretionary housing related industries are attractive
due to an improving employment picture and increasing
household spending. With home sales reaching levels
not seen since 2007 and homebuilder sentiment at decade
long highs, this theme of a stronger housing market should
continue to be well supported.13
Implementation Idea
XHB SPDR® S&P® Homebuilders ETF
Investors looking to further overweight market segments
with potentially higher earnings and revenue growth should
consider the health care and technology sectors. In the third
quarter, these two segments registered healthy upside earnings
revisions, with over 80 percent of firms beating estimates.14
We
feel future top and bottom line growth has the potential to be
fueled by the desire of US consumers and businesses to restrict
additional marginal spending to “must have” items.
Implementation Ideas
XLK Technology Select Sector SPDR® Fund
XLV Health Care Select Sector SPDR® Fund
In terms of equity regions, we think the Eurozone is attractive
due to continued ECB stimulus, downward pressure on the
euro, improving lending conditions and investors looking
for yield in equities due to extremely low or even negative
bond yields. In particular, a depreciating euro versus the
US dollar is supportive for the Eurozone as constituents
in the EURO STOXX 50® Index derive 60 percent or more
of their sales overseas.15
Implementation Idea
FEZ SPDR® EURO STOXX 50® ETF
We don’t think the growth story is over or that
a bear market is imminent, but investors may
need to be more selective.
State Street Global Advisors 8
2016 ETF and Investment Outlook
Looking to Japan, the Bank of Japan’s commitment to
increasing inflation and fueling growth remains one of the
arrows in the quiver of “Abenomics.” A second arrow is a focus
on creating shareholder value. Prime Minister Shinzo Abe’s
paramount emphasis on shareholder returns and improving
corporate performance has made return on equity a focus of
Japanese firms. Screening for these companies, which also
do not trade at expensive multiples, is one way to access the
growth engine of Japan.
Implementation Idea
QJPN SPDR® MSCI Japan Quality Mix ETF
Despite the underperformance of emerging markets in recent
years, we still think this asset class warrants an allocation. As
discussed earlier, the tide appears to be turning for emerging
markets in terms of reform. Many nations are enacting rules
and reforms that are aimed at improving corporate governance,
with a focus on increasing the quality of balance sheets and
other growth measures to support their economies. A smart
beta approach focused on companies with these pre-existing
traits may lower the volatility of investing in emerging
markets, and provide a compelling alternative to a market
cap-weighted portfolio.
Implementation Idea
QEMM SPDR® MSCI Emerging Markets Quality Mix ETF
Fixed Income: Navigate Rising Rates
and Still-Low Yields
We believe today’s diversified fixed income portfolio requires
more than a simple mix of US Treasuries, corporate debt and
high-quality structured credit. Meanwhile, predicting the path
of interest rates has proven to be an extremely difficult, if not
impossible, task for investors. Therefore, an active core fixed
income strategy with experienced managers may play a critical
role in a portfolio by seeking to provide stability, diversification
and income.
Investors seeking an actively managed core solution for their
fixed income portfolio can consider SPDR® DoubleLine® Total
Return Tactical ETF (TOTL). This active ETF mixes traditional
interest rate-sensitive sectors with non-traditional sectors in
seeking to maximize total return over a full market cycle.
These more credit-sensitive sectors include non-agency
mortgage-backed securities, high yield and emerging market
bonds, bank loans and collateralized loan obligations. With
TOTL, investors can rely on DoubleLine Capital’s expertise
to navigate rising rates by allocating across multiple bond
subsectors and applying individual security selection to
potentially deliver alpha.
Implementation Idea
TOTL SPDR® DoubleLine® Total Return Tactical ETF
For investors seeking additional income at low levels of
duration, and who are able to withstand a higher level of
credit risk, senior loans may be an attractive choice. By
further diversifying portfolios away from more traditional,
rate-sensitive sectors, investors can construct flexible and
customized portfolios for a rising rate environment still
characterized by low yields. For a senior loan allocation,
we prefer an active management approach to exploit
potential market inefficiencies through security selection.
Implementation Idea
SRLN SPDR® Blackstone / GSO Senior Loan ETF
By further diversifying away from more
traditional, rate-sensitive sectors, investors
can construct flexible and customized
portfolios for a rising rate environment.
State Street Global Advisors 9
2016 ETF and Investment Outlook
High-yield corporate bonds are another area that investors can
explore for income outside investment-grade bonds. High yield
bonds can be a fixed income portfolio diversifier due to their
relatively low correlation to the Barclays U.S. Aggregate Bond
Index. High yield bonds could potentially provide an attractive
balance of rising rate protection and yield, although there is no
free lunch as these exposures do contain an elevated level of
credit risk.
Implementation Idea
JNK SPDR® Barclays High Yield Bond ETF
We also like convertible securities as potential additions to
fixed income portfolios for their diversification benefits and
other characteristics. Based on the profile of convertible
security issuers, which tends to lean toward more growth
oriented sectors such as technology and consumer
discretionary, a convertible allocation features a cyclical
growth equity component with a bond floor that’s useful if
the issuer’s prospects go south. This profile typically lends
itself well to a rising rate environment that is driven by
economic improvements, such as strong labor growth and
robust domestic demand. In fact, convertible securities have
had strong positive relative returns during previous periods
of increasing rates.16
Implementation Idea
CWB SPDR® Barclays Convertible Securities ETF
1	
U.S. Department of Commerce, as of November 24, 2015, third quarter 2015
GDP is “second” estimate.
2	
Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, as of November 6, 2015.
3	
Bloomberg Commodity Index as of November 12, 2015.
4	
Bloomberg, as of November 4, 2015. US equity market performance based on
S&P 500 Index.
5	
Based on the MSCI World Index and the MSCI Emerging Markets Index. Source:
Bloomberg, as of October 30, 2015.
6	
Bloomberg, as of November 24, 2015.
7	
Bloomberg, State Street Global Advisors, as of November 24, 2015.
8	
Bloomberg, State Street Global Advisors, as of November 24, 2015.
9	
S&P Dow Jones Indices, data as of October 30, 2015.
10	
Bloomberg, State Street Global Advisors, as of October 30, 2015.
11	
Bloomberg, State Street Global Advisors, as of November 10, 2015.
12	
FactSet, State Street Global Advisors, as of November 13, 2015.
13	
Home Sales as measured by US New One Family Houses and US Existing Home
Sales, as of September 15, 2015, per US Census Bureau. Homebuilder sentiment
as measured by National Association of Home Builders/Wells Fargo Index, as of
September 16, 2015.
14	
Bloomberg, as of November 12, 2015.
15	
Bloomberg, State Street Global Advisors, as of October 30, 2015.
16	
FactSet, as of July 31, 2015. Barclays Convertibles Bond > 500M Face Index
average monthly return during periods of increasing interest rates since 2004
(last time Fed raised rates) is 1.71%, Barclays U.S. Aggregate Bond Index -1.58%
per FactSet.
Implementation Ideas
US Sectors and Industries
KRE	 SPDR® S&P® Regional Banking ETF
XHB	SPDR® S&P® Homebuilders ETF
XLV	 Health Care Select Sector SPDR® Fund
XLK	 Technology Select Sector SPDR® Fund
International Equities
FEZ SPDR® EURO STOXX 50® ETF
QEMM SPDR® MSCI Emerging Markets Quality Mix ETF
QJPN SPDR® MSCI Japan Quality Mix ETF
Fixed Income
TOTL	 SPDR® DoubleLine® Total Return Tactical ETF
SRLN	 SPDR® Blackstone / GSO Senior Loan ETF
JNK	 SPDR® Barclays High Yield Bond ETF
CWB	 SPDR® Barclays Convertible Securities ETF
State Street Global Advisors 10
2016 ETF and Investment Outlook
DEFINITIONS
Abenomics
Refers to the economic policies advocated by Shinzō Abe since
the December 2012 general election, which elected Abe to his
second term as prime minister of Japan. Abenomics is based
upon “three arrows” of fiscal stimulus, monetary easing and
structural reforms.
Barclays U.S. Aggregate Bond Index
A commonly used benchmark for determining the relative
performance of bond or fixed income portfolios. The index
includes Treasury, Government agency bonds, Mortgage-
backed bonds, corporate bonds and a small amount of foreign
bonds traded in the US.
Bank Loans
Bank loans, or leveraged loans, are syndicated loans made to
less-than-investment-grade companies, generally rated below
BBB-/Baa3. Their below-investment-grade ratings make them
similar to high-yield bonds. The vast majority of loans trading
in the secondary market are “leveraged,” senior secured,
fully-funded term loans.
Basis Point
One hundredth of one percent, or 0.01%.
Convertible Bonds
Hybrid securities that combine elements of stocks and bonds.
Convertible bonds pay a periodic fixed amount as a coupon
payment, and convertible bond covenants specify the price at
which they can be converted into common stock.
Correlation
The historical tendency of two investments to move together.
Investors often combine investments with low correlations
to diversify portfolios.
Credit Spreads
The spread between Treasury securities and non-Treasury
securities that are identical in all respects except for
quality rating.
Currency Hedged Funds
An investment fund with a financial contract that allows the
fund’s currency exposure to be hedged from fluctuations of
foreign currencies.
Diversification
A strategy of combining a broad mix of investments and asset
classes to potentially limit risk, although diversification does
not guarantee protection from a loss in falling markets.
Double-Dip Recession
A double-dip recession refers to a recession, followed by
short recovery, followed by another recession. Specifically,
a double-dip recession refers to gross domestic product (GDP)
growth sliding back to negative after a quarter or two of
positive growth.
Duration
A commonly used measure, expressed in years, that measures
the sensitivity of the price of a bond or a fixed-income portfolio
to changes in interest rates.
Earnings
The amount of profit that a company produces during a
specific period, which is usually defined as a quarter (three
calendar months) or a year. Earnings typically refer to after-
tax net income.
Earnings Per Share (EPS)
A profitability measure that is calculated by dividing a
company’s net income by the number of shares outstanding.
Euro STOXX 50 Index
A blue-chip index for the Eurozone, providing a representation
of super-sector leaders in the Eurozone. The index covers 50
stocks from 12 Eurozone countries.
Exchange Traded Fund (ETF)
An ETF is an open-ended fund that provides exposure to an
underlying investment, usually an index. Like an individual
stock, an ETF trades on an exchange throughout the day.
Floating-Rate Exposures
A debt instrument with a variable interest rate. Also known
as a “floater,” a floating-rate note’s interest rate is tied to a
benchmark such as the US Treasury bill rate, LIBOR, or the
Fed funds or prime rate. Floaters are mainly issued by financial
institutions and governments, and they typically have a two-
to five-year term to maturity.
State Street Global Advisors 11
2016 ETF and Investment Outlook
Gross Domestic Product (GDP)
The monetary value of all the finished goods and services
produced within a country’s borders in a specific time period.
High Yield Corporate Bonds
Corporate debt with generally lower credit ratings and higher
yields than investment-grade corporate bonds.
Inflation
Rising prices for goods and services that erodes consumers’
purchasing power.
M&A Activity
Mergers and acquisitions. Industries that are experiencing
M&A can see rising stock profits in smaller companies that
are acquisition targets.
Macro Trends
Overarching economic forces on financial markets such
as the movement of interest rates, inflation and changes
in employment.
Monetary Policy
The actions of a central bank, currency board or other
regulatory committee that determine the size and rate
of growth of the money supply, which in turn affects
interest rates.
MSCI Emerging Markets Index
A benchmark that captures large- and mid-cap representation
across 23 emerging markets countries. With 834 constituents,
the index covers approximately 85% of the free float-adjusted
market capitalization in each country.
Non-Agency Mortgage-Backed
Securities, or MBS
Groups of mortgage loans that are repackaged and sold to
investors who earn their collective income streams. Non-
agency MBS are repacked not by government agencies such
as Fannie Mae or Freddie Mac, but by private financial
institutions, such as banks.
Nonfarm Payrolls
The monthly data series produced by the US Department
of Labor measuring the amount of jobs added outside of the
agricultural sector. It is widely considered to be the single
most important data series for investors to gauge the health
of the economy and markets.
Price-to-Earnings Multiples, or P/E Ratio
A valuation metric that uses the ratio of the company’s current
stock price versus its earnings per share.
Profit Margins
Expressed as a percentage and, in effect, measures how
much out of every dollar of sales a company actually keeps
in earnings.
Quantitative Easing (QE)
An extraordinary monetary policy measure in which a central
bank buys government fixed-income securities to lower interest
rates, encourage borrowing and stimulate economic activity.
Recession
A contraction in economic activity lasting longer than a
few months.
S&P 500 Index
A benchmark composed of five hundred (500) selected stocks,
all of which are listed on national stock exchanges and spanning
more than 25 separate industry groups.
S&P Energy Select Sector Index
The Energy Select Sector Index is a benchmark of the GICS
energy sector companies from the following industries: oil,
gas & consumable fuels and energy equipment and services.
Sector Investing
Investing into one or more sectors of the economy such
as financials, energy or health care.
Senior Loans
Floating-rate debt issued by corporations and backed by
collateral such as real estate or other assets.
Styles
The investment approach or objectives used to make choices
in the selection of securities for a portfolio, with the most
common being value and growth for equities.
US Treasury Bonds
Debt obligations of the US government that pay an interest rate
to the owner.
Volatility
The tendency of a market index or security to jump around
in price. In modern portfolio theory, securities with higher
volatility are generally seen as riskier due to greater
potential for losses.
Yield
The income produced by an investment, typically calculated as
the interest received annually divided by the investment’s price.
State Street Global Advisors
ssga.com | spdrs.com
For public use.
State Street Global Advisors One Lincoln Street, Boston, MA 02111-2900.
T: +1 866.787.2257.
Important Risk Information
The views expressed in this material are the views of the SPDR ETFs and SSGA
Funds Research Team through the period ended November 18, 2015 and are subject
to change based on market and other conditions. This document contains certain
statements that may be deemed forward-looking statements. Please note that any
such statements are not guarantees of any future performance and actual results or
developments may differ materially from those projected.
ETFs trade like stocks, are subject to investment risk, fluctuate in market value and
may trade at prices above or below the ETFs net asset value. Brokerage commissions
and ETF expenses will reduce returns.
Frequent trading of ETFs could significantly increase commissions and other costs
such that they may offset any savings from low fees or costs.
Hedging involves taking offsetting positions intended to reduce the volatility of
an asset. If the hedging position behaves differently than expected, the volatility
of the strategy as a whole may increase and even exceed the volatility of the
asset being hedged.
Passively managed funds invest by sampling the index, holding a range of securities
that, in the aggregate, approximates the full Index in terms of key risk factors and
other characteristics. This may cause the fund to experience tracking errors relative
to performance of the index.
Counterparty risk to a derivative or other transaction is a risk based on whether each
party will be able or unable to honor its contractual obligations. If a party does not
meet its obligations, the Fund will be subject to losses or unable to realize gains.
Risks associated with equity investing include stock values which may fluctuate
in response to the activities of individual companies and general market and
economic conditions.
Concentrated investments in a particular industry may be more vulnerable to adverse
changes in that industry or the market as a whole.
A “value” style of investing emphasizes undervalued companies with characteristics
for improved valuations. This style of investing is subject to the risk that the
valuations never improve or that the returns on “value” equity securities are less than
returns on other styles of investing or the overall stock market.
Although subject to the risks of common stocks, low volatility stocks are seen as
having a lower risk profile than the overall markets. However, a fund that invests in
low volatility stocks may not produce investment exposure that has lower variability
to changes in such stocks’ price levels.
A “quality” style of investing emphasizes companies with high returns, stable
earnings, and low financial leverage. This style of investing is subject to the risk that
the past performance of these companies does not continue or that the returns on
“quality” equity securities are less than returns on other styles of investing or the
overall stock market.
Foreign investments involve greater risks than US investments, including political and
economic risks and the risk of currency fluctuations, all of which may be magnified in
emerging markets. Foreign investments involve greater risks than US investments,
including political and economic risks and the risk of currency fluctuations, all of
which may be magnified in emerging markets.
Securities with floating or variable interest rates may decline in value if their coupon
rates do not keep pace with comparable market interest rates. Narrowly focused
investments typically exhibit higher volatility and are subject to greater geographic or
asset class risk. The Fund is subject to credit risk, which refers to the possibility that
the debt issuers will not be able to make principal and interest payments.
The values of debt securities may decrease as a result of many factors, including,
by way of example, general market fluctuations; increases in interest rates; actual
or perceived inability or unwillingness of issuers, guarantors or liquidity providers to
make scheduled principal or interest payments; illiquidity in debt securities markets;
and prepayments of principal, which often must be reinvested in obligations paying
interest at lower rates.
Increase in real interest rates can cause the price of inflation-protected debt
securities to decrease. Interest payments on inflation-protected debt securities can
be unpredictable.
Investments in asset backed and mortgage backed securities are subject to
prepayment risk which can limit the potential for gain during a declining interest rate
environment and increases the potential for loss in a rising interest rate environment.
Government bonds and corporate bonds generally have more moderate short-term
price fluctuations than stocks, but provide lower potential long-term returns.
Select Sector SPDR Funds bear a higher level of risk than more broadly
diversified funds.
Derivative investments may involve risks such as potential illiquidity of the markets
and additional risk of loss of principal.
Non-diversified funds that focus on a relatively small number of securities tend to
be more volatile than diversified funds and the market as a whole.
Investments in small/mid-sized companies may involve greater risks than in those
of larger, better known companies.
Companies with large market capitalizations go in and out of favor based on
market and economic conditions. Larger companies tend to be less volatile than
companies with smaller market capitalizations. In exchange for this potentially
lower risk, the value of the security may not rise as much as companies with
smaller market capitalizations.
Bonds generally present less short-term risk and volatility than stocks, but contain
interest rate risk (as interest rates rise, bond prices usually fall); issuer default
risk; issuer credit risk; liquidity risk; and inflation risk. These effects are usually
pronounced for longer-term securities. Any fixed income security sold or redeemed
prior to maturity may be subject to a substantial gain or loss.
Investments in Senior Loans are subject to credit risk and general investment risk.
Credit risk refers to the possibility that the borrower of a Senior Loan will be unable
and/or unwilling to make timely interest payments and/or repay the principal on its
obligation. Default in the payment of interest or principal on a Senior Loan will result
in a reduction in the value of the Senior Loan and consequently a reduction in the
value of the Portfolio’s investments and a potential decrease in the net asset value
(“NAV”) of the Portfolio.
Investing in commodities entail significant risk and is not appropriate for all
investors. Commodities investing entail significant risk as commodity prices can be
extremely volatile due to wide range of factors. A few such factors include overall
market movements, real or perceived inflationary trends, commodity index volatility,
international, economic and political changes, change in interest and currency
exchange rates.
12
2016 ETF and Investment Outlook
State Street Global Advisors
Investing in high yield securities, otherwise known as “junk bonds”, is considered
speculative and involves greater risk of loss of principal and interest than investing in
investment grade fixed income securities. These lower-quality debt securities involve
greater risk of default or price changes due to potential changes in the credit quality
of the issuer.
Actively managed funds do not seek to replicate the performance of a specified
index. An actively managed fund may underperform its benchmark. An investment
in the fund is not appropriate for all investors and is not intended to be a complete
investment program. Investing in the fund involves risks, including the risk that
investors may receive little or no return on the investment or that investors may lose
part or even all of the investment.
These investments may have difficulty in liquidating an investment position without
taking a significant discount from current market value, which can be a significant
problem with certain lightly traded securities.
Standard & Poor’s®
, S&P®
and SPDR®
are registered trademarks of Standard &
Poor’s Financial Services LLC (S&P); Dow Jones is a registered trademark of Dow
Jones Trademark Holdings LLC (Dow Jones); and these trademarks have been
licensed for use by S&P Dow Jones Indices LLC (SPDJI) and sublicensed for certain
purposes by State Street Corporation. State Street Corporation’s financial products
are not sponsored, endorsed, sold or promoted by SPDJI, Dow Jones, S&P, their
respective affiliates and third party licensors and none of such parties make any
representation regarding the advisability of investing in such product(s) nor do
they have any liability in relation thereto, including for any errors, omissions, or
interruptions of any index.
Barclays®
is a trademark of Barclays, Inc. and has been licensed for use in connection
with the listing and trading of the SPDR Barclays ETFs. SPDR Barclays ETFs are not
sponsored by, endorsed, sold or promoted by Barclays, Inc. and Barclays makes no
representation regarding the advisability of investing in them.
Distributor: State Street Global Markets, LLC, member FINRA, SIPC, a wholly owned
subsidiary of State Street Corporation. References to State Street may include
State Street Corporation and its affiliates. Certain State Street affiliates provide
services and receive fees from the SPDR ETFs. ALPS Distributors, Inc., a registered
broker-dealer, is distributor for SPDR®
S&P®
500, SPDR®
S&P®
MidCap 400 and
SPDR®
Dow Jones Industrial Average, and all unit investment trusts. ALPS Portfolio
Solutions Distributor, Inc. is distributor for Select Sector SPDRs. ALPS Distributors,
Inc. and ALPS Portfolio Solutions Distributor, Inc. are not affiliated with State Street
Global Markets, LLC.
Distributor: State Street Global Markets, LLC is the distributor for all registered
products on behalf of the advisor. SSGA Funds Management has retained GSO
Capital Partners, & DoubleLine Capital LP as the sub-advisor.
DoubleLine®
is a registered trademark of DoubleLine Capital LP.
Before investing, consider the funds’ investment objectives,
risks, charges and expenses. To obtain a prospectus or summary
prospectus which contains this and other information, call
866.787.2257 or visit spdrs.com
Not FDIC Insured • No Bank Guarantee • May LoseValue
© 2015 State Street Corporation. All Rights Reserved.
ID5628-IBG-17606 1215 Exp. Date: 12/31/2016 IBG.EIO.1115 SSL000643
2016 ETF and Investment Outlook

More Related Content

What's hot

Newsletter 05192016 Final Volume 2 Issue 4
Newsletter 05192016 Final Volume 2 Issue 4Newsletter 05192016 Final Volume 2 Issue 4
Newsletter 05192016 Final Volume 2 Issue 4Jonathan M. Lamb
 
2015 review economy & market
2015 review   economy & market2015 review   economy & market
2015 review economy & market
melanig123
 
Market Review - 2nd Quarter 2015
Market Review - 2nd Quarter 2015Market Review - 2nd Quarter 2015
Market Review - 2nd Quarter 2015
melanig123
 
2014 in review
2014 in review2014 in review
Schwab Market Outlook 2016
Schwab Market Outlook 2016Schwab Market Outlook 2016
Schwab Market Outlook 2016
Marvin Clark
 
4 q15 investment commentary
4 q15 investment commentary4 q15 investment commentary
4 q15 investment commentary
melanig123
 
The Gemini Economy
The Gemini EconomyThe Gemini Economy
The Gemini Economy
Tarek Fadlallah
 
Finlight Research - Market Perspectives - Feb 2016
Finlight Research - Market Perspectives - Feb 2016Finlight Research - Market Perspectives - Feb 2016
Finlight Research - Market Perspectives - Feb 2016
FinLight Research
 
Investing for Doctors | Q3 Market Review
Investing for Doctors | Q3 Market ReviewInvesting for Doctors | Q3 Market Review
Investing for Doctors | Q3 Market Review
LFGmarketing
 
Finlight Research - Market Perspectives - May 2016
Finlight Research - Market Perspectives - May 2016Finlight Research - Market Perspectives - May 2016
Finlight Research - Market Perspectives - May 2016
FinLight Research
 
2016 Outlook
2016 Outlook2016 Outlook
New Market Highs and Positive Expected Returns
New Market Highs and Positive Expected ReturnsNew Market Highs and Positive Expected Returns
New Market Highs and Positive Expected Returns
Rich Schuette
 
New Market Highs and Positive Expected Returns
New Market Highs and Positive Expected ReturnsNew Market Highs and Positive Expected Returns
New Market Highs and Positive Expected Returns
Kenneth Baer, CFP®
 
The Advisory_Sept2016
The Advisory_Sept2016The Advisory_Sept2016
The Advisory_Sept2016Jim Tyson
 
Second Quarter in Review
Second Quarter in ReviewSecond Quarter in Review
Second Quarter in Review
Kenneth Baer, CFP®
 

What's hot (19)

Newsletter 05192016 Final Volume 2 Issue 4
Newsletter 05192016 Final Volume 2 Issue 4Newsletter 05192016 Final Volume 2 Issue 4
Newsletter 05192016 Final Volume 2 Issue 4
 
2015 review economy & market
2015 review   economy & market2015 review   economy & market
2015 review economy & market
 
Market Review - 2nd Quarter 2015
Market Review - 2nd Quarter 2015Market Review - 2nd Quarter 2015
Market Review - 2nd Quarter 2015
 
2014 in review
2014 in review2014 in review
2014 in review
 
Quarterly
QuarterlyQuarterly
Quarterly
 
2016 outlook
2016 outlook2016 outlook
2016 outlook
 
Schwab Market Outlook 2016
Schwab Market Outlook 2016Schwab Market Outlook 2016
Schwab Market Outlook 2016
 
4 q15 investment commentary
4 q15 investment commentary4 q15 investment commentary
4 q15 investment commentary
 
The Gemini Economy
The Gemini EconomyThe Gemini Economy
The Gemini Economy
 
Q3 Investment Review
Q3 Investment ReviewQ3 Investment Review
Q3 Investment Review
 
Finlight Research - Market Perspectives - Feb 2016
Finlight Research - Market Perspectives - Feb 2016Finlight Research - Market Perspectives - Feb 2016
Finlight Research - Market Perspectives - Feb 2016
 
Investing for Doctors | Q3 Market Review
Investing for Doctors | Q3 Market ReviewInvesting for Doctors | Q3 Market Review
Investing for Doctors | Q3 Market Review
 
Finlight Research - Market Perspectives - May 2016
Finlight Research - Market Perspectives - May 2016Finlight Research - Market Perspectives - May 2016
Finlight Research - Market Perspectives - May 2016
 
2016 Outlook
2016 Outlook2016 Outlook
2016 Outlook
 
New Market Highs and Positive Expected Returns
New Market Highs and Positive Expected ReturnsNew Market Highs and Positive Expected Returns
New Market Highs and Positive Expected Returns
 
New Market Highs and Positive Expected Returns
New Market Highs and Positive Expected ReturnsNew Market Highs and Positive Expected Returns
New Market Highs and Positive Expected Returns
 
The Advisory_Sept2016
The Advisory_Sept2016The Advisory_Sept2016
The Advisory_Sept2016
 
Second Quarter in Review
Second Quarter in ReviewSecond Quarter in Review
Second Quarter in Review
 
TAP QuarterlyLetter 201603
TAP QuarterlyLetter 201603TAP QuarterlyLetter 201603
TAP QuarterlyLetter 201603
 

Viewers also liked

Creating graphs in excel
Creating graphs in excelCreating graphs in excel
Creating graphs in excel
clynnc
 
Motraclinde materials handling World 2016 frankfurt
Motraclinde materials handling World  2016 frankfurtMotraclinde materials handling World  2016 frankfurt
Motraclinde materials handling World 2016 frankfurt
Vincent Everts
 
Práctica excel filtros, encabezado
Práctica excel   filtros, encabezadoPráctica excel   filtros, encabezado
Práctica excel filtros, encabezado
JACIERCAS
 
ACES Office of Research Int. presentation
ACES Office of Research Int. presentationACES Office of Research Int. presentation
ACES Office of Research Int. presentationMeghana Srinivasan
 
《网易网站及相关产品设计规范》杨烽亮
《网易网站及相关产品设计规范》杨烽亮《网易网站及相关产品设计规范》杨烽亮
《网易网站及相关产品设计规范》杨烽亮
top idea
 
Características Pc
Características PcCaracterísticas Pc
Características Pc
JonatanTd
 
Atención a la diversidad
Atención a la diversidadAtención a la diversidad
Atención a la diversidad
Anela Mendoza
 
Lopez marco ..... vision
Lopez marco ..... visionLopez marco ..... vision
Lopez marco ..... vision
Marco Lopez
 
4th grade daily schedule
4th grade daily schedule4th grade daily schedule
4th grade daily schedulenawrota
 
Descripcions ninots
Descripcions ninotsDescripcions ninots
Descripcions ninots
Anni Melià Pascual
 
Demonetization: A Welcome or a Worry
Demonetization: A Welcome or a WorryDemonetization: A Welcome or a Worry
Demonetization: A Welcome or a Worry
Mehul Shah
 
Khu biệt thự biển - Orchard villas resort - Phan Thiết
Khu biệt thự biển - Orchard villas resort - Phan ThiếtKhu biệt thự biển - Orchard villas resort - Phan Thiết
Khu biệt thự biển - Orchard villas resort - Phan Thiết
Cody Trọng
 
Flexible Packaging online DIY 好In網529 Inprint123
Flexible Packaging online DIY 好In網529 Inprint123 Flexible Packaging online DIY 好In網529 Inprint123
Flexible Packaging online DIY 好In網529 Inprint123 Donna Chiang
 

Viewers also liked (14)

Creating graphs in excel
Creating graphs in excelCreating graphs in excel
Creating graphs in excel
 
Motraclinde materials handling World 2016 frankfurt
Motraclinde materials handling World  2016 frankfurtMotraclinde materials handling World  2016 frankfurt
Motraclinde materials handling World 2016 frankfurt
 
Práctica excel filtros, encabezado
Práctica excel   filtros, encabezadoPráctica excel   filtros, encabezado
Práctica excel filtros, encabezado
 
ACES Office of Research Int. presentation
ACES Office of Research Int. presentationACES Office of Research Int. presentation
ACES Office of Research Int. presentation
 
《网易网站及相关产品设计规范》杨烽亮
《网易网站及相关产品设计规范》杨烽亮《网易网站及相关产品设计规范》杨烽亮
《网易网站及相关产品设计规范》杨烽亮
 
Características Pc
Características PcCaracterísticas Pc
Características Pc
 
alpamayura
alpamayuraalpamayura
alpamayura
 
Atención a la diversidad
Atención a la diversidadAtención a la diversidad
Atención a la diversidad
 
Lopez marco ..... vision
Lopez marco ..... visionLopez marco ..... vision
Lopez marco ..... vision
 
4th grade daily schedule
4th grade daily schedule4th grade daily schedule
4th grade daily schedule
 
Descripcions ninots
Descripcions ninotsDescripcions ninots
Descripcions ninots
 
Demonetization: A Welcome or a Worry
Demonetization: A Welcome or a WorryDemonetization: A Welcome or a Worry
Demonetization: A Welcome or a Worry
 
Khu biệt thự biển - Orchard villas resort - Phan Thiết
Khu biệt thự biển - Orchard villas resort - Phan ThiếtKhu biệt thự biển - Orchard villas resort - Phan Thiết
Khu biệt thự biển - Orchard villas resort - Phan Thiết
 
Flexible Packaging online DIY 好In網529 Inprint123
Flexible Packaging online DIY 好In網529 Inprint123 Flexible Packaging online DIY 好In網529 Inprint123
Flexible Packaging online DIY 好In網529 Inprint123
 

Similar to 2016 ETF and investment outlook

Putnam Perspectives: Capital Market Outlook Q1 2014
Putnam Perspectives: Capital Market Outlook Q1 2014Putnam Perspectives: Capital Market Outlook Q1 2014
Putnam Perspectives: Capital Market Outlook Q1 2014
Putnam Investments
 
7 wells fargo 2015 mid-year outlook - turning points
7 wells fargo 2015 mid-year outlook - turning points7 wells fargo 2015 mid-year outlook - turning points
7 wells fargo 2015 mid-year outlook - turning points
123jumpad
 
Investment Outlook 2016
Investment Outlook 2016Investment Outlook 2016
Investment Outlook 2016
Credit Suisse
 
Quarterly Market Outlook April 2016
Quarterly Market Outlook April 2016Quarterly Market Outlook April 2016
Quarterly Market Outlook April 2016
JonGrant01
 
THIRD QUARTER 2015 RETROSPECTIVE AND PROSPECTIVE We’ve Seen This Movie Before
THIRD QUARTER 2015   RETROSPECTIVE AND PROSPECTIVE  We’ve Seen This Movie BeforeTHIRD QUARTER 2015   RETROSPECTIVE AND PROSPECTIVE  We’ve Seen This Movie Before
THIRD QUARTER 2015 RETROSPECTIVE AND PROSPECTIVE We’ve Seen This Movie Before
Robert Champion
 
2010 LPL Financial Outlook
2010 LPL Financial Outlook2010 LPL Financial Outlook
2010 LPL Financial Outlook
guestc5af6ef
 
2010 Lpl Outlook
2010 Lpl Outlook2010 Lpl Outlook
2010 Lpl Outlooktmardin
 
Quarterly investment Outlook Q3 2015
Quarterly investment Outlook Q3 2015Quarterly investment Outlook Q3 2015
Quarterly investment Outlook Q3 2015
Graeme Cross
 
Finlight Research - Market Perspectives - Nov 2016
Finlight Research - Market Perspectives - Nov 2016Finlight Research - Market Perspectives - Nov 2016
Finlight Research - Market Perspectives - Nov 2016
FinLight Research
 
BlackRock: 2014 Outlook The List - What to Know, What to Do
BlackRock: 2014 Outlook The List - What to Know, What to DoBlackRock: 2014 Outlook The List - What to Know, What to Do
BlackRock: 2014 Outlook The List - What to Know, What to Do
Econ Matters
 
2017 Q2 Fidelity Investment Outlook
2017 Q2 Fidelity Investment Outlook 2017 Q2 Fidelity Investment Outlook
2017 Q2 Fidelity Investment Outlook
CEO Magazyn Polska
 
2013.10.10 accuvest bpv-q4
2013.10.10 accuvest bpv-q42013.10.10 accuvest bpv-q4
2013.10.10 accuvest bpv-q4advisorshares
 
2016 Outlook
2016 Outlook2016 Outlook
2016 Outlook
Marqus J Freeman
 
BMO-TCH-Mid-Q3-Update_FINAL
BMO-TCH-Mid-Q3-Update_FINALBMO-TCH-Mid-Q3-Update_FINAL
BMO-TCH-Mid-Q3-Update_FINALAdam Phillips
 
Finlight Research - Market Perspectives - Jan 2016
Finlight Research - Market Perspectives - Jan 2016Finlight Research - Market Perspectives - Jan 2016
Finlight Research - Market Perspectives - Jan 2016
FinLight Research
 
LBS Asset Allocation August Update - July 28, 2017
LBS Asset Allocation August Update - July 28, 2017LBS Asset Allocation August Update - July 28, 2017
LBS Asset Allocation August Update - July 28, 2017
Mark MacIsaac
 
Outlook 2017 executive_summary
Outlook 2017 executive_summaryOutlook 2017 executive_summary
Outlook 2017 executive_summary
Shelley Schossberg, CFP®
 
Blackrock 2015 outlook rpt
Blackrock 2015 outlook rptBlackrock 2015 outlook rpt
Blackrock 2015 outlook rptLance Conn
 
2 william blair global market outlook - december 2013
2 william blair global market outlook - december 20132 william blair global market outlook - december 2013
2 william blair global market outlook - december 2013
123jumpad
 

Similar to 2016 ETF and investment outlook (20)

Putnam Perspectives: Capital Market Outlook Q1 2014
Putnam Perspectives: Capital Market Outlook Q1 2014Putnam Perspectives: Capital Market Outlook Q1 2014
Putnam Perspectives: Capital Market Outlook Q1 2014
 
7 wells fargo 2015 mid-year outlook - turning points
7 wells fargo 2015 mid-year outlook - turning points7 wells fargo 2015 mid-year outlook - turning points
7 wells fargo 2015 mid-year outlook - turning points
 
Investment Outlook 2016
Investment Outlook 2016Investment Outlook 2016
Investment Outlook 2016
 
Quarterly Market Outlook April 2016
Quarterly Market Outlook April 2016Quarterly Market Outlook April 2016
Quarterly Market Outlook April 2016
 
THIRD QUARTER 2015 RETROSPECTIVE AND PROSPECTIVE We’ve Seen This Movie Before
THIRD QUARTER 2015   RETROSPECTIVE AND PROSPECTIVE  We’ve Seen This Movie BeforeTHIRD QUARTER 2015   RETROSPECTIVE AND PROSPECTIVE  We’ve Seen This Movie Before
THIRD QUARTER 2015 RETROSPECTIVE AND PROSPECTIVE We’ve Seen This Movie Before
 
2010 LPL Financial Outlook
2010 LPL Financial Outlook2010 LPL Financial Outlook
2010 LPL Financial Outlook
 
2010 Lpl Outlook
2010 Lpl Outlook2010 Lpl Outlook
2010 Lpl Outlook
 
Quarterly investment Outlook Q3 2015
Quarterly investment Outlook Q3 2015Quarterly investment Outlook Q3 2015
Quarterly investment Outlook Q3 2015
 
Finlight Research - Market Perspectives - Nov 2016
Finlight Research - Market Perspectives - Nov 2016Finlight Research - Market Perspectives - Nov 2016
Finlight Research - Market Perspectives - Nov 2016
 
BlackRock: 2014 Outlook The List - What to Know, What to Do
BlackRock: 2014 Outlook The List - What to Know, What to DoBlackRock: 2014 Outlook The List - What to Know, What to Do
BlackRock: 2014 Outlook The List - What to Know, What to Do
 
2017 Q2 Fidelity Investment Outlook
2017 Q2 Fidelity Investment Outlook 2017 Q2 Fidelity Investment Outlook
2017 Q2 Fidelity Investment Outlook
 
2013.10.10 accuvest bpv-q4
2013.10.10 accuvest bpv-q42013.10.10 accuvest bpv-q4
2013.10.10 accuvest bpv-q4
 
2016 Outlook
2016 Outlook2016 Outlook
2016 Outlook
 
2016 outlook
2016 outlook2016 outlook
2016 outlook
 
BMO-TCH-Mid-Q3-Update_FINAL
BMO-TCH-Mid-Q3-Update_FINALBMO-TCH-Mid-Q3-Update_FINAL
BMO-TCH-Mid-Q3-Update_FINAL
 
Finlight Research - Market Perspectives - Jan 2016
Finlight Research - Market Perspectives - Jan 2016Finlight Research - Market Perspectives - Jan 2016
Finlight Research - Market Perspectives - Jan 2016
 
LBS Asset Allocation August Update - July 28, 2017
LBS Asset Allocation August Update - July 28, 2017LBS Asset Allocation August Update - July 28, 2017
LBS Asset Allocation August Update - July 28, 2017
 
Outlook 2017 executive_summary
Outlook 2017 executive_summaryOutlook 2017 executive_summary
Outlook 2017 executive_summary
 
Blackrock 2015 outlook rpt
Blackrock 2015 outlook rptBlackrock 2015 outlook rpt
Blackrock 2015 outlook rpt
 
2 william blair global market outlook - december 2013
2 william blair global market outlook - december 20132 william blair global market outlook - december 2013
2 william blair global market outlook - december 2013
 

More from Ying wei (Joe) Chou

廣東塑料交易所.pdf
廣東塑料交易所.pdf廣東塑料交易所.pdf
廣東塑料交易所.pdf
Ying wei (Joe) Chou
 
Oecd due-diligence-guidance-for
Oecd due-diligence-guidance-forOecd due-diligence-guidance-for
Oecd due-diligence-guidance-for
Ying wei (Joe) Chou
 
109 我國製造業附加價值率
109 我國製造業附加價值率109 我國製造業附加價值率
109 我國製造業附加價值率
Ying wei (Joe) Chou
 
華晨中國 獨立調查之主要調查結果概要
華晨中國 獨立調查之主要調查結果概要華晨中國 獨立調查之主要調查結果概要
華晨中國 獨立調查之主要調查結果概要
Ying wei (Joe) Chou
 
Servitization in global markets - role alignment in global service networks f...
Servitization in global markets - role alignment in global service networks f...Servitization in global markets - role alignment in global service networks f...
Servitization in global markets - role alignment in global service networks f...
Ying wei (Joe) Chou
 
Think with me, or think for me on the future role of artificial intelligenc...
Think with me, or think for me   on the future role of artificial intelligenc...Think with me, or think for me   on the future role of artificial intelligenc...
Think with me, or think for me on the future role of artificial intelligenc...
Ying wei (Joe) Chou
 
The battle of superheros the rise of the knowledge platform strategy in the m...
The battle of superheros the rise of the knowledge platform strategy in the m...The battle of superheros the rise of the knowledge platform strategy in the m...
The battle of superheros the rise of the knowledge platform strategy in the m...
Ying wei (Joe) Chou
 
The anatomy of business falure
The  anatomy of business falureThe  anatomy of business falure
The anatomy of business falure
Ying wei (Joe) Chou
 
The value investing-requiem rebirth or reincarnation
The value investing-requiem rebirth or reincarnationThe value investing-requiem rebirth or reincarnation
The value investing-requiem rebirth or reincarnation
Ying wei (Joe) Chou
 
De Fi and the future of finance
De Fi and the future of financeDe Fi and the future of finance
De Fi and the future of finance
Ying wei (Joe) Chou
 
The broadcasting in the internet age
The broadcasting in the internet ageThe broadcasting in the internet age
The broadcasting in the internet age
Ying wei (Joe) Chou
 
Ssrn an analysis on the television broadacsting sector-the impact of ott serv...
Ssrn an analysis on the television broadacsting sector-the impact of ott serv...Ssrn an analysis on the television broadacsting sector-the impact of ott serv...
Ssrn an analysis on the television broadacsting sector-the impact of ott serv...
Ying wei (Joe) Chou
 
Ssrn a critical review of digital marketing
Ssrn a critical review of digital marketingSsrn a critical review of digital marketing
Ssrn a critical review of digital marketing
Ying wei (Joe) Chou
 
Ssrn a brief inrtoduction to the basic of game theory
Ssrn a brief inrtoduction to the basic of game theorySsrn a brief inrtoduction to the basic of game theory
Ssrn a brief inrtoduction to the basic of game theory
Ying wei (Joe) Chou
 
Small–medium enterprise formation and nigerian economic growth
Small–medium enterprise formation and nigerian economic growthSmall–medium enterprise formation and nigerian economic growth
Small–medium enterprise formation and nigerian economic growth
Ying wei (Joe) Chou
 
Online dating apps as a marketing channel a generational approach
Online dating apps as a marketing channel  a generational approachOnline dating apps as a marketing channel  a generational approach
Online dating apps as a marketing channel a generational approach
Ying wei (Joe) Chou
 
My future entrepreneurial self
My future entrepreneurial selfMy future entrepreneurial self
My future entrepreneurial self
Ying wei (Joe) Chou
 
Making secret sharing based cloud storage usable
Making secret sharing based  cloud storage usableMaking secret sharing based  cloud storage usable
Making secret sharing based cloud storage usable
Ying wei (Joe) Chou
 

More from Ying wei (Joe) Chou (20)

廣東塑料交易所.pdf
廣東塑料交易所.pdf廣東塑料交易所.pdf
廣東塑料交易所.pdf
 
Oecd due-diligence-guidance-for
Oecd due-diligence-guidance-forOecd due-diligence-guidance-for
Oecd due-diligence-guidance-for
 
109 我國製造業附加價值率
109 我國製造業附加價值率109 我國製造業附加價值率
109 我國製造業附加價值率
 
華晨中國 獨立調查之主要調查結果概要
華晨中國 獨立調查之主要調查結果概要華晨中國 獨立調查之主要調查結果概要
華晨中國 獨立調查之主要調查結果概要
 
Servitization in global markets - role alignment in global service networks f...
Servitization in global markets - role alignment in global service networks f...Servitization in global markets - role alignment in global service networks f...
Servitization in global markets - role alignment in global service networks f...
 
Salary
SalarySalary
Salary
 
Why sharing is synergy
Why sharing is synergyWhy sharing is synergy
Why sharing is synergy
 
Think with me, or think for me on the future role of artificial intelligenc...
Think with me, or think for me   on the future role of artificial intelligenc...Think with me, or think for me   on the future role of artificial intelligenc...
Think with me, or think for me on the future role of artificial intelligenc...
 
The battle of superheros the rise of the knowledge platform strategy in the m...
The battle of superheros the rise of the knowledge platform strategy in the m...The battle of superheros the rise of the knowledge platform strategy in the m...
The battle of superheros the rise of the knowledge platform strategy in the m...
 
The anatomy of business falure
The  anatomy of business falureThe  anatomy of business falure
The anatomy of business falure
 
The value investing-requiem rebirth or reincarnation
The value investing-requiem rebirth or reincarnationThe value investing-requiem rebirth or reincarnation
The value investing-requiem rebirth or reincarnation
 
De Fi and the future of finance
De Fi and the future of financeDe Fi and the future of finance
De Fi and the future of finance
 
The broadcasting in the internet age
The broadcasting in the internet ageThe broadcasting in the internet age
The broadcasting in the internet age
 
Ssrn an analysis on the television broadacsting sector-the impact of ott serv...
Ssrn an analysis on the television broadacsting sector-the impact of ott serv...Ssrn an analysis on the television broadacsting sector-the impact of ott serv...
Ssrn an analysis on the television broadacsting sector-the impact of ott serv...
 
Ssrn a critical review of digital marketing
Ssrn a critical review of digital marketingSsrn a critical review of digital marketing
Ssrn a critical review of digital marketing
 
Ssrn a brief inrtoduction to the basic of game theory
Ssrn a brief inrtoduction to the basic of game theorySsrn a brief inrtoduction to the basic of game theory
Ssrn a brief inrtoduction to the basic of game theory
 
Small–medium enterprise formation and nigerian economic growth
Small–medium enterprise formation and nigerian economic growthSmall–medium enterprise formation and nigerian economic growth
Small–medium enterprise formation and nigerian economic growth
 
Online dating apps as a marketing channel a generational approach
Online dating apps as a marketing channel  a generational approachOnline dating apps as a marketing channel  a generational approach
Online dating apps as a marketing channel a generational approach
 
My future entrepreneurial self
My future entrepreneurial selfMy future entrepreneurial self
My future entrepreneurial self
 
Making secret sharing based cloud storage usable
Making secret sharing based  cloud storage usableMaking secret sharing based  cloud storage usable
Making secret sharing based cloud storage usable
 

Recently uploaded

The WhatsPump Pseudonym Problem and the Hilarious Downfall of Artificial Enga...
The WhatsPump Pseudonym Problem and the Hilarious Downfall of Artificial Enga...The WhatsPump Pseudonym Problem and the Hilarious Downfall of Artificial Enga...
The WhatsPump Pseudonym Problem and the Hilarious Downfall of Artificial Enga...
muslimdavidovich670
 
managementaccountingunitiv-230422140105-dd17d80b.ppt
managementaccountingunitiv-230422140105-dd17d80b.pptmanagementaccountingunitiv-230422140105-dd17d80b.ppt
managementaccountingunitiv-230422140105-dd17d80b.ppt
SuseelaPalanimuthu
 
how to sell pi coins on Binance exchange
how to sell pi coins on Binance exchangehow to sell pi coins on Binance exchange
how to sell pi coins on Binance exchange
DOT TECH
 
how to sell pi coins at high rate quickly.
how to sell pi coins at high rate quickly.how to sell pi coins at high rate quickly.
how to sell pi coins at high rate quickly.
DOT TECH
 
Exploring Abhay Bhutada’s Views After Poonawalla Fincorp’s Collaboration With...
Exploring Abhay Bhutada’s Views After Poonawalla Fincorp’s Collaboration With...Exploring Abhay Bhutada’s Views After Poonawalla Fincorp’s Collaboration With...
Exploring Abhay Bhutada’s Views After Poonawalla Fincorp’s Collaboration With...
beulahfernandes8
 
how can I sell pi coins after successfully completing KYC
how can I sell pi coins after successfully completing KYChow can I sell pi coins after successfully completing KYC
how can I sell pi coins after successfully completing KYC
DOT TECH
 
The European Unemployment Puzzle: implications from population aging
The European Unemployment Puzzle: implications from population agingThe European Unemployment Puzzle: implications from population aging
The European Unemployment Puzzle: implications from population aging
GRAPE
 
when will pi network coin be available on crypto exchange.
when will pi network coin be available on crypto exchange.when will pi network coin be available on crypto exchange.
when will pi network coin be available on crypto exchange.
DOT TECH
 
what is the best method to sell pi coins in 2024
what is the best method to sell pi coins in 2024what is the best method to sell pi coins in 2024
what is the best method to sell pi coins in 2024
DOT TECH
 
how to sell pi coins in all Africa Countries.
how to sell pi coins in all Africa Countries.how to sell pi coins in all Africa Countries.
how to sell pi coins in all Africa Countries.
DOT TECH
 
Summary of financial results for 1Q2024
Summary of financial  results for 1Q2024Summary of financial  results for 1Q2024
Summary of financial results for 1Q2024
InterCars
 
Isios-2024-Professional-Independent-Trustee-Survey.pdf
Isios-2024-Professional-Independent-Trustee-Survey.pdfIsios-2024-Professional-Independent-Trustee-Survey.pdf
Isios-2024-Professional-Independent-Trustee-Survey.pdf
Henry Tapper
 
USDA Loans in California: A Comprehensive Overview.pptx
USDA Loans in California: A Comprehensive Overview.pptxUSDA Loans in California: A Comprehensive Overview.pptx
USDA Loans in California: A Comprehensive Overview.pptx
marketing367770
 
Commercial Bank Economic Capsule - May 2024
Commercial Bank Economic Capsule - May 2024Commercial Bank Economic Capsule - May 2024
Commercial Bank Economic Capsule - May 2024
Commercial Bank of Ceylon PLC
 
Chương 6. Ancol - phenol - ether (1).pdf
Chương 6. Ancol - phenol - ether (1).pdfChương 6. Ancol - phenol - ether (1).pdf
Chương 6. Ancol - phenol - ether (1).pdf
va2132004
 
Introduction to Indian Financial System ()
Introduction to Indian Financial System ()Introduction to Indian Financial System ()
Introduction to Indian Financial System ()
Avanish Goel
 
what is the future of Pi Network currency.
what is the future of Pi Network currency.what is the future of Pi Network currency.
what is the future of Pi Network currency.
DOT TECH
 
The Evolution of Non-Banking Financial Companies (NBFCs) in India: Challenges...
The Evolution of Non-Banking Financial Companies (NBFCs) in India: Challenges...The Evolution of Non-Banking Financial Companies (NBFCs) in India: Challenges...
The Evolution of Non-Banking Financial Companies (NBFCs) in India: Challenges...
beulahfernandes8
 
how can i use my minded pi coins I need some funds.
how can i use my minded pi coins I need some funds.how can i use my minded pi coins I need some funds.
how can i use my minded pi coins I need some funds.
DOT TECH
 
The secret way to sell pi coins effortlessly.
The secret way to sell pi coins effortlessly.The secret way to sell pi coins effortlessly.
The secret way to sell pi coins effortlessly.
DOT TECH
 

Recently uploaded (20)

The WhatsPump Pseudonym Problem and the Hilarious Downfall of Artificial Enga...
The WhatsPump Pseudonym Problem and the Hilarious Downfall of Artificial Enga...The WhatsPump Pseudonym Problem and the Hilarious Downfall of Artificial Enga...
The WhatsPump Pseudonym Problem and the Hilarious Downfall of Artificial Enga...
 
managementaccountingunitiv-230422140105-dd17d80b.ppt
managementaccountingunitiv-230422140105-dd17d80b.pptmanagementaccountingunitiv-230422140105-dd17d80b.ppt
managementaccountingunitiv-230422140105-dd17d80b.ppt
 
how to sell pi coins on Binance exchange
how to sell pi coins on Binance exchangehow to sell pi coins on Binance exchange
how to sell pi coins on Binance exchange
 
how to sell pi coins at high rate quickly.
how to sell pi coins at high rate quickly.how to sell pi coins at high rate quickly.
how to sell pi coins at high rate quickly.
 
Exploring Abhay Bhutada’s Views After Poonawalla Fincorp’s Collaboration With...
Exploring Abhay Bhutada’s Views After Poonawalla Fincorp’s Collaboration With...Exploring Abhay Bhutada’s Views After Poonawalla Fincorp’s Collaboration With...
Exploring Abhay Bhutada’s Views After Poonawalla Fincorp’s Collaboration With...
 
how can I sell pi coins after successfully completing KYC
how can I sell pi coins after successfully completing KYChow can I sell pi coins after successfully completing KYC
how can I sell pi coins after successfully completing KYC
 
The European Unemployment Puzzle: implications from population aging
The European Unemployment Puzzle: implications from population agingThe European Unemployment Puzzle: implications from population aging
The European Unemployment Puzzle: implications from population aging
 
when will pi network coin be available on crypto exchange.
when will pi network coin be available on crypto exchange.when will pi network coin be available on crypto exchange.
when will pi network coin be available on crypto exchange.
 
what is the best method to sell pi coins in 2024
what is the best method to sell pi coins in 2024what is the best method to sell pi coins in 2024
what is the best method to sell pi coins in 2024
 
how to sell pi coins in all Africa Countries.
how to sell pi coins in all Africa Countries.how to sell pi coins in all Africa Countries.
how to sell pi coins in all Africa Countries.
 
Summary of financial results for 1Q2024
Summary of financial  results for 1Q2024Summary of financial  results for 1Q2024
Summary of financial results for 1Q2024
 
Isios-2024-Professional-Independent-Trustee-Survey.pdf
Isios-2024-Professional-Independent-Trustee-Survey.pdfIsios-2024-Professional-Independent-Trustee-Survey.pdf
Isios-2024-Professional-Independent-Trustee-Survey.pdf
 
USDA Loans in California: A Comprehensive Overview.pptx
USDA Loans in California: A Comprehensive Overview.pptxUSDA Loans in California: A Comprehensive Overview.pptx
USDA Loans in California: A Comprehensive Overview.pptx
 
Commercial Bank Economic Capsule - May 2024
Commercial Bank Economic Capsule - May 2024Commercial Bank Economic Capsule - May 2024
Commercial Bank Economic Capsule - May 2024
 
Chương 6. Ancol - phenol - ether (1).pdf
Chương 6. Ancol - phenol - ether (1).pdfChương 6. Ancol - phenol - ether (1).pdf
Chương 6. Ancol - phenol - ether (1).pdf
 
Introduction to Indian Financial System ()
Introduction to Indian Financial System ()Introduction to Indian Financial System ()
Introduction to Indian Financial System ()
 
what is the future of Pi Network currency.
what is the future of Pi Network currency.what is the future of Pi Network currency.
what is the future of Pi Network currency.
 
The Evolution of Non-Banking Financial Companies (NBFCs) in India: Challenges...
The Evolution of Non-Banking Financial Companies (NBFCs) in India: Challenges...The Evolution of Non-Banking Financial Companies (NBFCs) in India: Challenges...
The Evolution of Non-Banking Financial Companies (NBFCs) in India: Challenges...
 
how can i use my minded pi coins I need some funds.
how can i use my minded pi coins I need some funds.how can i use my minded pi coins I need some funds.
how can i use my minded pi coins I need some funds.
 
The secret way to sell pi coins effortlessly.
The secret way to sell pi coins effortlessly.The secret way to sell pi coins effortlessly.
The secret way to sell pi coins effortlessly.
 

2016 ETF and investment outlook

  • 1. Michael Arone, CFA, Chief Investment Strategist for US Intermediary Business Group David B. Mazza, Head of Research, SPDR ETFs and SSGA Funds Matthew Bartolini, CFA, Research Strategist, SPDR ETFs and SSGA Funds Jared Rowley, CFA, Research Strategist, SPDR ETFs and SSGA Funds Key Points • In 2016, we expect continued low growth, subdued inflation and generally accommodative monetary policy. • Risks are skewed to the downside as fragile markets could quickly turn volatile on a single bad data point or negative news event. • In equities, we favor areas of growth with macro-economic tailwinds such as the Eurozone, Japan, and financial and consumer related sectors in the US. • In fixed income, we favor taking a balanced approach with a mix of interest rate and credit sensitive sectors such as high yield and senior loans. 2016ETF& INVESTMENT OUTLOOK
  • 2. State Street Global Advisors 22 2016 ETF and Investment Outlook Key Takeaways • Our base case for 2016 is that investors should be prepared for more of the “low and slow” growth that has characterized the global economy since the financial crisis. That means in equities, we believe investors should look for pockets of opportunities and growth. • Outside the US, tilting to the Eurozone and Japan where the accommodative and pro-growth macro currents provide the strongest tailwinds is ideal. • For the US, a resilient consumer and a potential Federal Reserve rate hike should continue to support and fuel top and bottom line growth in consumer related and financial sectors. • In fixed income, still-low government bond yields and the desire for protection from potentially rising rates mean investors may have to explore more credit- sensitive sectors including high yield, senior loans and convertibles. THEBIGPICTURE Investing in a ‘Low and Slow’ Growth Environment • In US equities, investors favored large-cap stocks over small-cap names. • In the style spectrum, investors paid up for growth as consumer cyclicals, technology and health care led the way, while some traditional value sectors such as energy had a tough year. • In international stocks, investors clearly preferred developed markets as emerging economies continued to struggle on China worries, weak commodity prices and a strong US dollar. • In fixed income, investors favored government bonds over corporate credit, and within corporates they favored investment grade over high yield, as concerns over the impact of falling oil prices weighed on the high yield market. Figure 1: Comparison of Major Asset Classes’ 2015 Performance -12 -4-8 Large Cap vs. Small Cap S&P 500 Index Russell 2000 Index Growth vs. Value Russell 1000 Growth Russell 1000 Value Developed vs. Emerging MSCI EAFE Index MSCI EM Index Gov’t vs. Corporate US Treasuries IG Corporate Bonds Inv. Grade vs. High Yield IG Corporate Bonds High Yield 620 10 3.4 -1.5 -0.2 7.7 -10.1 0.7 0.9 -0.1 -0.1 -2.3 Performance (%) Source: State Street Global Advisors, Bloomberg, as of November 24, 2015. Indices representing each respective asset class are as follows – US Treasuries: Barclays U.S. Treasury Index, IG Corporate Bonds: Barclays U.S. Corporate Investment Grade Bond Index, High Yield: Barclays U.S. Corporate High Yield Bond Index. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. The index returns are unmanaged and do not reflect the deduction of any fees or expenses. The index returns reflect all items of income, gain and loss and the reinvestment of dividends and other income. What worked in 2015? Looking at the relative performance of major asset classes (see Figure 1), some clear trends emerge:
  • 3. State Street Global Advisors 3State Street Global Advisors 3 2016 ETF and Investment Outlook US Economy There are many unknowns as we head into 2016, such as the pace of potential Federal Reserve rate hikes, whether other central banks will unleash more quantitative easing (QE) and who will reside in the White House. However, there seems to be broad consensus on two issues: global growth is slowing and inflation remains subdued. US economic growth slowed to 2.1 percent in the third quarter after rising 3.9 percent in the second quarter.1 Yet, there are still some reasons to be optimistic. The US consumer has been incredibly resilient, while job growth and the housing market are both trending in the right direction (see Figure 2). The unemployment rate has fallen to 5 percent, its lowest level since the financial crisis, with nonfarm payrolls rising at an average of more than 200,000 a month in 2015.2 With these favorable conditions in place, it’s hard to argue the US will slip into recession. Fed Outlook Our view is that the Fed most likely raises rates by 25 basis points at the December 2015 meeting, which would be the first hike in nearly a decade. After a likely lift-off in December, we expect a series of four quarter-point rate hikes in 2016. Rising rates may result in capital losses for investors in US government bonds such as Treasuries, particularly in longer duration debt. At the same time, the low level of absolute rates makes credit-sensitive sectors more attractive. Therefore, in fixed income, we favor sectors beyond traditional bond benchmarks such as the Barclays U.S. Aggregate Bond Index. We think investors should consider fixed income areas that are more sensitive to credit conditions than to rising rates, such as senior loans, convertible securities and high yield. What could increase market volatility in 2016? • Further economic slowing and market dislocations in China • A major slowdown in US earnings growth at a time when investors are questioning equity valuations • US Presidential and Congressional elections • Another debt flare-up in the Eurozone • Escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East Figure 2: Labor and Housing Markets are Improving M (Full Time Employment) M (Home Sales) — US Full Time Employment — US New Home and Existing Home Sales 3 6 5 4 110 116 120 124 Dec 2007 20112009 2013 Dec 2015 Source: State Street Global Advisors, Bloomberg, as of November 9, 2015. After a likely lift-off in December, we expect a series of four quarter-point rate hikes in 2016. Setting the Scene for 2016
  • 4. State Street Global Advisors 4 2016 ETF and Investment Outlook Eurozone: Gaining Momentum We think some of the best opportunities for developed markets might be outside the US, and we like the Eurozone in particular. We base our case for the Eurozone on continued accommodative monetary policy, encouraging fundamental growth trends and emerging stability in southern Europe. Following a double-dip recession in 2012, the Eurozone has gained traction and posted economic growth every quarter since the third quarter of 2013 (see Figure 3). Also, Europe is a large net importer of commodities—which have fallen 21 percent in 20153 —and these lower input costs should improve European corporate profits. Additionally, the region’s exporters have benefitted from the euro’s weakness, while other positives include a pick-up in household consumption and retail sales. We project Eurozone GDP full-year growth of 1.4 percent in 2015. Looking ahead, we forecast 1.6 percent growth in 2016. Emerging Markets: Focus on Quality It was yet another disappointing year for developing markets with the MSCI Emerging Markets Index down about 8.0 percent so far in 2015 and on track to underperform the US for the third straight year.4 Yet, we don’t think investors should give up on this notoriously volatile asset class. Instead, they need to be selective and focus on quality, as decades of debt- fueled growth have left many corporate balance sheets in poor condition. Furthermore, emerging markets’ return on equity—a key metric for assessing shareholder value—is now lower than that of developed markets for the first time in 13 years.5 However, many emerging market countries have unveiled new fiscal and economic reforms aimed at fostering sustainable growth and boosting competitiveness. Therefore, a larger emphasis on companies with strong corporate governance, quality balance sheets and a high return on equity could provide tailwinds for an emerging market allocation. Emerging markets’ return on equity is now lower than that of developed markets for the first time in 13 years. Figure 3: Eurozone Growth 42 44 46 48 50 52 54 56 -1.5 -1.0 -0.5 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 Dec 2012 Sep 2013 Jun 2014 Mar 2015 Sep 2015  Eurozone YoY GDP Growth — Markit Eurozone Manufacturing PMI Index GDP Growth (%) PMI Index Level Source: State Street Global Advisors, Bloomberg, as of November 9, 2015. We think some of the best opportunities for developed markets might be outside the US, and we like the Eurozone in particular.
  • 5. State Street Global Advisors 5 Key Takeaways Standing at $2.1 trillion with more than 1,800 funds,6 the US ETF industry is on track for another record-setting year with about $196 billion of net inflows through the end of November 2015.7 Big picture, investors favored equity funds.  In particular, currency hedged ETFs posted strong inflows in 2015 as investors in international developed equities looked for protection against a rising US dollar (see Figure 4). We also saw investors trying to time a bottom in the beleaguered energy sector and herding behavior in high yield ETFs with investors moving in and out of this category based on market and credit conditions. As for more nuanced flow trends, in US sectors, while there was bargain hunting in the beaten-down energy sector, investors paid up for growth and performance in health care (see Figure 5). Also, investors avoided rate-sensitive sectors, including utilities and financials, although we did see the financial sector attract a significant $4 billion over the last six months of the year due to increased expectations for a Fed rate hike.8 Finally, in fixed income, investors favored core aggregate funds and government debt, followed by investment-grade and high yield corporate bonds (see Figure 6). For the most part, investors didn’t venture too far outside their comfort zone in fixed income ETFs, sticking to sectors in the Barclays U.S. Aggregate Bond Index rather than more non-traditional sectors such as senior loans and convertibles. WHATTHEFLOWSARETELLINGUS 2016 ETF and Investment Outlook Figure 4: Equity Fund Flows by Region n Currency Hedged n Int’l–Region n US n Int’l–Single Country n Int’l–Broad n Global Billions ($) 0 30 60 90 120 150 1 46.7 34.4 27.4 12.4 8.3 4.8 Source: State Street Global Advisors, Bloomberg, as of November 24, 2015. Figure 5: US Equity Sector Fund Flows n Industrials n Utilities n Consumer Staples n Telecom n Health Care n Energy n Consumer Discretionary n Technology n Materials Billions ($) 0 15 -10 25 1 -3.8 -2.9 7.5 3.4 7.755 Source: State Street Global Advisors, Bloomberg, as of November 24, 2015. While there was bargain hunting in the beaten-down energy sector, investors paid up for growth and performance in health care.
  • 6. State Street Global Advisors 6 2016 ETF and Investment Outlook Bottom Fishing in Energy Although energy ETFs attracted the second-highest flows after the white-hot health care sector, it was a tough year for the energy sector in terms of performance, with the S&P Energy Select Sector Index down 20 percent for the 12 months ending in October.9 Focusing on the largest energy sector ETF, the Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLE), we see that the flows this year reflect actual buying of the ETF, rather than short positioning (see Figure 7). This suggests that investors are indeed positioning for a bottom in the energy sector. Currency Hedged ETFs: Separating the Signal from the Noise While currency hedged ETFs amassed nearly $47 billion through the first 11 months of the year for a more than 200 percent increase from year-end 2014, about 75 percent of these assets came into the funds in the first four months of the year, with over $11 billion in March alone.10 In the same four-month span, the US dollar strengthened 5 percent, nearly half of its entire 2015 appreciation. So while total asset flows are significant, the trend into the currency hedged space was the strongest in the first quarter when the European Central Bank (ECB) moved the currency markets with the implementation of its QE program of buying 60 billion euros of bonds a month. With the Fed on track to raise rates and the ECB hinting at further stimulus, this trend may come back into fashion. High Yield Herding With $4 billion of high yield ETF fund flows this year (see Figure 6), the speculative grade bond segment is poised to finish 2015 in the black, unless there is a major shift in sentiment. Of course, if the past is any prelude, this could indeed occur. As of the end of September, the category actually had year-to-date outflows of close to $250 million as high yield credit spreads widened 151 basis points over their five-year average. However, since the end of September, nearly $5 billion has rushed into the high yield category as spreads tightened 83 basis points.11 Figure 7: Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLE) Flows vs. Short Interest Fund Flows ($B) Short Interest Ratio (%) 40 June 2014 Oct 2014 Feb 2015 Jun 2015 Oct 2015 20 30 50 10 60 0 2 4 6 -2 8  XLE Fund Flow Accumulation — XLE Short Interest over Shares Outstanding Ratio Source: State Street Global Advisors, Bloomberg, as of November 9, 2015. Figure 6: Fixed Income Sector Flows n Aggregate n Government n IG Corp n Preferred n High Yield Corp n Municipals n Inflation Protected Billions ($) 0 30 60 n Mortgage-Backed n Asset-Backed n Convertible 15 45 11.3 20.3 11.0 4.5 4.0 Source: State Street Global Advisors, Bloomberg, as of November 24, 2015.
  • 7. State Street Global Advisors 7 ETFIMPLEMENTATIONIDEAS 2016 ETF and Investment Outlook Key Takeaways Our base case is that investors should be prepared for a challenging “low and slow” scenario for global growth. We don’t think the growth story is over or that a bear market is imminent, but investors may need to be more selective. Rather than buy the equities market with broad exposures, investors could target specific regions, sectors and industries. In fixed income, we favor the more credit- sensitive areas of the bond markets for yield and some potential rising rate protection. Equities: Go Where the Growth Is In the US, we favor sector and industry investing to take advantage of fundamental trends in the economy and macro environment, such as earnings momentum and rising rates. Financial stocks and related banking sub-industries including regional banks have historically benefited from rising rates and a strengthening economy. The early part of the tightening cycle is especially constructive, as higher rates create more room for banks to increase the margins on their loans without stifling demand. Also, banks are generally more willing to lend against a backdrop of improving economic conditions. So, to the degree the Fed’s moves reflect its confidence in the economy, we’d expect lending activity to respond in kind. Implementation Idea KRE SPDR® S&P® Regional Banking ETF As the economy continues to gain steam and consumer confidence trends higher, investors should consider the consumer discretionary sector to add an element of growth in a slow growth macro-driven world. Consumer discretionary firms should benefit from this increased spending and confidence as lower energy costs and a decline in import prices translate into fatter wallets for consumers. Earnings estimates reflect this macro oriented growth backdrop, as discretionary is projected to have the highest growth rate of any sector in 2016.12 Additionally, we believe homebuilders and the more discretionary housing related industries are attractive due to an improving employment picture and increasing household spending. With home sales reaching levels not seen since 2007 and homebuilder sentiment at decade long highs, this theme of a stronger housing market should continue to be well supported.13 Implementation Idea XHB SPDR® S&P® Homebuilders ETF Investors looking to further overweight market segments with potentially higher earnings and revenue growth should consider the health care and technology sectors. In the third quarter, these two segments registered healthy upside earnings revisions, with over 80 percent of firms beating estimates.14 We feel future top and bottom line growth has the potential to be fueled by the desire of US consumers and businesses to restrict additional marginal spending to “must have” items. Implementation Ideas XLK Technology Select Sector SPDR® Fund XLV Health Care Select Sector SPDR® Fund In terms of equity regions, we think the Eurozone is attractive due to continued ECB stimulus, downward pressure on the euro, improving lending conditions and investors looking for yield in equities due to extremely low or even negative bond yields. In particular, a depreciating euro versus the US dollar is supportive for the Eurozone as constituents in the EURO STOXX 50® Index derive 60 percent or more of their sales overseas.15 Implementation Idea FEZ SPDR® EURO STOXX 50® ETF We don’t think the growth story is over or that a bear market is imminent, but investors may need to be more selective.
  • 8. State Street Global Advisors 8 2016 ETF and Investment Outlook Looking to Japan, the Bank of Japan’s commitment to increasing inflation and fueling growth remains one of the arrows in the quiver of “Abenomics.” A second arrow is a focus on creating shareholder value. Prime Minister Shinzo Abe’s paramount emphasis on shareholder returns and improving corporate performance has made return on equity a focus of Japanese firms. Screening for these companies, which also do not trade at expensive multiples, is one way to access the growth engine of Japan. Implementation Idea QJPN SPDR® MSCI Japan Quality Mix ETF Despite the underperformance of emerging markets in recent years, we still think this asset class warrants an allocation. As discussed earlier, the tide appears to be turning for emerging markets in terms of reform. Many nations are enacting rules and reforms that are aimed at improving corporate governance, with a focus on increasing the quality of balance sheets and other growth measures to support their economies. A smart beta approach focused on companies with these pre-existing traits may lower the volatility of investing in emerging markets, and provide a compelling alternative to a market cap-weighted portfolio. Implementation Idea QEMM SPDR® MSCI Emerging Markets Quality Mix ETF Fixed Income: Navigate Rising Rates and Still-Low Yields We believe today’s diversified fixed income portfolio requires more than a simple mix of US Treasuries, corporate debt and high-quality structured credit. Meanwhile, predicting the path of interest rates has proven to be an extremely difficult, if not impossible, task for investors. Therefore, an active core fixed income strategy with experienced managers may play a critical role in a portfolio by seeking to provide stability, diversification and income. Investors seeking an actively managed core solution for their fixed income portfolio can consider SPDR® DoubleLine® Total Return Tactical ETF (TOTL). This active ETF mixes traditional interest rate-sensitive sectors with non-traditional sectors in seeking to maximize total return over a full market cycle. These more credit-sensitive sectors include non-agency mortgage-backed securities, high yield and emerging market bonds, bank loans and collateralized loan obligations. With TOTL, investors can rely on DoubleLine Capital’s expertise to navigate rising rates by allocating across multiple bond subsectors and applying individual security selection to potentially deliver alpha. Implementation Idea TOTL SPDR® DoubleLine® Total Return Tactical ETF For investors seeking additional income at low levels of duration, and who are able to withstand a higher level of credit risk, senior loans may be an attractive choice. By further diversifying portfolios away from more traditional, rate-sensitive sectors, investors can construct flexible and customized portfolios for a rising rate environment still characterized by low yields. For a senior loan allocation, we prefer an active management approach to exploit potential market inefficiencies through security selection. Implementation Idea SRLN SPDR® Blackstone / GSO Senior Loan ETF By further diversifying away from more traditional, rate-sensitive sectors, investors can construct flexible and customized portfolios for a rising rate environment.
  • 9. State Street Global Advisors 9 2016 ETF and Investment Outlook High-yield corporate bonds are another area that investors can explore for income outside investment-grade bonds. High yield bonds can be a fixed income portfolio diversifier due to their relatively low correlation to the Barclays U.S. Aggregate Bond Index. High yield bonds could potentially provide an attractive balance of rising rate protection and yield, although there is no free lunch as these exposures do contain an elevated level of credit risk. Implementation Idea JNK SPDR® Barclays High Yield Bond ETF We also like convertible securities as potential additions to fixed income portfolios for their diversification benefits and other characteristics. Based on the profile of convertible security issuers, which tends to lean toward more growth oriented sectors such as technology and consumer discretionary, a convertible allocation features a cyclical growth equity component with a bond floor that’s useful if the issuer’s prospects go south. This profile typically lends itself well to a rising rate environment that is driven by economic improvements, such as strong labor growth and robust domestic demand. In fact, convertible securities have had strong positive relative returns during previous periods of increasing rates.16 Implementation Idea CWB SPDR® Barclays Convertible Securities ETF 1 U.S. Department of Commerce, as of November 24, 2015, third quarter 2015 GDP is “second” estimate. 2 Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, as of November 6, 2015. 3 Bloomberg Commodity Index as of November 12, 2015. 4 Bloomberg, as of November 4, 2015. US equity market performance based on S&P 500 Index. 5 Based on the MSCI World Index and the MSCI Emerging Markets Index. Source: Bloomberg, as of October 30, 2015. 6 Bloomberg, as of November 24, 2015. 7 Bloomberg, State Street Global Advisors, as of November 24, 2015. 8 Bloomberg, State Street Global Advisors, as of November 24, 2015. 9 S&P Dow Jones Indices, data as of October 30, 2015. 10 Bloomberg, State Street Global Advisors, as of October 30, 2015. 11 Bloomberg, State Street Global Advisors, as of November 10, 2015. 12 FactSet, State Street Global Advisors, as of November 13, 2015. 13 Home Sales as measured by US New One Family Houses and US Existing Home Sales, as of September 15, 2015, per US Census Bureau. Homebuilder sentiment as measured by National Association of Home Builders/Wells Fargo Index, as of September 16, 2015. 14 Bloomberg, as of November 12, 2015. 15 Bloomberg, State Street Global Advisors, as of October 30, 2015. 16 FactSet, as of July 31, 2015. Barclays Convertibles Bond > 500M Face Index average monthly return during periods of increasing interest rates since 2004 (last time Fed raised rates) is 1.71%, Barclays U.S. Aggregate Bond Index -1.58% per FactSet. Implementation Ideas US Sectors and Industries KRE SPDR® S&P® Regional Banking ETF XHB SPDR® S&P® Homebuilders ETF XLV Health Care Select Sector SPDR® Fund XLK Technology Select Sector SPDR® Fund International Equities FEZ SPDR® EURO STOXX 50® ETF QEMM SPDR® MSCI Emerging Markets Quality Mix ETF QJPN SPDR® MSCI Japan Quality Mix ETF Fixed Income TOTL SPDR® DoubleLine® Total Return Tactical ETF SRLN SPDR® Blackstone / GSO Senior Loan ETF JNK SPDR® Barclays High Yield Bond ETF CWB SPDR® Barclays Convertible Securities ETF
  • 10. State Street Global Advisors 10 2016 ETF and Investment Outlook DEFINITIONS Abenomics Refers to the economic policies advocated by Shinzō Abe since the December 2012 general election, which elected Abe to his second term as prime minister of Japan. Abenomics is based upon “three arrows” of fiscal stimulus, monetary easing and structural reforms. Barclays U.S. Aggregate Bond Index A commonly used benchmark for determining the relative performance of bond or fixed income portfolios. The index includes Treasury, Government agency bonds, Mortgage- backed bonds, corporate bonds and a small amount of foreign bonds traded in the US. Bank Loans Bank loans, or leveraged loans, are syndicated loans made to less-than-investment-grade companies, generally rated below BBB-/Baa3. Their below-investment-grade ratings make them similar to high-yield bonds. The vast majority of loans trading in the secondary market are “leveraged,” senior secured, fully-funded term loans. Basis Point One hundredth of one percent, or 0.01%. Convertible Bonds Hybrid securities that combine elements of stocks and bonds. Convertible bonds pay a periodic fixed amount as a coupon payment, and convertible bond covenants specify the price at which they can be converted into common stock. Correlation The historical tendency of two investments to move together. Investors often combine investments with low correlations to diversify portfolios. Credit Spreads The spread between Treasury securities and non-Treasury securities that are identical in all respects except for quality rating. Currency Hedged Funds An investment fund with a financial contract that allows the fund’s currency exposure to be hedged from fluctuations of foreign currencies. Diversification A strategy of combining a broad mix of investments and asset classes to potentially limit risk, although diversification does not guarantee protection from a loss in falling markets. Double-Dip Recession A double-dip recession refers to a recession, followed by short recovery, followed by another recession. Specifically, a double-dip recession refers to gross domestic product (GDP) growth sliding back to negative after a quarter or two of positive growth. Duration A commonly used measure, expressed in years, that measures the sensitivity of the price of a bond or a fixed-income portfolio to changes in interest rates. Earnings The amount of profit that a company produces during a specific period, which is usually defined as a quarter (three calendar months) or a year. Earnings typically refer to after- tax net income. Earnings Per Share (EPS) A profitability measure that is calculated by dividing a company’s net income by the number of shares outstanding. Euro STOXX 50 Index A blue-chip index for the Eurozone, providing a representation of super-sector leaders in the Eurozone. The index covers 50 stocks from 12 Eurozone countries. Exchange Traded Fund (ETF) An ETF is an open-ended fund that provides exposure to an underlying investment, usually an index. Like an individual stock, an ETF trades on an exchange throughout the day. Floating-Rate Exposures A debt instrument with a variable interest rate. Also known as a “floater,” a floating-rate note’s interest rate is tied to a benchmark such as the US Treasury bill rate, LIBOR, or the Fed funds or prime rate. Floaters are mainly issued by financial institutions and governments, and they typically have a two- to five-year term to maturity.
  • 11. State Street Global Advisors 11 2016 ETF and Investment Outlook Gross Domestic Product (GDP) The monetary value of all the finished goods and services produced within a country’s borders in a specific time period. High Yield Corporate Bonds Corporate debt with generally lower credit ratings and higher yields than investment-grade corporate bonds. Inflation Rising prices for goods and services that erodes consumers’ purchasing power. M&A Activity Mergers and acquisitions. Industries that are experiencing M&A can see rising stock profits in smaller companies that are acquisition targets. Macro Trends Overarching economic forces on financial markets such as the movement of interest rates, inflation and changes in employment. Monetary Policy The actions of a central bank, currency board or other regulatory committee that determine the size and rate of growth of the money supply, which in turn affects interest rates. MSCI Emerging Markets Index A benchmark that captures large- and mid-cap representation across 23 emerging markets countries. With 834 constituents, the index covers approximately 85% of the free float-adjusted market capitalization in each country. Non-Agency Mortgage-Backed Securities, or MBS Groups of mortgage loans that are repackaged and sold to investors who earn their collective income streams. Non- agency MBS are repacked not by government agencies such as Fannie Mae or Freddie Mac, but by private financial institutions, such as banks. Nonfarm Payrolls The monthly data series produced by the US Department of Labor measuring the amount of jobs added outside of the agricultural sector. It is widely considered to be the single most important data series for investors to gauge the health of the economy and markets. Price-to-Earnings Multiples, or P/E Ratio A valuation metric that uses the ratio of the company’s current stock price versus its earnings per share. Profit Margins Expressed as a percentage and, in effect, measures how much out of every dollar of sales a company actually keeps in earnings. Quantitative Easing (QE) An extraordinary monetary policy measure in which a central bank buys government fixed-income securities to lower interest rates, encourage borrowing and stimulate economic activity. Recession A contraction in economic activity lasting longer than a few months. S&P 500 Index A benchmark composed of five hundred (500) selected stocks, all of which are listed on national stock exchanges and spanning more than 25 separate industry groups. S&P Energy Select Sector Index The Energy Select Sector Index is a benchmark of the GICS energy sector companies from the following industries: oil, gas & consumable fuels and energy equipment and services. Sector Investing Investing into one or more sectors of the economy such as financials, energy or health care. Senior Loans Floating-rate debt issued by corporations and backed by collateral such as real estate or other assets. Styles The investment approach or objectives used to make choices in the selection of securities for a portfolio, with the most common being value and growth for equities. US Treasury Bonds Debt obligations of the US government that pay an interest rate to the owner. Volatility The tendency of a market index or security to jump around in price. In modern portfolio theory, securities with higher volatility are generally seen as riskier due to greater potential for losses. Yield The income produced by an investment, typically calculated as the interest received annually divided by the investment’s price.
  • 12. State Street Global Advisors ssga.com | spdrs.com For public use. State Street Global Advisors One Lincoln Street, Boston, MA 02111-2900. T: +1 866.787.2257. Important Risk Information The views expressed in this material are the views of the SPDR ETFs and SSGA Funds Research Team through the period ended November 18, 2015 and are subject to change based on market and other conditions. This document contains certain statements that may be deemed forward-looking statements. Please note that any such statements are not guarantees of any future performance and actual results or developments may differ materially from those projected. ETFs trade like stocks, are subject to investment risk, fluctuate in market value and may trade at prices above or below the ETFs net asset value. Brokerage commissions and ETF expenses will reduce returns. Frequent trading of ETFs could significantly increase commissions and other costs such that they may offset any savings from low fees or costs. Hedging involves taking offsetting positions intended to reduce the volatility of an asset. If the hedging position behaves differently than expected, the volatility of the strategy as a whole may increase and even exceed the volatility of the asset being hedged. Passively managed funds invest by sampling the index, holding a range of securities that, in the aggregate, approximates the full Index in terms of key risk factors and other characteristics. This may cause the fund to experience tracking errors relative to performance of the index. Counterparty risk to a derivative or other transaction is a risk based on whether each party will be able or unable to honor its contractual obligations. If a party does not meet its obligations, the Fund will be subject to losses or unable to realize gains. Risks associated with equity investing include stock values which may fluctuate in response to the activities of individual companies and general market and economic conditions. Concentrated investments in a particular industry may be more vulnerable to adverse changes in that industry or the market as a whole. A “value” style of investing emphasizes undervalued companies with characteristics for improved valuations. This style of investing is subject to the risk that the valuations never improve or that the returns on “value” equity securities are less than returns on other styles of investing or the overall stock market. Although subject to the risks of common stocks, low volatility stocks are seen as having a lower risk profile than the overall markets. However, a fund that invests in low volatility stocks may not produce investment exposure that has lower variability to changes in such stocks’ price levels. A “quality” style of investing emphasizes companies with high returns, stable earnings, and low financial leverage. This style of investing is subject to the risk that the past performance of these companies does not continue or that the returns on “quality” equity securities are less than returns on other styles of investing or the overall stock market. Foreign investments involve greater risks than US investments, including political and economic risks and the risk of currency fluctuations, all of which may be magnified in emerging markets. Foreign investments involve greater risks than US investments, including political and economic risks and the risk of currency fluctuations, all of which may be magnified in emerging markets. Securities with floating or variable interest rates may decline in value if their coupon rates do not keep pace with comparable market interest rates. Narrowly focused investments typically exhibit higher volatility and are subject to greater geographic or asset class risk. The Fund is subject to credit risk, which refers to the possibility that the debt issuers will not be able to make principal and interest payments. The values of debt securities may decrease as a result of many factors, including, by way of example, general market fluctuations; increases in interest rates; actual or perceived inability or unwillingness of issuers, guarantors or liquidity providers to make scheduled principal or interest payments; illiquidity in debt securities markets; and prepayments of principal, which often must be reinvested in obligations paying interest at lower rates. Increase in real interest rates can cause the price of inflation-protected debt securities to decrease. Interest payments on inflation-protected debt securities can be unpredictable. Investments in asset backed and mortgage backed securities are subject to prepayment risk which can limit the potential for gain during a declining interest rate environment and increases the potential for loss in a rising interest rate environment. Government bonds and corporate bonds generally have more moderate short-term price fluctuations than stocks, but provide lower potential long-term returns. Select Sector SPDR Funds bear a higher level of risk than more broadly diversified funds. Derivative investments may involve risks such as potential illiquidity of the markets and additional risk of loss of principal. Non-diversified funds that focus on a relatively small number of securities tend to be more volatile than diversified funds and the market as a whole. Investments in small/mid-sized companies may involve greater risks than in those of larger, better known companies. Companies with large market capitalizations go in and out of favor based on market and economic conditions. Larger companies tend to be less volatile than companies with smaller market capitalizations. In exchange for this potentially lower risk, the value of the security may not rise as much as companies with smaller market capitalizations. Bonds generally present less short-term risk and volatility than stocks, but contain interest rate risk (as interest rates rise, bond prices usually fall); issuer default risk; issuer credit risk; liquidity risk; and inflation risk. These effects are usually pronounced for longer-term securities. Any fixed income security sold or redeemed prior to maturity may be subject to a substantial gain or loss. Investments in Senior Loans are subject to credit risk and general investment risk. Credit risk refers to the possibility that the borrower of a Senior Loan will be unable and/or unwilling to make timely interest payments and/or repay the principal on its obligation. Default in the payment of interest or principal on a Senior Loan will result in a reduction in the value of the Senior Loan and consequently a reduction in the value of the Portfolio’s investments and a potential decrease in the net asset value (“NAV”) of the Portfolio. Investing in commodities entail significant risk and is not appropriate for all investors. Commodities investing entail significant risk as commodity prices can be extremely volatile due to wide range of factors. A few such factors include overall market movements, real or perceived inflationary trends, commodity index volatility, international, economic and political changes, change in interest and currency exchange rates. 12 2016 ETF and Investment Outlook
  • 13. State Street Global Advisors Investing in high yield securities, otherwise known as “junk bonds”, is considered speculative and involves greater risk of loss of principal and interest than investing in investment grade fixed income securities. These lower-quality debt securities involve greater risk of default or price changes due to potential changes in the credit quality of the issuer. Actively managed funds do not seek to replicate the performance of a specified index. An actively managed fund may underperform its benchmark. An investment in the fund is not appropriate for all investors and is not intended to be a complete investment program. Investing in the fund involves risks, including the risk that investors may receive little or no return on the investment or that investors may lose part or even all of the investment. These investments may have difficulty in liquidating an investment position without taking a significant discount from current market value, which can be a significant problem with certain lightly traded securities. Standard & Poor’s® , S&P® and SPDR® are registered trademarks of Standard & Poor’s Financial Services LLC (S&P); Dow Jones is a registered trademark of Dow Jones Trademark Holdings LLC (Dow Jones); and these trademarks have been licensed for use by S&P Dow Jones Indices LLC (SPDJI) and sublicensed for certain purposes by State Street Corporation. State Street Corporation’s financial products are not sponsored, endorsed, sold or promoted by SPDJI, Dow Jones, S&P, their respective affiliates and third party licensors and none of such parties make any representation regarding the advisability of investing in such product(s) nor do they have any liability in relation thereto, including for any errors, omissions, or interruptions of any index. Barclays® is a trademark of Barclays, Inc. and has been licensed for use in connection with the listing and trading of the SPDR Barclays ETFs. SPDR Barclays ETFs are not sponsored by, endorsed, sold or promoted by Barclays, Inc. and Barclays makes no representation regarding the advisability of investing in them. Distributor: State Street Global Markets, LLC, member FINRA, SIPC, a wholly owned subsidiary of State Street Corporation. References to State Street may include State Street Corporation and its affiliates. Certain State Street affiliates provide services and receive fees from the SPDR ETFs. ALPS Distributors, Inc., a registered broker-dealer, is distributor for SPDR® S&P® 500, SPDR® S&P® MidCap 400 and SPDR® Dow Jones Industrial Average, and all unit investment trusts. ALPS Portfolio Solutions Distributor, Inc. is distributor for Select Sector SPDRs. ALPS Distributors, Inc. and ALPS Portfolio Solutions Distributor, Inc. are not affiliated with State Street Global Markets, LLC. Distributor: State Street Global Markets, LLC is the distributor for all registered products on behalf of the advisor. SSGA Funds Management has retained GSO Capital Partners, & DoubleLine Capital LP as the sub-advisor. DoubleLine® is a registered trademark of DoubleLine Capital LP. Before investing, consider the funds’ investment objectives, risks, charges and expenses. To obtain a prospectus or summary prospectus which contains this and other information, call 866.787.2257 or visit spdrs.com Not FDIC Insured • No Bank Guarantee • May LoseValue © 2015 State Street Corporation. All Rights Reserved. ID5628-IBG-17606 1215 Exp. Date: 12/31/2016 IBG.EIO.1115 SSL000643 2016 ETF and Investment Outlook