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FINANCIAL TIMES MONDAY NOVEMBER 5 2012 13
FTfm – Hedge fund survey
K
ent Clark, who over-
sees $20bn as chief
investment officer of
hedge fund strategies at
Goldman Sachs Asset Man-
agement, knows a thing or
two about hedge funds. But
when asked recently about
the current state of the
industry, he quipped: “if
you can find any managers
with good long-term returns
and moderate volatility, let
me know.”
Having reviewed more
than 800 funds for FTfm’s
second annual survey of
model hedge funds, we can
attest that Mr Clark’s
riposte is not far from the
truth.
The nature of the trailing
five-year period in which
this review is focused, from
July 2007 to June 2012,
explains much of the diffi-
culties.
When simply comparing
the benchmark S&P 500
equity index with the aver-
age hedge fund perform-
ance reported by Barclay-
Hedge, it is difficult to
make the case for “2 and
20” managers.
The last time hedge funds
outperformed the market
was during the 2008 melt-
down when the S&P
slumped 37 per cent and
hedgies limited losses to
21.6 per cent.
The 2009 rebound saw
hedgies return 23.7 per cent;
but the S&P climbed 26.5
per cent. In 2010, funds
were up 10.9 per cent; the
market was up more than
15 per cent.
In 2011, hedge funds lost
5.5 per cent while stocks
inched up a little over 2 per
cent. And during the first
half of this year, hedge fund
managers again underper-
formed the S&P, returning
2.3 per cent versus the
index’s 9.5 per cent gain.
Based on the popular per-
ception of hedge funds, this
is not supposed to happen.
But, to some, therein lies a
basic truth about the indus-
try as a whole – too many
managers who do not
deserve funding bring down
averages.
While there are distinct
reasons why the various
individual hedge fund strat-
egies have underperformed
stocks, Mr Clark hones in
on the residual effects of
2008.
The financial crisis
turned even the most basic
investment assumptions on
their heads, and Mr Clark
believes many managers
have simply become gun
shy, arguably suffering
from post-traumatic stress
disorder of sorts.
All previous sell-offs in
recent memory could be
understood as response to
identifiable phenomena:
market-wide overvaluation,
misplaced faith in all things
technology-based, war. But
2008 was different.
“So now when markets
periodically sell off because
of fear generated by the
eurozone debt crisis, a slow-
ing China, or the quarterly
failure of the US economy
to pick up steam, many
hedge fund managers have
decided to steer clear of the
volatility and exposure,
thus missing much of the
rise in stocks,” says Mr
Clark.
Accordingly, he believes
active rotation across strat-
egies and managers is key
to realising consistent risk-
adjust performance.
Another possible explana-
tion for underperformance
is the decline in hedge fund
leverage. According to the
Organisation for Economic
Co-operation and Develop-
ment, gross hedge fund lev-
erage reached 3.9 times
assets before the crisis. Citi
Prime Finance reports that
number has been cut nearly
in half.
But it is difficult to dis-
cern whether the net
impact of this ratcheting
down of risk has reduced
performance or minimised
losses.
In a recently published
book Simon Lack, a former
long-time managing direc-
tor at JP Morgan, paints an
even more cynical picture.
He contends in The Hedge
Fund Mirage that media
focus on the top managers
who have done well
obscures the fact that there
are many mediocre manag-
ers out there, and the aver-
age fund delivers unimpres-
sive returns relative to the
market and their lofty fees.
His point: do not confuse
the few with the many.
While a number of indus-
try experts questioned his
methodology, the issues he
raises are palpable. Still,
assets continue to flow into
the industry. According to
data tracker HFR, assets hit
a record $2.19tn in the third
quarter of 2012.
This makes it more essen-
tial than ever for investors
who believe in the merits of
hedge funds to sift through
the thousands of available
funds to help reduce risk
and enhance the likelihood
of gains.
By taking readers
through the process of
selecting five funds that
have delivered sound per-
formance and operations,
this is precisely what we
hope to have achieved
through this review.
Jonathan Kanterman is a
veteran fund manager and
industry consultant
How to avoid
an average
hedge fund
Survey
Since 2009 the
industry has
underperformed
the market. But
Eric Uhlfelder and
Jonathan
Kanterman have
found winners
The daily drama on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange: many hedge fund managers
have steered clear of the volality in the equity markets, missing recent gains Bloomberg
Periodic hedge fund surveys
highlight the best­performing
funds, the largest funds, and
the top­earning managers.
But they fail to look behind
the numbers to discern the
quality of returns: their
accuracy, risk, management
and adherence to
investment strategy. Two
funds each delivering 15 per
cent in one year invariably
have very different profiles
that inform their respective
risks and ability to deliver
future gains. This review is
designed to help investors
discern those differences.
Our selection process was
premised on the belief that
funds with assets between
$100m and $500m
generally outperform their
larger peers. As reported by
a number of surveys, this
segment of the industry
appears to offer superior
performance by being more
focused on net returns
rather than asset
preservation. Smaller funds
can react more quickly to a
wider range of mispriced
opportunities without moving
markets, requiring less
absolute exposure than
larger funds to profit
significantly.
This survey is based on
research generated by
BarclayHedge, the oldest
and most comprehensive
hedge fund database. While
relying on only one source
excludes funds that do not
report to this database, it
makes the search
parameters precise and less
arbitrary. It also ensures
consistent treatment of all
specified data fields,
including strategy, assets,
performance, standard
deviation, worst drawdown,
Sharpe ratio, firm assets
and fees.
Excluding sector,
commodity, and country­
specific funds because of
their tendency to produce
outlying results,
BarclayHedge assembled
more than 600 hedge funds
worldwide with assets
between $100m and
$500m, with 60 months or
more of verifiable
performance history. This
timeframe captures one of
the most challenging
investment environments
and is one of the longest
tracked by a periodical
hedge fund survey.
Funds were sorted by 13
strategies and then by five­
year performance. The
selection process targeted
five distinct strategies with
managers who have been at
the helm during this period
and who invest a significant
chunk of their own wealth in
their funds. The shortlist of
funds created was not
determined by the best
long­term returns, but rather
the most consistent. Such
performance tended to
correlate with moderate to
low volatility and a Sharpe
ratio, a measure of risk­
adjusted return, over 1.00,
although this was not always
the case. We then ran these
funds through a substantial
due diligence process. This
included a review of 10 key
operational and performance
issues. This analysis is
described in more detail by
searching “Due diligence:
survey methodology
explained” at ft.com.
We rejected a number of
funds. For example, a fund
with one impressive year of
returns masked four average
years. Several funds lacked
sufficient transparency. We
found a fund with attractive
returns and volatility that
could not square its
investment strategy and
targeted returns with its
performance. And one of the
most compelling funds we
came across had survived
gating and suspension –
actions that normally would
have precluded
consideration. Lehman
Brothers had been its
custodian, and the fund had
been unable to withdraw all
assets before the bank’s
insolvency. However,
management did not want
us to discuss this material
fact, which they impressively
overcame.
Eric Uhlfelder and
Jonathan Kanterman
The survey: helping to uncover quality investments
We found only one model
fund from BarclayHedge’s
initial screen – the Parus
long/short equity fund – so
we asked the database to
expand its search to include
funds with assets up to
$750m. That is how we net-
ted Vancouver-based Phil-
lips, Hager & North Abso-
lute Return Fund, a hybrid
multi-strategy fund with
C$732m ($734m) under man-
agement.
London-based Omni Glo-
bal Macro also broke our
threshold with $538m. Its
first year of operation,
when it was a single sepa-
rately managed account,
raised an issue because
these results were not inde-
pendently audited. But con-
firming performance with
the actual institutional
investor enabled us to
include this successful
macro manager.
Still not finding enough
qualifying funds, we asked
BarclayHedge to screen
below $100m. Normally
such small funds do not
have adequate organisa-
tional structure and top-tier
service providers. But that
may not be the case if total
firm assets under manage-
ment are much larger.
LJM Partners’ Preserva-
tion and Growth Fund is
one of the most consistent
performing funds we have
found with modest volatil-
ity and drawdown. But its
assets are only $40m. How-
ever, manager Anthony
Caine, who has been run-
ning this and other options
funds since 1998, has nearly
$300m under management.
His scale has enabled him
to operate a highly profes-
sional shop, enabling us to
describe this unique Chica-
go-based fund. However, as
is common with newer
small funds when managers
have a significant stake in
them, performance can be
enhanced by their decision
not to charge themselves
fees. This is less of an issue
with larger funds.
The Lugano-based Talen-
tum Emerging Alpha Fund
has only $70m in assets, but
its parent Arkos Capital
was also running $769m.
And this summer, GAM, the
large Swiss asset manager
agreed to buy Arkos, ena-
bling us to highlight a fund
that has taken the volatility
out of emerging markets.
We believe these funds
delineate the characteristics
that advisers and investors
should be looking for when
seeking relatively consist-
ent returns with moderate
to low risk.
But our review does not
assure or imply future per-
formance.
The funds: following pages
What was
different
this year
Many managers
seem to be
suffering from
post­traumatic
stress disorder
14 FINANCIAL TIMES MONDAY NOVEMBER 5 2012
FTfm – hedge fund survey
Five model hedge funds
Start
date
Fund
assets
($m)Name of fund Strategy
Source: BarclayHedge and individual hedge funds
Parus Fund (C) USD
Barclay Equity Long/Short Index Average
Talentum Emerging Alpha Fund EUR
Barclay Emerging Markets Index
LJM Partners (Preservation & Growth)
Barclay Options & Volatility
Trading Fund Averages
Omni Macro Fund I
Barclay Global Macro Index Average
PHN Absolute Return Fund-C$
Barclay Multi-Strategy Index Average
132
70.1
40.2
982
732
Dec-02
Feb-07
May-06
May-07
Oct-02
Equity long/short
EM equities
Options/volatility
Global macro
Multi-strategy
Firm name
Parus Finance
Arkos Capital SA*
LJM Partners
Omni Partners
Royal Bank of Canada
Asset Management
City
Paris
Lugano
Chicago
London
Vancouver
Country
France
Switzerland
US
UK
Canada
Firm
Assets
($m)
132
769
297
538
260,000
Mgmt
fee
1.5
2
2
2
1.45
Incen-
tive
fee
20
20
20
20
0
One-year
return
(%)
8.64
-3.96
9.90
-12.29
11.54
1.63
13.16
-1.62
9.74
-2.09
Three-year
annualised
return
(%)
Five-year
annualised
return
(%)
14.39
3.71
8.78
5.05
10.54
6.33
13.32
2.92
16.80
6.94
14.48
1.18
8.71
-1.43
12.54
2.14
21.42
3.22
14.96
2.97
Annualised
return
since
inception
17.23
10.07
8.51
9.57
11.43
9.59
21.09
8.68
15.01
9.34
Worst
drawdown
since
inception
Annualised
standard
deviation over
past one year
Annualised
standard
deviation over
past five year
Average
sharpe
ratio past
five years
15.52
14.25
6.96
42.51
10.89
23.94
14.14
6.42
7.80
19.29
19.89
7.05
7.41
13.76
12.78
19.37
7.83
3.87
4.10
3.97
15.67
6.47
7.1
15.5
8.6
22.03
14.3
5.43
7.55
6.92
0.88
0.07
1.12
-0.14
1.37
0.39
1.45
0.46
1.77
0.33
* GAM acquired Arkos Capital at the end of July 2012
All data is of June 30 2012
GAM Talentum Emerging
Long/Short fund (formerly
the Talentum Emerging
Alpha fund)
Strategy: Emerging market
equities
Managers: Enrico Camera
and Iain Cartmil
Despite protracted emerg-
ing market turbulence, the
GAM Talentum Emerging
Long/Short fund has taken
the volatility and the down-
side out of investing in the
developing world.
The equity fund’s one,
three, and five-year annual-
ised returns have been
about 9 per cent. Its histori-
cal annualised standard
deviation is 6.8 per cent,
way below the 29 per cent
of the MSCI Emerging Mar-
ket Index. And the fund’s
worst drawdown or peak-to-
trough fall, has been less
than 7 per cent versus a
sector average of more than
40 per cent.
This performance is one
reason we decided to
include this $70.1m fund.
Another was its top-tier
infrastructure, which was
further enhanced by the
Lugano-based parent com-
pany Arkos Capital’s recent
decision to sell itself to
GAM, the $48bn Zurich-
based global asset manager.
“GAM provides a plat-
form for much stronger
asset growth,” say co-fund
managers Enrico Camera
and Iain Cartmill. “They
take care of our back office
and sales, allowing us to
run the fund independently,
just as we’ve been doing.”
What they have been
doing is effective informa-
tion mining that often gets
the fund ahead of earnings’
revisions. The managers go
long companies deemed to
have a competitive edge
and whose valuations and
prospects they believe have
been underestimated.
In the spring of 2011,
messrs Camera and Cart-
mill believed analysts were
not appreciating the upside
that AVI, a South African
consumer staples and
healthcare products
retailer, was likely to expe-
rience as a result of the
company’s new plant
investments coupled with
the country’s rising real dis-
posable income. Within a
year, the stock had doubled.
On the short side, the
fund bets against compa-
nies that are likely to be hit
by competitive and macro
headwinds. In the second
quarter of 2011, the manag-
ers believed Brazilian insur-
ers would see a drop in
income. “The [central bank]
was significantly cutting
overnight rates which we
felt would reduce interest
income,” recalls Mr Cam-
era, “while multinationals
were teaming up with local
insurers, which would put
pressure on premium
income.” The managers
thought these two trends
meant that 2011 consensus
expectations for industry
profit growth in the mid-
teens were too high. Earn-
ing growth ultimately came
in closer to 10 per cent.
Volatility is limited by
being focused on low mar-
ket-correlated absolute
returns. When the standard
deviation of the fund
breaches 10 per cent, the
managers cut its exposure
until it falls to single digits.
And it will bring net expo-
sure to zero during chal-
lenging markets.
Talentum did this to
remarkable effect in 2008.
The fund gained 8.7 per
cent that year while the
MSCI Emerging Market
Index lost more than half
its value.
LJM Preservation and
Growth fund
Strategy: Options/volatility
Manager: Anthony Caine
Consistency is a key reason
why LJM Preservation and
Growth Fund, with only
$40m in assets, was
included in this year’s
review. Since its inception
in 2006, the fund has gener-
ated annualised returns of
nearly 11.5 per cent. Its five-
year annual standard devia-
tion is 8.6 per cent, and
its maximum drawdown
is less than 11 per cent.
Manager Anthony Caine,
whose LJM Partners dates
back to 1998 and who also
runs several other options
funds with total assets of
$297m, relies on first-tier
operational infrastructure
we deem essential for seri-
ous investor consideration.
Another compelling fac-
tor is that, although options
strategies have a history of
blowing up from tail-risk
events, this fund came
through the global financial
crisis unscathed. And as a
commodity trading adviser,
LJM offers daily transpar-
ency, a relatively low mini-
mum investment of
$100,000, and monthly
liquidity.
Mr Caine thinks disci-
plined use of S&P 500
options – guided by proprie-
tary modelling and macro
analysis – can help neutral-
ise exposure to volatility
and the index’s underlying
value. This then enables the
fund to consistently profit
from the normal decay in
option pricing. He also goes
long or short when he
believes the market is inac-
curately pricing near-term
volatility.
So far, this has mitigated
significant tail risk. In 2008
when the average hedge
fund fell more than 21 per
cent and the S&P 500
slumped 37 per cent, the
Preservation and Growth
fund surged by more 12 per
cent, falling only in October
when Lehman Brothers
went bankrupt.
“A key to this outper-
formance was that we had
seen credit markets break
down in 2007 – prior to the
collapse in equities – and
decided to establish defen-
sive positions going into
2008,” said Mr Caine.
While his strategy has
excelled during difficult
markets, the rub is that it
often trails when stocks
rally. In 2009, when the S&P
was up more than 26 per
cent, the fund gained only
11.1 per cent.
The reason goes to a core
thesis: when markets rally
more than 10 per cent in
any three-month period,
they are less likely to do so
again over the next quarter
and S&P call contracts
should experience reduced
volatility. However, accord-
ing to Mr Caine, when mar-
kets fall, there’s a greater
likelihood of further decline
and increased volatility.
This explains why the fund
is better at containing
declines than in exploiting
sharp upside moves.
A detailed look at per-
formance does reveal intra-
month volatility. “But”,
says Mr Caine, “we have
found characteristics of the
options market that, with
timely rotation of positions,
enables us to realise annual
returns of 11 per cent.”
Omni Macro fund
Strategy: Global macro
Managers: Stephen Rosen
and Nick Munns
Several facts immediately
distinguish this global
macro fund. It has never
had a down year. Annual-
ised gains are more than 21
per cent since inception in
2007. And manager Stephen
Rosen has generated these
returns by making only a
few discretionary trades at
any one time, having just
five in place at the end of
June.
He does not believe in
asset allocation. Diversifica-
tion, to Mr Rosen, is not a
substitute for due diligence
and risk management. He is
quick to limit a drawdown.
When Omni has fallen by 3
per cent, he reduces expo-
sure by 50 per cent.
He has made this move
seven times, most recently
in late 2010 when he
thought the Federal
Reserve’s second crack at
quantitative easing would
give risk assets only an
ephemeral lift, and again in
early 2011 when he expected
the re-emergence of the
eurozone debt crisis to hurt
stocks worse than it did.
Omni ended both years up,
12 per cent and 10.5 per cent
respectively.
Mr Rosen’s core struc-
tural trades, typically last-
ing one to three months,
are informed by public pol-
icy, market behaviour,
interest rates, and liquidity.
Nick Munns, his co-man-
ager, adds shorter-term tac-
tical trades that play out in
less than a week.
Continued: following page
Model funds have solid infrastructure in common
Survey
Eric Uhlfelder and
Jonathan
Kanterman outline
the strategies of five
very different funds
Iain Cartmil (left) and Enrico Camera: carrying out effective
information mining
Anthony Caine: mitigating
significant tail risk
Stephen Rosen: his positions
reflect macro theses
FINANCIAL TIMES MONDAY NOVEMBER 5 2012 23
Omni regulates its limited,
concentrated investments
and risk by trading liquid
leveraged contracts. Gain-
ing exposure in this fashion
enables the fund to main-
tain significant cash bal-
ances. The fund does not
explicitly limit leverage at
the portfolio level, which
typically runs about 150 per
cent, occasionally reaching
275 per cent.
Foreign exchange-focused
and peppered with commod-
ity, equity indices, and
interest rate exposure, Mr
Rosen’s positions reflect
macro theses or their tem-
porary dislocation.
For instance, in Novem-
ber 2010 with the restart of
QE, markets feared soaring
prices. As an inflation
hedge, investors ploughed
into precious metals. Mr
Rosen agreed with the
implications of capital
flooding into markets, but
he had not yet seen evi-
dence of inflation.
Three-month US Treasury
rates were just a few basis
points and global growth
was still slow.
The doubling of silver
prices in early 2011, in his
mind, was a result of inves-
tors becoming transfixed by
a thesis.
In late April, using front
futures contracts, Mr Rosen
began shorting silver in
several pair trades, being
long gold and oil.
When he unwound the
trades in late May, the fund
gained 4 per cent.
Parus Fund
Strategy: Equity long/short
Managers: Fabrice Vecchioli
and Edouard Vecchioli
Parus’ managers avoid look-
ing into the eyes of com-
pany executives. “We prefer
instead to sift for evidence
of disruptive innovations to
help clue a position, avoid-
ing misplaced sentiment
that can come from visiting
people and places,” says
Fabrice Vecchioli, co-man-
ager of the $132m fund.
This unorthodox
approach may have ema-
nated from the fund’s
founders having cut their
teeth as fixed income spe-
cialists. Mr Vecchioli and
his younger brother
Edouard believed their
understanding of company
financials and business
models would give them an
edge in bottom-up stock
picking.
Being market-capitalisa-
tion, sector, and geographi-
cally agnostic, the four-
manager team relies exclu-
sively on their own and
independent research along
with fundamental analysis
to assemble a portfolio
around competitive themes.
Typically, two thirds of the
fund’s 45 positions are long
and one third are short.
When the fund started, its
long positions focused pri-
marily on growth stocks
and its short positions on
solid companies that were
deemed to be overvalued.
This did not work, “so we
adjusted our strategy,”
explains Fabrice, “making
sure our longs included
growth companies with dis-
tinct competitive advan-
tages and our shorts tar-
geted lesser quality opera-
tions getting hit by struc-
tural issues.”
This approach has served
the Paris-based shop –
which is presently relocat-
ing to London – very well.
Since its inception in
December 2002, the fund’s
dollar share class has gen-
erated annualised returns
of more than 17 per cent.
The ride has remained a
bit bumpy with trailing
five-year average standard
deviation of over 15 per
cent. But this is primarily
the result of having invest-
ment horizons of three to
five years for its long posi-
tions and one to two years
for shorts. And the fund’s
worst drawdown, 15.5 per
cent, reflects the underlying
soundness of the managers’
ideas and their ability to
reverse their positions
when investment theses
change.
The fund’s performance
when volatility has been at
elevated levels is notewor-
thy. Between 2007 and 2009,
Parus outdistanced its
benchmark MSCI World
stock index by an average
of 25 percentage points
each year.
It presciently cut its net
long exposure of 70 per
cent-plus to under 30 per
cent in May 2006 in
response to deteriorating
business specific conditions.
It built a 20 per cent short
position in various financial
stocks, having seen the
deteriorating quality of
mortgage securitisations.
This generated cumulative
returns of 33 per cent in
2007 and 2008.
The fund resumed its
long stance in October 2008,
and in March 2009 it started
building positions in the
credit card industry. The
market was projecting it as
the next subprime; the man-
agers concluded otherwise.
By July, Parus had an 8.1
per cent long position in
American Express, Visa,
and Mastercard, which
added more than 5.3 per
cent to the fund’s perform-
ance by the year’s end.
Phillips, Hager & North
Absolute Return fund
Strategy: Multi-strategy
Manager: Hanif Mamdami
This is an unusual fund. It
offers daily pricing and
liquidity. Its management
fee is 1.45 per cent. It
charges no performance fee
and its minimum invest-
ment is C$150,000.
In contrast with many
funds that are struggling to
attract and sustain capital,
it has been hard closed for
nearly two years to help it
sustain consistent perform-
ance. Since it started in
October 2002, the fund has
delivered annualised
returns of 15 per cent. Trail-
ing five-year annualised vol-
atility is 7.6 per cent, and
its worst drawdown is 7.8
per cent.
This hedge fund could be
suggesting where the indus-
try may be heading. That is
a key reason why, despite
having C$732m, we decided
to include it in this year’s
survey. The fund was estab-
lished by one of Canada’s
oldest independent invest-
ment firms, Phillips, Hager
& North, which Royal Bank
of Canada bought in 2008. It
then made Hanif Mamdani
head of alternative invest-
ments.
The fund has generated
its compelling risk-return
profile by focusing on Cana-
dian and US securities.
Two thirds of the fund’s
exposure is in investment
and non-investment grade
corporate bonds and income
trusts, which Mr Mamdani
believes are the most relia-
ble sources of absolute
returns. He then mixes in
market neutral arbitrage
and opportunistic plays in
long, distressed, and event-
driven investments.
Last November his team,
including analysts Emil
Khimji and Justin Jacob-
sen, uncovered six-year
Goldman Sach’s Canadian-
dollar subordinated bonds
trading 650 basis points
above Canadian govern-
ment bonds, despite the
bank having made substan-
tial improvements to its bal-
ance sheet.
Mr Mamdani established
a 4 per cent stake, which
has so far returned 18 per
cent.
Several years after Loral
Space and Communications
led a leveraged buy-out of
Telesat, a global satellite
service operator, Mr Mam-
dani saw significant bal-
ance sheet improvement,
which cut leverage as a
multiple of underlying earn-
ings nearly in half. He felt
this would lead to the refi-
nancing of 11 per cent sen-
ior notes due in 2015 on the
first call date. This hap-
pened in May 2012 and pro-
duced a short-term net gain
of 9.5 per cent.
The fund’s equity position
in Cogeco Cable, a Quebec-
focused cable company, has
not worked so far. Mr Mam-
dani thought the market’s
overreaction to a pending
acquisition, which sliced 15
per cent off the stock, was
overdone.
A further decline in the
share price now makes the
manager believe Cogeco
may be “the cheapest cable
stock in the continent”.
Despite being down on the
trade, Mr Mamdani has
bumped up exposure, mak-
ing it the fund’s largest
holding, demonstrating he
is not afraid of following his
convictions.
Small funds with some unorthodox approaches
Fabrice Vecchioli: avoids
misplaced sentiment
Hanif Mamdami: his fund
offers daily pricing
Last year’s model funds
showed that when investors
do their homework, hedge
fund exposure can deliver
superior returns both in
relative and absolute terms.
Calculated as an equally­
weighted portfolio, the five
funds we selected last year
generated a net return of
3.19 per cent in the year to
June 2012. That was nearly
6 full percentage points
better than the average
return of the five strategies
cited. And it was more than
7.5 percentage points better
than the BarclayHedge
average for all single­
manager funds. This
outperformance was also
achieved with a lower level
of risk than that exhibited by
the industry at large. The
average standard deviation
of our five funds over the
year to June was 7.65 per
cent. The BarclayHedge
average for all single­
manager funds was 8.34 per
cent for the same period.
The largest absolute
outperformance was
delivered by Jeff Osher’s
Harvest Small­Cap Partners
Strategy, a long/short equity
fund with a market neutral
focus that was up nearly 9
per cent, while his average
peer was down nearly 4 per
cent. The average hedge
fund lost 4.3 per cent.
Scott Schaeffer’s
Steelhead Pathfinder
Strategy, a convertible
arbitrage fund, was up 7.29
per cent, topping his peers
by more than 6 percentage
points and the average fund
by more than 11.5
percentage points.
Emerging market debt
funds have struggled over
the past 12 months, losing
2.26 per cent on average.
But Paul Crean’s Finisterre
Sovereign Debt fund had a
gain of 3.67 per cent.
Jack Doyle’s Wexford
Credit Opportunities Fund –
which invests in distressed
securities – delivered the
weakest performance, losing
2.18 per cent. But the
average fund return in this
category lost even more:
6.54 per cent.
The macro fund on the
list, Ray Bakhramov’s Forum
Global Opportunities, was
the other fund that lost
money. Down 1.64 per cent,
the fund slightly
underperformed the strategy
average of ­1.62 per cent.
While we are reticent to
highlight such a short
timeframe and are mindful
of the S&P 500’s gross
return of 5.45 per cent over
the same period, the
performance of these
selected funds during an
especially rocky year
appears to show that the
search for quality can pay
off, increasing returns and
reducing risk.
Eric Uhlfelder and
Jonathan Kanterman
How last year’s selected funds fared till mid 2012
How did last year’s hedge fund picks perform?*
Fund
assets
($m) StrategyName of fund
BarclayHedge
strategy
average*
Source: BarclayHedge and cited hedge funds
Harvest Small Cap Strategy
Forum Global Opportunities fund
Wexford Offs. Credit Opps Class A
Steelhead Pathfinder fund
Finisterre Sovereign Debt fund
Equity long/short
Global macro
Distressed securities
Convertible arbitrage
Emerging market debt
FTfm 5- fund average
Aggregate 5-strategy average
BarclayHedge fund average
279.0
341.6
104.1
439.4
741.2
-3.96
-1.62
-6.54
1.1
-2.26
One-
year
return
(%)
8.8
-1.64
-2.18
7.29
3.67
3.19
-2.66
-4.32
Three-year
annualised
return
(%)
Five-year
annualised
return
(%)
4.54
10.43
8.79
12.45
12.68
11.26
18.82
6.94
10.22
10.58
Annualised
return
since
inception
14.87
22.24
14.16
10.24
9.66
Worst
drawdown
since
inception
Volatility**
past
one-year
Volatility**
past
five-years
Sharpe
ratio
past five
years
7.37
10.03
12.55
12.49
21
9.44
10.99
8.38
3.02
6.44
7.65
8.34
9.43
17.9
9.18
6.35
9.92
1.15
1.39
0.68
1.5
0.99
* One-year period was from 1 July 2011 to 30 June 2012. Three and five-year periods are to 30 June 2012
** Annualised standard deviation, moving average over past year and past five years
FTfm – Hedge fund survey

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Financial Times - How to avoid an average hedge fund

  • 1. FINANCIAL TIMES MONDAY NOVEMBER 5 2012 13 FTfm – Hedge fund survey K ent Clark, who over- sees $20bn as chief investment officer of hedge fund strategies at Goldman Sachs Asset Man- agement, knows a thing or two about hedge funds. But when asked recently about the current state of the industry, he quipped: “if you can find any managers with good long-term returns and moderate volatility, let me know.” Having reviewed more than 800 funds for FTfm’s second annual survey of model hedge funds, we can attest that Mr Clark’s riposte is not far from the truth. The nature of the trailing five-year period in which this review is focused, from July 2007 to June 2012, explains much of the diffi- culties. When simply comparing the benchmark S&P 500 equity index with the aver- age hedge fund perform- ance reported by Barclay- Hedge, it is difficult to make the case for “2 and 20” managers. The last time hedge funds outperformed the market was during the 2008 melt- down when the S&P slumped 37 per cent and hedgies limited losses to 21.6 per cent. The 2009 rebound saw hedgies return 23.7 per cent; but the S&P climbed 26.5 per cent. In 2010, funds were up 10.9 per cent; the market was up more than 15 per cent. In 2011, hedge funds lost 5.5 per cent while stocks inched up a little over 2 per cent. And during the first half of this year, hedge fund managers again underper- formed the S&P, returning 2.3 per cent versus the index’s 9.5 per cent gain. Based on the popular per- ception of hedge funds, this is not supposed to happen. But, to some, therein lies a basic truth about the indus- try as a whole – too many managers who do not deserve funding bring down averages. While there are distinct reasons why the various individual hedge fund strat- egies have underperformed stocks, Mr Clark hones in on the residual effects of 2008. The financial crisis turned even the most basic investment assumptions on their heads, and Mr Clark believes many managers have simply become gun shy, arguably suffering from post-traumatic stress disorder of sorts. All previous sell-offs in recent memory could be understood as response to identifiable phenomena: market-wide overvaluation, misplaced faith in all things technology-based, war. But 2008 was different. “So now when markets periodically sell off because of fear generated by the eurozone debt crisis, a slow- ing China, or the quarterly failure of the US economy to pick up steam, many hedge fund managers have decided to steer clear of the volatility and exposure, thus missing much of the rise in stocks,” says Mr Clark. Accordingly, he believes active rotation across strat- egies and managers is key to realising consistent risk- adjust performance. Another possible explana- tion for underperformance is the decline in hedge fund leverage. According to the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Develop- ment, gross hedge fund lev- erage reached 3.9 times assets before the crisis. Citi Prime Finance reports that number has been cut nearly in half. But it is difficult to dis- cern whether the net impact of this ratcheting down of risk has reduced performance or minimised losses. In a recently published book Simon Lack, a former long-time managing direc- tor at JP Morgan, paints an even more cynical picture. He contends in The Hedge Fund Mirage that media focus on the top managers who have done well obscures the fact that there are many mediocre manag- ers out there, and the aver- age fund delivers unimpres- sive returns relative to the market and their lofty fees. His point: do not confuse the few with the many. While a number of indus- try experts questioned his methodology, the issues he raises are palpable. Still, assets continue to flow into the industry. According to data tracker HFR, assets hit a record $2.19tn in the third quarter of 2012. This makes it more essen- tial than ever for investors who believe in the merits of hedge funds to sift through the thousands of available funds to help reduce risk and enhance the likelihood of gains. By taking readers through the process of selecting five funds that have delivered sound per- formance and operations, this is precisely what we hope to have achieved through this review. Jonathan Kanterman is a veteran fund manager and industry consultant How to avoid an average hedge fund Survey Since 2009 the industry has underperformed the market. But Eric Uhlfelder and Jonathan Kanterman have found winners The daily drama on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange: many hedge fund managers have steered clear of the volality in the equity markets, missing recent gains Bloomberg Periodic hedge fund surveys highlight the best­performing funds, the largest funds, and the top­earning managers. But they fail to look behind the numbers to discern the quality of returns: their accuracy, risk, management and adherence to investment strategy. Two funds each delivering 15 per cent in one year invariably have very different profiles that inform their respective risks and ability to deliver future gains. This review is designed to help investors discern those differences. Our selection process was premised on the belief that funds with assets between $100m and $500m generally outperform their larger peers. As reported by a number of surveys, this segment of the industry appears to offer superior performance by being more focused on net returns rather than asset preservation. Smaller funds can react more quickly to a wider range of mispriced opportunities without moving markets, requiring less absolute exposure than larger funds to profit significantly. This survey is based on research generated by BarclayHedge, the oldest and most comprehensive hedge fund database. While relying on only one source excludes funds that do not report to this database, it makes the search parameters precise and less arbitrary. It also ensures consistent treatment of all specified data fields, including strategy, assets, performance, standard deviation, worst drawdown, Sharpe ratio, firm assets and fees. Excluding sector, commodity, and country­ specific funds because of their tendency to produce outlying results, BarclayHedge assembled more than 600 hedge funds worldwide with assets between $100m and $500m, with 60 months or more of verifiable performance history. This timeframe captures one of the most challenging investment environments and is one of the longest tracked by a periodical hedge fund survey. Funds were sorted by 13 strategies and then by five­ year performance. The selection process targeted five distinct strategies with managers who have been at the helm during this period and who invest a significant chunk of their own wealth in their funds. The shortlist of funds created was not determined by the best long­term returns, but rather the most consistent. Such performance tended to correlate with moderate to low volatility and a Sharpe ratio, a measure of risk­ adjusted return, over 1.00, although this was not always the case. We then ran these funds through a substantial due diligence process. This included a review of 10 key operational and performance issues. This analysis is described in more detail by searching “Due diligence: survey methodology explained” at ft.com. We rejected a number of funds. For example, a fund with one impressive year of returns masked four average years. Several funds lacked sufficient transparency. We found a fund with attractive returns and volatility that could not square its investment strategy and targeted returns with its performance. And one of the most compelling funds we came across had survived gating and suspension – actions that normally would have precluded consideration. Lehman Brothers had been its custodian, and the fund had been unable to withdraw all assets before the bank’s insolvency. However, management did not want us to discuss this material fact, which they impressively overcame. Eric Uhlfelder and Jonathan Kanterman The survey: helping to uncover quality investments We found only one model fund from BarclayHedge’s initial screen – the Parus long/short equity fund – so we asked the database to expand its search to include funds with assets up to $750m. That is how we net- ted Vancouver-based Phil- lips, Hager & North Abso- lute Return Fund, a hybrid multi-strategy fund with C$732m ($734m) under man- agement. London-based Omni Glo- bal Macro also broke our threshold with $538m. Its first year of operation, when it was a single sepa- rately managed account, raised an issue because these results were not inde- pendently audited. But con- firming performance with the actual institutional investor enabled us to include this successful macro manager. Still not finding enough qualifying funds, we asked BarclayHedge to screen below $100m. Normally such small funds do not have adequate organisa- tional structure and top-tier service providers. But that may not be the case if total firm assets under manage- ment are much larger. LJM Partners’ Preserva- tion and Growth Fund is one of the most consistent performing funds we have found with modest volatil- ity and drawdown. But its assets are only $40m. How- ever, manager Anthony Caine, who has been run- ning this and other options funds since 1998, has nearly $300m under management. His scale has enabled him to operate a highly profes- sional shop, enabling us to describe this unique Chica- go-based fund. However, as is common with newer small funds when managers have a significant stake in them, performance can be enhanced by their decision not to charge themselves fees. This is less of an issue with larger funds. The Lugano-based Talen- tum Emerging Alpha Fund has only $70m in assets, but its parent Arkos Capital was also running $769m. And this summer, GAM, the large Swiss asset manager agreed to buy Arkos, ena- bling us to highlight a fund that has taken the volatility out of emerging markets. We believe these funds delineate the characteristics that advisers and investors should be looking for when seeking relatively consist- ent returns with moderate to low risk. But our review does not assure or imply future per- formance. The funds: following pages What was different this year Many managers seem to be suffering from post­traumatic stress disorder
  • 2. 14 FINANCIAL TIMES MONDAY NOVEMBER 5 2012 FTfm – hedge fund survey Five model hedge funds Start date Fund assets ($m)Name of fund Strategy Source: BarclayHedge and individual hedge funds Parus Fund (C) USD Barclay Equity Long/Short Index Average Talentum Emerging Alpha Fund EUR Barclay Emerging Markets Index LJM Partners (Preservation & Growth) Barclay Options & Volatility Trading Fund Averages Omni Macro Fund I Barclay Global Macro Index Average PHN Absolute Return Fund-C$ Barclay Multi-Strategy Index Average 132 70.1 40.2 982 732 Dec-02 Feb-07 May-06 May-07 Oct-02 Equity long/short EM equities Options/volatility Global macro Multi-strategy Firm name Parus Finance Arkos Capital SA* LJM Partners Omni Partners Royal Bank of Canada Asset Management City Paris Lugano Chicago London Vancouver Country France Switzerland US UK Canada Firm Assets ($m) 132 769 297 538 260,000 Mgmt fee 1.5 2 2 2 1.45 Incen- tive fee 20 20 20 20 0 One-year return (%) 8.64 -3.96 9.90 -12.29 11.54 1.63 13.16 -1.62 9.74 -2.09 Three-year annualised return (%) Five-year annualised return (%) 14.39 3.71 8.78 5.05 10.54 6.33 13.32 2.92 16.80 6.94 14.48 1.18 8.71 -1.43 12.54 2.14 21.42 3.22 14.96 2.97 Annualised return since inception 17.23 10.07 8.51 9.57 11.43 9.59 21.09 8.68 15.01 9.34 Worst drawdown since inception Annualised standard deviation over past one year Annualised standard deviation over past five year Average sharpe ratio past five years 15.52 14.25 6.96 42.51 10.89 23.94 14.14 6.42 7.80 19.29 19.89 7.05 7.41 13.76 12.78 19.37 7.83 3.87 4.10 3.97 15.67 6.47 7.1 15.5 8.6 22.03 14.3 5.43 7.55 6.92 0.88 0.07 1.12 -0.14 1.37 0.39 1.45 0.46 1.77 0.33 * GAM acquired Arkos Capital at the end of July 2012 All data is of June 30 2012 GAM Talentum Emerging Long/Short fund (formerly the Talentum Emerging Alpha fund) Strategy: Emerging market equities Managers: Enrico Camera and Iain Cartmil Despite protracted emerg- ing market turbulence, the GAM Talentum Emerging Long/Short fund has taken the volatility and the down- side out of investing in the developing world. The equity fund’s one, three, and five-year annual- ised returns have been about 9 per cent. Its histori- cal annualised standard deviation is 6.8 per cent, way below the 29 per cent of the MSCI Emerging Mar- ket Index. And the fund’s worst drawdown or peak-to- trough fall, has been less than 7 per cent versus a sector average of more than 40 per cent. This performance is one reason we decided to include this $70.1m fund. Another was its top-tier infrastructure, which was further enhanced by the Lugano-based parent com- pany Arkos Capital’s recent decision to sell itself to GAM, the $48bn Zurich- based global asset manager. “GAM provides a plat- form for much stronger asset growth,” say co-fund managers Enrico Camera and Iain Cartmill. “They take care of our back office and sales, allowing us to run the fund independently, just as we’ve been doing.” What they have been doing is effective informa- tion mining that often gets the fund ahead of earnings’ revisions. The managers go long companies deemed to have a competitive edge and whose valuations and prospects they believe have been underestimated. In the spring of 2011, messrs Camera and Cart- mill believed analysts were not appreciating the upside that AVI, a South African consumer staples and healthcare products retailer, was likely to expe- rience as a result of the company’s new plant investments coupled with the country’s rising real dis- posable income. Within a year, the stock had doubled. On the short side, the fund bets against compa- nies that are likely to be hit by competitive and macro headwinds. In the second quarter of 2011, the manag- ers believed Brazilian insur- ers would see a drop in income. “The [central bank] was significantly cutting overnight rates which we felt would reduce interest income,” recalls Mr Cam- era, “while multinationals were teaming up with local insurers, which would put pressure on premium income.” The managers thought these two trends meant that 2011 consensus expectations for industry profit growth in the mid- teens were too high. Earn- ing growth ultimately came in closer to 10 per cent. Volatility is limited by being focused on low mar- ket-correlated absolute returns. When the standard deviation of the fund breaches 10 per cent, the managers cut its exposure until it falls to single digits. And it will bring net expo- sure to zero during chal- lenging markets. Talentum did this to remarkable effect in 2008. The fund gained 8.7 per cent that year while the MSCI Emerging Market Index lost more than half its value. LJM Preservation and Growth fund Strategy: Options/volatility Manager: Anthony Caine Consistency is a key reason why LJM Preservation and Growth Fund, with only $40m in assets, was included in this year’s review. Since its inception in 2006, the fund has gener- ated annualised returns of nearly 11.5 per cent. Its five- year annual standard devia- tion is 8.6 per cent, and its maximum drawdown is less than 11 per cent. Manager Anthony Caine, whose LJM Partners dates back to 1998 and who also runs several other options funds with total assets of $297m, relies on first-tier operational infrastructure we deem essential for seri- ous investor consideration. Another compelling fac- tor is that, although options strategies have a history of blowing up from tail-risk events, this fund came through the global financial crisis unscathed. And as a commodity trading adviser, LJM offers daily transpar- ency, a relatively low mini- mum investment of $100,000, and monthly liquidity. Mr Caine thinks disci- plined use of S&P 500 options – guided by proprie- tary modelling and macro analysis – can help neutral- ise exposure to volatility and the index’s underlying value. This then enables the fund to consistently profit from the normal decay in option pricing. He also goes long or short when he believes the market is inac- curately pricing near-term volatility. So far, this has mitigated significant tail risk. In 2008 when the average hedge fund fell more than 21 per cent and the S&P 500 slumped 37 per cent, the Preservation and Growth fund surged by more 12 per cent, falling only in October when Lehman Brothers went bankrupt. “A key to this outper- formance was that we had seen credit markets break down in 2007 – prior to the collapse in equities – and decided to establish defen- sive positions going into 2008,” said Mr Caine. While his strategy has excelled during difficult markets, the rub is that it often trails when stocks rally. In 2009, when the S&P was up more than 26 per cent, the fund gained only 11.1 per cent. The reason goes to a core thesis: when markets rally more than 10 per cent in any three-month period, they are less likely to do so again over the next quarter and S&P call contracts should experience reduced volatility. However, accord- ing to Mr Caine, when mar- kets fall, there’s a greater likelihood of further decline and increased volatility. This explains why the fund is better at containing declines than in exploiting sharp upside moves. A detailed look at per- formance does reveal intra- month volatility. “But”, says Mr Caine, “we have found characteristics of the options market that, with timely rotation of positions, enables us to realise annual returns of 11 per cent.” Omni Macro fund Strategy: Global macro Managers: Stephen Rosen and Nick Munns Several facts immediately distinguish this global macro fund. It has never had a down year. Annual- ised gains are more than 21 per cent since inception in 2007. And manager Stephen Rosen has generated these returns by making only a few discretionary trades at any one time, having just five in place at the end of June. He does not believe in asset allocation. Diversifica- tion, to Mr Rosen, is not a substitute for due diligence and risk management. He is quick to limit a drawdown. When Omni has fallen by 3 per cent, he reduces expo- sure by 50 per cent. He has made this move seven times, most recently in late 2010 when he thought the Federal Reserve’s second crack at quantitative easing would give risk assets only an ephemeral lift, and again in early 2011 when he expected the re-emergence of the eurozone debt crisis to hurt stocks worse than it did. Omni ended both years up, 12 per cent and 10.5 per cent respectively. Mr Rosen’s core struc- tural trades, typically last- ing one to three months, are informed by public pol- icy, market behaviour, interest rates, and liquidity. Nick Munns, his co-man- ager, adds shorter-term tac- tical trades that play out in less than a week. Continued: following page Model funds have solid infrastructure in common Survey Eric Uhlfelder and Jonathan Kanterman outline the strategies of five very different funds Iain Cartmil (left) and Enrico Camera: carrying out effective information mining Anthony Caine: mitigating significant tail risk Stephen Rosen: his positions reflect macro theses
  • 3. FINANCIAL TIMES MONDAY NOVEMBER 5 2012 23 Omni regulates its limited, concentrated investments and risk by trading liquid leveraged contracts. Gain- ing exposure in this fashion enables the fund to main- tain significant cash bal- ances. The fund does not explicitly limit leverage at the portfolio level, which typically runs about 150 per cent, occasionally reaching 275 per cent. Foreign exchange-focused and peppered with commod- ity, equity indices, and interest rate exposure, Mr Rosen’s positions reflect macro theses or their tem- porary dislocation. For instance, in Novem- ber 2010 with the restart of QE, markets feared soaring prices. As an inflation hedge, investors ploughed into precious metals. Mr Rosen agreed with the implications of capital flooding into markets, but he had not yet seen evi- dence of inflation. Three-month US Treasury rates were just a few basis points and global growth was still slow. The doubling of silver prices in early 2011, in his mind, was a result of inves- tors becoming transfixed by a thesis. In late April, using front futures contracts, Mr Rosen began shorting silver in several pair trades, being long gold and oil. When he unwound the trades in late May, the fund gained 4 per cent. Parus Fund Strategy: Equity long/short Managers: Fabrice Vecchioli and Edouard Vecchioli Parus’ managers avoid look- ing into the eyes of com- pany executives. “We prefer instead to sift for evidence of disruptive innovations to help clue a position, avoid- ing misplaced sentiment that can come from visiting people and places,” says Fabrice Vecchioli, co-man- ager of the $132m fund. This unorthodox approach may have ema- nated from the fund’s founders having cut their teeth as fixed income spe- cialists. Mr Vecchioli and his younger brother Edouard believed their understanding of company financials and business models would give them an edge in bottom-up stock picking. Being market-capitalisa- tion, sector, and geographi- cally agnostic, the four- manager team relies exclu- sively on their own and independent research along with fundamental analysis to assemble a portfolio around competitive themes. Typically, two thirds of the fund’s 45 positions are long and one third are short. When the fund started, its long positions focused pri- marily on growth stocks and its short positions on solid companies that were deemed to be overvalued. This did not work, “so we adjusted our strategy,” explains Fabrice, “making sure our longs included growth companies with dis- tinct competitive advan- tages and our shorts tar- geted lesser quality opera- tions getting hit by struc- tural issues.” This approach has served the Paris-based shop – which is presently relocat- ing to London – very well. Since its inception in December 2002, the fund’s dollar share class has gen- erated annualised returns of more than 17 per cent. The ride has remained a bit bumpy with trailing five-year average standard deviation of over 15 per cent. But this is primarily the result of having invest- ment horizons of three to five years for its long posi- tions and one to two years for shorts. And the fund’s worst drawdown, 15.5 per cent, reflects the underlying soundness of the managers’ ideas and their ability to reverse their positions when investment theses change. The fund’s performance when volatility has been at elevated levels is notewor- thy. Between 2007 and 2009, Parus outdistanced its benchmark MSCI World stock index by an average of 25 percentage points each year. It presciently cut its net long exposure of 70 per cent-plus to under 30 per cent in May 2006 in response to deteriorating business specific conditions. It built a 20 per cent short position in various financial stocks, having seen the deteriorating quality of mortgage securitisations. This generated cumulative returns of 33 per cent in 2007 and 2008. The fund resumed its long stance in October 2008, and in March 2009 it started building positions in the credit card industry. The market was projecting it as the next subprime; the man- agers concluded otherwise. By July, Parus had an 8.1 per cent long position in American Express, Visa, and Mastercard, which added more than 5.3 per cent to the fund’s perform- ance by the year’s end. Phillips, Hager & North Absolute Return fund Strategy: Multi-strategy Manager: Hanif Mamdami This is an unusual fund. It offers daily pricing and liquidity. Its management fee is 1.45 per cent. It charges no performance fee and its minimum invest- ment is C$150,000. In contrast with many funds that are struggling to attract and sustain capital, it has been hard closed for nearly two years to help it sustain consistent perform- ance. Since it started in October 2002, the fund has delivered annualised returns of 15 per cent. Trail- ing five-year annualised vol- atility is 7.6 per cent, and its worst drawdown is 7.8 per cent. This hedge fund could be suggesting where the indus- try may be heading. That is a key reason why, despite having C$732m, we decided to include it in this year’s survey. The fund was estab- lished by one of Canada’s oldest independent invest- ment firms, Phillips, Hager & North, which Royal Bank of Canada bought in 2008. It then made Hanif Mamdani head of alternative invest- ments. The fund has generated its compelling risk-return profile by focusing on Cana- dian and US securities. Two thirds of the fund’s exposure is in investment and non-investment grade corporate bonds and income trusts, which Mr Mamdani believes are the most relia- ble sources of absolute returns. He then mixes in market neutral arbitrage and opportunistic plays in long, distressed, and event- driven investments. Last November his team, including analysts Emil Khimji and Justin Jacob- sen, uncovered six-year Goldman Sach’s Canadian- dollar subordinated bonds trading 650 basis points above Canadian govern- ment bonds, despite the bank having made substan- tial improvements to its bal- ance sheet. Mr Mamdani established a 4 per cent stake, which has so far returned 18 per cent. Several years after Loral Space and Communications led a leveraged buy-out of Telesat, a global satellite service operator, Mr Mam- dani saw significant bal- ance sheet improvement, which cut leverage as a multiple of underlying earn- ings nearly in half. He felt this would lead to the refi- nancing of 11 per cent sen- ior notes due in 2015 on the first call date. This hap- pened in May 2012 and pro- duced a short-term net gain of 9.5 per cent. The fund’s equity position in Cogeco Cable, a Quebec- focused cable company, has not worked so far. Mr Mam- dani thought the market’s overreaction to a pending acquisition, which sliced 15 per cent off the stock, was overdone. A further decline in the share price now makes the manager believe Cogeco may be “the cheapest cable stock in the continent”. Despite being down on the trade, Mr Mamdani has bumped up exposure, mak- ing it the fund’s largest holding, demonstrating he is not afraid of following his convictions. Small funds with some unorthodox approaches Fabrice Vecchioli: avoids misplaced sentiment Hanif Mamdami: his fund offers daily pricing Last year’s model funds showed that when investors do their homework, hedge fund exposure can deliver superior returns both in relative and absolute terms. Calculated as an equally­ weighted portfolio, the five funds we selected last year generated a net return of 3.19 per cent in the year to June 2012. That was nearly 6 full percentage points better than the average return of the five strategies cited. And it was more than 7.5 percentage points better than the BarclayHedge average for all single­ manager funds. This outperformance was also achieved with a lower level of risk than that exhibited by the industry at large. The average standard deviation of our five funds over the year to June was 7.65 per cent. The BarclayHedge average for all single­ manager funds was 8.34 per cent for the same period. The largest absolute outperformance was delivered by Jeff Osher’s Harvest Small­Cap Partners Strategy, a long/short equity fund with a market neutral focus that was up nearly 9 per cent, while his average peer was down nearly 4 per cent. The average hedge fund lost 4.3 per cent. Scott Schaeffer’s Steelhead Pathfinder Strategy, a convertible arbitrage fund, was up 7.29 per cent, topping his peers by more than 6 percentage points and the average fund by more than 11.5 percentage points. Emerging market debt funds have struggled over the past 12 months, losing 2.26 per cent on average. But Paul Crean’s Finisterre Sovereign Debt fund had a gain of 3.67 per cent. Jack Doyle’s Wexford Credit Opportunities Fund – which invests in distressed securities – delivered the weakest performance, losing 2.18 per cent. But the average fund return in this category lost even more: 6.54 per cent. The macro fund on the list, Ray Bakhramov’s Forum Global Opportunities, was the other fund that lost money. Down 1.64 per cent, the fund slightly underperformed the strategy average of ­1.62 per cent. While we are reticent to highlight such a short timeframe and are mindful of the S&P 500’s gross return of 5.45 per cent over the same period, the performance of these selected funds during an especially rocky year appears to show that the search for quality can pay off, increasing returns and reducing risk. Eric Uhlfelder and Jonathan Kanterman How last year’s selected funds fared till mid 2012 How did last year’s hedge fund picks perform?* Fund assets ($m) StrategyName of fund BarclayHedge strategy average* Source: BarclayHedge and cited hedge funds Harvest Small Cap Strategy Forum Global Opportunities fund Wexford Offs. Credit Opps Class A Steelhead Pathfinder fund Finisterre Sovereign Debt fund Equity long/short Global macro Distressed securities Convertible arbitrage Emerging market debt FTfm 5- fund average Aggregate 5-strategy average BarclayHedge fund average 279.0 341.6 104.1 439.4 741.2 -3.96 -1.62 -6.54 1.1 -2.26 One- year return (%) 8.8 -1.64 -2.18 7.29 3.67 3.19 -2.66 -4.32 Three-year annualised return (%) Five-year annualised return (%) 4.54 10.43 8.79 12.45 12.68 11.26 18.82 6.94 10.22 10.58 Annualised return since inception 14.87 22.24 14.16 10.24 9.66 Worst drawdown since inception Volatility** past one-year Volatility** past five-years Sharpe ratio past five years 7.37 10.03 12.55 12.49 21 9.44 10.99 8.38 3.02 6.44 7.65 8.34 9.43 17.9 9.18 6.35 9.92 1.15 1.39 0.68 1.5 0.99 * One-year period was from 1 July 2011 to 30 June 2012. Three and five-year periods are to 30 June 2012 ** Annualised standard deviation, moving average over past year and past five years FTfm – Hedge fund survey