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PRODUCT-MARKET FIT (SATISFACTION) 
14:00 TO 14:30
HOW TO GET A PRODUCT-MARKET FIT? (AKA THE WEEKEND PLAN) 
1. Customers with big problem! 
2. Customers will buy! 
3. Customers will keep buying! 
4. Cost effective marketing 
?
PRODUCT-MARKET FIT 
A viable percentage of your customers are 
very satisfied with your product 
(i.e. high rates of retention and referral)
MHoinwi mcouumld yvoauri haabvlee pprreoddicutecdt Facebook success? 
75% of users returned on a daily basis 
405 minutes spent per month
EXAMPLE 2: PINTEREST 
AVERAGE USER SPENDS 89 MINUTES PER MONTH
EXAMPLE 3: GMAIL 
PAUL BUCHHEIT “MAKE 100 USERS HAPPY”
EXAMPLE 4: COKE-COLA 
AVERAGE PERSON CONSUMES A COKE PRODUCT EVERY 4 DAYS 
TASTE FATIGUE
WARNING!!! 
GROUPON DON’T SCALE UNTIL YOU HAVE SOLVED RETENTION
RETENTION CURVE
DON’T SKIP THE ASSUMPTION TESTING 
AMAR BHIDE 
No 
Facts 
Idea Build
of high growth internet start ups 
fail due to premature scaling. 
Source: Start Up Genome Report(2011)
Startups that scale properly 
grow about 
times faster than startups that 
scale prematurely 
Source: Start Up Genome Report(2011)
PRODUCT-MARKET FIT 
(SATISFACTION)
FINDING 
PRODUCT-MARKET 
FIT 
Early stage 
entrepreneurs 
- Laptop & Car 
Meetups & 
pull 
programme 
world thought 
leaders 
Concierge 
Referral 
1/10 per week 
PROCEED 
2/10 per week 
Entrepreneurs 
excited by the 
service 
Meetups & 
pull 
programme 
world thought 
leaders 
Concierge 
Retention 
9/10 
ITERATE 
6/10 
High initial 
retention with 
a drop off after 
first month 
Individual 
coaching & 
programme 
world thought 
leaders 
Concierge 
Retention 
9/10 
Early stage 
entrepreneurs 
- Laptop & Car 
Early stage 
entrepreneurs 
- Laptop & Car
MVP ASSUMPTION 
Describe 
Customer 
Segment 
Describe 
MVP
Minimum variable product 
The smallest solution you can build that captures 
customer value [gets customers to pay]. 
- Ash Maurya
EXAMPLE 1: ZAPPOS
EXAMPLE 2: 
ANAT MVP
Example 3: 
Food on the table MVP (Concierge MVP)
Example 4: 
Groupon MVP 
Skinned Wordpress sight 
Filemaker to create PDF coupons and emailed
Knowledge 
People 
Resources 
Market 
Research 
Market 
CAUSAL THINKING 
Plan Gap
EFFECTUAL THINKING 
Opportunities 
Knowledge 
People 
Resources 
Outcome 
Outcome 
Outcome 
Outcome 
Outcome 
Outcome 
(Imaging a possible new end using a given set of means)
Gum trees 
Bicycle pump 
Piping 
Library 
books 
Motivation to 
help
Think a lot. 
Let’s create a plan. 
Start acting as soon 
as you can.
EXCITEMENT METRIC & BEHAVIOR
EXCITEMENT METRIC & BEHAVIOR 
How would you feel if you can no longer use [product]? 
• Extremely disappointed 
• Very disappointed 
• Moderately disappointed 
• Slightly disappointed 
• Not at all disappointed
EXCITEMENT METRIC & BEHAVIOR
EXCITEMENT METRIC & BEHAVIOR
EXCITEMENT METRIC & BEHAVIOR
PRODUCT-MARKET FIT 
(CUSTOMER ACQUISITION)
HOW TO GET A PRODUCT-MARKET FIT? (AKA THE WEEKEND PLAN) 
1. Customers with big problem! 
2. Customers will buy! 
3. Customers will keep buying! 
4. Cost effective marketing 
?
COST EFFECTIVE MARKETING 
You have found a predictable and cost-effective 
way to acquire new customers
WHEN YOU START…
IF YOU SUCCEED 
(CLTV > 3X CAC AND IS RECOVERED IN 12 MONTHS)
EXAMPLE 1: DROPBOX 
$200 TO A LITTLE OVER FREE
WARNING!!! 
GROUPSPACES COULD NEVER ATTRACT 
CUSTOMERS AT A LOW ENOUGH COST TO SCALE
DO YOU WANT TO WASTE 6 YEARS? 
365 days 
2500 days 
0 500 1000 1500 2000 2500 3000
WHAT TO TEST? 
1. Paid acquisition (Google, YouTube, Facebook, traditional ads) 
2. Virality (Word of mouth, viral tools, raving fans) 
3. SEO (Website, content marketing) 
4. Sales (Inbound, outbound) 
5. Retail (Own stores, partner stores) 
6. Distribution partners (Franchise, agents, wholesalers)
SESSION TO DO LIST (09:30 TO 14:00) 
Goals 
• Mentor session 
• Run at least 2 experiments (1 to 2 hrs per experiment) 
• At least 10 to 40 customer interactions (At least 5 customers per 
hour) 
Prepare to announce 
• Number of experiments run 
• Number of customer interactions

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Get Product-Market Fit with High Retention and Low Customer Acquisition Costs

  • 2. HOW TO GET A PRODUCT-MARKET FIT? (AKA THE WEEKEND PLAN) 1. Customers with big problem! 2. Customers will buy! 3. Customers will keep buying! 4. Cost effective marketing ?
  • 3. PRODUCT-MARKET FIT A viable percentage of your customers are very satisfied with your product (i.e. high rates of retention and referral)
  • 4. MHoinwi mcouumld yvoauri haabvlee pprreoddicutecdt Facebook success? 75% of users returned on a daily basis 405 minutes spent per month
  • 5. EXAMPLE 2: PINTEREST AVERAGE USER SPENDS 89 MINUTES PER MONTH
  • 6. EXAMPLE 3: GMAIL PAUL BUCHHEIT “MAKE 100 USERS HAPPY”
  • 7. EXAMPLE 4: COKE-COLA AVERAGE PERSON CONSUMES A COKE PRODUCT EVERY 4 DAYS TASTE FATIGUE
  • 8. WARNING!!! GROUPON DON’T SCALE UNTIL YOU HAVE SOLVED RETENTION
  • 10. DON’T SKIP THE ASSUMPTION TESTING AMAR BHIDE No Facts Idea Build
  • 11. of high growth internet start ups fail due to premature scaling. Source: Start Up Genome Report(2011)
  • 12. Startups that scale properly grow about times faster than startups that scale prematurely Source: Start Up Genome Report(2011)
  • 14. FINDING PRODUCT-MARKET FIT Early stage entrepreneurs - Laptop & Car Meetups & pull programme world thought leaders Concierge Referral 1/10 per week PROCEED 2/10 per week Entrepreneurs excited by the service Meetups & pull programme world thought leaders Concierge Retention 9/10 ITERATE 6/10 High initial retention with a drop off after first month Individual coaching & programme world thought leaders Concierge Retention 9/10 Early stage entrepreneurs - Laptop & Car Early stage entrepreneurs - Laptop & Car
  • 15. MVP ASSUMPTION Describe Customer Segment Describe MVP
  • 16. Minimum variable product The smallest solution you can build that captures customer value [gets customers to pay]. - Ash Maurya
  • 17.
  • 20. Example 3: Food on the table MVP (Concierge MVP)
  • 21. Example 4: Groupon MVP Skinned Wordpress sight Filemaker to create PDF coupons and emailed
  • 22. Knowledge People Resources Market Research Market CAUSAL THINKING Plan Gap
  • 23. EFFECTUAL THINKING Opportunities Knowledge People Resources Outcome Outcome Outcome Outcome Outcome Outcome (Imaging a possible new end using a given set of means)
  • 24. Gum trees Bicycle pump Piping Library books Motivation to help
  • 25.
  • 26. Think a lot. Let’s create a plan. Start acting as soon as you can.
  • 28. EXCITEMENT METRIC & BEHAVIOR How would you feel if you can no longer use [product]? • Extremely disappointed • Very disappointed • Moderately disappointed • Slightly disappointed • Not at all disappointed
  • 33. HOW TO GET A PRODUCT-MARKET FIT? (AKA THE WEEKEND PLAN) 1. Customers with big problem! 2. Customers will buy! 3. Customers will keep buying! 4. Cost effective marketing ?
  • 34. COST EFFECTIVE MARKETING You have found a predictable and cost-effective way to acquire new customers
  • 36. IF YOU SUCCEED (CLTV > 3X CAC AND IS RECOVERED IN 12 MONTHS)
  • 37. EXAMPLE 1: DROPBOX $200 TO A LITTLE OVER FREE
  • 38. WARNING!!! GROUPSPACES COULD NEVER ATTRACT CUSTOMERS AT A LOW ENOUGH COST TO SCALE
  • 39. DO YOU WANT TO WASTE 6 YEARS? 365 days 2500 days 0 500 1000 1500 2000 2500 3000
  • 40. WHAT TO TEST? 1. Paid acquisition (Google, YouTube, Facebook, traditional ads) 2. Virality (Word of mouth, viral tools, raving fans) 3. SEO (Website, content marketing) 4. Sales (Inbound, outbound) 5. Retail (Own stores, partner stores) 6. Distribution partners (Franchise, agents, wholesalers)
  • 41. SESSION TO DO LIST (09:30 TO 14:00) Goals • Mentor session • Run at least 2 experiments (1 to 2 hrs per experiment) • At least 10 to 40 customer interactions (At least 5 customers per hour) Prepare to announce • Number of experiments run • Number of customer interactions

Editor's Notes

  1. It is when you start growing a business before you have found product-market fit.
  2. A recent study done last year by a group of researchers in silicon valley 3,200 internet start ups found that a full 74% of internet start ups failed because they tried to grow the business. Before they had found product market fit.
  3. They also found that business that found product-market fit grow at about 20 times faster than startups that scale to early. The bottom line is you don’t want to start making moves on that girl until you know she is very interested and will be willing to stick around.
  4. What they suggest you want to achieve great things in business you should begin with a vision. You than go and find the people, resources, and knowledge needed to turn that vision into a reality.
  5. Looking back at 7 years with my startup GroupSpaces Today I announced that I’m joining the team at Stripe, after 7 years working on my startup, GroupSpaces. The decision to join Stripe was by no means easy, to say the least. The journey bringing GroupSpaces from a college-room idea has been the best ride of my life - an unbeatable learning experience full of the hardest challenges, the opportunity to work with people I have the utmost respect for, and the creation of a product of which I’m immensely proud. I’m indebted to all the mentors, advisors, investors and all who’ve supported us along the way. Going back to when I first started working on the ideas that became GroupSpaces - before we formed a company, lost and gained team members, reformed a new company, took time out of university and raised investment - it’s been a 7 year journey for me. 7 years ago, my cofounder David and I knew nothing about business or startups. We had no connections to anything like the ecosystem that exists today in London.  7 years is a long time in any context, particularly for a business that has not become the proverbial billion dollar success. But I’m at one with what Ian from Songkick (who I highly respect for being down to earth in the face of much of the hype and hubris of the startup scene) had to say about being open and proud about the length of time it takes to build our companies. In this manner we fought a long hard graft, assembling the cliche’d airplane on the way down. Today, GroupSpaces is a sustainable small business, doing that old-fashioned thing of making more money than it spends, and continuing to grow user base and revenue. A fascinating diversity of organisations use GroupSpaces to ease management of their membership, communications and activities - from professional associations to sports clubs, local hobby groups to prominent international campaigning organisations, campus-based student societies to community groups and charities.  While disappointed that the business grew slower than we hoped in financial returns, I’m hugely proud of the contribution and impact we’ve made, and I remain dedicated to seeing GroupSpaces continue to thrive and achieve the best it can. We started GroupSpaces with the ambition to build a global internet-scale company, and it’s in this light that it’s now time for me to move on to tackle the next challenge. However I’ll continue to be involved in supporting the business, while my departure from the day-to-day has made room for fresh blood to drive it forward in new ways. I look forward to seeing GroupSpaces continue to grow, either standalone or in time with an appropriate partner. With the bittersweet benefit of hindsight, I’ve been able to dwell on the key mistakes we made and how they affected our progress. For the possible benefit of others - along with bringing no small amount of closure for myself - I’ve detailed my thoughts on these mistakes and learnings as follows:  - Failing to appreciate a lack of product-market fit as we moved into new markets GroupSpaces originally started out serving the student market, where we achieved considerable success. We designed a tool to solve our own problems, discovered that there were many like us, and with the benefit of the closely-linked geographically-concentrated nature of universities and colleges we spread often like wildfire though campuses in the UK. A stand-out memory was signing up a single organisation at the London School of Economics at the beginning of the semester; with no further marketing we had 100 organisations using the platform by the end of that term. The problems came when we followed this by focusing on marketing and distribution when expanding into other markets beyond students, failing to identify early on our issues with significantly different activation rates due to issues such as far less recognition, peer endorsement and good old-fashioned offline word of mouth. As a result we ploughed on for too long “pushing uphill” without going back and ensuring our product was fully appropriate for these new markets.  - Insufficient focus, focus, focus I firmly believe startups should choose their One True Thing as early as possible and aim to do that one thing well. With a small team that peaked around 12 people, we simultaneously tried to work on the product, while scale up user acquisition and paid marketing channels, while building out a business model consisting of 3(!) different revenue streams - all while attempting to fit our achievements into a framework that would enable us to demonstrate progress and hit milestones that we could use to raise further funding. This had the inevitable effect that we ended up scoring straight Cs - sub-standard product, sub-standard metrics, sub-standard traction.  The irony is that at the time we believed we understood this point, and considered ourselves to be very focused - we’d learned to say “no” to most opportunities and suggestions, and had a very clear idea of our target customer, our product and what we were not. Our problem was that our “one thing” had many multiple parts. I cringe when I recall our spreadsheet models that had customer lifetime value as a messy fudge blending multiple different metrics, each of which depended on other metrics - and ultimately too many assumptions to meaningfully test. I believe a startup needs to achieve a single A grade in one thing to advance to the next stage - if I could go back, the advice I would give myself would be to force ourselves to limit our focus to one thing - a single KPI at a time - to which all our efforts should directly and measurably contribute.  - A confused strategy, attempting to hedge ourselves Following on the point about focus, looking back we were very confused about which milestones we needed to hit in order to be able to progress to the next stage and raise subsequent funding. We ended up hedging ourselves - attempting to limit the downside in the case the upside didn’t work out, attempting to have multiple stories and metrics on which we could raise if we didn’t hit other targets. Predictably, there’s no such thing as a free lunch - we simply ended up in no-mans’ land with our straight C grades - no massively scaling user base on the social side and mediocre numbers on the business model. We fell into this trap in part though the history of the company: we spent the first years of the company building a smaller business with mentors and investors focused on safety and predictability of building a solid company. Our ambitions led us to raise a VC round where the game becomes the go-big-or-go-home play (aka. throw-stuff-against-the-wall-and-see-what-sticks..). Not to say that either would have been a better or worse path to choose, but our mistake was not to make the jump to a boom-or-bust game fully, and instead get stuck in in the middle - a murky territory without clear strategy where every decision feels at odds with another, and our hedging to limit the downside definitely held us back from achieving the upside.  - Premature scaling It follows on from the points above, but we most definitely committed the all-too-common sin of premature scaling. Driven by the desire to hit significant numbers to prove the road for future fundraising and encouraged by our great initial traction in the student market, we embarked on significant work developing paid marketing channels and distribution channels that we could use to demonstrate scalable customer acquisition. This all fell flat due to our lack of product/market fit in the new markets, distracted significantly from product work to fix the fit (double fail) and cost a whole bunch of our runway.   - Moving too slowly after we raised our Series A (Back in 2010 when we closed the round, $1.3m was still known as Series A - there was none of that seedy talk you get nowadays..)  In hindsight it’s painful that we were not up to speed with the full team we wanted to hire until a full 8 months after we closed our VC round. We proudly described how we’d spent 3 months “learning how to hire” - by doing everything we could to learn from others, interview carefully and ensure we hired the right people. “Hire slow, fire fast” was the advice on many a respected startup blog. Well, not to add to the problem - but as I now know: “hire fast, fire fast” is for sure the better plan. Nothing struck me as such a comparison as when a friend more recently made a hire for her startup on the spot after an interview that went well, extended to 90 minutes and then - done. When I mentioned this to her she said simply “I need to hire 20 people in the next month”. Granted not how it goes in every situation, but another piece of advice I would give my earlier self would be to trust my gut sooner without dragging out an interview process to multiple rounds as standard or because “regardless, we should spend some time making this hire to see who else comes along”. We should have closed our round being able to name the 3 people we wanted to hire next, and being moving forward producing product and traction with a full team (not necessarily large, but balanced) within 2 months. At the time it was easy to feel like all our time on the meta-aspects of building a company was well spent. But for too long we were not 100% focused on the only things that ultimately mattered - customers, product/market fit, traction - and all the while our monthly burn was - well - burning. What we did right Despite all the above, we certainly did a number of things right. You may note that nowhere have I mentioned the key ideas behind GroupSpaces as among the things I consider mistaken. With GroupSpaces we have provided a great product that provides significant value to our many loyal users, and more continue to sign up as customers each day. I still believe a place exists for GroupSpaces or a similar service to scale to serve the market of the millions of membership organisations that currently rely on the unhappy marriage of a Yahoo/Google Group coupled with an Excel spreadsheet/google doc for member records, in addition to their own website and other services for events or payments. I hope to write more about my learnings as time allows, but for now it just remains for me to restate my heartfelt thanks to those who have supported us in the journey with GroupSpaces, and look forward to what the future holds for both GroupSpaces and Stripe.