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Reducing Poverty
to Accelerate
India’s Economic
Growth
- Imon Ghosh
imon@imonghosh.com
In this talk:
• Identifying new engines of economic growth.
• Leveraging India’s demographic dividend
through better education and skills.
• Can HRD, and Learning and Development
methodologies have an impact beyond the
corporate sector, and transform society?
• Actionable ideas to reduce poverty and
accelerate economic growth.
Do demographics matter?
• India’s unique demographic position: is a
reverse colonization imminent?
• The fiscal impact of ageing populations,
and link to deficits.
• Japan in the 1980s; Europe and North
America today.
• Even China will peak in 2025 due to its
one child policy … while India continues
as a “young” nation till 2065.
Education and skills are key
• To productively engage India’s youth
• “Cut-off” anti-social and anti-national
activities
• Strengthen India’s economy
• Address global skilled manpower
shortages …
Findings of a research study in
comparative teaching methodologies
Source : Professor Rafiq Dossani, Stanford University
Findings of a research study in
comparative teaching methodologies
Source : Professor Rafiq Dossani, Stanford University
Institution IIT Madras Stanford
University
Number of
class
Hours
Self directed
work (alone
or in groups)
30
13
25
40
An essential insight
…The greatest innovation in
teaching methodology for higher
education may simply be
the realization that
adult learners aren’t children!
Moving from Pedagogy to Andragogy
• Pedagogy (pèd-e-go´jê) literally means
the art and science of educating children
and often is used as a synonym for
teaching. More accurately, pedagogy
embodies teacher-focused education. In
the pedagogic model, teachers assume
responsibility for making decisions about
what will be learned, how it will be learned,
and when it will be learned. Teachers
direct learning.
Moving from Pedagogy to Andragogy
• Whether or not this is the best model for
child education, it is clearly inadequate
for adult learning, particularly when it
comes to work or career-related learning
within the process of human resource
development. HRD requires a more
active approach from the learner which
takes account of individual experience.
Moving from Pedagogy to Andragogy
• Andragogy, initially defined as "the art
and science of helping adults learn," has
taken on a broader meaning since
Knowles' first edition. The term currently
defines an alternative to pedagogy and
refers to learner-focused education for
people of all ages.
Moving from Pedagogy to Andragogy
• In the information age, the implications of
a move from teacher-centered to learner-
centered education are staggering.
• Postponing or suppressing this move will
slow our ability to learn new technology
and gain competitive advantage.
GTU Case Study
• Invitation by Vice Chancellor of the Gujarat
Technological University to several heads
of educational institutions to suggest ideas
on how Values Education can be taught
more effectively in GTU affiliated colleges.
• Objective: Enhance reading, critical
thinking and public speaking skills.
• Solution: Integrate T&D methodologies in
the classroom. Obstacles to overcome …
Developing Competence
• Competent people drive results, whether in the
armed forces, civil services etc.
• Competence is the ability of an individual to
perform a job properly. Some scholars see
“competence” as a combination of knowledge,
skills and behaviours / attitudes used to improve
performance.
• The term gained traction in 1973 when Dr. David
McClelland wrote a seminal paper on “Testing for
Competence Rather Than Intelligence.”
Human Resources
“The human resource movement has
over-emphasized Resource and
considerably de-emphasized the Human
element.”
- Dr. D.M. Pestonjee
Is HR’s focus too narrow?
• Highlighting that 42 percent children were
underweight in a country witnessing high
growth, Prime Minister Manmohan Singh
recently described it as a national shame.
• Every 15 seconds, an infant dies in India
according to Save the Children.
How can HR intervene?
• A major cause of infant mortality is the
unavailability of trained medical doctors in
rural areas.
• Over 80% of the limited numbers of medical
graduates prefer to work in urban areas (not
well paid in rural areas; lack of educational
facilities for children etc.)
• Recruitment exams for rural docs sporadic.
• Ad hoc appointments, without benefits.
HR impacts in unlikely places
• International cricket match abandoned in
Delhi due to poor pitch conditions.
• Lehman Brothers, with over 600 billion US
dollars in assets, files for bankruptcy
protection on September 15th, 2008. Poor
Talent Management practices a key
contributor to its downfall …
Can HRD impact the Informal Sector?
Industrial Category No. of persons (in millions)
Formal Sector Informal Sector
Agriculture 1.39 238.87
Non-Agriculture 26.68 131.5
Mining & Quarrying 1.01 1.25
Manufacturing 6.71 37.07
Electricity, Gas And Water 1 0.04
Construction 1.17 16.36
Trade, Hotels And Restaurants 0.49 40.37
Transport, Storage & Comm. 3.15 11.48
Financial Services 1.65 3.29
Community Services 11.49 21.64
All Sectors 28.07 (93%) 370.37
Year: 1999/00 (Total labour force: 406 million) (GDP share: 63%)
Can HRD impact the Informal Sector?
• Decent Work: According to the ILO,
Decent Work involves opportunities for
work that is productive and delivers a fair
income, security in the workplace and
social protection for families, better
prospects for personal development and
social integration, freedom for people to
express their concerns, and participate in
the decisions that affect their lives.
Multi-D Poverty Index
21
India - some facts
India–17% world population, 5% land mass
and 1.5% water resources
– 26.1% population Below Poverty Line;
– 26% population illiterate;
– 30% infants with low birth weight;
– 47% children underweight for their age (5 years);
– 18% population without improved water source;
– 42% population without access to latrines;
– 21% population under-nourished;
– and so on …….
22
HDI – a comparison
HDI
Rank
Country HDI Life Exp’y at
birth (yrs)
Per capita
GDP (US$)
Adult literacy
rate
1 Norway 0.963 79.4 37,670 > 99.0
6 Sweden 0.949 80.2 26,750 > 99.0
10 USA 0.944 77.4 37,562 > 99.0
11 Japan 0.943 82.0 27,967 > 99.0
15 UK 0.939 78.4 27,147 > 99.0
85 China 0.755 71.6 5,003 90.9
93 Sri Lanka 0.751 74.0 3,778 90.4
127 India 0.602 63.3 2,892 64.0
134 Bhutan 0.536 62.9 1,969 47.0
136 Nepal 0.526 61.6 1,420 48.6
177 Niger 0.281 44.4 877 14.4
Source: UNICEF 2008
Condition of children in India & China
24
Challenges – many
Courtesy: Shri Bharat Lal, Resident
Commisioner, Govt. of Gujarat
25
Inclusive growth ???
Item For all STs
Households without access to electricity 38.6 63.5
Villages not electrified 19.5 47.8
Households without drinking water source
within premises
54.8 84.8
Households without latrine 57.7 83.0
Rural BPL population 27.11 54.14
Households without permanent houses 42.3 75.6
In spite of expanding economic opportunities, 81% STs still either
cultivators (small landholding) and or agriculture labourers against
national average of 53.2%
(in percent)
26
Few key indicators
Parameter For all For STs
% Literacy rate 74.84 47.1
Infant mortality 67.6 84.2
Neo-natal mortality 43.4 53.3
Child mortality 29.3 46.3
% Institutional deliveries 33.6 17.1
% women with anemia 51.8 64.9
Childhood vaccination 42.0 26.4
Co-creating solutions
• I invite you to explore with me, and co-
create solutions for inclusive growth that
can economically empower 800 million
people in rural India alone!
• No idea is so good that it cannot be
improved upon … or so bad that it cannot
be used as a stepping stone to a better
idea!
Actionable ideas to reduce poverty
• Can India’s rural economy be an engine
for growth?
• “The problems of widespread poverty,
growing inequality, rapid population growth
and rising unemployment all find their
origins in rural areas …”
• “There can be no national development
without rural development.”
- Dr. Michael Todaro
… Basket case, or bread basket?
Can India’s
rural economy be
an engine for
growth?
Actionable ideas to reduce poverty
• The economic prospects for rural
development are far from bleak … indeed,
they show an astonishing robustness:
• Small scale and cottage industries employ
over 10 times as many people as heavy
industry (despite restricted access to
credit).
• Reduce regional disparities.
• Wide range of output.
Encourage rural enterprise
“Access to inexpensive
credit is a fundamental
human right.”
- Dr. Mohammed Yunus,
Founder of Grameen Bank
What if …
• We can empower the 800 million plus
people who live in India’s 600,000 villages
to enhance their disposable incomes
through access to inexpensive credit?
How would this impact …
• The Indian, and global economy?
• Rural – urban migration?
• Maternal health, and infant mortality?
• Bonded-labour, and life expectancy?
First things first
Do we need to rethink
the institutional
structure for rural
banking in India ?
Rethinking rural banking
• Unit banking superior to branch banking
for delivering rural credit.
• How does one establish unit banks in
India’s 600,000 villages?
• Leverage India’s ancient tradition of
indigenous banking.
• Stem rural-urban migration: the Lewis-Fei-
Ranis econometric model, and the Todaro
Migration Model.
Complementary strengths!
• The rural economy’s development
potential, and growth of the entire
Indian economy, are not going to be
achieved without the availability of
(a) affordable credit,
(b) in adequate quantities
(c) at the right time.
• Interestingly, India’s formal and informal
financial sectors complement each others
strengths!!
Complementary strengths!
FORMAL
FINANCIAL
SECTOR
INFORMAL
FINANCIAL
SECTOR
Cost of Capital Strength Weakness
Capital Adequacy Weakness Strength
Timely Decisions Weakness Strength
Geographical Coverage Weakness Strength
Integration essential
• Integration of India’s financial markets
essential for effective monetary policy.
• Refinance markets can bridge the divide.
• Wooing India’s indigenous bankers.
• The Imperial Bank succeeded where
others failed.
• Extend the RBI’s influence in India’s
traditional financial markets.
Interdisciplinary approach essential
• An innovative and interdisciplinary
approach necessary for success.
• Build on Mahatma Gandhi’s vision for rural
India.
• The modern concept of development includes
life-sustenance (ability to provide basic
human needs), self-esteem, and freedom
from servitude (of not being used as a tool
by others for their own ends).
For more information:
• To request a copy of this PPT, additional
papers related to Reducing Poverty to
Accelerate Economic Growth (shortly to be
available on Amazon Kindle, as an
audiobook and as a course on
Udemy.com and other online learning
platforms), a link to a TEDx talk, as well as
articles on Training & Development,
please email: imon@imonghosh.com
Imon’s Imprints
• Corporate training design and delivery
(several thousand participants of many
nationalities, in five countries and four
continents, over the past seventeen years)
• Management consulting (business
model design & development, brand
strategy, and whole systems
transformation).
• Publishing of ebooks and audiobooks etc.
Questions?

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Reducing Poverty to Accelerate India's Economic Growth

  • 1. Reducing Poverty to Accelerate India’s Economic Growth - Imon Ghosh imon@imonghosh.com
  • 2. In this talk: • Identifying new engines of economic growth. • Leveraging India’s demographic dividend through better education and skills. • Can HRD, and Learning and Development methodologies have an impact beyond the corporate sector, and transform society? • Actionable ideas to reduce poverty and accelerate economic growth.
  • 3. Do demographics matter? • India’s unique demographic position: is a reverse colonization imminent? • The fiscal impact of ageing populations, and link to deficits. • Japan in the 1980s; Europe and North America today. • Even China will peak in 2025 due to its one child policy … while India continues as a “young” nation till 2065.
  • 4. Education and skills are key • To productively engage India’s youth • “Cut-off” anti-social and anti-national activities • Strengthen India’s economy • Address global skilled manpower shortages …
  • 5. Findings of a research study in comparative teaching methodologies Source : Professor Rafiq Dossani, Stanford University
  • 6. Findings of a research study in comparative teaching methodologies Source : Professor Rafiq Dossani, Stanford University Institution IIT Madras Stanford University Number of class Hours Self directed work (alone or in groups) 30 13 25 40
  • 7. An essential insight …The greatest innovation in teaching methodology for higher education may simply be the realization that adult learners aren’t children!
  • 8. Moving from Pedagogy to Andragogy • Pedagogy (pèd-e-go´jê) literally means the art and science of educating children and often is used as a synonym for teaching. More accurately, pedagogy embodies teacher-focused education. In the pedagogic model, teachers assume responsibility for making decisions about what will be learned, how it will be learned, and when it will be learned. Teachers direct learning.
  • 9. Moving from Pedagogy to Andragogy • Whether or not this is the best model for child education, it is clearly inadequate for adult learning, particularly when it comes to work or career-related learning within the process of human resource development. HRD requires a more active approach from the learner which takes account of individual experience.
  • 10. Moving from Pedagogy to Andragogy • Andragogy, initially defined as "the art and science of helping adults learn," has taken on a broader meaning since Knowles' first edition. The term currently defines an alternative to pedagogy and refers to learner-focused education for people of all ages.
  • 11. Moving from Pedagogy to Andragogy • In the information age, the implications of a move from teacher-centered to learner- centered education are staggering. • Postponing or suppressing this move will slow our ability to learn new technology and gain competitive advantage.
  • 12. GTU Case Study • Invitation by Vice Chancellor of the Gujarat Technological University to several heads of educational institutions to suggest ideas on how Values Education can be taught more effectively in GTU affiliated colleges. • Objective: Enhance reading, critical thinking and public speaking skills. • Solution: Integrate T&D methodologies in the classroom. Obstacles to overcome …
  • 13. Developing Competence • Competent people drive results, whether in the armed forces, civil services etc. • Competence is the ability of an individual to perform a job properly. Some scholars see “competence” as a combination of knowledge, skills and behaviours / attitudes used to improve performance. • The term gained traction in 1973 when Dr. David McClelland wrote a seminal paper on “Testing for Competence Rather Than Intelligence.”
  • 14. Human Resources “The human resource movement has over-emphasized Resource and considerably de-emphasized the Human element.” - Dr. D.M. Pestonjee
  • 15. Is HR’s focus too narrow? • Highlighting that 42 percent children were underweight in a country witnessing high growth, Prime Minister Manmohan Singh recently described it as a national shame. • Every 15 seconds, an infant dies in India according to Save the Children.
  • 16. How can HR intervene? • A major cause of infant mortality is the unavailability of trained medical doctors in rural areas. • Over 80% of the limited numbers of medical graduates prefer to work in urban areas (not well paid in rural areas; lack of educational facilities for children etc.) • Recruitment exams for rural docs sporadic. • Ad hoc appointments, without benefits.
  • 17. HR impacts in unlikely places • International cricket match abandoned in Delhi due to poor pitch conditions. • Lehman Brothers, with over 600 billion US dollars in assets, files for bankruptcy protection on September 15th, 2008. Poor Talent Management practices a key contributor to its downfall …
  • 18. Can HRD impact the Informal Sector? Industrial Category No. of persons (in millions) Formal Sector Informal Sector Agriculture 1.39 238.87 Non-Agriculture 26.68 131.5 Mining & Quarrying 1.01 1.25 Manufacturing 6.71 37.07 Electricity, Gas And Water 1 0.04 Construction 1.17 16.36 Trade, Hotels And Restaurants 0.49 40.37 Transport, Storage & Comm. 3.15 11.48 Financial Services 1.65 3.29 Community Services 11.49 21.64 All Sectors 28.07 (93%) 370.37 Year: 1999/00 (Total labour force: 406 million) (GDP share: 63%)
  • 19. Can HRD impact the Informal Sector? • Decent Work: According to the ILO, Decent Work involves opportunities for work that is productive and delivers a fair income, security in the workplace and social protection for families, better prospects for personal development and social integration, freedom for people to express their concerns, and participate in the decisions that affect their lives.
  • 21. 21 India - some facts India–17% world population, 5% land mass and 1.5% water resources – 26.1% population Below Poverty Line; – 26% population illiterate; – 30% infants with low birth weight; – 47% children underweight for their age (5 years); – 18% population without improved water source; – 42% population without access to latrines; – 21% population under-nourished; – and so on …….
  • 22. 22 HDI – a comparison HDI Rank Country HDI Life Exp’y at birth (yrs) Per capita GDP (US$) Adult literacy rate 1 Norway 0.963 79.4 37,670 > 99.0 6 Sweden 0.949 80.2 26,750 > 99.0 10 USA 0.944 77.4 37,562 > 99.0 11 Japan 0.943 82.0 27,967 > 99.0 15 UK 0.939 78.4 27,147 > 99.0 85 China 0.755 71.6 5,003 90.9 93 Sri Lanka 0.751 74.0 3,778 90.4 127 India 0.602 63.3 2,892 64.0 134 Bhutan 0.536 62.9 1,969 47.0 136 Nepal 0.526 61.6 1,420 48.6 177 Niger 0.281 44.4 877 14.4
  • 23. Source: UNICEF 2008 Condition of children in India & China
  • 24. 24 Challenges – many Courtesy: Shri Bharat Lal, Resident Commisioner, Govt. of Gujarat
  • 25. 25 Inclusive growth ??? Item For all STs Households without access to electricity 38.6 63.5 Villages not electrified 19.5 47.8 Households without drinking water source within premises 54.8 84.8 Households without latrine 57.7 83.0 Rural BPL population 27.11 54.14 Households without permanent houses 42.3 75.6 In spite of expanding economic opportunities, 81% STs still either cultivators (small landholding) and or agriculture labourers against national average of 53.2% (in percent)
  • 26. 26 Few key indicators Parameter For all For STs % Literacy rate 74.84 47.1 Infant mortality 67.6 84.2 Neo-natal mortality 43.4 53.3 Child mortality 29.3 46.3 % Institutional deliveries 33.6 17.1 % women with anemia 51.8 64.9 Childhood vaccination 42.0 26.4
  • 27. Co-creating solutions • I invite you to explore with me, and co- create solutions for inclusive growth that can economically empower 800 million people in rural India alone! • No idea is so good that it cannot be improved upon … or so bad that it cannot be used as a stepping stone to a better idea!
  • 28. Actionable ideas to reduce poverty • Can India’s rural economy be an engine for growth? • “The problems of widespread poverty, growing inequality, rapid population growth and rising unemployment all find their origins in rural areas …” • “There can be no national development without rural development.” - Dr. Michael Todaro
  • 29. … Basket case, or bread basket? Can India’s rural economy be an engine for growth?
  • 30. Actionable ideas to reduce poverty • The economic prospects for rural development are far from bleak … indeed, they show an astonishing robustness: • Small scale and cottage industries employ over 10 times as many people as heavy industry (despite restricted access to credit). • Reduce regional disparities. • Wide range of output.
  • 31. Encourage rural enterprise “Access to inexpensive credit is a fundamental human right.” - Dr. Mohammed Yunus, Founder of Grameen Bank
  • 32. What if … • We can empower the 800 million plus people who live in India’s 600,000 villages to enhance their disposable incomes through access to inexpensive credit? How would this impact … • The Indian, and global economy? • Rural – urban migration? • Maternal health, and infant mortality? • Bonded-labour, and life expectancy?
  • 33. First things first Do we need to rethink the institutional structure for rural banking in India ?
  • 34. Rethinking rural banking • Unit banking superior to branch banking for delivering rural credit. • How does one establish unit banks in India’s 600,000 villages? • Leverage India’s ancient tradition of indigenous banking. • Stem rural-urban migration: the Lewis-Fei- Ranis econometric model, and the Todaro Migration Model.
  • 35. Complementary strengths! • The rural economy’s development potential, and growth of the entire Indian economy, are not going to be achieved without the availability of (a) affordable credit, (b) in adequate quantities (c) at the right time. • Interestingly, India’s formal and informal financial sectors complement each others strengths!!
  • 36. Complementary strengths! FORMAL FINANCIAL SECTOR INFORMAL FINANCIAL SECTOR Cost of Capital Strength Weakness Capital Adequacy Weakness Strength Timely Decisions Weakness Strength Geographical Coverage Weakness Strength
  • 37. Integration essential • Integration of India’s financial markets essential for effective monetary policy. • Refinance markets can bridge the divide. • Wooing India’s indigenous bankers. • The Imperial Bank succeeded where others failed. • Extend the RBI’s influence in India’s traditional financial markets.
  • 38. Interdisciplinary approach essential • An innovative and interdisciplinary approach necessary for success. • Build on Mahatma Gandhi’s vision for rural India. • The modern concept of development includes life-sustenance (ability to provide basic human needs), self-esteem, and freedom from servitude (of not being used as a tool by others for their own ends).
  • 39. For more information: • To request a copy of this PPT, additional papers related to Reducing Poverty to Accelerate Economic Growth (shortly to be available on Amazon Kindle, as an audiobook and as a course on Udemy.com and other online learning platforms), a link to a TEDx talk, as well as articles on Training & Development, please email: imon@imonghosh.com
  • 40. Imon’s Imprints • Corporate training design and delivery (several thousand participants of many nationalities, in five countries and four continents, over the past seventeen years) • Management consulting (business model design & development, brand strategy, and whole systems transformation). • Publishing of ebooks and audiobooks etc.