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Public Opinion Survey:
Residents of Moldova
May-June 2018
Detailed Methodology
2
• The survey was coordinated by Dr. Rasa Alisauskiene from Baltic Surveys/The Gallup Organization on behalf of the Center
for Insights in Survey Research. The field work was carried out by Magenta Consulting.
• Data was collected throughout Moldova (with the exception of Transnistria) between May 21 and June 18, 2018 through
face-to-face interviews in respondents’ homes.
• The sample consisted of 1,517 permanent residents of Moldova aged 18 and older and eligible to vote and is
representative of the general population by age, gender, region and settlement size.
• Sampling frame: Moldova Statistical Databank. Weighting: Data weighted for 11 regional groups, urban/rural, age and
gender.
• A multistage probability sampling method was used, with the random route and next birthday respondent selection
procedures.
 Stage one: All districts of Moldova were grouped into 11 groups; all regions (with the exception of Transnistria)
were surveyed.
 Stage two: Selection of the settlements (cities and villages).
o Settlements were selected at random.
o The number of settlements selected in each region was proportional to the share of population living in the
particular type of settlement in each region.
 Stage three: Primary sampling units were described.
• The margin of error does not exceed plus or minus 2.5 percent.
• The response rate was 63 percent.
• Charts and graphs may not add up to 100 percent due to rounding.
• The survey was funded by the United States Agency for International Development.
Mood of the Country
Generally speaking, do you think that things in Moldova are going
in the right direction or wrong direction?
4
34%
30%
33% 32%
27%
31%
19%
40%
37%
42%
33%
41%
38%
22% 21%
38% 41%
13% 11%
10%
32%
16%
26%
24%
58%
61%
57%
54%
58%
55%
66%
42%
51%
47%
54%
45%
53%
73% 74%
51%
47%
79%
83% 82%
62%
78%
73%
69%
8% 9% 10%
14% 15% 14% 15%
17%
12% 11%
13% 14%
9%
5% 5%
11% 12%
8% 5%
8% 6% 6%
1%
7%0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
Mar-04
Nov-04
Apr-06
Mar-07
Apr-08
Nov-08
Jun-09
Nov-09
Feb-10
May-10
Sep-10
Feb-11
Aug-11
Dec-11
Jan-12
Jun-14
Sep-14
Oct-15
Mar-16
Sep-16
Mar-17
Oct-17
Feb-18
Jun-18
Right direction Wrong direction Don't know/No answer
*In December 2014, news broke of a major banking scandal involving nearly $1 billion missing from three state banks. The scandal is
often referred to as “the stolen billion.”
**In 2016, Moldova conducted the first popular election of the president since 1996. Igor Dodon was elected in the second round
contest on November 13, 2016.
Are you satisfied with the pace of change in Moldova today?
5
1%
4%
3%
10%
4%
5%
7%
30%
31%
38%
45%
48%
44%
52%
15%
15%
7%
9%
7%
6%
7%
50%
46%
49%
33%
39%
42%
32%
4%
4%
3%
3%
2%
2%
2%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
October 2015
March 2016
September 2016
March 2017
October 2017
February 2018
June 2018
I am satisfied; change is happening at the right pace
I am dissatisfied; change is not happening fast enough
I am dissatisfied; change is happening too fast
No change is taking place
Don’t know/No answer
Over the last 12 months, how has the economic situation in
Moldova changed?
6
3%
5%
3%
4%
2%
2%
1%
2%
2%
2%
5%
3%
5%
2%
2%
4%
6%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
23%
26%
24%
24%
13%
20%
9%
8%
11%
14%
18%
25%
23%
15%
13%
20%
22%
4%
6%
6%
16%
15%
16%
18%
37%
37%
36%
32%
30%
30%
22%
34%
24%
30%
28%
27%
34%
20%
31%
33%
24%
16%
23%
25%
35%
45%
42%
45%
25%
22%
27%
27%
29%
28%
42%
39%
38%
30%
26%
22%
17%
31%
28%
23%
21%
34%
32%
30%
29%
21%
24%
22%
9%
6%
5%
10%
20%
15%
20%
10%
21%
19%
17%
18%
18%
29%
22%
14%
19%
42%
36%
35%
15%
16%
14%
10%
3%
4%
5%
4%
6%
5%
5%
7%
4%
5%
6%
5%
3%
3%
4%
6%
7%
4%
2%
3%
3%
3%
3%
4%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
March 2004
November 2004
April 2006
March 2007
April 2008
November 2008
June 2009
November 2009
February 2010
May 2010
September 2010
February 2011
August 2011
December 2011
January 2012
June 2014
September 2014
October 2015
March 2016
September 2016
March 2017
October 2017
February 2018
June 2018
Improved a lot Improved somewhat Stayed the same
Worsened somewhat Worsened a lot Don't know/No answer
Over the last 12 months, how has the financial situation of your
household changed?
7
2%
4%
2%
3%
2%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
4%
1%
4%
1%
2%
2%
4%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
16%
23%
25%
19%
11%
15%
9%
7%
8%
11%
14%
16%
18%
13%
10%
18%
21%
4%
5%
7%
11%
12%
12%
16%
48%
47%
44%
41%
37%
39%
32%
46%
36%
42%
36%
34%
43%
39%
41%
45%
38%
24%
32%
42%
53%
56%
53%
56%
22%
20%
22%
23%
25%
27%
36%
34%
36%
29%
29%
31%
18%
28%
29%
24%
19%
33%
33%
24%
23%
19%
23%
17%
10%
5%
5%
9%
16%
14%
17%
9%
16%
15%
14%
15%
14%
17%
15%
9%
15%
35%
27%
23%
10%
12%
9%
8%
1%
1%
1%
5%
9%
4%
5%
3%
4%
2%
4%
3%
3%
2%
3%
2%
3%
4%
2%
2%
2%
1%
2%
2%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
March 2004
November 2004
April 2006
March 2007
April 2008
November 2008
June 2009
November 2009
February 2010
May 2010
September 2010
February 2011
August 2011
December 2011
Janauary 2012
June 2014
September 2014
October 2015
March 2016
September 2016
March 2017
October 2017
February 2018
June 2018
Improved a lot Improved somewhat Stayed the same
Worsened somewhat Worsened a lot Don't know/No answer
In your opinion, how will the economic situation of Moldova
change in the next 12 months?
8
6%
11%
1%
2%
1%
4%
1%
2%
2%
24%
27%
6%
14%
13%
27%
20%
24%
28%
29%
24%
21%
34%
35%
32%
42%
35%
35%
17%
11%
30%
21%
20%
19%
14%
18%
14%
7%
12%
32%
19%
17%
7%
8%
7%
6%
17%
15%
10%
10%
14%
11%
15%
14%
15%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
June 2014
September 2014
October 2015
March 2016
September 2016
March 2017
October 2017
February 2018
June 2018
Improve a lot Improve somewhat Stay the same Worsen somewhat Worsen a lot Don't know/No answer
What are the most important problems that Moldova is facing at
the moment?
9
(Respondents permitted to supply three spontaneous answers)
35%
31%
30%
20%
15%
13%
12%
8%
7%
4%
4%
4%
3%
3%
3%
3%
3%
2%
2%
2%
2%
2%
1%
1%
1%
1%
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40%
Low income/Pensions
Corruption
Unemployment
Emigration
Roads
High prices/Inflation
Poverty
Bad government
Economic crisis
Education
Citizen indifference
Healthcare
Crime
Bad politicians
Instability in the country
Political crisis
Low standard of living
Expensive utilities/Housing
Uncertainty regarding the future
"The stolen billion"
Social assistance
Ineffective laws
Nobody cares about rural residents
Oligarchy
Conflicts between politicians
We are not independent
What are the most important problems facing your village/town at
the moment?
10
(Respondents permitted to supply three spontaneous answers)
42%
20%
10%
9%
9%
8%
7%
6%
6%
5%
5%
4%
4%
4%
4%
3%
3%
3%
2%
2%
2%
2%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50%
Roads
Unemployment
Cleanliness
Emigration
Low income/Pensions
Water supply
Lack of sanitation or sewerage
Insufficient street lighting
Bad mayor
Lack of public transport
Expensive utilities/Housing
Poor conditions at schools/Kindergartens
High prices/Inflation
Gas supply
Corruption
Traffic jams
Lack of cultural centers and activities
Citizen indifference
Poverty
Healthcare system
Social assistance
Infrastructure
No pharmacy
Ecology
No parks and green spaces
No parking space
Homeless dogs
Unauthorized buildings
What are the most important problems facing you and your
household?
11
(Respondents permitted to supply three spontaneous answers)
47%
10%
9%
8%
7%
4%
3%
3%
3%
2%
2%
2%
1%
1%
1%
1%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50%
Low income/Financial problems
Unemployment
Health problems
Emigration
Expensive utilities/Housing
House needs to be repaired
High prices/Inflation
No problems
Poverty
Expensive medicines
Water supply
Poor social assistance
Loneliness
Shortage of living space
Sanitation/Lack of sewerage
Low standard of living
How satisfied are you with the way democracy is developing in
Moldova?
12
2%
2%
1%
5%
2%
2%
1%
3%
4%
2%
5%
3%
5%
3%
1%
4%
9%
1%
3%
2%
2%
1%
2%
2%
24%
26%
25%
21%
17%
21%
16%
27%
22%
27%
23%
29%
25%
23%
18%
41%
31%
7%
11%
12%
24%
17%
20%
23%
44%
44%
43%
41%
41%
42%
41%
37%
37%
40%
41%
36%
39%
36%
43%
30%
26%
23%
22%
26%
34%
33%
31%
33%
17%
14%
14%
18%
24%
20%
25%
20%
27%
21%
24%
21%
22%
29%
27%
16%
26%
66%
58%
54%
37%
44%
43%
39%
13%
14%
17%
15%
16%
15%
17%
14%
10%
10%
8%
10%
9%
9%
11%
9%
7%
3%
6%
6%
3%
5%
4%
2%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
March 2004
November 2004
April 2006
March 2007
April 2008
November 2008
June 2009
November 2009
February 2010
May 2010
September 2010
February 2011
August 2011
December 2011
January 2012
June 2014
September 2014
October 2015
March 2016
September 2016
March 2017
October 2017
February 2018
June 2018
Very satisfied Somewhat satisfied Somewhat dissatisfied Very dissatisfied Don't know/No answer
Which of these statements is closest to your own point of view?
13
57%
58%
71%
74%
78%
60%
61%
68%
71%
24%
21%
14%
12%
9%
17%
17%
19%
17%
8%
11%
9%
6%
7%
13%
17%
10%
9%
11%
10%
6%
8%
6%
10%
5%
3%
3%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
June 2014
September 2014
October 2015
March 2016
September 2016
March 2017
October 2017
February 2018
June 2018
Our society needs serious reforms (structural and systemic change)
Our society needs gradual reforms which preserve the existing system
Our society has to be protected from the forces who want to change the current order
Don't know/No answer
Views on Corruption
Do you consider the country to be governed in the interest of the
majority of people or the interest of some groups?
15
17%
5%
7%
5%
7%
8%
78%
90%
89%
91%
89%
85%
5%
5%
4%
4%
4%
7%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
March 2016
September 2016
March 2017
October 2017
February 2018
June 2018
Majority of people Some groups Don't know/No answer
How big of a problem is corruption in Moldova today?
16
72%
66%
64%
60%
62%
61%
58%
53%
57%
59%
61%
80%
73%
81%
73%
87%
87%
89%
75%
85%
80%
82%
24%
25%
26%
25%
27%
31%
33%
37%
31%
33%
29%
15%
21%
14%
18%
8%
8%
7%
19%
11%
16%
14%
2%
3%
2%
5%
4%
3%
4%
4%
4%
3%
3%
2%
2%
1%
5%
1%
1%
1%
3%
2%
2%
2%
1%
2%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
2%
1%
1%
1%
2%
5%
8%
10%
6%
5%
3%
5%
7%
4%
6%
2%
3%
3%
3%
2%
3%
2%
2%
2%
2%
2%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
November 2004
March 2006
March 2007
April 2008
November 2008
November 2009
February 2010
May 2010
September 2010
February 2011
August 2011
December 2011
January 2012
June 2014
September 2014
October 2015
March 2016
September 2016
March 2017
October 2017
February 2018
June 2018
It is a very big problem It is a big problem It is not a big problem
It is not a problem at all Don't know/No answer
What, in your opinion, is the greatest cause of corruption in
Moldova?
17
42%
22%
20%
10%
4%
1%
2%
42%
21%
17%
9%
5%
2%
5%
36%
27%
21%
9%
4%
1%
3%
38%
25%
21%
11%
2%
1%
2%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50%
Lack of government control and oversight
Poverty and necessity
The actions of business leaders and oligarchs
Education levels of citizens
Custom and history
Other
Don't know/No answer
June 2018 February 2018 October 2017 March 2017
Where, in your opinion, is corruption most present in Moldova?
18
22%
20%
12%
12%
11%
8%
4%
4%
3%
5%
30%
21%
11%
7%
8%
7%
4%
3%
5%
6%
30%
22%
9%
9%
10%
7%
4%
3%
4%
1%
3%
20%
25%
10%
13%
11%
7%
3%
2%
6%
1%
2%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50%
The Parliament
Public servants (doctors, teachers, policemen)
Judicial branch
Business leaders, oligarchs
Prime Minister and Cabinet
Political parties and leadership of parties
The President
Local officials
Everywhere
Other
Don't know/No answer
June 2018 February 2018 October 2017 March 2017
In the past 12 months, how often, if ever, have you had to do a
favor, give a gift or pay a bribe in order to receive services?
19
59%
67%
63%
22%
23%
23%
6%
4%
5%
4%
3%
5%
8%
2%
3%
1%
1%
1%
March 2017
October 2017
June 2018
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Never 1 or 2 times 3-5 times More than 5 times Refused to answer Don’t know/No answer
For whom have you had to do a favor, give a gift or pay a bribe in
order to receive services?
(Respondents who had to do this in the last 12 months)
20
67%
25%
18%
3%
2%
2%
2%
1%
<1%
1%
11%
72%
19%
23%
4%
5%
1%
1%
1%
1%
6%
6%
63%
26%
25%
4%
5%
2%
1%
2%
4%
10%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80%
Doctors/Hospital employee
Police
Educator/University official
Kindergarten administrator
Local government official
Border official
Judge/Lawyer
Tax inspector
Civil servant
Other
Don't know/No answer
June 2018; N=510 October 2017; N=456 March 2017; N=478
Politics
Which politicians or public persons do you trust the most?
22
30%
15%
12%
6%
6%
5%
4%
3%
3%
2%
2%
2%
1%
10%
29%
10%
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35%
Igor Dodon
Maia Sandu
Andrei Nastase
Zinaida Grecianii
Pavel Filip
Vladimir Plahotniuc
Vladimir Voronin
Ion Ceban
Renato Usatii
Ilan Shor
Irina Vlah
Adrian Candu
Dorin Chirtoaca
Other
None
Don't know/No answer
(Respondents permitted to supply three spontaneous answers)
What is your opinion of the following Moldovan politicians or
members of the Moldovan government?
23
50%
39%
38%
37%
33%
32%
29%
25%
24%
21%
20%
17%
12%
9%
8%
45%
46%
56%
55%
58%
61%
59%
62%
59%
70%
73%
73%
46%
85%
40%
6%
1%
2%
2%
1%
4%
4%
7%
2%
1%
3%
34%
1%
42%
5%
9%
5%
6%
7%
6%
7%
9%
9%
7%
6%
7%
8%
5%
10%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Igor Dodon
Andrei Nastase
Maia Sandu
Zinaida Greceanii
Pavel Filip
Vladimir Voronin
Ilan Shor
Dorin Chirtoaca
Andrian Candu
Renato Usatii
Vlad Plahotniuc
Iurie Leanca
Valeriu Munteanu
Mihai Ghimpu
Viorel Cibotaru
Favorable Unfavorable Have not heard of Don't know/No answer
What is your opinion of each of the following institutions?
24
65%
62%
58%
57%
51%
50%
45%
44%
42%
40%
39%
37%
35%
31%
30%
27%
22%
27%
31%
38%
30%
44%
47%
51%
35%
53%
58%
31%
49%
52%
64%
60%
61%
73%
8%
7%
4%
13%
5%
3%
4%
21%
5%
2%
30%
14%
13%
5%
10%
11%
4%
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
Moldovan Orthodox Church
Army
Local authorities
Romanian Orthodox Church
Moldovan mass media
Education system
Police authorities
International Monetary Fund
President’s Office
Healthcare system
NGOs
Central Electoral Commission
Central Bank
Moldovan Government
Prosecutor’s Office
Courts of justice
Moldovan Parliament
Favorable Unfavorable Don’t know/No answer
Attitudes Toward the President,
Government, and Local Authorities
Do you approve or disapprove of the activities of the President of
Moldova Igor Dodon?
26
31%
26%
28%
27%
23%
22%
21%
20%
15%
14%
15%
15%
29%
33%
33%
32%
2%
4%
3%
6%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
March 2017
October 2017
February 2018
June 2018
Strongly approve Somewhat approve Somewhat disapprove Strongly disapprove Don’t know/No answer
Do you approve or disapprove of the Filip government?
27
5%
6%
7%
7%
6%
20%
22%
29%
28%
23%
19%
26%
20%
16%
22%
42%
39%
35%
41%
39%
14%
7%
9%
8%
10%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
September 2016
March 2017
October 2017
February 2018
June 2018
Strongly approve Somewhat approve Somewhat disapprove Strongly disapprove Don’t know/No answer
What is your opinion of the activities of each of the following
Moldovan ministries?
28
51%
49%
48%
47%
43%
40%
29%
27%
27%
45%
40%
44%
45%
51%
56%
62%
65%
67%
4%
11%
8%
8%
6%
4%
9%
8%
6%
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
Ministry of Education, Culture and Research
Ministry of Foreign Affairs and European Integration
Ministry of Internal Affairs
Ministry of Defense
Ministry of Agriculture, Regional Development and
Environment
Ministry of Health, Labor and Social Protection
Ministry of Justice
Ministry of Finance
Ministry of Economy and Infrastructure
Positive Negative Don’t know/No answer
What are the most important problems that the Filip government
must solve?
29
(Respondents permitted to supply three spontaneous answers)
32%
26%
13%
9%
7%
6%
6%
4%
4%
3%
3%
3%
2%
2%
2%
2%
2%
2%
2%
2%
2%
2%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35%
Wages/Pensions
Job creation
Tackling corruption
Roads
Emigration
Consumer prices
Economic performance
Living conditions
Assistance to young people
Education reform
Poverty
Heathcare system
Government should quit
Low standard of living
Solving problems of citizens
Recovering the "stolen billion"
High price of utilities
Disconnect between the government and citizens
Cooperate with President Dodon
Assistance to pensioners
Assistance to rural areas
Social assistance
Open factories and plants
Issues of public order
Build a team of professionals
Repair schools and kindergartens
Development of agriculture
Good relationship with Russia
Do you approve or disapprove of the parliamentary majority led by
the Democratic Party?
30
3%
5%
6%
18%
21%
18%
26%
22%
23%
45%
46%
47%
8%
6%
6%
October 2017
February 2018
June 2018
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Strongly approve Somewhat approve Somewhat disapprove Strongly disapprove Don’t know/No answer
Do you think that the Moldovan Parliament is responsive to the
needs of citizens like you?
31
1%
1%
1%
1%
2%
7%
13%
14%
18%
17%
20%
27%
29%
30%
32%
70%
57%
53%
49%
46%
2%
2%
3%
2%
3%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
September 2016
March 2017
October 2017
February 2018
June 2018
Very responsive Rather responsive Rather unresponsive Not responsive at all Don't know/No answer
Do you approve or disapprove of the activities of your local
government (i.e. mayor, local councilors and raion councilors)?
32
21%
19%
21%
36%
35%
38%
21%
23%
19%
18%
20%
15%
4%
3%
7%
October 2017
February 2018
June 2018
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Strongly approve Somewhat approve Somewhat disapprove Strongly disapprove Don’t know/No answer
*Below the central government, Moldova is divided administratively into three municipalities, two autonomous regions and 32 districts
which are referred to as raions. The raions are governed by a locally-elected council.
Parliamentary Elections
How likely, if at all, are you to vote in the next parliamentary
elections?
34
75%
61%
62%
60%
62%
64%
18%
26%
24%
23%
25%
21%
3%
5%
8%
7%
6%
6%
2%
5%
3%
7%
5%
5%
1%
3%
3%
3%
2%
4%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
March 2016
September 2016
March 2017
October 2017
February 2018
June 2018
Very likely Somewhat likely Somewhat unlikely Very unlikely Don't know/No answer
How likely, if at all, are you to vote in the next parliamentary
elections?
(Disaggregated by age)
35
58%
66%
66%
21%
21%
20%
8%
5%
5%
6%
5%
5%
6%
3%
3%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
18-29 years old
(N=303)
30-49 years old
(N=496)
50+ years old
(N=719)
Very likely Somewhat likely Somewhat unlikely Very unlikely Don't know/No answer
If parliamentary elections were held next Sunday and the
following political parties participated in the election, for which
political party would you vote?
36
32%
15%
8%
8%
3%
2%
2%
1%
1%
1%
<1%
<1%
<1%
5%
4%
18%
4%
8%
4%
11%
6%
2%
4%
1%
1%
1%
<1%
<1%
1%
11%
8%
37%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%
Party of Socialists of the Republic of Moldova (Greceanii)
Political party “Action and Solidarity” (Sandu)
Democratic Party of Moldova (Plahotniuc)
Political party “Dignity and Truth Platform” (Nastase)
Party of Communists of the Republic of Moldova (Voronin)
Political party “Șor” (Șor)
Our Party (Usatii)
Socialist People's Party of Moldova (Stepaniuc)
European People’s Party of Moldova (Leancă)
Liberal Party (Ghimpu)
National Unity Party (Salaru)
Liberal Democratic Party of Moldova (Cibotaru)
Other
None of the parties
Will not vote
Don’t know/No answer
First choice Second choice
If parliamentary elections were held next Sunday and the
following political parties participated in the election, for which
political party would you vote?
37
36%
16%
9%
9%
3%
3%
2%
1%
1%
1%
1%
<1%
1%
2%
17%
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40%
Party of Socialists of the Republic of Moldova (Greceanii)
Political party “Action and Solidarity” (Sandu)
Democratic Party of Moldova (Plahotniuc)
Political party “Dignity and Truth Platform” (Nastase)
Party of Communists of the Republic of Moldova (Voronin)
Political party “Șor” (Șor)
Our Party (Usatii)
Socialist People's Party of Moldova (Stepaniuc)
European People’s Party of Moldova (Leancă)
Liberal Party (Ghimpu)
National Unity Party (Salaru)
Liberal Democratic Party of Moldova (Cibotaru)
Other
None of the parties
Don’t know/No answer
(Likely voters; N=1,292)
When voting for a candidate to represent your district in
Parliament, what is more important to you?
38
48%
9%
4%
4%
4%
29%
2%
The candidate as a person
The party or bloc the candidate represents
The fact that the candidate is from my
city/raion/village
The fact that the candidate is a well-known
national political leader
The fact that candidate is independent
All are equally important
Don’t know/No answer
For each attribute, please tell me if it would make you more or less
likely to vote for the candidate, or if it would not matter?
39
21%
20%
19%
17%
9%
6%
19%
30%
23%
20%
33%
39%
55%
46%
52%
57%
53%
51%
4%
4%
5%
6%
5%
4%
Candidate is 35 years old or younger
Candidate has never held office before
Candidate is from the party in power
Candidate is from an opposition party
Candidate has a different ethnic background
Candidate has a different religion
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
More likely to vote for the candidate Makes no difference to me
Less likely to vote for the candidate Don’t know/No answer
I will read you a list of several qualities voters commonly seek in
politicians. For each quality, please tell me if it is more likely for men
to have it, for women to have it, or if both genders are likely to have it?
40
35%
28%
19%
13%
13%
13%
4%
5%
5%
7%
14%
18%
59%
66%
74%
78%
72%
67%
1%
1%
2%
2%
1%
2%
Strength
Leadership skills
Experience
Higher education
Ability to communicate
Ability to listen
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
More likely for men to have this quality More likely for women to have this quality
Both genders are equally likely to have this quality Don’t know/No answer
International Relations
How would you assess current relations between Moldova and each
of the following countries?
42
65%
62%
55%
48%
47%
16%
18%
19%
25%
23%
14%
15%
23%
16%
17%
5%
5%
3%
11%
13%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Romania
European Union
Russia
Ukraine
United States
Good Neither good nor bad Bad Don't know/No answer
Which of these countries do you consider to be the greatest
economic partner, political partner and threat for Moldova?
43
65%
51%
10%
64%
53%
23%
41%
38%
11%
23%
19%
26%
21%
16% 15%
2%
5%
22%
6%
9%
22%
Economic partner Political partner Threat
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
European Union Russia Romania United States Ukraine None Don't know/No answer
If Moldova could join only one international economic union, which
one should it be?
44
46%
38%
43%
40%
42%
49%
43%
46%
42%
45%
44%
43%
43%
38%
42%
36%
1%
3%
4%
8%
8%
5%
7%
7%
11%
14%
9%
9%
7%
8%
8%
11%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
September 2014
October 2015
March 2016
September 2016
March 2017
October 2017
February 2018
June 2018
The European Union The Customs Union/Eurasian Union Other Don’t know/No answer
If Moldova could join only one international economic union, which
one should it be?
(Disaggregated by age)
45
59%
51%
37%
27%
32%
43%
5%
8%
7%
9%
9%
13%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
18-29 years old
(N=303)
30-49 years old
(N=496)
50+ years old
(N=719)
The European Union The Customs Union/Eurasian Union Other Don’t know/No answer
If a referendum were held today on Moldova joining NATO, how
would you vote?
46
31%
19%
16%
21%
27%
22%
21%
22%
31%
35%
40%
42%
45%
43%
41%
43%
15%
19%
24%
21%
18%
22%
30%
21%
23%
27%
20%
16%
10%
13%
8%
14%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
September 2014
October 2015
March 2016
September 2016
March 2017
October 2017
February 2018
June 2018
For Moldova joining NATO Against Moldova joining NATO Would not vote Don’t know/No answer
Youth Political Engagement
Do you think that today’s generation of young people has a good
future in Moldova?
48
18%
24%
76%
70%
6%
6%
February 2018
June 2018
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Yes No Don't know/No answer
Which of the following should be the government’s first priority
regarding Moldovan youth?
49
52%
20%
15%
5%
4%
2%
2%
24%
20%
28%
11%
9%
5%
4%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80%
Employment
Educational reform
Institute reforms to make it easier for youth to start
businesses
Address youth health and psychological issues
Encourage youth participation in public life
Encourage youth participation in political life
Don’t know/No answer
First choice Second choice
What is the main challenge to young people’s political
participation in Moldova today?
50
28%
25%
25%
10%
5%
3%
1%
3%
24%
18%
19%
17%
9%
6%
2%
1%
5%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%
Emigration
Lack of interest or motivation/Disappointment
Unemployment/Financial problems
Lack of confidence, trust and hope in the future
Lack of investment in or support for young people
Political parties do not encourage youth
There are no challenges facing youth
participation
Other
Don’t know/No answer
First choice Second choice
Sources of Information
Which of these media outlets do you use for gaining political
information?
52
86%
50%
38%
33%
24%
16%
14%
12%
8%
7%
7%
7%
2%
1%
89%
42%
32%
26%
15%
14%
11%
7%
3%
4%
3%
5%
2%
87%
47%
34%
31%
18%
15%
8%
9%
8%
6%
11%
1%
89%
45%
43%
41%
28%
21%
14%
15%
17%
9%
13%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
TV – news, programs
Internet
Relatives, friends
Radio – news, programs
Articles in newspapers
Debates
Social media
Work colleagues
Billboards, stands in the streets
Leaflets, other free information by mail
Articles in magazines
Meetings with politicians
None
Don't know/No answer
June 2018 February 2018 October 2017 March 2017
(Respondents permitted to supply several answers)
Which television channels do you watch for political information?
(TV channels mentioned by at least one percent of respondents)
53
41%
29%
27%
21%
19%
13%
13%
9%
6%
4%
3%
2%
2%
1%
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45%
Prime TV
Moldova 1
Jurnal TV
Publica TV
Pro TV
RTR
NTV
Canal 3
Canal 2
Accent TV
TV8
TNT
N4
CTC
Which television channels do you watch for entertainment?
(TV channels mentioned by at least one percent of respondents)
54
24%
18%
15%
13%
12%
12%
11%
8%
8%
7%
6%
4%
4%
2%
1%
1%
1%
1%
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30%
Prime TV
RTR
NTV
TNT
Moldova 1
Canal 3
CTC
Canal 2
Pro TV
Jurnal TV
TV1000
Discovery
Publica TV
N4
RenTV
Ukraine
Muz TV
Noroc TV
If you had to choose one, which of the following is the primary
channel you watch most of the time?
55
20%
13%
10%
7%
7%
6%
5%
5%
4%
3%
1%
7%
10%
3%
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25%
Prime TV
Jurnal TV
Moldova 1
RTR
NTV
Pro TV
TNT
Canal 3
Publica TV
Canal 2
CTC
Other
I do not watch TV
Don't know/No answer
How often do you use the internet?
56
49%
49%
46%
40%
38%
35%
34%
33%
32%
23%
23%
18%
17%
18%
13%
15%
12%
4%
4%
4%
8%
6%
6%
6%
6%
6%
4%
4%
6%
6%
5%
5%
5%
2%
5%
5%
4%
6%
5%
6%
6%
6%
6%
4%
4%
7%
8%
5%
8%
7%
4%
4%
2%
3%
3%
3%
3%
4%
4%
4%
4%
4%
6%
5%
6%
7%
6%
6%
6%
4%
5%
6%
5%
8%
4%
3%
3%
11%
8%
14%
12%
11%
13%
12%
12%
32%
36%
38%
37%
42%
41%
46%
47%
48%
52%
56%
45%
51%
51%
52%
48%
59%
1%
1%
1%
1%
2%
2%
4%
1%
3%
2%
6%
4%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
June 2018
February 2018
October 2017
March 2017
September 2016
March 2016
October 2015
September 2014
June 2014
January 2012
December 2011
August 2011
February 2011
September 2010
May 2010
February 2010
November 2009
Every day 5-6 days a week 3-4 days a week 1-2 days a week Less often Never Don't know/No answer
Do you own a smartphone which can access the internet?
(Respondents who use the internet)
57
68%
67%
68%
73%
30%
32%
30%
26%
2%
1%
2%
1%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
March 2017
(N=946)
October 2017
(N=940)
February 2018
(N=960)
June 2018
(N=1,033)
Yes No Don’t know/No answer
Do you use any of the following social media sites?
(Respondents who use the internet)
58
65%
60%
21%
18%
14%
4%
3%
2%
2%
1%
16%
68%
56%
18%
13%
3%
5%
3%
1%
16%
65%
58%
22%
18%
5%
6%
1%
1%
14%
76%
59%
18%
18%
5%
4%
3%
1%
13%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80%
Odnoklassniki
Facebook
Instagram
WhatsApp
Vkontakte
Twitter
Telegram
MoiMir
LiveJournal
LinkedIn
I don’t use social media
June 2018 (N=1,033) February 2018 (N=960) October 2017 (N=940) March 2017 (N=946)
How often do you use social media as a source of daily news?
59
43%
48%
8%
6%
10%
9%
7%
8%
11%
8%
18%
19%
3%
2%
February 2018
(N=960)
June 2018
(N=1,033)
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Every day 5-6 days a week 3-4 days a week 1-2 days a week Less often Never Don't know/No answer
(Respondents who use the internet)
Demographics
Demographics
47%
53%
20%
33%
47%
10%
26%
39%
24%
5%
77%
6%
6%
6%
80%
13%
4%
3%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Male
Female
18-29 years
30-49 years
50 years and older
Unfinished secondary
Secondary
Vocational
Higher/Incomplete higher
Romanian
Moldovan
Russian
Ukrainian
Other
Russian Orthodox
Romanian Orthodox
Other
None
GENDERAGEEDUCATIONETHNICITYRELIGION
61
Demographics
62
2%
7%
3%
3%
5%
11%
8%
2%
4%
29%
8%
11%
4%
1%
2%
45%
51%
13%
29%
38%
11%
1%
2%
21%
24%
55%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70%
Manager/Director/Patron
Specialist
Technician
White collar
Services/Trade
Blue collar
Unqualified worker
Farmer
Student
Retired (not working)
Housewife
Unemployed/Looking for a job
Unemployed/Not looking for a job
Other
Refused
My salary or the income of enterprise or family farm
The salary or income of some of the members of my family
Sale of products of the part-time farm
Use of products of the part-time farm
Social benefits
The help of relatives/friends in a form of money/food/goods
Something else
No answer
Chisinau
Mid-sized/Small town
Rural area
OCCUPATIONBASICSOURCESOFLIVELIHOOD
SETTLEMENT
TYPE
www.IRI.org | @IRI_Polls
Center for Insights in Survey Research
202.408.9450 | info@iri.org

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Public Opinion Survey: Residents of Moldova

  • 1. Public Opinion Survey: Residents of Moldova May-June 2018
  • 2. Detailed Methodology 2 • The survey was coordinated by Dr. Rasa Alisauskiene from Baltic Surveys/The Gallup Organization on behalf of the Center for Insights in Survey Research. The field work was carried out by Magenta Consulting. • Data was collected throughout Moldova (with the exception of Transnistria) between May 21 and June 18, 2018 through face-to-face interviews in respondents’ homes. • The sample consisted of 1,517 permanent residents of Moldova aged 18 and older and eligible to vote and is representative of the general population by age, gender, region and settlement size. • Sampling frame: Moldova Statistical Databank. Weighting: Data weighted for 11 regional groups, urban/rural, age and gender. • A multistage probability sampling method was used, with the random route and next birthday respondent selection procedures.  Stage one: All districts of Moldova were grouped into 11 groups; all regions (with the exception of Transnistria) were surveyed.  Stage two: Selection of the settlements (cities and villages). o Settlements were selected at random. o The number of settlements selected in each region was proportional to the share of population living in the particular type of settlement in each region.  Stage three: Primary sampling units were described. • The margin of error does not exceed plus or minus 2.5 percent. • The response rate was 63 percent. • Charts and graphs may not add up to 100 percent due to rounding. • The survey was funded by the United States Agency for International Development.
  • 3. Mood of the Country
  • 4. Generally speaking, do you think that things in Moldova are going in the right direction or wrong direction? 4 34% 30% 33% 32% 27% 31% 19% 40% 37% 42% 33% 41% 38% 22% 21% 38% 41% 13% 11% 10% 32% 16% 26% 24% 58% 61% 57% 54% 58% 55% 66% 42% 51% 47% 54% 45% 53% 73% 74% 51% 47% 79% 83% 82% 62% 78% 73% 69% 8% 9% 10% 14% 15% 14% 15% 17% 12% 11% 13% 14% 9% 5% 5% 11% 12% 8% 5% 8% 6% 6% 1% 7%0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% Mar-04 Nov-04 Apr-06 Mar-07 Apr-08 Nov-08 Jun-09 Nov-09 Feb-10 May-10 Sep-10 Feb-11 Aug-11 Dec-11 Jan-12 Jun-14 Sep-14 Oct-15 Mar-16 Sep-16 Mar-17 Oct-17 Feb-18 Jun-18 Right direction Wrong direction Don't know/No answer *In December 2014, news broke of a major banking scandal involving nearly $1 billion missing from three state banks. The scandal is often referred to as “the stolen billion.” **In 2016, Moldova conducted the first popular election of the president since 1996. Igor Dodon was elected in the second round contest on November 13, 2016.
  • 5. Are you satisfied with the pace of change in Moldova today? 5 1% 4% 3% 10% 4% 5% 7% 30% 31% 38% 45% 48% 44% 52% 15% 15% 7% 9% 7% 6% 7% 50% 46% 49% 33% 39% 42% 32% 4% 4% 3% 3% 2% 2% 2% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% October 2015 March 2016 September 2016 March 2017 October 2017 February 2018 June 2018 I am satisfied; change is happening at the right pace I am dissatisfied; change is not happening fast enough I am dissatisfied; change is happening too fast No change is taking place Don’t know/No answer
  • 6. Over the last 12 months, how has the economic situation in Moldova changed? 6 3% 5% 3% 4% 2% 2% 1% 2% 2% 2% 5% 3% 5% 2% 2% 4% 6% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 23% 26% 24% 24% 13% 20% 9% 8% 11% 14% 18% 25% 23% 15% 13% 20% 22% 4% 6% 6% 16% 15% 16% 18% 37% 37% 36% 32% 30% 30% 22% 34% 24% 30% 28% 27% 34% 20% 31% 33% 24% 16% 23% 25% 35% 45% 42% 45% 25% 22% 27% 27% 29% 28% 42% 39% 38% 30% 26% 22% 17% 31% 28% 23% 21% 34% 32% 30% 29% 21% 24% 22% 9% 6% 5% 10% 20% 15% 20% 10% 21% 19% 17% 18% 18% 29% 22% 14% 19% 42% 36% 35% 15% 16% 14% 10% 3% 4% 5% 4% 6% 5% 5% 7% 4% 5% 6% 5% 3% 3% 4% 6% 7% 4% 2% 3% 3% 3% 3% 4% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% March 2004 November 2004 April 2006 March 2007 April 2008 November 2008 June 2009 November 2009 February 2010 May 2010 September 2010 February 2011 August 2011 December 2011 January 2012 June 2014 September 2014 October 2015 March 2016 September 2016 March 2017 October 2017 February 2018 June 2018 Improved a lot Improved somewhat Stayed the same Worsened somewhat Worsened a lot Don't know/No answer
  • 7. Over the last 12 months, how has the financial situation of your household changed? 7 2% 4% 2% 3% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 4% 1% 4% 1% 2% 2% 4% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 16% 23% 25% 19% 11% 15% 9% 7% 8% 11% 14% 16% 18% 13% 10% 18% 21% 4% 5% 7% 11% 12% 12% 16% 48% 47% 44% 41% 37% 39% 32% 46% 36% 42% 36% 34% 43% 39% 41% 45% 38% 24% 32% 42% 53% 56% 53% 56% 22% 20% 22% 23% 25% 27% 36% 34% 36% 29% 29% 31% 18% 28% 29% 24% 19% 33% 33% 24% 23% 19% 23% 17% 10% 5% 5% 9% 16% 14% 17% 9% 16% 15% 14% 15% 14% 17% 15% 9% 15% 35% 27% 23% 10% 12% 9% 8% 1% 1% 1% 5% 9% 4% 5% 3% 4% 2% 4% 3% 3% 2% 3% 2% 3% 4% 2% 2% 2% 1% 2% 2% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% March 2004 November 2004 April 2006 March 2007 April 2008 November 2008 June 2009 November 2009 February 2010 May 2010 September 2010 February 2011 August 2011 December 2011 Janauary 2012 June 2014 September 2014 October 2015 March 2016 September 2016 March 2017 October 2017 February 2018 June 2018 Improved a lot Improved somewhat Stayed the same Worsened somewhat Worsened a lot Don't know/No answer
  • 8. In your opinion, how will the economic situation of Moldova change in the next 12 months? 8 6% 11% 1% 2% 1% 4% 1% 2% 2% 24% 27% 6% 14% 13% 27% 20% 24% 28% 29% 24% 21% 34% 35% 32% 42% 35% 35% 17% 11% 30% 21% 20% 19% 14% 18% 14% 7% 12% 32% 19% 17% 7% 8% 7% 6% 17% 15% 10% 10% 14% 11% 15% 14% 15% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% June 2014 September 2014 October 2015 March 2016 September 2016 March 2017 October 2017 February 2018 June 2018 Improve a lot Improve somewhat Stay the same Worsen somewhat Worsen a lot Don't know/No answer
  • 9. What are the most important problems that Moldova is facing at the moment? 9 (Respondents permitted to supply three spontaneous answers) 35% 31% 30% 20% 15% 13% 12% 8% 7% 4% 4% 4% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% Low income/Pensions Corruption Unemployment Emigration Roads High prices/Inflation Poverty Bad government Economic crisis Education Citizen indifference Healthcare Crime Bad politicians Instability in the country Political crisis Low standard of living Expensive utilities/Housing Uncertainty regarding the future "The stolen billion" Social assistance Ineffective laws Nobody cares about rural residents Oligarchy Conflicts between politicians We are not independent
  • 10. What are the most important problems facing your village/town at the moment? 10 (Respondents permitted to supply three spontaneous answers) 42% 20% 10% 9% 9% 8% 7% 6% 6% 5% 5% 4% 4% 4% 4% 3% 3% 3% 2% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% Roads Unemployment Cleanliness Emigration Low income/Pensions Water supply Lack of sanitation or sewerage Insufficient street lighting Bad mayor Lack of public transport Expensive utilities/Housing Poor conditions at schools/Kindergartens High prices/Inflation Gas supply Corruption Traffic jams Lack of cultural centers and activities Citizen indifference Poverty Healthcare system Social assistance Infrastructure No pharmacy Ecology No parks and green spaces No parking space Homeless dogs Unauthorized buildings
  • 11. What are the most important problems facing you and your household? 11 (Respondents permitted to supply three spontaneous answers) 47% 10% 9% 8% 7% 4% 3% 3% 3% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% Low income/Financial problems Unemployment Health problems Emigration Expensive utilities/Housing House needs to be repaired High prices/Inflation No problems Poverty Expensive medicines Water supply Poor social assistance Loneliness Shortage of living space Sanitation/Lack of sewerage Low standard of living
  • 12. How satisfied are you with the way democracy is developing in Moldova? 12 2% 2% 1% 5% 2% 2% 1% 3% 4% 2% 5% 3% 5% 3% 1% 4% 9% 1% 3% 2% 2% 1% 2% 2% 24% 26% 25% 21% 17% 21% 16% 27% 22% 27% 23% 29% 25% 23% 18% 41% 31% 7% 11% 12% 24% 17% 20% 23% 44% 44% 43% 41% 41% 42% 41% 37% 37% 40% 41% 36% 39% 36% 43% 30% 26% 23% 22% 26% 34% 33% 31% 33% 17% 14% 14% 18% 24% 20% 25% 20% 27% 21% 24% 21% 22% 29% 27% 16% 26% 66% 58% 54% 37% 44% 43% 39% 13% 14% 17% 15% 16% 15% 17% 14% 10% 10% 8% 10% 9% 9% 11% 9% 7% 3% 6% 6% 3% 5% 4% 2% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% March 2004 November 2004 April 2006 March 2007 April 2008 November 2008 June 2009 November 2009 February 2010 May 2010 September 2010 February 2011 August 2011 December 2011 January 2012 June 2014 September 2014 October 2015 March 2016 September 2016 March 2017 October 2017 February 2018 June 2018 Very satisfied Somewhat satisfied Somewhat dissatisfied Very dissatisfied Don't know/No answer
  • 13. Which of these statements is closest to your own point of view? 13 57% 58% 71% 74% 78% 60% 61% 68% 71% 24% 21% 14% 12% 9% 17% 17% 19% 17% 8% 11% 9% 6% 7% 13% 17% 10% 9% 11% 10% 6% 8% 6% 10% 5% 3% 3% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% June 2014 September 2014 October 2015 March 2016 September 2016 March 2017 October 2017 February 2018 June 2018 Our society needs serious reforms (structural and systemic change) Our society needs gradual reforms which preserve the existing system Our society has to be protected from the forces who want to change the current order Don't know/No answer
  • 15. Do you consider the country to be governed in the interest of the majority of people or the interest of some groups? 15 17% 5% 7% 5% 7% 8% 78% 90% 89% 91% 89% 85% 5% 5% 4% 4% 4% 7% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% March 2016 September 2016 March 2017 October 2017 February 2018 June 2018 Majority of people Some groups Don't know/No answer
  • 16. How big of a problem is corruption in Moldova today? 16 72% 66% 64% 60% 62% 61% 58% 53% 57% 59% 61% 80% 73% 81% 73% 87% 87% 89% 75% 85% 80% 82% 24% 25% 26% 25% 27% 31% 33% 37% 31% 33% 29% 15% 21% 14% 18% 8% 8% 7% 19% 11% 16% 14% 2% 3% 2% 5% 4% 3% 4% 4% 4% 3% 3% 2% 2% 1% 5% 1% 1% 1% 3% 2% 2% 2% 1% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 1% 1% 1% 2% 5% 8% 10% 6% 5% 3% 5% 7% 4% 6% 2% 3% 3% 3% 2% 3% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% November 2004 March 2006 March 2007 April 2008 November 2008 November 2009 February 2010 May 2010 September 2010 February 2011 August 2011 December 2011 January 2012 June 2014 September 2014 October 2015 March 2016 September 2016 March 2017 October 2017 February 2018 June 2018 It is a very big problem It is a big problem It is not a big problem It is not a problem at all Don't know/No answer
  • 17. What, in your opinion, is the greatest cause of corruption in Moldova? 17 42% 22% 20% 10% 4% 1% 2% 42% 21% 17% 9% 5% 2% 5% 36% 27% 21% 9% 4% 1% 3% 38% 25% 21% 11% 2% 1% 2% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% Lack of government control and oversight Poverty and necessity The actions of business leaders and oligarchs Education levels of citizens Custom and history Other Don't know/No answer June 2018 February 2018 October 2017 March 2017
  • 18. Where, in your opinion, is corruption most present in Moldova? 18 22% 20% 12% 12% 11% 8% 4% 4% 3% 5% 30% 21% 11% 7% 8% 7% 4% 3% 5% 6% 30% 22% 9% 9% 10% 7% 4% 3% 4% 1% 3% 20% 25% 10% 13% 11% 7% 3% 2% 6% 1% 2% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% The Parliament Public servants (doctors, teachers, policemen) Judicial branch Business leaders, oligarchs Prime Minister and Cabinet Political parties and leadership of parties The President Local officials Everywhere Other Don't know/No answer June 2018 February 2018 October 2017 March 2017
  • 19. In the past 12 months, how often, if ever, have you had to do a favor, give a gift or pay a bribe in order to receive services? 19 59% 67% 63% 22% 23% 23% 6% 4% 5% 4% 3% 5% 8% 2% 3% 1% 1% 1% March 2017 October 2017 June 2018 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Never 1 or 2 times 3-5 times More than 5 times Refused to answer Don’t know/No answer
  • 20. For whom have you had to do a favor, give a gift or pay a bribe in order to receive services? (Respondents who had to do this in the last 12 months) 20 67% 25% 18% 3% 2% 2% 2% 1% <1% 1% 11% 72% 19% 23% 4% 5% 1% 1% 1% 1% 6% 6% 63% 26% 25% 4% 5% 2% 1% 2% 4% 10% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% Doctors/Hospital employee Police Educator/University official Kindergarten administrator Local government official Border official Judge/Lawyer Tax inspector Civil servant Other Don't know/No answer June 2018; N=510 October 2017; N=456 March 2017; N=478
  • 22. Which politicians or public persons do you trust the most? 22 30% 15% 12% 6% 6% 5% 4% 3% 3% 2% 2% 2% 1% 10% 29% 10% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% Igor Dodon Maia Sandu Andrei Nastase Zinaida Grecianii Pavel Filip Vladimir Plahotniuc Vladimir Voronin Ion Ceban Renato Usatii Ilan Shor Irina Vlah Adrian Candu Dorin Chirtoaca Other None Don't know/No answer (Respondents permitted to supply three spontaneous answers)
  • 23. What is your opinion of the following Moldovan politicians or members of the Moldovan government? 23 50% 39% 38% 37% 33% 32% 29% 25% 24% 21% 20% 17% 12% 9% 8% 45% 46% 56% 55% 58% 61% 59% 62% 59% 70% 73% 73% 46% 85% 40% 6% 1% 2% 2% 1% 4% 4% 7% 2% 1% 3% 34% 1% 42% 5% 9% 5% 6% 7% 6% 7% 9% 9% 7% 6% 7% 8% 5% 10% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Igor Dodon Andrei Nastase Maia Sandu Zinaida Greceanii Pavel Filip Vladimir Voronin Ilan Shor Dorin Chirtoaca Andrian Candu Renato Usatii Vlad Plahotniuc Iurie Leanca Valeriu Munteanu Mihai Ghimpu Viorel Cibotaru Favorable Unfavorable Have not heard of Don't know/No answer
  • 24. What is your opinion of each of the following institutions? 24 65% 62% 58% 57% 51% 50% 45% 44% 42% 40% 39% 37% 35% 31% 30% 27% 22% 27% 31% 38% 30% 44% 47% 51% 35% 53% 58% 31% 49% 52% 64% 60% 61% 73% 8% 7% 4% 13% 5% 3% 4% 21% 5% 2% 30% 14% 13% 5% 10% 11% 4% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Moldovan Orthodox Church Army Local authorities Romanian Orthodox Church Moldovan mass media Education system Police authorities International Monetary Fund President’s Office Healthcare system NGOs Central Electoral Commission Central Bank Moldovan Government Prosecutor’s Office Courts of justice Moldovan Parliament Favorable Unfavorable Don’t know/No answer
  • 25. Attitudes Toward the President, Government, and Local Authorities
  • 26. Do you approve or disapprove of the activities of the President of Moldova Igor Dodon? 26 31% 26% 28% 27% 23% 22% 21% 20% 15% 14% 15% 15% 29% 33% 33% 32% 2% 4% 3% 6% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% March 2017 October 2017 February 2018 June 2018 Strongly approve Somewhat approve Somewhat disapprove Strongly disapprove Don’t know/No answer
  • 27. Do you approve or disapprove of the Filip government? 27 5% 6% 7% 7% 6% 20% 22% 29% 28% 23% 19% 26% 20% 16% 22% 42% 39% 35% 41% 39% 14% 7% 9% 8% 10% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% September 2016 March 2017 October 2017 February 2018 June 2018 Strongly approve Somewhat approve Somewhat disapprove Strongly disapprove Don’t know/No answer
  • 28. What is your opinion of the activities of each of the following Moldovan ministries? 28 51% 49% 48% 47% 43% 40% 29% 27% 27% 45% 40% 44% 45% 51% 56% 62% 65% 67% 4% 11% 8% 8% 6% 4% 9% 8% 6% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Ministry of Education, Culture and Research Ministry of Foreign Affairs and European Integration Ministry of Internal Affairs Ministry of Defense Ministry of Agriculture, Regional Development and Environment Ministry of Health, Labor and Social Protection Ministry of Justice Ministry of Finance Ministry of Economy and Infrastructure Positive Negative Don’t know/No answer
  • 29. What are the most important problems that the Filip government must solve? 29 (Respondents permitted to supply three spontaneous answers) 32% 26% 13% 9% 7% 6% 6% 4% 4% 3% 3% 3% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% Wages/Pensions Job creation Tackling corruption Roads Emigration Consumer prices Economic performance Living conditions Assistance to young people Education reform Poverty Heathcare system Government should quit Low standard of living Solving problems of citizens Recovering the "stolen billion" High price of utilities Disconnect between the government and citizens Cooperate with President Dodon Assistance to pensioners Assistance to rural areas Social assistance Open factories and plants Issues of public order Build a team of professionals Repair schools and kindergartens Development of agriculture Good relationship with Russia
  • 30. Do you approve or disapprove of the parliamentary majority led by the Democratic Party? 30 3% 5% 6% 18% 21% 18% 26% 22% 23% 45% 46% 47% 8% 6% 6% October 2017 February 2018 June 2018 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Strongly approve Somewhat approve Somewhat disapprove Strongly disapprove Don’t know/No answer
  • 31. Do you think that the Moldovan Parliament is responsive to the needs of citizens like you? 31 1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 7% 13% 14% 18% 17% 20% 27% 29% 30% 32% 70% 57% 53% 49% 46% 2% 2% 3% 2% 3% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% September 2016 March 2017 October 2017 February 2018 June 2018 Very responsive Rather responsive Rather unresponsive Not responsive at all Don't know/No answer
  • 32. Do you approve or disapprove of the activities of your local government (i.e. mayor, local councilors and raion councilors)? 32 21% 19% 21% 36% 35% 38% 21% 23% 19% 18% 20% 15% 4% 3% 7% October 2017 February 2018 June 2018 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Strongly approve Somewhat approve Somewhat disapprove Strongly disapprove Don’t know/No answer *Below the central government, Moldova is divided administratively into three municipalities, two autonomous regions and 32 districts which are referred to as raions. The raions are governed by a locally-elected council.
  • 34. How likely, if at all, are you to vote in the next parliamentary elections? 34 75% 61% 62% 60% 62% 64% 18% 26% 24% 23% 25% 21% 3% 5% 8% 7% 6% 6% 2% 5% 3% 7% 5% 5% 1% 3% 3% 3% 2% 4% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% March 2016 September 2016 March 2017 October 2017 February 2018 June 2018 Very likely Somewhat likely Somewhat unlikely Very unlikely Don't know/No answer
  • 35. How likely, if at all, are you to vote in the next parliamentary elections? (Disaggregated by age) 35 58% 66% 66% 21% 21% 20% 8% 5% 5% 6% 5% 5% 6% 3% 3% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 18-29 years old (N=303) 30-49 years old (N=496) 50+ years old (N=719) Very likely Somewhat likely Somewhat unlikely Very unlikely Don't know/No answer
  • 36. If parliamentary elections were held next Sunday and the following political parties participated in the election, for which political party would you vote? 36 32% 15% 8% 8% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% 5% 4% 18% 4% 8% 4% 11% 6% 2% 4% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% 1% 11% 8% 37% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% Party of Socialists of the Republic of Moldova (Greceanii) Political party “Action and Solidarity” (Sandu) Democratic Party of Moldova (Plahotniuc) Political party “Dignity and Truth Platform” (Nastase) Party of Communists of the Republic of Moldova (Voronin) Political party “Șor” (Șor) Our Party (Usatii) Socialist People's Party of Moldova (Stepaniuc) European People’s Party of Moldova (Leancă) Liberal Party (Ghimpu) National Unity Party (Salaru) Liberal Democratic Party of Moldova (Cibotaru) Other None of the parties Will not vote Don’t know/No answer First choice Second choice
  • 37. If parliamentary elections were held next Sunday and the following political parties participated in the election, for which political party would you vote? 37 36% 16% 9% 9% 3% 3% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% 1% 2% 17% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% Party of Socialists of the Republic of Moldova (Greceanii) Political party “Action and Solidarity” (Sandu) Democratic Party of Moldova (Plahotniuc) Political party “Dignity and Truth Platform” (Nastase) Party of Communists of the Republic of Moldova (Voronin) Political party “Șor” (Șor) Our Party (Usatii) Socialist People's Party of Moldova (Stepaniuc) European People’s Party of Moldova (Leancă) Liberal Party (Ghimpu) National Unity Party (Salaru) Liberal Democratic Party of Moldova (Cibotaru) Other None of the parties Don’t know/No answer (Likely voters; N=1,292)
  • 38. When voting for a candidate to represent your district in Parliament, what is more important to you? 38 48% 9% 4% 4% 4% 29% 2% The candidate as a person The party or bloc the candidate represents The fact that the candidate is from my city/raion/village The fact that the candidate is a well-known national political leader The fact that candidate is independent All are equally important Don’t know/No answer
  • 39. For each attribute, please tell me if it would make you more or less likely to vote for the candidate, or if it would not matter? 39 21% 20% 19% 17% 9% 6% 19% 30% 23% 20% 33% 39% 55% 46% 52% 57% 53% 51% 4% 4% 5% 6% 5% 4% Candidate is 35 years old or younger Candidate has never held office before Candidate is from the party in power Candidate is from an opposition party Candidate has a different ethnic background Candidate has a different religion 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% More likely to vote for the candidate Makes no difference to me Less likely to vote for the candidate Don’t know/No answer
  • 40. I will read you a list of several qualities voters commonly seek in politicians. For each quality, please tell me if it is more likely for men to have it, for women to have it, or if both genders are likely to have it? 40 35% 28% 19% 13% 13% 13% 4% 5% 5% 7% 14% 18% 59% 66% 74% 78% 72% 67% 1% 1% 2% 2% 1% 2% Strength Leadership skills Experience Higher education Ability to communicate Ability to listen 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% More likely for men to have this quality More likely for women to have this quality Both genders are equally likely to have this quality Don’t know/No answer
  • 42. How would you assess current relations between Moldova and each of the following countries? 42 65% 62% 55% 48% 47% 16% 18% 19% 25% 23% 14% 15% 23% 16% 17% 5% 5% 3% 11% 13% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Romania European Union Russia Ukraine United States Good Neither good nor bad Bad Don't know/No answer
  • 43. Which of these countries do you consider to be the greatest economic partner, political partner and threat for Moldova? 43 65% 51% 10% 64% 53% 23% 41% 38% 11% 23% 19% 26% 21% 16% 15% 2% 5% 22% 6% 9% 22% Economic partner Political partner Threat 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% European Union Russia Romania United States Ukraine None Don't know/No answer
  • 44. If Moldova could join only one international economic union, which one should it be? 44 46% 38% 43% 40% 42% 49% 43% 46% 42% 45% 44% 43% 43% 38% 42% 36% 1% 3% 4% 8% 8% 5% 7% 7% 11% 14% 9% 9% 7% 8% 8% 11% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% September 2014 October 2015 March 2016 September 2016 March 2017 October 2017 February 2018 June 2018 The European Union The Customs Union/Eurasian Union Other Don’t know/No answer
  • 45. If Moldova could join only one international economic union, which one should it be? (Disaggregated by age) 45 59% 51% 37% 27% 32% 43% 5% 8% 7% 9% 9% 13% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 18-29 years old (N=303) 30-49 years old (N=496) 50+ years old (N=719) The European Union The Customs Union/Eurasian Union Other Don’t know/No answer
  • 46. If a referendum were held today on Moldova joining NATO, how would you vote? 46 31% 19% 16% 21% 27% 22% 21% 22% 31% 35% 40% 42% 45% 43% 41% 43% 15% 19% 24% 21% 18% 22% 30% 21% 23% 27% 20% 16% 10% 13% 8% 14% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% September 2014 October 2015 March 2016 September 2016 March 2017 October 2017 February 2018 June 2018 For Moldova joining NATO Against Moldova joining NATO Would not vote Don’t know/No answer
  • 48. Do you think that today’s generation of young people has a good future in Moldova? 48 18% 24% 76% 70% 6% 6% February 2018 June 2018 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Yes No Don't know/No answer
  • 49. Which of the following should be the government’s first priority regarding Moldovan youth? 49 52% 20% 15% 5% 4% 2% 2% 24% 20% 28% 11% 9% 5% 4% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% Employment Educational reform Institute reforms to make it easier for youth to start businesses Address youth health and psychological issues Encourage youth participation in public life Encourage youth participation in political life Don’t know/No answer First choice Second choice
  • 50. What is the main challenge to young people’s political participation in Moldova today? 50 28% 25% 25% 10% 5% 3% 1% 3% 24% 18% 19% 17% 9% 6% 2% 1% 5% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% Emigration Lack of interest or motivation/Disappointment Unemployment/Financial problems Lack of confidence, trust and hope in the future Lack of investment in or support for young people Political parties do not encourage youth There are no challenges facing youth participation Other Don’t know/No answer First choice Second choice
  • 52. Which of these media outlets do you use for gaining political information? 52 86% 50% 38% 33% 24% 16% 14% 12% 8% 7% 7% 7% 2% 1% 89% 42% 32% 26% 15% 14% 11% 7% 3% 4% 3% 5% 2% 87% 47% 34% 31% 18% 15% 8% 9% 8% 6% 11% 1% 89% 45% 43% 41% 28% 21% 14% 15% 17% 9% 13% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% TV – news, programs Internet Relatives, friends Radio – news, programs Articles in newspapers Debates Social media Work colleagues Billboards, stands in the streets Leaflets, other free information by mail Articles in magazines Meetings with politicians None Don't know/No answer June 2018 February 2018 October 2017 March 2017 (Respondents permitted to supply several answers)
  • 53. Which television channels do you watch for political information? (TV channels mentioned by at least one percent of respondents) 53 41% 29% 27% 21% 19% 13% 13% 9% 6% 4% 3% 2% 2% 1% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45% Prime TV Moldova 1 Jurnal TV Publica TV Pro TV RTR NTV Canal 3 Canal 2 Accent TV TV8 TNT N4 CTC
  • 54. Which television channels do you watch for entertainment? (TV channels mentioned by at least one percent of respondents) 54 24% 18% 15% 13% 12% 12% 11% 8% 8% 7% 6% 4% 4% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% Prime TV RTR NTV TNT Moldova 1 Canal 3 CTC Canal 2 Pro TV Jurnal TV TV1000 Discovery Publica TV N4 RenTV Ukraine Muz TV Noroc TV
  • 55. If you had to choose one, which of the following is the primary channel you watch most of the time? 55 20% 13% 10% 7% 7% 6% 5% 5% 4% 3% 1% 7% 10% 3% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% Prime TV Jurnal TV Moldova 1 RTR NTV Pro TV TNT Canal 3 Publica TV Canal 2 CTC Other I do not watch TV Don't know/No answer
  • 56. How often do you use the internet? 56 49% 49% 46% 40% 38% 35% 34% 33% 32% 23% 23% 18% 17% 18% 13% 15% 12% 4% 4% 4% 8% 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 4% 4% 6% 6% 5% 5% 5% 2% 5% 5% 4% 6% 5% 6% 6% 6% 6% 4% 4% 7% 8% 5% 8% 7% 4% 4% 2% 3% 3% 3% 3% 4% 4% 4% 4% 4% 6% 5% 6% 7% 6% 6% 6% 4% 5% 6% 5% 8% 4% 3% 3% 11% 8% 14% 12% 11% 13% 12% 12% 32% 36% 38% 37% 42% 41% 46% 47% 48% 52% 56% 45% 51% 51% 52% 48% 59% 1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 4% 1% 3% 2% 6% 4% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% June 2018 February 2018 October 2017 March 2017 September 2016 March 2016 October 2015 September 2014 June 2014 January 2012 December 2011 August 2011 February 2011 September 2010 May 2010 February 2010 November 2009 Every day 5-6 days a week 3-4 days a week 1-2 days a week Less often Never Don't know/No answer
  • 57. Do you own a smartphone which can access the internet? (Respondents who use the internet) 57 68% 67% 68% 73% 30% 32% 30% 26% 2% 1% 2% 1% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% March 2017 (N=946) October 2017 (N=940) February 2018 (N=960) June 2018 (N=1,033) Yes No Don’t know/No answer
  • 58. Do you use any of the following social media sites? (Respondents who use the internet) 58 65% 60% 21% 18% 14% 4% 3% 2% 2% 1% 16% 68% 56% 18% 13% 3% 5% 3% 1% 16% 65% 58% 22% 18% 5% 6% 1% 1% 14% 76% 59% 18% 18% 5% 4% 3% 1% 13% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% Odnoklassniki Facebook Instagram WhatsApp Vkontakte Twitter Telegram MoiMir LiveJournal LinkedIn I don’t use social media June 2018 (N=1,033) February 2018 (N=960) October 2017 (N=940) March 2017 (N=946)
  • 59. How often do you use social media as a source of daily news? 59 43% 48% 8% 6% 10% 9% 7% 8% 11% 8% 18% 19% 3% 2% February 2018 (N=960) June 2018 (N=1,033) 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Every day 5-6 days a week 3-4 days a week 1-2 days a week Less often Never Don't know/No answer (Respondents who use the internet)
  • 61. Demographics 47% 53% 20% 33% 47% 10% 26% 39% 24% 5% 77% 6% 6% 6% 80% 13% 4% 3% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Male Female 18-29 years 30-49 years 50 years and older Unfinished secondary Secondary Vocational Higher/Incomplete higher Romanian Moldovan Russian Ukrainian Other Russian Orthodox Romanian Orthodox Other None GENDERAGEEDUCATIONETHNICITYRELIGION 61
  • 62. Demographics 62 2% 7% 3% 3% 5% 11% 8% 2% 4% 29% 8% 11% 4% 1% 2% 45% 51% 13% 29% 38% 11% 1% 2% 21% 24% 55% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% Manager/Director/Patron Specialist Technician White collar Services/Trade Blue collar Unqualified worker Farmer Student Retired (not working) Housewife Unemployed/Looking for a job Unemployed/Not looking for a job Other Refused My salary or the income of enterprise or family farm The salary or income of some of the members of my family Sale of products of the part-time farm Use of products of the part-time farm Social benefits The help of relatives/friends in a form of money/food/goods Something else No answer Chisinau Mid-sized/Small town Rural area OCCUPATIONBASICSOURCESOFLIVELIHOOD SETTLEMENT TYPE
  • 63. www.IRI.org | @IRI_Polls Center for Insights in Survey Research 202.408.9450 | info@iri.org