The document summarizes the results of a survey conducted in Ukraine regarding resolving the conflict in Eastern Ukraine. Some key findings: - Respondents were more likely to expect dialogue and negotiations rather than intensification of military operations to resolve the conflict within the year. - A majority saw continued military activities by self-proclaimed separatist groups as worsening the problem, while international negotiations and sanctions on Russia were viewed as potentially helping to solve it. - Payment of pensions in non-government controlled areas and introducing a federal system of governance in Ukraine had mixed views, while elections in separatist areas before control and separation from Ukraine were largely unacceptable.

1. Data from the first wave of the survey of the Kalmius group
Region
TOTAL
West Centre South East Donbas
Col% Col% Col% Col% Col% Col%
Regarding the conflict in Eastern
Ukraine, some people prefer to
focus on dialogue and peace
negotiations while others think
that it’s better to intensify
military operations. Which of
these two scenarios would you
expect within this year?
Strongly expect intensification of military operations 8% 7% 9% 4% 4% 7%
Rather expect intensification of military operations 15% 12% 14% 12% 10% 13%
Rather expect dialogue and negotiations 43% 39% 33% 33% 29% 37%
Strongly expect dialogue and negotiations 29% 35% 38% 45% 54% 37%
Don`t know 5% 7% 6% 6% 4% 6%
TOTAL 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
I will read out various measures that are discussed for resolving the conflict in Donbas, tell me, to what extent each of them is efficient in resolving te conflict, has no effect,
or can worsen the conflict?
Region
TOTAL
West Centre South East Donbas
Col% Col% Col% Col% Col% Col%
Military operation by Ukrainian
army to aim for a decisive
victory:
Will make the problem worse 25% 28% 34% 42% 51% 32%
No effect at all 19% 17% 17% 18% 16% 17%
Will help to solve the problem 44% 44% 38% 30% 23% 39%
Don`t know 12% 12% 12% 11% 10% 11%
TOTAL 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Region
TOTAL
West Centre South East Donbas
Col% Col% Col% Col% Col% Col%
Will make the problem worse 19% 16% 22% 17% 26% 18%
Continuation of Ukrainian army
operation at the current level of
engagement:
No effect at all 56% 53% 45% 55% 52% 53%
Will help to solve the problem 17% 22% 18% 19% 13% 19%
Don`t know 9% 9% 15% 8% 9% 10%
TOTAL 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Donbas
Col%
4%
10%
29%
54%
4%
100%
Donbas
Col%
51%
16%
23%
10%
100%
Donbas
Col%
26%
52%
13%
9%
100%
1
The survey was conducted by GfK Ukraine. Survey method is telephone interviews with calls to phones. Survey period: from April 14 to May 2, 2018. 1975 respondents, 536 of them from
Donetsk and Luhansk regions (territories controlled by the Ukrainian government). Weighted data for the total population (real sample of 1975 respondents) corresponds to the population
distribution by age/gender/settlement type and macro region according to State Statistics Service of Ukraine data as of January 1, 2017; weighted data for the population of Donetska and
Luhanska region corresponds with the regions’ population distribution by age/gender/settlement type. The data in the tables is given as weighted, and the total weighted sample of 1,500
respondents is displayed for convenience. The survey was conducted in all regions of Ukraine, except for the uncontrolled part of Donetsk and Luhansk regions and the Autonomous Republic
of Crimea. The sampling error for the whole of Ukraine does not exceed 2.5%, for Donetsk and Luhansk regions — does not exceed 4.9%.
Region
TOTAL
West Centre South East Donbas
Col% Col% Col% Col% Col% Col%
Direct Russian military
intervention:
Will make the problem worse 87% 87% 78% 85% 76% 85%
No effect at all 5% 5% 6% 3% 7% 5%
Will help to solve the problem 4% 4% 6% 6% 6% 5%
Don`t know 5% 5% 9% 6% 11% 6%
TOTAL 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Donbas
Col%
76%
7%
6%
11%
100%

2. Region
TOTAL
West Centre South East Donbas
Col% Col% Col% Col% Col% Col%
Direct negotiations between
Ukrainian authorities with
Russia:
Will make the problem worse 8% 6% 3% 5% 4% 6%
No effect at all 46% 43% 40% 31% 32% 41%
Will help to solve the problem 41% 45% 54% 57% 58% 48%
Don`t know 5% 6% 3% 7% 6% 6%
TOTAL 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Region
TOTAL
West Centre South East Donbas
Col% Col% Col% Col% Col% Col%
Continued military activities by
self-proclaimed ‘DPR’ and ‘LPR’:
Will make the problem worse 71% 68% 67% 72% 70% 70%
No effect at all 17% 20% 17% 13% 20% 18%
Will help to solve the problem 6% 6% 5% 6% 4% 6%
Don`t know 6% 6% 10% 9% 7% 7%
TOTAL 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Region
TOTAL
West Centre South East Donbas
Col% Col% Col% Col% Col% Col%
Forcing Russia to make
concessions and end the conflict
through international sanctions
and pressure:
Will make the problem worse 14% 13% 19% 20% 16% 15%
No effect at all 28% 32% 31% 30% 40% 31%
Will help to solve the problem 52% 51% 42% 43% 37% 48%
Don`t know 6% 5% 9% 7% 6% 6%
TOTAL 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
TOTAL 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Region
TOTAL
West Centre South East Donbas
Col% Col% Col% Col% Col% Col%
Extended international
negotiations, including all sides
of the conflict, with possible
involvement of the EU and the
USA or other countries and
international organizations, but
not including self-proclaimed
‘DPR’ and ‘LPR’:
Will make the problem worse 8% 8% 16% 15% 18% 11%
No effect at all 21% 26% 24% 22% 29% 24%
Will help to solve the problem 68% 60% 53% 56% 47% 59%
Don`t know 3% 6% 7% 6% 6% 5%
Donbas
Col%
4%
32%
58%
6%
100%
100%
Donbas
Col%
18%
29%
47%
6%
Donbas
Col%
16%
40%
37%
6%
100%
Donbas
Col%
70%
20%
4%
7%
100%
2
Region
TOTAL
West Centre South East Donbas
Col% Col% Col% Col% Col% Col%
Negotiations within Ukraine, between Kyiv
and the leaders of self-proclaimed ‘DPR’
and ‘LPR’ :
Will make the problem worse 16 % 13 % 11 % 10 % 7 % 13 %
No effect at all 57 % 55 % 41 % 40 % 41 % 50 %
Will help to solve the problem 21 % 28 % 41 % 43 % 48 % 32 %
Don`t know 5 % 4 % 6 % 7 % 5 % 5 %
TOTAL 100 % 100 % 100 % 100 % 100 % 100 %
Donbas
Col%
7 %
41 %
48 %
5 %
100 %

3. TOTAL
TOTAL
TOTAL
TOTAL
TOTAL
TOTAL
TOTAL
TOTAL
3

4. Regarding the following decisions that are suggested to establish peace in Donbas, how acceptable or unacceptable is each of them, in your opinion?
Region
TOTAL
West Centre South East Donbas
Col% Col% Col% Col% Col% Col%
Holding legal local elections on
territories of self-proclaimed
"DPR" and "LPR" before
restoration of Ukraine’s control
over that territory
1 Totally unacceptable 46% 44% 31% 30% 25% 39%
2 Rather unacceptable 20% 21% 23% 18% 22% 20%
3 Rather acceptable 16% 16% 22% 26% 25% 19%
4 Totally acceptable 15% 16% 21% 21% 21% 18%
Don`t know 3% 4% 3% 6% 7% 4%
TOTAL 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Donbas
Col%
25%
22%
25%
21%
7%
100%
Region
TOTAL
West Centre South East Donbas
Col% Col% Col% Col% Col% Col%
Payment of pensions to people
who live in non-controlled areas
of Donbas :
1 Totally unacceptable 14% 15% 15% 9% 8% 13%
2 Rather unacceptable 25% 20% 10% 17% 12% 19%
3 Rather acceptable 23% 26% 25% 23% 28% 25%
4 Totally acceptable 33% 32% 45% 47% 48% 38%
Don`t know 5% 7% 5% 4% 4% 5%
TOTAL 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Donbas
Col%
8%
12%
28%
48%
4%
100%
Region
TOTAL
West Centre South East Donbas
Col% Col% Col% Col% Col% Col%
Separation of territories of self-
proclaimed "DPR " and "LPR"
from Ukraine :
1 Totally unacceptable 65% 66% 57% 57% 53% 62%
2 Rather unacceptable 18% 17% 26% 23% 27% 20%
3 Rather acceptable 10% 8% 7% 9% 8% 8%
4 Totally acceptable 6% 6% 6% 9% 7% 7%
Don`t know 1% 3% 4% 3% 5% 3%
TOTAL 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Donbas
Col%
53%
27%
8%
7%
5%
100%
Region
TOTAL
West Centre South East Donbas
Col% Col% Col% Col% Col% Col%
Introduction of federal system of
governance in Ukraine :
1 Totally unacceptable 33% 36% 25% 19% 20% 30%
2 Rather unacceptable 27% 23% 22% 22% 16% 23%
3 Rather acceptable 16% 14% 16% 20% 23% 16%
4 Totally acceptable 8% 8% 15% 23% 23% 13%
Don`t know 16% 19% 22% 16% 18% 18%
TOTAL 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Donbas
Col%
20%
16%
23%
23%
18%
100% 4
Region
TOTAL
West Centre South East Donbas
Col% Col% Col% Col% Col% Col%
Refusal from prospects of Ukraine’s
joining NATO, keeping Ukraine's neutral
status in the Constitution :
1 Totally unacceptable 25 % 26 % 26 % 20 % 21 % 24 %
2 Rather unacceptable 24 % 17 % 20 % 22 % 18 % 20 %
3 Rather acceptable 23 % 23 % 21 % 30 % 20 % 24 %
4 Totally acceptable 21 % 26 % 25 % 24 % 34 % 25 %
Don`t know 6 % 8 % 9 % 4 % 7 % 7 %
TOTAL 100 % 100 % 100 % 100 % 100 % 100 %
Donbas
Col%
21 %
18 %
20 %
34 %
7 %
100 %

5. TOTAL
TOTAL
TOTAL
TOTAL
TOTAL
TOTAL
TOTALTOTAL
TOTAL
5

6. TOTAL
TOTAL
TOTAL
TOTAL
TOTAL
TOTAL
TOTAL
TOTAL
6

7. TOTAL
TOTAL
TOTAL
TOTAL
TOTAL
TOTAL
TOTAL
TOTAL
7

8. TOTAL
TOTAL
TOTAL
TOTAL
TOTAL
TOTAL
TOTAL
TOTAL
8

9. TOTAL
TOTAL
TOTAL
TOTAL
TOTAL
TOTAL
TOTAL
Representatives of international organizations, foreign judges with perfect reputation
TOTAL
9

10. TOTAL
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
TOTAL
r r romote the r r
o er r r r
r r r r r r
ter r er ree
r r
r r r
r r r r r r
r r r
r
r r r r
r r
10