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IJRET: International Journal of Research in Engineering and Technology eISSN: 2319-1163 | pISSN: 2321-7308
_______________________________________________________________________________________
Volume: 04 Issue: 11 | Nov-2015, Available @ http://www.ijret.org 327
PREDICTION OF LI-ION BATTERY DISCHARGE
CHARACTERISTICS AT DIFFERENT TEMPERATURES AND
DISCHARGE RATES BASED ON A HYBRID SOC ESTIMATION
APPROACH
Vinitha Ramdas1
, M. Pramod2
, P. Satyanarayana3
, K. Venkatesh4
, M. Ravindra5
1
Engineer, Systems Reliability Group, ISRO Satellite Centre, Bangalore, Karnataka, India
2
Head, BCDS, Battery Division, ISRO Satellite Centre, Bangalore, Karnataka, India
3
Head, Battery Division, ISRO Satellite Centre, Bangalore, Karnataka, India
4
Head, Quality Assurance Group, ISRO Satellite Centre, Bangalore, Karnataka, India
5
Deputy Director, Reliability & Quality Area, ISRO Satellite Centre, Bangalore, Karnataka, India
Abstract
State of charge (SOC) is an important battery parameter which provides a good indication of the useful capacity that can be
derived out of a battery system at any given point of time. Li-ion has become state of the art technology for commercial and
aerospace applications due to the various advantages that they offer. For spacecrafts requiring long lifetime, SOC estimation is
crucial for on-orbit as well as offline data analysis. On-orbit estimation of SOC should be carefully addressed, as this provides
information on survivability of battery and also serves as input to Battery Management System (BMS). In addition, detailed offline
data analysis of battery electrical characteristics, which indicate the SOC-Voltage relationship is important to assess the
performance of the battery under various mission scenarios at both Beginning of life (BOL) and End of Life (EOL) of a spacecraft
system. In this work, a hybrid SOC estimation method, incorporating coulomb counting and Unscented Kalman Filter (UKF) is
used, to predict the BOL discharge behaviour of an 18650 commercial Li-ion cell at different temperatures and discharge rates.
The experimental results are encouraging and the approach gives a prediction error of less than 10%. The study will serve as
basis for life assessment of Li-ion cells and batteries used for GEO and LEO missions.
Key Words: Li-ion, State of Charge, Unscented Kalman Filter etc…
--------------------------------------------------------------------***----------------------------------------------------------------------
Nomenclature
C t Current Capacity at time„t‟
Cnom Nominal Capacity
CT Capacity at temperature „T‟at constant discharge current of C/10 A
CId Capacity at discharge current Id at constant temperature of 20°C
z t State of Charge (SOC) at time‟t‟
𝐳 𝐤 Discrete state vector at time instant „k‟
𝐲 𝐤 Discrete observation vector at time instant „k‟
R Battery internal resistance
𝑄 𝑘 Process Noise
𝑅 𝑘 Measurement noise/Observation noise
𝑥 𝑘−1 Initial State
𝑃𝑘−1
𝑥
Initial Covariance
N Number of Sigma points
𝑤0
𝑚
Weight for mean for first sigma point
𝑤𝑖
𝑚
Weight for mean for i = 1, 2,..., 2 N sigma points
𝑤𝑖
𝑐
Weight for co-variance for i = 1, 2,..., 2 N sigma points
𝑥 𝑘
−
Estimated State
𝑃𝑘
𝑥−
Estimated Co-variance
𝑦 𝑘
−
Measurement Estimate
IJRET: International Journal of Research in Engineering and Technology eISSN: 2319-1163 | pISSN: 2321-7308
_______________________________________________________________________________________
Volume: 04 Issue: 11 | Nov-2015, Available @ http://www.ijret.org 328
α, β, λ Unscented Kalman Filter parameters
K Kalman Gain
Ahout Discharge Capacity
--------------------------------------------------------------------***----------------------------------------------------------------------
1. INTRODUCTION
Several kinds of batteries are currently being used in
industry namely Silver-Zinc, lead-acid, Ni-MH, Ni-Cd and
Li-ion. Li-ion technologies have replaced many of the
earlier battery systems due to its higher working voltage,
higher energy density, compactness, and lesser self-
discharge rates. They have been widely used in many fields
like aviation, mobile communications, in laptops and of late
have been the work-horse for spacecraft and launch vehicle
technologies. Li-ion batteries can effectively reduce system
mass in spacecrafts and can improve the payload capability
of satellites.
State of charge estimations have gained much importance
for batteries and have become a fundamental challenge for
battery use. It helps to assess how much capacity can still be
derived out of a battery, under specified operational
conditions. SOC estimation can be used to characterize a
cell during development stage and also to assess battery life
in various applications like automobile, electric vehicles and
aerospace. An extension of this which leads to life
prediction of battery or a cell is indeed a necessity for
spacecraft system which needs to cater for 12 - 15 years.
This has to be analyzed at design stage itself to decide upon
a particular battery system for a mission. A well defined
battery model forms the basis of SOC estimation. Once a
battery model has been formulated, there are various
approaches adopted in literature for SOC estimation.
Accurate estimation of the SOC remains very complex
because of parametric uncertainties and limitations in
battery models [1].
Tremendous research has been carried out in this area and
different approaches and models have been developed for
SOC estimation. A few of them have been extended for life
prediction. It is left to the user community to study the
advantages and disadvantages of each of these approaches
and make use of them based on the application for which
they are put to use. In the beginning, electrochemical and
electric circuit based models combined with voltage or
resistance measurements (EIS based) were used for studies.
Later, adaptive approaches like Kalman filter (KF),
Artificial Neural networks (ANN) etc gained momentum
due to better accuracy and simpler modeling compared to
electro-chemical systems. Hybrid models like Coulomb
Counting and Kalman filter, allow a globally optimal
estimation performance, by combining any of the above
approaches. They try to make the best use of the advantages
of multiple estimating methods thus improving the
prediction or estimation accuracy. Many adaptive and hybrid
approaches can be applied even without complete
knowledge of electrochemical reactions and hence have
attracted many researchers in this field.
In [2], an electrochemistry-based model of lithium-ion
batteries is developed for reliable End of Discharge (EOD)
voltage prediction. Modeling based on designed experiments
which provide insights about the impact of discharge rates
and battery types as well as their interactions on battery
performance metrics is described in [3]. An artificial neural
network based battery model along with UKF is used in [4]
to estimate the SOC, based on the measured current and
voltage. [5] proposes a particle filtering approach for the
estimation of the battery state-of-charge. A generic data-
driven, model-free approach that integrates an artificial
neural network with a dual extended Kalman filter (DEKF)
algorithm for lithium-ion battery health management has
been dealt in [6]. In [7], Datong Liu et al. proposed a
complex Relevance Vector Machine (RVM) – Particle Filter
(PF) approach in which Time interval between equal
discharge voltage differences (TIEDVD) is used as health
indicator. Since accuracy of prediction is important for
satellite applications we planned to use a hybrid approach
with UKF which is well known for non-linear system
estimations and predictions.
In this paper, a study of various approaches for estimation of
SOC of batteries have been made and a preliminary work for
prediction of the discharge characteristics of 18650 Li-ion
commercial cells at various discharge rates and temperatures
has been carried out. The method uses Unscented Kalman
Filter (UKF) based on a simple battery model proposed in
[8]. The approach is generic in nature and can be used for
different Li-ion chemistries by changing the parametric
constants of state and observation equations in UKF. The
basic Coulomb Counting method is used as process model
for SOC computation in UKF. Hence, the adaptive method
used in this paper can be considered hybrid in nature. The
predicted data has been compared with real time test data.
2. THE COULOMB COUNTING- UKF
FRAMEWORK
2.1 Li-ion model
The behavior of a cell or battery can be treated as a
nonlinear system which changes continuously. Hence its
characteristics can be modeled by state equations. A battery
model based on discharge current rates and temperature is
proposed in [8], eq (2) and (3) as these are the two major
parameters which affect the battery capacity performance
and in turn the SOC at a particular time instant.
SOC is one of the most important parameters for cells and
batteries. In general, the SOC, z (t) of a battery during
discharge is defined as in eq (1). C (t) is the current capacity
and Cnom, nominal capacity, is the capacity specified by the
manufacturer under standard conditions of test.
IJRET: International Journal of Research in Engineering and Technology eISSN: 2319-1163 | pISSN: 2321-7308
_______________________________________________________________________________________
Volume: 04 Issue: 11 | Nov-2015, Available @ http://www.ijret.org 329
𝑧 𝑡 = 1 −
𝐶 𝑡
𝐶 𝑛𝑜𝑚
(1)
In this work, the most important parameters which affect the
discharge capacity is taken into account namely temperature
and discharge current or discharge rate. More capacity can
be drawn from the cell as temperature increases and as the
discharge rate increases, only lesser amount of the total
capacity can be drawn from the cell/battery. The two effects
are modeled by CT and CId. CT denotes the total amount of
capacity that can be drawn from the cell or battery, when it
is discharged at a constant discharge rate of C/10 at an
arbitrary temperature „T’. CId is the total capacity that can be
drawn from the battery when it is discharged at a room
temperature of 20°C at Id discharge rate (current). Usually a
second-order polynomial is used to describe or model the
temperature variations and a polynomial of order four is
used for discharge rate variations [7]. i.e.: where P = [p2, p1,
p0] and Q = [q4, q3, q2, q1, q0] are coefficients of the two
polynomials.
𝐶 𝑇 = 𝑝2 𝑇2
+ 𝑝1 𝑇 + 𝑝0 (2)
𝐶𝐼𝑑 = 𝑞4 (
𝐼𝑑
𝐶 𝑛𝑜𝑚
)4
+ 𝑞3 (
𝐼𝑑
𝐶 𝑛𝑜𝑚
)3
+ 𝑞2 (
𝐼𝑑
𝐶 𝑛𝑜𝑚
)2
+
𝑞1(
𝐼𝑑
𝐶𝑛𝑜𝑚
) + 𝑞0 (3)
2.2 Methodology
The following sub-sections detail the basic equations and
algorithmic steps that have been adopted in this hybrid
method and how UKF has been applied to predict voltage
characteristics of the Li-ion cell. The charge characteristics
have not been dealt with in this paper and shall be presented
later.
2.2.1 Coulomb Counting
The Coulomb counting method is a simple method which
uses integration of discharging current over time to estimate
SOC, z (t). z (𝑡) at a particular instant is calculated from the
discharging current, 𝐼 (𝑡), and the previous SOC value, z (𝑡 −
1).
𝑧 𝑡 = 𝑧 𝑡 − 1 +
𝐼 𝑡
𝐶 𝑛𝑜𝑚
. 𝛥𝑡 (4)
This method has limitations while used as a stand-alone
method for SOC estimation. Several external factors like
temperature and discharge current affect the accuracy of this
method. Hence, we have combined coulomb counting
method with UKF, by using it as process model in UKF, to
predict the discharge characteristics of the Li-ion cell.
2.2.2 Unscented Kalman Filter
UKF is generally used for non-linear systems as accuracy of
KF for state prediction of a system when it has a non-linear
behavior is fairly poor. The Extended Kalman Filter (EKF)
which is an extension of Kalman filter is a bit complex as it
requires Jacobian matrices to be computed and is generally
not preferred for highly non-linear systems. UKF is another
extension of the KF which is known to outperform the KF
and EKF [9] in terms of accuracy and robustness for
nonlinear estimation. It provides faster convergence. The
UKF is based on a more deterministic sampling technique
called Unscented Transformation (UT) [9] and is more
suitable for SOC estimation as battery systems have a highly
nonlinear behaviour. UKF eliminates linearization and
approximates the probability distribution instead of function.
Fig 1 provides the UKF steps with associated equations.
Process model: The process and observation models form
the foundation of UKF. They describe SOC, z (t) in terms
of measured or observed battery quantities like current; i (t),
voltage; y (t), and temperature; T. SOC z (t) at time t is
described in eq (5), where z(0) is the initial SOC, id(t) is the
discharging current at time instant 𝑡, „ε‟ is a coefficient of
proportion, which is a function of temperature T and current
i. Eq (5) can be discretized into eq (7) when the discrete KF
is used. ′Δt′ denotes the sampling interval at which the
system is discretized. Equation (7) depicts the cell or battery
process model.
𝑧 𝑡 = 𝑧 0 − 𝜀 𝑖, 𝑇 𝑖 𝑑 (𝑡)/𝐶𝑛𝑜𝑚 𝑑𝑡 (5)
𝑡
0
𝜀 𝑖, 𝑇 =
𝐶 𝑛𝑜𝑚
𝐶 𝐼𝑑
.
𝐶 𝑛𝑜𝑚
𝐶 𝑇
(6)
Discretizing,
𝑧 𝑘+1 = 𝑔 𝑧 𝑘 , 𝑖 𝑘
= 𝑧 𝑘 − 𝜀 𝑖 𝑘 , 𝑇𝑘 Δ𝑡/𝐶𝑛𝑜𝑚 𝑖 𝑘 (7)
Observation Model
The observation model defines the cell or battery voltage in
terms of discharge current, temperature, and SOC. Several
models exist in literature describing the behaviour of SOC
vs. Voltage. The measurement model used here which has
been described in [10], combines several mathematical
models like Sheperd model, Unnewehr universal model and
Nernst model. The combined model containing the non-
linear parts is given in eq (8)
𝑦 𝑘 = ℎ 𝑨, 𝑖 𝑘 , 𝑧 𝑘 = 𝐴0 − 𝑅𝑖 𝑘 −
𝐴1
𝑧 𝑘
− 𝐴2 𝑧 𝑘 +
𝐴3 ln 𝑧 𝑘 + 𝐴4 ln(1 − 𝑧 𝑘 ) (8)
In eq (8), 𝑦 𝑘 is the battery or cell voltage; 𝑖 𝑘 is the discharge
current, 𝑧 𝑘 is the SOC of the battery with 𝑧 𝑘 = 100%
representing fully charged battery and 𝑧 𝑘 = 0% representing
a fully discharged battery, R denotes the internal ohmic
resistance of the battery, and A1 and A2 relates to the
polarization resistance. A0, A3 and A4 are empirical constants
of the model. A = [A0 R A1 A2 A3 A4] T
is the parameter
vector.
Any measurement has errors associated with it. The current
or voltage errors are absorbed by including noise terms to
the process and observation models. The models after
incorporating process (𝑄 𝑘 ) and measurement noises (𝑅 𝑘) are
as given below, eq (9) & (10).
𝑧 𝑘+1 = 𝑔 𝑧 𝑘 , 𝑖 𝑘 + 𝑄 𝑘
= 𝑧 𝑘 − 𝜀 𝑖 𝑘 , 𝑇𝑘 Δ𝑡/𝐶𝑛𝑜𝑚 𝑖 𝑘 + 𝑄 𝑘 (9)
𝑦 𝑘 = ℎ 𝑨, 𝑖 𝑘 , 𝑧 𝑘 + 𝑅 𝑘
IJRET: International Journal of Research in Engineering and Technology eISSN: 2319-1163 | pISSN: 2321-7308
_______________________________________________________________________________________
Volume: 04 Issue: 11 | Nov-2015, Available @ http://www.ijret.org 330
= 𝐴0 − 𝑅𝑖 𝑘 −
𝐴1
𝑧 𝑘
− 𝐴2 𝑧 𝑘 + 𝐴3 ln 𝑧 𝑘
+ 𝐴4 ln(1 − 𝑧 𝑘 ) + 𝑅 𝑘 (10)
Fig – 1: Unscented Kalman Filter Steps with Equations
Model Parameters Determination
The polynomial coefficient vectors P and Q in the process
model can be determined using the least-squares method by
using the end-of-discharge capacity values (Ahout) at
different temperatures and discharge rates obtained from
offline tests. As seen earlier, P and Q are model parameters
which capture variations in cell/battery characteristics with
respect to temperature and discharging rates. The parameter
vector A in the measurement model is obtained by least
square fit of typical SOC - Voltage discharge characteristics.
Typically, this is done once for particular cell chemistry and
their values can be estimated offline.
Fig - 2: Flowchart of the Proposed Approach
2.3 Proposed Approach
Initially, offline computation of the parameter vectors P, Q
and A is performed as indicated in the previous section. The
state vector „z’ and measurement vector „y’ are computed
using eq (7) and (8) at 20°C with a discharge current of
C/10. The parameters like discharge rate, Id(pred) and
temperature, T(pred) at which the discharge characteristics
need to be predicted are provided as inputs to the UKF
algorithm. The parameter „ε‟ is calculated accordingly.
Using the z and y computed from the previous step, UKF
predicts the discharge behaviour at each discretized time
step for the specified temperature, T(pred) and discharge
𝑥 𝑘−1 = 𝑧 𝑘−1 0 0 𝑇
𝑃𝑘−1
𝑥
=
𝑃𝑘−1 0 0
0 𝑄 𝑘 0
0 0 𝑅 𝑘
Initialize state and covariance, for k = 1, 2, … ∞
𝑾𝒆𝒊𝒈𝒉𝒕𝒆𝒅 𝒔𝒊𝒈𝒎𝒂 𝒑𝒐𝒊𝒏𝒕𝒔: 𝑺 = 𝑤𝑖, 𝑋𝑖,, 𝑖 = 0,1 … 2𝑁)
𝑺𝒊𝒈𝒎𝒂 𝑷𝒐𝒊𝒏𝒕𝒔: 𝑋0 = 𝑥 𝑘−1
𝑋𝑖= 𝑥 𝑘−1 + 𝑁 + 𝜆 𝑃𝑘−1 , 𝑖 = 1,2, … , 𝑁
𝑋𝑖= 𝑥 𝑘−1 − 𝑁 + 𝜆 𝑃𝑘−1 , 𝑖 = 𝐿 + 1, … ,2𝑁
𝑾𝒆𝒊𝒈𝒉𝒕𝒔: 𝑤0
𝑚
=
𝜆
𝑁 + 𝜆
𝑤0
𝑐
=
𝜆
𝑁 + 𝜆
+ (1 − 𝛼2
+ 𝛽)
𝑤𝑖
𝑚
= 𝑤𝑖
𝑐
=
1
2 𝑁 + 𝜆
, 𝑖 = 1,2 … . ,2𝑁
Calculate sigma points & weights for mean and
covariance
𝑋 𝑘/(𝑘−1) = ℎ 𝑋 𝐾−1, 𝑢 𝑘
𝑥 𝑘
−
= 𝑤𝑖
(𝑚)
𝑋 𝑖,𝑘
(𝑘−1)
2𝑁
𝑖=0
𝑃𝑘
𝑥−
= 𝑤𝑖
(𝑐)
𝑋𝑖,𝑘
(𝑘−1)
− 𝑥 𝑘
−
𝑋𝑖,𝑘
(𝑘−1)
− 𝑥 𝑘
−
𝑇2𝑁
𝑖=0
Time Update
 Propagate sigma points through state model
 Estimate State
 Estimate covariance of estimated state
𝑌𝑘/(𝑘−1) = 𝑔 𝑋 𝐾−1, 𝑢 𝑘
𝑦 𝑘
−
= 𝑤𝑖
(𝑚)
𝑌 𝑖,𝑘
(𝑘−1)
2𝑁
𝑖=0
𝑃𝑘
𝑦−
= 𝑤𝑖
(𝑐)
𝑌𝑖,𝑘
(𝑘−1)
− 𝑦 𝑘
−
𝑌𝑖,𝑘
(𝑘−1)
− 𝑦 𝑘
−
𝑇2𝑁
𝑖=0
𝑃𝑘
𝑥𝑦
= wi
(c)
Xi,k
(k−1)
− xk
−
Yi,k
(k−1)
− yk
−
T2N
i=0
𝐾𝑘 = 𝑃𝑘
𝑥𝑦
𝑃𝑘
𝑦− −1
𝑥 𝑘 = 𝑥 𝑘
−
+ 𝐾𝑘 𝑦 𝑘 − 𝑦 𝑘
−
𝑃𝑘
𝑥
= 𝑃𝑘
𝑥−
− 𝐾𝑘 𝑃𝑘
𝑦−
𝐾𝑘
𝑇
Measurement Update
 Measurement Update
 Measurement estimate
 Estimate covariance of estimated
measurement
 Compute cross covariance
 Compute Kalman gain
 Update state and covariance of update state
Compute Voltage, y = f (z, R): eq (8)
Apply UKF to predict SOC at different
temperatures and discharge rates
Compute K coefficients of parameter vector
A by curve fitting of discharge curve at
T=20°C, Id= C/10 rate: eq (8)
Compute SOC, z = f (ε, C nom, Id): eq (7)
Output
State of Charge (SOC), z
Discharge Voltage (V), y
Input parameters
Discharge current rate, Id
Temperature, T
Nominal capacity, C nom
Least square solution: End of discharge
capacity (Ahout) data at different temperatures
and discharge rates
Compute coefficients of P and Q: eq 2- 3
Compute CT , CId and ε using eq 2- 4
IJRET: International Journal of Research in Engineering and Technology eISSN: 2319-1163 | pISSN: 2321-7308
_______________________________________________________________________________________
Volume: 04 Issue: 11 | Nov-2015, Available @ http://www.ijret.org 331
current, Id(pred). Flow chart indicating the steps followed for
the approach is shown in Fig 2.
3. EXPERIMENTAL RESULTS AND DISCUSSION
18650 Li-ion commercial cells were used for all
experimental studies. The algorithm was implemented using
MATLAB R2013a. The nominal capacity of the cells
chosen for the study was 2.6Ah. As shown in Fig 2, P and Q
parameters of the Li-ion cell model were found from End of
Discharge (final Ahout) values at 20°C, 30°C and 10°C
obtained from typical test data of 18650 commercial cells,
by solving the matrix equations through least squares
method. The discharge characteristics of the cells from 4.2V
(100% SOC) to 3V(< 10% SOC) for a C/10A discharge
current at a temperature of 20°C was taken as the basis for
determining the parameters, of the parameter vector A, eq
(8). They were determined by curve fitting of the SOC -
Voltage discharge characteristics at 20°C, C/10 rate.
The model was validated by computing the SOC values and
cell voltages at discretized time intervals for 20°C, C/10 rate
and by comparing with the real time test data available. The
discharge characteristics at different discharge currents
(namely C/2 and C rates) and temperatures (namely 30°C
and 10°C) were predicted by applying the UKF equations,
with the discharge rate, Id (pred) and temperature, T(pred)
as the only input parameters. It was observed that the UKF
parameter α controls the stability and smoothness of the
discharge curve and β controls the extent of fall. In general,
0≤ α ≤ 1, β ≥ 0, λ = (α2
-1) N. Appropriate tuning of the
parameters should be done for practical systems as the
characteristics of noise is often unknown.
The ohmic resistance was taken as a sweep parameter for the
study and the discharge behaviour at different resistance
values were obtained. It was observed that the real time and
predicted data matched at the resistance values which were
very close to the measured ohmic resistance of the cells
used. The typical experimental results are depicted in Figs.
3-6. Fig 7 shows the Ahout or discharge capacity, C (t) at
different temperatures. C (t) is related to the SOC, z(t) as
indicated in eq (1). The Mean Squared Errors (MSE) for
SOC estimation was found to be of the order 10-3
to 10-4
for
all cases. The MSE and the error percentage computed at
higher temperature are a bit more than in other cases. This is
because of higher error between the end-of-discharge (EOD)
values of predicted and real time data. The SOC prediction
errors are all within 2% except at 30°C (higher
temperatures) which is about 5-6%. However, the error is
<10% which is fairly reasonable for life prediction. This can
further be fine tuned by tuning the α, β parameters in the
UKF algorithm. The algorithm has been extended to
simulate discharge characteristics of spacecraft battery
(series – parallel connected Li-ion cells).
The discharge characteristics during mission simulation
ground test at variable discharge rates for spacecraft battery
and the predicted behaviour using proposed approach is
provided in Fig 8. It is observed that the prediction fairly
matches the mission simulation test data. Also faster
response of the algorithm to track changes in discharge rates
is evident from the results. The voltage behaviour at EOD
slightly deviates from the test data in all cases. This can be
improved by incorporating the internal resistance variations
with SOC. Here, a constant ohmic resistance has been used
for the entire discharge duration.
Fig - 3: Comparison of Test data and Predicted 20°C, 1C
Cell discharge characteristics
Fig - 4: Comparison of Test data and Predicted
20°C, C/2 Cell Discharge characteristics
Fig - 5: Comparison of Test data and Predicted 30°C, C/2 Cell
Discharge characteristics
0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1
0
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
3
3.5
4
4.5
SOC
Dischargevoltage(V)
SOC vs Cell voltage for 20°C, 1C A Dischare Rate
Test data - 20deg, 1C discharge upto 3V
Predicted
0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1
0
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
3
3.5
4
4.5
SOC
Dischargevoltage(V)
SOC vs Cell voltage for 20°C, C/2 A Discharge rate
Test data - 20deg, C/2 discharge upto 3V
Predicted
0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1
0
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
3
3.5
4
SOC
DischargeVoltage(V)
SOC vs Cell voltage - 30°C, C/2 A Discharge Rate
Test data - 30deg, C/2 discharge upto 3V
Predicted
IJRET: International Journal of Research in Engineering and Technology eISSN: 2319-1163 | pISSN: 2321-7308
_______________________________________________________________________________________
Volume: 04 Issue: 11 | Nov-2015, Available @ http://www.ijret.org 332
Fig - 6: Comparison of Test data and Predicted
10°C, C/2 Cell Discharge Characteristics
Fig - 7: Cell Discharge Capacity (Ah out) at 10°C,
20°C and 30°C for C/2 Discharge Rate
Fig - 8: Comparison of Mission Simulation Test and
Predicted discharge behaviour for variable discharge
rates – Spacecraft Battery
4. CONCLUSION
The hybrid approach which has been adopted in this paper is
a simple and fairly accurate method which can form the
baseline for life prediction studies for Li-ion cells/ batteries.
Though it has been applied on an 18650 commercial Li-ion
cell, the method is generic and can be applied to any Li-ion
cell chemistry by changing the model parameters. Also the
error percentage is considerably less and the prediction error
is found to be < 10%.
Further studies by incorporating the resistance into the state
vector to compensate for SOC and aging related changes in
the characteristics of the cell is planned to be carried out.
This will improve the errors at EOD. The experimental
study can be extended for predicting the EOL (End-of-life)
discharge characteristics of Li-ion cells and batteries which
are used in 12-15 years satellite missions at various depth of
discharge (DoDs) ratios. Incorporation of accurate noise
estimations can improve the algorithmic performance
further.
REFERENCES
[1] Wen-Yeau Chang, “The State of Charge Estimating
Methods for Battery: A Review”, Hindawi Publishing
Corporation, Applied Mathematics (2013).
[2] Matthew Daigle and Chetan S., “Electrochemistry-
based Battery Modeling for Prognostics”, Annual
Conference of the Prognostics & Health Management
Society (2013).
[3] Jian Guo, Zhaojun Li, Thomas Keyser, “Modeling Li-
Ion Battery Capacity Fade Using Designed
Experiments”, Proceedings of the Industrial and
Systems Engineering Research Conference (2014).
[4] Wei He, Nicholas Williard, Chaochao Chen, Michael
Pecht, “State of charge estimation for Li-ion batteries
using neural network modeling and unscented Kalman
filter-based error cancellation”, Electrical Power and
Energy Systems (2014), pp 783–791.
[5] Myungsoo Jun, Kandler Smith, Eric Wood, and
Marshall .C. Smart, “Battery Capacity Estimation of
Low-Earth Orbit Satellite Application”, International
Journal of Prognostics and Health Management (2012).
[6] Guangxing Bai , Pingfeng Wang,Chao Hu, Michael
Pecht, A generic model-free approach for lithium-ion
battery health Management, , Applied Energy (2014),
Vol. 135 pp 247–260.
[7] Datong Liu , Hong Wang, Yu Peng, Wei Xie and
Haitao Liao, “Satellite Lithium-Ion Battery Remaining
Cycle Life Prediction with Novel Indirect Health
Indicator Extraction”, Journal of Energies (2013), Vol.
6, pp 3654-3668.
[8] Zhiwei He, Mingyu Gao, Caisheng Wang, Leyi Wang
and Yuanyuan Liu, “Adaptive State of Charge
Estimation for Li-Ion Batteries Based on an Unscented
Kalman Filter with an Enhanced Battery Model”,
Journal of Energies (2013), Vol. 6, pp 4134-4151.
[9] Eric A. Wan and Rudolph van der Merwe, “The
Unscented Kalman Filter for Nonlinear Estimation”,
Proceedings of Symposium 2000 on Adaptive Systems
for Signal Processing, Communication and Control
(AS-SPCC), IEEE, (2000).
[10]Zhiwei He, Yuanyuan Liu, Mingyu Gao, Caisheng
Wang, He, Z., Liu, Y., Gao, M., Wang, C. “A Joint
Model and SOC Estimation Method for Lithium
Battery Based on the Sigma Point KF ”, Proceedings of
2012 IEEE Transportation Electrification Conference
and Expo, Dearborn, MI, USA (2012), pp 18–20.
0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1
0
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
3
3.5
4
SOC
Dischargevoltage(V)
SOC vs Cell Voltage for 10°C, C/2 Discharge Rate
Test data -10deg, C/2 discharge upto 3V
Predicted
0 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5
2.6
2.8
3
3.2
3.4
3.6
3.8
4
4.2
Capacity, Ahout
DischargeVoltage(V)
Ahout vs Cell Discharge voltage for C/2 discharge upto 3V
Predicted - 10deg
Predicted - 20deg
Predicted - 30deg
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
Discharge Capacity vs Battery Voltage for variable discharge rates
Discharge Capacity
BatteryVoltage(V)
Test Data
Predicted
Discharge Current
IJRET: International Journal of Research in Engineering and Technology eISSN: 2319-1163 | pISSN: 2321-7308
_______________________________________________________________________________________
Volume: 04 Issue: 11 | Nov-2015, Available @ http://www.ijret.org 333
BIOGRAPHIES
Vinitha Ramdas obtained B .Tech in
Electronics & Tele- Communication from
Kerala University in 2005. She joined
ISRO Satellite Centre (ISAC) in 2006. She
received her M. Tech degree in Digital
Signal Processing from IIST, Trivandrum
in 2014. She has been involved in test &
evaluation and quality assurance activities of battery
systems for various INSAT, IRS and small satellite
missions. Her research interests include characterization of
cell/battery systems, signal processing etc.
M. Pramod completed MSc in Physics
from Mysore University in 1984. He
obtained P.G. Diploma in Computer
programming from Mysore University in
1988 and MBA from IGNOU in
Operations Research in 2000. He joined
ISRO Satellite Centre (ISAC) in 1989 &
presently heads Battery Characterization & Development
section of Battery Division. His interests include testing &
characterizing of cells & batteries, sizing & designing
batteries for various remote sensing & GEO stationary
Spacecrafts.
P. Satyanarayana received his M.Sc,
(Physics) from Andhra University and
joined Power Systems Group at ISRO
Satellite Centre (ISAC) in 1982. He has
been involved in characterization of cells,
batteries and development activities in
batteries for space applications. Presently, he is Head of
Battery Division. He has more than 10 publications to his
credit in national and international journals and workshops.
K. Venkatesh, obtained his M.Sc (Hons) in
Physics from BITS Pilani, in the year 1980.
He joined ISRO Satellite Centre (ISAC) in
1982, after post graduation in Material
Science from IIT Bombay. Currently he
holds a position of Group Director, Quality
Assurance Group (QAG), ISAC, working
in the Quality Assurance activities related to spacecraft
systems. His area of interest includes Process and Product
qualification aspects of space hardware, especially in the
realization of electronic systems, Hybrid Microelectronics,
Solar array, and Battery. He is life member of IMAPS India.
Dr. M. Ravindra obtained M.Sc degree in
Physics from Mysore University in 1979
and M. Tech in Physical Engineering from
Department of Physics, IISc, Bangalore in
1981. He joined Quality Assurance
Division of ISRO Satellite Centre (ISAC)
in 1981 and was involved in the Quality
Assurance of components for various spacecrafts. He
received Ph.D from University of Edinburgh under the
commonwealth scholarship programme for his work on
VLSI reliability test structures in 1993. He is currently
designated as Deputy Director, Reliability and Quality Area.
His areas of interest include Semiconductor devices and
technology, Quality Assurance and Reliability of EEE parts,
Materials, Processes, Subsystems and Systems. He has
published a number of technical papers in national and
international journals and conferences.

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Prediction of li ion battery discharge characteristics at different temperatures and discharge rates based on a hybrid soc estimation approach

  • 1. IJRET: International Journal of Research in Engineering and Technology eISSN: 2319-1163 | pISSN: 2321-7308 _______________________________________________________________________________________ Volume: 04 Issue: 11 | Nov-2015, Available @ http://www.ijret.org 327 PREDICTION OF LI-ION BATTERY DISCHARGE CHARACTERISTICS AT DIFFERENT TEMPERATURES AND DISCHARGE RATES BASED ON A HYBRID SOC ESTIMATION APPROACH Vinitha Ramdas1 , M. Pramod2 , P. Satyanarayana3 , K. Venkatesh4 , M. Ravindra5 1 Engineer, Systems Reliability Group, ISRO Satellite Centre, Bangalore, Karnataka, India 2 Head, BCDS, Battery Division, ISRO Satellite Centre, Bangalore, Karnataka, India 3 Head, Battery Division, ISRO Satellite Centre, Bangalore, Karnataka, India 4 Head, Quality Assurance Group, ISRO Satellite Centre, Bangalore, Karnataka, India 5 Deputy Director, Reliability & Quality Area, ISRO Satellite Centre, Bangalore, Karnataka, India Abstract State of charge (SOC) is an important battery parameter which provides a good indication of the useful capacity that can be derived out of a battery system at any given point of time. Li-ion has become state of the art technology for commercial and aerospace applications due to the various advantages that they offer. For spacecrafts requiring long lifetime, SOC estimation is crucial for on-orbit as well as offline data analysis. On-orbit estimation of SOC should be carefully addressed, as this provides information on survivability of battery and also serves as input to Battery Management System (BMS). In addition, detailed offline data analysis of battery electrical characteristics, which indicate the SOC-Voltage relationship is important to assess the performance of the battery under various mission scenarios at both Beginning of life (BOL) and End of Life (EOL) of a spacecraft system. In this work, a hybrid SOC estimation method, incorporating coulomb counting and Unscented Kalman Filter (UKF) is used, to predict the BOL discharge behaviour of an 18650 commercial Li-ion cell at different temperatures and discharge rates. The experimental results are encouraging and the approach gives a prediction error of less than 10%. The study will serve as basis for life assessment of Li-ion cells and batteries used for GEO and LEO missions. Key Words: Li-ion, State of Charge, Unscented Kalman Filter etc… --------------------------------------------------------------------***---------------------------------------------------------------------- Nomenclature C t Current Capacity at time„t‟ Cnom Nominal Capacity CT Capacity at temperature „T‟at constant discharge current of C/10 A CId Capacity at discharge current Id at constant temperature of 20°C z t State of Charge (SOC) at time‟t‟ 𝐳 𝐤 Discrete state vector at time instant „k‟ 𝐲 𝐤 Discrete observation vector at time instant „k‟ R Battery internal resistance 𝑄 𝑘 Process Noise 𝑅 𝑘 Measurement noise/Observation noise 𝑥 𝑘−1 Initial State 𝑃𝑘−1 𝑥 Initial Covariance N Number of Sigma points 𝑤0 𝑚 Weight for mean for first sigma point 𝑤𝑖 𝑚 Weight for mean for i = 1, 2,..., 2 N sigma points 𝑤𝑖 𝑐 Weight for co-variance for i = 1, 2,..., 2 N sigma points 𝑥 𝑘 − Estimated State 𝑃𝑘 𝑥− Estimated Co-variance 𝑦 𝑘 − Measurement Estimate
  • 2. IJRET: International Journal of Research in Engineering and Technology eISSN: 2319-1163 | pISSN: 2321-7308 _______________________________________________________________________________________ Volume: 04 Issue: 11 | Nov-2015, Available @ http://www.ijret.org 328 α, β, λ Unscented Kalman Filter parameters K Kalman Gain Ahout Discharge Capacity --------------------------------------------------------------------***---------------------------------------------------------------------- 1. INTRODUCTION Several kinds of batteries are currently being used in industry namely Silver-Zinc, lead-acid, Ni-MH, Ni-Cd and Li-ion. Li-ion technologies have replaced many of the earlier battery systems due to its higher working voltage, higher energy density, compactness, and lesser self- discharge rates. They have been widely used in many fields like aviation, mobile communications, in laptops and of late have been the work-horse for spacecraft and launch vehicle technologies. Li-ion batteries can effectively reduce system mass in spacecrafts and can improve the payload capability of satellites. State of charge estimations have gained much importance for batteries and have become a fundamental challenge for battery use. It helps to assess how much capacity can still be derived out of a battery, under specified operational conditions. SOC estimation can be used to characterize a cell during development stage and also to assess battery life in various applications like automobile, electric vehicles and aerospace. An extension of this which leads to life prediction of battery or a cell is indeed a necessity for spacecraft system which needs to cater for 12 - 15 years. This has to be analyzed at design stage itself to decide upon a particular battery system for a mission. A well defined battery model forms the basis of SOC estimation. Once a battery model has been formulated, there are various approaches adopted in literature for SOC estimation. Accurate estimation of the SOC remains very complex because of parametric uncertainties and limitations in battery models [1]. Tremendous research has been carried out in this area and different approaches and models have been developed for SOC estimation. A few of them have been extended for life prediction. It is left to the user community to study the advantages and disadvantages of each of these approaches and make use of them based on the application for which they are put to use. In the beginning, electrochemical and electric circuit based models combined with voltage or resistance measurements (EIS based) were used for studies. Later, adaptive approaches like Kalman filter (KF), Artificial Neural networks (ANN) etc gained momentum due to better accuracy and simpler modeling compared to electro-chemical systems. Hybrid models like Coulomb Counting and Kalman filter, allow a globally optimal estimation performance, by combining any of the above approaches. They try to make the best use of the advantages of multiple estimating methods thus improving the prediction or estimation accuracy. Many adaptive and hybrid approaches can be applied even without complete knowledge of electrochemical reactions and hence have attracted many researchers in this field. In [2], an electrochemistry-based model of lithium-ion batteries is developed for reliable End of Discharge (EOD) voltage prediction. Modeling based on designed experiments which provide insights about the impact of discharge rates and battery types as well as their interactions on battery performance metrics is described in [3]. An artificial neural network based battery model along with UKF is used in [4] to estimate the SOC, based on the measured current and voltage. [5] proposes a particle filtering approach for the estimation of the battery state-of-charge. A generic data- driven, model-free approach that integrates an artificial neural network with a dual extended Kalman filter (DEKF) algorithm for lithium-ion battery health management has been dealt in [6]. In [7], Datong Liu et al. proposed a complex Relevance Vector Machine (RVM) – Particle Filter (PF) approach in which Time interval between equal discharge voltage differences (TIEDVD) is used as health indicator. Since accuracy of prediction is important for satellite applications we planned to use a hybrid approach with UKF which is well known for non-linear system estimations and predictions. In this paper, a study of various approaches for estimation of SOC of batteries have been made and a preliminary work for prediction of the discharge characteristics of 18650 Li-ion commercial cells at various discharge rates and temperatures has been carried out. The method uses Unscented Kalman Filter (UKF) based on a simple battery model proposed in [8]. The approach is generic in nature and can be used for different Li-ion chemistries by changing the parametric constants of state and observation equations in UKF. The basic Coulomb Counting method is used as process model for SOC computation in UKF. Hence, the adaptive method used in this paper can be considered hybrid in nature. The predicted data has been compared with real time test data. 2. THE COULOMB COUNTING- UKF FRAMEWORK 2.1 Li-ion model The behavior of a cell or battery can be treated as a nonlinear system which changes continuously. Hence its characteristics can be modeled by state equations. A battery model based on discharge current rates and temperature is proposed in [8], eq (2) and (3) as these are the two major parameters which affect the battery capacity performance and in turn the SOC at a particular time instant. SOC is one of the most important parameters for cells and batteries. In general, the SOC, z (t) of a battery during discharge is defined as in eq (1). C (t) is the current capacity and Cnom, nominal capacity, is the capacity specified by the manufacturer under standard conditions of test.
  • 3. IJRET: International Journal of Research in Engineering and Technology eISSN: 2319-1163 | pISSN: 2321-7308 _______________________________________________________________________________________ Volume: 04 Issue: 11 | Nov-2015, Available @ http://www.ijret.org 329 𝑧 𝑡 = 1 − 𝐶 𝑡 𝐶 𝑛𝑜𝑚 (1) In this work, the most important parameters which affect the discharge capacity is taken into account namely temperature and discharge current or discharge rate. More capacity can be drawn from the cell as temperature increases and as the discharge rate increases, only lesser amount of the total capacity can be drawn from the cell/battery. The two effects are modeled by CT and CId. CT denotes the total amount of capacity that can be drawn from the cell or battery, when it is discharged at a constant discharge rate of C/10 at an arbitrary temperature „T’. CId is the total capacity that can be drawn from the battery when it is discharged at a room temperature of 20°C at Id discharge rate (current). Usually a second-order polynomial is used to describe or model the temperature variations and a polynomial of order four is used for discharge rate variations [7]. i.e.: where P = [p2, p1, p0] and Q = [q4, q3, q2, q1, q0] are coefficients of the two polynomials. 𝐶 𝑇 = 𝑝2 𝑇2 + 𝑝1 𝑇 + 𝑝0 (2) 𝐶𝐼𝑑 = 𝑞4 ( 𝐼𝑑 𝐶 𝑛𝑜𝑚 )4 + 𝑞3 ( 𝐼𝑑 𝐶 𝑛𝑜𝑚 )3 + 𝑞2 ( 𝐼𝑑 𝐶 𝑛𝑜𝑚 )2 + 𝑞1( 𝐼𝑑 𝐶𝑛𝑜𝑚 ) + 𝑞0 (3) 2.2 Methodology The following sub-sections detail the basic equations and algorithmic steps that have been adopted in this hybrid method and how UKF has been applied to predict voltage characteristics of the Li-ion cell. The charge characteristics have not been dealt with in this paper and shall be presented later. 2.2.1 Coulomb Counting The Coulomb counting method is a simple method which uses integration of discharging current over time to estimate SOC, z (t). z (𝑡) at a particular instant is calculated from the discharging current, 𝐼 (𝑡), and the previous SOC value, z (𝑡 − 1). 𝑧 𝑡 = 𝑧 𝑡 − 1 + 𝐼 𝑡 𝐶 𝑛𝑜𝑚 . 𝛥𝑡 (4) This method has limitations while used as a stand-alone method for SOC estimation. Several external factors like temperature and discharge current affect the accuracy of this method. Hence, we have combined coulomb counting method with UKF, by using it as process model in UKF, to predict the discharge characteristics of the Li-ion cell. 2.2.2 Unscented Kalman Filter UKF is generally used for non-linear systems as accuracy of KF for state prediction of a system when it has a non-linear behavior is fairly poor. The Extended Kalman Filter (EKF) which is an extension of Kalman filter is a bit complex as it requires Jacobian matrices to be computed and is generally not preferred for highly non-linear systems. UKF is another extension of the KF which is known to outperform the KF and EKF [9] in terms of accuracy and robustness for nonlinear estimation. It provides faster convergence. The UKF is based on a more deterministic sampling technique called Unscented Transformation (UT) [9] and is more suitable for SOC estimation as battery systems have a highly nonlinear behaviour. UKF eliminates linearization and approximates the probability distribution instead of function. Fig 1 provides the UKF steps with associated equations. Process model: The process and observation models form the foundation of UKF. They describe SOC, z (t) in terms of measured or observed battery quantities like current; i (t), voltage; y (t), and temperature; T. SOC z (t) at time t is described in eq (5), where z(0) is the initial SOC, id(t) is the discharging current at time instant 𝑡, „ε‟ is a coefficient of proportion, which is a function of temperature T and current i. Eq (5) can be discretized into eq (7) when the discrete KF is used. ′Δt′ denotes the sampling interval at which the system is discretized. Equation (7) depicts the cell or battery process model. 𝑧 𝑡 = 𝑧 0 − 𝜀 𝑖, 𝑇 𝑖 𝑑 (𝑡)/𝐶𝑛𝑜𝑚 𝑑𝑡 (5) 𝑡 0 𝜀 𝑖, 𝑇 = 𝐶 𝑛𝑜𝑚 𝐶 𝐼𝑑 . 𝐶 𝑛𝑜𝑚 𝐶 𝑇 (6) Discretizing, 𝑧 𝑘+1 = 𝑔 𝑧 𝑘 , 𝑖 𝑘 = 𝑧 𝑘 − 𝜀 𝑖 𝑘 , 𝑇𝑘 Δ𝑡/𝐶𝑛𝑜𝑚 𝑖 𝑘 (7) Observation Model The observation model defines the cell or battery voltage in terms of discharge current, temperature, and SOC. Several models exist in literature describing the behaviour of SOC vs. Voltage. The measurement model used here which has been described in [10], combines several mathematical models like Sheperd model, Unnewehr universal model and Nernst model. The combined model containing the non- linear parts is given in eq (8) 𝑦 𝑘 = ℎ 𝑨, 𝑖 𝑘 , 𝑧 𝑘 = 𝐴0 − 𝑅𝑖 𝑘 − 𝐴1 𝑧 𝑘 − 𝐴2 𝑧 𝑘 + 𝐴3 ln 𝑧 𝑘 + 𝐴4 ln(1 − 𝑧 𝑘 ) (8) In eq (8), 𝑦 𝑘 is the battery or cell voltage; 𝑖 𝑘 is the discharge current, 𝑧 𝑘 is the SOC of the battery with 𝑧 𝑘 = 100% representing fully charged battery and 𝑧 𝑘 = 0% representing a fully discharged battery, R denotes the internal ohmic resistance of the battery, and A1 and A2 relates to the polarization resistance. A0, A3 and A4 are empirical constants of the model. A = [A0 R A1 A2 A3 A4] T is the parameter vector. Any measurement has errors associated with it. The current or voltage errors are absorbed by including noise terms to the process and observation models. The models after incorporating process (𝑄 𝑘 ) and measurement noises (𝑅 𝑘) are as given below, eq (9) & (10). 𝑧 𝑘+1 = 𝑔 𝑧 𝑘 , 𝑖 𝑘 + 𝑄 𝑘 = 𝑧 𝑘 − 𝜀 𝑖 𝑘 , 𝑇𝑘 Δ𝑡/𝐶𝑛𝑜𝑚 𝑖 𝑘 + 𝑄 𝑘 (9) 𝑦 𝑘 = ℎ 𝑨, 𝑖 𝑘 , 𝑧 𝑘 + 𝑅 𝑘
  • 4. IJRET: International Journal of Research in Engineering and Technology eISSN: 2319-1163 | pISSN: 2321-7308 _______________________________________________________________________________________ Volume: 04 Issue: 11 | Nov-2015, Available @ http://www.ijret.org 330 = 𝐴0 − 𝑅𝑖 𝑘 − 𝐴1 𝑧 𝑘 − 𝐴2 𝑧 𝑘 + 𝐴3 ln 𝑧 𝑘 + 𝐴4 ln(1 − 𝑧 𝑘 ) + 𝑅 𝑘 (10) Fig – 1: Unscented Kalman Filter Steps with Equations Model Parameters Determination The polynomial coefficient vectors P and Q in the process model can be determined using the least-squares method by using the end-of-discharge capacity values (Ahout) at different temperatures and discharge rates obtained from offline tests. As seen earlier, P and Q are model parameters which capture variations in cell/battery characteristics with respect to temperature and discharging rates. The parameter vector A in the measurement model is obtained by least square fit of typical SOC - Voltage discharge characteristics. Typically, this is done once for particular cell chemistry and their values can be estimated offline. Fig - 2: Flowchart of the Proposed Approach 2.3 Proposed Approach Initially, offline computation of the parameter vectors P, Q and A is performed as indicated in the previous section. The state vector „z’ and measurement vector „y’ are computed using eq (7) and (8) at 20°C with a discharge current of C/10. The parameters like discharge rate, Id(pred) and temperature, T(pred) at which the discharge characteristics need to be predicted are provided as inputs to the UKF algorithm. The parameter „ε‟ is calculated accordingly. Using the z and y computed from the previous step, UKF predicts the discharge behaviour at each discretized time step for the specified temperature, T(pred) and discharge 𝑥 𝑘−1 = 𝑧 𝑘−1 0 0 𝑇 𝑃𝑘−1 𝑥 = 𝑃𝑘−1 0 0 0 𝑄 𝑘 0 0 0 𝑅 𝑘 Initialize state and covariance, for k = 1, 2, … ∞ 𝑾𝒆𝒊𝒈𝒉𝒕𝒆𝒅 𝒔𝒊𝒈𝒎𝒂 𝒑𝒐𝒊𝒏𝒕𝒔: 𝑺 = 𝑤𝑖, 𝑋𝑖,, 𝑖 = 0,1 … 2𝑁) 𝑺𝒊𝒈𝒎𝒂 𝑷𝒐𝒊𝒏𝒕𝒔: 𝑋0 = 𝑥 𝑘−1 𝑋𝑖= 𝑥 𝑘−1 + 𝑁 + 𝜆 𝑃𝑘−1 , 𝑖 = 1,2, … , 𝑁 𝑋𝑖= 𝑥 𝑘−1 − 𝑁 + 𝜆 𝑃𝑘−1 , 𝑖 = 𝐿 + 1, … ,2𝑁 𝑾𝒆𝒊𝒈𝒉𝒕𝒔: 𝑤0 𝑚 = 𝜆 𝑁 + 𝜆 𝑤0 𝑐 = 𝜆 𝑁 + 𝜆 + (1 − 𝛼2 + 𝛽) 𝑤𝑖 𝑚 = 𝑤𝑖 𝑐 = 1 2 𝑁 + 𝜆 , 𝑖 = 1,2 … . ,2𝑁 Calculate sigma points & weights for mean and covariance 𝑋 𝑘/(𝑘−1) = ℎ 𝑋 𝐾−1, 𝑢 𝑘 𝑥 𝑘 − = 𝑤𝑖 (𝑚) 𝑋 𝑖,𝑘 (𝑘−1) 2𝑁 𝑖=0 𝑃𝑘 𝑥− = 𝑤𝑖 (𝑐) 𝑋𝑖,𝑘 (𝑘−1) − 𝑥 𝑘 − 𝑋𝑖,𝑘 (𝑘−1) − 𝑥 𝑘 − 𝑇2𝑁 𝑖=0 Time Update  Propagate sigma points through state model  Estimate State  Estimate covariance of estimated state 𝑌𝑘/(𝑘−1) = 𝑔 𝑋 𝐾−1, 𝑢 𝑘 𝑦 𝑘 − = 𝑤𝑖 (𝑚) 𝑌 𝑖,𝑘 (𝑘−1) 2𝑁 𝑖=0 𝑃𝑘 𝑦− = 𝑤𝑖 (𝑐) 𝑌𝑖,𝑘 (𝑘−1) − 𝑦 𝑘 − 𝑌𝑖,𝑘 (𝑘−1) − 𝑦 𝑘 − 𝑇2𝑁 𝑖=0 𝑃𝑘 𝑥𝑦 = wi (c) Xi,k (k−1) − xk − Yi,k (k−1) − yk − T2N i=0 𝐾𝑘 = 𝑃𝑘 𝑥𝑦 𝑃𝑘 𝑦− −1 𝑥 𝑘 = 𝑥 𝑘 − + 𝐾𝑘 𝑦 𝑘 − 𝑦 𝑘 − 𝑃𝑘 𝑥 = 𝑃𝑘 𝑥− − 𝐾𝑘 𝑃𝑘 𝑦− 𝐾𝑘 𝑇 Measurement Update  Measurement Update  Measurement estimate  Estimate covariance of estimated measurement  Compute cross covariance  Compute Kalman gain  Update state and covariance of update state Compute Voltage, y = f (z, R): eq (8) Apply UKF to predict SOC at different temperatures and discharge rates Compute K coefficients of parameter vector A by curve fitting of discharge curve at T=20°C, Id= C/10 rate: eq (8) Compute SOC, z = f (ε, C nom, Id): eq (7) Output State of Charge (SOC), z Discharge Voltage (V), y Input parameters Discharge current rate, Id Temperature, T Nominal capacity, C nom Least square solution: End of discharge capacity (Ahout) data at different temperatures and discharge rates Compute coefficients of P and Q: eq 2- 3 Compute CT , CId and ε using eq 2- 4
  • 5. IJRET: International Journal of Research in Engineering and Technology eISSN: 2319-1163 | pISSN: 2321-7308 _______________________________________________________________________________________ Volume: 04 Issue: 11 | Nov-2015, Available @ http://www.ijret.org 331 current, Id(pred). Flow chart indicating the steps followed for the approach is shown in Fig 2. 3. EXPERIMENTAL RESULTS AND DISCUSSION 18650 Li-ion commercial cells were used for all experimental studies. The algorithm was implemented using MATLAB R2013a. The nominal capacity of the cells chosen for the study was 2.6Ah. As shown in Fig 2, P and Q parameters of the Li-ion cell model were found from End of Discharge (final Ahout) values at 20°C, 30°C and 10°C obtained from typical test data of 18650 commercial cells, by solving the matrix equations through least squares method. The discharge characteristics of the cells from 4.2V (100% SOC) to 3V(< 10% SOC) for a C/10A discharge current at a temperature of 20°C was taken as the basis for determining the parameters, of the parameter vector A, eq (8). They were determined by curve fitting of the SOC - Voltage discharge characteristics at 20°C, C/10 rate. The model was validated by computing the SOC values and cell voltages at discretized time intervals for 20°C, C/10 rate and by comparing with the real time test data available. The discharge characteristics at different discharge currents (namely C/2 and C rates) and temperatures (namely 30°C and 10°C) were predicted by applying the UKF equations, with the discharge rate, Id (pred) and temperature, T(pred) as the only input parameters. It was observed that the UKF parameter α controls the stability and smoothness of the discharge curve and β controls the extent of fall. In general, 0≤ α ≤ 1, β ≥ 0, λ = (α2 -1) N. Appropriate tuning of the parameters should be done for practical systems as the characteristics of noise is often unknown. The ohmic resistance was taken as a sweep parameter for the study and the discharge behaviour at different resistance values were obtained. It was observed that the real time and predicted data matched at the resistance values which were very close to the measured ohmic resistance of the cells used. The typical experimental results are depicted in Figs. 3-6. Fig 7 shows the Ahout or discharge capacity, C (t) at different temperatures. C (t) is related to the SOC, z(t) as indicated in eq (1). The Mean Squared Errors (MSE) for SOC estimation was found to be of the order 10-3 to 10-4 for all cases. The MSE and the error percentage computed at higher temperature are a bit more than in other cases. This is because of higher error between the end-of-discharge (EOD) values of predicted and real time data. The SOC prediction errors are all within 2% except at 30°C (higher temperatures) which is about 5-6%. However, the error is <10% which is fairly reasonable for life prediction. This can further be fine tuned by tuning the α, β parameters in the UKF algorithm. The algorithm has been extended to simulate discharge characteristics of spacecraft battery (series – parallel connected Li-ion cells). The discharge characteristics during mission simulation ground test at variable discharge rates for spacecraft battery and the predicted behaviour using proposed approach is provided in Fig 8. It is observed that the prediction fairly matches the mission simulation test data. Also faster response of the algorithm to track changes in discharge rates is evident from the results. The voltage behaviour at EOD slightly deviates from the test data in all cases. This can be improved by incorporating the internal resistance variations with SOC. Here, a constant ohmic resistance has been used for the entire discharge duration. Fig - 3: Comparison of Test data and Predicted 20°C, 1C Cell discharge characteristics Fig - 4: Comparison of Test data and Predicted 20°C, C/2 Cell Discharge characteristics Fig - 5: Comparison of Test data and Predicted 30°C, C/2 Cell Discharge characteristics 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1 0 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5 4 4.5 SOC Dischargevoltage(V) SOC vs Cell voltage for 20°C, 1C A Dischare Rate Test data - 20deg, 1C discharge upto 3V Predicted 0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1 0 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5 4 4.5 SOC Dischargevoltage(V) SOC vs Cell voltage for 20°C, C/2 A Discharge rate Test data - 20deg, C/2 discharge upto 3V Predicted 0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1 0 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5 4 SOC DischargeVoltage(V) SOC vs Cell voltage - 30°C, C/2 A Discharge Rate Test data - 30deg, C/2 discharge upto 3V Predicted
  • 6. IJRET: International Journal of Research in Engineering and Technology eISSN: 2319-1163 | pISSN: 2321-7308 _______________________________________________________________________________________ Volume: 04 Issue: 11 | Nov-2015, Available @ http://www.ijret.org 332 Fig - 6: Comparison of Test data and Predicted 10°C, C/2 Cell Discharge Characteristics Fig - 7: Cell Discharge Capacity (Ah out) at 10°C, 20°C and 30°C for C/2 Discharge Rate Fig - 8: Comparison of Mission Simulation Test and Predicted discharge behaviour for variable discharge rates – Spacecraft Battery 4. CONCLUSION The hybrid approach which has been adopted in this paper is a simple and fairly accurate method which can form the baseline for life prediction studies for Li-ion cells/ batteries. Though it has been applied on an 18650 commercial Li-ion cell, the method is generic and can be applied to any Li-ion cell chemistry by changing the model parameters. Also the error percentage is considerably less and the prediction error is found to be < 10%. Further studies by incorporating the resistance into the state vector to compensate for SOC and aging related changes in the characteristics of the cell is planned to be carried out. This will improve the errors at EOD. The experimental study can be extended for predicting the EOL (End-of-life) discharge characteristics of Li-ion cells and batteries which are used in 12-15 years satellite missions at various depth of discharge (DoDs) ratios. Incorporation of accurate noise estimations can improve the algorithmic performance further. REFERENCES [1] Wen-Yeau Chang, “The State of Charge Estimating Methods for Battery: A Review”, Hindawi Publishing Corporation, Applied Mathematics (2013). [2] Matthew Daigle and Chetan S., “Electrochemistry- based Battery Modeling for Prognostics”, Annual Conference of the Prognostics & Health Management Society (2013). [3] Jian Guo, Zhaojun Li, Thomas Keyser, “Modeling Li- Ion Battery Capacity Fade Using Designed Experiments”, Proceedings of the Industrial and Systems Engineering Research Conference (2014). [4] Wei He, Nicholas Williard, Chaochao Chen, Michael Pecht, “State of charge estimation for Li-ion batteries using neural network modeling and unscented Kalman filter-based error cancellation”, Electrical Power and Energy Systems (2014), pp 783–791. [5] Myungsoo Jun, Kandler Smith, Eric Wood, and Marshall .C. Smart, “Battery Capacity Estimation of Low-Earth Orbit Satellite Application”, International Journal of Prognostics and Health Management (2012). [6] Guangxing Bai , Pingfeng Wang,Chao Hu, Michael Pecht, A generic model-free approach for lithium-ion battery health Management, , Applied Energy (2014), Vol. 135 pp 247–260. [7] Datong Liu , Hong Wang, Yu Peng, Wei Xie and Haitao Liao, “Satellite Lithium-Ion Battery Remaining Cycle Life Prediction with Novel Indirect Health Indicator Extraction”, Journal of Energies (2013), Vol. 6, pp 3654-3668. [8] Zhiwei He, Mingyu Gao, Caisheng Wang, Leyi Wang and Yuanyuan Liu, “Adaptive State of Charge Estimation for Li-Ion Batteries Based on an Unscented Kalman Filter with an Enhanced Battery Model”, Journal of Energies (2013), Vol. 6, pp 4134-4151. [9] Eric A. Wan and Rudolph van der Merwe, “The Unscented Kalman Filter for Nonlinear Estimation”, Proceedings of Symposium 2000 on Adaptive Systems for Signal Processing, Communication and Control (AS-SPCC), IEEE, (2000). [10]Zhiwei He, Yuanyuan Liu, Mingyu Gao, Caisheng Wang, He, Z., Liu, Y., Gao, M., Wang, C. “A Joint Model and SOC Estimation Method for Lithium Battery Based on the Sigma Point KF ”, Proceedings of 2012 IEEE Transportation Electrification Conference and Expo, Dearborn, MI, USA (2012), pp 18–20. 0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1 0 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5 4 SOC Dischargevoltage(V) SOC vs Cell Voltage for 10°C, C/2 Discharge Rate Test data -10deg, C/2 discharge upto 3V Predicted 0 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 2.6 2.8 3 3.2 3.4 3.6 3.8 4 4.2 Capacity, Ahout DischargeVoltage(V) Ahout vs Cell Discharge voltage for C/2 discharge upto 3V Predicted - 10deg Predicted - 20deg Predicted - 30deg 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 Discharge Capacity vs Battery Voltage for variable discharge rates Discharge Capacity BatteryVoltage(V) Test Data Predicted Discharge Current
  • 7. IJRET: International Journal of Research in Engineering and Technology eISSN: 2319-1163 | pISSN: 2321-7308 _______________________________________________________________________________________ Volume: 04 Issue: 11 | Nov-2015, Available @ http://www.ijret.org 333 BIOGRAPHIES Vinitha Ramdas obtained B .Tech in Electronics & Tele- Communication from Kerala University in 2005. She joined ISRO Satellite Centre (ISAC) in 2006. She received her M. Tech degree in Digital Signal Processing from IIST, Trivandrum in 2014. She has been involved in test & evaluation and quality assurance activities of battery systems for various INSAT, IRS and small satellite missions. Her research interests include characterization of cell/battery systems, signal processing etc. M. Pramod completed MSc in Physics from Mysore University in 1984. He obtained P.G. Diploma in Computer programming from Mysore University in 1988 and MBA from IGNOU in Operations Research in 2000. He joined ISRO Satellite Centre (ISAC) in 1989 & presently heads Battery Characterization & Development section of Battery Division. His interests include testing & characterizing of cells & batteries, sizing & designing batteries for various remote sensing & GEO stationary Spacecrafts. P. Satyanarayana received his M.Sc, (Physics) from Andhra University and joined Power Systems Group at ISRO Satellite Centre (ISAC) in 1982. He has been involved in characterization of cells, batteries and development activities in batteries for space applications. Presently, he is Head of Battery Division. He has more than 10 publications to his credit in national and international journals and workshops. K. Venkatesh, obtained his M.Sc (Hons) in Physics from BITS Pilani, in the year 1980. He joined ISRO Satellite Centre (ISAC) in 1982, after post graduation in Material Science from IIT Bombay. Currently he holds a position of Group Director, Quality Assurance Group (QAG), ISAC, working in the Quality Assurance activities related to spacecraft systems. His area of interest includes Process and Product qualification aspects of space hardware, especially in the realization of electronic systems, Hybrid Microelectronics, Solar array, and Battery. He is life member of IMAPS India. Dr. M. Ravindra obtained M.Sc degree in Physics from Mysore University in 1979 and M. Tech in Physical Engineering from Department of Physics, IISc, Bangalore in 1981. He joined Quality Assurance Division of ISRO Satellite Centre (ISAC) in 1981 and was involved in the Quality Assurance of components for various spacecrafts. He received Ph.D from University of Edinburgh under the commonwealth scholarship programme for his work on VLSI reliability test structures in 1993. He is currently designated as Deputy Director, Reliability and Quality Area. His areas of interest include Semiconductor devices and technology, Quality Assurance and Reliability of EEE parts, Materials, Processes, Subsystems and Systems. He has published a number of technical papers in national and international journals and conferences.