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Risk Management


Planning for the unknown
What is Risk ?

    •   Risk is any uncertain event or condition that
        might affect your project.

    •    Not all risks are negative – there are some
        opportunities




http://www.radiantminds.co.in
How to deal with the risks

    • Avoid

    • Mitigate

    • Transfer (Insurance / Off shoring)

    • Accept




http://www.radiantminds.co.in
Reactive Strategy

    • Don’t worry, I’ll see what to do when it
      comes

    • I’m always lucky and nothing will happen

    • Fire Fighting

    • Chaos


http://www.radiantminds.co.in
Why RM is necessary ?
    •    It protects from losses and keeps opportunities
        open

    •    It is always better to strike a balance between
        risks & rewards / opportunities

    •    Different organizations have different tolerances
        for risks




http://www.radiantminds.co.in
Why RM is necessary ?

    •   Avoiding risk means getting out of business

    •    Intelligent thinking makes some people more
        confident to take risks




http://www.radiantminds.co.in
Risk Types

    • Static Risks (Fire, Storm, Accident..)
    • Dynamic Risks (Stock Market, Gambling)
      where the occurrence is either a loss or a
      Profit

    •   Production Risks
    •   Marketing & Distribution Risks
    •   Financial Risks
    •   Personal Risks
    •   Environmental Risks
http://www.radiantminds.co.in
Risk Break-down Structure


    Technical                   External        Organizational
    • Quality                   • Weather       • Attrition
    • Compatibility             • Customer      • Priority Change
                                • Regulations   • Funding Cuts




http://www.radiantminds.co.in
Risk Management

    •    Risk is handled by different people in different
        ways based on their preference and attitude
        towards risk

    •   Each one has different risk tolerance

    •    Some people are “Reactive – when risk occurs”
        and some “Proactive”




http://www.radiantminds.co.in
Risk Management

    • Risk Identification
    • Risk Analysis – Occurrence, Impact,
      Frequency, Timing
    • Risk Assessment – Loss on occurrence,
      Risk Exposure
    • Risk Planning and Resolution – Approach,
      Diff. steps
    • Risk Monitoring – Impact and implications
    • Risk Mitigation – How to meet the
      challenges
http://www.radiantminds.co.in
Nature of Risks

    •    Technology Risks – H/w, S/w, Network, Network
        Communication
    •    People Risks – Availability, Capability, Skills,
        Maturity,
    •    Organizational Risks – Customer relations
    •    Requirement Risks – Clarity, Completeness,
        Confirmation
    •    Estimation Risks – Scope, Reusability




http://www.radiantminds.co.in
General Observations

     Risk Class        Risk %

Technology             5 - 10

People                  20

Organization            20

Requirements            60

Estimation              30
S/w Risk Management

    Identify



                 Analyze




                                Plan



                                       Monitor



                                                 Resolve

http://www.radiantminds.co.in
Risk Identification

    •   Area where risk can occur
    •   Type of risk
    •   Probability
    •   Severity
    •   Frequency
    •   Mitigation




http://www.radiantminds.co.in
Risk Analysis

• Requirements      • Design
 –   Stability       –   Functionality
 –   Completeness    –   Difficulty
 –   Clarity         –   Interfaces
 –   Validity        –   Performance
 –   Feasibility     –   Testability
 –   Scope           –   H/w constraints
                     –   Non Std. S/w
Risk Analysis

• Engg. Spec.           • Dev. System
  –   Maintainability     –   Capacity
  –   Reliability         –   Suitability
  –   Safety              –   Usability
  –   Security            –   Familiarity
  –   Feasibility         –   Deliverability
  –   Scope             • Resources
  –   Sustainability      –   Schedule
  –   Process Control     –   Staff
                          –   Budget
                          –   Facilities
Risk Resolution

    •   Act on the trigger
    •   Execute the risk action plan
    •   Monitor the action plan
    •   Access the new risk scenario
    •   Control the risk exposure

     Risk Exposure = Probability X Impact




http://www.radiantminds.co.in
Expected Monitory Value - EMV

    • What is Expected Monitory Value of your risk –



  High Winds                35%        $48 for
                                       Replacement

  Mudslide                  5%         $750 damage cost



  Usable Winds              15%        $800 saved as battery
                                       cost

  Truck Rental              10%        $350 as last minute
  Unavailable                          rental

http://www.radiantminds.co.in
EMV

    •   35 %    X - 48     = - 16.80
    •   5%      X -750     = - 37.50
    •   15%     X 800      = + 120.00
    •    10%    X -350     = - 35.00
    •   Total   EMV - - 30.70

    • IF you add 30.70 into the budget then it should
      be enough to account for these risks




http://www.radiantminds.co.in

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Pm 7 risk-man

  • 2. What is Risk ? • Risk is any uncertain event or condition that might affect your project. • Not all risks are negative – there are some opportunities http://www.radiantminds.co.in
  • 3. How to deal with the risks • Avoid • Mitigate • Transfer (Insurance / Off shoring) • Accept http://www.radiantminds.co.in
  • 4. Reactive Strategy • Don’t worry, I’ll see what to do when it comes • I’m always lucky and nothing will happen • Fire Fighting • Chaos http://www.radiantminds.co.in
  • 5. Why RM is necessary ? • It protects from losses and keeps opportunities open • It is always better to strike a balance between risks & rewards / opportunities • Different organizations have different tolerances for risks http://www.radiantminds.co.in
  • 6. Why RM is necessary ? • Avoiding risk means getting out of business • Intelligent thinking makes some people more confident to take risks http://www.radiantminds.co.in
  • 7. Risk Types • Static Risks (Fire, Storm, Accident..) • Dynamic Risks (Stock Market, Gambling) where the occurrence is either a loss or a Profit • Production Risks • Marketing & Distribution Risks • Financial Risks • Personal Risks • Environmental Risks http://www.radiantminds.co.in
  • 8. Risk Break-down Structure Technical External Organizational • Quality • Weather • Attrition • Compatibility • Customer • Priority Change • Regulations • Funding Cuts http://www.radiantminds.co.in
  • 9. Risk Management • Risk is handled by different people in different ways based on their preference and attitude towards risk • Each one has different risk tolerance • Some people are “Reactive – when risk occurs” and some “Proactive” http://www.radiantminds.co.in
  • 10. Risk Management • Risk Identification • Risk Analysis – Occurrence, Impact, Frequency, Timing • Risk Assessment – Loss on occurrence, Risk Exposure • Risk Planning and Resolution – Approach, Diff. steps • Risk Monitoring – Impact and implications • Risk Mitigation – How to meet the challenges http://www.radiantminds.co.in
  • 11. Nature of Risks • Technology Risks – H/w, S/w, Network, Network Communication • People Risks – Availability, Capability, Skills, Maturity, • Organizational Risks – Customer relations • Requirement Risks – Clarity, Completeness, Confirmation • Estimation Risks – Scope, Reusability http://www.radiantminds.co.in
  • 12. General Observations Risk Class Risk % Technology 5 - 10 People 20 Organization 20 Requirements 60 Estimation 30
  • 13. S/w Risk Management Identify Analyze Plan Monitor Resolve http://www.radiantminds.co.in
  • 14. Risk Identification • Area where risk can occur • Type of risk • Probability • Severity • Frequency • Mitigation http://www.radiantminds.co.in
  • 15. Risk Analysis • Requirements • Design – Stability – Functionality – Completeness – Difficulty – Clarity – Interfaces – Validity – Performance – Feasibility – Testability – Scope – H/w constraints – Non Std. S/w
  • 16. Risk Analysis • Engg. Spec. • Dev. System – Maintainability – Capacity – Reliability – Suitability – Safety – Usability – Security – Familiarity – Feasibility – Deliverability – Scope • Resources – Sustainability – Schedule – Process Control – Staff – Budget – Facilities
  • 17. Risk Resolution • Act on the trigger • Execute the risk action plan • Monitor the action plan • Access the new risk scenario • Control the risk exposure Risk Exposure = Probability X Impact http://www.radiantminds.co.in
  • 18. Expected Monitory Value - EMV • What is Expected Monitory Value of your risk – High Winds 35% $48 for Replacement Mudslide 5% $750 damage cost Usable Winds 15% $800 saved as battery cost Truck Rental 10% $350 as last minute Unavailable rental http://www.radiantminds.co.in
  • 19. EMV • 35 % X - 48 = - 16.80 • 5% X -750 = - 37.50 • 15% X 800 = + 120.00 • 10% X -350 = - 35.00 • Total EMV - - 30.70 • IF you add 30.70 into the budget then it should be enough to account for these risks http://www.radiantminds.co.in