Download to read offline
Uploaded byJonas Söderström
Peak IT: why digital may stop delivering value
This document discusses whether we have reached "peak IT" and if digital technologies will continue delivering value. It notes that while Moore's Law predicted exponential growth in computing power, other technologies show s-shaped adoption curves with diminishing returns over time. Large digital projects in Sweden have failed to deliver value, with total losses over 10 billion SEK. The complexity of digital systems is increasing exponentially, making new projects more prone to failure. It argues we may be approaching the peak of what digital technologies can deliver before facing issues of complexity, bureaucracy and other systemic effects.
More Related Content
Similar to Peak IT: why digital may stop delivering value
Peak IT: why digital may stop delivering value
- 1. What if digital stops delivering value?JonasSöderström • InUse Experience TDC • Oktober 2014 • Trondheim
- 2.
- 3. Peak IT? Judith/Flickr are weapproaching
- 4.
- 5. Digital funktion ochpassion Stockholm • Göteborg • Malmö
- 7.
- 11.
- 15.
- 16.
- 17. One strong metaphor for what’shappening:
- 19.
- 20. But let’s getback to the 60’ies
- 22.
- 23.
- 24. 1968: Sweden in200024 of the most influential scientists, entreprenuers
- 25. 3 months vacation 60.000SEK/month 4 hrs working day
- 26.
- 27.
- 28.
- 30. Financial Times Oct26, 2014
- 31.
- 32. A slowdown intechnical progress is the reason usually given for this progressive deceleration in productivity growth. ” ”
- 33.
- 34. Economist Oct 4,2014
- 38.
- 40.
- 41.
- 42. After 5 yearsof construction to widen I-405, traffic is slightly slower than before The "fundamental rule" of traffic. Vox, Oct 23, 2014
- 43.
- 44.
- 45. How hard can itbe? ” ”
- 46.
- 47. Wrong salaries for2 yrs. 2 757 hrs overtime
- 48. Wrong salaries for1 yrs...
- 54. Recently: Three of thebiggest Swedish banks ditched efforts to build new platforms, with total losses of well over 10 billion SEK.
- 55. from 145 to313 click With new system Renew weapons license: mean 2 hrs 52 m Write report, one case of shoplifting:
- 56.
- 57. Alt 1: Everyoneis an idiot
- 58. Alt 2: Methodis wrong... ... and lean and agile will save us!
- 59.
- 60.
- 61.
- 62.
- 63.
- 64.
- 66. Karolinska University Hospital Library,18 Feb 2014 110 employees 117 systems
- 68.
- 69. The EVIL TWINof Metcalfe’s law
- 70.
- 71. slowdown, caused by systemeffects
- 72.
- 73.
- 74.
- 75.
- 76.
- 77.
- 78.
- 79. Everything that eats, alsoproduces excrement.
- 80.
- 81. New York HighLine
- 82.
- 83.