Sunday, 06 October 2013
Bowties – a visual view of Risk
World Class Process Safety Management for Power Generation
Sunday, 06 October 2013
Overview of bowties
Where did they come from?
Butterfly
diagrams
evolved from
Cause
Consequence
diagrams
First mention of
bowties in 1979
by University of
Queensland but
adapted from
ICI plc Hazan
course notes
Post Piper Alpha –
Royal Dutch/Shell
Group integrated
bowties into its
management
systems & are
credited with
developing what
we have today
A number of
commercial
packages available
in 2000’s –
BowtieXP, Bowtie
Pro, Thesis etc
Significant take
up outside of Oil
& Gas
The Knot
Anything that has
the potential to
cause harm
Comes from
HAZIDs, HAZOPs,
structured
brainstorming
Harm can be
people,
environment or
commercial
Hazard The point in
time when
control over the
Hazard is lost
Loss of
containment,
Loss of Control,
Fail to Achieve
Top
event
The Left Wing
Possible cause
for the top
event
Must show
independence
from other
threats
Threat
The Right Wing
An unwanted
event caused by
the Top Event
How does the
event develop and
what are the
potential
outcomes?
Consequence
Prevention Barriers
Measure taken
to prevent a
threat becoming
a Top Event
Barriers
Recovering from a Top Event
A measure that
seeks to mitigate
the consequences
of a top Event
Recovery
Measures
The whole bowtie
Sunday, 06 October 2013
How do they help with Risk
Management?
Visual representation
Warning
Humpback bridge
ahead – slow your
vehicle and be prepared
to stop
Text or symbols?
• Traditional risk analysis output typically looks like this and it can be very
painful getting this out of a team!
06 October 2013, E.ON,
Page 12
Hazard Event Effect Preventative or Corrective Measures
Anhydrous Ammonia Overfilling the receiving
tank due to lack of space
Release of ammonia liquid with the potential to
harm onsite personnel
Control PLC routes to tanks based on level
Diverse level measurement
High level alarm on each tank
High level trip shuts inlet valve
Toxic gas warning system
ESD system
Water spray system
Emergency plan
Emergency escape equipment
Text or symbols?
• Same event represented in a bowtie
• My experience so far is producing a bowtie can be very engaging for a
team
• Quote - I’ve never heard after a HAZOP – ‘That was really fun and I
learnt a lot’ !
Zooming in

Bowties - a visual view of risk

  • 1.
    Sunday, 06 October2013 Bowties – a visual view of Risk World Class Process Safety Management for Power Generation
  • 2.
    Sunday, 06 October2013 Overview of bowties
  • 3.
    Where did theycome from? Butterfly diagrams evolved from Cause Consequence diagrams First mention of bowties in 1979 by University of Queensland but adapted from ICI plc Hazan course notes Post Piper Alpha – Royal Dutch/Shell Group integrated bowties into its management systems & are credited with developing what we have today A number of commercial packages available in 2000’s – BowtieXP, Bowtie Pro, Thesis etc Significant take up outside of Oil & Gas
  • 4.
    The Knot Anything thathas the potential to cause harm Comes from HAZIDs, HAZOPs, structured brainstorming Harm can be people, environment or commercial Hazard The point in time when control over the Hazard is lost Loss of containment, Loss of Control, Fail to Achieve Top event
  • 5.
    The Left Wing Possiblecause for the top event Must show independence from other threats Threat
  • 6.
    The Right Wing Anunwanted event caused by the Top Event How does the event develop and what are the potential outcomes? Consequence
  • 7.
    Prevention Barriers Measure taken toprevent a threat becoming a Top Event Barriers
  • 8.
    Recovering from aTop Event A measure that seeks to mitigate the consequences of a top Event Recovery Measures
  • 9.
  • 10.
    Sunday, 06 October2013 How do they help with Risk Management?
  • 11.
    Visual representation Warning Humpback bridge ahead– slow your vehicle and be prepared to stop
  • 12.
    Text or symbols? •Traditional risk analysis output typically looks like this and it can be very painful getting this out of a team! 06 October 2013, E.ON, Page 12 Hazard Event Effect Preventative or Corrective Measures Anhydrous Ammonia Overfilling the receiving tank due to lack of space Release of ammonia liquid with the potential to harm onsite personnel Control PLC routes to tanks based on level Diverse level measurement High level alarm on each tank High level trip shuts inlet valve Toxic gas warning system ESD system Water spray system Emergency plan Emergency escape equipment
  • 13.
    Text or symbols? •Same event represented in a bowtie • My experience so far is producing a bowtie can be very engaging for a team • Quote - I’ve never heard after a HAZOP – ‘That was really fun and I learnt a lot’ !
  • 14.

Editor's Notes

  • #4 A little hazy It is then thought that David Gill of ICI plc developed the methodology and called them bowties in the late 70’s First mention in 1979 by University of Queensland but adapted from ICI plc Hazan course notes Post Piper Alpha – Royal Dutch/Shell Group integrated bowties into its management systems & credited with developing what we have today Spread between companies, industry sectors, countries usedin Petroleum industry, on & offshore, and in defence, medical, aviation and banking sectors. Regulator interested too - In fact HSE has asked us for a bowtie for an new installation on one of our sites this year.
  • #12 We live in a visual world, taking instructions/guidance/understanding from signs or visual clues, rather than text as sometimes we are time limited or lack understand to convert the text into meaning
  • #13 Should be easy to read but I find people struggle with it, needs more explaining difficult to see the connections
  • #14 Gives the reader a clear view, naturally flows left to right, threat to event to consequence Decreet boxes to work on but always see the context that surrounds the box
  • #15 Zoom in to see a little of the detail