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Organized Retail

The Opportunities Ahead
Retail – the largest private industry in world economy

                                                Sales (USD Trillion) 1999
                           Retail                                                                      6.6
               Financial services                                                      5.1
       Construction / Engineering                                 3.2
                Packaged goods                         2
                     Chenmicals                  1.4
                          Energy                1.2
                      Electronics           1.1
                     Automotive            1
                         telecom          0.8
    Pharmaceuticals; diagnostice    0.3
Source : Euromonitor, European Chemical Industry Council: Automotive News; Wall Street Journal; Chemical market
Reporter; IDATE; Global Vantage
Retailing – the largest private industry in the world


   •   Over 50 of the Fortune 500 companies are retail
       companies.
   •   25 of the Asian top 200 companies are retail
       companies.
   •   The world’s largest company is a retail company.
       (Wal-Mart – last valued at Rs 1,091,250 crore)
Current Retail scenario in India

   • Retail industry accounts for 35% of our GDP
   • Estimated industry size - USD 205 bn (INR 230,000
     cr) in 2004.
   • Highest number of outlets per capita - 12 million
     outlets
   • Lowest per capita retail space - 2 sft per person as
     compared to 16 sft per person in USA
   • Only 4% of the country’s outlets are larger than 500
     sft

  India’s retail setup is therefore crowded with small outlets, largely
  disorganized and primarily owner managed

Source: KSA Technopak
Organized Retail

Organized Retail arrived in India in the 90’s
• 1999             Rs 550 Crore
• 2002             Rs 4,000 Crore
• 2004             Rs 28,000 Crore
• 2005             Rs 35,000 Crore
Organised Retail Penetration
Examples of Growth in Emerging Markets

         Years taken for organized retail to grow from <5% to over 20%




INDIA IS STILL AT 2.5%
Source : MG1, team analysis
Forecast 2010
   •    Organized retail is expected to grow at 30% - 35% p.a. to
        become USD 24 bn (INR 100,000 cr) by 2010

   •    Organized Retail Penetration (ORP) will increase from less than
        3% in 2005 to 8% by 2010

   •    FDI in real estate will accelerate pace of development of retail
        infrastructure

   •    Investments in organized retailing are estimated to touch USD
        4,000 Mn (INR 20,000 cr) by end of 2010




Source: KSA Technopak, HSBC Report
Development Curve of Organised Retail
Growth Drivers - Young & rapidly evolving
                   consumers




 India is one of the most
  youthful countries in the
    world with 53% of the
   population less than 25
          yrs of age


Within a decade the number of people in age group of 20 – 49 would
increase 30% from 395mn in 2000 to 510 mn in 2010
Growth Drivers – Middle Class Population




Currently estimated at 92 Mn the middle class (family income
between INR 200,000 – 10,00,000 p.a.) is expected to be around
153 Mn by 2010
Growth Drivers – Retail Infrastructure


•   India will have 225 malls by 2007 spread over 50 cities

•   Relaxation in FDI in Real Estate to give further impetus

•   Real Estate Mutual Funds ( REMFs) & Real Estate Investment
    Trusts ( REITs) comes to India
Organized Retail

Emerging Opportunities
Retail – Largest Employer in the World


Increased employment opportunities


     -    The annual employee turnover of
     Wal-Mart is more than the entire
     workforce of General Motors

     -     18% of the US workforce is
     employed in retail
Socioeconomic Impact of McDonalds on the
                      US Job Market

McDonalds captures 1 out of every 6 restaurant visits in the US market



     •   Employs more than 5,00,000 people
     •   Largest employer of High School Students
     •   12.5 % of the US workforce has worked for McDonalds
     •   1 out of 15 American got his/her 1st Job at McDonalds
     •   Nations largest Job Training Organisation -Bigger than
         the US Army – teaching the future US workforce “ work
         routines,job discipline and organisational teamwork
Retail – Opportunities for Entrepreneurs




-     World of Franchising

-    Specialized retail formats
     Bangles, Candy, Kite, - opportunities are
immense !!

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Organized retail the opportunities ahead

  • 2. Retail – the largest private industry in world economy Sales (USD Trillion) 1999 Retail 6.6 Financial services 5.1 Construction / Engineering 3.2 Packaged goods 2 Chenmicals 1.4 Energy 1.2 Electronics 1.1 Automotive 1 telecom 0.8 Pharmaceuticals; diagnostice 0.3 Source : Euromonitor, European Chemical Industry Council: Automotive News; Wall Street Journal; Chemical market Reporter; IDATE; Global Vantage
  • 3. Retailing – the largest private industry in the world • Over 50 of the Fortune 500 companies are retail companies. • 25 of the Asian top 200 companies are retail companies. • The world’s largest company is a retail company. (Wal-Mart – last valued at Rs 1,091,250 crore)
  • 4. Current Retail scenario in India • Retail industry accounts for 35% of our GDP • Estimated industry size - USD 205 bn (INR 230,000 cr) in 2004. • Highest number of outlets per capita - 12 million outlets • Lowest per capita retail space - 2 sft per person as compared to 16 sft per person in USA • Only 4% of the country’s outlets are larger than 500 sft India’s retail setup is therefore crowded with small outlets, largely disorganized and primarily owner managed Source: KSA Technopak
  • 5. Organized Retail Organized Retail arrived in India in the 90’s • 1999 Rs 550 Crore • 2002 Rs 4,000 Crore • 2004 Rs 28,000 Crore • 2005 Rs 35,000 Crore
  • 7. Examples of Growth in Emerging Markets Years taken for organized retail to grow from <5% to over 20% INDIA IS STILL AT 2.5% Source : MG1, team analysis
  • 8. Forecast 2010 • Organized retail is expected to grow at 30% - 35% p.a. to become USD 24 bn (INR 100,000 cr) by 2010 • Organized Retail Penetration (ORP) will increase from less than 3% in 2005 to 8% by 2010 • FDI in real estate will accelerate pace of development of retail infrastructure • Investments in organized retailing are estimated to touch USD 4,000 Mn (INR 20,000 cr) by end of 2010 Source: KSA Technopak, HSBC Report
  • 9. Development Curve of Organised Retail
  • 10. Growth Drivers - Young & rapidly evolving consumers India is one of the most youthful countries in the world with 53% of the population less than 25 yrs of age Within a decade the number of people in age group of 20 – 49 would increase 30% from 395mn in 2000 to 510 mn in 2010
  • 11. Growth Drivers – Middle Class Population Currently estimated at 92 Mn the middle class (family income between INR 200,000 – 10,00,000 p.a.) is expected to be around 153 Mn by 2010
  • 12. Growth Drivers – Retail Infrastructure • India will have 225 malls by 2007 spread over 50 cities • Relaxation in FDI in Real Estate to give further impetus • Real Estate Mutual Funds ( REMFs) & Real Estate Investment Trusts ( REITs) comes to India
  • 14. Retail – Largest Employer in the World Increased employment opportunities - The annual employee turnover of Wal-Mart is more than the entire workforce of General Motors - 18% of the US workforce is employed in retail
  • 15. Socioeconomic Impact of McDonalds on the US Job Market McDonalds captures 1 out of every 6 restaurant visits in the US market • Employs more than 5,00,000 people • Largest employer of High School Students • 12.5 % of the US workforce has worked for McDonalds • 1 out of 15 American got his/her 1st Job at McDonalds • Nations largest Job Training Organisation -Bigger than the US Army – teaching the future US workforce “ work routines,job discipline and organisational teamwork
  • 16. Retail – Opportunities for Entrepreneurs - World of Franchising - Specialized retail formats Bangles, Candy, Kite, - opportunities are immense !!