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Option Market
Story of Ajay and Venu
 Ajay is a buyer
 Venu is a seller
 Current market price of land is 5 lakh
 Ajay agrees to pay 1 lakh
 Agreement period is 6 months
 Possibilities of three scenario
1. Price of land goes up to 10 lakh
2. Price of land remain constant
3. Price of land goes down
Option Premium
Premium=Time value+ Intrinsic value
 Option Premium is a mix of two values
 Intrinsic Value
 Time value
 Intrinsic value of a call option
 IV = Spot Price – Strike Price
 Time value=Premium-intrinsic value
Example for calculation
 Bajaj Auto CE 2050 bought at premium of 6.35
 Assumption is the date of expiry spot price rate
1. Even if the price of Bajaj Auto goes down (below the strike price of 2050),
the maximum loss seems to be just Rs.6.35/-
 Generalization 1 – For a call option buyer a loss occurs when the spot price
moves below the strike price. However the loss to the call option buyer
is restricted to the extent of the premium he has paid
2. The profit from this call option seems to increase exponentially as and
when Bajaj Auto starts to move above the strike price of 2050
 Generalization 2 – The call option becomes profitable as and when the spot
price moves over and above the strike price. The higher the spot price goes
from the strike price, the higher the profit.
3. From the above 2 generalizations it is fair for us to say that the buyer of
the call option has a limited risk and a potential to make an unlimited
profit.
P&L = Max [0, (Spot Price – Strike Price)] – Premium Paid
BEP(Break Even Point)
Till the spot price is equal to the strike price. However, when the spot price starts
to move above the strike price, the loss starts to minimize. The losses keep
getting minimized till a point where the trade neither results in a profit or a loss.
This is called the breakeven point. B.E = Strike Price + Premium Paid
ITM, OTM, ATM
 If intrinsic value is non-zero number then
option strike is called ITM
 If intrinsic value is zero the option strike is
called OTM
 The strike which is closest to the Spot price is
called ATM
The option Greeks
1. Delta – Measures the rate of change of options
premium based on the directional movement of the
underlying
2. Gamma – Rate of change of delta itself
3. Vega – Rate of change of premium based on change
in volatility
4. Theta – Measures the impact on premium based on
time left for expiry
Delta
 As and when the value of the spot changes, so does the option premium.
More precisely as we already know – the call option premium increases
with the increase in the spot value and vice versa.
 The Delta of an option helps us answer questions of this sort – “By how
many points will the option premium change for every 1 point change in
the underlying?”
 The delta is a number which varies –
a) Between 0 and 1 for a call option, some traders prefer to use the 0 to 100 scale. So
the delta value of 0.55 on 0 to 1 scale is equivalent to 55 on the 0 to 100 scale.
b) Between -1 and 0 (-100 to 0) for a put option. So the delta value of -0.4 on the -1 to
0 scale is equivalent to -40 on the -100 to 0 scale
Let’s take an Example:-
Nifty @ 10:55 AM is at 8288
Option Strike = 8250 Call Option
Premium = 133
Delta of the option = + 0.55
Nifty @ 3:15 PM is expected to reach 8310
What is the likely option premium value at 3:15 PM?
We are expecting the underlying to change by 22 points
(8310 – 8288), hence the premium is supposed to increase
by
= 22*0.55
= 12.1
Therefore the new option premium is expected to trade
around 145.1 (133+12.1)
Another Example:-
Nifty @ 10:55 AM is at 8288
Option Strike = 8250 Call Option
Premium = 133
Delta of the option = 0.55
Nifty @ 3:15 PM is expected to reach 8200
What is the likely premium value at 3:15 PM?
We are expecting Nifty to decline by – 88 points (8200 – 8288), hence the
change in premium will be –
= – 88 * 0.55
= – 48.4
Therefore the premium is expected to trade around
= 133 – 48.4
= 84.6 (new premium value)
Scenario 1: Delta greater than 1 for a call option
Nifty @ 10:55 AM at 8268
Option Strike = 8250 Call Option
Premium = 133
Delta of the option = 1.5 (purposely keeping it above 1)
Nifty @ 3:15 PM is expected to reach 8310
What is the likely premium value at 3:15 PM?
Change in Nifty = 42 points
Therefore the change in premium (considering the delta is 1.5)
= 1.5*42
= 63
So the option is gaining more value than the underlying itself. Remember the option is a
derivative contract, it derives its value from its respective underlying, hence it can never
move faster than the underlying.
. If the delta is 1 (which is the maximum delta value) it signifies that the option is moving in
line with the underlying which is acceptable, but a value higher than 1 does not make
sense. For this reason the delta of an option is fixed to a maximum value of 1 or 100.
Scenario 2: Delta lesser than 0 for a call option
Nifty @ 10:55 AM at 8288
Option Strike = 8300 Call Option
Premium = 9
Delta of the option = – 0.2 (have purposely changed the value to below 0, hence negative
delta)
Nifty @ 3:15 PM is expected to reach 8200
What is the likely premium value at 3:15 PM?
Change in Nifty = 88 points (8288 -8200)
Therefore the change in premium (considering the delta is -0.2)
= -0.2*88
= -17.6
For a moment we will assume this is true, therefore new premium will be
= -17.6 + 9
= – 8.6
when the delta of a call option goes below 0, there is a possibility for the premium to go
below 0, which is impossible. At this point do recollect the premium irrespective of a call or
put can never be negative. Hence for this reason, the delta of a call option is lower bound to
zero.
The value of the delta is one of the many outputs from the
Black & Scholes option pricing formula
I’ve considered Bajaj Auto as the underlying. The price is 2210 and the expectation
is a 30 point change in the underlying (which means we are expecting Bajaj Auto
to hit 2240). We will also assume there is plenty of time to expiry; hence time is
not really a concern.
Key Points
 The Delta changes as and when the spot value changes
 As the option transitions from OTM to ATM to ITM, so does the delta
 Delta hits a value of 0.5 for ATM options
 Delta predevelopment is when the option transitions from Deep OTM to OTM
 Delta Take off and acceleration is when the option transitions from OTM to ATM
 Delta stabilization is when the option transitions from ATM to ITM to Deep ITM
 Buying options in the take off stage tends to give high % return
 Buying Deep ITM option is as good as buying the underlying.
 The delta is additive in nature
 The delta of a futures contract is always 1
 Two ATM option is equivalent to owning 1 futures contract
 The options contract is not really a surrogate for the futures contract
 The delta of an option is also the probability for the option to expire ITM
Gamma
 Delta of an option is a variable and changes for every change in the underlying and
premium
 Gamma captures the rate of change of delta, it helps us get an answer for a question
such as “What is the expected value of delta for a given change in underlying”
 Delta is the 1st order derivative of premium
 Gamma is the 2nd order derivative of premium Between 0 and 1 for a call option, some
traders prefer to use the 0 to 100 scale.
 Gamma measures the rate of change of delta
 Gamma is always a positive number for both Calls and Puts
 Large Gamma can translate to large gamma risk (directional risk)
 When you buy options (Calls or Puts) you are long Gamma
 When you short options (Calls or Puts) you are short Gamma
 Avoid shorting options which have large gamma
 Delta changes rapidly for ATM option
 Delta changes slowly for OTM and ITM options
Theta
 Option sellers are always compensated for the time risk
 Premium = Intrinsic Value + Time Value
 All else equal, options lose money on a daily basis owing to Theta
 Time moves in a single direction hence Theta is a positive number
 Theta is a friendly Greek to option sellers
 When you short naked options at the start of the series you can pocket a
large time value but the fall in premium owing to time is low
 When you short option close to expiry the premium is low (thanks to time
value) but the fall in premium is rapid
Vega
 Historical Volatility is measured by the closing prices of the stock/index
 Forecasted Volatility is forecasted by volatility forecasting models
 Implied Volatility represents the market participants expectation of
volatility
 India VIX represents the implied volatility over the next 30 days period
 Vega measures the rate of change of premium with respect to change in
volatility
 All options increase in premium when volatility increases
 The effect of volatility is highest when there are more days left for expiry
Option Strategies

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Option market advanced level

  • 2. Story of Ajay and Venu  Ajay is a buyer  Venu is a seller  Current market price of land is 5 lakh  Ajay agrees to pay 1 lakh  Agreement period is 6 months  Possibilities of three scenario 1. Price of land goes up to 10 lakh 2. Price of land remain constant 3. Price of land goes down
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  • 8. Option Premium Premium=Time value+ Intrinsic value  Option Premium is a mix of two values  Intrinsic Value  Time value  Intrinsic value of a call option  IV = Spot Price – Strike Price  Time value=Premium-intrinsic value
  • 9. Example for calculation  Bajaj Auto CE 2050 bought at premium of 6.35  Assumption is the date of expiry spot price rate
  • 10. 1. Even if the price of Bajaj Auto goes down (below the strike price of 2050), the maximum loss seems to be just Rs.6.35/-  Generalization 1 – For a call option buyer a loss occurs when the spot price moves below the strike price. However the loss to the call option buyer is restricted to the extent of the premium he has paid 2. The profit from this call option seems to increase exponentially as and when Bajaj Auto starts to move above the strike price of 2050  Generalization 2 – The call option becomes profitable as and when the spot price moves over and above the strike price. The higher the spot price goes from the strike price, the higher the profit. 3. From the above 2 generalizations it is fair for us to say that the buyer of the call option has a limited risk and a potential to make an unlimited profit. P&L = Max [0, (Spot Price – Strike Price)] – Premium Paid
  • 11. BEP(Break Even Point) Till the spot price is equal to the strike price. However, when the spot price starts to move above the strike price, the loss starts to minimize. The losses keep getting minimized till a point where the trade neither results in a profit or a loss. This is called the breakeven point. B.E = Strike Price + Premium Paid
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  • 13. ITM, OTM, ATM  If intrinsic value is non-zero number then option strike is called ITM  If intrinsic value is zero the option strike is called OTM  The strike which is closest to the Spot price is called ATM
  • 14. The option Greeks 1. Delta – Measures the rate of change of options premium based on the directional movement of the underlying 2. Gamma – Rate of change of delta itself 3. Vega – Rate of change of premium based on change in volatility 4. Theta – Measures the impact on premium based on time left for expiry
  • 15. Delta  As and when the value of the spot changes, so does the option premium. More precisely as we already know – the call option premium increases with the increase in the spot value and vice versa.  The Delta of an option helps us answer questions of this sort – “By how many points will the option premium change for every 1 point change in the underlying?”  The delta is a number which varies – a) Between 0 and 1 for a call option, some traders prefer to use the 0 to 100 scale. So the delta value of 0.55 on 0 to 1 scale is equivalent to 55 on the 0 to 100 scale. b) Between -1 and 0 (-100 to 0) for a put option. So the delta value of -0.4 on the -1 to 0 scale is equivalent to -40 on the -100 to 0 scale
  • 16. Let’s take an Example:- Nifty @ 10:55 AM is at 8288 Option Strike = 8250 Call Option Premium = 133 Delta of the option = + 0.55 Nifty @ 3:15 PM is expected to reach 8310 What is the likely option premium value at 3:15 PM? We are expecting the underlying to change by 22 points (8310 – 8288), hence the premium is supposed to increase by = 22*0.55 = 12.1 Therefore the new option premium is expected to trade around 145.1 (133+12.1)
  • 17. Another Example:- Nifty @ 10:55 AM is at 8288 Option Strike = 8250 Call Option Premium = 133 Delta of the option = 0.55 Nifty @ 3:15 PM is expected to reach 8200 What is the likely premium value at 3:15 PM? We are expecting Nifty to decline by – 88 points (8200 – 8288), hence the change in premium will be – = – 88 * 0.55 = – 48.4 Therefore the premium is expected to trade around = 133 – 48.4 = 84.6 (new premium value)
  • 18. Scenario 1: Delta greater than 1 for a call option Nifty @ 10:55 AM at 8268 Option Strike = 8250 Call Option Premium = 133 Delta of the option = 1.5 (purposely keeping it above 1) Nifty @ 3:15 PM is expected to reach 8310 What is the likely premium value at 3:15 PM? Change in Nifty = 42 points Therefore the change in premium (considering the delta is 1.5) = 1.5*42 = 63 So the option is gaining more value than the underlying itself. Remember the option is a derivative contract, it derives its value from its respective underlying, hence it can never move faster than the underlying. . If the delta is 1 (which is the maximum delta value) it signifies that the option is moving in line with the underlying which is acceptable, but a value higher than 1 does not make sense. For this reason the delta of an option is fixed to a maximum value of 1 or 100.
  • 19. Scenario 2: Delta lesser than 0 for a call option Nifty @ 10:55 AM at 8288 Option Strike = 8300 Call Option Premium = 9 Delta of the option = – 0.2 (have purposely changed the value to below 0, hence negative delta) Nifty @ 3:15 PM is expected to reach 8200 What is the likely premium value at 3:15 PM? Change in Nifty = 88 points (8288 -8200) Therefore the change in premium (considering the delta is -0.2) = -0.2*88 = -17.6 For a moment we will assume this is true, therefore new premium will be = -17.6 + 9 = – 8.6 when the delta of a call option goes below 0, there is a possibility for the premium to go below 0, which is impossible. At this point do recollect the premium irrespective of a call or put can never be negative. Hence for this reason, the delta of a call option is lower bound to zero.
  • 20. The value of the delta is one of the many outputs from the Black & Scholes option pricing formula
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  • 23. I’ve considered Bajaj Auto as the underlying. The price is 2210 and the expectation is a 30 point change in the underlying (which means we are expecting Bajaj Auto to hit 2240). We will also assume there is plenty of time to expiry; hence time is not really a concern.
  • 24. Key Points  The Delta changes as and when the spot value changes  As the option transitions from OTM to ATM to ITM, so does the delta  Delta hits a value of 0.5 for ATM options  Delta predevelopment is when the option transitions from Deep OTM to OTM  Delta Take off and acceleration is when the option transitions from OTM to ATM  Delta stabilization is when the option transitions from ATM to ITM to Deep ITM  Buying options in the take off stage tends to give high % return  Buying Deep ITM option is as good as buying the underlying.  The delta is additive in nature  The delta of a futures contract is always 1  Two ATM option is equivalent to owning 1 futures contract  The options contract is not really a surrogate for the futures contract  The delta of an option is also the probability for the option to expire ITM
  • 25. Gamma  Delta of an option is a variable and changes for every change in the underlying and premium  Gamma captures the rate of change of delta, it helps us get an answer for a question such as “What is the expected value of delta for a given change in underlying”  Delta is the 1st order derivative of premium  Gamma is the 2nd order derivative of premium Between 0 and 1 for a call option, some traders prefer to use the 0 to 100 scale.  Gamma measures the rate of change of delta  Gamma is always a positive number for both Calls and Puts  Large Gamma can translate to large gamma risk (directional risk)  When you buy options (Calls or Puts) you are long Gamma  When you short options (Calls or Puts) you are short Gamma  Avoid shorting options which have large gamma  Delta changes rapidly for ATM option  Delta changes slowly for OTM and ITM options
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  • 27. Theta  Option sellers are always compensated for the time risk  Premium = Intrinsic Value + Time Value  All else equal, options lose money on a daily basis owing to Theta  Time moves in a single direction hence Theta is a positive number  Theta is a friendly Greek to option sellers  When you short naked options at the start of the series you can pocket a large time value but the fall in premium owing to time is low  When you short option close to expiry the premium is low (thanks to time value) but the fall in premium is rapid
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  • 29. Vega  Historical Volatility is measured by the closing prices of the stock/index  Forecasted Volatility is forecasted by volatility forecasting models  Implied Volatility represents the market participants expectation of volatility  India VIX represents the implied volatility over the next 30 days period  Vega measures the rate of change of premium with respect to change in volatility  All options increase in premium when volatility increases  The effect of volatility is highest when there are more days left for expiry