6. ‘the future is already here –
it’s just unevenly distributed’ william gibson
7. the ‘teens’ began with desire for
change [coalition, electoral reform]
8. ‘there’s no more money’
the coalition response was part of a global
shift in how the state delivers (the 1990s now
seem as long ago as the 1970s did in 2010)
why did this happen?
10. a rubik’s cube of new old words
big good
govt local
citizens society
11. cutting a smaller cake
cross-cutting social splits:
soaring expectations (eg
EU & UK equal rights law)
v
dwindling receipts
white-ish, ‘rich’,
baby-boomers-plus
v
young, diverse, poor,
‘undeserving’ migrants
12. in 2010, 36p of each £1 of
charity income was from govt
cuts took us back to 2003/04 (Tory pre-election figures)
ie: pre-ChangeUp investment
Statutory
funding of the
VCS, 2001/01-
2007/08
(£billions):
NCVO
13. innovation nation
eg: social impact bonds
way back in 2010
peterborough prison pilot
raised £5m
if reoffending cut by 7.5%+, MoJ
would share out savings
but many questions needed
resolving:
what change counts?
who counts it?
15. in 2020, social media is the media
not just comms & campaigns
the network effect caused explosive
growth. in 2010 twitter already had
180m users (after just 4 years)
(almost) the death of print media
in 2020 your mobile is the main way
you use the web
but the ‘IT poor’ are a real problem
16. 50+ global web philanthropy
exchanges in 2010 eg kiva
in 2020, you are the
philanthropist
real-time, direct relationship
with your pet projects
is there still a role for generalist
organisations when people can
source everything direct?
giving without the middle-man
17. atomised collectivity
(in 2010 we called it ‘community’)
small government (& small society?)
web-enabled micro-volunteering of
what Clay Shirky called your
‘cognitive surplus’
single equalities act
► ‘diversity mosaic’? not blending
18. back in 2010, what does all this
mean for our near future?
19. a push for local solutions.
individual & community responsibility
grassroots swell in community organising -
facilitated by technology, driven by need
all politicians try to conceptualise &
harness this (eg NESTA’s ‘mass localism’)
but no consensus yet on:
big / small
society / government
polls say we don’t think experts & govt
know best, & support others getting
involved. but volunteering is static, even
after 13 years of Labour investment !
Proportion who have given any unpaid help to non-
relatives in the last 12 months
Citizenship Survey
20. there are so many ifs. eg…
how do the
statutory bodies in
your local area
influence your
organisation’s
success? (%)
Ipsos-MORI
for OTS
21. ‘it’s not the strongest that
survives, or the most intelligent,
it’s the most adaptable’
