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Steve Bayley
Strategic Planner
@TheLincolnKing
Celebrity Endorsements
reek of DESPERATION
As do OVER-THE-TOP public
displays that are UNCLEAR how they
are RELATED TO THE BRAND
This all seems EERILY
FAMILIAR...
Nokia has about
6 Billion reasons why it
won’t go out like
Blackberry
The biggest reason for
that is valuable
proprietary technology
patents
And the backing of
Microsoft
Windows has to be comfortable with
who they are and what they can be in
the US mobile market.
They will not be a market
leader
They can be a viable
competitor
Windows phone has to pursue
a differentiation strategy
Where is the window of
opportunity?
If iPhone has the mass
aspirational angle
and Android has a strong
male base
Where does that leave
Nokia?
The path to smartphone success is
littered with the remains of failed
competitors
The Corporate
Phone
The AdventurePhone
The Rebellious
Phone
The Creative
Phone
Its not NOKIA
Its the Windows Phone
What is Windows?
A Pioneer
Not the cool hipster iPhone,
Brooklyn gentrification pioneer
But a real
Honest to goodness
EXPLORER
One thing about
Explorer’s...
They tend to travel light
And value functionality in
the real world
so as a result
have little tolerance for
extraneous bells and
w
histles
Whether those bells and whistles are
are about social status or tech one-
upsmanship
In 2013, the “base models” still
have a ton of desirable features
When many American consumers
hear NOKIA they see this
That doesn’t have to be a
bad thing
But remember its NOT
NOKIA
its Windows
Pre-Paid & Unlocked
High Quality
In the rest of the world
these are not mutually
exclusive propositions
Microsoft will also need to ship
more low-cost smartphones
to high-growth emerging
markets if it is to continue building
on its recent nominal share increases.
- Brad Reed BGR.com 9/5/13
Traditionally, mobile
technology has spread
from mature markets like
South Korea, Japan, and
the United States to
emerging markets
For the first time, we
are seeing the trend
reverse
The saturated US market
is taking mobile cues
from the Middle East &
Africa
Markets demanding hi-technology
for low ARPU’s are the global
drivers of affordable innovation
The
Smartphone
At this price point
is an emerging market
NOKIA Asha: The $100 smartphone
for Middle East & African markets
And thanks to the
Windows Phone, they no
longer have to be in the
United States
520
This is why the 520 sold out
on HSN and in Wal-Mart
on its introduction
This is why Apple is
scrambling to compete in
this space...
iPhone 5c launch
9/10/13
But Windows has already
secured the first mover
advantage
and the word is getting out
Although there are
multiple Windows
phones, each owning a
sliver of a sliver of the
market
http://blog.adduplex.com/2013/08/adduplex-windows-phone-
statistics.html
The fastest growth is
coming in the value segment
http://blog.adduplex.com/2013/07/adduplex-windows-phone-
statistics.html
Its NOT 1999
Conspicuous Consumption
is NOT cool
Prestige
Value HighLow
High
Brand Positions of U.S. Handset Manufacturers - 9/13
Rivalry BuyersSuppliers
New Entrants
•Rivalry is weak
•Cost of switching is high
(early termination fees),
but falling (annual upgrade options)
•Android brands are weakly
differentiated among themselves
•Overall buyer demand is growing
slow, but value options are
outpacing the general market
•Apple and Samsung dominate
the market
•Buyer bargaining power is strong
•There is a shortage of options
meeting customer performance
expectations at the desired
price point
•Customers feel they have to
make compromises on quality
•Available products are not
adequately differentiated
•Buyers can easily stick with what
they have and postpone purchase
•Suppliers bargaining power is
moderate
•Apple has deep backward
integration and hand-picks
suppliers
•Androids are considered a
commodity
•Samsung has made strides in
“un- commoditizing”
the Android market
•Developers have relatively free
reign for Android & Windows
•Threat of New Entrants is weak
•Barriers to entry are high -
Only well capitalized
multinationals compete in the
handset game
•Apple is willing to contest new
entry with the iPhone 5c vs, the
520
•Apple is looking to expand by
entering the value segment,
where traditionally, small Android
players have splintered the the
market share
Substitutes
•Threat of Substitutes is moderate
•The 520 is a superior product
vs. existing similar priced Androids
•iPhone 5c is a potentially
brand compromising move
from Apple
•First movers to differentiate will
have significant advantage. Once
the segment takes off the market
will again commoditize
Competitive
Analysis
Apple made it cool to be smart...
Yet convinced people it was
“smart” to buy a $600 phone
That old Apple magic
has disappeared though
Explorer’s know that if you’re
In a line waiting
with a bunch of sheep
to accelerate your road to
poverty
There is no way
that could be cool!
http://www.wpcentral.com/nokia-lumia-521-coming-metropcs-
tomorrow-only-99
We already know the Windows
junkies love it
You can’t get double
digit market share
catering to a tiny niche
Explorers are not a tiny
niche.
They are basically any one
who doesn’t really care
about Apple or Samsung
or bleeding edge tech
They are too busy living
life
And just want a
smartphone that
works.
Where are these Explorers now?
They are in the market,
and shopping for a new
home
Non Samsung Android is
37% of the U.S. Market
HTC, Motorola, LG,
these identity-less droids
are competing on
features and price and
they can’t win
Windows Phone is up
to 4% of the U.S.
Market in Q2 2013
That’s up from 1% at
the same time last year
In France over the
same period Windows
Phone moved from
2.3% to 9%
What are the driving
forces in the U.S.
Market?
Democratization of the
Smartphone
Changing Societal Concerns,
Attitudes, and Lifestyles, away
from conspicuous
consumption and toward value
The United States as A
PART of the global
community, not APART
from it.
The winds of change
are at the back of the
Windows Phone
Just keep both hands on the ball and your legs
moving and 15% market share should be a given
END

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