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Introduction Program Methodology Findings Discussion
No Lost Generation
Supporting the School Participation of Displaced Syrian
Children in Lebanon
Jacobus de Hoop1
Mitchell Morey2
David Seidenfeld2
1UNICEF Office of Research - Innocenti
2American Institutes for Research
June 7, 2018
1 / 18
Introduction Program Methodology Findings Discussion
Partners
• Reaching All Children with Education (RACE) PMU in
Lebanese Ministry of Education and Higher Education
• UNICEF Lebanon
• UNICEF MENA Regional Office
• UNICEF Office of Research - Innocenti
• World Food Programme
• Caritas Lebanon
• UN Refugee Agency (UNHCR)
• American Institutes for Research
• Statistics Lebanon
2 / 18
Introduction Program Methodology Findings Discussion
Background
• 5.9mln total population
• 1-1.5mln Syrian refugees
• 0.5mln: primary school aged children
• >50% out of school (VASyR, 2016)
• 93% of Syrian children in school prior to conflict
3 / 18
Introduction Program Methodology Findings Discussion
Education response
In Lebanon, MEHE, UNICEF and partners:
• Waive primary school fees & residency obligations
• Afternoon shift education
• Accelerated learning program
• Transport
Reasons for residual non-attendance (VASyR, 2016):
• Cost of education
• Reliance child income generation
→ No Lost Generation Cash Transfer Program
4 / 18
Introduction Program Methodology Findings Discussion
This study...
... makes a unique contribution by identifying the effects of the
programme:
• Child focus
• Displacement setting
• Quantitative baseline and follow-up
• Quasi-experimental comparison group
Helps programming to make displaced children survive and thrive
5 / 18
Introduction Program Methodology Findings Discussion
Punchline
In settings of massive displacement, cash-support can improve
schooling outcomes especially if coordinated with supply side
interventions
6 / 18
Introduction Program Methodology Findings Discussion
No Lost Generation Program 2016/2017
Pilot in two governorates: Akkar & Mt. Lebanon
• Cash for children in afternoon shift
• HMC displacement setting, relatively high transfer amounts
• US$20/month for children aged 6-9
• US$65/month for children aged 10-14
• Unconditional, but ”labelled”
• Attendance monitoring & referral services
• Reaching nearly 50k children
7 / 18
Introduction Program Methodology Findings Discussion
Geographical regression discontinuity
Sampling:
• 74 schools/clusters
• 20 households per cluster
• 1,784 children aged 6-9
• 1,647 children aged 10-14
Data collection:
• Baseline: prior to start NLG
• Midline: during 16/17 s.year
8 / 18
Introduction Program Methodology Findings Discussion
Baseline school enrolment
Overal enrollment %
Comparison ←→ Pilot
Afternoon shift enrollment %
Comparison ←→ Pilot
9 / 18
Introduction Program Methodology Findings Discussion
Follow-up school enrolment
Overal enrollment %
Comparison ←→ Pilot
Afternoon shift enrollment %
Comparison ←→ Pilot
10 / 18
Introduction Program Methodology Findings Discussion
Follow-up No Lost Generation take-up %
Comparison ←→ Pilot
11 / 18
Introduction Program Methodology Findings Discussion
Follow-up education expenditures and bus transprt
Education expenditure (USD)
Comparison ←→ Pilot
Bus transport %
Comparison ←→ Pilot
12 / 18
Introduction Program Methodology Findings Discussion
Follow-up weekly days of school attendance
Comparison ←→ Pilot
13 / 18
Introduction Program Methodology Findings Discussion
Wider impacts: sneak preview
• Health
• Food consumption
• Household chores
• Depression
• Trust, optimism, assertiveness
• Education aspirations
14 / 18
Introduction Program Methodology Findings Discussion
Limitations
• Sampled from current catchment areas
• Other support programs:
• Cash transfer programs
• Education interventions
15 / 18
Introduction Program Methodology Findings Discussion
Conclusions for policy
In settings of massive displacement:
• Demand side programs can be an important complement to
raise school attendance and help avoid a lost generation
• Critical to coordinate demand and supply-side programming
to the maximum extent possible
16 / 18
Introduction Program Methodology Findings Discussion
Research priorities
• Understanding the role of information provision
• Understanding the impact of scaling down
17 / 18
Thank you
• Email: jdehoop@unicef.org
• Twitter: @jjdehoop
18 / 18

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No Lost Generation

  • 1. Introduction Program Methodology Findings Discussion No Lost Generation Supporting the School Participation of Displaced Syrian Children in Lebanon Jacobus de Hoop1 Mitchell Morey2 David Seidenfeld2 1UNICEF Office of Research - Innocenti 2American Institutes for Research June 7, 2018 1 / 18
  • 2. Introduction Program Methodology Findings Discussion Partners • Reaching All Children with Education (RACE) PMU in Lebanese Ministry of Education and Higher Education • UNICEF Lebanon • UNICEF MENA Regional Office • UNICEF Office of Research - Innocenti • World Food Programme • Caritas Lebanon • UN Refugee Agency (UNHCR) • American Institutes for Research • Statistics Lebanon 2 / 18
  • 3. Introduction Program Methodology Findings Discussion Background • 5.9mln total population • 1-1.5mln Syrian refugees • 0.5mln: primary school aged children • >50% out of school (VASyR, 2016) • 93% of Syrian children in school prior to conflict 3 / 18
  • 4. Introduction Program Methodology Findings Discussion Education response In Lebanon, MEHE, UNICEF and partners: • Waive primary school fees & residency obligations • Afternoon shift education • Accelerated learning program • Transport Reasons for residual non-attendance (VASyR, 2016): • Cost of education • Reliance child income generation → No Lost Generation Cash Transfer Program 4 / 18
  • 5. Introduction Program Methodology Findings Discussion This study... ... makes a unique contribution by identifying the effects of the programme: • Child focus • Displacement setting • Quantitative baseline and follow-up • Quasi-experimental comparison group Helps programming to make displaced children survive and thrive 5 / 18
  • 6. Introduction Program Methodology Findings Discussion Punchline In settings of massive displacement, cash-support can improve schooling outcomes especially if coordinated with supply side interventions 6 / 18
  • 7. Introduction Program Methodology Findings Discussion No Lost Generation Program 2016/2017 Pilot in two governorates: Akkar & Mt. Lebanon • Cash for children in afternoon shift • HMC displacement setting, relatively high transfer amounts • US$20/month for children aged 6-9 • US$65/month for children aged 10-14 • Unconditional, but ”labelled” • Attendance monitoring & referral services • Reaching nearly 50k children 7 / 18
  • 8. Introduction Program Methodology Findings Discussion Geographical regression discontinuity Sampling: • 74 schools/clusters • 20 households per cluster • 1,784 children aged 6-9 • 1,647 children aged 10-14 Data collection: • Baseline: prior to start NLG • Midline: during 16/17 s.year 8 / 18
  • 9. Introduction Program Methodology Findings Discussion Baseline school enrolment Overal enrollment % Comparison ←→ Pilot Afternoon shift enrollment % Comparison ←→ Pilot 9 / 18
  • 10. Introduction Program Methodology Findings Discussion Follow-up school enrolment Overal enrollment % Comparison ←→ Pilot Afternoon shift enrollment % Comparison ←→ Pilot 10 / 18
  • 11. Introduction Program Methodology Findings Discussion Follow-up No Lost Generation take-up % Comparison ←→ Pilot 11 / 18
  • 12. Introduction Program Methodology Findings Discussion Follow-up education expenditures and bus transprt Education expenditure (USD) Comparison ←→ Pilot Bus transport % Comparison ←→ Pilot 12 / 18
  • 13. Introduction Program Methodology Findings Discussion Follow-up weekly days of school attendance Comparison ←→ Pilot 13 / 18
  • 14. Introduction Program Methodology Findings Discussion Wider impacts: sneak preview • Health • Food consumption • Household chores • Depression • Trust, optimism, assertiveness • Education aspirations 14 / 18
  • 15. Introduction Program Methodology Findings Discussion Limitations • Sampled from current catchment areas • Other support programs: • Cash transfer programs • Education interventions 15 / 18
  • 16. Introduction Program Methodology Findings Discussion Conclusions for policy In settings of massive displacement: • Demand side programs can be an important complement to raise school attendance and help avoid a lost generation • Critical to coordinate demand and supply-side programming to the maximum extent possible 16 / 18
  • 17. Introduction Program Methodology Findings Discussion Research priorities • Understanding the role of information provision • Understanding the impact of scaling down 17 / 18
  • 18. Thank you • Email: jdehoop@unicef.org • Twitter: @jjdehoop 18 / 18