The document discusses how a carpool system could help improve air quality and reduce traffic congestion in Los Angeles. It first provides background on the current traffic and environmental issues in LA, noting heavy congestion and air pollution levels above national averages. The document then outlines a proposed research methodology to analyze how carpool implementation could reduce emissions and congestion costs over 30 years. Specifically, it would estimate emissions reductions in 2025 and 2030 by comparing rates with and without the projected number of carpool vehicles from increased adoption and riders per vehicle. Any reductions greater than carpool costs would indicate environmental and economic benefits.
“You are the master of your own destiny. Use your strengths well. They are the keys to your destiny and your success in life. Once you know yourself and take action to realize your dreams, you can unlock the doors to your own potential.”
~Neil Somerville
Financing Soot-Free Urban Bus Fleets in 20 MegacitiesRay Minjares
This presentation argues that soot-free technology pays for itself from a 'total cost of ownership' perspective.' About 20 percent of all new buses sold globally are "soot-free," meaning they meet Euro VI or US 2010 emission standards; or they are diesel engines with a diesel particulate filter, gas engines, or electric drive engines. BYD, Scania, Volvo Buses, and Cummins committed in September 2017 to make soot-free technology available to these 20 cities. With commercially available soot-free products available, cities need to explore new financing and procurement to bring them into their public transit systems.
Presentation by EMBARQ Director Holger Dalkmann. - Next Station: Our Low Carbon Future: En Route to a Transportwende? Climate Solutions for the Transportation Sector
“You are the master of your own destiny. Use your strengths well. They are the keys to your destiny and your success in life. Once you know yourself and take action to realize your dreams, you can unlock the doors to your own potential.”
~Neil Somerville
Financing Soot-Free Urban Bus Fleets in 20 MegacitiesRay Minjares
This presentation argues that soot-free technology pays for itself from a 'total cost of ownership' perspective.' About 20 percent of all new buses sold globally are "soot-free," meaning they meet Euro VI or US 2010 emission standards; or they are diesel engines with a diesel particulate filter, gas engines, or electric drive engines. BYD, Scania, Volvo Buses, and Cummins committed in September 2017 to make soot-free technology available to these 20 cities. With commercially available soot-free products available, cities need to explore new financing and procurement to bring them into their public transit systems.
Presentation by EMBARQ Director Holger Dalkmann. - Next Station: Our Low Carbon Future: En Route to a Transportwende? Climate Solutions for the Transportation Sector
How Guanghzou, Seoul, Naya Raipur, Guadalajara became more sustainable, resilient, and saved money and can inspire a new paradigm for tomorrow's cities. Presentation by WRI Ross Center for Sustainable Cities' Global Partnerships and Strategy Director, Holger Dalkmann at Powering Progress Together conference, Shell, in Manila, Philippines, February 26, 2015. More information at WRI.org
Relocation to the nearby cities seems the only solution to India’s population...Healthcare consultant
Many Study after study has validated the fact that Indian Metropolitan Cities and its satellite towns (collectively called the Capital Region or metropolitan cities) count as one of the most polluted megacities in the world. The Air Quality Index (AQI) of Indian Metropolitan Cities metropolitan cities often crosses 400, a situation when 100 per cent of the population is at risk. As winter sets in, medical practitioners advise that we stay indoors, avoid walks in the park and wear facemasks if we have to step out.
Sustainable urban transport creates more inclusive and prosperous cities. We seem to have a consensus of what is required. However, urban society as a whole is still far away from achieving what we need. This presentation by Dario Hidalgo explores some of the key elements in advancing sustainable mobility and urban development and the status of some practices around the world: transport demand management, mass transit, and shared mobility. The question is whether these good practices will be mainstreamed or not.
Related reading: "Sustainable Urban Transport On The Move” blog series: http://bit.ly/1axQzxC
"Urbanism Hall of Fame" blog series: http://bit.ly/1q0xScJ
How Guanghzou, Seoul, Naya Raipur, Guadalajara became more sustainable, resilient, and saved money and can inspire a new paradigm for tomorrow's cities. Presentation by WRI Ross Center for Sustainable Cities' Global Partnerships and Strategy Director, Holger Dalkmann at Powering Progress Together conference, Shell, in Manila, Philippines, February 26, 2015. More information at WRI.org
Relocation to the nearby cities seems the only solution to India’s population...Healthcare consultant
Many Study after study has validated the fact that Indian Metropolitan Cities and its satellite towns (collectively called the Capital Region or metropolitan cities) count as one of the most polluted megacities in the world. The Air Quality Index (AQI) of Indian Metropolitan Cities metropolitan cities often crosses 400, a situation when 100 per cent of the population is at risk. As winter sets in, medical practitioners advise that we stay indoors, avoid walks in the park and wear facemasks if we have to step out.
Sustainable urban transport creates more inclusive and prosperous cities. We seem to have a consensus of what is required. However, urban society as a whole is still far away from achieving what we need. This presentation by Dario Hidalgo explores some of the key elements in advancing sustainable mobility and urban development and the status of some practices around the world: transport demand management, mass transit, and shared mobility. The question is whether these good practices will be mainstreamed or not.
Related reading: "Sustainable Urban Transport On The Move” blog series: http://bit.ly/1axQzxC
"Urbanism Hall of Fame" blog series: http://bit.ly/1q0xScJ
C&ess presentation performance review 2016 (copy 1)Baig Ali
Performance of Civil Engineering and Support Services Department of OGDCL Pakistan, of "C &ESS Department"
by
Engr. Baig Ali
Chief Engineer (Civil) Contracts & JVs.
Mechanical Engineer having 5+ years experience in Erection & Commissioning En...Qamar Ahmad
• Study of project and drawing as per planning sheet
• Work out of erection time and cost of project
• Site visit to check condition of the site and discuss with client regarding erection of equipment
• Allocate the workmen depending upon the erection schedule
• Allocate the requirement/facilities based upon the requirement.
• Specialized to do the modification at site as per the process requirement
• Knowledge of erection & fabrication drawings & PID drawings
• Provide solutions and fixed Crane or Hoist malfunctioning, modifications and performed replacements and /or new installation
• Assigned personnel and technical support teams to sites requiring erection
• Design and implemented special strategies related to erection procedures
• Inspection of assembled equipment, to ensure proper installation.
• Inspection of all operating parts to ensure proper operation within expected tolerances.
• Clearly and professionally interact with customer, regarding status of erection, on a daily basis
• Interact with internal and external project managers during field projects
• Preparing schedule and planning using MS Office and Word.
• Preparing of project documents such as weekly report, progress report, erection plan, precost and actual cost of projects, bar chart of projects etc
• Site visit for training and troubleshooting to client.
Why Cities Choose Smart Parking Solutions from Streetline
This white paper examines the impact of parking on the transportation ecosystem as well as the quality of life in a city. Technological solutions are offered to address parking congestion, which is estimated at 30% of city traffic. Streetline's sensors and consumer & municipal applications provide the tools a city needs to implement smarter parking strategies.
Running head LOS ANGELES UNION STATION AS A SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPME.docxcharisellington63520
Running head: LOS ANGELES UNION STATION AS A SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT PROJECT
LOS ANGELES UNION STATION AS A SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT PROJECT
Los Angeles Union Station as a Sustainable Development Project
Institution
Course Name
Name
Date
I. Development description of rebuilding the Union Station in Los Angeles
Located strategically in Northeastern of Downtown Los Angeles, the Union Station celebrated its 75th anniversary this year since it began operations. Owned by Los Angeles County Metropolitan Transportation Authority, a private governing body, this public facility serves approximately 1.643 million passengers a year. Significant dates of this station include beginning official operation in 1939, added to the National Register of Historic Places in 1980 and became part of the Los Angeles Historic-Cultural Monument in 1972 (Maltzan, 2011). In September 17, 2014 the master vision of upgrading this facility was revealed. The Los Angeles County Metropolitan Transportation Authority (Metro) revealed the final project’s master plan that seek to transform this historic station into a more modern facility in the contemporary environment that need sustainability.
II. Purpose of rebuilding
The Union Station is due for major innovation to build a modern super transportation station. Although several projects including New transit station on El Monte Busway, Southern California Regional Interconnect Project, and Former Run-Through Tracks Project have been proposed before and fail to receive attention from legislators, the approved 2014 master plan was developed for California High-Speed Rail project. This project seeks to transform the Union Station into a major hub of transportation with new rail system and new railway station infrastructure. The Metro Authority indicated that the California High-Speed Rail system project will improve rail transportation and passengers will be able to travel from this station to Transbay Terminal in San Francisco in less than three hours(Chester and Horvath, 2010). As the master plan of the new station reveal, the project will feature aerial structures that will be built above the existing platform and underground structures. Apart from improving transportation, increasing convenience and serving more passengers, this project aims to utilize resource in order to enhance sustainability in the transport sector in California. In America, California is the most populous State, with most polluted cities from motor vehicles, port operations and various industries; any sustainable transportation project is welcome.
III. Demographic Snapshot of the Los Angeles
The neighborhood is an important stakeholder and a major consideration during a major infrastructure development. The proposed station will have numerous activities going on during building. During the process of rebuilding this station, it is expected to give inconveniences to the Los Angeles residents and neighboring residen.
Transportation Planning.1.What is the future direction of the Trav.pdfdiscountonly4u
Transportation Planning.
1.What is the future direction of the Travel Demand Analysis in the United States?Explain
breifly(Minimum 1.5 pages)
Solution
Since the beginning of civilization, the viability and economic success of communities have been
greatly determined by the efficiency of their transportation infrastructures. The need for efficient
transportation and land-use systems has never been more critical than it is today.
Vehicle Mile Traveled (VMT) per capita has started to decline in the United States since early
2000 years. Passenger travel demand seems to have decoupled from economic activity (i.e.
grows at lower rate). Starting in the mid 2000s, the average per-capita vehicle miles traveled
(VMT) have declined, after a long period of steady growth in the decades of the previous
century. An increased portion of Americans live without a car, and while the total amount of
person-trips in the country continues to rise, this has not translated into increased car use.
Instead, the use of alternative modes, including public transportation and active means of travel,
has increased.
Impact of the economic recession, changes in gas prices, demographic trends, changes in the
urban form of American cities, and emerging changes in personal preferences and lifestyles are
few parameters to account for the slow down of the Travel Demand. The VMT per capita, as
well as the rates of vehicle ownership, including the number of vehicles per person, vehicles per
licensed driver, and vehicles per household, reached their respective peaks between 2004 and
2006. However, the economic crisis from 2007-2009 has certainly contributed to reducing total
VMT in the country.
Changes in travel demand have become important with implications for the urban and
transportation planning owing to the large financial investments and considerable time required
to provide new transportation infrastructure and services.
To understand the situation and adopt corrective measures, Statewide travel forecasting models
to predict all travel in the state, potentially by all modes, for both goods and people are bein
undertaken. This includes Super-regional models statewide that cover all or parts of multiple
states and possibly the whole of the US. Researchers have been undertaking such research
initiatives and efforts, to upgrade the existing models and develop new models. These studies are
generally under the umbrella of the American Association of State Highway and Transportation
Officials (AASHTO).
The importance of statewide models stems directly from the amount of long-distance (as defined
within the NHTS as more than 50 miles), and intercity travel in the US. Statewide models go
beyond metropolitan models principally by including larger, if not all, portions of long distances
trips and by explicitly including passenger and freight modes for intercity travel. Almost two-
thirds of the states have active modeling efforts, with one or two states completing a new model
each year..
Millions of people use their own cars to move every day. By this we make a lot of pollution, thousands of accidents and suffering pernicious traffic in a costly way. Today, rate of motorization and level of vehicle ownership is growing rapidly. On the other hand when it comes to transit, during recent decades most of cities have planned for development of public transit. Today, transit use in cities is much, much higher than it was in 3 decades ago.
Increasing the Road Capacity Not Always Improves the Travel Time: A Before an...IJERA Editor
The rapid growth of the car ownership last two decades in Albania has increased the need for higher transportation capacity. One of the most affected cities in Albania is Tirana where the capacity has not met the demand. Inevitably, the center of Tirana (Skanderbeg Square) plays a crucial part in Tirana Transportation System. After a closure of about 2 years, being under reconstruction planned to be car-free area, Skanderbeg Square opened to traffic in 2011 by motorizing it again. This study analyses performance parameters such as: Travel Time, Waiting Time, and Passenger Movements for bus and passenger cars passing through the Skanderbeg Square before and after it was opened to traffic. Kinostudio-Kombinat bus line has been selected as the only line passing through the center of Tirana. Changing the land use from car-free to motorized one has created a valuable possibility to compare the traditional approach; which focuses only on cost to the sustainable one; which includes the environment and social aspects, too in the evaluation. Wider roads, shorter travel times and higher speed travel at the center (CBD) have made vehicle usage more attractive. At the same time, bus travel times have been improved at the center of Tirana. However, the total travel times were not only enhanced, but at some locations (especially near the CBD) where deteriorated. This study showed that traffic congestion problems are not solved but are shifted to other parts of Tirana Transportation System. In addition, public transportation revealed to be overcrowded, forcing passengers to use other modes like passenger car. Last but not least, other modes like bike or motorcycle riding should be encouraged as alternative to the passenger car.
This report summarizes findings from a three-year collaboration between the World Economic Forum and The Boston Consulting Group (BCG) to explore how autonomous vehicles could reshape the future of urban mobility. The project built on the collective insights generated from the Autonomous and Urban Mobility Working Group (Working Group) of the System Initiative on Shaping the Future of Mobility, composed of roughly 35 business executives from diverse industries (including automotive, technology, logistics, insurance, utilities and infrastructure) that convened for 10 full-day workshops and numerous conference calls.
By Zeenab Aneez
All of India’s cities face an urban transport crisis. While issues such as poor connectivity, bad road quality, traffic congestion, air and noise pollution are constantly talked about, parking is seen as one having negligible effect on the quality of urban transport. The MV Asia study on parking in Mumbai shows that a car spends only 4 per cent of its life in motion and the remaining 96 per cent of the time it is parked (Mumbai Transformation Support Unit 2008). With the increasing trend in the growth of private vehicles, it is imperative that parking be seen as an important factor for making an efficient transportation system within our cities.
1. Carpool Effects on Air Quality in Los Angeles
Lan Shi, Jikun Lian, Yu Wan
Table of Contents
Abstract
This Report is focusing on the functions and positive impacts that can be brought by carpool system. The
research team has focused on one of the largest metropolitan in U.S.--Los Angeles. Having researched the
current traffic situation, the project team has figured out that the current traffic congestion is very heavy
in Los Angeles. Furthermore, the current environmental issue related with traffic congestion is very
significant. Based on the vehicle increasing data by Eric Wilson, the traffic volume has kept an increasing
rate of 14% in the past 6 years. Furthermore, the air pollutants, including NOx, HC ROG, and CO2, has
an over 11% increasing rate in the past 6 years, and the light duty automobiles are the main contributor to
this situation.
Having analyzed the current background, our team proposed an adequate solution pattern based on
carpool system. The current carpool system is very developed in United States, and the carpool market in
Los Angeles has a great degree of vacancy for future development.
The project team analyzed the potential benefits in two different aspects. First of all, the improvement on
congestion and environmental issue. The project team use the database provided by California
Environmental Protection agency—EMFAC. By researching on the data from year 2010, 2020 and 2030
in the south coast area, the detailed emission rate of different kinds of pollutants along with the speed
categories will be shown. After that, the project team researched the increasing rate for car sharing in the
south coast area, and the percentage of self-driving and car sharing will be known. Then, based on the
emission rate change with the 20 years period, the influence of car sharing will be noticed.
The second point will be the congestion, having searched the increasing rate of vehicle in the entire U.S.
region. Then the team continues the research by focusing on the traffic volume increase in the south coast
area. Then traffic volume change will not only related with the car sharing effect, but will have some
influence.
Last but not least, the project team evaluate the revenue of the carpool system. There are two different
way of charging the riders. By charging the optimal price, which is the price where marginal rate equals
to marginal benefits, there will more riderships in the metropolitan area. However, the government need
to subsidies the carpool system for future operation. If the company charge the riders on the equilibrium
price, the carpool companies will have enough revenue to operate by themselves, but not enough people
will consider use carpool since it is a bit expensive.
2. 1, Introduction
Los Angeles, one of the most prosperous metropolitan in U.S. Having enjoyed a booming industrial
development in the last century, Los Angeles has been constantly developed for over 100 years without
any big issues. Nowadays, as the number of employment increasing in an enormous speed in the
metropolitan area, an increasing number of people are attracted by the charisma of this great city, and thus
in turn caused very heavy traffic issue in this area. Based on Car Sharing: A New Approach to Urban
Transportation Problems by Richard Katzev, the Between 1990 and 2000, the proportion of commuters
driving alone increased from 73% in 1990 to 76% in 2000. Nationally, transit ridership remained fairly
stable at approximately 5% of the commuters. It is obvious that the increase on traffic volume is very
significant.
Figure 1-1 The Trend of Carsharing
With the increase on current traffic volume, the related problems were brought to Los Angeles as well.
The L.A., Bakersfield area has remained as one of the most polluted cities in the last 7 years (Margot
Roosevelt, Los Angeles Times, 2011). Because of heavy pollution came from the traffic emission and
industrial development, the Bakersfield area has very heavy ozone and toxic particles contents. From the
“State of Air report”, more than 90% of the Californian live in unhealthful air conditions, and most of
them pollution came from transportation field. The research results of Walsh can also be a strong support
on this point. Automobile are a major source of carbon dioxide, which may claim as the
Another influence on the increasing number of vehicles is the traffic congestion. Based on Richard
Katzev’s idea, the traffic tie-ups, especially during commute times, are estimated to cost the United States
3. 1.2 billion hours of lost time and 2.2 billion gallons of gasoline each year, to say nothing of the estimated
$30 billion annual loss in productivity alone.
So what will carpool system brought to us? Based on Richard Katzev’s concepts. The benefits of car-
sharing is mostly focused on two sections: The environmental impact and congestion impact. In most of
the metropolitan areas, especially Los Angeles, self-driving has always been considered to be the most
efficient way for commuting. Every single work day, over million of vehicles passing through the main
highway connection of the Greater Los Angeles area, and very heavy congestion happen everyday. With
the increasing number of waiting cost keep accumulating on the transportation model, every single driver
in the waiting line will face a comparatively high marginal cost if they choose to enter the current traffic
system (Authur, 2014). If car-sharing system can be applied on the traffic system, the passengers per
vehicle will increase, this in turn will decrease the number of vehicles, and relieve the level of congestion
in certain degree.
The environmental issue is mostly caused by the waste gas emitted from vehicles. Based on the AQI
standards, five different pollutants: Ozone, floating particles, NOx, SOx and CO, are the main
components of the air pollution. All of them are created from incomplete fuel combustion. Even though
the technology internal combustion engine has developed in a large degree, the air pollution is still very
heavy in recent years. By applying carsharing system in certain area, this situation will be ameliorated.
First of all, with the number of vehicles decreasing, the total emission inventories will correspondly goes
down to the lower level. Second, according to survey data, most of the carsharing companies in U.S.
applied brand of cars like Honda, Toyota, Tesla, etc, which are fuel-saving types of sedans (U.S. Bureau
of Census, 2001). Based on these aspects, Carsharing will improve our air quality in a large degree.
Ride sharing or carpooling also continued to be a very developed system for future traffic development
trend. Based on the ideas from Richard Katzev, carsharing is based on the distinction between automobile
access and ownership. Carsharing divorces the notion of automobile use form ownership by providing
individuals with convenient access to a shared fleet of vehicles. In this perspective, carsharing system will
grow into a competitive alternative to private ownership of property. CarSharing system will not only
bring the convenience to our society, but will move the economy from market-based to access-based,
where people can find service based on their need rather than ownership (Rifkin, J, 2000). The future plan
to carsharing system is to build an efficient and self-adjusting traffic system in which customers can enjoy
their traveling and simultaneously, create energy-saving and environmentally friendly society with their
own efforts.
4. 2, Background
a. Traffic condition: car number and congestion.
The purpose of this project is to conduct research on how carpool can relieve the traffic pressure and
improve air quality in Los Angeles. The project is absolutely necessary and important since transportation
pressure has become one of the most significant issues to prevent future development of Los Angeles.
Congestion has harassed the urban traffic system for a very long time. Congestion increases travel time,
air pollution, carbon dioxide emissions and fuel use due to the inefficiency of automobile operation, the
time that American waste sitting in traffic is more than quintuple between 1982 and 2005.
The main contributor to traffic congestion is the increasing number of cars, a report from 2000 census
measured the percentage of household that did not own or otherwise have access to an automobile, only
16.53% of the Los Angeles household did not own a car, this ratio is lower than most of other cities, that
means people in Los Angeles rely more on private cars.
However, from the perspective of sustainable development for future transportation, continuously
increasing the number of private cars is not a good idea, instead, developing public transportation and
increase the usage of cars can benefit both the transportation and the environment. The following graph
shows the American Community Survey in 2008, Los Angeles’s condition is unsatisfactory.
Figure 2-1 Commuting by Public Transit
5. The following table indicates that the congestion in Los Angeles is more serious than NYC and Chicago.
This is firstly because of the high ratio of private cars in LA, and it’s also a result of the relatively
undeveloped public transportation infrastructure.
Table 2-1: Congestion Cost of LA, NYC, Chicago
Such traffic conditions and the large number of private cars brings enormous potential to carpool service.
b. Environmental Impact from the Traffic
Air Quality Index, also known as AQI, is a good indicator of air quality created by The U.S.
Environmental Protection Agency (U.S.EPA). The AQI is calculated based on the levels of five major
pollutants in the air, including ozone, suspended particles, carbon monoxide (CO), nitrogen dioxide
(NO2), and sulfur dioxide (SO2).
Based on EPA’s data, the AQI of Los Angeles last year is 61.2, which is above the California
Mean AQI (40), and U.S. Mean AQI (38.9). Indeed, the congested traffic in Los Angeles causes serious
impacts on the environment in the city. Although the smog and soot levels have dropped significantly in
Southern California over the last decade, the Los Angeles region still has the highest levels of ozone
nationwide, violating federal health standards an average of 122 days a year (Tony Barboza, 2014).
Specially, Los Angeles have the nation’s highest levels of ozone and fine particle pollution.
c. Current Carpool
To effectively relieve the air pollution, carpooling is an innovative approach that can be applied. In order
to drive one of the vehicles in the fleet, car-share members simply telephone the organization’s
reservation system or book it online. To pick up the car, they need only walk a short distance to the
nearest site of the organization’s cars. A variety of vehicle types are usually available in the fleet to give
members an efficient way to meet infrequent needs, such as hauling, moving, and transporting large
groups. The car-sharing organization pays all of the costs of vehicle maintenance, service, and repairs.
The same is true for insurance coverage, parking, and the cost of gasoline. (Richard Katzev, 2003)
6. By 2011, carpool shares 9.7% of the people in transportation. It’s quite a large part, but still less than its
percentage in 1970(more than 20%). However, with the development of the internet and mobile apps,
carpool now is much more convenient and efficient. Many application of carpool has come to people’s
vision, such as Uber. Additionally, the current policy is positive for carpool since it encourages people to
make fully use of their cars, as the appearance of high-occupancy vehicle (HOV) lanes, which is a
dedicated facility to carpoolers.
3. Research Methodology
For this methodology, it has 2 parts.
The first part is mainly concerned with the reduction of emissions, the implement of expected carpool
service is one important variable, the emission analysis will firstly estimate the emission of some
polluting gases (suspended particles, carbon monoxide(CO), nitrogen dioxide(NO2), and sulfur
dioxide(SO2)) without the application of carpool service(the original data from EMFAC), and then
consider the emission condition in 2025 with carpool service, after calculation, the reduction of each kind
of polluting gas could be discovered. In addition, in order to analysis the extent of the previous emission
reduction, the time will be introduced into analysis. Apparently, with the large number of carpool
vehicles, the emission will reduce, if some year without carpool service after 2025 in the future(eg. 2030)
has the approximately the same emissions with the optimized result in 2025, the effectiveness of
emissions reduction from carpool can be measured as five years’ progress.
The second part is concerned with the social benefit, undoubtedly, the implement of carpool will reduce
congestion and reduce fuel consumption and emissions, hence, the benefit includes the saved congestion
cost and the saved environmental cost, each benefit could be measured; on the perspective of carpool
service’s cost, this data is relatively harder to investigate, however, the cost to provide these service is
mainly for the vehicle cost, once the congestion and environmental benefits of carpool is larger than its
cost, that means it will be worthy to be implemented.
From one website of car sharing, some data is shown and is helpful to this project.
In 2010, the number of carpool vehicle in North America is 10405, it’s average growth rate in its past ten
years(2000-2010) is 53%, the estimated number of it in 2025 is 6,132,157, if Los Angeles be put into
analysis, and multiply its population proportion, the number of vehicles used for carpool is 315,368, in
order to make the analysis clear, the project team made an assumption that each carpool vehicle takes 3
passengers, and reduces the use of 2 private cars. That means in 2025, if the carpool service maintain the
stale growth, there will be a reduction of 630,736 cars in 2025, that’s a 5.4% reduction of total vehicle
number (the estimated vehicle number of Los Angeles in 2025 is 11,704,904 due to the EMFAC
database).
7. 3.1 Reduction of emission in 30 years.
3.1.1 Introduction to methodology
The first methodology applied on this model is the year reduction of emission. In this model, a
comparison between former emission rate and future emission rate are calculated. Based on the total
number of vehicles existed in this area is researched and conducted. Based on the EMFAC emission
software, the emission rate of different types of waste are surveyed as well. Only the AQI required wasted
will be listed. Then, from the data surveyed by CarSharing Association, the annually increasing rate of
total vehicles and riderships in U.S. will be conducted. This number will be processed further by
combining the population distribution of the entire U.S. Since the vehicle riderships are strongly bonded
with the population and the prosperity of a metropolitan area, this inference is rational. In the end, the
deduction rate of light duty automobiles will be reached. This number will only engage with the LDA
rather than the entire number of vehicles. So the emission rate will be conducted in this equation:
𝐸1 ∗ 𝐸1 − 𝐸2 ∗ 𝐸2
𝐸1 − 𝐸2
E1: The total emission rate before carpool
V1: Total number of vehicles before carpool
E2: The emission rate of light duty automobile before carpool
V2: Number of vehicles that carpool can deduct.
The new emission inventories will only be the E1*V1-E2*V2. This will be the final emission inventories.
It will be utilized to compare with the former emission inventories.
3.1.2 Calculation and Data Analysis
The base year of our analysis is 2010, and we choose 2025 and 2030 as two future years that are going to
be estimated and compared.
Based on the location and terrain of Los Angeles, in the website of EMFAC, the options we did are as
follow:
Data Type Emission Rates
Region Air Basin ~ South Coast
Calendar Year 2010, 2025, 2030
Season Annual Average
8. Vehicle Category EMFAC 2011 Categories - All
Model Year Aggregated
Speed Aggregated
Fuel All
Table 3-1: The Parameters used in EMFAC
The data type will be emission rate instead of emission inventories, since the emission rate is a more
precise number for future prediction rather than emission inventories. The region will be concentrate on
the South Coast of the Air Basin area, which covered the entire portion of the Greater Los Angeles Area.
Model year and speed will be aggregated values and the fuel will contain both gasoline and diesel.
First of all, the basic emission rate data are conducted from the EMFAC software, based on the standards
showed above, the emission rate of year 2010. 2025 and 2030 are extracted. Then based on the emission
rate factor composite from different types of vehicles, the emission rate will be merged into a new table
which only show the total emission rate on different waste on that year.
The next step is the combination with the carpool deduction. The vehicle number of Los Angeles area is
11,704,904 (CarSharing Association, 2010). The carpool service has a stable increasing rate of 5.4%,
which means a reduction of 630,736 light duty automobiles will be conducted in 2025. This number will
be V2 in the equation we had above. The corresponding value will be:
V1=11704904 vehicles
V2=630736 vehicles
E1=0.9392 grams/miles-veh
E2=0.6516 grams/miles-veh
Based on the equation we had before, the new emission rate and new emission inventories are shown
belong.
Before Carpool
Emission Rate
CO_RUNEX NOX_RUNEX PM10_RUNEX PM2_5_RUNEX SOX_RUNEX
(gms/mile) (gms/mile) (gms/mile) (gms/mile) (gms/mile)
0.939158563 0.108783009 0.002980018 0.002757752 0.004177149
Emission Inventories
CO_RUNEX NOX_RUNEX PM10_RUNEX PM2_5_RUNEX SOX_RUNEX
9. (gms/mile) (gms/mile) (gms/mile) (gms/mile) (gms/mile)
10992760.82 1273294.675 34880.82335 32279.21975 48893.13361
Table 3-2: Emission rate and emission inventories before carpool
After Carpool
Emission Rate
CO_RUNEX NOX_RUNEX PM10_RUNEX PM2_5_RUNEX SOX_RUNEX
(gms/mile) (gms/mile) (gms/mile) (gms/mile) (gms/mile)
0.955535158 0.111541215 0.003028679 0.002802491 0.004208752
Emission Inventories
CO_RUNEX NOX_RUNEX PM10_RUNEX PM2_5_RUNEX SOX_RUNEX
(gms/mile) (gms/mile) (gms/mile) (gms/mile) (gms/mile)
10581756.87 1235226.152 33540.10531 31035.25454 46608.42551
Table 3-3: Emission rate and emission inventories before carpool
Based on the table we had above, the emission inventories before and after carpool effect are all
calculated for year 2025. From the table, it is obvious that the emission inventories of CO will decrease
from 10992760.82 grams/mile to 10581756.87 grams/mile. The decreasing rate is 3.739%. Other
corresponding emission rate deductions are also shown at the tables below.
11. Figure 3-2:Carpool Effect On Emission Inventories
Figure 3-3: Carpool Effect on emission Inventories
Additionally, the impact will be more obvious if the scope is widen to the yearly increase. Without the
effect of carpool, the emission rate of different pollutants will decrease as well due to green belt system
and internal combustion engine upgrade. However, the change of emission rate will show different if the
comparison is made along the timeline change. In the graphs below, the emission rate of different types of
pollutants are all compared on the timeline change. It is obvious that the carpool effect make the emission
rate level in 2025 to a degree which the non-carpool effect need more than 5 years to reach.
12. Figure3-4:CO emission Inventories Change In 10 Years
Figure 3-5: NOx Emission Inventories Change In 10 Years
3.2 Comparing between benefit and cost of carpooling application
3.2.1 Introduction of methodology
In order to make quantitative analysis of carpooling application to prove its effectiveness, the
corresponding benefits and cost need to be calculated. Carpool has two major benefits, reducing the cost
13. of environment impact and the cost of congestion. Thus, the total benefit equals to the cost of
environment impact adding the cost of congestion. While for the cost of carpooling application, it should
be the cost to popularize the carpooling application. However, the related data is hard to obtain, and a
substitutive method should be used. Since the carpooling corporations do not pay any salary to the drivers,
it can be assumed the only output is the money spent on the vehicle. If the benefit of carpool is greater
than the cost buying the carpooling vehicles, it can be concluded that the benefit must surpass the cost to
popularize carpool.
3.2.1 Data Collection
3.2.1.1 Benefit of Carpool
To figure out the benefit of carpool, the differences between calendar year 2010 and 2025 of the cost of
environment impact and congestion should be calculated. The cost environment impact can be
represented by the cost of wasted fuel due to traffic delay. Based on an report released by Texas
Transportation Institute at Texas A&M University in 2011, top 10 most congested corridors in USA was
obtained. Seven of them were in Los Angeles and are shown in the following Figure. Based on the data,
the total fuel wasted and cost of congestion of the seven congested highways are 22.71 million gal./yr.
and $1631.31 million/year, respectively. Since the seven top congested highways are quite representative,
their result of the cost of fuel wasted and congestion can be used to simulate the ones in Los Angeles in
calendar year 2010. Using a linear relationship model and knowing the total amount of vehicles in the
seven top congested highways are 721798 and the number of vehicles in Los Angeles in 2010 is around
10375850, the total fuel wasted and cost of congestion of Los Angeles in 2010 are 326.46 million
gallon/year and $23 billion, respectively. To calculate the total cost of environment impact, an assumption
that the average gasoline price is $3 among all year is made. Therefore, the total cost of environment
impact is $0.97 billion in 2010.
Since the number of vehicles in 2025 is approximately 11704904 using the data in EMFAC, the number
of vehicles in Los Angeles applying the carpool can be calculated minus the amount of vehicles used in
carpooling application by the year 2025, which is around 11074168. After building a linear relationship
model between year 2010 and 2025, and between using or without carpooling application, the team can
get the following results: the total cost of environment impact and congestion cost in 2025 without
applying carpool are $33.51 billion and $1.12 billion. While the total cost of environment impact and
congestion cost in 2025 using carpool are $31.70 billion and $1.06 billion. The difference between the
sum of congestion cost and the cost of environment impact is approximately $1.87 billion.
Ran
k
Corridor
Name
Beginning
Location
Destination Length Fuel
Wasted(millions
gallons/year)
Cost of
Congestion(million
$/year)
1 I-110 NB LA harbor fwy 3.1 2.17 95
2 I-110 NB LA harbor fwy 6.5 3.67 158.17
3 I-405 NB LA San Diego 13.1 6.06 269.93
14. 5 I-605 SB LA San Gabriel 4.8 1.64 703.45
6 I-10 EB LA Santa Monica 14.9 4.67 203.99
7 I-10 WB LA Santa Monica 12.6 3.83 169.84
10 I-110 SB LA LA 2.5 0.67 30.93
Table 3-4: Cost of Some Selected Highway
3.2.1.2 Cost of Carpool
No matter who owns the car, the carpool service company or private, the main cost of carpool service is
the cost for cars, from the Uber’s official website, the cheapest and the most popular service is UberX, the
illustrate model on that web page is Toyota Prius, this report selects Prius to calculate the approximate
cost of carpool in 2025, the price given by the official site is $24200. Because the trend of carpool
vehicles are growing fast, the total amount of cars in the future(2025) is 315,368, without considering the
depreciation of old car and buy a new car, the total cost each year is 315,368*24200/15 = $508,793,706.7
= $0.5 billion USD.
By comparison of the benefit ($1.87 billion) and cost ($0.5 billion) of carpooling application, it can be
concluded that the carpooling application is worth to invest.
4. Conclusion
4.1, Environment and transportation effect of carpool
The carpool system has a very positive impact on reducing the number of vehicle and the emission
inventories.
Based on the carpool effect calculation, the total number of vehicles in 2010 is 11,704,904, and the
estimated vehicle use in 2025 could reduce 5.4%, the reduction will be 630,736 light duty automobiles.
The reduction of emission pollutants is very significant. In the first model, with the effect of carsharing,
the decreasing number on light duty automobile is very significant, and the emission inventories of all the
AQI pollutants all decrease in a large degree. In the second model, the annual change on pollutants
emission is also obvious. From the graphs above, the carpool effect can lead the air quality level to a
better stand which is 10 years prior to the no carpool effect.
It is somewhat interesting that the emission rate is increasing in a very small percentage for in this ten
years period. Even though it is a little contradict to the initial assumption that carsharing will decrease the
emission, actually it is not. First of all, it is reasonable to see this change happen, since less vehicles will
be operated on the roadway system, the average raiders in one vehicle will increase for sure. Based on the
mechanism of internal combustion engine. With more people riding in same vehicles, the emission rate
from engine will increase as well.
15. 4.2, Cost and benefit analysis.
From the analysis above, the cost of the expected number of carpool service is $0.5 billion, the benefit of
it is $1.86 billion , its cost is only 26.9% of its benefit, Another interesting result is that the reduction of
congestion cost is much more than the reduction of environmental cost. Anyway, carpool is a
transportation mode of high rate of return from an economic point of view.
4.3, Application in the future.
4.3.1 Composition of transportation means and people’s traffic preference
Apparently, the cities with high ratio of private car are more potential markets of carpool, because a large
number of private cars will cause the traffic condition relatively more congested, this is also the reason
why Los Angles has more serious traffic condition than NYC(which has a larger population). In addition,
people lives in such cities like LA tend to use the "point to point” transportation, carpool's user
experience could successfully meet their requirements.
4.3.2 Develop with internet
With the development of mobile internet and useful software, carpool will become more convenient,
people can find the right vehicle in the shortest possible time, and the vehicle can also play the biggest
role, Uber popularity manifestation of this trend.
4.3.3 Usability
Carpool is both beneficial and environment friendly when compared with normal private car driving,
however, public transportation like bus and metro are much better, when it comes to the cities with a
developed public transportation infrastructures, carpool’s effect may not be so significant as this project.
Due to the public transport’s large volume, low pollution and low price, it should be the highest priority
of being used.
References
1,Carfree Census Database http://www.bikesatwork.com/blog/carfree-census-database-is-gone
2,American Community Survey
http://factfinder.census.gov/faces/nav/jsf/pages/searchresults.xhtml?refresh=t
3.http://articles.latimes.com/2011/apr/27/local/la-me-california-air-20110427
4. http://www.latimes.com/science/la-me-0430-air-pollution-20140430-story.html
5. http://www.usa.com/los-angeles-ca-air-quality.htm
6. Richard Katzev. Car Sharing: A new approach to urban transportation problems. Published in
Analyses of Social Issues and Public Policy, Vol. 3, No. 1, 2003, page 65-86.
16. The 10 most congested highways in USA report. By Texas Transporation Institute at Texa A&M
University. <http://mobility.tamu.edu/corridors/summary-tables/,http://www.businessinsider.com/most-
congested-roads-america-2011-10>
7. 2003 TTI Urban Mobility Report.
http://ntl.bts.gov/lib/24000/24000/24010/mobility_report_2003.pdf
8. Five Friday Facts: Car Sharing, Eric Wilson, July 20th, 2012
http://2ndgreenrevolution.com/2012/07/20/five-friday-facts-car-sharing/
9. EMFAC, California Environmental Protection Agency, Air Resources Board, 2010—2030
http://www.arb.ca.gov/emfac/
10. Urban Economics--Urban Transit, Arthur O’Sullivan, 2012, 8th edition.
11. Highway vehicle activity trends and their implications for global warming, Transportation and
global climate change, Walsh, M, 1993
12. The age of access. New York: Penguin Putnam Inc, Rifkin, J, 2000
13. Carsharing, 2014, http://www.carsharing.net/
14. Factfinder, total population in U.S., 2015
http://factfinder.census.gov/faces/tableservices/jsf/pages/productview.xhtml?src=bkmk
Appendix
1. The EMFAC emission rate tables
2010
Veh_Class Fuel
CO_RU
NEX
NOX_RU
NEX
PM10_RU
NEX
PM2_5_RU
NEX
SOX_RU
NEX
(gms/mil
e)
(gms/mile
)
(gms/mile) (gms/mile)
(gms/mile
)
LDA GAS
2.263205
328
0.2039019
1
0.0035589
21
0.00322522
3
0.0036124
69