SlideShare a Scribd company logo
!
APRIL 1st
, 2014
MEMORANDUM
TO: AMERICAN ENCORE/INTERESTED PARTIES
FROM: DAVID FLAHERTY
RE: SURVEY SUMMARY OF LIKELY 2014 MINNESOTA VOTERS
________________________________________________________________________
Although Minnesota is considered a blue state by political observers, the 2014
political environment may not be as blue as the 2012 election cycle based on the
findings of an automated and cell phone survey of 1,081 likely 2014 Minnesota
voters. The survey finds Senator Al Franken being potentially vulnerable this
November. He has not had to face voters in a midterm cycle, and his victory in
2008 was aided by national trends favoring Democrats, and independent candidate
Dean Barkley taking 15% of the overall vote. Sen. Franken has yet to show he can
win a majority of support in the state, defeating Republican Norm Coleman in
2008 by 300 votes, with 42% of the vote.
The Cook Political Report’s partisan voting index (PVI) for Minnesota is D+2, only
marginally more Democrat than Colorado (D+1) and Iowa (D+1) and the same as
Nevada and Wisconsin by comparison. It is also important to note that in 2010
Minnesota voters elected a Republican legislature, (25 seat gain in the state house
and 16 seat gain in the state senate). Although it is a long way off, political
professionals and observers are sensing that the 2014 cycle is shaping up to be a
strong year for Republican candidates, similar to 2010.
Key Findings:
! The voter mood does not bode well for incumbents, with only 31% thinking
the country is heading in the right direction and 60% feeling things are on
the wrong track.
! The Republican candidate leads the Democrat candidate by 3 points, 44%
to 41% on a generic United States Senate ballot test.
! Al Franken’s image rating is below 50% (41% fav/45% unfav) as well as his
job approval (44% approve).
! Barack Obama has a poor job approval of 41% approve and 53%
disapprove.
! Sen. Amy Klobuchar shows stronger job approval numbers than Sen.
Franken with 57% approve and 32% disapprove.
! Only 40% of respondents think Al Franken deserves re-election.
Magellan Strategies Minnesota 2014 Automated and Cell Phone Survey Summary
1,081n, MoE +/- 2.98%, 3/25/14 - 3/26/14 2
Magellan Strategies |1685 Boxelder Street, Suite 300 | Louisville, CO 80027
MagellanStrategies.com | 303-861-8585
! The Senate ballot tests show Al Franken with small leads over Republican
candidates Julianne Ortman, 44% to 41%, and Mike McFadden 44% to
38%. Only 35% of voters in both ballot tests definitely intend to vote for Al
Franken.
! Republican candidates Julianne Ortman and Mike McFadden are not well
known by voters, with only 30% and 26% respectively having an opinion of
either candidate.
! 54% of respondents disapprove of the Affordable Care Act, and only 38%
approve.
! Democrats have a 3 point advantage in party identification, with the survey
finding 31% considering themselves Democrat, 28% Republican, 31%
independent, and 9% considering themselves “something else”.
Looking at the crosstab results, there is evidence of a political environment favoring
Republican candidates. Among respondents that say they are extremely interested
in the November election, a 12 point enthusiasm gap is evident between
Republican and Democrat voters. Among Republicans, 51% are extremely
interested in the election compared to 39% of Democrats, and among independent
or “something else” voters, 47% are extremely interested in the election. Among
the most likely voters (those choosing 7 to 9 on interest in the November election),
the generic ballot advantage for the Republican candidate grows from R+3 to R+9.
Al Franken’s biggest weakness is among independent voters. Among this important
voter subgroup, 49% approve of Sen. Amy Klobuchar’s job performance, but only
35% approve of Al Franken’s job performance, a 14 point difference. Finally,
among independent voters, 57% believe it is time to give someone new a chance
and only 31% believe Al Franken deserves re-election.
Minnesota Voter Opinion of Free Speech
The survey also measured voter opinion of the most valued freedoms and rights in
the First Amendment. The following question was asked:
“Among the following list of freedoms in the Frist Amendment of the Constitution,
which one do you think is the most important? Freedom of speech, freedom of
religion, freedom of the press, the right to assemble or the right to petition?”
Among all respondents, in order, 50% think freedom of speech is the most
important, followed by 25% for freedom of religion, 6% for freedom of the press,
4% for the right to assemble, and 3% for the right to petition.
Magellan Strategies Minnesota 2014 Automated and Cell Phone Survey Summary
1,081n, MoE +/- 2.98%, 3/25/14 - 3/26/14 2
Magellan Strategies |1685 Boxelder Street, Suite 300 | Louisville, CO 80027
MagellanStrategies.com | 303-861-8585
Survey Methodology
The results were based on a statewide automated voice recorded and cell phone
interview survey of 1,081 likely 2014 Minnesota general election voters. The
interviews were conducted on March 25th
and 26th
of 2014. The individuals
interviewed for the survey were selected from a Minnesota voter file and were
selected proportionate to the state’s likely non-Presidential voting population in
accordance with a probability sample design that gives all voters an equal chance
to be included. The results were slightly weighted to reflect past gender and age
demographics of the non-Presidential voting population. The survey’s margin of
error is +/- 2.98% at the 95 percent confidence interval. Any questions regarding
this survey should be directed to David Flaherty of Magellan Strategies at
dflaherty@magellanstrategies.com or 303-861-8585.
Survey Commissioned By:
This survey was commissioned by American Encore.
About Magellan Strategies
Magellan Strategies is a full-service survey research firm offering quantitative,
qualitative, and predictive data modeling services to Republican candidates,
campaigns and conservative organizations across the country.
!
!
!
!
!
Magellan Strategies
Minnesota US Senate General Election Survey Topline
Results
Magellan Strategies are pleased to present the topline results for a 1,081n
autodial and live cell phone survey of registered voters in the state of
Minnesota. The interviews were conducted March 25th
and 26th
, 2014. This
survey has a margin of error of +/- 2.98% at the 95 percent confidence
interval. This survey was weighted based upon past general election
demographics.
T1. Are you registered to vote?
Yes........................................................................100%
T2. How likely are you to vote in the November general election for the United States
Senate and Congress?
Extremely likely.......................................................82%
Very likely...............................................................11%
Somewhat likely........................................................7%
Magellan ID#: MNSEN-032514 Minnesota US Senate General Election Survey Topline Results
Field Dates: 3/25/14 – 3/26/14, MoE +/- 2.98%, 1,081n, CONFIDENTIAL
Magellan Strategies | 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300 | Louisville, CO
www.MagellanStrategies.com | (303) 861-8585
2
T3. How interested would you say you are in the November election for the United States
Senate? On a scale of one to nine, with nine meaning you are extremely interested and
one meaning you are not interested at all, press a number between one and nine that best
describes your interest in the election. Press zero if you are unsure or do not have an
opinion.
9- Extremely interested............................................45%
8 .............................................................................10%
7 .............................................................................13%
6 ...............................................................................7%
5 .............................................................................11%
4 ...............................................................................4%
3 ...............................................................................3%
2 ...............................................................................1%
1- Not interested .......................................................6%
Unsure or no opinion................................................0%
T4. Generally speaking, do you think things in the country are headed in the right
direction or do you feel that things are off on the wrong track?
Right direction ........................................................31%
Wrong track............................................................60%
Unsure or no opinion................................................9%
T5. If the election for the United States Senate were being held today would you vote for
the Democrat candidate or the Republican candidate?
Republican candidate .............................................44%
Democrat candidate................................................41%
Some other candidate ...............................................6%
Undecided................................................................8%
No opinion ...............................................................1%
Magellan ID#: MNSEN-032514 Minnesota US Senate General Election Survey Topline Results
Field Dates: 3/25/14 – 3/26/14, MoE +/- 2.98%, 1,081n, CONFIDENTIAL
Magellan Strategies | 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300 | Louisville, CO
www.MagellanStrategies.com | (303) 861-8585
3
T6. In general, when it comes to considering candidates for federal office like the United
States Senate and Congress, are you most interested in…
Economic issues like taxes, government spending, jobs, and the budget;
Foreign affairs and national defense issues including terrorism and wars;
Domestic issues like education, health care, and the environment; or
Social and moral issues like abortion and gay marriage?
Economic issues......................................................57%
Domestic issues ......................................................25%
Social and moral issues.............................................9%
Foreign affairs and national defense issues ................5%
Some other issue.......................................................2%
Unsure or no opinion................................................2%
T7. Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Al Franken?
Favorable................................................................41%
Unfavorable............................................................45%
No Opinion ............................................................11%
Never Heard Of ........................................................1%
Unsure......................................................................2%
Name ID.................................................................97%
Hard Name ID ........................................................86%
T8. Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Julianne Ortman?
Favorable................................................................12%
Unfavorable............................................................18%
No Opinion ............................................................30%
Never Heard Of ......................................................37%
Unsure......................................................................3%
Name ID.................................................................60%
Hard Name ID ........................................................30%
Magellan ID#: MNSEN-032514 Minnesota US Senate General Election Survey Topline Results
Field Dates: 3/25/14 – 3/26/14, MoE +/- 2.98%, 1,081n, CONFIDENTIAL
Magellan Strategies | 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300 | Louisville, CO
www.MagellanStrategies.com | (303) 861-8585
4
T9. Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Mike McFadden?
Favorable................................................................12%
Unfavorable............................................................14%
No Opinion ............................................................28%
Never Heard Of ......................................................42%
Unsure......................................................................4%
Name ID.................................................................54%
Hard Name ID ........................................................26%
T10. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Barack Obama is doing as President?
Approve..................................................................41%
Disapprove .............................................................53%
Unsure or no opinion................................................6%
T11. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Amy Klobuchar is doing as United States
Senator?
Approve..................................................................57%
Disapprove .............................................................32%
Unsure or no opinion..............................................11%
T12. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Al Franken is doing as United States
Senator?
Approve..................................................................44%
Disapprove .............................................................44%
Unsure or no opinion..............................................12%
T13. Do you think Al Franken has done a good enough job to deserve re-election or do
you think it is time to give someone else a chance to do a better job?
Time to give someone else a chance.......................50%
Deserves re-election................................................40%
Unsure or no opinion..............................................10%
Magellan ID#: MNSEN-032514 Minnesota US Senate General Election Survey Topline Results
Field Dates: 3/25/14 – 3/26/14, MoE +/- 2.98%, 1,081n, CONFIDENTIAL
Magellan Strategies | 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300 | Louisville, CO
www.MagellanStrategies.com | (303) 861-8585
5
T14. From what you know about him, do you consider Al Franken to be somewhat
conservative, moderate, somewhat liberal, or very liberal in his political beliefs?
Somewhat conservative.............................................4%
Moderate ................................................................18%
Somewhat liberal ....................................................31%
Very liberal .............................................................38%
Unsure or no opinion................................................9%
T15. If the election for the United States Senate were being held today for whom would
you vote if the candidates were Al Franken, Democrat, and Julianne Ortman, Republican?
Al Franken ..............................................................44%
Julianne Ortman......................................................41%
Some other candidate ...............................................6%
Definitely Franken...................................................35%
Probably Franken......................................................9%
Definitely Ortman...................................................20%
Probably Ortman ....................................................21%
Undecided................................................................9%
T16. If the election for the United States Senate were being held today for whom would
you vote if the candidates were Al Franken, Democrat, and Mike McFadden, Republican?
Al Franken ..............................................................44%
Mike McFadden......................................................38%
Some other candidate ...............................................6%
Definitely Franken...................................................35%
Probably Franken......................................................9%
Definitely McFadden...............................................18%
Probably McFadden................................................20%
Undecided..............................................................12%
Magellan ID#: MNSEN-032514 Minnesota US Senate General Election Survey Topline Results
Field Dates: 3/25/14 – 3/26/14, MoE +/- 2.98%, 1,081n, CONFIDENTIAL
Magellan Strategies | 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300 | Louisville, CO
www.MagellanStrategies.com | (303) 861-8585
6
T17. Do you approve or disapprove of the Affordable Care Act, the health care law
passed by Barack Obama and Congress back in 2010, also known as Obamacare?
Approve..................................................................38%
Disapprove .............................................................54%
Unsure or no opinion................................................8%
T18. Among the following list of freedoms in the First Amendment of the Constitution,
which one do you think is the most important? Freedom of speech, freedom of religion,
freedom of the press, the right to assemble or the right to petition?
Freedom of speech..................................................50%
Freedom of religion.................................................25%
Freedom of the press.................................................6%
Right to assemble......................................................4%
Right to petition ........................................................3%
Unsure or no opinion..............................................12%
T19. Thinking now about last year’s IRS scandal…As you may know, Al Franken wrote
two letters to the IRS requesting a crackdown on tax exempt conservative organizations.
Knowing this information, do you approve or disapprove of Al Franken’s actions?
Approve..................................................................42%
Disapprove .............................................................40%
Unsure or no opinion..............................................18%
And now I have a couple of questions for statistical purposes…
T20. Do you consider yourself to be very conservative, somewhat conservative,
moderate, somewhat liberal or very liberal in your political beliefs?
Conservative ...........................................................46%
Moderate ................................................................30%
Liberal.....................................................................21%
Very conservative....................................................18%
Somewhat conservative...........................................28%
Very liberal ...............................................................6%
Somewhat liberal ....................................................15%
Unsure or no opinion................................................3%
Magellan ID#: MNSEN-032514 Minnesota US Senate General Election Survey Topline Results
Field Dates: 3/25/14 – 3/26/14, MoE +/- 2.98%, 1,081n, CONFIDENTIAL
Magellan Strategies | 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300 | Louisville, CO
www.MagellanStrategies.com | (303) 861-8585
7
T21. Generally speaking, do you think of yourself as a Democrat, a Republican, an
independent or something else?
Democrat................................................................31%
Republican..............................................................28%
Independent............................................................31%
Something else..........................................................9%
Unsure or no opinion................................................1%
T22. Are you a man or a woman?
Woman...................................................................52%
Man ........................................................................48%
T23. Which of the following age groups applies to you?
18-29........................................................................7%
30-44......................................................................20%
45-54......................................................................20%
55-64......................................................................23%
65 plus....................................................................29%
Unsure or no opinion................................................1%
T24. What is your marital status?
Married...................................................................67%
Widowed..................................................................9%
Separated..................................................................1%
Divorced...................................................................6%
Single and have never been married .......................12%
Unmarried living with a partner ................................2%
Unsure or no opinion................................................3%
T25. What is your race? Press 1 if you are white, press 2 if you are black or African
American, press 3 if you are Hispanic or Latino, press 4 for some other racial group.
White......................................................................90%
Black or African American ........................................3%
Hispanic or Latino.....................................................1%
Some other racial group............................................6%
Refused.....................................................................0%
Magellan ID#: MNSEN-032514 Minnesota US Senate General Election Survey Topline Results
Field Dates: 3/25/14 – 3/26/14, MoE +/- 2.98%, 1,081n, CONFIDENTIAL
Magellan Strategies | 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300 | Louisville, CO
www.MagellanStrategies.com | (303) 861-8585
8
Survey Methodology
This survey was conducted using automated telephone touchtone technology and live
dialing to cell phones. The sample used for this survey was randomly drawn from a
Minnesota voter file. The survey response data was weighted based upon past general
election demographics. The interviews were conducted on March 25th
and 26th
, 2014.
Three attempts were made to interview each household in the sample. This survey has a
margin of error of 2.98% at the 95 percent confidence interval.

More Related Content

What's hot

2014: Post Election Analysis
2014: Post Election Analysis2014: Post Election Analysis
2014: Post Election Analysis
GloverParkGroup
 
Trump's First 100 Days
Trump's First 100 DaysTrump's First 100 Days
Trump's First 100 Days
GloverParkGroup
 
Public Opinion Landscape - Election 2016
Public Opinion Landscape  - Election 2016 Public Opinion Landscape  - Election 2016
Public Opinion Landscape - Election 2016
GloverParkGroup
 
Public Opinion Landscape: Election 2016
Public Opinion Landscape: Election 2016Public Opinion Landscape: Election 2016
Public Opinion Landscape: Election 2016
GloverParkGroup
 
ThinkNow 2020 Election Report
ThinkNow 2020 Election ReportThinkNow 2020 Election Report
ThinkNow 2020 Election Report
ThinkNow
 
Public Opinion Landscape - Election 2016 10.13.15
Public Opinion Landscape - Election 2016 10.13.15Public Opinion Landscape - Election 2016 10.13.15
Public Opinion Landscape - Election 2016 10.13.15
GloverParkGroup
 
Public Opinion Landscape: Election 2016 - New Hampshire 2-9-2016
Public Opinion Landscape: Election 2016 - New Hampshire 2-9-2016Public Opinion Landscape: Election 2016 - New Hampshire 2-9-2016
Public Opinion Landscape: Election 2016 - New Hampshire 2-9-2016
GloverParkGroup
 
Trump vs Clinton - Polling Opinions: How the polls were wrong and how to fix...
Trump vs Clinton - Polling Opinions:  How the polls were wrong and how to fix...Trump vs Clinton - Polling Opinions:  How the polls were wrong and how to fix...
Trump vs Clinton - Polling Opinions: How the polls were wrong and how to fix...
chrisbrock54
 
ОПРОС: КТО ПОБЕДИТ ТРАМПА НА СЛЕДУЮЩИХ ВЫБОРАХ
ОПРОС: КТО ПОБЕДИТ ТРАМПА НА СЛЕДУЮЩИХ ВЫБОРАХОПРОС: КТО ПОБЕДИТ ТРАМПА НА СЛЕДУЮЩИХ ВЫБОРАХ
ОПРОС: КТО ПОБЕДИТ ТРАМПА НА СЛЕДУЮЩИХ ВЫБОРАХ
mResearcher
 
Group warns of 'bleak' military voter participation despite Pentagon efforts
Group warns of 'bleak' military voter participation despite Pentagon effortsGroup warns of 'bleak' military voter participation despite Pentagon efforts
Group warns of 'bleak' military voter participation despite Pentagon efforts
honorablejourna10
 
An Inside Look at Campaign 2008
An Inside Look at Campaign 2008An Inside Look at Campaign 2008
An Inside Look at Campaign 2008
tarekrizk
 
Battleground Virginia: Handicapping The ’14 Senate Race
Battleground Virginia: Handicapping The ’14 Senate RaceBattleground Virginia: Handicapping The ’14 Senate Race
Battleground Virginia: Handicapping The ’14 Senate Race
0ptimusConsulting
 
Frankel Crime Trends Michigan
Frankel Crime Trends MichiganFrankel Crime Trends Michigan
Frankel Crime Trends Michigan
Paul Frankel
 
International Affairs Public Opinion Landscape
International Affairs Public Opinion Landscape     International Affairs Public Opinion Landscape
International Affairs Public Opinion Landscape
GloverParkGroup
 
Certus Insights Special Report: Overview of Polling and Media Coverage on Imp...
Certus Insights Special Report: Overview of Polling and Media Coverage on Imp...Certus Insights Special Report: Overview of Polling and Media Coverage on Imp...
Certus Insights Special Report: Overview of Polling and Media Coverage on Imp...
Natalie Copeland
 
Public Opinion Landscape
Public Opinion Landscape Public Opinion Landscape
Public Opinion Landscape
GloverParkGroup
 
The Public Opinion Landscape
The Public Opinion Landscape   The Public Opinion Landscape
The Public Opinion Landscape
Sarah Bonn
 
The Public Opinion Landscape: From Obama to Trump
The Public Opinion Landscape: From Obama to TrumpThe Public Opinion Landscape: From Obama to Trump
The Public Opinion Landscape: From Obama to Trump
GloverParkGroup
 
Rockefeller Center 2012 NH State of the State Report
Rockefeller Center 2012 NH State of the State ReportRockefeller Center 2012 NH State of the State Report
Rockefeller Center 2012 NH State of the State Report
Rockefeller Center for Public Policy at Dartmouth College
 
GPG’s Initial Post Election Analysis
GPG’s Initial Post Election AnalysisGPG’s Initial Post Election Analysis
GPG’s Initial Post Election Analysis
GloverParkGroup
 

What's hot (20)

2014: Post Election Analysis
2014: Post Election Analysis2014: Post Election Analysis
2014: Post Election Analysis
 
Trump's First 100 Days
Trump's First 100 DaysTrump's First 100 Days
Trump's First 100 Days
 
Public Opinion Landscape - Election 2016
Public Opinion Landscape  - Election 2016 Public Opinion Landscape  - Election 2016
Public Opinion Landscape - Election 2016
 
Public Opinion Landscape: Election 2016
Public Opinion Landscape: Election 2016Public Opinion Landscape: Election 2016
Public Opinion Landscape: Election 2016
 
ThinkNow 2020 Election Report
ThinkNow 2020 Election ReportThinkNow 2020 Election Report
ThinkNow 2020 Election Report
 
Public Opinion Landscape - Election 2016 10.13.15
Public Opinion Landscape - Election 2016 10.13.15Public Opinion Landscape - Election 2016 10.13.15
Public Opinion Landscape - Election 2016 10.13.15
 
Public Opinion Landscape: Election 2016 - New Hampshire 2-9-2016
Public Opinion Landscape: Election 2016 - New Hampshire 2-9-2016Public Opinion Landscape: Election 2016 - New Hampshire 2-9-2016
Public Opinion Landscape: Election 2016 - New Hampshire 2-9-2016
 
Trump vs Clinton - Polling Opinions: How the polls were wrong and how to fix...
Trump vs Clinton - Polling Opinions:  How the polls were wrong and how to fix...Trump vs Clinton - Polling Opinions:  How the polls were wrong and how to fix...
Trump vs Clinton - Polling Opinions: How the polls were wrong and how to fix...
 
ОПРОС: КТО ПОБЕДИТ ТРАМПА НА СЛЕДУЮЩИХ ВЫБОРАХ
ОПРОС: КТО ПОБЕДИТ ТРАМПА НА СЛЕДУЮЩИХ ВЫБОРАХОПРОС: КТО ПОБЕДИТ ТРАМПА НА СЛЕДУЮЩИХ ВЫБОРАХ
ОПРОС: КТО ПОБЕДИТ ТРАМПА НА СЛЕДУЮЩИХ ВЫБОРАХ
 
Group warns of 'bleak' military voter participation despite Pentagon efforts
Group warns of 'bleak' military voter participation despite Pentagon effortsGroup warns of 'bleak' military voter participation despite Pentagon efforts
Group warns of 'bleak' military voter participation despite Pentagon efforts
 
An Inside Look at Campaign 2008
An Inside Look at Campaign 2008An Inside Look at Campaign 2008
An Inside Look at Campaign 2008
 
Battleground Virginia: Handicapping The ’14 Senate Race
Battleground Virginia: Handicapping The ’14 Senate RaceBattleground Virginia: Handicapping The ’14 Senate Race
Battleground Virginia: Handicapping The ’14 Senate Race
 
Frankel Crime Trends Michigan
Frankel Crime Trends MichiganFrankel Crime Trends Michigan
Frankel Crime Trends Michigan
 
International Affairs Public Opinion Landscape
International Affairs Public Opinion Landscape     International Affairs Public Opinion Landscape
International Affairs Public Opinion Landscape
 
Certus Insights Special Report: Overview of Polling and Media Coverage on Imp...
Certus Insights Special Report: Overview of Polling and Media Coverage on Imp...Certus Insights Special Report: Overview of Polling and Media Coverage on Imp...
Certus Insights Special Report: Overview of Polling and Media Coverage on Imp...
 
Public Opinion Landscape
Public Opinion Landscape Public Opinion Landscape
Public Opinion Landscape
 
The Public Opinion Landscape
The Public Opinion Landscape   The Public Opinion Landscape
The Public Opinion Landscape
 
The Public Opinion Landscape: From Obama to Trump
The Public Opinion Landscape: From Obama to TrumpThe Public Opinion Landscape: From Obama to Trump
The Public Opinion Landscape: From Obama to Trump
 
Rockefeller Center 2012 NH State of the State Report
Rockefeller Center 2012 NH State of the State ReportRockefeller Center 2012 NH State of the State Report
Rockefeller Center 2012 NH State of the State Report
 
GPG’s Initial Post Election Analysis
GPG’s Initial Post Election AnalysisGPG’s Initial Post Election Analysis
GPG’s Initial Post Election Analysis
 

Viewers also liked

Magellan Strategies BR New Hampshire Survey Presentation 091514
Magellan Strategies BR New Hampshire Survey Presentation 091514Magellan Strategies BR New Hampshire Survey Presentation 091514
Magellan Strategies BR New Hampshire Survey Presentation 091514
Magellan Strategies
 
Eee j ko_prezentacia_05_en
Eee j ko_prezentacia_05_enEee j ko_prezentacia_05_en
Eee j ko_prezentacia_05_en
Konstantin E. Jacoby
 
Colorado Congressional District 4 Immigration Reform Survey - Magellan Strate...
Colorado Congressional District 4 Immigration Reform Survey - Magellan Strate...Colorado Congressional District 4 Immigration Reform Survey - Magellan Strate...
Colorado Congressional District 4 Immigration Reform Survey - Magellan Strate...
Magellan Strategies
 
California Congressional District 25 Immigration Reform Survey - Magellan St...
 California Congressional District 25 Immigration Reform Survey - Magellan St... California Congressional District 25 Immigration Reform Survey - Magellan St...
California Congressional District 25 Immigration Reform Survey - Magellan St...
Magellan Strategies
 
Arkansas NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey Results 060614
Arkansas NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey Results 060614Arkansas NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey Results 060614
Arkansas NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey Results 060614
Magellan Strategies
 
New Hampshire US Senate Survey Crosstabs 072214
New Hampshire US Senate Survey Crosstabs 072214New Hampshire US Senate Survey Crosstabs 072214
New Hampshire US Senate Survey Crosstabs 072214
Magellan Strategies
 
National Mining Association Kentucky EPA Regulation Survey Summary 091014
National Mining Association Kentucky EPA Regulation Survey Summary 091014National Mining Association Kentucky EPA Regulation Survey Summary 091014
National Mining Association Kentucky EPA Regulation Survey Summary 091014
Magellan Strategies
 
California Congressional District 10 Immigration Reform Survey - Magellan Str...
California Congressional District 10 Immigration Reform Survey - Magellan Str...California Congressional District 10 Immigration Reform Survey - Magellan Str...
California Congressional District 10 Immigration Reform Survey - Magellan Str...
Magellan Strategies
 
Colorado NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey Results 060914
Colorado NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey Results 060914Colorado NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey Results 060914
Colorado NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey Results 060914
Magellan Strategies
 
California Congressional District 21 Immigration Reform Survey - Magellan Str...
California Congressional District 21 Immigration Reform Survey - Magellan Str...California Congressional District 21 Immigration Reform Survey - Magellan Str...
California Congressional District 21 Immigration Reform Survey - Magellan Str...
Magellan Strategies
 
Colorado Unaffiliated Women Voter Post Election Survey Summary 121714
Colorado Unaffiliated Women Voter Post Election Survey Summary 121714Colorado Unaffiliated Women Voter Post Election Survey Summary 121714
Colorado Unaffiliated Women Voter Post Election Survey Summary 121714
Magellan Strategies
 
Magellan Strategies Louisiana Survey Likely 2014 Voters 3/24/14
Magellan Strategies Louisiana Survey Likely 2014 Voters 3/24/14Magellan Strategies Louisiana Survey Likely 2014 Voters 3/24/14
Magellan Strategies Louisiana Survey Likely 2014 Voters 3/24/14
Magellan Strategies
 
Sutherland Institute Utah Medicare Expansion Survey Summary 091514
Sutherland Institute Utah Medicare Expansion Survey Summary 091514Sutherland Institute Utah Medicare Expansion Survey Summary 091514
Sutherland Institute Utah Medicare Expansion Survey Summary 091514
Magellan Strategies
 
Major presentation
Major presentationMajor presentation
Major presentation
Aayushi Singhal
 
Magellan Strategies Colorado Voter Segmentation Overview 052114
Magellan Strategies Colorado Voter Segmentation Overview  052114Magellan Strategies Colorado Voter Segmentation Overview  052114
Magellan Strategies Colorado Voter Segmentation Overview 052114
Magellan Strategies
 
Magellan Strategies 2012 Internal Survey Research Summary Memorandum 120612
Magellan Strategies 2012 Internal Survey Research Summary Memorandum 120612Magellan Strategies 2012 Internal Survey Research Summary Memorandum 120612
Magellan Strategies 2012 Internal Survey Research Summary Memorandum 120612
Magellan Strategies
 

Viewers also liked (17)

Magellan Strategies BR New Hampshire Survey Presentation 091514
Magellan Strategies BR New Hampshire Survey Presentation 091514Magellan Strategies BR New Hampshire Survey Presentation 091514
Magellan Strategies BR New Hampshire Survey Presentation 091514
 
Eee j ko_prezentacia_05_en
Eee j ko_prezentacia_05_enEee j ko_prezentacia_05_en
Eee j ko_prezentacia_05_en
 
Colorado Congressional District 4 Immigration Reform Survey - Magellan Strate...
Colorado Congressional District 4 Immigration Reform Survey - Magellan Strate...Colorado Congressional District 4 Immigration Reform Survey - Magellan Strate...
Colorado Congressional District 4 Immigration Reform Survey - Magellan Strate...
 
California Congressional District 25 Immigration Reform Survey - Magellan St...
 California Congressional District 25 Immigration Reform Survey - Magellan St... California Congressional District 25 Immigration Reform Survey - Magellan St...
California Congressional District 25 Immigration Reform Survey - Magellan St...
 
Arkansas NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey Results 060614
Arkansas NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey Results 060614Arkansas NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey Results 060614
Arkansas NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey Results 060614
 
New Hampshire US Senate Survey Crosstabs 072214
New Hampshire US Senate Survey Crosstabs 072214New Hampshire US Senate Survey Crosstabs 072214
New Hampshire US Senate Survey Crosstabs 072214
 
National Mining Association Kentucky EPA Regulation Survey Summary 091014
National Mining Association Kentucky EPA Regulation Survey Summary 091014National Mining Association Kentucky EPA Regulation Survey Summary 091014
National Mining Association Kentucky EPA Regulation Survey Summary 091014
 
California Congressional District 10 Immigration Reform Survey - Magellan Str...
California Congressional District 10 Immigration Reform Survey - Magellan Str...California Congressional District 10 Immigration Reform Survey - Magellan Str...
California Congressional District 10 Immigration Reform Survey - Magellan Str...
 
Colorado NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey Results 060914
Colorado NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey Results 060914Colorado NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey Results 060914
Colorado NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey Results 060914
 
California Congressional District 21 Immigration Reform Survey - Magellan Str...
California Congressional District 21 Immigration Reform Survey - Magellan Str...California Congressional District 21 Immigration Reform Survey - Magellan Str...
California Congressional District 21 Immigration Reform Survey - Magellan Str...
 
Colorado Unaffiliated Women Voter Post Election Survey Summary 121714
Colorado Unaffiliated Women Voter Post Election Survey Summary 121714Colorado Unaffiliated Women Voter Post Election Survey Summary 121714
Colorado Unaffiliated Women Voter Post Election Survey Summary 121714
 
Magellan Strategies Louisiana Survey Likely 2014 Voters 3/24/14
Magellan Strategies Louisiana Survey Likely 2014 Voters 3/24/14Magellan Strategies Louisiana Survey Likely 2014 Voters 3/24/14
Magellan Strategies Louisiana Survey Likely 2014 Voters 3/24/14
 
Sutherland Institute Utah Medicare Expansion Survey Summary 091514
Sutherland Institute Utah Medicare Expansion Survey Summary 091514Sutherland Institute Utah Medicare Expansion Survey Summary 091514
Sutherland Institute Utah Medicare Expansion Survey Summary 091514
 
Eee j ko_prezentacia_05_ru
Eee j ko_prezentacia_05_ruEee j ko_prezentacia_05_ru
Eee j ko_prezentacia_05_ru
 
Major presentation
Major presentationMajor presentation
Major presentation
 
Magellan Strategies Colorado Voter Segmentation Overview 052114
Magellan Strategies Colorado Voter Segmentation Overview  052114Magellan Strategies Colorado Voter Segmentation Overview  052114
Magellan Strategies Colorado Voter Segmentation Overview 052114
 
Magellan Strategies 2012 Internal Survey Research Summary Memorandum 120612
Magellan Strategies 2012 Internal Survey Research Summary Memorandum 120612Magellan Strategies 2012 Internal Survey Research Summary Memorandum 120612
Magellan Strategies 2012 Internal Survey Research Summary Memorandum 120612
 

Similar to Magellan Strategies Minnesota US Senate General Election Survey April 2014

Michigan US Senate Survey Summary 092214
Michigan US Senate Survey Summary 092214Michigan US Senate Survey Summary 092214
Michigan US Senate Survey Summary 092214
Magellan Strategies
 
Research Proposal on Voting Preferences
Research Proposal on Voting Preferences Research Proposal on Voting Preferences
Research Proposal on Voting Preferences
Diana Dela Torre (Andi)
 
Counting the Council
Counting the CouncilCounting the Council
Counting the Council
Abdul-Hakim Shabazz
 
A 2016 Election Post-Mortem: The ABC News/Washington Post Tracking Poll
A 2016 Election Post-Mortem: The ABC News/Washington Post Tracking PollA 2016 Election Post-Mortem: The ABC News/Washington Post Tracking Poll
A 2016 Election Post-Mortem: The ABC News/Washington Post Tracking Poll
LangerResearch
 
2013 Rockefeller Center NH State of the State Poll
2013 Rockefeller Center NH State of the State Poll2013 Rockefeller Center NH State of the State Poll
2013 Rockefeller Center NH State of the State Poll
Rockefeller Center for Public Policy at Dartmouth College
 
How's Holcomb Doing?
How's Holcomb Doing?How's Holcomb Doing?
How's Holcomb Doing?
Abdul-Hakim Shabazz
 
Magellan Strategies Montana US Senate Survey Release April 10, 2014
Magellan Strategies Montana US Senate Survey Release April 10, 2014Magellan Strategies Montana US Senate Survey Release April 10, 2014
Magellan Strategies Montana US Senate Survey Release April 10, 2014
Magellan Strategies
 
A2 G&P the electoral college and how it works
A2 G&P the electoral college and how it worksA2 G&P the electoral college and how it works
A2 G&P the electoral college and how it works
Oliver Pratten
 
Fix Maryland Elections Now
Fix Maryland Elections NowFix Maryland Elections Now
Fix Maryland Elections Now
Elihu El, ITIL, SCRUM Master
 
Maine Governor Survey Release 102714
Maine Governor Survey Release 102714Maine Governor Survey Release 102714
Maine Governor Survey Release 102714
Magellan Strategies
 
UJ survey on voters
UJ survey on voters UJ survey on voters
UJ survey on voters
SABC News
 
2017 Edelman Trust Barometer - Trust and the U.S. Presidential Election
2017 Edelman Trust Barometer - Trust and the U.S. Presidential Election2017 Edelman Trust Barometer - Trust and the U.S. Presidential Election
2017 Edelman Trust Barometer - Trust and the U.S. Presidential Election
Edelman
 
Public Affairs Council: 2018 State and Local Election Preview
Public Affairs Council: 2018 State and Local Election PreviewPublic Affairs Council: 2018 State and Local Election Preview
Public Affairs Council: 2018 State and Local Election Preview
Michael Cohen, Ph.D.
 
Three Polls
Three PollsThree Polls
Three Polls
Beth Hernandez
 
State FloridaElectoral Votes 29Issues Florida has a la.docx
State FloridaElectoral Votes 29Issues Florida has a la.docxState FloridaElectoral Votes 29Issues Florida has a la.docx
State FloridaElectoral Votes 29Issues Florida has a la.docx
dessiechisomjj4
 

Similar to Magellan Strategies Minnesota US Senate General Election Survey April 2014 (15)

Michigan US Senate Survey Summary 092214
Michigan US Senate Survey Summary 092214Michigan US Senate Survey Summary 092214
Michigan US Senate Survey Summary 092214
 
Research Proposal on Voting Preferences
Research Proposal on Voting Preferences Research Proposal on Voting Preferences
Research Proposal on Voting Preferences
 
Counting the Council
Counting the CouncilCounting the Council
Counting the Council
 
A 2016 Election Post-Mortem: The ABC News/Washington Post Tracking Poll
A 2016 Election Post-Mortem: The ABC News/Washington Post Tracking PollA 2016 Election Post-Mortem: The ABC News/Washington Post Tracking Poll
A 2016 Election Post-Mortem: The ABC News/Washington Post Tracking Poll
 
2013 Rockefeller Center NH State of the State Poll
2013 Rockefeller Center NH State of the State Poll2013 Rockefeller Center NH State of the State Poll
2013 Rockefeller Center NH State of the State Poll
 
How's Holcomb Doing?
How's Holcomb Doing?How's Holcomb Doing?
How's Holcomb Doing?
 
Magellan Strategies Montana US Senate Survey Release April 10, 2014
Magellan Strategies Montana US Senate Survey Release April 10, 2014Magellan Strategies Montana US Senate Survey Release April 10, 2014
Magellan Strategies Montana US Senate Survey Release April 10, 2014
 
A2 G&P the electoral college and how it works
A2 G&P the electoral college and how it worksA2 G&P the electoral college and how it works
A2 G&P the electoral college and how it works
 
Fix Maryland Elections Now
Fix Maryland Elections NowFix Maryland Elections Now
Fix Maryland Elections Now
 
Maine Governor Survey Release 102714
Maine Governor Survey Release 102714Maine Governor Survey Release 102714
Maine Governor Survey Release 102714
 
UJ survey on voters
UJ survey on voters UJ survey on voters
UJ survey on voters
 
2017 Edelman Trust Barometer - Trust and the U.S. Presidential Election
2017 Edelman Trust Barometer - Trust and the U.S. Presidential Election2017 Edelman Trust Barometer - Trust and the U.S. Presidential Election
2017 Edelman Trust Barometer - Trust and the U.S. Presidential Election
 
Public Affairs Council: 2018 State and Local Election Preview
Public Affairs Council: 2018 State and Local Election PreviewPublic Affairs Council: 2018 State and Local Election Preview
Public Affairs Council: 2018 State and Local Election Preview
 
Three Polls
Three PollsThree Polls
Three Polls
 
State FloridaElectoral Votes 29Issues Florida has a la.docx
State FloridaElectoral Votes 29Issues Florida has a la.docxState FloridaElectoral Votes 29Issues Florida has a la.docx
State FloridaElectoral Votes 29Issues Florida has a la.docx
 

More from Magellan Strategies

New Hampshire US Senate Survey Presentation 072214
New Hampshire US Senate Survey Presentation 072214New Hampshire US Senate Survey Presentation 072214
New Hampshire US Senate Survey Presentation 072214
Magellan Strategies
 
Nebraska 2014 Republican Primary Survey Results 050914
Nebraska 2014 Republican Primary Survey Results 050914Nebraska 2014 Republican Primary Survey Results 050914
Nebraska 2014 Republican Primary Survey Results 050914
Magellan Strategies
 
Magellan Strategies Arizona Republican Primary Survey Memorandum 060514
Magellan Strategies Arizona Republican Primary Survey Memorandum 060514Magellan Strategies Arizona Republican Primary Survey Memorandum 060514
Magellan Strategies Arizona Republican Primary Survey Memorandum 060514
Magellan Strategies
 
Magellan Strategies EPA Regulation Survey Press Release 061214
Magellan Strategies EPA Regulation Survey Press Release 061214Magellan Strategies EPA Regulation Survey Press Release 061214
Magellan Strategies EPA Regulation Survey Press Release 061214
Magellan Strategies
 
Magellan Strategies NMA EPA Regulation Survey Summary 061114
Magellan Strategies NMA EPA Regulation Survey Summary 061114Magellan Strategies NMA EPA Regulation Survey Summary 061114
Magellan Strategies NMA EPA Regulation Survey Summary 061114
Magellan Strategies
 
Kentucky NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey Results 060614
Kentucky NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey Results 060614Kentucky NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey Results 060614
Kentucky NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey Results 060614
Magellan Strategies
 
Louisiana NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey Results 060914
Louisiana NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey Results 060914Louisiana NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey Results 060914
Louisiana NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey Results 060914
Magellan Strategies
 
Georgia NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey Results 060914
Georgia NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey Results 060914Georgia NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey Results 060914
Georgia NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey Results 060914
Magellan Strategies
 
Michigan NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey Results 060914
Michigan NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey Results 060914Michigan NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey Results 060914
Michigan NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey Results 060914
Magellan Strategies
 
Montana NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey Results 060614
Montana NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey Results 060614Montana NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey Results 060614
Montana NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey Results 060614
Magellan Strategies
 
North Carolina MNA EPA Regulation Issue Survey Results 060914
North Carolina MNA EPA Regulation Issue Survey Results 060914North Carolina MNA EPA Regulation Issue Survey Results 060914
North Carolina MNA EPA Regulation Issue Survey Results 060914
Magellan Strategies
 
California Congressional District 49 Immigration Reform Survey - Magellan Str...
California Congressional District 49 Immigration Reform Survey - Magellan Str...California Congressional District 49 Immigration Reform Survey - Magellan Str...
California Congressional District 49 Immigration Reform Survey - Magellan Str...
Magellan Strategies
 
California Congressional District 23 Immigration Reform Survey - Magellan Str...
California Congressional District 23 Immigration Reform Survey - Magellan Str...California Congressional District 23 Immigration Reform Survey - Magellan Str...
California Congressional District 23 Immigration Reform Survey - Magellan Str...
Magellan Strategies
 
Colorado Congressional District 6 Immigration Reform Survey - Magellan Strate...
Colorado Congressional District 6 Immigration Reform Survey - Magellan Strate...Colorado Congressional District 6 Immigration Reform Survey - Magellan Strate...
Colorado Congressional District 6 Immigration Reform Survey - Magellan Strate...
Magellan Strategies
 

More from Magellan Strategies (14)

New Hampshire US Senate Survey Presentation 072214
New Hampshire US Senate Survey Presentation 072214New Hampshire US Senate Survey Presentation 072214
New Hampshire US Senate Survey Presentation 072214
 
Nebraska 2014 Republican Primary Survey Results 050914
Nebraska 2014 Republican Primary Survey Results 050914Nebraska 2014 Republican Primary Survey Results 050914
Nebraska 2014 Republican Primary Survey Results 050914
 
Magellan Strategies Arizona Republican Primary Survey Memorandum 060514
Magellan Strategies Arizona Republican Primary Survey Memorandum 060514Magellan Strategies Arizona Republican Primary Survey Memorandum 060514
Magellan Strategies Arizona Republican Primary Survey Memorandum 060514
 
Magellan Strategies EPA Regulation Survey Press Release 061214
Magellan Strategies EPA Regulation Survey Press Release 061214Magellan Strategies EPA Regulation Survey Press Release 061214
Magellan Strategies EPA Regulation Survey Press Release 061214
 
Magellan Strategies NMA EPA Regulation Survey Summary 061114
Magellan Strategies NMA EPA Regulation Survey Summary 061114Magellan Strategies NMA EPA Regulation Survey Summary 061114
Magellan Strategies NMA EPA Regulation Survey Summary 061114
 
Kentucky NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey Results 060614
Kentucky NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey Results 060614Kentucky NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey Results 060614
Kentucky NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey Results 060614
 
Louisiana NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey Results 060914
Louisiana NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey Results 060914Louisiana NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey Results 060914
Louisiana NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey Results 060914
 
Georgia NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey Results 060914
Georgia NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey Results 060914Georgia NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey Results 060914
Georgia NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey Results 060914
 
Michigan NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey Results 060914
Michigan NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey Results 060914Michigan NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey Results 060914
Michigan NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey Results 060914
 
Montana NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey Results 060614
Montana NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey Results 060614Montana NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey Results 060614
Montana NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey Results 060614
 
North Carolina MNA EPA Regulation Issue Survey Results 060914
North Carolina MNA EPA Regulation Issue Survey Results 060914North Carolina MNA EPA Regulation Issue Survey Results 060914
North Carolina MNA EPA Regulation Issue Survey Results 060914
 
California Congressional District 49 Immigration Reform Survey - Magellan Str...
California Congressional District 49 Immigration Reform Survey - Magellan Str...California Congressional District 49 Immigration Reform Survey - Magellan Str...
California Congressional District 49 Immigration Reform Survey - Magellan Str...
 
California Congressional District 23 Immigration Reform Survey - Magellan Str...
California Congressional District 23 Immigration Reform Survey - Magellan Str...California Congressional District 23 Immigration Reform Survey - Magellan Str...
California Congressional District 23 Immigration Reform Survey - Magellan Str...
 
Colorado Congressional District 6 Immigration Reform Survey - Magellan Strate...
Colorado Congressional District 6 Immigration Reform Survey - Magellan Strate...Colorado Congressional District 6 Immigration Reform Survey - Magellan Strate...
Colorado Congressional District 6 Immigration Reform Survey - Magellan Strate...
 

Recently uploaded

Gabriel Whitley's Motion Summary Judgment
Gabriel Whitley's Motion Summary JudgmentGabriel Whitley's Motion Summary Judgment
Gabriel Whitley's Motion Summary Judgment
Abdul-Hakim Shabazz
 
What Ukraine Has Lost During Russia’s Invasion
What Ukraine Has Lost During Russia’s InvasionWhat Ukraine Has Lost During Russia’s Invasion
What Ukraine Has Lost During Russia’s Invasion
LUMINATIVE MEDIA/PROJECT COUNSEL MEDIA GROUP
 
04062024_First India Newspaper Jaipur.pdf
04062024_First India Newspaper Jaipur.pdf04062024_First India Newspaper Jaipur.pdf
04062024_First India Newspaper Jaipur.pdf
FIRST INDIA
 
Letter-from-ECI-to-MeiTY-21st-march-2024.pdf
Letter-from-ECI-to-MeiTY-21st-march-2024.pdfLetter-from-ECI-to-MeiTY-21st-march-2024.pdf
Letter-from-ECI-to-MeiTY-21st-march-2024.pdf
bhavenpr
 
EED - The Container Port PERFORMANCE INDEX 2023
EED - The Container Port PERFORMANCE INDEX 2023EED - The Container Port PERFORMANCE INDEX 2023
EED - The Container Port PERFORMANCE INDEX 2023
El Estrecho Digital
 
Hogan Comes Home: an MIA WWII crewman is returned
Hogan Comes Home: an MIA WWII crewman is returnedHogan Comes Home: an MIA WWII crewman is returned
Hogan Comes Home: an MIA WWII crewman is returned
rbakerj2
 
Resolutions-Key-Interventions-28-May-2024.pdf
Resolutions-Key-Interventions-28-May-2024.pdfResolutions-Key-Interventions-28-May-2024.pdf
Resolutions-Key-Interventions-28-May-2024.pdf
bhavenpr
 
2015pmkemenhub163.pdf 2015pmkemenhub163.pdf
2015pmkemenhub163.pdf 2015pmkemenhub163.pdf2015pmkemenhub163.pdf 2015pmkemenhub163.pdf
2015pmkemenhub163.pdf 2015pmkemenhub163.pdf
CIkumparan
 
Hindustan Insider 2nd edition release now
Hindustan Insider 2nd edition release nowHindustan Insider 2nd edition release now
Hindustan Insider 2nd edition release now
hindustaninsider22
 
Acolyte Episodes review (TV series)..pdf
Acolyte Episodes review (TV series)..pdfAcolyte Episodes review (TV series)..pdf
Acolyte Episodes review (TV series)..pdf
46adnanshahzad
 

Recently uploaded (10)

Gabriel Whitley's Motion Summary Judgment
Gabriel Whitley's Motion Summary JudgmentGabriel Whitley's Motion Summary Judgment
Gabriel Whitley's Motion Summary Judgment
 
What Ukraine Has Lost During Russia’s Invasion
What Ukraine Has Lost During Russia’s InvasionWhat Ukraine Has Lost During Russia’s Invasion
What Ukraine Has Lost During Russia’s Invasion
 
04062024_First India Newspaper Jaipur.pdf
04062024_First India Newspaper Jaipur.pdf04062024_First India Newspaper Jaipur.pdf
04062024_First India Newspaper Jaipur.pdf
 
Letter-from-ECI-to-MeiTY-21st-march-2024.pdf
Letter-from-ECI-to-MeiTY-21st-march-2024.pdfLetter-from-ECI-to-MeiTY-21st-march-2024.pdf
Letter-from-ECI-to-MeiTY-21st-march-2024.pdf
 
EED - The Container Port PERFORMANCE INDEX 2023
EED - The Container Port PERFORMANCE INDEX 2023EED - The Container Port PERFORMANCE INDEX 2023
EED - The Container Port PERFORMANCE INDEX 2023
 
Hogan Comes Home: an MIA WWII crewman is returned
Hogan Comes Home: an MIA WWII crewman is returnedHogan Comes Home: an MIA WWII crewman is returned
Hogan Comes Home: an MIA WWII crewman is returned
 
Resolutions-Key-Interventions-28-May-2024.pdf
Resolutions-Key-Interventions-28-May-2024.pdfResolutions-Key-Interventions-28-May-2024.pdf
Resolutions-Key-Interventions-28-May-2024.pdf
 
2015pmkemenhub163.pdf 2015pmkemenhub163.pdf
2015pmkemenhub163.pdf 2015pmkemenhub163.pdf2015pmkemenhub163.pdf 2015pmkemenhub163.pdf
2015pmkemenhub163.pdf 2015pmkemenhub163.pdf
 
Hindustan Insider 2nd edition release now
Hindustan Insider 2nd edition release nowHindustan Insider 2nd edition release now
Hindustan Insider 2nd edition release now
 
Acolyte Episodes review (TV series)..pdf
Acolyte Episodes review (TV series)..pdfAcolyte Episodes review (TV series)..pdf
Acolyte Episodes review (TV series)..pdf
 

Magellan Strategies Minnesota US Senate General Election Survey April 2014

  • 1. ! APRIL 1st , 2014 MEMORANDUM TO: AMERICAN ENCORE/INTERESTED PARTIES FROM: DAVID FLAHERTY RE: SURVEY SUMMARY OF LIKELY 2014 MINNESOTA VOTERS ________________________________________________________________________ Although Minnesota is considered a blue state by political observers, the 2014 political environment may not be as blue as the 2012 election cycle based on the findings of an automated and cell phone survey of 1,081 likely 2014 Minnesota voters. The survey finds Senator Al Franken being potentially vulnerable this November. He has not had to face voters in a midterm cycle, and his victory in 2008 was aided by national trends favoring Democrats, and independent candidate Dean Barkley taking 15% of the overall vote. Sen. Franken has yet to show he can win a majority of support in the state, defeating Republican Norm Coleman in 2008 by 300 votes, with 42% of the vote. The Cook Political Report’s partisan voting index (PVI) for Minnesota is D+2, only marginally more Democrat than Colorado (D+1) and Iowa (D+1) and the same as Nevada and Wisconsin by comparison. It is also important to note that in 2010 Minnesota voters elected a Republican legislature, (25 seat gain in the state house and 16 seat gain in the state senate). Although it is a long way off, political professionals and observers are sensing that the 2014 cycle is shaping up to be a strong year for Republican candidates, similar to 2010. Key Findings: ! The voter mood does not bode well for incumbents, with only 31% thinking the country is heading in the right direction and 60% feeling things are on the wrong track. ! The Republican candidate leads the Democrat candidate by 3 points, 44% to 41% on a generic United States Senate ballot test. ! Al Franken’s image rating is below 50% (41% fav/45% unfav) as well as his job approval (44% approve). ! Barack Obama has a poor job approval of 41% approve and 53% disapprove. ! Sen. Amy Klobuchar shows stronger job approval numbers than Sen. Franken with 57% approve and 32% disapprove. ! Only 40% of respondents think Al Franken deserves re-election.
  • 2. Magellan Strategies Minnesota 2014 Automated and Cell Phone Survey Summary 1,081n, MoE +/- 2.98%, 3/25/14 - 3/26/14 2 Magellan Strategies |1685 Boxelder Street, Suite 300 | Louisville, CO 80027 MagellanStrategies.com | 303-861-8585 ! The Senate ballot tests show Al Franken with small leads over Republican candidates Julianne Ortman, 44% to 41%, and Mike McFadden 44% to 38%. Only 35% of voters in both ballot tests definitely intend to vote for Al Franken. ! Republican candidates Julianne Ortman and Mike McFadden are not well known by voters, with only 30% and 26% respectively having an opinion of either candidate. ! 54% of respondents disapprove of the Affordable Care Act, and only 38% approve. ! Democrats have a 3 point advantage in party identification, with the survey finding 31% considering themselves Democrat, 28% Republican, 31% independent, and 9% considering themselves “something else”. Looking at the crosstab results, there is evidence of a political environment favoring Republican candidates. Among respondents that say they are extremely interested in the November election, a 12 point enthusiasm gap is evident between Republican and Democrat voters. Among Republicans, 51% are extremely interested in the election compared to 39% of Democrats, and among independent or “something else” voters, 47% are extremely interested in the election. Among the most likely voters (those choosing 7 to 9 on interest in the November election), the generic ballot advantage for the Republican candidate grows from R+3 to R+9. Al Franken’s biggest weakness is among independent voters. Among this important voter subgroup, 49% approve of Sen. Amy Klobuchar’s job performance, but only 35% approve of Al Franken’s job performance, a 14 point difference. Finally, among independent voters, 57% believe it is time to give someone new a chance and only 31% believe Al Franken deserves re-election. Minnesota Voter Opinion of Free Speech The survey also measured voter opinion of the most valued freedoms and rights in the First Amendment. The following question was asked: “Among the following list of freedoms in the Frist Amendment of the Constitution, which one do you think is the most important? Freedom of speech, freedom of religion, freedom of the press, the right to assemble or the right to petition?” Among all respondents, in order, 50% think freedom of speech is the most important, followed by 25% for freedom of religion, 6% for freedom of the press, 4% for the right to assemble, and 3% for the right to petition.
  • 3. Magellan Strategies Minnesota 2014 Automated and Cell Phone Survey Summary 1,081n, MoE +/- 2.98%, 3/25/14 - 3/26/14 2 Magellan Strategies |1685 Boxelder Street, Suite 300 | Louisville, CO 80027 MagellanStrategies.com | 303-861-8585 Survey Methodology The results were based on a statewide automated voice recorded and cell phone interview survey of 1,081 likely 2014 Minnesota general election voters. The interviews were conducted on March 25th and 26th of 2014. The individuals interviewed for the survey were selected from a Minnesota voter file and were selected proportionate to the state’s likely non-Presidential voting population in accordance with a probability sample design that gives all voters an equal chance to be included. The results were slightly weighted to reflect past gender and age demographics of the non-Presidential voting population. The survey’s margin of error is +/- 2.98% at the 95 percent confidence interval. Any questions regarding this survey should be directed to David Flaherty of Magellan Strategies at dflaherty@magellanstrategies.com or 303-861-8585. Survey Commissioned By: This survey was commissioned by American Encore. About Magellan Strategies Magellan Strategies is a full-service survey research firm offering quantitative, qualitative, and predictive data modeling services to Republican candidates, campaigns and conservative organizations across the country.
  • 4. ! ! ! ! ! Magellan Strategies Minnesota US Senate General Election Survey Topline Results Magellan Strategies are pleased to present the topline results for a 1,081n autodial and live cell phone survey of registered voters in the state of Minnesota. The interviews were conducted March 25th and 26th , 2014. This survey has a margin of error of +/- 2.98% at the 95 percent confidence interval. This survey was weighted based upon past general election demographics. T1. Are you registered to vote? Yes........................................................................100% T2. How likely are you to vote in the November general election for the United States Senate and Congress? Extremely likely.......................................................82% Very likely...............................................................11% Somewhat likely........................................................7%
  • 5. Magellan ID#: MNSEN-032514 Minnesota US Senate General Election Survey Topline Results Field Dates: 3/25/14 – 3/26/14, MoE +/- 2.98%, 1,081n, CONFIDENTIAL Magellan Strategies | 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300 | Louisville, CO www.MagellanStrategies.com | (303) 861-8585 2 T3. How interested would you say you are in the November election for the United States Senate? On a scale of one to nine, with nine meaning you are extremely interested and one meaning you are not interested at all, press a number between one and nine that best describes your interest in the election. Press zero if you are unsure or do not have an opinion. 9- Extremely interested............................................45% 8 .............................................................................10% 7 .............................................................................13% 6 ...............................................................................7% 5 .............................................................................11% 4 ...............................................................................4% 3 ...............................................................................3% 2 ...............................................................................1% 1- Not interested .......................................................6% Unsure or no opinion................................................0% T4. Generally speaking, do you think things in the country are headed in the right direction or do you feel that things are off on the wrong track? Right direction ........................................................31% Wrong track............................................................60% Unsure or no opinion................................................9% T5. If the election for the United States Senate were being held today would you vote for the Democrat candidate or the Republican candidate? Republican candidate .............................................44% Democrat candidate................................................41% Some other candidate ...............................................6% Undecided................................................................8% No opinion ...............................................................1%
  • 6. Magellan ID#: MNSEN-032514 Minnesota US Senate General Election Survey Topline Results Field Dates: 3/25/14 – 3/26/14, MoE +/- 2.98%, 1,081n, CONFIDENTIAL Magellan Strategies | 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300 | Louisville, CO www.MagellanStrategies.com | (303) 861-8585 3 T6. In general, when it comes to considering candidates for federal office like the United States Senate and Congress, are you most interested in… Economic issues like taxes, government spending, jobs, and the budget; Foreign affairs and national defense issues including terrorism and wars; Domestic issues like education, health care, and the environment; or Social and moral issues like abortion and gay marriage? Economic issues......................................................57% Domestic issues ......................................................25% Social and moral issues.............................................9% Foreign affairs and national defense issues ................5% Some other issue.......................................................2% Unsure or no opinion................................................2% T7. Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Al Franken? Favorable................................................................41% Unfavorable............................................................45% No Opinion ............................................................11% Never Heard Of ........................................................1% Unsure......................................................................2% Name ID.................................................................97% Hard Name ID ........................................................86% T8. Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Julianne Ortman? Favorable................................................................12% Unfavorable............................................................18% No Opinion ............................................................30% Never Heard Of ......................................................37% Unsure......................................................................3% Name ID.................................................................60% Hard Name ID ........................................................30%
  • 7. Magellan ID#: MNSEN-032514 Minnesota US Senate General Election Survey Topline Results Field Dates: 3/25/14 – 3/26/14, MoE +/- 2.98%, 1,081n, CONFIDENTIAL Magellan Strategies | 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300 | Louisville, CO www.MagellanStrategies.com | (303) 861-8585 4 T9. Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Mike McFadden? Favorable................................................................12% Unfavorable............................................................14% No Opinion ............................................................28% Never Heard Of ......................................................42% Unsure......................................................................4% Name ID.................................................................54% Hard Name ID ........................................................26% T10. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Barack Obama is doing as President? Approve..................................................................41% Disapprove .............................................................53% Unsure or no opinion................................................6% T11. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Amy Klobuchar is doing as United States Senator? Approve..................................................................57% Disapprove .............................................................32% Unsure or no opinion..............................................11% T12. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Al Franken is doing as United States Senator? Approve..................................................................44% Disapprove .............................................................44% Unsure or no opinion..............................................12% T13. Do you think Al Franken has done a good enough job to deserve re-election or do you think it is time to give someone else a chance to do a better job? Time to give someone else a chance.......................50% Deserves re-election................................................40% Unsure or no opinion..............................................10%
  • 8. Magellan ID#: MNSEN-032514 Minnesota US Senate General Election Survey Topline Results Field Dates: 3/25/14 – 3/26/14, MoE +/- 2.98%, 1,081n, CONFIDENTIAL Magellan Strategies | 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300 | Louisville, CO www.MagellanStrategies.com | (303) 861-8585 5 T14. From what you know about him, do you consider Al Franken to be somewhat conservative, moderate, somewhat liberal, or very liberal in his political beliefs? Somewhat conservative.............................................4% Moderate ................................................................18% Somewhat liberal ....................................................31% Very liberal .............................................................38% Unsure or no opinion................................................9% T15. If the election for the United States Senate were being held today for whom would you vote if the candidates were Al Franken, Democrat, and Julianne Ortman, Republican? Al Franken ..............................................................44% Julianne Ortman......................................................41% Some other candidate ...............................................6% Definitely Franken...................................................35% Probably Franken......................................................9% Definitely Ortman...................................................20% Probably Ortman ....................................................21% Undecided................................................................9% T16. If the election for the United States Senate were being held today for whom would you vote if the candidates were Al Franken, Democrat, and Mike McFadden, Republican? Al Franken ..............................................................44% Mike McFadden......................................................38% Some other candidate ...............................................6% Definitely Franken...................................................35% Probably Franken......................................................9% Definitely McFadden...............................................18% Probably McFadden................................................20% Undecided..............................................................12%
  • 9. Magellan ID#: MNSEN-032514 Minnesota US Senate General Election Survey Topline Results Field Dates: 3/25/14 – 3/26/14, MoE +/- 2.98%, 1,081n, CONFIDENTIAL Magellan Strategies | 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300 | Louisville, CO www.MagellanStrategies.com | (303) 861-8585 6 T17. Do you approve or disapprove of the Affordable Care Act, the health care law passed by Barack Obama and Congress back in 2010, also known as Obamacare? Approve..................................................................38% Disapprove .............................................................54% Unsure or no opinion................................................8% T18. Among the following list of freedoms in the First Amendment of the Constitution, which one do you think is the most important? Freedom of speech, freedom of religion, freedom of the press, the right to assemble or the right to petition? Freedom of speech..................................................50% Freedom of religion.................................................25% Freedom of the press.................................................6% Right to assemble......................................................4% Right to petition ........................................................3% Unsure or no opinion..............................................12% T19. Thinking now about last year’s IRS scandal…As you may know, Al Franken wrote two letters to the IRS requesting a crackdown on tax exempt conservative organizations. Knowing this information, do you approve or disapprove of Al Franken’s actions? Approve..................................................................42% Disapprove .............................................................40% Unsure or no opinion..............................................18% And now I have a couple of questions for statistical purposes… T20. Do you consider yourself to be very conservative, somewhat conservative, moderate, somewhat liberal or very liberal in your political beliefs? Conservative ...........................................................46% Moderate ................................................................30% Liberal.....................................................................21% Very conservative....................................................18% Somewhat conservative...........................................28% Very liberal ...............................................................6% Somewhat liberal ....................................................15% Unsure or no opinion................................................3%
  • 10. Magellan ID#: MNSEN-032514 Minnesota US Senate General Election Survey Topline Results Field Dates: 3/25/14 – 3/26/14, MoE +/- 2.98%, 1,081n, CONFIDENTIAL Magellan Strategies | 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300 | Louisville, CO www.MagellanStrategies.com | (303) 861-8585 7 T21. Generally speaking, do you think of yourself as a Democrat, a Republican, an independent or something else? Democrat................................................................31% Republican..............................................................28% Independent............................................................31% Something else..........................................................9% Unsure or no opinion................................................1% T22. Are you a man or a woman? Woman...................................................................52% Man ........................................................................48% T23. Which of the following age groups applies to you? 18-29........................................................................7% 30-44......................................................................20% 45-54......................................................................20% 55-64......................................................................23% 65 plus....................................................................29% Unsure or no opinion................................................1% T24. What is your marital status? Married...................................................................67% Widowed..................................................................9% Separated..................................................................1% Divorced...................................................................6% Single and have never been married .......................12% Unmarried living with a partner ................................2% Unsure or no opinion................................................3% T25. What is your race? Press 1 if you are white, press 2 if you are black or African American, press 3 if you are Hispanic or Latino, press 4 for some other racial group. White......................................................................90% Black or African American ........................................3% Hispanic or Latino.....................................................1% Some other racial group............................................6% Refused.....................................................................0%
  • 11. Magellan ID#: MNSEN-032514 Minnesota US Senate General Election Survey Topline Results Field Dates: 3/25/14 – 3/26/14, MoE +/- 2.98%, 1,081n, CONFIDENTIAL Magellan Strategies | 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300 | Louisville, CO www.MagellanStrategies.com | (303) 861-8585 8 Survey Methodology This survey was conducted using automated telephone touchtone technology and live dialing to cell phones. The sample used for this survey was randomly drawn from a Minnesota voter file. The survey response data was weighted based upon past general election demographics. The interviews were conducted on March 25th and 26th , 2014. Three attempts were made to interview each household in the sample. This survey has a margin of error of 2.98% at the 95 percent confidence interval.