1) A survey of likely 2014 Minnesota voters finds Senator Al Franken potentially vulnerable in the November election. He has not faced voters in a midterm election before and won his previous election by a narrow margin.
2) The survey shows the Republican candidate leading the Democrat candidate by 3 points in a generic Senate ballot test. Additionally, Al Franken's approval ratings are below 50%.
3) Key findings indicate the political environment may be better for Republicans, as voters think the country is headed in the wrong direction and disapprove of President Obama's job performance.
The recent controversy surrounding Indiana Attorney General Curtis Hill may not have had much impact on what Hoosiers think of the job he is doing.
As part of our Indy Politics scientific poll of 600 likely voters, conducted last week by Mason Strategies LLC, we asked about Hill’s favorable and unfavorable ratings.
The Monmouth University Poll finds that the presidential race in Indiana has tightened significantly since August, with Trump now leading Clinton by only 4 points compared to an 11-point lead previously. Pence's approval rating as governor has also dropped. In the Senate race, Evan Bayh maintains a 6-point lead over Todd Young despite attacks against him. The governor's race has seen the most movement, with Democrat John Gregg now leading by 12 points after being virtually tied in August.
Scott Brown is within 5 points of defeating Jeanne Shaheen in New Hampshire's Senate race according to a new poll. The poll finds that the political environment favors Republicans with 65% saying the country is on the wrong track and only 36% approving of President Obama's job performance. Additionally, midterm election demographics typically benefit Republicans as turnout among key Democratic constituencies like women, young voters, and Democrats declines from presidential years. As a result of these factors, Scott Brown has a respectable chance to defeat Jeanne Shaheen despite currently trailing her by 5 points in the poll.
This document summarizes the results of a poll of 400 likely Republican primary voters in Indiana's 3rd Congressional District. The poll shows Jim Banks leading with 29.3% support, followed closely by Kip Tom at 23.3% and Liz Brown at 21.8%. The differences are within the margin of error. While Banks and Tom have stronger levels of support, one-fifth of voters for each of the front-runners are unsure how strong their support is. The candidates have similar levels of support across gender and religious attendance. A majority of voters feel political tone does not impact their involvement, though Brown's supporters are less likely to feel this way.
An Indiana statewide survey of 1,000 registered voters found Governor Mike Pence's approval ratings have declined since April, with more voters disapproving than approving of his job performance. Pence is in a statistical tie with potential Democratic challengers Glenda Ritz and John Gregg in hypothetical 2016 matchups. College-educated women, in particular, strongly disapprove of Pence and support Ritz and Gregg over him. The survey also found continued majority support for adding sexual orientation and gender identity protections to Indiana's civil rights law, which could become a key issue in the 2016 gubernatorial election.
This document summarizes the results of a nationwide survey of 829 likely Republican primary voters conducted from September 29 to October 1, 2015. Key findings include:
- Donald Trump and Ben Carson are leading the field in name recognition and consideration, followed by Marco Rubio, Carly Fiorina, and others.
- No candidate has a majority support yet and voters are still considering an average of 6 candidates.
- Trump saw the largest increase in support over prior months, followed by gains for Carson, Fiorina, and Rubio.
- A majority of voters want a nominee who will reach out to compromise, though views on the preferred type of candidate are mixed.
The recent controversy surrounding Indiana Attorney General Curtis Hill may not have had much impact on what Hoosiers think of the job he is doing.
As part of our Indy Politics scientific poll of 600 likely voters, conducted last week by Mason Strategies LLC, we asked about Hill’s favorable and unfavorable ratings.
The Monmouth University Poll finds that the presidential race in Indiana has tightened significantly since August, with Trump now leading Clinton by only 4 points compared to an 11-point lead previously. Pence's approval rating as governor has also dropped. In the Senate race, Evan Bayh maintains a 6-point lead over Todd Young despite attacks against him. The governor's race has seen the most movement, with Democrat John Gregg now leading by 12 points after being virtually tied in August.
Scott Brown is within 5 points of defeating Jeanne Shaheen in New Hampshire's Senate race according to a new poll. The poll finds that the political environment favors Republicans with 65% saying the country is on the wrong track and only 36% approving of President Obama's job performance. Additionally, midterm election demographics typically benefit Republicans as turnout among key Democratic constituencies like women, young voters, and Democrats declines from presidential years. As a result of these factors, Scott Brown has a respectable chance to defeat Jeanne Shaheen despite currently trailing her by 5 points in the poll.
This document summarizes the results of a poll of 400 likely Republican primary voters in Indiana's 3rd Congressional District. The poll shows Jim Banks leading with 29.3% support, followed closely by Kip Tom at 23.3% and Liz Brown at 21.8%. The differences are within the margin of error. While Banks and Tom have stronger levels of support, one-fifth of voters for each of the front-runners are unsure how strong their support is. The candidates have similar levels of support across gender and religious attendance. A majority of voters feel political tone does not impact their involvement, though Brown's supporters are less likely to feel this way.
An Indiana statewide survey of 1,000 registered voters found Governor Mike Pence's approval ratings have declined since April, with more voters disapproving than approving of his job performance. Pence is in a statistical tie with potential Democratic challengers Glenda Ritz and John Gregg in hypothetical 2016 matchups. College-educated women, in particular, strongly disapprove of Pence and support Ritz and Gregg over him. The survey also found continued majority support for adding sexual orientation and gender identity protections to Indiana's civil rights law, which could become a key issue in the 2016 gubernatorial election.
This document summarizes the results of a nationwide survey of 829 likely Republican primary voters conducted from September 29 to October 1, 2015. Key findings include:
- Donald Trump and Ben Carson are leading the field in name recognition and consideration, followed by Marco Rubio, Carly Fiorina, and others.
- No candidate has a majority support yet and voters are still considering an average of 6 candidates.
- Trump saw the largest increase in support over prior months, followed by gains for Carson, Fiorina, and Rubio.
- A majority of voters want a nominee who will reach out to compromise, though views on the preferred type of candidate are mixed.
The 2014 midterm elections resulted in Republican gains in both chambers of Congress. The GOP picked up seven Senate seats and around eight House seats so far, taking control of the Senate. Republicans also made gains in gubernatorial races. The key reasons for Republican success were continued economic worries among voters and dissatisfaction with President Obama and his handling of issues like healthcare reform. Voter turnout was lower than in 2010 and 2012, and the electorate in 2014 was more conservative than in recent election cycles.
Donald Trump's first 100 days in office saw mixed public opinion reactions to his actions and policies. His approval ratings declined over his first 100 days, making him the first president in the last 60 years to attain a net disapproval. Specific policies like the travel ban and attempts to repeal the Affordable Care Act faced intense public scrutiny and disapproval. However, the public supported his Supreme Court nomination of Neil Gorsuch and strike on Syria, while being more cautious about investigations into Russian interference and ties to Trump's campaign.
The document provides an overview and analysis of the 2016 US presidential election as of October 2015. It summarizes several national polls showing that most Americans feel the country is headed in the wrong direction and are split on whether they prefer a candidate with political experience or an outsider. The polls also show Donald Trump leading the Republican primary field but Ben Carson gaining momentum, while Hillary Clinton maintains a lead over Bernie Sanders in Democratic polls. The document analyzes fundraising and other election metrics through October 2015.
The document provides an overview and analysis of the 2016 US elections. It discusses the races for President, Senate, and House. For the presidency, Democrats will attempt to retain the White House while Republicans will seek to win it. Control of the Senate is also at stake with Democrats needing to gain 5 seats. Public opinion polling shows most Americans feel the country is on the wrong track. The Republican and Democratic nomination races are also previewed and analyzed through current polling data and priorities for each party.
The report measures attitudes and preferences regarding the 2020 presidential election, as well as attitudes about the current administration and its policies.
Public Opinion Landscape - Election 2016 10.13.15GloverParkGroup
The document provides an overview of the state of the 2016 Democratic primary race leading up to the first Democratic debate. It summarizes polls showing Hillary Clinton maintaining a lead nationally but in closer races in Iowa and New Hampshire, while Bernie Sanders has gained ground. Joe Biden is also discussed as a potential candidate, with polls showing many Americans want him to run. The document examines factors like media coverage, fundraising, and voter perceptions that may influence how the primary race unfolds.
Public Opinion Landscape: Election 2016 - New Hampshire 2-9-2016GloverParkGroup
The document provides an overview and analysis of the 2016 US presidential election as of February 2016. It summarizes polling data and predictions for both the Republican and Democratic primaries. For the Republican primary, Ted Cruz won the Iowa caucus with high evangelical turnout. Donald Trump led in most New Hampshire polls but recent activity suggested Cruz may do better than expected. For the Democratic primary, Hillary Clinton barely edged out Bernie Sanders in Iowa. Clinton led national polls but Sanders had narrowed the gap and led strongly in New Hampshire.
Trump vs Clinton - Polling Opinions: How the polls were wrong and how to fix...chrisbrock54
This document discusses ways that pollsters could improve their election predictions in the future based on failures in the 2016 US presidential election. It identifies several issues with polls in 2016, including relying on small sample sizes, outdated polling methods, and neglecting online data sources. It then provides eight fixes for pollsters, such as applying robust statistical models, incorporating modern technology and online data, accurately assessing the impact of scandals, and utilizing digital advertising data from Facebook. The overall message is that pollsters need to embrace new data sources and statistical methods to make more accurate predictions.
ОПРОС: КТО ПОБЕДИТ ТРАМПА НА СЛЕДУЮЩИХ ВЫБОРАХmResearcher
Если президент США Дональд Трамп будет баллотироваться на второй президентский срок, он столкнется с серьезной конкуренцией со стороны американских политиков и лидеров общественного мнения
This document provides an overview and analysis of a poll conducted in June 2008 on voter opinions and attitudes regarding the 2008 US presidential election between Barack Obama and John McCain. Some key findings from the poll include: Obama has a slight lead over McCain nationally; support for Obama is driven by a desire for change from President Bush, while McCain's support comes from his experience in foreign policy; the economy is the top issue but voters see the candidates as tied on handling it.
Battleground Virginia: Handicapping The ’14 Senate Race0ptimusConsulting
Ed Gillespie trails incumbent Mark Warner in Virginia's 2014 Senate race. A poll found Warner leading 43.3% to 35.5% without mentioning candidates' parties, but the gap narrowed to 48% to 45.5% after identifying Gillespie as Republican. Around 28% of voters are undecided or could change their mind, representing a large persuasion target. While get-out-the-vote efforts may gain Gillespie only 0.3% of votes, persuading 10-20% of the 1 million persuadable voters could swing the race due to Warner's resource advantage making Gillespie's messaging more important.
Michigan crime trends have generally been decreasing over the past decade. Homicide rates have been steadily decreasing since 2005, with the exception of a spike in 2006. Rates of forcible rape and aggravated assault have also declined significantly between 2005-2010. Property crimes such as robbery, burglary, larceny, and motor vehicle theft have all decreased by over 25% in the past five years. While homicide rates increased slightly in Michigan from 2005-2007, the midwestern states as a whole experienced a 3% reduction over the same period. Overall, available data suggests that most violent and property crime rates have trended downward in Michigan in recent years.
International Affairs Public Opinion Landscape GloverParkGroup
The document provides an overview of American public opinion on several international issues based on recent polls. It finds that while foreign policy issues are not top concerns for Americans, a majority are dissatisfied with the US role in the world. Regarding the conflict between Israel and Hamas, Americans see it as important and disapprove of Obama's handling of it. Around half sympathize more with Israel, though a majority think the US should treat both sides equally. Favorability of Israel has reached both a peak and lowest point over the past 5 years.
Certus Insights Special Report: Overview of Polling and Media Coverage on Imp...Natalie Copeland
An in-depth report that reviews the major trends on public attitudes toward the impeachment inquiry, including the latest polling numbers, trends in attitudes since the inquiry announcement, an overview of partisan attitudes, and the impact of impeachment on the President’s approval ratings. The report also details media coverage of the impeachment, examining the amount of coverage, comparisons of the coverage to the Mueller investigation, most shared publications, and most shared news articles.
This document provides an overview and analysis of the 2016 US presidential election as of April 2016. It finds that interest in the election is higher than previous years. There is also declining faith in the primary system and public's political wisdom. On the Republican side, Trump has won the most states and delegates so far and has led in national polling since September. For Democrats, Clinton has a strong delegate lead over Sanders though Sanders has narrowed the gap in national polls. Upcoming April primaries that could impact the races are examined.
The document provides an overview of public perceptions and opinions on key issues in the United States at the end of 2015. It summarizes economic indicators over the past year and shows that while the unemployment rate declined, consumer confidence decreased. Most Americans viewed 2015 as an average year for the country. Perceptions of the threat of terrorism increased significantly compared to the previous year while economic issues were seen as less important. Approval ratings for Obama and Congress remained low.
The Rockefeller Center at Dartmouth College conducted a poll of 403 New Hampshire registered voters between April 2-5, 2012 regarding political issues, the economy, and social policies. Key findings included:
- Voters were less pessimistic about the national and state economies than in 2011.
- In a hypothetical presidential matchup, Mitt Romney led Barack Obama by a slim margin of 43.9% to 42.4%.
- "Building a strong economy" was viewed as the most important issue for the state government.
- Voters were split on expanded gambling and college student voting eligibility. They supported same-sex marriage and cell phone bans while driving but opposed guns on college campuses and employer contraceptive coverage refus
Donald Trump won the 2016 presidential election in an upset, defeating Hillary Clinton despite polls showing Clinton as the likely winner. Trump was able to win key Midwestern states like Pennsylvania, Ohio, and Wisconsin that typically vote Democratic by mobilizing white voters without college degrees. Although Clinton appears poised to win the national popular vote, the electoral college results gave Trump the presidency. Down-ballot, Republicans maintained control of the Senate while Democrats narrowed Republican margins in the House.
Magellan Strategies BR New Hampshire Survey Presentation 091514Magellan Strategies
This document appears to be the results of a public opinion survey conducted in New Hampshire between September 10-11, 2014 with 2,214 likely voter interviews. It includes data on respondents' views on the direction of the country, a hypothetical US Senate election, opinions of Scott Brown and Jeanne Shaheen, approval of President Obama's job performance, a hypothetical election between Brown and Shaheen, views on border security and likelihood of terrorists crossing the southern border. The data is broken down by region, age, party identification and other demographics.
Dr. Konstantin Jacoby's company, EEE JacobyKo spol. s r.o., provides consulting services in the energy sector in Eastern Europe. Their services include project development and advisory support, energy communication and marketing, and open consulting hours. They advise public and private organizations on issues involving energy infrastructure, renewable technologies, and nuclear energy. Their goal is to help clients develop feasible, rational solutions that are economically, environmentally, and technically sound.
The 2014 midterm elections resulted in Republican gains in both chambers of Congress. The GOP picked up seven Senate seats and around eight House seats so far, taking control of the Senate. Republicans also made gains in gubernatorial races. The key reasons for Republican success were continued economic worries among voters and dissatisfaction with President Obama and his handling of issues like healthcare reform. Voter turnout was lower than in 2010 and 2012, and the electorate in 2014 was more conservative than in recent election cycles.
Donald Trump's first 100 days in office saw mixed public opinion reactions to his actions and policies. His approval ratings declined over his first 100 days, making him the first president in the last 60 years to attain a net disapproval. Specific policies like the travel ban and attempts to repeal the Affordable Care Act faced intense public scrutiny and disapproval. However, the public supported his Supreme Court nomination of Neil Gorsuch and strike on Syria, while being more cautious about investigations into Russian interference and ties to Trump's campaign.
The document provides an overview and analysis of the 2016 US presidential election as of October 2015. It summarizes several national polls showing that most Americans feel the country is headed in the wrong direction and are split on whether they prefer a candidate with political experience or an outsider. The polls also show Donald Trump leading the Republican primary field but Ben Carson gaining momentum, while Hillary Clinton maintains a lead over Bernie Sanders in Democratic polls. The document analyzes fundraising and other election metrics through October 2015.
The document provides an overview and analysis of the 2016 US elections. It discusses the races for President, Senate, and House. For the presidency, Democrats will attempt to retain the White House while Republicans will seek to win it. Control of the Senate is also at stake with Democrats needing to gain 5 seats. Public opinion polling shows most Americans feel the country is on the wrong track. The Republican and Democratic nomination races are also previewed and analyzed through current polling data and priorities for each party.
The report measures attitudes and preferences regarding the 2020 presidential election, as well as attitudes about the current administration and its policies.
Public Opinion Landscape - Election 2016 10.13.15GloverParkGroup
The document provides an overview of the state of the 2016 Democratic primary race leading up to the first Democratic debate. It summarizes polls showing Hillary Clinton maintaining a lead nationally but in closer races in Iowa and New Hampshire, while Bernie Sanders has gained ground. Joe Biden is also discussed as a potential candidate, with polls showing many Americans want him to run. The document examines factors like media coverage, fundraising, and voter perceptions that may influence how the primary race unfolds.
Public Opinion Landscape: Election 2016 - New Hampshire 2-9-2016GloverParkGroup
The document provides an overview and analysis of the 2016 US presidential election as of February 2016. It summarizes polling data and predictions for both the Republican and Democratic primaries. For the Republican primary, Ted Cruz won the Iowa caucus with high evangelical turnout. Donald Trump led in most New Hampshire polls but recent activity suggested Cruz may do better than expected. For the Democratic primary, Hillary Clinton barely edged out Bernie Sanders in Iowa. Clinton led national polls but Sanders had narrowed the gap and led strongly in New Hampshire.
Trump vs Clinton - Polling Opinions: How the polls were wrong and how to fix...chrisbrock54
This document discusses ways that pollsters could improve their election predictions in the future based on failures in the 2016 US presidential election. It identifies several issues with polls in 2016, including relying on small sample sizes, outdated polling methods, and neglecting online data sources. It then provides eight fixes for pollsters, such as applying robust statistical models, incorporating modern technology and online data, accurately assessing the impact of scandals, and utilizing digital advertising data from Facebook. The overall message is that pollsters need to embrace new data sources and statistical methods to make more accurate predictions.
ОПРОС: КТО ПОБЕДИТ ТРАМПА НА СЛЕДУЮЩИХ ВЫБОРАХmResearcher
Если президент США Дональд Трамп будет баллотироваться на второй президентский срок, он столкнется с серьезной конкуренцией со стороны американских политиков и лидеров общественного мнения
This document provides an overview and analysis of a poll conducted in June 2008 on voter opinions and attitudes regarding the 2008 US presidential election between Barack Obama and John McCain. Some key findings from the poll include: Obama has a slight lead over McCain nationally; support for Obama is driven by a desire for change from President Bush, while McCain's support comes from his experience in foreign policy; the economy is the top issue but voters see the candidates as tied on handling it.
Battleground Virginia: Handicapping The ’14 Senate Race0ptimusConsulting
Ed Gillespie trails incumbent Mark Warner in Virginia's 2014 Senate race. A poll found Warner leading 43.3% to 35.5% without mentioning candidates' parties, but the gap narrowed to 48% to 45.5% after identifying Gillespie as Republican. Around 28% of voters are undecided or could change their mind, representing a large persuasion target. While get-out-the-vote efforts may gain Gillespie only 0.3% of votes, persuading 10-20% of the 1 million persuadable voters could swing the race due to Warner's resource advantage making Gillespie's messaging more important.
Michigan crime trends have generally been decreasing over the past decade. Homicide rates have been steadily decreasing since 2005, with the exception of a spike in 2006. Rates of forcible rape and aggravated assault have also declined significantly between 2005-2010. Property crimes such as robbery, burglary, larceny, and motor vehicle theft have all decreased by over 25% in the past five years. While homicide rates increased slightly in Michigan from 2005-2007, the midwestern states as a whole experienced a 3% reduction over the same period. Overall, available data suggests that most violent and property crime rates have trended downward in Michigan in recent years.
International Affairs Public Opinion Landscape GloverParkGroup
The document provides an overview of American public opinion on several international issues based on recent polls. It finds that while foreign policy issues are not top concerns for Americans, a majority are dissatisfied with the US role in the world. Regarding the conflict between Israel and Hamas, Americans see it as important and disapprove of Obama's handling of it. Around half sympathize more with Israel, though a majority think the US should treat both sides equally. Favorability of Israel has reached both a peak and lowest point over the past 5 years.
Certus Insights Special Report: Overview of Polling and Media Coverage on Imp...Natalie Copeland
An in-depth report that reviews the major trends on public attitudes toward the impeachment inquiry, including the latest polling numbers, trends in attitudes since the inquiry announcement, an overview of partisan attitudes, and the impact of impeachment on the President’s approval ratings. The report also details media coverage of the impeachment, examining the amount of coverage, comparisons of the coverage to the Mueller investigation, most shared publications, and most shared news articles.
This document provides an overview and analysis of the 2016 US presidential election as of April 2016. It finds that interest in the election is higher than previous years. There is also declining faith in the primary system and public's political wisdom. On the Republican side, Trump has won the most states and delegates so far and has led in national polling since September. For Democrats, Clinton has a strong delegate lead over Sanders though Sanders has narrowed the gap in national polls. Upcoming April primaries that could impact the races are examined.
The document provides an overview of public perceptions and opinions on key issues in the United States at the end of 2015. It summarizes economic indicators over the past year and shows that while the unemployment rate declined, consumer confidence decreased. Most Americans viewed 2015 as an average year for the country. Perceptions of the threat of terrorism increased significantly compared to the previous year while economic issues were seen as less important. Approval ratings for Obama and Congress remained low.
The Rockefeller Center at Dartmouth College conducted a poll of 403 New Hampshire registered voters between April 2-5, 2012 regarding political issues, the economy, and social policies. Key findings included:
- Voters were less pessimistic about the national and state economies than in 2011.
- In a hypothetical presidential matchup, Mitt Romney led Barack Obama by a slim margin of 43.9% to 42.4%.
- "Building a strong economy" was viewed as the most important issue for the state government.
- Voters were split on expanded gambling and college student voting eligibility. They supported same-sex marriage and cell phone bans while driving but opposed guns on college campuses and employer contraceptive coverage refus
Donald Trump won the 2016 presidential election in an upset, defeating Hillary Clinton despite polls showing Clinton as the likely winner. Trump was able to win key Midwestern states like Pennsylvania, Ohio, and Wisconsin that typically vote Democratic by mobilizing white voters without college degrees. Although Clinton appears poised to win the national popular vote, the electoral college results gave Trump the presidency. Down-ballot, Republicans maintained control of the Senate while Democrats narrowed Republican margins in the House.
Magellan Strategies BR New Hampshire Survey Presentation 091514Magellan Strategies
This document appears to be the results of a public opinion survey conducted in New Hampshire between September 10-11, 2014 with 2,214 likely voter interviews. It includes data on respondents' views on the direction of the country, a hypothetical US Senate election, opinions of Scott Brown and Jeanne Shaheen, approval of President Obama's job performance, a hypothetical election between Brown and Shaheen, views on border security and likelihood of terrorists crossing the southern border. The data is broken down by region, age, party identification and other demographics.
Dr. Konstantin Jacoby's company, EEE JacobyKo spol. s r.o., provides consulting services in the energy sector in Eastern Europe. Their services include project development and advisory support, energy communication and marketing, and open consulting hours. They advise public and private organizations on issues involving energy infrastructure, renewable technologies, and nuclear energy. Their goal is to help clients develop feasible, rational solutions that are economically, environmentally, and technically sound.
Magellan Strategies public releases of the results of a 741n autodial survey of likely 2014 general election voters in Colorado Congressional District 3 regarding the opinion of Immigration reform. Conducted on October 17th - 18th, 2013.
California Congressional District 25 Immigration Reform Survey - Magellan St...Magellan Strategies
Magellan Strategies public releases of the results of a 687n autodial survey of likely 2014 general election voters in California Congressional District 23 regarding the opinion of Immigration reform. Conducted on October 28th - 29th, 2013
An Arkansas poll surveyed 755 likely voters about their views on the EPA's proposed carbon emission regulations for power plants. Key findings include:
- 49% of respondents opposed the regulations, while 33% supported them.
- When given additional details about the regulations' potential impacts, opposition increased to between 48-67% depending on the information provided, while support ranged from 13-22%.
- 78% of respondents felt Obama should focus on job creation rather than the new regulations.
- 59% would be less likely to support a Senate candidate who backs the regulations.
Magellan Strategies BR today released the survey results today of an automated survey of 1,618 likely New Hampshire voters. The survey was conducted July 16-17. The margin of error for a survey of this size is 2.43%. The survey was commissioned by Citizens for a Strong New Hampshire. Aided by a dismal political environment, Scott Brown is within 5 points of defeating Jeanne Shaheen.
National Mining Association Kentucky EPA Regulation Survey Summary 091014Magellan Strategies
The survey found that a majority of Kentucky voters still oppose the proposed EPA emission regulation, with 32% supporting it and 53% opposing it. The survey also shows Mitch McConnell leading Alison Lundergan Grimes in the race for US Senate by 8 points. Additional information and questions about the emission regulation showed most voters were more likely to oppose it, especially when informed it could increase energy costs and eliminate jobs.
California Congressional District 10 Immigration Reform Survey - Magellan Str...Magellan Strategies
Magellan Strategies public releases of the results of a 687n autodial and cell phone survey of likely 2014 general election voters in California Congressional District 10 regarding the opinion of Immigration reform. Conducted on October 7th - 8th, 2013.
A survey of 747 likely Colorado voters found:
- 40% supported and 48% opposed the EPA's proposed regulation to cut carbon emissions from power plants by 30% by 2030.
- When given additional details about the regulation's impacts, opposition increased to between 45-60% while support remained around 20-25%.
- 54% said they would be more likely to oppose a Senate candidate who supports the regulation, while 35% would be more likely to support.
California Congressional District 21 Immigration Reform Survey - Magellan Str...Magellan Strategies
Magellan Strategies public releases of the results of a 687n autodial and cell phone survey of likely 2014 general election voters in California Congressional District 22 regarding the opinion of Immigration reform. Conducted on October 7th - 8th, 2013
Colorado Unaffiliated Women Voter Post Election Survey Summary 121714Magellan Strategies
This document is a summary of a post-election landline and cell phone survey of 500 unaffiliated women voters in Colorado that voted in the 2014 general election. The interviews were conducted on November 17th and 18th, and the survey has a margin of error of +/- 4.38% at the 95 percent confidence interval. This group of women voters contributed 14% of the total vote, or 286,283 votes of the 2,080,071 total votes cast in the 2014 election.
The survey used Magellan Strategies Colorado segmentation data to draw the sample, which only surveyed female unaffiliated voters that voted in the 2014 general election. The three unaffiliated segments used were Lean Republican Unaffiliated, True Middle and Lean Democrat Unaffiliated. Among all unaffiliated women who voted in the 2014 general election, 17% were Lean Republican Unaffiliated, 48% were True Middle and 35% were Lean Democrat Unaffiliated.
Most observers of Colorado politics would confirm that unaffiliated women voters are an important voting block that can decide most elections in the Centennial state. These women voters are less partisan and more likely to consider candidates of both parties. This survey attempts to understand how these women viewed: the 2014 candidates for the United States Senate and Governor, the dominance of women’s issues, the Republican and Democrat parties, and their support for Hillary Clinton in 2016.
This document contains the results of a March 2014 survey of 600 Louisiana voters. Some key findings include:
1) In a hypothetical Senate race, Mary Landrieu leads with 39% but is below 50%, while Bill Cassidy trails with 26% and many voters are undecided. Landrieu has weak approval ratings, especially among undecided voters.
2) In a hypothetical 2015 governor's race, David Vitter and Mitch Landrieu are statistically tied at 28% and 26% respectively. Support varies significantly among demographic groups.
3) In a hypothetical 2016 presidential race, Bobby Jindal leads Hillary Clinton 45% to 40% with 15% undecided.
So in summary, the
Sutherland Institute Utah Medicare Expansion Survey Summary 091514Magellan Strategies
The survey finds that Utah registered voters are reluctant to favor any of the four Medicaid expansion proposals currently being considered by Governor Herbert and the state legislature. Of the four Medicaid expansion proposals that were tested in the survey, no individual proposal received 50% support among respondents. After explaining the details of each proposal in a stand-alone question format, on average 30% of respondents were unsure if they favored or opposed the proposals. Of the four proposals, the “Do Not Expand Medicaid Right Now” proposal had the highest percentage of voters favoring a proposal with 45% and the lowest percentage opposing a proposal at 26%.
The Healthy Utah Proposal was favored by 32% of respondents, opposed by 40% of respondents, and 28% were unsure or did not have an opinion of the proposal. The Traditional Medicaid Expansion and Partial Medicaid Expansion proposals were the least favored proposals by voters, with only 21% and 19% favoring them respectively. A near majority of 49% and 48% of voters oppose the Traditional and Partial Medicaid Expansion proposals, respectively.
After respondents were informed about the details of each proposal and then asked to choose which one they believed was the best proposal that should be implemented, a plurality of 31% chose the “Do Not Expand Medicaid Right Now” proposal. Seventeen percent chose the Healthy Utah Proposal, 15% chose the Traditional Medicaid Expansion Proposal, and 10% chose the Partial Medicaid Expansion Proposal. One in five respondents, or 20%, were unsure or did not know which proposal was the best and should be implemented, and 7% did not like any of the proposals.
This document discusses message passing between Android devices using socket programming. It introduces network sockets, which allow processes to communicate by establishing connections, and socket APIs that applications use to create and manage sockets. The project will enable messaging between Android devices by sending messages and a username over an IP socket. It will also use SHA1 hashing to encrypt the username before sending to detect any tampering of the message. The requirements specify classes for the server socket, client socket, and SHA1 encryption.
This presentation explains a predictive data modeling project that segmented Colorado's 3.5 million voters into 11 groups. The segmentation enables campaign decision makers the ability to understand and target voters beyond data that is is available on a Colorado voter file.
Magellan Strategies 2012 Internal Survey Research Summary Memorandum 120612Magellan Strategies
This memorandum is a full review of Magellan Strategies surveys from the 2012 election cycle. The memorandum goes into detail about the challenges of survey research for the cycle, and how well Magellan Strategies research held up to the final outcome.
A survey of 717 likely Michigan voters found:
- Democrat Gary Peters leads Republican Terri Lynn Land 45% to 40% in the race for US Senate. Third party candidates polled lower.
- Peters' support declined 5 points since June while Land's declined 1 point.
- Land leads Peters by 1 point among men but Peters leads by 9 points among women. Land leads Peters by 7 points among independents.
A short presentation. Research proposal on the voting preferences of generation X and Y voters in Metro Manila, Philippines. Qualitative research class.
The results of an Indy Politics poll of this year’s upcoming City-County Council races indicates control of the body could be up for grabs. However, candidates have a long way to go to educate voters about who’s even on the ballot in their district.
A 2016 Election Post-Mortem: The ABC News/Washington Post Tracking PollLangerResearch
This document summarizes the findings of a post-mortem analysis of the 2016 ABC News/Washington Post tracking poll conducted after Donald Trump's unexpected election victory. The analysis found the final poll estimate of Hillary Clinton leading by 4 points was accurate based on the poll's historical average error of 2 points. While some state polls underestimated Trump support, the national poll found no evidence of "shy" Trump voters or other issues. Overall, the national popular vote estimate was sound despite missing Trump's electoral college victory.
The Rockefeller Center at Dartmouth College conducted a poll of 433 registered New Hampshire voters on politics, economics, and social issues. Key findings include:
- Over three-quarters of voters support universal background checks for firearm sales.
- Views of the state and national economy have improved since last year.
- Senator Ayotte's unfavorable rating increased by 7% after her vote against expanded background checks.
- In hypothetical 2014 Senate matchups, Senator Shaheen leads potential challengers Jeb Bradley and Scott Brown. In 2016 presidential matchups, Hillary Clinton leads Chris Christie and Marco Rubio.
A poll of 400 Indianapolis voters found that Governor Eric Holcomb has a 60% approval rating, with 53% thinking the state is headed in the right direction. Holcomb has high approval even among Democrats (47%) and independents (65%). President Trump has a 38% approval in Indianapolis, but is viewed favorably by 59% of non-college educated men. The poll also found views on other politicians like Vice President Mike Pence, Pete Buttigieg, and Curtis Hill.
Magellan Strategies Montana US Senate Survey Release April 10, 2014Magellan Strategies
Magellan Strategies survey of 2,490 likely Montana general election voters. The survey includes a voter mood question, US Senate ballot test of Steve Daines, John Walsh, and Roger Roots, and a Congressional generic ballot test.
A2 G&P the electoral college and how it worksOliver Pratten
This document provides an overview of the US Electoral College system. It describes how electors are chosen and allocated to each state based on representatives. It explains that electors vote for president and vice president, and the candidates who receive an absolute majority of electoral votes win. If no candidate achieves a majority, the House of Representatives and Senate decide the winner. The document outlines arguments both for and against the Electoral College system.
This memorandum is a summary of an automated survey of 869 likely voters in Maine. The survey was fielded October 23rd and 24th and has a margin of error of +/- 3.32% at the 95% confidence level.
The survey finds Republican Governor Paul LePage and Democrat Mike Michaud in a statistical tie with one week to go before Election Day. Among all voters, Paul LePage has 42.3% support; Mike Michaud has 41.6%, and independent candidate Eliot Cutler has 13.2% support. Among all male voters Paul LePage leads Mike Michaud by 3 points, 43% to 40% respectively, and among all female voters Mike Michaud leads by 1 point, 43% to 42% respectively. Independent Eliot Cutler’s strongest base of support is among married men and independent voters, with 16%.
The image ratings of both Paul LePage and Mike Michaud are very similar. Among all voters, 47% have a favorable opinion of Mike Michaud and 46% have an unfavorable opinion of him. For Paul LePage 48% of voters have a favorable opinion of him and 47% have an unfavorable opinion of him. The following table shows the ballot test by voter subgroup.
This document summarizes the findings of a study on voter preferences in South Africa prior to the 2019 national elections. Some key findings:
- Support for the ruling ANC party increased to 56% from 53% previously, while support declined for the main opposition parties DA and EFF.
- Receipt of a social grant had a statistically significant impact on voter preferences, making recipients more likely to support the ANC.
- Perceptions of socio-economic well-being surpassed democratic rights as a more important factor influencing voter choices.
- Trust in political institutions like the presidency and social agencies increased under President Ramaphosa, which may impact voter support.
2017 Edelman Trust Barometer - Trust and the U.S. Presidential ElectionEdelman
The document provides information on a supplementary research study conducted by Edelman on trust and the 2016 U.S. presidential election. It finds that a majority of Americans feel the system is failing them and hold fears related to issues like corruption, globalization and immigration. Trump voters were more likely to be fearful, especially of immigration and globalization, while Clinton voters showed less fear. The study also found divisions between Trump and Clinton voters in levels of trust in institutions and support for various policy priorities.
The document discusses three different polls and analyzes whether they were biased, fair, or a mixture of both. It depicts the polls in a table with their strengths and weaknesses. The findings showed that all three polls had some degree of bias, either in their wording or methodology. The sources of the polls did not influence their reliability or accuracy. The document aims to investigate the fairness of the polls and outlines what makes a poll fair and unbiased. It discusses different types of polls like benchmark, tracking, and exit polls.
State FloridaElectoral Votes 29Issues Florida has a la.docxdessiechisomjj4
State: Florida
Electoral Votes: 29
Issues: “Florida has a large, diverse and transient population..” (Farrington) Florida contains a large Hispanic population which normally votes Democratic. The state of Florida is also home to a lot of retirees which are usually split between Democrats and Republicans. The retirees are going to focus on pensions, healthcare and state funded aid, while Hispanics want to focus on healthcare and immigration laws.
Key Groups: Retirees and non-Hispanic Whites
Voting History: (270towin.com)
2012- Democratic
2008- Democratic
2004- Republican
2000- Republican
1996- Democratic
Demographic Breakdown:
White- 75%
African American- 16%
Hispanic- 6.5%
“Based on the 2010 Census, Hispanics represent about 22.5% of Florida’s population.” (edr.state.fl.us)
In order to win the state of Florida I would put a lot of focus into immigration laws and helping the minorities get out of poverty. “Florida’s minority percentage of the population is 42.1%.” (edr.state.fl.us) I would put a lot of focus on Social Security and Healthcare (Obamacare) because I know money and healthcare are two of the biggest concerns for retirees. “17.6% of Florida’s population is aged 65 and over.” (infoplease.com) 17.6% is a lot of people to have with the same mind set and the same way of thinking, so you need to appease them.
State: Virginia
Electoral Votes: 13
Issues: The main issue that Virginia faces is unemployment. Virginia’s unemployment rate currently sits at 4.8%. (bls.gov) One of the major employers for the state of Virginia is the defense industry, which makes federal money very important to the state’s economic performance. (Hartfield)
Key Groups: Minority groups and Young College Graduates
Voting History
2012- Democratic
2008- Democratic
2004- Republican
2000- Republican
1996- Democratic
Demographic Breakdown:
White- 71.3%
Black- 19.8%
Asian- 5.8%
Hispanic- 8.2%
In order to win the state of Virginia I would have to focus on creating jobs and getting federal funding to support defense jobs. I would also focus on higher education and student loan debt due to the large population of young college graduates.
“A swing state in American Politics is one that has a high probability of tipping the balance presidential elections in favor of one candidate.” (Murse) Swing states are states in which the voters will alternatively switch between supporting Democrats and Republicans during Presidential elections. Swing States are important during Presidential elections because the political parties have no idea which way the states vote is going to “swing.” LOL “There were more blue states than red states in the U.S. in 2012 by a margin of 20 to 12. (Saad) I think that the swing states will be the closest races during the next presidential election. The only thing that the candidates can do in order to win these states over is focus on the Demographics and appease to their needs. I think that candidates will focus more strongly on swing states .
Similar to Magellan Strategies Minnesota US Senate General Election Survey April 2014 (15)
Magellan Strategies BR today released the survey results today of an automated survey of 1,618 likely New Hampshire voters. The survey was conducted July 16-17. The margin of error for a survey of this size is 2.43%. The survey was commissioned by Citizens for a Strong New Hampshire. Aided by a dismal political environment, Scott Brown is within 5 points of defeating Jeanne Shaheen.
Magellan Strategies conducted surveys in 8 battleground states to measure voter opinion on the EPA's newly proposed carbon emission regulations. The key findings show that on average, 37.3% of voters support the regulation, 47.1% oppose it, and 15.6% have no opinion. Additionally, 55.2% of respondents are more likely to oppose Senate candidates that support the regulation. When given further information on economic impacts, opposition increases to over 59%. The surveys conclude that any candidate supporting the regulation will face risks in these 2014 elections.
Survey of likely 2014 likely voters in Arkansas, Colorado, Georgia, Kentucky, Louisiana, Michigan, Montana and North Carolina measuring opinion of the proposed EPA carbon emissions regulations.
The document summarizes the results of a survey of 808 likely general election voters in Kentucky conducted on June 4th-5th, 2014 regarding a proposed EPA regulation to cut carbon emissions from power plants. Key findings include:
- 52% of respondents oppose the regulation while 34% support it
- 80% think the President's focus should be on jobs/economy over the new regulation
- When given more details about costs and job losses, opposition increased while support decreased
- 58% would be more likely to oppose a Senate candidate supporting the regulation
A survey of 719 likely Louisiana voters found:
- 50% identify as Democrats, 35% as Republicans, and 15% as independents.
- 92% say they are extremely or very likely to vote in the 2014 midterm election.
- 51% oppose and 32% support the EPA's proposed regulation to cut carbon emissions from power plants by 30% by 2030, with 17% unsure.
A survey of 756 likely Georgia voters found:
- 86% said they were extremely likely to vote in the upcoming November election.
- When first asked about EPA's proposed carbon emission regulations, 36% supported it while 43% opposed it.
- After being given additional information about costs and job losses, opposition increased to between 43-60% while support dropped to 12-22%.
A survey of 753 likely Michigan voters found that:
- 45% supported and 39% opposed the EPA's proposed regulation to cut carbon emissions from power plants by 30% by 2030.
- Support was highest among Democrats at 69% and lowest among Republicans at 20%.
- When provided additional information about costs to consumers and jobs, opposition increased to between 40-58% depending on the information.
The document presents the results of a survey of 761 likely general election voters in Montana regarding their views on a proposed EPA regulation to cut carbon emissions from power plants. Key findings include:
- 53% of respondents oppose the regulation while 36% support it
- 71% think the President should focus on jobs over the regulation
- Most respondents were more likely to oppose the regulation after receiving additional details on its impacts
North Carolina MNA EPA Regulation Issue Survey Results 060914Magellan Strategies
A survey of 700 likely North Carolina voters found mixed support for the EPA's proposed regulation to cut carbon emissions from power plants. 42% supported the regulation while 42% opposed it. Support was higher among Democrats (61%) than Republicans (17%) or independents (49%). When provided additional details about the regulation's potential economic impacts, opposition increased, with 54% saying they would oppose a Senate candidate who supports the regulation.
California Congressional District 49 Immigration Reform Survey - Magellan Str...Magellan Strategies
Magellan Strategies public releases of the results of a 718n autodial survey of likely 2014 general election voters in California Congressional District 49 regarding the opinion of Immigration reform. Conducted on October 28th - 29th, 2013
California Congressional District 23 Immigration Reform Survey - Magellan Str...Magellan Strategies
Magellan Strategies public releases of the results of a 687n autodial survey of likely 2014 general election voters in California Congressional District 23 regarding the opinion of Immigration reform. Conducted on October 28th - 29th, 2013
Magellan Strategies public releases of the results of a 706n autodial and cell phone survey of likely 2014 general election voters in California Congressional District 10 regarding the opinion of Immigration reform. Conducted on October 16th - 17th, 2013.
Here is Gabe Whitley's response to my defamation lawsuit for him calling me a rapist and perjurer in court documents.
You have to read it to believe it, but after you read it, you won't believe it. And I included eight examples of defamatory statements/
An astonishing, first-of-its-kind, report by the NYT assessing damage in Ukraine. Even if the war ends tomorrow, in many places there will be nothing to go back to.
04062024_First India Newspaper Jaipur.pdfFIRST INDIA
Find Latest India News and Breaking News these days from India on Politics, Business, Entertainment, Technology, Sports, Lifestyle and Coronavirus News in India and the world over that you can't miss. For real time update Visit our social media handle. Read First India NewsPaper in your morning replace. Visit First India.
CLICK:- https://firstindia.co.in/
#First_India_NewsPaper
El Puerto de Algeciras continúa un año más como el más eficiente del continente europeo y vuelve a situarse en el “top ten” mundial, según el informe The Container Port Performance Index 2023 (CPPI), elaborado por el Banco Mundial y la consultora S&P Global.
El informe CPPI utiliza dos enfoques metodológicos diferentes para calcular la clasificación del índice: uno administrativo o técnico y otro estadístico, basado en análisis factorial (FA). Según los autores, esta dualidad pretende asegurar una clasificación que refleje con precisión el rendimiento real del puerto, a la vez que sea estadísticamente sólida. En esta edición del informe CPPI 2023, se han empleado los mismos enfoques metodológicos y se ha aplicado un método de agregación de clasificaciones para combinar los resultados de ambos enfoques y obtener una clasificación agregada.
‘वोटर्स विल मस्ट प्रीवेल’ (मतदाताओं को जीतना होगा) अभियान द्वारा जारी हेल्पलाइन नंबर, 4 जून को सुबह 7 बजे से दोपहर 12 बजे तक मतगणना प्रक्रिया में कहीं भी किसी भी तरह के उल्लंघन की रिपोर्ट करने के लिए खुला रहेगा।
Acolyte Episodes review (TV series) The Acolyte. Learn about the influence of the program on the Star Wars world, as well as new characters and story twists.
Magellan Strategies Minnesota US Senate General Election Survey April 2014
1. !
APRIL 1st
, 2014
MEMORANDUM
TO: AMERICAN ENCORE/INTERESTED PARTIES
FROM: DAVID FLAHERTY
RE: SURVEY SUMMARY OF LIKELY 2014 MINNESOTA VOTERS
________________________________________________________________________
Although Minnesota is considered a blue state by political observers, the 2014
political environment may not be as blue as the 2012 election cycle based on the
findings of an automated and cell phone survey of 1,081 likely 2014 Minnesota
voters. The survey finds Senator Al Franken being potentially vulnerable this
November. He has not had to face voters in a midterm cycle, and his victory in
2008 was aided by national trends favoring Democrats, and independent candidate
Dean Barkley taking 15% of the overall vote. Sen. Franken has yet to show he can
win a majority of support in the state, defeating Republican Norm Coleman in
2008 by 300 votes, with 42% of the vote.
The Cook Political Report’s partisan voting index (PVI) for Minnesota is D+2, only
marginally more Democrat than Colorado (D+1) and Iowa (D+1) and the same as
Nevada and Wisconsin by comparison. It is also important to note that in 2010
Minnesota voters elected a Republican legislature, (25 seat gain in the state house
and 16 seat gain in the state senate). Although it is a long way off, political
professionals and observers are sensing that the 2014 cycle is shaping up to be a
strong year for Republican candidates, similar to 2010.
Key Findings:
! The voter mood does not bode well for incumbents, with only 31% thinking
the country is heading in the right direction and 60% feeling things are on
the wrong track.
! The Republican candidate leads the Democrat candidate by 3 points, 44%
to 41% on a generic United States Senate ballot test.
! Al Franken’s image rating is below 50% (41% fav/45% unfav) as well as his
job approval (44% approve).
! Barack Obama has a poor job approval of 41% approve and 53%
disapprove.
! Sen. Amy Klobuchar shows stronger job approval numbers than Sen.
Franken with 57% approve and 32% disapprove.
! Only 40% of respondents think Al Franken deserves re-election.
2. Magellan Strategies Minnesota 2014 Automated and Cell Phone Survey Summary
1,081n, MoE +/- 2.98%, 3/25/14 - 3/26/14 2
Magellan Strategies |1685 Boxelder Street, Suite 300 | Louisville, CO 80027
MagellanStrategies.com | 303-861-8585
! The Senate ballot tests show Al Franken with small leads over Republican
candidates Julianne Ortman, 44% to 41%, and Mike McFadden 44% to
38%. Only 35% of voters in both ballot tests definitely intend to vote for Al
Franken.
! Republican candidates Julianne Ortman and Mike McFadden are not well
known by voters, with only 30% and 26% respectively having an opinion of
either candidate.
! 54% of respondents disapprove of the Affordable Care Act, and only 38%
approve.
! Democrats have a 3 point advantage in party identification, with the survey
finding 31% considering themselves Democrat, 28% Republican, 31%
independent, and 9% considering themselves “something else”.
Looking at the crosstab results, there is evidence of a political environment favoring
Republican candidates. Among respondents that say they are extremely interested
in the November election, a 12 point enthusiasm gap is evident between
Republican and Democrat voters. Among Republicans, 51% are extremely
interested in the election compared to 39% of Democrats, and among independent
or “something else” voters, 47% are extremely interested in the election. Among
the most likely voters (those choosing 7 to 9 on interest in the November election),
the generic ballot advantage for the Republican candidate grows from R+3 to R+9.
Al Franken’s biggest weakness is among independent voters. Among this important
voter subgroup, 49% approve of Sen. Amy Klobuchar’s job performance, but only
35% approve of Al Franken’s job performance, a 14 point difference. Finally,
among independent voters, 57% believe it is time to give someone new a chance
and only 31% believe Al Franken deserves re-election.
Minnesota Voter Opinion of Free Speech
The survey also measured voter opinion of the most valued freedoms and rights in
the First Amendment. The following question was asked:
“Among the following list of freedoms in the Frist Amendment of the Constitution,
which one do you think is the most important? Freedom of speech, freedom of
religion, freedom of the press, the right to assemble or the right to petition?”
Among all respondents, in order, 50% think freedom of speech is the most
important, followed by 25% for freedom of religion, 6% for freedom of the press,
4% for the right to assemble, and 3% for the right to petition.
3. Magellan Strategies Minnesota 2014 Automated and Cell Phone Survey Summary
1,081n, MoE +/- 2.98%, 3/25/14 - 3/26/14 2
Magellan Strategies |1685 Boxelder Street, Suite 300 | Louisville, CO 80027
MagellanStrategies.com | 303-861-8585
Survey Methodology
The results were based on a statewide automated voice recorded and cell phone
interview survey of 1,081 likely 2014 Minnesota general election voters. The
interviews were conducted on March 25th
and 26th
of 2014. The individuals
interviewed for the survey were selected from a Minnesota voter file and were
selected proportionate to the state’s likely non-Presidential voting population in
accordance with a probability sample design that gives all voters an equal chance
to be included. The results were slightly weighted to reflect past gender and age
demographics of the non-Presidential voting population. The survey’s margin of
error is +/- 2.98% at the 95 percent confidence interval. Any questions regarding
this survey should be directed to David Flaherty of Magellan Strategies at
dflaherty@magellanstrategies.com or 303-861-8585.
Survey Commissioned By:
This survey was commissioned by American Encore.
About Magellan Strategies
Magellan Strategies is a full-service survey research firm offering quantitative,
qualitative, and predictive data modeling services to Republican candidates,
campaigns and conservative organizations across the country.
4. !
!
!
!
!
Magellan Strategies
Minnesota US Senate General Election Survey Topline
Results
Magellan Strategies are pleased to present the topline results for a 1,081n
autodial and live cell phone survey of registered voters in the state of
Minnesota. The interviews were conducted March 25th
and 26th
, 2014. This
survey has a margin of error of +/- 2.98% at the 95 percent confidence
interval. This survey was weighted based upon past general election
demographics.
T1. Are you registered to vote?
Yes........................................................................100%
T2. How likely are you to vote in the November general election for the United States
Senate and Congress?
Extremely likely.......................................................82%
Very likely...............................................................11%
Somewhat likely........................................................7%
5. Magellan ID#: MNSEN-032514 Minnesota US Senate General Election Survey Topline Results
Field Dates: 3/25/14 – 3/26/14, MoE +/- 2.98%, 1,081n, CONFIDENTIAL
Magellan Strategies | 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300 | Louisville, CO
www.MagellanStrategies.com | (303) 861-8585
2
T3. How interested would you say you are in the November election for the United States
Senate? On a scale of one to nine, with nine meaning you are extremely interested and
one meaning you are not interested at all, press a number between one and nine that best
describes your interest in the election. Press zero if you are unsure or do not have an
opinion.
9- Extremely interested............................................45%
8 .............................................................................10%
7 .............................................................................13%
6 ...............................................................................7%
5 .............................................................................11%
4 ...............................................................................4%
3 ...............................................................................3%
2 ...............................................................................1%
1- Not interested .......................................................6%
Unsure or no opinion................................................0%
T4. Generally speaking, do you think things in the country are headed in the right
direction or do you feel that things are off on the wrong track?
Right direction ........................................................31%
Wrong track............................................................60%
Unsure or no opinion................................................9%
T5. If the election for the United States Senate were being held today would you vote for
the Democrat candidate or the Republican candidate?
Republican candidate .............................................44%
Democrat candidate................................................41%
Some other candidate ...............................................6%
Undecided................................................................8%
No opinion ...............................................................1%
6. Magellan ID#: MNSEN-032514 Minnesota US Senate General Election Survey Topline Results
Field Dates: 3/25/14 – 3/26/14, MoE +/- 2.98%, 1,081n, CONFIDENTIAL
Magellan Strategies | 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300 | Louisville, CO
www.MagellanStrategies.com | (303) 861-8585
3
T6. In general, when it comes to considering candidates for federal office like the United
States Senate and Congress, are you most interested in…
Economic issues like taxes, government spending, jobs, and the budget;
Foreign affairs and national defense issues including terrorism and wars;
Domestic issues like education, health care, and the environment; or
Social and moral issues like abortion and gay marriage?
Economic issues......................................................57%
Domestic issues ......................................................25%
Social and moral issues.............................................9%
Foreign affairs and national defense issues ................5%
Some other issue.......................................................2%
Unsure or no opinion................................................2%
T7. Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Al Franken?
Favorable................................................................41%
Unfavorable............................................................45%
No Opinion ............................................................11%
Never Heard Of ........................................................1%
Unsure......................................................................2%
Name ID.................................................................97%
Hard Name ID ........................................................86%
T8. Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Julianne Ortman?
Favorable................................................................12%
Unfavorable............................................................18%
No Opinion ............................................................30%
Never Heard Of ......................................................37%
Unsure......................................................................3%
Name ID.................................................................60%
Hard Name ID ........................................................30%
7. Magellan ID#: MNSEN-032514 Minnesota US Senate General Election Survey Topline Results
Field Dates: 3/25/14 – 3/26/14, MoE +/- 2.98%, 1,081n, CONFIDENTIAL
Magellan Strategies | 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300 | Louisville, CO
www.MagellanStrategies.com | (303) 861-8585
4
T9. Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Mike McFadden?
Favorable................................................................12%
Unfavorable............................................................14%
No Opinion ............................................................28%
Never Heard Of ......................................................42%
Unsure......................................................................4%
Name ID.................................................................54%
Hard Name ID ........................................................26%
T10. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Barack Obama is doing as President?
Approve..................................................................41%
Disapprove .............................................................53%
Unsure or no opinion................................................6%
T11. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Amy Klobuchar is doing as United States
Senator?
Approve..................................................................57%
Disapprove .............................................................32%
Unsure or no opinion..............................................11%
T12. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Al Franken is doing as United States
Senator?
Approve..................................................................44%
Disapprove .............................................................44%
Unsure or no opinion..............................................12%
T13. Do you think Al Franken has done a good enough job to deserve re-election or do
you think it is time to give someone else a chance to do a better job?
Time to give someone else a chance.......................50%
Deserves re-election................................................40%
Unsure or no opinion..............................................10%
8. Magellan ID#: MNSEN-032514 Minnesota US Senate General Election Survey Topline Results
Field Dates: 3/25/14 – 3/26/14, MoE +/- 2.98%, 1,081n, CONFIDENTIAL
Magellan Strategies | 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300 | Louisville, CO
www.MagellanStrategies.com | (303) 861-8585
5
T14. From what you know about him, do you consider Al Franken to be somewhat
conservative, moderate, somewhat liberal, or very liberal in his political beliefs?
Somewhat conservative.............................................4%
Moderate ................................................................18%
Somewhat liberal ....................................................31%
Very liberal .............................................................38%
Unsure or no opinion................................................9%
T15. If the election for the United States Senate were being held today for whom would
you vote if the candidates were Al Franken, Democrat, and Julianne Ortman, Republican?
Al Franken ..............................................................44%
Julianne Ortman......................................................41%
Some other candidate ...............................................6%
Definitely Franken...................................................35%
Probably Franken......................................................9%
Definitely Ortman...................................................20%
Probably Ortman ....................................................21%
Undecided................................................................9%
T16. If the election for the United States Senate were being held today for whom would
you vote if the candidates were Al Franken, Democrat, and Mike McFadden, Republican?
Al Franken ..............................................................44%
Mike McFadden......................................................38%
Some other candidate ...............................................6%
Definitely Franken...................................................35%
Probably Franken......................................................9%
Definitely McFadden...............................................18%
Probably McFadden................................................20%
Undecided..............................................................12%
9. Magellan ID#: MNSEN-032514 Minnesota US Senate General Election Survey Topline Results
Field Dates: 3/25/14 – 3/26/14, MoE +/- 2.98%, 1,081n, CONFIDENTIAL
Magellan Strategies | 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300 | Louisville, CO
www.MagellanStrategies.com | (303) 861-8585
6
T17. Do you approve or disapprove of the Affordable Care Act, the health care law
passed by Barack Obama and Congress back in 2010, also known as Obamacare?
Approve..................................................................38%
Disapprove .............................................................54%
Unsure or no opinion................................................8%
T18. Among the following list of freedoms in the First Amendment of the Constitution,
which one do you think is the most important? Freedom of speech, freedom of religion,
freedom of the press, the right to assemble or the right to petition?
Freedom of speech..................................................50%
Freedom of religion.................................................25%
Freedom of the press.................................................6%
Right to assemble......................................................4%
Right to petition ........................................................3%
Unsure or no opinion..............................................12%
T19. Thinking now about last year’s IRS scandal…As you may know, Al Franken wrote
two letters to the IRS requesting a crackdown on tax exempt conservative organizations.
Knowing this information, do you approve or disapprove of Al Franken’s actions?
Approve..................................................................42%
Disapprove .............................................................40%
Unsure or no opinion..............................................18%
And now I have a couple of questions for statistical purposes…
T20. Do you consider yourself to be very conservative, somewhat conservative,
moderate, somewhat liberal or very liberal in your political beliefs?
Conservative ...........................................................46%
Moderate ................................................................30%
Liberal.....................................................................21%
Very conservative....................................................18%
Somewhat conservative...........................................28%
Very liberal ...............................................................6%
Somewhat liberal ....................................................15%
Unsure or no opinion................................................3%
10. Magellan ID#: MNSEN-032514 Minnesota US Senate General Election Survey Topline Results
Field Dates: 3/25/14 – 3/26/14, MoE +/- 2.98%, 1,081n, CONFIDENTIAL
Magellan Strategies | 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300 | Louisville, CO
www.MagellanStrategies.com | (303) 861-8585
7
T21. Generally speaking, do you think of yourself as a Democrat, a Republican, an
independent or something else?
Democrat................................................................31%
Republican..............................................................28%
Independent............................................................31%
Something else..........................................................9%
Unsure or no opinion................................................1%
T22. Are you a man or a woman?
Woman...................................................................52%
Man ........................................................................48%
T23. Which of the following age groups applies to you?
18-29........................................................................7%
30-44......................................................................20%
45-54......................................................................20%
55-64......................................................................23%
65 plus....................................................................29%
Unsure or no opinion................................................1%
T24. What is your marital status?
Married...................................................................67%
Widowed..................................................................9%
Separated..................................................................1%
Divorced...................................................................6%
Single and have never been married .......................12%
Unmarried living with a partner ................................2%
Unsure or no opinion................................................3%
T25. What is your race? Press 1 if you are white, press 2 if you are black or African
American, press 3 if you are Hispanic or Latino, press 4 for some other racial group.
White......................................................................90%
Black or African American ........................................3%
Hispanic or Latino.....................................................1%
Some other racial group............................................6%
Refused.....................................................................0%
11. Magellan ID#: MNSEN-032514 Minnesota US Senate General Election Survey Topline Results
Field Dates: 3/25/14 – 3/26/14, MoE +/- 2.98%, 1,081n, CONFIDENTIAL
Magellan Strategies | 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300 | Louisville, CO
www.MagellanStrategies.com | (303) 861-8585
8
Survey Methodology
This survey was conducted using automated telephone touchtone technology and live
dialing to cell phones. The sample used for this survey was randomly drawn from a
Minnesota voter file. The survey response data was weighted based upon past general
election demographics. The interviews were conducted on March 25th
and 26th
, 2014.
Three attempts were made to interview each household in the sample. This survey has a
margin of error of 2.98% at the 95 percent confidence interval.