An in-depth report that reviews the major trends on public attitudes toward the impeachment inquiry, including the latest polling numbers, trends in attitudes since the inquiry announcement, an overview of partisan attitudes, and the impact of impeachment on the President’s approval ratings. The report also details media coverage of the impeachment, examining the amount of coverage, comparisons of the coverage to the Mueller investigation, most shared publications, and most shared news articles.
Public Opinion Landscape - Election 2016 10.13.15GloverParkGroup
The document provides an overview of the state of the 2016 Democratic primary race leading up to the first Democratic debate. It summarizes polls showing Hillary Clinton maintaining a lead nationally but in closer races in Iowa and New Hampshire, while Bernie Sanders has gained ground. Joe Biden is also discussed as a potential candidate, with polls showing many Americans want him to run. The document examines factors like media coverage, fundraising, and voter perceptions that may influence how the primary race unfolds.
The 2014 midterm elections resulted in Republican gains in both chambers of Congress. The GOP picked up seven Senate seats and around eight House seats so far, taking control of the Senate. Republicans also made gains in gubernatorial races. The key reasons for Republican success were continued economic worries among voters and dissatisfaction with President Obama and his handling of issues like healthcare reform. Voter turnout was lower than in 2010 and 2012, and the electorate in 2014 was more conservative than in recent election cycles.
The document provides an overview and analysis of the 2016 US elections. It discusses the races for President, Senate, and House. For the presidency, Democrats will attempt to retain the White House while Republicans will seek to win it. Control of the Senate is also at stake with Democrats needing to gain 5 seats. Public opinion polling shows most Americans feel the country is on the wrong track. The Republican and Democratic nomination races are also previewed and analyzed through current polling data and priorities for each party.
The document provides an overview and analysis of the 2016 US presidential election as of October 2015. It summarizes several national polls showing that most Americans feel the country is headed in the wrong direction and are split on whether they prefer a candidate with political experience or an outsider. The polls also show Donald Trump leading the Republican primary field but Ben Carson gaining momentum, while Hillary Clinton maintains a lead over Bernie Sanders in Democratic polls. The document analyzes fundraising and other election metrics through October 2015.
The Public Opinion Landscape: Election 2016 – Super TuesdayGloverParkGroup
This document provides an overview and analysis of the 2016 US presidential election as of March 1, 2016. It summarizes the state of the Republican and Democratic nomination races following the early voting states. On the Republican side, Trump has won most states so far but needs over 50% of delegates to avoid a contested convention. Super Tuesday will be an important test, with 653 delegates at stake across 12 states. For Democrats, Clinton has a significant lead in delegates and polls, but Sanders hopes to close the gap on Super Tuesday with 865 delegates up for grabs across 11 states.
International Affairs Public Opinion Landscape GloverParkGroup
The document provides an overview of American public opinion on several international issues based on recent polls. It finds that while foreign policy issues are not top concerns for Americans, a majority are dissatisfied with the US role in the world. Regarding the conflict between Israel and Hamas, Americans see it as important and disapprove of Obama's handling of it. Around half sympathize more with Israel, though a majority think the US should treat both sides equally. Favorability of Israel has reached both a peak and lowest point over the past 5 years.
This document provides an overview and analysis of the 2016 US elections that were held on November 8, 2016. It summarizes the key races and metrics heading into election day. For the presidency, national polls showed Hillary Clinton with a small lead over Donald Trump. For control of Congress, Republicans led in the House while races for the Senate were very close with some key battleground states that could determine party control. Overall voter dissatisfaction with the direction of the country was high according to polls.
Public Opinion Landscape - Election 2016 10.13.15GloverParkGroup
The document provides an overview of the state of the 2016 Democratic primary race leading up to the first Democratic debate. It summarizes polls showing Hillary Clinton maintaining a lead nationally but in closer races in Iowa and New Hampshire, while Bernie Sanders has gained ground. Joe Biden is also discussed as a potential candidate, with polls showing many Americans want him to run. The document examines factors like media coverage, fundraising, and voter perceptions that may influence how the primary race unfolds.
The 2014 midterm elections resulted in Republican gains in both chambers of Congress. The GOP picked up seven Senate seats and around eight House seats so far, taking control of the Senate. Republicans also made gains in gubernatorial races. The key reasons for Republican success were continued economic worries among voters and dissatisfaction with President Obama and his handling of issues like healthcare reform. Voter turnout was lower than in 2010 and 2012, and the electorate in 2014 was more conservative than in recent election cycles.
The document provides an overview and analysis of the 2016 US elections. It discusses the races for President, Senate, and House. For the presidency, Democrats will attempt to retain the White House while Republicans will seek to win it. Control of the Senate is also at stake with Democrats needing to gain 5 seats. Public opinion polling shows most Americans feel the country is on the wrong track. The Republican and Democratic nomination races are also previewed and analyzed through current polling data and priorities for each party.
The document provides an overview and analysis of the 2016 US presidential election as of October 2015. It summarizes several national polls showing that most Americans feel the country is headed in the wrong direction and are split on whether they prefer a candidate with political experience or an outsider. The polls also show Donald Trump leading the Republican primary field but Ben Carson gaining momentum, while Hillary Clinton maintains a lead over Bernie Sanders in Democratic polls. The document analyzes fundraising and other election metrics through October 2015.
The Public Opinion Landscape: Election 2016 – Super TuesdayGloverParkGroup
This document provides an overview and analysis of the 2016 US presidential election as of March 1, 2016. It summarizes the state of the Republican and Democratic nomination races following the early voting states. On the Republican side, Trump has won most states so far but needs over 50% of delegates to avoid a contested convention. Super Tuesday will be an important test, with 653 delegates at stake across 12 states. For Democrats, Clinton has a significant lead in delegates and polls, but Sanders hopes to close the gap on Super Tuesday with 865 delegates up for grabs across 11 states.
International Affairs Public Opinion Landscape GloverParkGroup
The document provides an overview of American public opinion on several international issues based on recent polls. It finds that while foreign policy issues are not top concerns for Americans, a majority are dissatisfied with the US role in the world. Regarding the conflict between Israel and Hamas, Americans see it as important and disapprove of Obama's handling of it. Around half sympathize more with Israel, though a majority think the US should treat both sides equally. Favorability of Israel has reached both a peak and lowest point over the past 5 years.
This document provides an overview and analysis of the 2016 US elections that were held on November 8, 2016. It summarizes the key races and metrics heading into election day. For the presidency, national polls showed Hillary Clinton with a small lead over Donald Trump. For control of Congress, Republicans led in the House while races for the Senate were very close with some key battleground states that could determine party control. Overall voter dissatisfaction with the direction of the country was high according to polls.
Public Opinion Landscape: Election 2016 - New Hampshire 2-9-2016GloverParkGroup
The document provides an overview and analysis of the 2016 US presidential election as of February 2016. It summarizes polling data and predictions for both the Republican and Democratic primaries. For the Republican primary, Ted Cruz won the Iowa caucus with high evangelical turnout. Donald Trump led in most New Hampshire polls but recent activity suggested Cruz may do better than expected. For the Democratic primary, Hillary Clinton barely edged out Bernie Sanders in Iowa. Clinton led national polls but Sanders had narrowed the gap and led strongly in New Hampshire.
Public Opinion Landscape – Election 2016 – Iowa CaucusesSarah Bonn
The document provides an overview of polling data and analysis related to the 2016 Iowa caucuses for both Republicans and Democrats. For Republicans, polls show Donald Trump and Ted Cruz leading ahead of the caucuses, with Marco Rubio gaining momentum. For Democrats, Hillary Clinton maintains a narrow lead over Bernie Sanders that has been shrinking in recent weeks. Factors like voter turnout, undecided voters, and momentum shifts could impact the final results.
Donald Trump won the 2016 presidential election in an upset, defeating Hillary Clinton despite polls showing Clinton as the likely winner. Trump was able to win key Midwestern states like Pennsylvania, Ohio, and Wisconsin that typically vote Democratic by mobilizing white voters without college degrees. Although Clinton appears poised to win the national popular vote, the electoral college results gave Trump the presidency. Down-ballot, Republicans maintained control of the Senate while Democrats narrowed Republican margins in the House.
The document provides an overview of public perceptions and opinions on key issues in the United States at the end of 2015. It summarizes economic indicators over the past year and shows that while the unemployment rate declined, consumer confidence decreased. Most Americans viewed 2015 as an average year for the country. Perceptions of the threat of terrorism increased significantly compared to the previous year while economic issues were seen as less important. Approval ratings for Obama and Congress remained low.
This document discusses the potential impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on the 2020 U.S. election. It notes that the pandemic has led to postponed primaries, a delayed Democratic National Convention, canceled campaign rallies, and increased campaign advertising. Polls show Biden leading nationally but some battleground states like Florida are close. Vote by mail is supported by most Americans but opposed by some Republican leaders. Key swing states like Pennsylvania, Wisconsin and Michigan that Trump narrowly won in 2016 could decide the election again. Issues related to healthcare and the economy are likely to play a larger role in campaigns due to the pandemic.
Public Opinion Landscape - International AffairsGloverParkGroup
The document provides an overview of American public opinion on various international affairs issues based on recent polls. It finds that while foreign policy issues are not the top concerns for Americans, a majority are closely following the situation in Ukraine and are worried about it leading to regional conflict. Views on Obama's handling of the Ukraine situation are mixed. There is reluctance to get too involved militarily but support for economic sanctions on Russia. A majority see Iran's nuclear program and international terrorism as critical threats. Opinions on the war in Afghanistan depend on question wording, and most believe the US has failed in its goals there. Relations with Israel continue to be seen as important to US interests.
Polls increasingly show that the American public views the US government as a problem and distrusts both political parties. This suggests the US has become a dictatorship that serves wealthy elites rather than a democracy that represents public interests. A 2014 academic study found the US government is dominated by economic elites and business groups, with average citizens having little influence. Recent polls confirm this, showing public opposition to policies like tax cuts and moving the US embassy to Jerusalem that were enacted anyway. Most Americans believe only the rich will benefit from tax reform and growing distrust both Trump and the Mueller investigation. This provides further evidence the US is an oligarchy ruled by the wealthy rather than a democratic republic.
Public Opinion Landscape - Government Shutdown AftermathGloverParkGroup
The document summarizes public opinion research on views of the government shutdown and debt ceiling debate from October 2013. It finds that dissatisfaction with the state of the nation and concerns about the economy were substantial. Most Americans saw the shutdown negatively impacting the economy. Views of Obama, Congress, and congressional leaders were mostly negative. Republicans faced a sharp decline in their image and favorability during this time period, with most Americans blaming Republicans for the budget crisis. Support for a third party reached new highs as dissatisfaction with the two parties increased.
This document provides an overview and analysis of the 2016 US presidential election as of April 2016. It finds that interest in the election is higher than previous years. There is also declining faith in the primary system and public's political wisdom. On the Republican side, Trump has won the most states and delegates so far and has led in national polling since September. For Democrats, Clinton has a strong delegate lead over Sanders though Sanders has narrowed the gap in national polls. Upcoming April primaries that could impact the races are examined.
The document discusses findings from a study on truth and politics. Some key findings include:
- People feel it is difficult to find truth in politics today due to the large amount of information. Politicians are often ranked as the least truthful profession.
- Issues like government spending and taxes are where people are least likely to think politicians tell the truth.
- While people want more truth in politics, some feel it is unrealistic to expect from politicians due to pressures of getting elected.
- When it comes to media, people still rely most on network news but feel the line between facts and opinions is blurred. People seek independent sources.
- There is a desire for changes to the political system or term limits to bring in
Donald Trump's first 100 days in office saw mixed public opinion reactions to his actions and policies. His approval ratings declined over his first 100 days, making him the first president in the last 60 years to attain a net disapproval. Specific policies like the travel ban and attempts to repeal the Affordable Care Act faced intense public scrutiny and disapproval. However, the public supported his Supreme Court nomination of Neil Gorsuch and strike on Syria, while being more cautious about investigations into Russian interference and ties to Trump's campaign.
The Public Opinion Landscape: Election 2016Sarah Bonn
This document provides a summary and analysis of the 2016 presidential election as of March 15, 2016. On the Republican side, Donald Trump has won the most primary states so far but trails Ted Cruz in the delegate count. The March 15 contests in key states like Florida, Ohio and Illinois could strengthen or weaken Trump's candidacy. In the Democratic race, Hillary Clinton maintains a sizable lead in delegates despite Bernie Sanders winning almost as many states, with the March 15 contests in states like Florida, Illinois and Ohio also being important. The document analyzes polling and delegate counts for both parties.
This document provides an overview and analysis of the 2016 US presidential election as of January 2016. It finds that most Americans view the country as headed in the wrong direction and are dissatisfied with the way things are going in Washington. For Republicans, national security has become the top issue over jobs and the economy. The Republican nomination race features 17 candidates narrowing to 12, with Trump and Cruz leading in early polling but many Republicans still undecided. The Democratic race shows Clinton leading Sanders nationally but the early states of Iowa and New Hampshire are close contests. The document outlines the upcoming primary calendar and debates schedule while analyzing voters' views of the campaigns.
Question-order and third party candidate support in the 2016 presidential ele...SSRS Market Research
This document discusses research on the effects of question order in 2016 presidential election polls when including the Libertarian candidate Gary Johnson as an option. It finds that Johnson's support was modestly higher when the 3-way question including him was asked after the standard 2-way question between Clinton and Trump. However, the effects were small and there is no evidence that question order undermined Johnson's candidacy overall or that education level moderated the effects. Disaffected voters who supported a major candidate they were unfavorable towards were somewhat more likely to shift to Johnson with a 3-way question after 2-way. The research suggests asking only a multi-candidate question may be preferable.
Public Opinion Landscape: Election 2016 - Iowa CaucusesGloverParkGroup
The document provides information on the Iowa caucuses from several recent polls and surveys. For Republicans, Donald Trump and Ted Cruz are leading in Iowa according to prediction markets and polls, though Marco Rubio is gaining momentum. For Democrats, Hillary Clinton maintains a narrow lead over Bernie Sanders in Iowa, though Sanders' support has been growing. The outcomes in Iowa could depend on factors like voter turnout and any last-minute shifts in support.
This document provides an overview and analysis of polling data from the 2016 US presidential election one week before election day. Key findings include: Clinton maintains a national lead over Trump in polling averages, though the race has tightened; Clinton leads Trump in 5 of 9 battleground states; the Senate race could go either way as several races are very close; and Republican Senate candidates are generally polling better than Trump in key states.
Republican Candidate Scorecard: Mike HuckabeeTonya Green
The 2016 US presidential race is on. Frequently we hear the results of political polls, ranking the popularity of candidates. However, both social media and traditional news are useful sources to learn about the candidates, the issues to be addressed, the candidates most discussed, and sentiment around discussions of the candidates. This report includes the results of the analysis of candidate mentions in social media and major news sources over one month. The ranking of candidates by mentions overall and by media source are provided on the Republican Candidate Scorecard. This report also includes a detailed analysis of the mentions of Mike Huckabee in social media and major new sources. It answers many questions, including:
- How many mentions of Huckabee were observed and how does he rank among the Republican candidates?
- What is the trend of discussions and when do mentions peak? What topic is discussed at the peak of discussions?
- What other key terms are also mentioned with Huckabee?
- Where do mentions of Huckabee most occur?
- Who are the influencers of discussions of Huckabee, in blogs, traditional news sources and Twitter?
- How engaged is Huckabee on Twitter? How many times did Huckabee tweet and how many tweets were directed to Huckabee?
The document discusses the influence of mass media on U.S. elections. It notes that while voters see media as influential, they also distrust media coverage and think it focuses too much on trivial issues rather than substantive policy topics. Additionally, media coverage tends to emphasize the "horse race" aspects of elections rather than exploring candidates' positions. The document also examines questions around media bias, the impact of money and transparency in elections, and the rising influence of social media.
The document provides an overview of the political landscape heading into the 2020 Iowa caucuses. It discusses declining trust in institutions, a polarized electorate, and key issues like health care and the economy. President Trump's approval ratings have rebounded and the impeachment question remains divided. The economy is performing well but trade wars have impacted some sectors. The Democratic primary field has narrowed to 11 candidates with Biden maintaining his lead nationally though Sanders' support is rising. The general election is expected to be close again with key swing states deciding the outcome.
Public Opinion Landscape: Election 2016 - New Hampshire 2-9-2016GloverParkGroup
The document provides an overview and analysis of the 2016 US presidential election as of February 2016. It summarizes polling data and predictions for both the Republican and Democratic primaries. For the Republican primary, Ted Cruz won the Iowa caucus with high evangelical turnout. Donald Trump led in most New Hampshire polls but recent activity suggested Cruz may do better than expected. For the Democratic primary, Hillary Clinton barely edged out Bernie Sanders in Iowa. Clinton led national polls but Sanders had narrowed the gap and led strongly in New Hampshire.
Public Opinion Landscape – Election 2016 – Iowa CaucusesSarah Bonn
The document provides an overview of polling data and analysis related to the 2016 Iowa caucuses for both Republicans and Democrats. For Republicans, polls show Donald Trump and Ted Cruz leading ahead of the caucuses, with Marco Rubio gaining momentum. For Democrats, Hillary Clinton maintains a narrow lead over Bernie Sanders that has been shrinking in recent weeks. Factors like voter turnout, undecided voters, and momentum shifts could impact the final results.
Donald Trump won the 2016 presidential election in an upset, defeating Hillary Clinton despite polls showing Clinton as the likely winner. Trump was able to win key Midwestern states like Pennsylvania, Ohio, and Wisconsin that typically vote Democratic by mobilizing white voters without college degrees. Although Clinton appears poised to win the national popular vote, the electoral college results gave Trump the presidency. Down-ballot, Republicans maintained control of the Senate while Democrats narrowed Republican margins in the House.
The document provides an overview of public perceptions and opinions on key issues in the United States at the end of 2015. It summarizes economic indicators over the past year and shows that while the unemployment rate declined, consumer confidence decreased. Most Americans viewed 2015 as an average year for the country. Perceptions of the threat of terrorism increased significantly compared to the previous year while economic issues were seen as less important. Approval ratings for Obama and Congress remained low.
This document discusses the potential impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on the 2020 U.S. election. It notes that the pandemic has led to postponed primaries, a delayed Democratic National Convention, canceled campaign rallies, and increased campaign advertising. Polls show Biden leading nationally but some battleground states like Florida are close. Vote by mail is supported by most Americans but opposed by some Republican leaders. Key swing states like Pennsylvania, Wisconsin and Michigan that Trump narrowly won in 2016 could decide the election again. Issues related to healthcare and the economy are likely to play a larger role in campaigns due to the pandemic.
Public Opinion Landscape - International AffairsGloverParkGroup
The document provides an overview of American public opinion on various international affairs issues based on recent polls. It finds that while foreign policy issues are not the top concerns for Americans, a majority are closely following the situation in Ukraine and are worried about it leading to regional conflict. Views on Obama's handling of the Ukraine situation are mixed. There is reluctance to get too involved militarily but support for economic sanctions on Russia. A majority see Iran's nuclear program and international terrorism as critical threats. Opinions on the war in Afghanistan depend on question wording, and most believe the US has failed in its goals there. Relations with Israel continue to be seen as important to US interests.
Polls increasingly show that the American public views the US government as a problem and distrusts both political parties. This suggests the US has become a dictatorship that serves wealthy elites rather than a democracy that represents public interests. A 2014 academic study found the US government is dominated by economic elites and business groups, with average citizens having little influence. Recent polls confirm this, showing public opposition to policies like tax cuts and moving the US embassy to Jerusalem that were enacted anyway. Most Americans believe only the rich will benefit from tax reform and growing distrust both Trump and the Mueller investigation. This provides further evidence the US is an oligarchy ruled by the wealthy rather than a democratic republic.
Public Opinion Landscape - Government Shutdown AftermathGloverParkGroup
The document summarizes public opinion research on views of the government shutdown and debt ceiling debate from October 2013. It finds that dissatisfaction with the state of the nation and concerns about the economy were substantial. Most Americans saw the shutdown negatively impacting the economy. Views of Obama, Congress, and congressional leaders were mostly negative. Republicans faced a sharp decline in their image and favorability during this time period, with most Americans blaming Republicans for the budget crisis. Support for a third party reached new highs as dissatisfaction with the two parties increased.
This document provides an overview and analysis of the 2016 US presidential election as of April 2016. It finds that interest in the election is higher than previous years. There is also declining faith in the primary system and public's political wisdom. On the Republican side, Trump has won the most states and delegates so far and has led in national polling since September. For Democrats, Clinton has a strong delegate lead over Sanders though Sanders has narrowed the gap in national polls. Upcoming April primaries that could impact the races are examined.
The document discusses findings from a study on truth and politics. Some key findings include:
- People feel it is difficult to find truth in politics today due to the large amount of information. Politicians are often ranked as the least truthful profession.
- Issues like government spending and taxes are where people are least likely to think politicians tell the truth.
- While people want more truth in politics, some feel it is unrealistic to expect from politicians due to pressures of getting elected.
- When it comes to media, people still rely most on network news but feel the line between facts and opinions is blurred. People seek independent sources.
- There is a desire for changes to the political system or term limits to bring in
Donald Trump's first 100 days in office saw mixed public opinion reactions to his actions and policies. His approval ratings declined over his first 100 days, making him the first president in the last 60 years to attain a net disapproval. Specific policies like the travel ban and attempts to repeal the Affordable Care Act faced intense public scrutiny and disapproval. However, the public supported his Supreme Court nomination of Neil Gorsuch and strike on Syria, while being more cautious about investigations into Russian interference and ties to Trump's campaign.
The Public Opinion Landscape: Election 2016Sarah Bonn
This document provides a summary and analysis of the 2016 presidential election as of March 15, 2016. On the Republican side, Donald Trump has won the most primary states so far but trails Ted Cruz in the delegate count. The March 15 contests in key states like Florida, Ohio and Illinois could strengthen or weaken Trump's candidacy. In the Democratic race, Hillary Clinton maintains a sizable lead in delegates despite Bernie Sanders winning almost as many states, with the March 15 contests in states like Florida, Illinois and Ohio also being important. The document analyzes polling and delegate counts for both parties.
This document provides an overview and analysis of the 2016 US presidential election as of January 2016. It finds that most Americans view the country as headed in the wrong direction and are dissatisfied with the way things are going in Washington. For Republicans, national security has become the top issue over jobs and the economy. The Republican nomination race features 17 candidates narrowing to 12, with Trump and Cruz leading in early polling but many Republicans still undecided. The Democratic race shows Clinton leading Sanders nationally but the early states of Iowa and New Hampshire are close contests. The document outlines the upcoming primary calendar and debates schedule while analyzing voters' views of the campaigns.
Question-order and third party candidate support in the 2016 presidential ele...SSRS Market Research
This document discusses research on the effects of question order in 2016 presidential election polls when including the Libertarian candidate Gary Johnson as an option. It finds that Johnson's support was modestly higher when the 3-way question including him was asked after the standard 2-way question between Clinton and Trump. However, the effects were small and there is no evidence that question order undermined Johnson's candidacy overall or that education level moderated the effects. Disaffected voters who supported a major candidate they were unfavorable towards were somewhat more likely to shift to Johnson with a 3-way question after 2-way. The research suggests asking only a multi-candidate question may be preferable.
Public Opinion Landscape: Election 2016 - Iowa CaucusesGloverParkGroup
The document provides information on the Iowa caucuses from several recent polls and surveys. For Republicans, Donald Trump and Ted Cruz are leading in Iowa according to prediction markets and polls, though Marco Rubio is gaining momentum. For Democrats, Hillary Clinton maintains a narrow lead over Bernie Sanders in Iowa, though Sanders' support has been growing. The outcomes in Iowa could depend on factors like voter turnout and any last-minute shifts in support.
This document provides an overview and analysis of polling data from the 2016 US presidential election one week before election day. Key findings include: Clinton maintains a national lead over Trump in polling averages, though the race has tightened; Clinton leads Trump in 5 of 9 battleground states; the Senate race could go either way as several races are very close; and Republican Senate candidates are generally polling better than Trump in key states.
Republican Candidate Scorecard: Mike HuckabeeTonya Green
The 2016 US presidential race is on. Frequently we hear the results of political polls, ranking the popularity of candidates. However, both social media and traditional news are useful sources to learn about the candidates, the issues to be addressed, the candidates most discussed, and sentiment around discussions of the candidates. This report includes the results of the analysis of candidate mentions in social media and major news sources over one month. The ranking of candidates by mentions overall and by media source are provided on the Republican Candidate Scorecard. This report also includes a detailed analysis of the mentions of Mike Huckabee in social media and major new sources. It answers many questions, including:
- How many mentions of Huckabee were observed and how does he rank among the Republican candidates?
- What is the trend of discussions and when do mentions peak? What topic is discussed at the peak of discussions?
- What other key terms are also mentioned with Huckabee?
- Where do mentions of Huckabee most occur?
- Who are the influencers of discussions of Huckabee, in blogs, traditional news sources and Twitter?
- How engaged is Huckabee on Twitter? How many times did Huckabee tweet and how many tweets were directed to Huckabee?
The document discusses the influence of mass media on U.S. elections. It notes that while voters see media as influential, they also distrust media coverage and think it focuses too much on trivial issues rather than substantive policy topics. Additionally, media coverage tends to emphasize the "horse race" aspects of elections rather than exploring candidates' positions. The document also examines questions around media bias, the impact of money and transparency in elections, and the rising influence of social media.
The document provides an overview of the political landscape heading into the 2020 Iowa caucuses. It discusses declining trust in institutions, a polarized electorate, and key issues like health care and the economy. President Trump's approval ratings have rebounded and the impeachment question remains divided. The economy is performing well but trade wars have impacted some sectors. The Democratic primary field has narrowed to 11 candidates with Biden maintaining his lead nationally though Sanders' support is rising. The general election is expected to be close again with key swing states deciding the outcome.
The document provides an overview of the political landscape heading into the 2020 Iowa caucuses. It discusses the polarized state of the country and declining trust in institutions. President Trump's approval ratings have rebounded and the impeachment question remains divided. The economy remains stable though trade wars have impacted some sectors. The presidential and Democratic primary races are very close in early polling. The outcome of the 2020 election will have significant implications for policy and the courts.
Lee Rainie, director of Internet, Science and Technology research at the Pew Research Center, discussed the Center's latest findings at the Mid-Atlantic Marketing Summit in Washington. He talked about how people use social media, how they think about news in the Trump Era, how they try to establish and act on trust and where they turn for expertise in a period where so much information is contested.
The document provides an overview and analysis of the 2016 US election as of July 2016. It summarizes polling data showing Clinton leading nationally but some swing states are close, and both candidates are viewed unfavorably by most Americans. While more voters say Clinton has the right experience, majorities also think she is too willing to bend rules and the email scandal raises judgment questions. Looking ahead, the presidential debates and final 100 days of the campaign will be important as few voters say their minds are made up.
Governing a Divided Nation - Insights about the 2016 U.S. Presidential ElectionMSL
Public affairs and policy experts from Qorvis MSLGROUP have compiled an extensive election coverage and analysis of how the new U.S. President and Congress will move forward after one of the most bitter campaigns in American history.
For more updates, follow @qorvis or reach out to us on Twitter @msl_group.
The document summarizes survey data from 2013 to 2016 that shows American voters are experiencing a political revolution against the established political order. Key findings include:
- Voters believe the country is in decline and the American Dream may not be attainable for future generations.
- They see a rigged political system dominated by special interests over ordinary citizens.
- Both Democratic and Republican parties are seen as too beholden to special interests to create meaningful change.
- There is strong support for independent candidates and a potential third party that truly represents voters.
- A hypothetical independent "Candidate Smith" outperforms all current candidates in polls, showing demand for an alternative to the status quo parties.
Biden leads by double digits as coronavirus takes a toll on the president, Po...Dr Matt Boente MD
President Trump faces a significant challenge in his bid to win reelection in November, with former vice president Joe Biden holding a double-digit lead nationally and the president’s approval ratings crumbling amid a spreading coronavirus pandemic and a weakened economy, according to a Washington Post-ABC News poll.
The Monmouth University Poll finds that the presidential race in Indiana has tightened significantly since August, with Trump now leading Clinton by only 4 points compared to an 11-point lead previously. Pence's approval rating as governor has also dropped. In the Senate race, Evan Bayh maintains a 6-point lead over Todd Young despite attacks against him. The governor's race has seen the most movement, with Democrat John Gregg now leading by 12 points after being virtually tied in August.
The document discusses trends in traditional news coverage of elections and how different actors, including the media, voters, and candidates, influence that coverage. It notes that while politicians often blame negative media coverage solely on the media, John Zaller provided alternative explanations by analyzing how the goals of all three groups impact coverage. For example, candidates' increased control over messaging has led to more press-initiated negativity as the media pushes back on restricted access. The document also examines how trivial and negative coverage has consequences for how the public views politics.
Partisans remain sharply divided in their views of the news media according to a 2018 Pew Research Center survey. The survey found:
1) Democrats (82%) are much more likely than Republicans (38%) to think news media criticism keeps political leaders from doing things they shouldn't, continuing a large partisan divide from 2017. This gap is the largest in over 30 years of surveys.
2) Most Americans (71%) think news will be accurate, but many (68%) believe news organizations cover up mistakes. Most also feel the media doesn't understand them or that they are disconnected from their news sources.
3) While few have high trust in social media for news (4%), more have trust in national
This document summarizes a student research project that examined how political party identification influences Americans' views of news media credibility and perceptions of the US-Russia relationship. The study found loose correlations between trusting news sources that share one's political ideology. Specifically, it found that Republicans had higher trust in Fox News while Democrats highly trusted the New York Times. Additionally, Democrats were more likely than Republicans to view Russia as an adversary and disapprove of Trump's policies toward Russia. The research aimed to understand how political views shape news consumption and perspectives on current events.
The document contains summaries of several polls of Trump voters on various policy issues. According to the polls:
- Trump voters favor increased federal spending on issues like immigration enforcement, the military, and infrastructure over cuts to programs like foreign aid and welfare. They also support maintaining spending on areas like the environment, healthcare, and education.
- A majority of Trump voters support action on climate change, environmental protection, and renewable energy over pulling out of the Paris Agreement or reducing regulations. However, many also support expanding fossil fuel production.
- Around half of Trump voters believe it should be easier for public figures to sue news media for unfavorable coverage, and support cuts to federal funding for public media.
On October 31 and November 1, 2017, Google, Twitter and Facebook sent their general counsels to testify before House and Senate intelligence committees to answer questions about the role their platforms played in the dissemination of Russian-instigated disinformation designed to disrupt the 2016 U.S. presidential election.
In the days immediately after the hearings, Edelman fielded a flash poll among the U.S. general population. The survey examined the various definitions people have for fake news, the role people believe social platforms play in disseminating fake news, and whether the social platforms require more oversight and regulation.
IPR Third Annual Disinformation in Society ReportOlivia Kresic
The document is the third annual report by the Institute for Public Relations on disinformation in American society. Some key findings from the report include:
- Nearly 70% of Americans view misinformation and disinformation as major problems in society, more than issues like infectious diseases or terrorism.
- Over 70% believe disinformation will prolong the COVID-19 pandemic and impacts elections and democracy.
- Facebook, politicians, and the U.S. government were seen as the top sources spreading disinformation.
- Americans have the most trust in family and friends as news sources and the least trust in social media platforms like Facebook and Twitter.
2017 Edelman Trust Barometer - Trust and the U.S. Presidential ElectionEdelman
The document provides information on a supplementary research study conducted by Edelman on trust and the 2016 U.S. presidential election. It finds that a majority of Americans feel the system is failing them and hold fears related to issues like corruption, globalization and immigration. Trump voters were more likely to be fearful, especially of immigration and globalization, while Clinton voters showed less fear. The study also found divisions between Trump and Clinton voters in levels of trust in institutions and support for various policy priorities.
The document discusses how Donald Trump's presidential campaign has been shaped by media coverage. It argues that Trump receives disproportionately more media attention than other candidates due to his inflammatory rhetoric. While most coverage has been negative due to racist, sexist, and xenophobic comments, the attention has still helped fuel his campaign by increasing his name recognition. Social media also plays a major role, as Trump is highly active on Twitter and controversial tweets can go viral quickly. The document concludes that as long as Trump continues making offensive statements, media will continue giving him extensive coverage, aiding his campaign.
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2. Latest Poll Numbers
Should be
impeached,
50%
Don't feel
that way,
43%
October 17-20, 2019
CNN
Based on what you have read or heard, do you
believe that President Trump should be impeached
and removed from office, or don't you feel that way?
6% | 87% | 50%
Should be
impeached,
48%
Don't feel
that way,
46%
October 17-21, 2019
Quinnipiac
Do you think that President Trump should be
impeached and removed from office, or don't you
think so?
Should
impeach,
47%
Should not
impeach,
38%
October 13-15, 2019
Economist/YouGov
Do you think the U.S. House of Representatives
should or should not impeach Donald Trump?
Party ID: Should be Impeached
6% | 86% | 49%
Party ID: Should be Impeached
15% | 82% | 36%
Party ID: Should Impeach
Republicans Democrats Independents
The latest public opinion surveys on impeachment from CNN, Quinnipiac, and Economist/YouGov show support for impeachment at or slightly under 50%.
The CNN and Quinnipiac show nearly identical partisan attitudes – with support for impeachment among Republicans at 6%, 86-87% among Democrats,
and 49-50% among independents. In the Economist/YouGov survey, independents show a high degree of uncertainty: 25% don’t know whether the House
should or should not impeach Trump.
Republicans Democrats IndependentsRepublicans Democrats Independents
3. Attitudes on Impeachment: Trend
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Support for Impeachment, Sep. 24 to Oct. 23
Since the impeachment inquiry announcement in late September, surveys from several pollsters and news organizations have shown that support for
impeachment has grown slightly. Still, support for impeachment remains at or just under 50%. Attitudes on the impeachment seem to have solidified
quickly, with only small changes in attitudes after the impeachment inquiry. Quinnipiac’s polling shows support increased from 37% just as the
impeachment inquiry was announced. Since then, support has stayed between 45% and 48%. The impeachment demonstrates yet again how fast the news
cycle moves and how quickly public opinion coalesces.
4. Democratic Support has Solidified
CNN
Based on what you have read or heard, do you believe that President Trump
should be impeached and removed from office, or don't you feel that way?
Quinnipiac
Do you think that President Trump should be impeached and removed from
office, or don't you think so?
73%
87%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
September 29, 2019 October 20, 2019
73%
86%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
September 23, 2019 October 21, 2019
The increase in support for impeachment since the announcement has been largely the result of growing Democratic support. Since September 29th,
support for impeachment among Democrats and independents who lean Democratic has increased 14 points in CNN’s trend. In Quinnipiac's trend, support
for impeachment among Democrats and independents who lean Democratic has increased 13 points since September 23rd.
Democrats + Democratic Leaners
Should be Impeached and Removed from Office
Democrats + Democratic Leaners
Should be Impeached and Removed from Office
5. What’s Impeachable? What’s Not?
Do you think asking a foreign leader for help in defeating an
opponent in an upcoming election is or is not a good enough
reason to impeach a president and remove them from office?
(Quinnipiac, Sep. 27-29)
52% 85% 17%
% Yes, good enough reason to impeach
All Voters Democrats Republicans
Do you think President Trump has done something
wrong regarding his interactions with the President of
Ukraine, or don't you think so? (Quinnipiac, Sep. 27-29)
50% 86% 9%
% Yes, Trump did something wrong
All Voters Democrats Republicans
Based on what you have read or heard about Donald Trump’s
interactions with the President of Ukraine, do you believe that
… ? (CNN, Sep. 24-29)
48% 74% 17%
% Trump Improperly used the presidency to gain
political advantage against a potential 2020 opponent
All Voters Democrats Republicans
Do you think it was appropriate or inappropriate for Donald
Trump to withhold military aid to Ukraine while urging the
President of Ukraine to investigate allegations of corruption
against the Biden family? (Economist/YouGov, Oct. 6–8)
54% 88% 18%
% Inappropriate to withhold aid
All Voters Democrats Republicans
Which comes closer to your point of view about the
allegations against President Trump that he requested a
foreign leader open an investigation related to Joe Biden and
his son? Are these allegations … ? (NBC/WSJ, Oct 4–6)
47% 84% 20%
% Allegations are serious
All Voters Democrats Republicans
Official notes of a call showed that President Trump
asked the President of Ukraine to investigate a potential
political opponent, Joe Biden. Do you think …? (NPR/
News Hour/ Marist, Sep. 25)
54% 78% 27%
% Serious matter that requires investigation
All Voters Democrats Republicans
Republicans and Democrats have sharply diverging views on the allegations behind impeachment – Trump’s actions as it relates to Ukraine. Across
several questions, it’s clear that Democrats widely believe what the President did was improper and serious. Only a minority of Republicans hold those
views.
6. Trumps Approval Since Impeachment Inquiry Began
The Ukraine incident and the impeachment investigation have had a minor negative effect on the President’s ratings when it comes to foreign policy. Only
time will tell if the decline lasts. Considering the constant coverage of the President, his overall job approval rating remains largely unaffected. Within the
Lunchtime Politics daily average had Trump’s job approval rating stood at 45% in late August and 42% in late October. By this point, most Americans have
made up their mind on the President. The Lunchtime Politics daily average is based on recent nationwide polls.
Trump Approval of Foreign Policy/ Affairs Trump Job Approval
Aug. 2019, 40%
Aug. 2019, 38%
Oct. 2019, 38%
Oct. 2019, 35%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70%
CNN: Approve of
Trump’s handling
of foreign affairs
Quinnipiac:
Approve of
Trump’s handling
of foreign policy
Aug. 26 2019,
52%
Aug. 26 2019,
45%
Oct. 21 2019,
54%
Oct. 21 2019,
42%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70%
-3
-2
-3
+2
Lunchtime Politics
Approval Average:
Lunchtime Politics
Disapproval
Average:
7. Mueller Report Publicly Released April 18th, 2019
Volume of news stories discussing the public release of Robert Mueller’s investigative
report into internarial interference in the 2016 presidential election from April 15th,
2019 to May 14th, 2019.
Coverage of Impeachment Inquiry
Impeachment Inquiry Announced September 25th, 2019
Volume of news stories discussing Trump and impeachment from September 22nd , 2019
to October 21st, 2019.
Coverage of the impeachment in news media shows widespread interest. The charts below compare the volume of news stories discussing the public
release of the Mueller report from earlier this year to the volume of news stories discussing the announcement of the impeachment inquiry into President
Trump by the House of Representatives. Each chart begins three-days before each event and spans a month. The Mueller report was released to the public
on April 18th, 2019. The total volume of stories discussing the Mueller report and investigation over that period totals 177,649 news stories. Nancy Pelosi
announced the impeachment inquiry on September 25th, leading to 308,188 news stories within the month period. While initially having a similar spike in
coverage of the announcements, the impeachment inquiry has generated over 130,539 more stories, with more consistent follow-up coverage.
Total Volume of Stories: 308,188 Total Volume of Stories: 177,649
Trump Impeachment Conversation Public Release of Mueller Report
8. Leading Sources of Impeachment News
0M 1M 2M 3M 4M 5M 6M 7M 8M 9M 10M 11M 12M 13M 14M 15M 16M 17M
Fox News
The Washington
Post
The Hill
NBCNEWS.com
CNN.com
International
Breitbart
PoliticusUSA.com
Yahoo! News
MSN.com
The Daily Caller
14,852,140
11,858,406
10,145,896
7,794,998
6,062,537
6,022,558
5,530,405
4,907,068
4,065,493
3,828,709
Impeachment Inquiry Announced September 25th, 2019
Volume of news stories discussing Trump and impeachment from September 22nd , 2019 to October 21st, 2019.
Total Volume of Engagements: 170,283,689
Engagement on Trump Impeachment Conversation
With the widespread news coverage of the
impeachment, certain news sources have been
more successful in generating social media
engagement from their coverage – likes, shares,
retweets, etc. Fox News and The Washington Post
are driving the highest levels of engagement.
Other sources generating widespread social media
engagement for their coverage include The Hill,
NBC News, CNN, Breitbart, PoliticusUSA, Yahoo
News, MSN.com, and the Daily Caller.
The most engaging sources include a mix of left,
right, and "mainstream" news publications.
However, right-leaning publications generate
more engagements than the left-leaning ones. Fox
News, Breitbart, and Daily Caller have collectively
produced 24.7 million social engagements.
9. The most engaging sources are similar between the public release of the Mueller and the impeachment investigation. However, the impeachment
investigation has generated over 100 million additional social engagements than the public release of the Mueller report among all news sources – 170.2
million vs. 77.7 million. The top news sources are having a larger impact on the coverage surrounding the impeachment, generating substantially more
engagements than the Mueller Report.
Mueller Report Publicly Released April 18th, 2019
Top sources discussing the public release of the Mueller Report by volume of social
media engagements from April 15th, 2019 to May 14th, 2019.
Impeachment Inquiry Top Sources by Engagement
Top sources discussing the impeachment inquiry by volume of social media
engagements from September 22nd, 2019 to October 21st, 2019.
Total Volume of Engagements: 170,283,689
Total Volume of Engagements: 77,781,579
Engagement on Trump Impeachment Conversation Engagement on Public Release of Mueller Report Conversation
Leading News Sources: Mueller Report vs. Impeachment
10. Top News Articles by Source
Below are three articles that produced high engagement from the news coverage of the impeachment from September 22nd to October 21st. The articles
provide a window into what has most resonated with news consumers. The top engaging story by Politicus USA focuses on how House Democrats have
enough support to impeach Trump. The second most engaging story focuses on Pelosi's announcement of the impeachment inquiry. Several articles,
including this Washington Post article, illustrate the initial spike in interest around the beginning of the impeachment inquiry. Another top engaging article
is an obituary of Congressman Elijah Cummings. The impeachment inquiry has permeated all facets of political commentary, pulling even the
Congressman's death into the narrative.
House Democrats Now Have Enough
Votes to Impeach Donald Trump
From: Politicus USA
Total Engagements: 1,783,607
Pelosi Announces Impeachment Inquiry,
Says Trump’s Courting of Foreign Political
Help is a ‘Betrayal of National Security’
From: The Washington Post
Total Engagements: 1,072,005
Elijah Cummings, A Maryland
Democrat and House Oversight
Chairman, Dies at 68
From: NBC News
Total Engagements: 828,771
11. About Us
Certus Insights is a full-service research firm based in the
Washington. D.C. area. We are industry-leading experts in
helping clients answer important strategic and tactical
questions through quantitative, qualitative, and analytical
methods. Certus Insights is an expert in public opinion
surveys, message development surveys, elite opinion
maker surveys, media share of voice, social media
analytics, and member/employee research. To learn more
visit Certus insights.com.
12. For more Information
Andrew Rugg
Andrew.Rugg@CertusInsights.com
Natalie Copeland
Natalie.Copeland@CertusInsights.com
Ron Faucheux
RFaucheux@CertusInsights.com