Magellan Strategies conducted surveys in 8 battleground states to measure voter opinion on the EPA's newly proposed carbon emission regulations. The key findings show that on average, 37.3% of voters support the regulation, 47.1% oppose it, and 15.6% have no opinion. Additionally, 55.2% of respondents are more likely to oppose Senate candidates that support the regulation. When given further information on economic impacts, opposition increases to over 59%. The surveys conclude that any candidate supporting the regulation will face risks in these 2014 elections.

1.
FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE JUNE 12, 2014
CONTACT: DAVID FLAHERTY 303-861-8585
Support for Proposed EPA Emission Regulation Puts
Candidates and Incumbents at Risk in Eight Battleground States
Louisville, CO – Magellan Strategies today released eight statewide surveys
measuring voter opinion of the newly proposed EPA carbon emissions regulation,
as well as how information about the proposal impacts voter opinion.
The findings are based on automated surveys of likely 2014 general election voters
in Arkansas, Colorado, Georgia, Kentucky, Louisiana, Michigan, Montana and
North Carolina. The surveys were fielded from June 4th
to June 8th
, and the margin
of error for the surveys range from +/- 3.45% to 3.65% at the 95% confidence
level. The surveys measured voter opinion of the newly proposed EPA carbon
emissions regulation, as well as how information about the proposal impacts voter
opinion.
Project Summary
The eight states for this research project were chosen for two reasons. First, they are
all coal states (i.e. significant producers and/or consumers); voters within these
states are much more sensitive to the potential economic impacts of EPA
regulations than voters in other states. These voters have a greater concern for and
understanding of the impacts within their state and local economies than typically
found among adults polled in nationwide surveys. The second reason these eight
states were chosen is they all have competitive US Senate elections this year,
where the proposed EPA regulation is expected to be an issue this election cycle.
The relevant question for political observers is to what extent the proposed EPA
regulation helps or harms a US Senate candidate. These surveys attempt to shed
some light on that question.
Key Findings:
Ø Initial impressions of the EPA proposal find an average of 37.3% of likely
voters supporting the proposal, 47.1% opposing the proposal and 15.6% of
voters not having an opinion about the proposal.

2. Magellan Strategies EPA Carbon Emissions Regulation Survey Project Release, June 12, 2014
Magellan Strategies
1685 Boxelder Street, Suite 300 | Louisville, CO 80027
MagellanStrategies.com | 303-861-8585
2
Ø An average of 55.2% of respondents are more likely to oppose a candidate
for the US Senate who supports the new emission regulation, 31.4% are
more likely to support a candidate who supports the regulation, and 13.4%
are unsure or do not have an opinion after hearing information about the
EPA proposal.
Ø When voters were informed of EPA Administrator Gina McCarthy’s quote
that there will be a “short term hit” to consumers, an average of 59.1% of
respondents were more likely to oppose the proposal, 17.9% were more
likely to support it, and 20.2% responded it made no difference in their
decision to support or oppose the proposal.
Ø When voters are informed that the EPA proposal would require 50 states to
meet their carbon emission target limits through state-based cap and trade,
tax and regulatory programs, an average of 48.8% of respondents are more
likely to oppose the proposal, 22.2% are more likely to support it, and
24.0% responded that it made no difference in their decision to support or
oppose the proposal.
Ø When voters are informed “the US Chamber of Commerce, a pro-business
organization” found that a similar carbon emissions proposal would result in
the loss of 224,000 jobs each year through 2030, and cost $50 billion to the
economy, an average of 62.2% of respondents are more likely to oppose the
proposal, 13.2% are more likely to support it, and the information made no
difference to 21.1% of respondents.
Ø An average of 76% of voters believe it is more important for President
Obama to be focusing his time and attention on creating jobs and growing
the economy than creating a new regulation for power plants to combat
climate change.
Survey Conclusions
Although there are differences in voter opinion about the EPA regulatory proposal
on a state-by-state basis, it is clear that any candidate who supports the proposal is
taking a risk among likely 2014 election voters. The introduction of this carbon
emission regulation by the Obama Administration does not make this election
cycle any easier for the Democrat candidates and incumbents in these eight states,
and in some cases makes it more difficult for them.
Download Individual State Survey Toplines and Crosstabs
The survey project executive summary is included with this document. To
download and review the individual state survey topline and crosstabs please visit
www.MagellanStrategies.com and click on the blog section of our website. The
EPA Regulation blog post contains the survey data for each state.

3. Magellan Strategies EPA Carbon Emissions Regulation Survey Project Release, June 12, 2014
Magellan Strategies
1685 Boxelder Street, Suite 300 | Louisville, CO 80027
MagellanStrategies.com | 303-861-8585
3
Survey Commissioned By
The National Mining Association, the national trade group representing the US
mining industry, commissioned this survey research project.
Survey Methodology
The surveys for this research project were conducted using automated voice
recorded technology. The sample for each state was randomly drawn from a voter
file. The results were weighted based upon past voting demographics of the non-
Presidential voting population for each state. Any questions regarding the
methodology of this survey should be directed to David Flaherty of Magellan
Strategies at dflaherty@magellanstrategies.com or 303-861-8585.
About Magellan Strategies
Magellan Strategies is a full-service survey research firm offering quantitative,
qualitative, and predictive data modeling services to Republican candidates,
campaigns and trade associations.