This presentation explains a predictive data modeling project that segmented Colorado's 3.5 million voters into 11 groups. The segmentation enables campaign decision makers the ability to understand and target voters beyond data that is is available on a Colorado voter file.
As South Bend Mayor and Presidential candidate Pete Buttigieg tries to win over voters in Iowa and New Hampshire, a poll of likely voters here in Marion County, a Democratic stronghold, shows nearly 60 percent of them either view him unfavorably or have no opinion of him.
"It's Jobs, Stupid": Democracy Corps/Campaign for America's Future Pollourfuture
A Democracy Corps/Campaign for America's Future survey examines the top economic priorities of American voters, the extent to which they are rejecting the economic priorities of conservatives and offers insight into what Democrats will have to do in order to regain the support of the public. More details on the poll and links to related material on ourfuture.org/economypoll2011
The results of an Indy Politics poll of this year’s upcoming City-County Council races indicates control of the body could be up for grabs. However, candidates have a long way to go to educate voters about who’s even on the ballot in their district.
As South Bend Mayor and Presidential candidate Pete Buttigieg tries to win over voters in Iowa and New Hampshire, a poll of likely voters here in Marion County, a Democratic stronghold, shows nearly 60 percent of them either view him unfavorably or have no opinion of him.
"It's Jobs, Stupid": Democracy Corps/Campaign for America's Future Pollourfuture
A Democracy Corps/Campaign for America's Future survey examines the top economic priorities of American voters, the extent to which they are rejecting the economic priorities of conservatives and offers insight into what Democrats will have to do in order to regain the support of the public. More details on the poll and links to related material on ourfuture.org/economypoll2011
The results of an Indy Politics poll of this year’s upcoming City-County Council races indicates control of the body could be up for grabs. However, candidates have a long way to go to educate voters about who’s even on the ballot in their district.
This survey analyses the level of concern shown by Indian users on the internet. The survey responses were collected with Google Forms and analyzed/visualized with Python
Together with Motorola The R Simmons Group is offering the Community Engagement Networking Technology Service. Motorola supplies a powerful tipping platform, while RSG provides a valuable community analysis to inform you of how to drive greater engagement and inform on community member preference.
Offering tips, techniques and models to better inform citizens about what they need to know, this deeply-reported session on political journalism will provide insights into how "horse-race" reporting shortchanges voters and why issues journalism can productively shape reporting on the 2020 campaign.
Trump vs Clinton - Polling Opinions: How the polls were wrong and how to fix...chrisbrock54
The polls in the 2016 election were wrong. Why? Did they underestimate Trump? Over value Hillary Clinton's lead? Not use modern technology? Not accept the facts in front of them? This presentation is designed to help pollsters in future elections to better their predictive powers. We cover social media, search engines, main stream media sources, Wikileaks in more in our investigation.
Big Business, Big Issues: The Winners and Losers from the U.S. Midterm ElectionsBrunswick Group
The U.S. midterm elections have dealt a new setback to President Obama. As was widely expected, voters have given Republicans control of both chambers of Congress, weakening the president’s already diminished influence in his last two years in office.
But there’s another set of winners and losers in this this election: the sectors, issues and interest groups that have a stake in the outcome.
Brunswick Group’s take on what the 2014 midterm elections mean for your companies, industries and interest groups.
For more information please contact our Washington, DC office: http://www.brunswickgroup.com/contact-us/washington-dc/
This week’s Reuters/Ipsos Core Political release presents something of an outlier of our trend. Every series of polls has the occasional outlier and in our opinion this is one. So, while we are reporting the findings in the interest of transparency, we will not be announcing the start of a new trend until we have more data to validate this pattern.
Data Defeats Truman – SXSW Panelpicker PitchKyle J. Britt
What secrets do billions of emails reveal? Our presidential candidates are telling us everything we need to know about their campaign – and what kind of president they may be – 20 million times a day.
Real Time Expert Poll on Corporate Political Activism: November 2016Matt Weingarden
A poll asked a panel of business school professors to grade Uber on its first ever endorsement of a political candidate. The panel gave Uber a “C” for its move to support the re-election of republican candidate Derek Armstrong; Uber conducted a mailer and an email campaign encouraging voters to “Uber” to polls and cast their vote for him.
Over the last five years, global data center needs have grown exponentially.
The time is now for tenants seeking data center space and solutions. Providers are offering 10-15 percent discounts, concessions and tenant improvements on some deals. However, increasing demand and a pull-back on construction mean that by late 2015, the market will tighten and landlords will take control.
Learn more about the current data center market in North America, and where it's headed.
How to Engage with the Independent Voter in Virginia: An Insights ReportWolf & Wilhelmine
One system, two parties, many Americans feeling left out. Our political system has fostered an endless shouting match between two ways of thinking. Liberal and conservative values collide while 42% of Americans call themselves independents, uninspired by either option. Because nobody is understanding voters with any real depth.
At W&W, we wanted to tackle this problem by applying the private sector research methodologies that we use on brands like Nike and startups like Bonobos, Harry’s and Oscar. So we started four/twelve, a research initiative to get deep with voters in a new way. Because if we can get these voters motivated around new school candidates, we can change our system for the better.
Slide show prepared for a series of lectures on voting and elections for PS 101 American Government at the University of Kentucky, Fall 2007. Dr. Christopher S. Rice, Lecturer.
This survey analyses the level of concern shown by Indian users on the internet. The survey responses were collected with Google Forms and analyzed/visualized with Python
Together with Motorola The R Simmons Group is offering the Community Engagement Networking Technology Service. Motorola supplies a powerful tipping platform, while RSG provides a valuable community analysis to inform you of how to drive greater engagement and inform on community member preference.
Offering tips, techniques and models to better inform citizens about what they need to know, this deeply-reported session on political journalism will provide insights into how "horse-race" reporting shortchanges voters and why issues journalism can productively shape reporting on the 2020 campaign.
Trump vs Clinton - Polling Opinions: How the polls were wrong and how to fix...chrisbrock54
The polls in the 2016 election were wrong. Why? Did they underestimate Trump? Over value Hillary Clinton's lead? Not use modern technology? Not accept the facts in front of them? This presentation is designed to help pollsters in future elections to better their predictive powers. We cover social media, search engines, main stream media sources, Wikileaks in more in our investigation.
Big Business, Big Issues: The Winners and Losers from the U.S. Midterm ElectionsBrunswick Group
The U.S. midterm elections have dealt a new setback to President Obama. As was widely expected, voters have given Republicans control of both chambers of Congress, weakening the president’s already diminished influence in his last two years in office.
But there’s another set of winners and losers in this this election: the sectors, issues and interest groups that have a stake in the outcome.
Brunswick Group’s take on what the 2014 midterm elections mean for your companies, industries and interest groups.
For more information please contact our Washington, DC office: http://www.brunswickgroup.com/contact-us/washington-dc/
This week’s Reuters/Ipsos Core Political release presents something of an outlier of our trend. Every series of polls has the occasional outlier and in our opinion this is one. So, while we are reporting the findings in the interest of transparency, we will not be announcing the start of a new trend until we have more data to validate this pattern.
Data Defeats Truman – SXSW Panelpicker PitchKyle J. Britt
What secrets do billions of emails reveal? Our presidential candidates are telling us everything we need to know about their campaign – and what kind of president they may be – 20 million times a day.
Real Time Expert Poll on Corporate Political Activism: November 2016Matt Weingarden
A poll asked a panel of business school professors to grade Uber on its first ever endorsement of a political candidate. The panel gave Uber a “C” for its move to support the re-election of republican candidate Derek Armstrong; Uber conducted a mailer and an email campaign encouraging voters to “Uber” to polls and cast their vote for him.
Over the last five years, global data center needs have grown exponentially.
The time is now for tenants seeking data center space and solutions. Providers are offering 10-15 percent discounts, concessions and tenant improvements on some deals. However, increasing demand and a pull-back on construction mean that by late 2015, the market will tighten and landlords will take control.
Learn more about the current data center market in North America, and where it's headed.
How to Engage with the Independent Voter in Virginia: An Insights ReportWolf & Wilhelmine
One system, two parties, many Americans feeling left out. Our political system has fostered an endless shouting match between two ways of thinking. Liberal and conservative values collide while 42% of Americans call themselves independents, uninspired by either option. Because nobody is understanding voters with any real depth.
At W&W, we wanted to tackle this problem by applying the private sector research methodologies that we use on brands like Nike and startups like Bonobos, Harry’s and Oscar. So we started four/twelve, a research initiative to get deep with voters in a new way. Because if we can get these voters motivated around new school candidates, we can change our system for the better.
Slide show prepared for a series of lectures on voting and elections for PS 101 American Government at the University of Kentucky, Fall 2007. Dr. Christopher S. Rice, Lecturer.
A look at how Ragnar Research Partners was able to be so successful in the 2018 cycle, as well as the best opinion research practices heading into 2019 & beyond. This includes proper representation of cell phone-only households, weighting partisanship in every race based on previous Presidential Election results, and a rigorous, systematic, and fanatic devotion to the construction of proper stratification and sample frames.
Presentation prepared for a series of lectures on Voting and Elections for PS 101 American Government at the University of Kentucky, Spring 2007. Dr. Christopher S. Rice, Instructor.
No Criminals Campaign Strategy 18th Jan 09Siddharth Soni
This is a strategy presentation made to members of Association for Democratic Reforms. Of course the strategy hasn't been taken to ground (for various reasons) but we felt it could've contributed to a great extent to the cause of the cleansing Indian politics.
Informed Citizen Akron #2: Improving Candidate-Focused Media Coverage in the ...Jefferson Center
Following the momentum of the first Informed Citizen Akron, 18 Akron-area residents continued to learn from media experts, to deliberate, and to generate recommendations for how local and Ohio-based media partners can improve issue-based coverage during the 2016 presidential election.
Reflect on voter participation, campaign financing, and the legitimafelipaser7p
Reflect on voter participation, campaign financing, and the legitimacy of elections. Also discuss whether financing elections solely with tax dollars and banning contributions from special interest groups and individuals would make elections more representative of the will of the American people. Discuss whether “voter ID laws” have the effect of disenfranchising eligible voters or of protecting the sanctity of elections from fraud.
In responding to your classmates, discuss how the low level of voter turnout in American elections can make those elections less legitimate than they would be with higher turnout. Explain and support your position.
For your response posts (2), you must do the following:
Reply to at least two different classmates outside of your own initial post thread.
In Module One, complete the two response posts by Sunday at 11:59 p.m. Eastern Time.
In Modules Two through Eight, complete the two response posts by Sunday at 11:59 p.m. of your local time zone.
Demonstrate more depth and thought than simply stating that “I agree” or “You are wrong.”
Guidance is provided for you in each discussion prompt.
classmates Post #1:
In this discussion, many questions are being raised about elections in general. Let’s look at these question one at a time:
Voter Participation: The Soomo web text covered that issue very well. It stated that a few criteria exist for the participation of voter, and they are usually categorized under a few categories. Voter Turnout is identified as more than approximately 74 % are college graduates, most who also vote to have annual incomes above 50 k per year also most who vote are older American over the age of 35 years or older. A lot of the voting is along party line as opposed to the quality of the candidate. But my feeling is that voters are moving toward voting for the candidate as opposed to the party. (Evans, J., & Michaud, K)
Campaign Financing: The content is always at the forefront of the news every election cycle. Monies are being thrown at the candidates and many illegal items come out of the campaigns. For example; Lavish Trips, extra activities not associated with the campaign (diner, escorts etc…) Dark money donor is and always have been an issue these monies are not recorded, this is almost like play money for the campaigns to do what they want, with whoever they want. The SuperPAC monies are for the candidate to be influenced in a way that the average person never knows about. The candidate doesn’t speak of the donation while on the speech tours but the widely influence the route a candidate take after he is elected. Even in small-town elections the monies from developers, business influences are given being the seen for agendas that no one sees. (Evans, J., & Michaud, K)
The legitimacy of Elections and the Voter ID issue goes hand in hand with each other. Many believe that voter fraud and the id or lack thereof is the biggest is ...
Case Study Grading Rubric – Fall 2015Levels of Quality.docxtidwellveronique
Case Study Grading Rubric – Fall 2015
Levels of Quality
Performance
Criteria
Needs Improvement
Meets Expectations
Exceptional
Structure
0 to 10 points
Disorganized
Needs reorganizing
Well organized, flows logically
Analysis
0 to 40 points
Mostly opinions, arguments not supported
Some arguments supported
All solid arguments with support
Style and Readability
0 to 10 points
Many misspellings, not edited, problems with grammar and sentence structure
Less than 3 misspellings, appears to be edited, grammar and sentence structure acceptable
No misspellings, well edited, grammar and sentence structure excellent, easily readable
Originality
0 to 20 points
Not original, based solely on lectures and readings
Less than 3 original insights and arguments
Many original insights and arguments
Thoroughness
0 to 20 points
Some elements of assignment not completed
All elements of assignment completed
All elements of assignment completed with exceptional thoroughness
Center for Public Integrity
The ‘Citizens United’ decision and why it matters
Nonprofits or political parties?
By John Dunbaremail
By now most folks know that the U.S. Supreme Court did something that changed how money can be spent in elections and by whom, but what happened and why should you care?
The Citizens United ruling, released in January 2010, tossed out the corporate and union ban on making independent expenditures and financing electioneering communications. It gave corporations and unions the green light to spend unlimited sums on ads and other political tools, calling for the election or defeat of individual candidates.
In a nutshell, the high court’s 5-4 decision said that it is OK for corporations and labor unions to spend as much as they want to convince people to vote for or against a candidate.
The decision did not affect contributions. It is still illegal for companies and labor unions to give money directly to candidates for federal office. The court said that because these funds were not being spent in coordination with a campaign, they “do not give rise to corruption or the appearance of corruption.”
So if the decision was about spending, why has so much been written about contributions? Like seven and eight-figure donations from people like casino magnate and billionaire Sheldon Adelson who, with his family, has given about $40 million to so-called “super PACs,” formed in the wake of the decision?
For that, we need to look at another court case — SpeechNow.org v. FEC. The lower-court case used the Citizens United case as precedent when it said that limits on contributions to groups that make independent expenditures are unconstitutional.
And that’s what led to the creation of the super PACs, which act as shadow political parties. They accept unlimited donations from billionaires, corporations and unions and use it to buy advertising, most of it negative.
The Supreme Court kept limits on disclosure in place, and super PACs are requi ...
In 2019 our founder worked with a number of “mainstream” MPs who were frustrated by the rise of extremist politics. It was clear that influential Westminster figures were promoting “vote-winning” policies which were unlikely to be popular at all. It took a General Election before that unpopularity was proven.
In CanDo we use inexpensive modern consumer research tools extensively. Sometimes we buy ads on Facebook to invite people to fill in surveys. For other projects we use an automated research panel called PollFish. We usually pay less than £2 per response.
This inspired us: perhaps anyone concerned with politics could use the same tools to establish the popularity of policy ideas? We set out to prove that they can. Along the way we developed replicable methodology which anyone can use to conduct representative polls, within hours, for a few hundred pounds. Naturally, we used it ourselves - learning interesting things about which policy areas are deemed important by the public right now (and which aren’t).
Feel free to download our report and let us know if you decide to run any polls!
Kenya: Improving democracy in spite of political rhetoricAfrobarometer
Democratic preferences: A majority of Kenyans prefer democratic, accountable governance in which:
Leaders are elected in free and fair elections.
Political parties compete in an open field.
The president is accountable to the people and Parliament.
Visit www.afrobarometer.org for more publications.
This presentation is available here: http://afrobarometer.org/media-briefings/kenya-improving-democracy-spite-political-rhetoric
Colorado Unaffiliated Women Voter Post Election Survey Summary 121714Magellan Strategies
This document is a summary of a post-election landline and cell phone survey of 500 unaffiliated women voters in Colorado that voted in the 2014 general election. The interviews were conducted on November 17th and 18th, and the survey has a margin of error of +/- 4.38% at the 95 percent confidence interval. This group of women voters contributed 14% of the total vote, or 286,283 votes of the 2,080,071 total votes cast in the 2014 election.
The survey used Magellan Strategies Colorado segmentation data to draw the sample, which only surveyed female unaffiliated voters that voted in the 2014 general election. The three unaffiliated segments used were Lean Republican Unaffiliated, True Middle and Lean Democrat Unaffiliated. Among all unaffiliated women who voted in the 2014 general election, 17% were Lean Republican Unaffiliated, 48% were True Middle and 35% were Lean Democrat Unaffiliated.
Most observers of Colorado politics would confirm that unaffiliated women voters are an important voting block that can decide most elections in the Centennial state. These women voters are less partisan and more likely to consider candidates of both parties. This survey attempts to understand how these women viewed: the 2014 candidates for the United States Senate and Governor, the dominance of women’s issues, the Republican and Democrat parties, and their support for Hillary Clinton in 2016.
This memorandum is a summary of an automated survey of 869 likely voters in Maine. The survey was fielded October 23rd and 24th and has a margin of error of +/- 3.32% at the 95% confidence level.
The survey finds Republican Governor Paul LePage and Democrat Mike Michaud in a statistical tie with one week to go before Election Day. Among all voters, Paul LePage has 42.3% support; Mike Michaud has 41.6%, and independent candidate Eliot Cutler has 13.2% support. Among all male voters Paul LePage leads Mike Michaud by 3 points, 43% to 40% respectively, and among all female voters Mike Michaud leads by 1 point, 43% to 42% respectively. Independent Eliot Cutler’s strongest base of support is among married men and independent voters, with 16%.
The image ratings of both Paul LePage and Mike Michaud are very similar. Among all voters, 47% have a favorable opinion of Mike Michaud and 46% have an unfavorable opinion of him. For Paul LePage 48% of voters have a favorable opinion of him and 47% have an unfavorable opinion of him. The following table shows the ballot test by voter subgroup.
Sutherland Institute Utah Medicare Expansion Survey Summary 091514Magellan Strategies
The survey finds that Utah registered voters are reluctant to favor any of the four Medicaid expansion proposals currently being considered by Governor Herbert and the state legislature. Of the four Medicaid expansion proposals that were tested in the survey, no individual proposal received 50% support among respondents. After explaining the details of each proposal in a stand-alone question format, on average 30% of respondents were unsure if they favored or opposed the proposals. Of the four proposals, the “Do Not Expand Medicaid Right Now” proposal had the highest percentage of voters favoring a proposal with 45% and the lowest percentage opposing a proposal at 26%.
The Healthy Utah Proposal was favored by 32% of respondents, opposed by 40% of respondents, and 28% were unsure or did not have an opinion of the proposal. The Traditional Medicaid Expansion and Partial Medicaid Expansion proposals were the least favored proposals by voters, with only 21% and 19% favoring them respectively. A near majority of 49% and 48% of voters oppose the Traditional and Partial Medicaid Expansion proposals, respectively.
After respondents were informed about the details of each proposal and then asked to choose which one they believed was the best proposal that should be implemented, a plurality of 31% chose the “Do Not Expand Medicaid Right Now” proposal. Seventeen percent chose the Healthy Utah Proposal, 15% chose the Traditional Medicaid Expansion Proposal, and 10% chose the Partial Medicaid Expansion Proposal. One in five respondents, or 20%, were unsure or did not know which proposal was the best and should be implemented, and 7% did not like any of the proposals.
National Mining Association Kentucky EPA Regulation Survey Summary 091014Magellan Strategies
Survey of likely 2014 Kentucky general election voters, measuring voter opinion of the Obama Administration's proposed emission regulation and the United States Senate election between Mitch McConnell and Alison Lundergan Grimes.
Magellan Strategies BR today released the survey results today of an automated survey of 1,618 likely New Hampshire voters. The survey was conducted July 16-17. The margin of error for a survey of this size is 2.43%. The survey was commissioned by Citizens for a Strong New Hampshire. Aided by a dismal political environment, Scott Brown is within 5 points of defeating Jeanne Shaheen.
Magellan Strategies BR today released the survey results today of an automated survey of 1,618 likely New Hampshire voters. The survey was conducted July 16-17. The margin of error for a survey of this size is 2.43%. The survey was commissioned by Citizens for a Strong New Hampshire. Aided by a dismal political environment, Scott Brown is within 5 points of defeating Jeanne Shaheen.
Magellan Strategies BR today released the survey results today of an automated survey of 1,618 likely New Hampshire voters. The survey was conducted July 16-17. The margin of error for a survey of this size is 2.43%. The survey was commissioned by Citizens for a Strong New Hampshire. Aided by a dismal political environment, Scott Brown is within 5 points of defeating Jeanne Shaheen.
Magellan Strategies 2012 Internal Survey Research Summary Memorandum 120612Magellan Strategies
This memorandum is a full review of Magellan Strategies surveys from the 2012 election cycle. The memorandum goes into detail about the challenges of survey research for the cycle, and how well Magellan Strategies research held up to the final outcome.
Survey of likely 2014 likely voters in Arkansas, Colorado, Georgia, Kentucky, Louisiana, Michigan, Montana and North Carolina measuring opinion of the proposed EPA carbon emissions regulations.
Future Of Fintech In India | Evolution Of Fintech In IndiaTheUnitedIndian
Navigating the Future of Fintech in India: Insights into how AI, blockchain, and digital payments are driving unprecedented growth in India's fintech industry, redefining financial services and accessibility.
31052024_First India Newspaper Jaipur.pdfFIRST INDIA
Find Latest India News and Breaking News these days from India on Politics, Business, Entertainment, Technology, Sports, Lifestyle and Coronavirus News in India and the world over that you can't miss. For real time update Visit our social media handle. Read First India NewsPaper in your morning replace. Visit First India.
CLICK:- https://firstindia.co.in/
#First_India_NewsPaper
हम आग्रह करते हैं कि जो भी सत्ता में आए, वह संविधान का पालन करे, उसकी रक्षा करे और उसे बनाए रखे।" प्रस्ताव में कुल तीन प्रमुख हस्तक्षेप और उनके तंत्र भी प्रस्तुत किए गए। पहला हस्तक्षेप स्वतंत्र मीडिया को प्रोत्साहित करके, वास्तविकता पर आधारित काउंटर नैरेटिव का निर्माण करके और सत्तारूढ़ सरकार द्वारा नियोजित मनोवैज्ञानिक हेरफेर की रणनीति का मुकाबला करके लोगों द्वारा निर्धारित कथा को बनाए रखना और उस पर कार्यकरना था।
Welcome to the new Mizzima Weekly !
Mizzima Media Group is pleased to announce the relaunch of Mizzima Weekly. Mizzima is dedicated to helping our readers and viewers keep up to date on the latest developments in Myanmar and related to Myanmar by offering analysis and insight into the subjects that matter. Our websites and our social media channels provide readers and viewers with up-to-the-minute and up-to-date news, which we don’t necessarily need to replicate in our Mizzima Weekly magazine. But where we see a gap is in providing more analysis, insight and in-depth coverage of Myanmar, that is of particular interest to a range of readers.
‘वोटर्स विल मस्ट प्रीवेल’ (मतदाताओं को जीतना होगा) अभियान द्वारा जारी हेल्पलाइन नंबर, 4 जून को सुबह 7 बजे से दोपहर 12 बजे तक मतगणना प्रक्रिया में कहीं भी किसी भी तरह के उल्लंघन की रिपोर्ट करने के लिए खुला रहेगा।
ys jagan mohan reddy political career, Biography.pdfVoterMood
Yeduguri Sandinti Jagan Mohan Reddy, often referred to as Y.S. Jagan Mohan Reddy, is an Indian politician who currently serves as the Chief Minister of the state of Andhra Pradesh. He was born on December 21, 1972, in Pulivendula, Andhra Pradesh, to Yeduguri Sandinti Rajasekhara Reddy (popularly known as YSR), a former Chief Minister of Andhra Pradesh, and Y.S. Vijayamma.
01062024_First India Newspaper Jaipur.pdfFIRST INDIA
Find Latest India News and Breaking News these days from India on Politics, Business, Entertainment, Technology, Sports, Lifestyle and Coronavirus News in India and the world over that you can't miss. For real time update Visit our social media handle. Read First India NewsPaper in your morning replace. Visit First India.
CLICK:- https://firstindia.co.in/
#First_India_NewsPaper
role of women and girls in various terror groupssadiakorobi2
Women have three distinct types of involvement: direct involvement in terrorist acts; enabling of others to commit such acts; and facilitating the disengagement of others from violent or extremist groups.
03062024_First India Newspaper Jaipur.pdfFIRST INDIA
Find Latest India News and Breaking News these days from India on Politics, Business, Entertainment, Technology, Sports, Lifestyle and Coronavirus News in India and the world over that you can't miss. For real time update Visit our social media handle. Read First India NewsPaper in your morning replace. Visit First India.
CLICK:- https://firstindia.co.in/
#First_India_NewsPaper
In a May 9, 2024 paper, Juri Opitz from the University of Zurich, along with Shira Wein and Nathan Schneider form Georgetown University, discussed the importance of linguistic expertise in natural language processing (NLP) in an era dominated by large language models (LLMs).
The authors explained that while machine translation (MT) previously relied heavily on linguists, the landscape has shifted. “Linguistics is no longer front and center in the way we build NLP systems,” they said. With the emergence of LLMs, which can generate fluent text without the need for specialized modules to handle grammar or semantic coherence, the need for linguistic expertise in NLP is being questioned.
27052024_First India Newspaper Jaipur.pdfFIRST INDIA
Find Latest India News and Breaking News these days from India on Politics, Business, Entertainment, Technology, Sports, Lifestyle and Coronavirus News in India and the world over that you can't miss. For real time update Visit our social media handle. Read First India NewsPaper in your morning replace. Visit First India.
CLICK:- https://firstindia.co.in/
#First_India_NewsPaper
2. Going Beyond the Voter
File:
Using Predictive Data Modeling
to Dramatically Improve Voter
Targeting
2
3. Successful campaigns use data and
information to make decisions. Voter file
data is the most common source of data
used by campaigns because it is affordable
and readily available.
3
4. How do most campaign
decision makers use
voter file data to target
voters for turnout and
persuasion programs?
4
5. Traditional Voter Targeting
Methods Using Voter File Data
Voted in 4 of the past 4 general elections
Voted in last two off year elections, 2006
and 2010
Voters that have never voted in a primary
Target by party, Republicans and
independents.
If available, past voter ID work on file,
identifying Romney voter, Obama voter,
etc.
If available, issue preference data, pro-life,
pro-gun, control government spending
Social networking or digital data
5
7. Limits of Traditional Voter
Targeting Methods Using Voter
File Data
You can only target by party, age,
gender and vote history, OK for turnout,
not great for persuasion
You don’t know who the weak
Republicans are, which are open to
voting for a Democrat
Among independents, you know who is
likely to vote, but you don’t know which
ones lean Republican, which are truly in
the middle, and which ones are
Democrats in disguise.
7
9. What is Predictive Data Modeling?
English Version:
Predictive data modeling predicts a voter’s
political beliefs. It predicts if someone is
pro-life, pro-gun, or pro-gay marriage. It
predicts if you are voting for Cory Gardner
or Mark Udall, or if you are voting for a
Republican candidate or a Democrat
candidate for the state legislature.
It predicts if you are going to vote or not
this November. The ability to predict these
things in an election is a competitive
advantage.
9
10. What is Predictive Data Modeling?
Statistical Version:
Predictive data modeling encompasses a
variety of statistical techniques, machine
learning, mathematical algorithms and
data mining to make predictions about
future behavior or future events .
Businesses of all shapes and sizes use
predictive data modeling to run their
operations more efficiently, to make better
decisions, and to gain a competitive edge
over their competitors.
10
11. Examples of Predictive Data
Modeling in Business
LinkedIn and Facebook predict your
friends and colleagues.
Comcast, DirectTV, and phone carriers
predict “churn”, customers that are
about to switch to a competitor.
Target famously predicted women
customers that were about to become
pregnant based on purchasing data.
Amazon predicts suggested sales
purchases effectively.
Insurance companies predict when you
die. 11
12. Examples of Predictive Data
Modeling in Business
The IRS uses predictive modeling to
predict individuals hiding income.
Hewlett Packard human resources
department has a modeling score for
each employee to predict who is likely
to leave the company or quit.
Medical researchers predict cancer
better than doctors by using patient
data.
The 2012 Obama campaign used
predictive modeling to create a
superior voter targeting program. 12
13. What is the Colorado
Voter Segmentation
Project?
13
14. Colorado Voter Segmentation Project
14
It puts all 3.5 million Colorado
voters into 11 segments.
It segments Republican voters
into 4 groups, ranging from very
conservative to moderate in
their political beliefs.
It segments Democrats voters
into 4 groups, ranging from very
liberal to moderate in their
political beliefs.
It segments Independent voters
into 3 groups, Lean Republican,
Lean Democrat and the “True
Middle”.
21. Colorado Voter Segmentation
Modeling Project, Feb. 2014
9,500n statewide survey of Colorado
registered voters
Built 21 different predictive models based
on questions about views of government,
fiscal issues, social issues, domestic
issues.
Grouped 3.5 million voters into 11
definable and easy to understand
segments.
Cross referenced with past vote history.
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22. CO Voter Segmentation Survey Questions
“Please tell me if you agree or disagree
with the following statements….”
“Government is almost always wasteful and
inefficient.”
“The government should do more to help
needy Americans even if it means going
deeper into debt.”
“Poor people have it easy because they
can get government benefits without doing
anything in return.”
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23. CO Voter Segmentation Survey Questions
“Please tell me if you agree or disagree
with the following statements….”
“Too much power is concentrated in the
hands of a few large companies.”
“Government regulation of business is
necessary to protect the public interest.”
“Immigrants today are a burden on our
country because they take our jobs,
housing and health care.”
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24. CO Voter Segmentation Survey Questions
“Please tell me if you agree or disagree with the
following statements….”
“Homosexuality should be discouraged by society.”
“Gay and lesbian couples have the right to get
married.”
“Stricter environmental laws and regulations cost
too many jobs and hurt the economy.”
“I have more than enough money to pay my bills
comfortably.”
“The only good reason for anyone to own a gun is
if they are employed by a law enforcement
agency.”
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27. Using the Data to Improve Voter
Targeting
There are 175,993 independent voters
in the “True Middle” segment that have
voted in 4 of the last 4 general
elections. They are going to vote this
November so they need be surveyed,
understood and communicated with.
There are 45,674 Solid Republicans
and 60,193 Soft Republicans that voted
in 2 of the last 4 elections. They need to
be turned out to vote.
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29. Using the Data to Improve Voter
Targeting
There are 62,038 independent voters
that lean Republican and voted in 4 of
the past 4 elections. They should be
surveyed for issue preference and then
turned out to vote.
There are 34,404 independent voters
that lean Republican and voted in 3 of
the past 4 general elections, they
should be surveyed, put into a voter id
pool and then turned out to vote.
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