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California CD23
Immigration
Survey
October 28th – 29th, 2013
Magellan Strategies are pleased to
present the results of a 687n autodial
survey of likely 2014 general election
voters in California Congressional
District 23. This survey was
commissioned by America’s Voice.
The interviewing was conducted
October 28th - 29th, 2013. This survey
has a margin of error of +/-3.73% at the
95 percent confidence interval.
McCarthy
Image Rating
Do you have a favorable or unfavorable
opinion of Congressman Kevin McCarthy?
60%

16% 5%
23%

53%
24%

23%

56%

11% 6%
MEN
FAVORABLE
HEARD OF, NO OPINION

20%

4%

WOMEN
UNFAVORABLE
NEVER HEARD OF

74%

FAVORABLE
HEARD OF, NO OPINION

46%

UNFAVORABLE
NEVER HEARD OF

51%
36%

8%

15%

24%
3%

REPUBLICAN

22%
8%

DEMOCRAT

11%

2%

INDEPENDENT
Do you have a favorable or unfavorable
opinion of Congressman Kevin McCarthy?
16% 5%
56%

23%

FAVORABLE

UNFAVORABLE

HEARD OF, NO OPINION

NEVER HEARD OF

69%

68%

52%

30%
16%

18%
8% 9%

18-34

16%
6% 8%

35-44

54%

50%

45-54

25%

22% 23%
2%

17%

5%
55-64

4%
65+
Do you have a favorable or unfavorable
opinion of Congressman Kevin McCarthy?
16% 5%
23%

58%

58%

56%
24%

21%
17%
2%

WHITE

11% 11%
HISPANIC

FAVORABLE

UNFAVORABLE

FAVORABLE

UNFAVORABLE

HEARD OF, NO OPINION

NEVER HEARD OF

HEARD OF, NO OPINION

NEVER HEARD OF
Voter Opinion on
Immigration
Reform
Thinking now about immigration reform…As you may know, the House of Representatives is
beginning to consider different immigration reform proposals. One option is legislation that
would significantly increase border security, block employers from hiring undocumented
immigrants, and make sure that undocumented immigrants already in the U.S. with no
criminal record register for legal status. If immigrants were to meet a list of
requirements, they could eventually apply for citizenship. Knowing this information, would
you support or oppose this legislation?
47%

21%

39%

3%

40%

26%

11%

76%

14% 2%

6%

MEN

SOMEWHAT SUPPORT

SOMEWHAT OPPOSE

UNSURE

STRONGLY OPPOSE

46%

43%

39%
35%

31%
TOTAL OPPOSE

4%

WOMEN

STRONGLY SUPPORT

TOTAL SUPPORT

11%

35%

UNSURE
15%
9%

3%

REPUBLICAN

7%

8%
3%

DEMOCRAT

12%
10%
4%
INDEPENDENT
Thinking now about immigration reform…As you may know, the House of Representatives is
beginning to consider different immigration reform proposals. One option is legislation that
would significantly increase border security, block employers from hiring undocumented
immigrants, and make sure that undocumented immigrants already in the U.S. with no
criminal record register for legal status. If immigrants were to meet a list of
requirements, they could eventually apply for citizenship. Knowing this information, would
you support or oppose this legislation?

21% 3%

76%

TOTAL SUPPORT

TOTAL OPPOSE

UNSURE

67%
47%
35%

41%

41%

38%

34%

32%

31%

22%
11%
18-34
STRONGLY SUPPORT

2%

11%

5%

35-44
SOMEWHAT SUPPORT

15% 15%

14%
2%

45-54
STRONGLY OPPOSE

11%
55-64

9%

3%

11%

4%

65+

SOMEWHAT OPPOSE

UNSURE
Thinking now about immigration reform…As you may know, the House of Representatives is
beginning to consider different immigration reform proposals. One option is legislation that
would significantly increase border security, block employers from hiring undocumented
immigrants, and make sure that undocumented immigrants already in the U.S. with no
criminal record register for legal status. If immigrants were to meet a list of
requirements, they could eventually apply for citizenship. Knowing this information, would
you support or oppose this legislation?

21%

50%

3%

41%

76%

34%
27%

13%
8%

11%
10%

WHITE
TOTAL SUPPORT

TOTAL OPPOSE

UNSURE

2%

4%
HISPANIC

STRONGLY SUPPORT

SOMEWHAT SUPPORT

STRONGLY OPPOSE

SOMEWHAT OPPOSE

UNSURE
Voter Opinion on
Immigration
Reform
Would you support or oppose an immigration reform plan that
ensures undocumented immigrants currently living in the U.S. pay a
penalty, learn English, pass a criminal background check, pay
taxes, and wait a minimum of thirteen years before they can be
eligible for citizenship?
48%
39%

24%

34%

3%

24%
11%

73%

14%

13%

10%

3%

MEN

WOMEN

STRONGLY SUPPORT

SOMEWHAT SUPPORT

SOMEWHAT OPPOSE

UNSURE

34%
29%

30%
TOTAL OPPOSE

STRONGLY OPPOSE

50%

46%

TOTAL SUPPORT

3%

UNSURE
9%

13% 2%

REPUBLICAN

27%

18%
15%

4%
DEMOCRAT

9%

9%

5%

INDEPENDENT
Would you support or oppose an immigration reform plan that
ensures undocumented immigrants currently living in the U.S. pay a
penalty, learn English, pass a criminal background check, pay
taxes, and wait a minimum of thirteen years before they can be
eligible for citizenship?

24%

3%

73%

TOTAL SUPPORT

TOTAL OPPOSE

UNSURE

61%
47%

3%

3%

18-34
STRONGLY SUPPORT

8% 12%
35-44
SOMEWHAT SUPPORT

38%
33%

31%

30%

20%
13%

41%

42%

33%

15%
2%
12%
45-54
STRONGLY OPPOSE

11% 12% 5%
55-64

12%

13%

4%

65+

SOMEWHAT OPPOSE

UNSURE
Would you support or oppose an immigration reform plan that
ensures undocumented immigrants currently living in the U.S. pay a
penalty, learn English, pass a criminal background check, pay
taxes, and wait a minimum of thirteen years before they can be
eligible for citizenship?

24%

3%

51%
41%

73%

31%
21%
15%
10%

15%
10%
4%

WHITE

3%

HISPANIC

STRONGLY SUPPORT
STRONGLY OPPOSE

TOTAL SUPPORT

TOTAL OPPOSE

UNSURE

SOMEWHAT SUPPORT
SOMEWHAT OPPOSE

UNSURE
Voter Opinion on
Bi-Partisan Plan
~
Image of
McCarthy
If your Congressman Kevin McCarthy worked with other Republicans and Democrats
to pass an immigration reform plan that ensured undocumented immigrants currently
living in the US pay a penalty, learn English, pass a criminal background check, pay
taxes and wait a minimum of thirteen years before becoming eligible for
citizenship, would you have a more favorable or less favorable opinion of Kevin
McCarthy , or would it not make a difference in your opinion of him?

34%

27%

4%

24%

15%

14%

13%
11%

45%

29%

27%

25%

12%
11%

4%

MEN

6%

WOMEN

MUCH MORE FAVORABLE

SOMEWHAT MORE FAVORABLE

MUCH LESS FAVORABLE

SOMEWHAT LESS FAVORABLE

NO DIFFERENCE

UNSURE

36%

36%
29%

TOTAL MORE FAVORABLE
NO DIFFERENCE

UNSURE

25%

24%

TOTAL LESS FAVORABLE

21%

13%

17%
15%

12%

8%

18%

13%

12%

9%
5%

3%

REPUBLICAN

DEMOCRAT

5%

INDEPENDENT
If your Congressman Kevin McCarthy worked with other Republicans and Democrats
to pass an immigration reform plan that ensured undocumented immigrants currently
living in the US pay a penalty, learn English, pass a criminal background check, pay
taxes and wait a minimum of thirteen years before becoming eligible for
citizenship, would you have a more favorable or less favorable opinion of Kevin
McCarthy , or would it not make a difference in your opinion of him?

27%

4%

45%

24%
TOTAL MORE FAVORABLE
NO DIFFERENCE

TOTAL LESS FAVORABLE
UNSURE

48%
34%

14%
9% 8%

18%

23%
21%

4%

18-34
MUCH MORE FAVORABLE
SOMEWHAT LESS FAVORABLE

24%
16%

8%
35-44

7%

23%
16%
11%
10%

13%
6%

45-54
SOMEWHAT MORE FAVORABLE
NO DIFFERENCE

33%

28%

28%

28%

17%

10%
55-64

4%

14%
11% 10%

4%

65+
MUCH LESS FAVORABLE
UNSURE
If your Congressman Kevin McCarthy worked with other Republicans and Democrats
to pass an immigration reform plan that ensured undocumented immigrants currently
living in the US pay a penalty, learn English, pass a criminal background check, pay
taxes and wait a minimum of thirteen years before becoming eligible for
citizenship, would you have a more favorable or less favorable opinion of Kevin
McCarthy , or would it not make a difference in your opinion of him?

27%

39%

4%
45%

24%

30%

29%

18%
18%
14%
9%

17%
11%
10%
3%
WHITE

TOTAL MORE FAVORABLE

TOTAL LESS FAVORABLE

NO DIFFERENCE

UNSURE

2%
HISPANIC

MUCH MORE FAVORABLE

SOMEWHAT MORE FAVORABLE

MUCH LESS FAVORABLE

SOMEWHAT LESS FAVORABLE

NO DIFFERENCE

UNSURE
Demographics
Demographics

52%

48%

31%

25%
20%
12%

Female

18-34

Male

12%
35-44

45-54

55-64

65+

17%
68%

28%
21%

White

Hispanic

5%
Black

55%

6%
Other

Republican

Democrat

Independent

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California Congressional District 23 Immigration Reform Survey - Magellan Strategies

  • 2. Magellan Strategies are pleased to present the results of a 687n autodial survey of likely 2014 general election voters in California Congressional District 23. This survey was commissioned by America’s Voice. The interviewing was conducted October 28th - 29th, 2013. This survey has a margin of error of +/-3.73% at the 95 percent confidence interval.
  • 4. Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Congressman Kevin McCarthy? 60% 16% 5% 23% 53% 24% 23% 56% 11% 6% MEN FAVORABLE HEARD OF, NO OPINION 20% 4% WOMEN UNFAVORABLE NEVER HEARD OF 74% FAVORABLE HEARD OF, NO OPINION 46% UNFAVORABLE NEVER HEARD OF 51% 36% 8% 15% 24% 3% REPUBLICAN 22% 8% DEMOCRAT 11% 2% INDEPENDENT
  • 5. Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Congressman Kevin McCarthy? 16% 5% 56% 23% FAVORABLE UNFAVORABLE HEARD OF, NO OPINION NEVER HEARD OF 69% 68% 52% 30% 16% 18% 8% 9% 18-34 16% 6% 8% 35-44 54% 50% 45-54 25% 22% 23% 2% 17% 5% 55-64 4% 65+
  • 6. Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Congressman Kevin McCarthy? 16% 5% 23% 58% 58% 56% 24% 21% 17% 2% WHITE 11% 11% HISPANIC FAVORABLE UNFAVORABLE FAVORABLE UNFAVORABLE HEARD OF, NO OPINION NEVER HEARD OF HEARD OF, NO OPINION NEVER HEARD OF
  • 8. Thinking now about immigration reform…As you may know, the House of Representatives is beginning to consider different immigration reform proposals. One option is legislation that would significantly increase border security, block employers from hiring undocumented immigrants, and make sure that undocumented immigrants already in the U.S. with no criminal record register for legal status. If immigrants were to meet a list of requirements, they could eventually apply for citizenship. Knowing this information, would you support or oppose this legislation? 47% 21% 39% 3% 40% 26% 11% 76% 14% 2% 6% MEN SOMEWHAT SUPPORT SOMEWHAT OPPOSE UNSURE STRONGLY OPPOSE 46% 43% 39% 35% 31% TOTAL OPPOSE 4% WOMEN STRONGLY SUPPORT TOTAL SUPPORT 11% 35% UNSURE 15% 9% 3% REPUBLICAN 7% 8% 3% DEMOCRAT 12% 10% 4% INDEPENDENT
  • 9. Thinking now about immigration reform…As you may know, the House of Representatives is beginning to consider different immigration reform proposals. One option is legislation that would significantly increase border security, block employers from hiring undocumented immigrants, and make sure that undocumented immigrants already in the U.S. with no criminal record register for legal status. If immigrants were to meet a list of requirements, they could eventually apply for citizenship. Knowing this information, would you support or oppose this legislation? 21% 3% 76% TOTAL SUPPORT TOTAL OPPOSE UNSURE 67% 47% 35% 41% 41% 38% 34% 32% 31% 22% 11% 18-34 STRONGLY SUPPORT 2% 11% 5% 35-44 SOMEWHAT SUPPORT 15% 15% 14% 2% 45-54 STRONGLY OPPOSE 11% 55-64 9% 3% 11% 4% 65+ SOMEWHAT OPPOSE UNSURE
  • 10. Thinking now about immigration reform…As you may know, the House of Representatives is beginning to consider different immigration reform proposals. One option is legislation that would significantly increase border security, block employers from hiring undocumented immigrants, and make sure that undocumented immigrants already in the U.S. with no criminal record register for legal status. If immigrants were to meet a list of requirements, they could eventually apply for citizenship. Knowing this information, would you support or oppose this legislation? 21% 50% 3% 41% 76% 34% 27% 13% 8% 11% 10% WHITE TOTAL SUPPORT TOTAL OPPOSE UNSURE 2% 4% HISPANIC STRONGLY SUPPORT SOMEWHAT SUPPORT STRONGLY OPPOSE SOMEWHAT OPPOSE UNSURE
  • 12. Would you support or oppose an immigration reform plan that ensures undocumented immigrants currently living in the U.S. pay a penalty, learn English, pass a criminal background check, pay taxes, and wait a minimum of thirteen years before they can be eligible for citizenship? 48% 39% 24% 34% 3% 24% 11% 73% 14% 13% 10% 3% MEN WOMEN STRONGLY SUPPORT SOMEWHAT SUPPORT SOMEWHAT OPPOSE UNSURE 34% 29% 30% TOTAL OPPOSE STRONGLY OPPOSE 50% 46% TOTAL SUPPORT 3% UNSURE 9% 13% 2% REPUBLICAN 27% 18% 15% 4% DEMOCRAT 9% 9% 5% INDEPENDENT
  • 13. Would you support or oppose an immigration reform plan that ensures undocumented immigrants currently living in the U.S. pay a penalty, learn English, pass a criminal background check, pay taxes, and wait a minimum of thirteen years before they can be eligible for citizenship? 24% 3% 73% TOTAL SUPPORT TOTAL OPPOSE UNSURE 61% 47% 3% 3% 18-34 STRONGLY SUPPORT 8% 12% 35-44 SOMEWHAT SUPPORT 38% 33% 31% 30% 20% 13% 41% 42% 33% 15% 2% 12% 45-54 STRONGLY OPPOSE 11% 12% 5% 55-64 12% 13% 4% 65+ SOMEWHAT OPPOSE UNSURE
  • 14. Would you support or oppose an immigration reform plan that ensures undocumented immigrants currently living in the U.S. pay a penalty, learn English, pass a criminal background check, pay taxes, and wait a minimum of thirteen years before they can be eligible for citizenship? 24% 3% 51% 41% 73% 31% 21% 15% 10% 15% 10% 4% WHITE 3% HISPANIC STRONGLY SUPPORT STRONGLY OPPOSE TOTAL SUPPORT TOTAL OPPOSE UNSURE SOMEWHAT SUPPORT SOMEWHAT OPPOSE UNSURE
  • 15. Voter Opinion on Bi-Partisan Plan ~ Image of McCarthy
  • 16. If your Congressman Kevin McCarthy worked with other Republicans and Democrats to pass an immigration reform plan that ensured undocumented immigrants currently living in the US pay a penalty, learn English, pass a criminal background check, pay taxes and wait a minimum of thirteen years before becoming eligible for citizenship, would you have a more favorable or less favorable opinion of Kevin McCarthy , or would it not make a difference in your opinion of him? 34% 27% 4% 24% 15% 14% 13% 11% 45% 29% 27% 25% 12% 11% 4% MEN 6% WOMEN MUCH MORE FAVORABLE SOMEWHAT MORE FAVORABLE MUCH LESS FAVORABLE SOMEWHAT LESS FAVORABLE NO DIFFERENCE UNSURE 36% 36% 29% TOTAL MORE FAVORABLE NO DIFFERENCE UNSURE 25% 24% TOTAL LESS FAVORABLE 21% 13% 17% 15% 12% 8% 18% 13% 12% 9% 5% 3% REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT 5% INDEPENDENT
  • 17. If your Congressman Kevin McCarthy worked with other Republicans and Democrats to pass an immigration reform plan that ensured undocumented immigrants currently living in the US pay a penalty, learn English, pass a criminal background check, pay taxes and wait a minimum of thirteen years before becoming eligible for citizenship, would you have a more favorable or less favorable opinion of Kevin McCarthy , or would it not make a difference in your opinion of him? 27% 4% 45% 24% TOTAL MORE FAVORABLE NO DIFFERENCE TOTAL LESS FAVORABLE UNSURE 48% 34% 14% 9% 8% 18% 23% 21% 4% 18-34 MUCH MORE FAVORABLE SOMEWHAT LESS FAVORABLE 24% 16% 8% 35-44 7% 23% 16% 11% 10% 13% 6% 45-54 SOMEWHAT MORE FAVORABLE NO DIFFERENCE 33% 28% 28% 28% 17% 10% 55-64 4% 14% 11% 10% 4% 65+ MUCH LESS FAVORABLE UNSURE
  • 18. If your Congressman Kevin McCarthy worked with other Republicans and Democrats to pass an immigration reform plan that ensured undocumented immigrants currently living in the US pay a penalty, learn English, pass a criminal background check, pay taxes and wait a minimum of thirteen years before becoming eligible for citizenship, would you have a more favorable or less favorable opinion of Kevin McCarthy , or would it not make a difference in your opinion of him? 27% 39% 4% 45% 24% 30% 29% 18% 18% 14% 9% 17% 11% 10% 3% WHITE TOTAL MORE FAVORABLE TOTAL LESS FAVORABLE NO DIFFERENCE UNSURE 2% HISPANIC MUCH MORE FAVORABLE SOMEWHAT MORE FAVORABLE MUCH LESS FAVORABLE SOMEWHAT LESS FAVORABLE NO DIFFERENCE UNSURE