Next 100 Years
Some Current Implications
in 15 minutes?
“Prospective on the World 2015”
México City, June 24-25, 2015
Jerome C. Glenn, CEO
The Millennium Project
Dense particles normally circling Earth, deep inside the magnetosphere,
can extend a long arm out to meet – and help block – incoming solar material.
http://www.nasa.gov/sites/default/files/plume.gif
The Magnetosphere may weaken
enough In 500 years to no longer
protect life on the Earth
The sooner we start making plans to
leave the earth, the better
Run Away Greenhouse
at 1000 ppm CO2: Jim Hanson,
NASA http://www.scientificamerican.com/article/fact-or-
fiction-runaway-greenhouse/
Hydrogen Sulfate 1000 ppm kills planetary
life , Peter Ward, Under a Green Sky
http://blogs.scientificamerican.com/observations/paleontolog
ist-peter-wards-medea-hypothesis-life-is-out-to-get-you/
US-China Joint Goal: 350 ppm
The sooner we start making plans to leave
the earth, the better…Insurance Policy
A single individual acting along eventually will be able to
make and deploy a weapon of mass destruction (SIMAD)
The public was not involved in Nuclear Deterrence other
than paying taxes, SIMAD is different – the public is key
The sooner we start making plans to leave the earth,
the better…Insurance Policy
When this
begins to
happen, the
speed of
increasing AI’s
intelligence will
be far faster
and produce
more change
than Moore’s
Law
by responding to feedback from
sensor networks worldwide,
will accelerate AI’s intelligence
worldwide… moment by moment
Artificial General Intelligence or Super Intelligence…
that can autonomously “write” and
improve its code…
Inevitability of New Economics
• Concentration of wealth is increasing
• Income gaps are widening
• Employment-less economic growth seems the new normal
• Return on investment in capital and technology is usually
better than labor
• Will future technologies create or replace more jobs?
• 25-50% unemployment is a business-as-usual forecast
without new economic approaches
• If so, will some form of guaranteed income be necessary?
Future of Work/Technology 2025 Study
1. Literature and Related Research Review
2. Real-Time Delphi
3. Road Maps and Scenario Drafts
4. RTDelphi Feedback on the Scenarios
5. Final Scenarios, Policy Implications, and produce initial report
6. Initial Report as input to the National Planning Workshops
7. Collect results of the national planning workshops, analyze &
synthesize results
8. Final report for public discussion
One-Person
Businesses
Find markets
around the
world for what
you are
interested in
doing
not non-existing
jobs
What could this look
like in 2115?
Will we create our own Avatars to be our Cyber-selves?
Could this find
your future
each day?
Your own cyber
clone?
Next Mega Trend:
Conscious-Technology
When the distinction between these two trends becomes
blurred, we will have reached the Post-Information
Age
HUMANS BECOMING CYBORGS
BUILT ENVIRONMENT
BECOMING INTELLIGENT
1985
2000
2015
2030
Simplification/Generalization of History
and an Alternative Future
Age /
Element Product Power Wealth Place War Time
Agricultural
Extraction
Food/Res Religion Land Earth/Res Location Cyclical
Industrial Machine Nation-State Capital Factory Resources Linear
Information Info/serv Corporation Access Office Perception Flexible
Conscious-
Technology
Linkage Individual Being Motion Identity Invented
If Then Nano-
technology
Synthetic
Biology
Artificial
Intelligence
Robotics 3-D Printing Augmented
Reality
Nano-
technology xxx
Synthetic
Biology xxx
Artificial
Intelligence xxx
Robotics
xxx
3-D Printing
xxx
Augmented
Reality xxx
EmergingTechnologiesTable
Future Technology Synergies
Some Future Technologies shaping
the next 100 Years
Artificial
Intelligence
Robotic
manufacturing
Computational Science
3-D4-D Priting
Nanotechnology
Quantum computing
Synthetic Biology
Drones
Artificial General
Intelligence
Tele-Everything &
Tele-Everybody
the SemanticWeb
Future Technology Synergies
Robotic
manufacturing
Drones
Quantum
computing
Robotic
manufacturing
3D and 4D Printing
Augmented Reality
Tele-Presence,
Holographics
Nanotechnology
Artificial General
Intelligence
Tele-Everything
Tele-Everybody
the Semantic Web
Increasing individual
and collective
intelligence
Synthetic Biology
Conscious-Technology
Future Technology Synergies
Artificial
Intelligence
Robotics
Nanotechnology
Quantum
computing
Drones
Future
Technology
Conscious-Technology
3D and 4D Printing
Augmented Reality,
Tele-Presence,
Holographics
Collective Intelligence Systems:
Each Can Change the Other
Global Futures Intelligence System https://themp.org
Next 100 Years (2115): Some likelies …
• Indefinite Healthy Life Extension
• Augmented geniuses
• Synergies Among: Artificial General Intelligence, Robotics,
Synthetic biology, Atomically Precise Manufacturing,
3D/4D printing, Quantum Computing, Cognitive Science
• Basic guaranteed income – Self-Actualization Economy
• Conscious-Technology Civilization
• Beginnings of space migration in parallel with the Earth
Naturals saying home
What is the first thinking? And what
does the second think about that?
For further information
Jerome C. Glenn
The Millennium Project
4421 Garrison Street, NW,
Washington, D.C. 20016 USA
+1-202-686-5179 phone/fax
Jerome.Glenn@Millennium-Project.org
www.StateoftheFuture.org
www.themp.org (Global Futures Intelligence System)

Mexico 2015 perspective on the world

  • 1.
    Next 100 Years SomeCurrent Implications in 15 minutes? “Prospective on the World 2015” México City, June 24-25, 2015 Jerome C. Glenn, CEO The Millennium Project
  • 2.
    Dense particles normallycircling Earth, deep inside the magnetosphere, can extend a long arm out to meet – and help block – incoming solar material. http://www.nasa.gov/sites/default/files/plume.gif The Magnetosphere may weaken enough In 500 years to no longer protect life on the Earth The sooner we start making plans to leave the earth, the better
  • 3.
    Run Away Greenhouse at1000 ppm CO2: Jim Hanson, NASA http://www.scientificamerican.com/article/fact-or- fiction-runaway-greenhouse/ Hydrogen Sulfate 1000 ppm kills planetary life , Peter Ward, Under a Green Sky http://blogs.scientificamerican.com/observations/paleontolog ist-peter-wards-medea-hypothesis-life-is-out-to-get-you/ US-China Joint Goal: 350 ppm The sooner we start making plans to leave the earth, the better…Insurance Policy
  • 4.
    A single individualacting along eventually will be able to make and deploy a weapon of mass destruction (SIMAD) The public was not involved in Nuclear Deterrence other than paying taxes, SIMAD is different – the public is key The sooner we start making plans to leave the earth, the better…Insurance Policy
  • 5.
    When this begins to happen,the speed of increasing AI’s intelligence will be far faster and produce more change than Moore’s Law by responding to feedback from sensor networks worldwide, will accelerate AI’s intelligence worldwide… moment by moment Artificial General Intelligence or Super Intelligence… that can autonomously “write” and improve its code…
  • 6.
    Inevitability of NewEconomics • Concentration of wealth is increasing • Income gaps are widening • Employment-less economic growth seems the new normal • Return on investment in capital and technology is usually better than labor • Will future technologies create or replace more jobs? • 25-50% unemployment is a business-as-usual forecast without new economic approaches • If so, will some form of guaranteed income be necessary?
  • 7.
    Future of Work/Technology2025 Study 1. Literature and Related Research Review 2. Real-Time Delphi 3. Road Maps and Scenario Drafts 4. RTDelphi Feedback on the Scenarios 5. Final Scenarios, Policy Implications, and produce initial report 6. Initial Report as input to the National Planning Workshops 7. Collect results of the national planning workshops, analyze & synthesize results 8. Final report for public discussion
  • 8.
    One-Person Businesses Find markets around the worldfor what you are interested in doing not non-existing jobs What could this look like in 2115?
  • 9.
    Will we createour own Avatars to be our Cyber-selves? Could this find your future each day? Your own cyber clone?
  • 10.
    Next Mega Trend: Conscious-Technology Whenthe distinction between these two trends becomes blurred, we will have reached the Post-Information Age HUMANS BECOMING CYBORGS BUILT ENVIRONMENT BECOMING INTELLIGENT 1985 2000 2015 2030
  • 11.
    Simplification/Generalization of History andan Alternative Future Age / Element Product Power Wealth Place War Time Agricultural Extraction Food/Res Religion Land Earth/Res Location Cyclical Industrial Machine Nation-State Capital Factory Resources Linear Information Info/serv Corporation Access Office Perception Flexible Conscious- Technology Linkage Individual Being Motion Identity Invented
  • 12.
    If Then Nano- technology Synthetic Biology Artificial Intelligence Robotics3-D Printing Augmented Reality Nano- technology xxx Synthetic Biology xxx Artificial Intelligence xxx Robotics xxx 3-D Printing xxx Augmented Reality xxx EmergingTechnologiesTable
  • 13.
  • 14.
    Some Future Technologiesshaping the next 100 Years Artificial Intelligence Robotic manufacturing Computational Science 3-D4-D Priting Nanotechnology Quantum computing Synthetic Biology Drones Artificial General Intelligence Tele-Everything & Tele-Everybody the SemanticWeb
  • 15.
    Future Technology Synergies Robotic manufacturing Drones Quantum computing Robotic manufacturing 3Dand 4D Printing Augmented Reality Tele-Presence, Holographics Nanotechnology Artificial General Intelligence Tele-Everything Tele-Everybody the Semantic Web Increasing individual and collective intelligence Synthetic Biology Conscious-Technology
  • 16.
  • 17.
  • 18.
    Global Futures IntelligenceSystem https://themp.org
  • 19.
    Next 100 Years(2115): Some likelies … • Indefinite Healthy Life Extension • Augmented geniuses • Synergies Among: Artificial General Intelligence, Robotics, Synthetic biology, Atomically Precise Manufacturing, 3D/4D printing, Quantum Computing, Cognitive Science • Basic guaranteed income – Self-Actualization Economy • Conscious-Technology Civilization • Beginnings of space migration in parallel with the Earth Naturals saying home
  • 20.
    What is thefirst thinking? And what does the second think about that?
  • 21.
    For further information JeromeC. Glenn The Millennium Project 4421 Garrison Street, NW, Washington, D.C. 20016 USA +1-202-686-5179 phone/fax Jerome.Glenn@Millennium-Project.org www.StateoftheFuture.org www.themp.org (Global Futures Intelligence System)