This document summarizes a global study conducted by The Millennium Project on the future of work and technology. It describes 3 potential scenarios for how work and technology might evolve by 2050: 1) Continued business as usual leads to mixed outcomes, 2) Political and economic turmoil causes widespread unemployment, and 3) A self-actualizing economy is created through anticipating technology's impacts. Over 90 actions are identified and assessed that could help countries prepare for coming changes to work through education, governance, and cultural reforms. The study aims to start global discussions around ensuring new technologies benefit humanity.
Korea World Strategy Forum 2016
EDaily the Korean Media Company brought me back to Seoul to address the World Strategy Forum on the Work/Tech 2050 study and scenarios. Nick Bostrom of Oxford (a leading philosopher of AI) was also a keynote speaker along with other Korean AI-related experts. Future impacts of various forms of AI continue as a hot topic in South Korea, due to an AI program’s defeat of a GO Champion. This is my third trip to Seoul on this topic in two months.
Spain work tech 2050 scenarios and national workshopsJerome Glenn
Intro to The Millennium Project, inevitability of new economics, global study on future work/technology 2050, three global work/tech 2050 scenarios, and workshops to explore national long-range strategies to address issue raised in the scenarios.
Korea World Strategy Forum 2016
EDaily the Korean Media Company brought me back to Seoul to address the World Strategy Forum on the Work/Tech 2050 study and scenarios. Nick Bostrom of Oxford (a leading philosopher of AI) was also a keynote speaker along with other Korean AI-related experts. Future impacts of various forms of AI continue as a hot topic in South Korea, due to an AI program’s defeat of a GO Champion. This is my third trip to Seoul on this topic in two months.
Spain work tech 2050 scenarios and national workshopsJerome Glenn
Intro to The Millennium Project, inevitability of new economics, global study on future work/technology 2050, three global work/tech 2050 scenarios, and workshops to explore national long-range strategies to address issue raised in the scenarios.
Managing Future Impacts of Artificial Narrow, General, and Super Intelligence...Jerome Glenn
Reviews Millennium Project's Work/Technology 2050: Scenarios and Actions plus preparations for an international assessment for global governance of the transition from artificial narrow intelligence to artificial general intelligence
Towards a New Distributional EconomicsTim O'Reilly
A talk I gave on December 1, 2017 for a workshop on AI and the future of the economy organized by the OECD and the Berkeley Roundtable on the International Economy. In it, I explore implications of AI and internet-scale platforms for the design of markets, with the goal of starting a conversation about what we might call "distributional economics."
A brochure-style presentation to introduce the big picture vision for R7 Partners, a venture capital firm that finds, funds, and builds early-stage startups with ambitious innovation.
I talk about the evolution of digital content into services, the role of sensors in the future of the web, about the idea of man-machine collaboration in internet services, and about the role of social networking in building content.
NATO Workshop on Pre-Detection of Lone Wolf Terrorists of the FutureJerome Glenn
Future technological synergies will give lone wolf terrorists the ability to make and deploy a weapon of mass destruction (The Millennium Project calls this SIMAD - single individual massively destructive). Need to develop the public's roles around the world to prevent this.
Some Increasingly Significant Technology by 2050 for the European Commisssion...Jerome Glenn
This is an overview of future technology for consideration by the European Commission's KT (Knowledge Triangle: Innovation, Research, and Higher Education) 2050 Scenarios Group.
This is the pdf (with notes) of my slide deck from the Smart Disclosure Summit in Washington D.C. on March 30, 2012. Video will eventually be available.
Futurist Speaker Gerd Leonhard: Bottom Line Future Trends (summary)Gerd Leonhard
These are some of my favourite memes and bottom lines from 10+ recent slideshows and presentations see http://www.futuristgerd.com/category/gerd/gerds-presentations/ and www.gerdtube.com for videos
If you enjoy my slideshares please take a look at my new book “Technology vs Humanity” http://www.techvshuman.com or buy it via Amazon http://gerd.fm/globalTVHamazon
More at http://www.futuristgerd.com or www.gerdleonhard.de
Download all of my videos and PDFs at http://www.gerdcloud.net
About my new book: are you ready for the greatest changes in recent human history? Futurism meets humanism in Gerd Leonhard’s ground-breaking new work of critical observation, discussing the multiple Megashifts that will radically alter not just our society and economy but our values and our biology. Wherever you stand on the scale between technomania and nostalgia for a lost world, this is a book to challenge, provoke, warn and inspire.
This is the original keynote file for my talk at the Smart Disclosure Summit in Washington DC on March 30, 2012. I will upload a PDF with notes separately.
Why we should begin working on a global governance system for Artificial Gene...Jerome Glenn
Global Governance of the Transition from Artificial Narrow Intelligence to Artificial General Intelligence may take 10 to 15 years, AND some say AGI could happen with in 10 to 15 years, SO we study how this should or could be done now. Contact me if you are interested at Jerome.Glenn@Millennium.Project.org.
We forget that when technology destroy, it helps us to create new ones, as long as we remember that the point isn't just cost-reduction, but doing things that were previously impossible! That means both solving hard problems, and pairing technology with people in ways that play to the strengths of each. My keynote at Strata+Hadoop World London, May 2017.
Government For The People, By The People, In the 21st CenturyTim O'Reilly
My joint keynote with Jennifer Pahlka of Code for America at the Accela Engage conference in San Diego on August 5, 2014. We talk about current advances in technology, and how they call for anyone developing services to put their users at the center. In particular, we talk about how these lessons apply to government. Making government work by the people and for the people in a 21st century way is central to restoring faith in government.
Managing Future Impacts of Artificial Narrow, General, and Super Intelligence...Jerome Glenn
Reviews Millennium Project's Work/Technology 2050: Scenarios and Actions plus preparations for an international assessment for global governance of the transition from artificial narrow intelligence to artificial general intelligence
Towards a New Distributional EconomicsTim O'Reilly
A talk I gave on December 1, 2017 for a workshop on AI and the future of the economy organized by the OECD and the Berkeley Roundtable on the International Economy. In it, I explore implications of AI and internet-scale platforms for the design of markets, with the goal of starting a conversation about what we might call "distributional economics."
A brochure-style presentation to introduce the big picture vision for R7 Partners, a venture capital firm that finds, funds, and builds early-stage startups with ambitious innovation.
I talk about the evolution of digital content into services, the role of sensors in the future of the web, about the idea of man-machine collaboration in internet services, and about the role of social networking in building content.
NATO Workshop on Pre-Detection of Lone Wolf Terrorists of the FutureJerome Glenn
Future technological synergies will give lone wolf terrorists the ability to make and deploy a weapon of mass destruction (The Millennium Project calls this SIMAD - single individual massively destructive). Need to develop the public's roles around the world to prevent this.
Some Increasingly Significant Technology by 2050 for the European Commisssion...Jerome Glenn
This is an overview of future technology for consideration by the European Commission's KT (Knowledge Triangle: Innovation, Research, and Higher Education) 2050 Scenarios Group.
This is the pdf (with notes) of my slide deck from the Smart Disclosure Summit in Washington D.C. on March 30, 2012. Video will eventually be available.
Futurist Speaker Gerd Leonhard: Bottom Line Future Trends (summary)Gerd Leonhard
These are some of my favourite memes and bottom lines from 10+ recent slideshows and presentations see http://www.futuristgerd.com/category/gerd/gerds-presentations/ and www.gerdtube.com for videos
If you enjoy my slideshares please take a look at my new book “Technology vs Humanity” http://www.techvshuman.com or buy it via Amazon http://gerd.fm/globalTVHamazon
More at http://www.futuristgerd.com or www.gerdleonhard.de
Download all of my videos and PDFs at http://www.gerdcloud.net
About my new book: are you ready for the greatest changes in recent human history? Futurism meets humanism in Gerd Leonhard’s ground-breaking new work of critical observation, discussing the multiple Megashifts that will radically alter not just our society and economy but our values and our biology. Wherever you stand on the scale between technomania and nostalgia for a lost world, this is a book to challenge, provoke, warn and inspire.
This is the original keynote file for my talk at the Smart Disclosure Summit in Washington DC on March 30, 2012. I will upload a PDF with notes separately.
Why we should begin working on a global governance system for Artificial Gene...Jerome Glenn
Global Governance of the Transition from Artificial Narrow Intelligence to Artificial General Intelligence may take 10 to 15 years, AND some say AGI could happen with in 10 to 15 years, SO we study how this should or could be done now. Contact me if you are interested at Jerome.Glenn@Millennium.Project.org.
We forget that when technology destroy, it helps us to create new ones, as long as we remember that the point isn't just cost-reduction, but doing things that were previously impossible! That means both solving hard problems, and pairing technology with people in ways that play to the strengths of each. My keynote at Strata+Hadoop World London, May 2017.
Government For The People, By The People, In the 21st CenturyTim O'Reilly
My joint keynote with Jennifer Pahlka of Code for America at the Accela Engage conference in San Diego on August 5, 2014. We talk about current advances in technology, and how they call for anyone developing services to put their users at the center. In particular, we talk about how these lessons apply to government. Making government work by the people and for the people in a 21st century way is central to restoring faith in government.
Global Future Changes and Millennium ProjectJerome Glenn
Overview of global challenges, strategies, new technologies to improve the prospects for humanity from the Millennium Project and its annual State of the Future report
These are the slides from a presentation I gave at the Yorkshire Grantmakers Forum 25th Anniversary, looking at what the next 25 years might hold in terms of technological, social and political change.
Moogfest 2014 keynote Conscious-Technology, The Millennium Project, and an In...Jerome Glenn
We are merging with technology. We will become “Conscious-Technology” beings.
Google Glass, Internet of Things, heart pacemakers, the works! Voice recognition and voice synthesis with artificial intelligence imbedded through the built environment will make inanimate objects seem conscious. We will import advance tech in and on our bodies and export our consciousness to technology. These imports/export will seem to merge into a continuum of consciousness and technology. The quality of this merger will depend on how well we can blend our mystic-self with our technocratic self, as individuals and as a species. By mystic I simply mean one whose primary focus is improving life by enhancing consciousness; by technocrat I simply mean one whose primary focus for improving life is with new technologies and policies. We are all part mystic and part technocrat, but we tend to be more of one than the other. Seeking harmony, balance, synergy between the two seems right to me. Like the musician, instrument, and music merge in a great performance.
Merging the attitudes of the mystic toward life with the technocratic’s knowledge of life makes life work and be worthwhile.
Arts, media, and music technologies can be designed and used from a mystic attitude. Experiencing performances of such technologies should enhance our consciousness. From such enhanced consciousness new technologies can be conceived. And so on to become a more aesthetic future conscious-technology civilization.
The explosive, accelerating growth of knowledge in a rapidly changing and increasingly interdependent world gives us so much to know about so many things that it seems impossible to keep up. At the same time, we are flooded with so much trivial news that serious attention to serious issues gets little interest, and too much time is wasted going through useless information.
State of the Future 2015-16: Report from the Millennium ProjectDavid Wood
Slides used by David Wood, Chair of London Futurists, to preview the London Futurists event, http://www.meetup.com/London-Futurists/events/224799635/, held at Bloomberg HQ London on 13th November 2015. These slides are derived from a set created by Jerome C. Glenn, The Millennium Project. Topics include the State of the Future Index 1995-2025, 15 Global Challenges, the inevitability of New Economics, Technological Unemployment, and Basic Income Guarantee.
Defin
ing artificial intelligence is no easy matter. Since the mid
-
20th century when it
was first
recognized
as a specific field of research, AI has always been envisioned as
an evolving boundary, rather than a settled research field. Fundamentally, it refers
to
a programme whose ambitious objective is to understand and reproduce human
cognition; creating cognitive processes comparable to those found in human beings.
Therefore, we are naturally dealing with a wide scope here, both in terms of the
technical proced
ures that can be employed and the various disciplines that can be
called upon: mathematics, information technology, cognitive sciences, etc. There is
a great variety of approaches when it comes to AI: ontological, reinforcement
learning, adversarial learni
ng and neural networks, to name just a few. Most of them
have been known for decades and many of the algorithms used today were
developed in the ’60s and ’70s.
Since the 1956 Dartmouth conference, artificial intelligence has alternated between
periods of
great enthusiasm and disillusionment, impressive progress and frustrating
failures. Yet, it has relentlessly pushed back the limits of what was only thought to
be achievable by human beings. Along the way, AI research has achieved significant
successes: o
utperforming human beings in complex games (chess, Go),
understanding natural language, etc. It has also played a critical role in the history
of mathematics and information technology. Consider how many softwares that we
now take for granted once represen
ted a major breakthrough in AI: chess game
apps, online translation programmes, etc
Methodology introduction. Overview and step-by-step introduction to theFutures Thinking methodology. Resources: trends and short- and long-term uncertainties. Trends and a list of drivers used to build the scenarios. Existing set of scenarios
Four scenarios build around two economic and political uncertainties. Tools to create new scenarios. Ready-to-use templates. Impact assessment tools. Tools to test the impact on the council for each of the scenarios. Recommendations and indicators. Recommended actions and signals that point to a specific scenario materialising.
Similar to Work/Technology 2050: Scenarios and Actions launch at The Embassy of Finland (20)
Three Additions for the Future of the Peace Corps. Closing Keynote at the Returned Peace Corps Volunteers Association 6oth Anniversary of the Peace Corps
Governance of the Transition from Artificial Narrow Intelligence to Artificia...Jerome Glenn
IEEE Sensors 2019 conference in Montreal presentation: Brief overview of "Conscious-Technology" and related future AI issues with focus on exploring future governance of the transition from artificial narrow to artificial general intelligence.
Transcript: Selling digital books in 2024: Insights from industry leaders - T...BookNet Canada
The publishing industry has been selling digital audiobooks and ebooks for over a decade and has found its groove. What’s changed? What has stayed the same? Where do we go from here? Join a group of leading sales peers from across the industry for a conversation about the lessons learned since the popularization of digital books, best practices, digital book supply chain management, and more.
Link to video recording: https://bnctechforum.ca/sessions/selling-digital-books-in-2024-insights-from-industry-leaders/
Presented by BookNet Canada on May 28, 2024, with support from the Department of Canadian Heritage.
Generative AI Deep Dive: Advancing from Proof of Concept to ProductionAggregage
Join Maher Hanafi, VP of Engineering at Betterworks, in this new session where he'll share a practical framework to transform Gen AI prototypes into impactful products! He'll delve into the complexities of data collection and management, model selection and optimization, and ensuring security, scalability, and responsible use.
GraphRAG is All You need? LLM & Knowledge GraphGuy Korland
Guy Korland, CEO and Co-founder of FalkorDB, will review two articles on the integration of language models with knowledge graphs.
1. Unifying Large Language Models and Knowledge Graphs: A Roadmap.
https://arxiv.org/abs/2306.08302
2. Microsoft Research's GraphRAG paper and a review paper on various uses of knowledge graphs:
https://www.microsoft.com/en-us/research/blog/graphrag-unlocking-llm-discovery-on-narrative-private-data/
Le nuove frontiere dell'AI nell'RPA con UiPath Autopilot™UiPathCommunity
In questo evento online gratuito, organizzato dalla Community Italiana di UiPath, potrai esplorare le nuove funzionalità di Autopilot, il tool che integra l'Intelligenza Artificiale nei processi di sviluppo e utilizzo delle Automazioni.
📕 Vedremo insieme alcuni esempi dell'utilizzo di Autopilot in diversi tool della Suite UiPath:
Autopilot per Studio Web
Autopilot per Studio
Autopilot per Apps
Clipboard AI
GenAI applicata alla Document Understanding
👨🏫👨💻 Speakers:
Stefano Negro, UiPath MVPx3, RPA Tech Lead @ BSP Consultant
Flavio Martinelli, UiPath MVP 2023, Technical Account Manager @UiPath
Andrei Tasca, RPA Solutions Team Lead @NTT Data
Encryption in Microsoft 365 - ExpertsLive Netherlands 2024Albert Hoitingh
In this session I delve into the encryption technology used in Microsoft 365 and Microsoft Purview. Including the concepts of Customer Key and Double Key Encryption.
Alt. GDG Cloud Southlake #33: Boule & Rebala: Effective AppSec in SDLC using ...James Anderson
Effective Application Security in Software Delivery lifecycle using Deployment Firewall and DBOM
The modern software delivery process (or the CI/CD process) includes many tools, distributed teams, open-source code, and cloud platforms. Constant focus on speed to release software to market, along with the traditional slow and manual security checks has caused gaps in continuous security as an important piece in the software supply chain. Today organizations feel more susceptible to external and internal cyber threats due to the vast attack surface in their applications supply chain and the lack of end-to-end governance and risk management.
The software team must secure its software delivery process to avoid vulnerability and security breaches. This needs to be achieved with existing tool chains and without extensive rework of the delivery processes. This talk will present strategies and techniques for providing visibility into the true risk of the existing vulnerabilities, preventing the introduction of security issues in the software, resolving vulnerabilities in production environments quickly, and capturing the deployment bill of materials (DBOM).
Speakers:
Bob Boule
Robert Boule is a technology enthusiast with PASSION for technology and making things work along with a knack for helping others understand how things work. He comes with around 20 years of solution engineering experience in application security, software continuous delivery, and SaaS platforms. He is known for his dynamic presentations in CI/CD and application security integrated in software delivery lifecycle.
Gopinath Rebala
Gopinath Rebala is the CTO of OpsMx, where he has overall responsibility for the machine learning and data processing architectures for Secure Software Delivery. Gopi also has a strong connection with our customers, leading design and architecture for strategic implementations. Gopi is a frequent speaker and well-known leader in continuous delivery and integrating security into software delivery.
Essentials of Automations: The Art of Triggers and Actions in FMESafe Software
In this second installment of our Essentials of Automations webinar series, we’ll explore the landscape of triggers and actions, guiding you through the nuances of authoring and adapting workspaces for seamless automations. Gain an understanding of the full spectrum of triggers and actions available in FME, empowering you to enhance your workspaces for efficient automation.
We’ll kick things off by showcasing the most commonly used event-based triggers, introducing you to various automation workflows like manual triggers, schedules, directory watchers, and more. Plus, see how these elements play out in real scenarios.
Whether you’re tweaking your current setup or building from the ground up, this session will arm you with the tools and insights needed to transform your FME usage into a powerhouse of productivity. Join us to discover effective strategies that simplify complex processes, enhancing your productivity and transforming your data management practices with FME. Let’s turn complexity into clarity and make your workspaces work wonders!
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Monitoring and observability aren’t traditionally found in software curriculums and many of us cobble this knowledge together from whatever vendor or ecosystem we were first introduced to and whatever is a part of your current company’s observability stack.
While the dev and ops silo continues to crumble….many organizations still relegate monitoring & observability as the purview of ops, infra and SRE teams. This is a mistake - achieving a highly observable system requires collaboration up and down the stack.
I, a former op, would like to extend an invitation to all application developers to join the observability party will share these foundational concepts to build on:
SAP Sapphire 2024 - ASUG301 building better apps with SAP Fiori.pdfPeter Spielvogel
Building better applications for business users with SAP Fiori.
• What is SAP Fiori and why it matters to you
• How a better user experience drives measurable business benefits
• How to get started with SAP Fiori today
• How SAP Fiori elements accelerates application development
• How SAP Build Code includes SAP Fiori tools and other generative artificial intelligence capabilities
• How SAP Fiori paves the way for using AI in SAP apps
DevOps and Testing slides at DASA ConnectKari Kakkonen
My and Rik Marselis slides at 30.5.2024 DASA Connect conference. We discuss about what is testing, then what is agile testing and finally what is Testing in DevOps. Finally we had lovely workshop with the participants trying to find out different ways to think about quality and testing in different parts of the DevOps infinity loop.
Accelerate your Kubernetes clusters with Varnish CachingThijs Feryn
A presentation about the usage and availability of Varnish on Kubernetes. This talk explores the capabilities of Varnish caching and shows how to use the Varnish Helm chart to deploy it to Kubernetes.
This presentation was delivered at K8SUG Singapore. See https://feryn.eu/presentations/accelerate-your-kubernetes-clusters-with-varnish-caching-k8sug-singapore-28-2024 for more details.
PHP Frameworks: I want to break free (IPC Berlin 2024)Ralf Eggert
In this presentation, we examine the challenges and limitations of relying too heavily on PHP frameworks in web development. We discuss the history of PHP and its frameworks to understand how this dependence has evolved. The focus will be on providing concrete tips and strategies to reduce reliance on these frameworks, based on real-world examples and practical considerations. The goal is to equip developers with the skills and knowledge to create more flexible and future-proof web applications. We'll explore the importance of maintaining autonomy in a rapidly changing tech landscape and how to make informed decisions in PHP development.
This talk is aimed at encouraging a more independent approach to using PHP frameworks, moving towards a more flexible and future-proof approach to PHP development.
Epistemic Interaction - tuning interfaces to provide information for AI supportAlan Dix
Paper presented at SYNERGY workshop at AVI 2024, Genoa, Italy. 3rd June 2024
https://alandix.com/academic/papers/synergy2024-epistemic/
As machine learning integrates deeper into human-computer interactions, the concept of epistemic interaction emerges, aiming to refine these interactions to enhance system adaptability. This approach encourages minor, intentional adjustments in user behaviour to enrich the data available for system learning. This paper introduces epistemic interaction within the context of human-system communication, illustrating how deliberate interaction design can improve system understanding and adaptation. Through concrete examples, we demonstrate the potential of epistemic interaction to significantly advance human-computer interaction by leveraging intuitive human communication strategies to inform system design and functionality, offering a novel pathway for enriching user-system engagements.
Smart TV Buyer Insights Survey 2024 by 91mobiles.pdf91mobiles
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A tale of scale & speed: How the US Navy is enabling software delivery from l...sonjaschweigert1
Rapid and secure feature delivery is a goal across every application team and every branch of the DoD. The Navy’s DevSecOps platform, Party Barge, has achieved:
- Reduction in onboarding time from 5 weeks to 1 day
- Improved developer experience and productivity through actionable findings and reduction of false positives
- Maintenance of superior security standards and inherent policy enforcement with Authorization to Operate (ATO)
Development teams can ship efficiently and ensure applications are cyber ready for Navy Authorizing Officials (AOs). In this webinar, Sigma Defense and Anchore will give attendees a look behind the scenes and demo secure pipeline automation and security artifacts that speed up application ATO and time to production.
We will cover:
- How to remove silos in DevSecOps
- How to build efficient development pipeline roles and component templates
- How to deliver security artifacts that matter for ATO’s (SBOMs, vulnerability reports, and policy evidence)
- How to streamline operations with automated policy checks on container images
FIDO Alliance Osaka Seminar: Passkeys at Amazon.pdf
Work/Technology 2050: Scenarios and Actions launch at The Embassy of Finland
1. A Three-Year Global Study
on what to do about
Potential Futures for Work
and Technology Actions
Jerome C. Glenn, CEO
The Millennium Project
2. Inevitability of New Economics, Changing
social contract and human rights
• Concentration of wealth is increasing
• Income gaps are widening
• Employmentless economic growth seems the new norm
• Return on Investment in capital and technology is usually
better than labor
• Future technologies can replace much of human labor
• Long-term structural unemployment is a “business as
usual” or “surprise free” trend forecast
• What can we do about this?
3. Future Work/Technology 2050 Study
1. Literature and Related Research Review
2. Real-Time Delphi on questions not asked or poorly answered
3. Three Global Scenario Drafts to 2050
4. Three Separate RTDelphi’s for Feedback on each Scenario
5. Final Scenarios, given for Millennium Project Nodes
6. National Workshops to Explore Long-range Strategies
7. Collect suggestions from the national planning workshops, distilled
in to 93 actions, assess all via five (5) Real-Time Delphi's
8. Final Report for Public Discussion
4. Three Forms of Artificial Intelligence
Artificial Narrow
Intelligence
Artificial General
Intelligence
Artificial Super
Intelligence
5. Next Technologies (NT): Imagine How NT
Synergies Will Create New Businesses
Artificial Intelligence
Robotics
Synthetic Biology & Genomics
Computational Science
Cloud & Big Data Analytics
Artificial & Augmented Reality
Nanotechnology (two kinds)
IoT, Tele-Everything & Tele-
Everybody, the Semantic Web
Quantum computing
Tele-Presence, Holographic
Communications
Intelligence augmentation
Collective Intelligence
Blockchain
3D/4D Printing Materials/Biology
Drones, Driverless Cars (and
other autonomous vehicles)
Conscious-Technology
Synergies Among These
6. The Old Way of Seeing the Future of
Technologies: Linear and Separate
Artificial
Intelligence
Robotic
manufacturing
Computational Science
3-D4-D Priting
Nanotechnology
Quantum computing
Synthetic Biology
Drones
Artificial General
Intelligence
Tele-Everything &
Tele-Everybody
the SemanticWeb
7. Future Way of Seeing Future of
Technologies: Integration and Synergies
10. Work/Tech Global Scenarios 2050
1. It’s Complicated - A Mixed Bag
2. Political/Economic Turmoil – Future Despair
3. If Humans Were Free – The Self-Actualizing Economy
Each scenario is about 10 pages of detailed cause & effect
sequences that illustrate decisions
11. Global Employment Assumptions
Workforce 3 billion 2000; 6 billion 2050
Scenario 1
Business as Usual
Scenario 2
Political Turmoil
Scenario 3
Self-Actualization
Employed 2 Billion 1 Billion 1 Billion
Self-Employed 2 Billion 1 Billion 3 Billion
Unemployed or in
transition
1 Billion 2 Billion 1 Billion
Informal
Economy
1 Billion 2 Billion 1 Billion
12. Scenario 1:
It’s Complicated – A Mixed Bag
• A business-as-usual trend projection
• Increasing acceleration of change with both intelligence and stupidity
• Irregular adoption of advance technology
• Major employment growth in Biotech Industries
• High unemployment where governments did not create long-range
strategies
• Mixed success on the use of universal basic income.
• Giant corporations grow beyond government control, in this
government-corporate, virtual-3D, multi-polar world of 2050.
13. IoT AI Contact Lens – always in Virtual and
Augmented Reality connected to the word
Hands-free, phone-free,
laptop-free, AI-Human
symbiosis
14. Human Augmentation: AI-Brain Interface
as a “Neural Lace”
The
World
Artificial
Intelligence
Human
Brain
“Neural lace:” a mesh of
electronics [and photonics] that
will allow AI and the brain to
work together. – Elon Musk
This could help human brains
keep up with future
enhancements in AI.
https://www.neuralink.com/ is hiring now
17. Scenario 2:
Political/Economic Turmoil – Future Despair
• Political grid-lock increases social polarization, prevents decisionmaking
• Political, economic, environmental migrations increase ethnic conflicts
• Governments did not anticipate impacts of artificial general intelligence:
hence, no strategies to address increasing mass unemployment
• Unemployment exploded in the 2030s leads to 2050 in political turmoil
• Financial systems cannot support ageing societies, financial crises
• World order has deteriorated into a combination of nation-states, mega-
corporations, local militias, terrorist groups, and organized crime
19. In Scenario 2 AI makes this Combination
Far More Powerful…
Organized
Crime
CorruptionTerrorism
Information
Warfare
…Making Democracy
and Free Markets…
…An Illusion
20. Scenario 3:
If Humans Were Free
the Self-Actualization Economy
• Governments did anticipate the impacts of artificial general intelligence
• Conducted extensive research on how to phase in universal basic
income systems
• Increasing intelligence becomes a goal of education
• Self-employment promoted
• Artists, media moguls, and entertainers helped to foster cultural
change from an employment culture to a self-actualization economy.
22. Scenario 3 Your Personal AI Avatar
searches the web while you sleep…
… then wakes you up
in the morning ….with
all kinds of interesting
things to do, some for
income, some
because the are just
fun, and some that
are both all with
smart contacts if
needed.
23. Steve Jobs and Bill Gates 1991
By 2030-2050 millions of
people could become
augmented geniuses, and
what could we create?
Consider what these two geniuses created!
Source: reddit.com/r/OldSchoolCool/
24. Future Work/Tech 2050 Workshops
Initial workshops Initial workshops In planning Exploratory talks
1. Argentina (2 and series) 11. Italy (2, and 3rd in planning) China Australia
2. Bolivia (series) 12. The Netherlands (2) El Salvador Croatia
3. Brazil (Sao Paolo) 13. Mexico (2) Peru (2030 study first) Dubai, UAE
4. Bulgaria 14. Poland Kenya Egypt
5. European Foresight Network 15. Spain (3) Pakistan Georgia
6. Finland 16. South Africa Romania India
7. Germany (series) 17. South Korea (2) Slovakia Iran
8. Greece 18. Uruguay (series in progress) Sri Lanka Montenegro
9. Hungary 19. Venezuela Zambia Slovenia
10. Israel (2) 20. United States (2) Turkey
United Kingdom
25. Actions to Address issues in the
Work/Tech 2050 Global Scenarios
Workshop Discussion
Group
Actions
Assessed
Additional
Suggested Actions
Education and Learning 20 26
Government and Governance 22 26
Business and Labor 19 23
Culture, Arts, and Media 17 18
Science and Technology 15 25
Totals 93 118
26. Some examples of 93 actions assessed
• Make increasing intelligence an objective of education.
• In parallel to STEM education create a hybrid system of self-paced inquiry-based learning for self-
actualization, creativity, critical thinking, and human relations using new AI tools.
• Create international standards for narrow and general AI with a governance system to enforce them
(maybe similar to the International Atomic Energy Agency – IAEA).
• Produce alternative cash flow projections for universal basic income to see if/when it is financially
sustainable.
• Put memes in advertisements to help the cultural transition to new forms of economics and work.
• Create personal AI/Avatars able to match peoples' skills and interests with income opportunities worldwide
which can make smart contracts to support self-employment.
• Shift education/learning systems more toward mastering skills than mastering a profession.
• Public/private research should explore the cultural transition for a new social contract between the
government and the citizens who potentially could be both unemployed and augmented geniuses.
• Art/media/entertainment leaders should engage the public in anticipating cultural changes due to potential
impacts of future technologies.
33. … Acts like a TransInstitution
UN
Organizations
NGOs
and
Foundations
Universities
GovernmentsCorporations
The Millennium
Project
34. 65 Nodes...and two regional networks in
Europe and Latin America
Nodes identify participants, translate questionnaires and reports, and conduct interviews,
special research, workshops, symposiums, and advanced training.
are groups of experts and institutions that connect global and local views in:
Tunisi
a
Yerevan
Sri Lanka
35. Preface
Executive Summary
Ch 1 Global Challenges
Ch 2 2017 State of the Future Index
Ch 3 Future Terrorism & Deterrence
Ch 4 Work/Tech 2050 Scenarios
and Workshop Strategies
Ch 5 Conclusions
Appendix
36. 39 Chapters
37 Different Methods
1,300 pages
Largest collection of
Internationally peer-
reviewed methods to
explore the future
ever assembled in
one source
37. Millennium Project Futures Research… so far
1. African Futures Scenarios 2025, and UNDP workshop at the UN (1994)
2. Millennium Project Feasibility Study final report (1995)
3. Global Issues/Strategies four-round Global Lookout (Delphi) study (1996)
4. Lessons of History (1997)
5. Global Opportunities and Strategies Delphi (1997)
6. Definitions of Environmental Security (1997)
7. Futures Research in Decisionmaking (and checklist) (1998-99)
8. Global Normative 2050 Scenario (1998)
9. Environmental Security Threats and Policy Leadership (1998)
10. Current/Potential UN military doctrine on Environmental Security (1999)
11. Six Alternative Year 3000 Scenarios (1999)
12. S&T Issues over the next 25 years (2000)
13. Future Technological Implications for Society and the UN System (2000)
14. Analysis of UN Summit Speeches (2001)
15. Military environmental crimes and the role of the ICC (2001)
16. Management Implications of Future S&T 2025 Issues (2001)
17. New Military Environmental Security Requirements 2010-2015 (2001)
18. Global Goals for the year 2050 (2002)
19. Future S&T Scenarios 2025 (2002)
20. Emerging Environmental Security Issues for Future UN Treaties (2002)
21. Monthly Reports: Emerging Environmental Security Issues (2002-2011)
22. Middle East Peace Scenarios (2002-04)
23. Early Warning System for Kuwait Oil Company (2003-04)
28. Future of Learning and Education 2030 (2007)
29. Global Climate Change Situation Room for Gimcheon, South Korea (2007-2008)
30. Conceptual design for global energy collective intelligence (GENIS) (2008)
31. Status of Government Future Strategy Units (2008)
32. RTDelphi for UNESCO World Water Report (2008)
33. WFUNA Human Rights (2008)
34. Decision Criteria Evaluation of Global Environment Facility (2008)
35. South Korea SOFI and South African SOFI (2008)
36. Early Warning System PMO Kuwait (2008-2009)
37. Potential Future Elements of the Next Economic System (2009)
38. UNESCO World Water Scenarios project (2009)
39. Future of Ontologists (2009)
40. Future Hopes and Fears: a Kuwait Perspective (2010-2011)
41. Latin America 2030 Scenarios (2009-2011)
42. Egypt 2020 (2010)
43. Changes to Gender Stereotypes (2011)
44. Azerbaijan SOFI (2011)
45. Future Arts, Media, and Entertainment: Seeds for 2020 (2011)
46. Cooperatives 2030: Factors Impacting Future of Cooperatives and Business (2012)
47. Egypt’s national Synergetic Information System (ECISIS) (2013-16)
48. Hidden Hunger: Unhealthy Food Markets in the Developing World (2013)
49. Vulnerable Natural Infrastructure in Urban Coastal Zones (2013)
50. FUTURES Dictionary/Encyclopedia (English and Spanish) (2014)
38. Integration of all our work into the Global Futures
Intelligence System www.themp.org
39. For further information
The Millennium Project
Info@Millennium-Project.org
Work/Technology 2050: Scenarios and Actions
http://www.millennium-project.org/publications-2/
State of the Future 19.1
http://www.millennium-poject.org/state-of-the-future-version-19-1/
Futures Research Methodology 3.0
http://www.millennium-project.org/publications-2/#method
Global Futures Intelligence System
http://www.millennium-project.org/projects/global-futures-intelligence-system/