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BIENVENIDOS
WELCOME
MEXICO
Node, 2017
F U T U R E S R E S E A R C H M E T H O D O L O G I E S
S p a n i s h t r a n s l a t o r s
T H E P R O M I S I N G F U T U R E O F
L AT I N A M E R I C A 2 0 5 0
Lydia Garrido
U R U G U A Y
Concepción Olavarrieta
José Cordeiro
V E N E Z U E L A
E S P A Ñ A
Ibon Zugasti
P E R Ú
Fernando Ortega
N O D E C H A I R S
M É X I C O
L A T I N A M E R I C A
p r o m i s i n g l a n d o f t h e f u t u r e
O p p o r t u n i t i e s
1. Demografic bonus 2. Nature care: ecodevelopments
3. Multicultural diversity 4. Globalism: respecting native cultures
5. Market 6. Industry
7. Services 8. Tourism
9. Innovation, 10. Science & Technological futures of work
2050 Scenario 1:
It's Complicated- A Mixed Bag.
1. A business-as-usual trend projection of the increasing acceleration of change
with both intelligence and stupidity characterized decisionmaking (or lack of
decisionmaking).
2. Irregular adoption of advanced technology; high unemployment where
governments did not create long-range strategies and mixed success on the use of
universal basic income.
Giant corporation's powers have often grown beyond government control, in this
government-corporate, virtual-3D, multi-polar complex world of 2050.
2050 Scenario 2:
Political/Economic Turmoil - Future Despair
1. Governments did not anticipate the impacts of artificial general intelligence and
had no strategies in place as unemployment exploded in the 2030s leaving the world
of 2050 in political turmoil.
2. Social polarism and political grid-lock in many forms have grown.
3. Global order has deteriorated into a combination of nation-states, mega-
corporations, local militias, terrorism, and organized crime.
Scenario 3:
If Humans Were Free - the Self-Actualization Economy.
1. Governments did anticipate:
a) the impacts of artificial general intelligence,
b) conducted extensive research on how to phase in universal basic income
systems, and promoted self-employment.
2. Artists, media moguls, and entertainers helped to foster cultural change from an
employment culture to a self-actualization economy.
1. Which is the focus of your country on
the future of work / technology
2050?
2. Which are the main challenges that
your country is facing for
futures work/technology 2050?
DIGITAL CITIES
VI SI ONS & FORESI GHT MODEL S
C o n c e p c i ó n O l a v a r r i e t a
PROSPECTA COLOMBIA 2016
IX CONGRESO INTERNACIONAL DE PROSPECTIVA PARA EL DESARROLLO REGIONAL
“El postconflicto: un nuevo escenario para el desarrollo regional sostenible”
Bogotá, 27 y 28 de octubre de 2016
13
Ciudad de México 2050
Ciudad digital y del conocimiento
(Una visión prospectiva en construcción)
MEXICO CITY MEGALOPOLIS
FACING
THE FUTURE
INSTITUTO NACIONAL DE
ASESORIAESPECIALIZADA
16
17
18
19
PA R I S
T w i t t e r
W o r l d c a p i t a l
20
Collaborative City
21
22
C I T Y C R E D E N T I A L
LODGINGS IN 2015
23
From
elect ronic Government
t o
electronic Governance
24
25
26
27
Distritos Administrativos
28
29
30
31
32
“The postconflict:
A new scenario for the
Regional sustainable development”
33
M É X I C O
M o n t e r r e y , S t a t e o f N u e v o L e ó n
2 2 - 2 5 M a r c h 2 0 1 7
3RD.
Annual meeting
36
THE FUTURES OF
HAPPINESS
C o n c e p c i ó n O l a v a r r i e t a
H A P P I N E S S P A N E L
M o n t e r r e y M a r c h 2 2 , 2 0 1 7
H A P P I N E S S
I S
S U B J E C T I V E ,
I T I S
A N E M O T I O N
P R O D U C E D W H E N A
P E R S O N B E L I E V E S H A S
R E A C H E D A G O A L .
OPINION
SURVEY5 ASPECTS THAT MAKE YOU
HAPPY
5 ASPECTS THAT MAKE YOU
UNHAPPY
PARTICIPANTS
PROFILE
Gobierno
Academia
Sector privado
ONGs
Organismos
Internacionales
Licenciatura
Maestría
Doctorado
Mujeres
Hombres
1
2
3
S E X
S C H O L A R S H I P
A G E
W O R K
HAPPY
MÉXICO HAPPY
Familia
Trabajo
Amigos
Salud
Ayudar a terceros
Viajar
Artes, música y entretenimiento
Valores, paz y armonía
Leer y escribir
Comida
Crear
Naturaleza
Ejercicio
Educar
Otros
RIBER HAPPY
Familia
Trabajo, riqueza y bienestar
Amigos y gente
Ayudar a terceros
Naturaleza y medio ambiente
Viajar
Paz y buen gobierno
Entretenimiento
Otros
MILLENNIUM PROJ ECT
HAPPY
Amor
Familia
Logros: creatividad, descubrimientos, metas
Amigos
Ayudar a terceros
Trabajo e ingresos
Salud
Naturaleza
Artes
Seguridad
Otros
WORLD HAPPY
Familia y amor
Trabajo, creatividad y logros
Amigos
Ayudar a terceros
UNHAPPY
Falta de Ética
Violencia
Corrupción y abuso de poder
Falta de humanidad y
pobreza
Injusticia
Enfermedad
Problemas emocionales
personales
Problemas de trabajo
Problemas familiares
Problemas económicos
Ignorancia e ineptitud
MEXICO UNHAPPY
RIBER UNHAPPY
Corrupción, deshonestidad, pérdida de
valores
Injusticia, indiferencia
Pobreza, desigualdad social
Egoismo, envidia
Otros
MILLENNIUM PROJECT
UNHAPPY
Trump: xenofobia, racismo, odio, etc
Mal gobierno, abuso de poder
Violencia, guerras, acoso, terrorismo
Enfermedad
Falta de ética
Pobreza
Corrupción
Contaminación ambiental
Trabajo
Problemas con familia y amigos
Emociones negativas
Otros
WORLD UNHAPPY
Violencia y acoso
Corrupción y abuso de poder
Falta de ética
Falta de humanidad
BUTAN
GNH INDEX
A s s i s t a n c e i n m o n i t o r i n g
n a t i o n a l p r o g r e s s
HM Jigme Khesar
Namgyel Wangchuck,
5th King of Bhutan
Our most
important goal is
the peace and
happiness of our
people and the
security and
sovereignty of
our nation.
“True true happiness can not exist
while others suffer.
It comes only from serving others,
living in harmony with nature, and
realizing our innate wisdom and
the true and bright nature of our
own minds.”
Prime Minister of Bhutan
HAPPINESS
IS
MULTIDIMENSIONAL
9
domains
Quality of life and dimensions of
Bhutan's Gross National Happiness
Index
1. Health
2. Education
3. Standard of material life
4. Time use
5. Governance
6. Vitality of the community
7. Ecological diversity
8. Culture & spirituality
9. Emotional well-being
Weighing:
 The 9 domains are weighted equally
 There are 33 subdomains
 The subjective subdomains have light weight,
except for psychological well-being
 Robustness tests are performed
Methodology
– The BNHI is a form of the FosterAlkire Methodology, used in UNDP
MPI, for national poverty.
• Cuts sufficiency
– Each subdomain identifies a person as a private of, if it
has not reached the "sufficiency" in that indicator.
• Identification of ‘Happiness’
– To allow diversity, a person is identified as "happy" if he
has achieved sufficiency in 70% of the domains.
Formula for the Butan NHI
BNH =1–(No of people x Intensity)
The BNH Index uses Foster Alkire aggregation for
ordinal data
• No of people
– It is the percentage of unhappy people
• Amplitude (Intensity)
– This is the average percentage of gaps among the
unhappy.
No of people and Amplitude focus on privations to inform
politicians
13.04%
4.99%
12.49%
14.37%
10.80%
11.32%
7.65%
13.53%
11.80%
What do the unfortunates in Bhutan lack?
Psychological well-
being
Health
Time use
Education
Cultural diversity
Good governance
Commity vitality
Ecological diversity &
resilience
Standards of living
157 COUNTRIES
MILLENNIIUM PROJECT
57
M e a s u r i n g Va r i a b l e s
1. GDP per cápita
2. Social support
3. Healthy life expectancy at birth
4. Freedom to choose in life
5. Generosity
6. Corruption perceptions
6 3 N O D E S
5 . F i n l a n d 1 7 . B r a z i l
6 . C a n a d a 1 6 . B e l g i u m
8 . N u e v a Z e a l a n d 2 1 . M e x i c o
9 . A u s t r a l i a 2 3 . U n i t e d
K i n g d o m
1 1 . I s r a e l 2 4 . C h i l e
1 3 . U nited States of Amér ic a 2 5 . P a n a m a
1 4 . C o s t a R i c a 2 6 . A r g e n t i n a
1 6 . G e r m a n y
F i r s t g r o u p
1 5 f r o m M P
S e c o n d g r o u p
2 7 . C z e c h R e p u b l i c 4 5 . S l o v a k i a
28. United Arab Emirates 5 0 . I t a l i a
2 9 . U r u g u a y 5 1 . E c u a d o r
3 1 . C o l o m b i a 5 3 . J a p a n
3 2 . F r a n c e 5 6 . R u s s i a
3 7 . S p a i n 5 7 . P o l a n d
4 1 . K u w a i t 5 8 . S o u t h K o r e a
4 4 . V e n e z u e l a
1 5 f r o m M P
T h i r d g r o u p
1 5 f r o m M P
5 9 . B o l i v i a 8 9 . D o m i n i c a n R e p u b l i c
6 3 . S l o v e n i a 9 1 . H u n g a r y
7 1 . R u m a n i a 9 2 . P a k i s t a n
7 4 . C r o a c i a 9 4 . P o r t u g a l
7 8 . T u r k e y 9 8 . T u n e z
8 1 . A z e r b a i j a n 9 9 . G r e e c e
8 3 . C h i n a 1 0 5 . I r a n
8 8 . M o n t e n e g r o
F o u r t h g r o u p
1 1 6 . S o u t h A f r i c a 1 2 2 . K e n y a
1 1 7 . S r i L a n k a 1 2 6 . G e o r g i a
1 1 8 . I n d i a 1 2 9 . B u l g a r i a
1 1 9 . M y a n m a r 1 4 6 . U g a n d a
1 2 0 . E g y p t 1 4 9 . T a n z a n i a
1 2 1 . A r m e n i a
11 from MP
Methodological reflection
“ W e g i v e m o r e v a l i d i t y t o p e o p l e ' s o w n
j u d g m e n t s a b o u t t h e q u a l i t y o f t h e i r
l i v e s t h a n t o a n y I n d e x t h a t w e c a n
c o n s t r u c t a b o u t m e a s u r e m e n t s o n
p o s s i b l e c o m p o n e n t s . ”
John F. Helliwell, Haifang Huang & Shun Wang
World Happiness Report 2016
MILLEN N IU M
PROJECT
B U TA N W OR LD
HAPPINESS
Love Health GDP per capita
Family Education Social support
Achievements: creativity,
discoveries, goals
Standard of material life Life expectancy
Friends Time use Freedom to choose
Helping others Governance Generosity
Work & income Community vitatlity Corruption perceptions
Health Ecological diversity
Nature Culture & Spirituality
Arts Emotional well-being
Concepción Olavarrieta
Mexico Node Report
Monterrey, State of Nuevo León,
M E X I C O
March ,2017
B o o k
I B E R O A M E R I C A 2 0 5 0
1 5 C H A L L E N G E S
C o n c e p c i ó n O l a v a r r i e t a
M a r c h 2 3 , 2 0 1 7
M o n t e r r e y, N u e v o L e ó n ,
I B E R O A M É R I C A 2 0 5 0
1 5 C h a l l e n g e s
V O T E R S I N FAV O R
I n i t i a l v e r s i o n
1 5 e x p e r t s p e r c o u n t r y
B o o k 2 0 5 0 p e r c o u n t r y
F i n a l v e r s i o n
I B E R O A M E R I C A 2 0 5 0 .
1 5 C H A L L E N G E S & S C E N A R I O S
B o o k
I B E R O A M E R I C A 2 0 5 0
1 5 C h a l l e n g e s
F i r s t s t a g e
v e r s i o n s
1 . B y I b e r o - A m e r i c a n c h a l l e n g e s f a s c i c l e s
.
2 . B y c h a l l e n g e s f a s c i c l e s p e r c o u n t r y
3 . E l e c t r o n i c v e r s i o n
4 . P r i n t e d v e r s i o n
S e c o n d s t a g e
S C E N A R I O S
2 0 5 0
1 5 C H A L L E N G E S
towards
12
Transnational
organized crime
15
Global Ethics
7
Rich & poor gap
Water
2
5
Foresight mexican policies
and decision making
Tecnoloógical Information
& Communications
6
9
Education
1
Sustainable development
& climate change
Transnacional
organized crime
12
J u n e 2 8 t h , 2 0 1 6
14
Victor Manuel Mayoral
Science & Technology
4
José Fabián Ruíz
Democratization
10
Gabriela de la Paz
Peace & Conflict
13
María del Pilar Rodríguez
Energy
11
Luz María Velázquez
Improvement of
Women’s status
8
Gema Leon
Health
3
Guillermo Gándara
Population & Resources
15
Edgar Jimenez
Global Ethics
August 16th 2016
October 9th 2016
January 19th, 2017
February 23rd, 2017
May 15th, 2017
OUR EXPERIENCE IN MEXICO
S t e p s
1. Thematic experts invitation
2. Periodic meetings with authors for checking advances,
problems, support with third parties and new proposals for
publishing the book.
3. Important agreements.
Since all the challenges are impacted holistically:
a. Each author electronically sends the other authors their Essay for
comments.
b. Opinions are punctual and constructive. They are sent personally
to the author to improve his Essay.
c. Nobody has the right to get angry because it is a collective effort.
Ex perienc es Challenge 1 2
T r a n s n a t i o n a l O r g a n i z e d C r i m e
C h a l l e n g e s
• Lack of Mexican and international publications on
the 23 variables of transnational organized crime as
a whole.
• Lack of sequential Mexican and international
statistics on the 23 variables of Transnational
Organized Crime.
R i s k f a c t o r s f o r Transnational
Organized Crime
1 . F A M I L Y
2 . E D U C A T I O N
3 . I N D I V I D U A L
4. NEIGHBORHOOD
5. RELATIONSHIPS
O p i n i o n S u r v e y
S u p p o r t : f o r m a t y c o d i n g .
P a r t i c i p a n t e s : 1 6 8
México
Latinoamérica
Millennium Project
21 a 29 años
30 a 49 años
50 y más
A g e
Licenciatura
Maestría
Doctorado
S c h o l a r s h i p
Ciencias Sociales
Ingeniería-Arquitectura
Ciencias exactas
Medicina
Otras
Academia
Sector privado
Otros
P r o f e s s i o n a l s p e c i a l t y W o r k
O u r v i s i o n f o r C h a l l e n g e 1 2 i s
c o n s t r u c t i v e t o w a r d s :
1 . A p u b l i c p o l i c y o f e f f e c t i v e
f o r e s i g h t .
1 . S t r o n g , t r a n s p a r e n t a n d a s s e r t i v e
g o v e r n a n c e .
2 . A m o r e i n v o l v e d , c o m m i t t e d a n d
r e s p o n s i b l e s o c i e t y.
Adv antages of
MÉXICO 2050
I t w i l l b e a n a v a n t - g a r d e p u b l i c a t i o n
t h a t
w i l l f e e d b a c k a n d i m p a c t
o n t h e p u b l i c , p r i v a t e a n d s o c i a l
n e w p o l i c i e s
B e n e f i t s f o r
I B E R O A M É R I C A 2 0 5 0
A U T H O R S
• Each challenge could be published as a fascicle
• Each author could make presentations on his challenge.
C O U N T R Y
• Each country will elaborate its scenarios
• Each country could edit its own publication
• The authors will make joint presentations to influence decision-makers in the public,
private, academic and social sectors.
R I B E R
• It will have a series of national publications accrediting the value of its members and
the presence of RIBER.
• The members of RIBER can group together to formulate the Scenarios for
IBEROAMERICA 2050.
TO G E T H E R
W E C A N
A C H I E V E I T
¡ L E T ’ S B E C O M E A M O D E L F O R T H E
M I L L E N N I U M P R O J E C T !
I B E R O A M É R I C A
t o w a a r d s
2 0 5 0
C o n c e p c i ó n O l a v a r r i e t a
P r e s i d e n t a d e l N o d o M e x i c a n o . E l P r o y e c t o d e l M i l e n i o
V i c e p r e s i d e n t a d e l C o n s e j o D i r e c t i v o y M e x i c a n C h a i r d e l
M i l l e n n i u m P r o j e c t
S e c r e t a r i a d e l a R e d I b e r o a m e r i c a n a d e P r o s p e c t i v a
c o n c e p c i o n o l a v a r r i e t a @ g m a i l . c o m
FUTURE WORK/
TECHNOLOGY 2050
2 WORKSHOPS
98
Institute of Public
Administration
of the
State of Mexico
Toluca City,
May 17th, 2017
Monterrey, State of Nuevo León,
M a y 1 6 t h , 2 0 1 7
FUTURE WORK/
TECHNOLOGY 2050
Global study hi g h l i g h t s
f o r t r a i n i n g R a p p o r t e u r s
102
Study goals
Identify cultural, educational, scientific,
technological, economic, social, financial
and welfare changes necessary for a
peaceful transition between the population
and its work by 2050.
103
¿ I n w h i c h
i s d i f f e r e n t
T h e F u t u r e o f W o r k /
Te c h n o l o g y 2 0 5 0
S t u d y ?
104
1
An international
study with
the participation of
45 countries
Artificial intelligence, Impact of robotics
at work, Synthetic biology, 3D / 4D & Bio-
printing, Nanotechnology, Virtual and
augmented reality, etc ...
3.
Is projected to 2050
to include
necessary cultural changes
for a peaceful transition. 105
2.
4.
Helps look at 2050
The primary, secondary and tertiary
Consequences
and creates
global alternative scenarios for
Helping the transition of the new
economic / technological conditions
5.
It starts with national strategy workshops,
compares the results and
feedbacks to each country.
6.
Result:
Focus on what to do in the long run,
instead of repeating
descriptions of the problem. 106
3 Scenarios 2050
1.It's Complicated- A Mixed Bag
2. Political/Economic Turmoil –
Future Despair
3. If Humans Were Free –
the Self-Actualization Economy.
.
107
1. A business as usual trend with:
a. The increasing accelaration of change with,
b. Intelligence & stupidity
characterized decisionmaking (or lack of decisionmaking).
2. Irregular adoption of advanced technology
a. High unemployment, where governments did not create long-range
strategies and
b. Mixed success on the use of universal basic income
Giant corporation’s powers have often grown beyond government control, in this
government-corporate, virtud-3D, multi-polar complex world of 2050.
Scenario 1
It’s complicated –
A mixed bag
108
1. GOVERNMENTS:
a. Did not anticiapte the impact of artificial general intelligence and
b. Had no strategies in place
As unemployment exploded in the 2030’s
Leaving the world of 2050 in political turmoil.
2. Social polarism and political grid-lock in many forms have grown
3. Global order has deteriorated into a combination of:
a. Nation-States,
b. Mega-corporations,
c. Local militias,
d. Terrorism & organized crime.
Scenario 2
2. Political/Economic Turmoil
–
Future Despair
109
1. Governments did anticipate:
a) The impacts of artificial intelligence,
b) Conductive extensive research onhow to phase in
universal basic income systems, and promoted self-
employment.
2. Artist, media muguls, and entertainers helped to foster
cultural changes from an employmnet culture to self-
acutlization economy.
Scenario 3
If humans were free–
the Self-Actualization Economy
110
GUIDELINE FOR A WOKSHOP ON
FUTURE WORK/ TECHNOLOGY
2050
111
7
W O R K
TA B L E S
1 . E d u c a t i o n & l e a r n i n g
3. S c i e n c e & Te c h n o l o g y.
6. F i n a n c i a l c a p i t a l
2 . G o v e r n m e n t
4. C u l t u r e
5. Business & Work 7. We l l n e s s a n d w o r k
112
S c h e d u l e y a c t i v i t i e s
• 10:00 a 11:00
• Primera Ronda Grupos de Trabajo
• 11:05 a 11:10
• Receso
• 11:11 a 12:11
• Segunda Ronda Grupos de Trabajo
• 12:11 a 12:16
• Receso
• 12:17 a 13:02
• Tercera Ronda Grupos de Trabajo
• 13:03 a 13:33
• Consensos finales 6 Relatores Grupos de trabajo
H o u r Ac t i v i t y
1 0 : 0 0 a 11 : 0 0 F I R S T R O U N D
E a c h e x p e r t m a k e s h i s p r e s e n t a t i o n s a n d
e a c h w o r k t a b l e c o n s e n s e s i t s v i s i o n s f o r
2 0 5 0 .
11 : 0 1 a 11 : 1 0 B r e a k
11 : 1 0 a 1 2 : 0 0 P R E S E N TAT I O N S O F E A C H W O R K I N G
G R O U P.
E a c h e x p e r t m a k e s i t s n o t e s o f w h a t h e
w o u l d l i k e t o a d d o r c h a n g e .
1 2 : 0 1 a 1 2 : 1 0 B r e a k
1 2 : 11 a 1 3 : 3 0 S E C O N D R O U N D
E a c h e x p e r t p o s e s h i s c h a n g e s o r
a d d i t i o n s o n h i s n e w v i s i o n s a n d t h e
g r o u p c o n s e n s e s h i s n e w v i s i o n s f o r
2 0 5 0
113
Rapporteurs-Facilitators
1. Direct the 2 sessions of the group.
2. Compile the written views of each expert.
3. Regulate the time of each participant.
4. Summarize the visions of the group consensus.
5. Make the initial presentation of the group.
6. Make the summary of the final version of the group.114
A c t o r s A c t i v i t i e s M i n u t e s
F i r s t R o u n d
T a r g e t : G a t h e r e x p e r t s o p i n i o n s
R a p p o r t e u r &
E x p e r t s
P r e s e n t a t i o n s o f e a c h
o n e
5 ’
E x p e r t Y o u r v i s i ó n 5 ’ e a c h
R a p p o r t e u r
S u g g e s t s c o n s e n s u s
s y n t h e s i s a n d a s k s f o r
f e e d b a c k
15’
S E C O N D R O U N D
T a r g e t : I d e n t i f y t h e h o l i s t i c i m p a c t
R a p p o r t e u r P r e s e n t s
T h e m a t i c v i s i o n o f i t s
t a b l e
10 ’ p e r g r o u p
E x p e r t s T a k e n o t e o f
c o n t r i b u t i o n s f r o m o t h e r
t a b l e s f o r t h e i r g r o u p
S i m u l t a n e o u s
T E R C E R A R O N D A
T a r g e t : I n t e g r a t e n e w o p i n i o n s a n d r e a c h c o n s e n s u s
E x p e r t s A d d n e w c o n t r i b u t i o n s t o
t h e t a b l e 5 ’ e a c h
R a p p o r t e u r &
E x p e r t s
C o n s e n s u s 15 ‘ 115
Ta b l e 1
E D U C AT I O N / L E A R N I N G
1. How should education, training and learning
systems change?
2. And what strategies will make it happen?
116
Ta b l e 1 R a p p o r t
E d u c a t i o n / L e a r n i n g
Main topics
1. Personalization of learning
2. Teachers
3. Students
4. Education system
5. Evaluation
6. Employers
7. Government
Consensus with the Tables of:
Government, Welfare and Work, Science and Technology, Culture
117
Ta b l e 2
G O V E R N M E N T
1. Will a program be needed to
guarantee income?
2. What type? When?
Cash flow projections to show what is possible.
118
Ta b l e 2 R a p p o r t
G o v e r n m e n t
Main topics
1. Democracy
2. Public administration
3. Legislation
4. Guaranteed Basic Income
5. Free time (quality)
6. Education (public processes)
Consensus with the Tables
Education, Science and Technology, Culture, Business and Work
119
Ta b l e 3
S C I E N C E & T E C H N O L O G Y
1. Artificial Intelligence / Robotics /
Synthetic Biology / Nanotechnology / etc. NT
2. What type? ... When? ...
Cash flow projections to show what is possible.
120
Ta b l e 3 R a p p o r t
C i e n c i a y Te c n o l o g í a
Main topics
1. Public policies
2. Job
3. Quality of life
4. Sustainability and population
5. Education
6. Rational use of energy
Consensus with the Tables
Education and Learning, Government, Culture, Business and
Labor, Financial Capital, Welfare and Work
121
Ta b l e 4
C U LT U R E
1. ¿What cultural changes will be needed?
2. How to innovate in the new content industry?
3. Culture says that jobs / employment are the source of
self-esteem.
4. What will be the role of risk capital related to futures
in the cultural industries?
122
Ta b l e 4 R a p p o r t
C u l t u r e
Main topics
1. Humanization
2. Means
3. Values
4. Spirituality
5. Profile
6. Critical thinking
7. Government
Consensus
Humanization, Resources, Values, Spirituality, Profile and Critical
Thinking.
123
Ta b l e 5
B U S I N E S S & J O B S
1. Which will be the roles of companies and work, and
their associations in a national long-range strategy?
2. How to reduce income gaps and concentration of
wealth?
3. How to guarantee workers' rights and fair treatment
when AI and other NTs change the nature of work
and employment? 124
Ta b l e 5 R a p p o r t
B u s i n e s s & W o r k
Main topics
1. Role of companies
2. Income Gaps and Wealth Concentration
3. Workers' rights when AI and NT change
Consensus with other Tables
Education / Learning, Government, Science and Technology,
Culture, Financial Capital and Well-being and Work
125
Ta b l e 6
F I N A N C I A L C A P I TA L
1. What will be the forms of financial
transactions, the money market and its
modes of accumulation and distribution?
2. What will be the future of the fiscal function
with the virtual money?
3. Will there be a single global currency? ...
126
Ta b l e 6 R a p p o r t
F i n a n c i a l C a p i t a l
Main topics
1. Money market
2. Fiscal function
3. Global single currency
Consensus
Acquisition of knowledge, social benefits, technologies, culture
and work.
127
Ta b l e 7
W E L L N E S S A N D W O R K
1. Will the working hours be relevant in the future?
2. How are we preparing for the labor demands of the new
generations?
3. What is meaningful work and why is it important for new
generations?
4. How should companies ensure the involvement of their
employees?
128
Ta b l e 7 R a p p o r t
W e l l n e s s a n d w o r k
Main topics
1. Technology as a means to facilitate processes
2. People with purpose
3. Equality and safety at work
4. The leader new role
129
MÉXICO 2050
1 5 C h a l l e n g e s
INVITATION
O c t o b e r 1 1 t h
I nv it at ion
Oc tober 11th
Aut hors presentation of
MEXICO 2050.
15 Challenges
2015 - 2017
133
ENJOY
MEXICO
Concepción Olavarrieta
President of Nodo Mexicano. El Proyecto del Milenio
Mexico Node Chair of the Millennium Project
October 9th 2017, Mexico City

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2017 Millennium Project Mexico Node Report

  • 2. F U T U R E S R E S E A R C H M E T H O D O L O G I E S S p a n i s h t r a n s l a t o r s
  • 3. T H E P R O M I S I N G F U T U R E O F L AT I N A M E R I C A 2 0 5 0
  • 4. Lydia Garrido U R U G U A Y Concepción Olavarrieta José Cordeiro V E N E Z U E L A E S P A Ñ A Ibon Zugasti P E R Ú Fernando Ortega N O D E C H A I R S M É X I C O
  • 5.
  • 6. L A T I N A M E R I C A p r o m i s i n g l a n d o f t h e f u t u r e O p p o r t u n i t i e s 1. Demografic bonus 2. Nature care: ecodevelopments 3. Multicultural diversity 4. Globalism: respecting native cultures 5. Market 6. Industry 7. Services 8. Tourism 9. Innovation, 10. Science & Technological futures of work
  • 7.
  • 8. 2050 Scenario 1: It's Complicated- A Mixed Bag. 1. A business-as-usual trend projection of the increasing acceleration of change with both intelligence and stupidity characterized decisionmaking (or lack of decisionmaking). 2. Irregular adoption of advanced technology; high unemployment where governments did not create long-range strategies and mixed success on the use of universal basic income. Giant corporation's powers have often grown beyond government control, in this government-corporate, virtual-3D, multi-polar complex world of 2050.
  • 9. 2050 Scenario 2: Political/Economic Turmoil - Future Despair 1. Governments did not anticipate the impacts of artificial general intelligence and had no strategies in place as unemployment exploded in the 2030s leaving the world of 2050 in political turmoil. 2. Social polarism and political grid-lock in many forms have grown. 3. Global order has deteriorated into a combination of nation-states, mega- corporations, local militias, terrorism, and organized crime.
  • 10. Scenario 3: If Humans Were Free - the Self-Actualization Economy. 1. Governments did anticipate: a) the impacts of artificial general intelligence, b) conducted extensive research on how to phase in universal basic income systems, and promoted self-employment. 2. Artists, media moguls, and entertainers helped to foster cultural change from an employment culture to a self-actualization economy.
  • 11. 1. Which is the focus of your country on the future of work / technology 2050? 2. Which are the main challenges that your country is facing for futures work/technology 2050?
  • 12.
  • 13. DIGITAL CITIES VI SI ONS & FORESI GHT MODEL S C o n c e p c i ó n O l a v a r r i e t a PROSPECTA COLOMBIA 2016 IX CONGRESO INTERNACIONAL DE PROSPECTIVA PARA EL DESARROLLO REGIONAL “El postconflicto: un nuevo escenario para el desarrollo regional sostenible” Bogotá, 27 y 28 de octubre de 2016 13
  • 14.
  • 15.
  • 16. Ciudad de México 2050 Ciudad digital y del conocimiento (Una visión prospectiva en construcción) MEXICO CITY MEGALOPOLIS FACING THE FUTURE INSTITUTO NACIONAL DE ASESORIAESPECIALIZADA 16
  • 17. 17
  • 18. 18
  • 19. 19
  • 20. PA R I S T w i t t e r W o r l d c a p i t a l 20
  • 22. 22 C I T Y C R E D E N T I A L LODGINGS IN 2015
  • 23. 23
  • 24. From elect ronic Government t o electronic Governance 24
  • 25. 25
  • 26. 26
  • 27. 27
  • 29. 29
  • 30. 30
  • 31. 31
  • 32. 32
  • 33. “The postconflict: A new scenario for the Regional sustainable development” 33
  • 34.
  • 35.
  • 36. M É X I C O M o n t e r r e y , S t a t e o f N u e v o L e ó n 2 2 - 2 5 M a r c h 2 0 1 7 3RD. Annual meeting 36
  • 37.
  • 38.
  • 39.
  • 40. THE FUTURES OF HAPPINESS C o n c e p c i ó n O l a v a r r i e t a H A P P I N E S S P A N E L M o n t e r r e y M a r c h 2 2 , 2 0 1 7
  • 41. H A P P I N E S S I S S U B J E C T I V E , I T I S A N E M O T I O N P R O D U C E D W H E N A P E R S O N B E L I E V E S H A S R E A C H E D A G O A L .
  • 42. OPINION SURVEY5 ASPECTS THAT MAKE YOU HAPPY 5 ASPECTS THAT MAKE YOU UNHAPPY
  • 44. HAPPY
  • 45. MÉXICO HAPPY Familia Trabajo Amigos Salud Ayudar a terceros Viajar Artes, música y entretenimiento Valores, paz y armonía Leer y escribir Comida Crear Naturaleza Ejercicio Educar Otros
  • 46. RIBER HAPPY Familia Trabajo, riqueza y bienestar Amigos y gente Ayudar a terceros Naturaleza y medio ambiente Viajar Paz y buen gobierno Entretenimiento Otros
  • 47. MILLENNIUM PROJ ECT HAPPY Amor Familia Logros: creatividad, descubrimientos, metas Amigos Ayudar a terceros Trabajo e ingresos Salud Naturaleza Artes Seguridad Otros
  • 48. WORLD HAPPY Familia y amor Trabajo, creatividad y logros Amigos Ayudar a terceros
  • 50. Falta de Ética Violencia Corrupción y abuso de poder Falta de humanidad y pobreza Injusticia Enfermedad Problemas emocionales personales Problemas de trabajo Problemas familiares Problemas económicos Ignorancia e ineptitud MEXICO UNHAPPY
  • 51. RIBER UNHAPPY Corrupción, deshonestidad, pérdida de valores Injusticia, indiferencia Pobreza, desigualdad social Egoismo, envidia Otros
  • 52. MILLENNIUM PROJECT UNHAPPY Trump: xenofobia, racismo, odio, etc Mal gobierno, abuso de poder Violencia, guerras, acoso, terrorismo Enfermedad Falta de ética Pobreza Corrupción Contaminación ambiental Trabajo Problemas con familia y amigos Emociones negativas Otros
  • 53. WORLD UNHAPPY Violencia y acoso Corrupción y abuso de poder Falta de ética Falta de humanidad
  • 54. BUTAN GNH INDEX A s s i s t a n c e i n m o n i t o r i n g n a t i o n a l p r o g r e s s
  • 55. HM Jigme Khesar Namgyel Wangchuck, 5th King of Bhutan Our most important goal is the peace and happiness of our people and the security and sovereignty of our nation.
  • 56. “True true happiness can not exist while others suffer. It comes only from serving others, living in harmony with nature, and realizing our innate wisdom and the true and bright nature of our own minds.” Prime Minister of Bhutan HAPPINESS IS MULTIDIMENSIONAL
  • 58. Quality of life and dimensions of Bhutan's Gross National Happiness Index 1. Health 2. Education 3. Standard of material life 4. Time use 5. Governance 6. Vitality of the community 7. Ecological diversity 8. Culture & spirituality 9. Emotional well-being
  • 59. Weighing:  The 9 domains are weighted equally  There are 33 subdomains  The subjective subdomains have light weight, except for psychological well-being  Robustness tests are performed
  • 60. Methodology – The BNHI is a form of the FosterAlkire Methodology, used in UNDP MPI, for national poverty. • Cuts sufficiency – Each subdomain identifies a person as a private of, if it has not reached the "sufficiency" in that indicator. • Identification of ‘Happiness’ – To allow diversity, a person is identified as "happy" if he has achieved sufficiency in 70% of the domains.
  • 61. Formula for the Butan NHI BNH =1–(No of people x Intensity) The BNH Index uses Foster Alkire aggregation for ordinal data • No of people – It is the percentage of unhappy people • Amplitude (Intensity) – This is the average percentage of gaps among the unhappy. No of people and Amplitude focus on privations to inform politicians
  • 62. 13.04% 4.99% 12.49% 14.37% 10.80% 11.32% 7.65% 13.53% 11.80% What do the unfortunates in Bhutan lack? Psychological well- being Health Time use Education Cultural diversity Good governance Commity vitality Ecological diversity & resilience Standards of living
  • 64. M e a s u r i n g Va r i a b l e s 1. GDP per cápita 2. Social support 3. Healthy life expectancy at birth 4. Freedom to choose in life 5. Generosity 6. Corruption perceptions
  • 65. 6 3 N O D E S 5 . F i n l a n d 1 7 . B r a z i l 6 . C a n a d a 1 6 . B e l g i u m 8 . N u e v a Z e a l a n d 2 1 . M e x i c o 9 . A u s t r a l i a 2 3 . U n i t e d K i n g d o m 1 1 . I s r a e l 2 4 . C h i l e 1 3 . U nited States of Amér ic a 2 5 . P a n a m a 1 4 . C o s t a R i c a 2 6 . A r g e n t i n a 1 6 . G e r m a n y F i r s t g r o u p 1 5 f r o m M P
  • 66. S e c o n d g r o u p 2 7 . C z e c h R e p u b l i c 4 5 . S l o v a k i a 28. United Arab Emirates 5 0 . I t a l i a 2 9 . U r u g u a y 5 1 . E c u a d o r 3 1 . C o l o m b i a 5 3 . J a p a n 3 2 . F r a n c e 5 6 . R u s s i a 3 7 . S p a i n 5 7 . P o l a n d 4 1 . K u w a i t 5 8 . S o u t h K o r e a 4 4 . V e n e z u e l a 1 5 f r o m M P
  • 67. T h i r d g r o u p 1 5 f r o m M P 5 9 . B o l i v i a 8 9 . D o m i n i c a n R e p u b l i c 6 3 . S l o v e n i a 9 1 . H u n g a r y 7 1 . R u m a n i a 9 2 . P a k i s t a n 7 4 . C r o a c i a 9 4 . P o r t u g a l 7 8 . T u r k e y 9 8 . T u n e z 8 1 . A z e r b a i j a n 9 9 . G r e e c e 8 3 . C h i n a 1 0 5 . I r a n 8 8 . M o n t e n e g r o
  • 68. F o u r t h g r o u p 1 1 6 . S o u t h A f r i c a 1 2 2 . K e n y a 1 1 7 . S r i L a n k a 1 2 6 . G e o r g i a 1 1 8 . I n d i a 1 2 9 . B u l g a r i a 1 1 9 . M y a n m a r 1 4 6 . U g a n d a 1 2 0 . E g y p t 1 4 9 . T a n z a n i a 1 2 1 . A r m e n i a 11 from MP
  • 69. Methodological reflection “ W e g i v e m o r e v a l i d i t y t o p e o p l e ' s o w n j u d g m e n t s a b o u t t h e q u a l i t y o f t h e i r l i v e s t h a n t o a n y I n d e x t h a t w e c a n c o n s t r u c t a b o u t m e a s u r e m e n t s o n p o s s i b l e c o m p o n e n t s . ” John F. Helliwell, Haifang Huang & Shun Wang World Happiness Report 2016
  • 70. MILLEN N IU M PROJECT B U TA N W OR LD HAPPINESS Love Health GDP per capita Family Education Social support Achievements: creativity, discoveries, goals Standard of material life Life expectancy Friends Time use Freedom to choose Helping others Governance Generosity Work & income Community vitatlity Corruption perceptions Health Ecological diversity Nature Culture & Spirituality Arts Emotional well-being
  • 71. Concepción Olavarrieta Mexico Node Report Monterrey, State of Nuevo León, M E X I C O March ,2017
  • 72.
  • 73.
  • 74.
  • 75. B o o k I B E R O A M E R I C A 2 0 5 0 1 5 C H A L L E N G E S C o n c e p c i ó n O l a v a r r i e t a M a r c h 2 3 , 2 0 1 7 M o n t e r r e y, N u e v o L e ó n ,
  • 76. I B E R O A M É R I C A 2 0 5 0 1 5 C h a l l e n g e s
  • 77. V O T E R S I N FAV O R
  • 78. I n i t i a l v e r s i o n 1 5 e x p e r t s p e r c o u n t r y B o o k 2 0 5 0 p e r c o u n t r y F i n a l v e r s i o n I B E R O A M E R I C A 2 0 5 0 . 1 5 C H A L L E N G E S & S C E N A R I O S
  • 79. B o o k I B E R O A M E R I C A 2 0 5 0 1 5 C h a l l e n g e s F i r s t s t a g e v e r s i o n s 1 . B y I b e r o - A m e r i c a n c h a l l e n g e s f a s c i c l e s . 2 . B y c h a l l e n g e s f a s c i c l e s p e r c o u n t r y 3 . E l e c t r o n i c v e r s i o n 4 . P r i n t e d v e r s i o n S e c o n d s t a g e S C E N A R I O S
  • 80. 2 0 5 0 1 5 C H A L L E N G E S towards
  • 81.
  • 82. 12 Transnational organized crime 15 Global Ethics 7 Rich & poor gap Water 2 5 Foresight mexican policies and decision making Tecnoloógical Information & Communications 6 9 Education 1 Sustainable development & climate change Transnacional organized crime 12 J u n e 2 8 t h , 2 0 1 6
  • 83. 14 Victor Manuel Mayoral Science & Technology 4 José Fabián Ruíz Democratization 10 Gabriela de la Paz Peace & Conflict 13 María del Pilar Rodríguez Energy 11 Luz María Velázquez Improvement of Women’s status 8 Gema Leon Health 3 Guillermo Gándara Population & Resources 15 Edgar Jimenez Global Ethics
  • 89. OUR EXPERIENCE IN MEXICO S t e p s 1. Thematic experts invitation 2. Periodic meetings with authors for checking advances, problems, support with third parties and new proposals for publishing the book. 3. Important agreements. Since all the challenges are impacted holistically: a. Each author electronically sends the other authors their Essay for comments. b. Opinions are punctual and constructive. They are sent personally to the author to improve his Essay. c. Nobody has the right to get angry because it is a collective effort.
  • 90. Ex perienc es Challenge 1 2 T r a n s n a t i o n a l O r g a n i z e d C r i m e C h a l l e n g e s • Lack of Mexican and international publications on the 23 variables of transnational organized crime as a whole. • Lack of sequential Mexican and international statistics on the 23 variables of Transnational Organized Crime.
  • 91. R i s k f a c t o r s f o r Transnational Organized Crime 1 . F A M I L Y 2 . E D U C A T I O N 3 . I N D I V I D U A L 4. NEIGHBORHOOD 5. RELATIONSHIPS
  • 92. O p i n i o n S u r v e y S u p p o r t : f o r m a t y c o d i n g . P a r t i c i p a n t e s : 1 6 8 México Latinoamérica Millennium Project 21 a 29 años 30 a 49 años 50 y más A g e Licenciatura Maestría Doctorado S c h o l a r s h i p Ciencias Sociales Ingeniería-Arquitectura Ciencias exactas Medicina Otras Academia Sector privado Otros P r o f e s s i o n a l s p e c i a l t y W o r k
  • 93. O u r v i s i o n f o r C h a l l e n g e 1 2 i s c o n s t r u c t i v e t o w a r d s : 1 . A p u b l i c p o l i c y o f e f f e c t i v e f o r e s i g h t . 1 . S t r o n g , t r a n s p a r e n t a n d a s s e r t i v e g o v e r n a n c e . 2 . A m o r e i n v o l v e d , c o m m i t t e d a n d r e s p o n s i b l e s o c i e t y.
  • 94. Adv antages of MÉXICO 2050 I t w i l l b e a n a v a n t - g a r d e p u b l i c a t i o n t h a t w i l l f e e d b a c k a n d i m p a c t o n t h e p u b l i c , p r i v a t e a n d s o c i a l n e w p o l i c i e s
  • 95. B e n e f i t s f o r I B E R O A M É R I C A 2 0 5 0 A U T H O R S • Each challenge could be published as a fascicle • Each author could make presentations on his challenge. C O U N T R Y • Each country will elaborate its scenarios • Each country could edit its own publication • The authors will make joint presentations to influence decision-makers in the public, private, academic and social sectors. R I B E R • It will have a series of national publications accrediting the value of its members and the presence of RIBER. • The members of RIBER can group together to formulate the Scenarios for IBEROAMERICA 2050.
  • 96. TO G E T H E R W E C A N A C H I E V E I T
  • 97. ¡ L E T ’ S B E C O M E A M O D E L F O R T H E M I L L E N N I U M P R O J E C T ! I B E R O A M É R I C A t o w a a r d s 2 0 5 0 C o n c e p c i ó n O l a v a r r i e t a P r e s i d e n t a d e l N o d o M e x i c a n o . E l P r o y e c t o d e l M i l e n i o V i c e p r e s i d e n t a d e l C o n s e j o D i r e c t i v o y M e x i c a n C h a i r d e l M i l l e n n i u m P r o j e c t S e c r e t a r i a d e l a R e d I b e r o a m e r i c a n a d e P r o s p e c t i v a c o n c e p c i o n o l a v a r r i e t a @ g m a i l . c o m
  • 99. Institute of Public Administration of the State of Mexico Toluca City, May 17th, 2017
  • 100.
  • 101. Monterrey, State of Nuevo León, M a y 1 6 t h , 2 0 1 7
  • 102. FUTURE WORK/ TECHNOLOGY 2050 Global study hi g h l i g h t s f o r t r a i n i n g R a p p o r t e u r s 102
  • 103. Study goals Identify cultural, educational, scientific, technological, economic, social, financial and welfare changes necessary for a peaceful transition between the population and its work by 2050. 103
  • 104. ¿ I n w h i c h i s d i f f e r e n t T h e F u t u r e o f W o r k / Te c h n o l o g y 2 0 5 0 S t u d y ? 104
  • 105. 1 An international study with the participation of 45 countries Artificial intelligence, Impact of robotics at work, Synthetic biology, 3D / 4D & Bio- printing, Nanotechnology, Virtual and augmented reality, etc ... 3. Is projected to 2050 to include necessary cultural changes for a peaceful transition. 105 2.
  • 106. 4. Helps look at 2050 The primary, secondary and tertiary Consequences and creates global alternative scenarios for Helping the transition of the new economic / technological conditions 5. It starts with national strategy workshops, compares the results and feedbacks to each country. 6. Result: Focus on what to do in the long run, instead of repeating descriptions of the problem. 106
  • 107. 3 Scenarios 2050 1.It's Complicated- A Mixed Bag 2. Political/Economic Turmoil – Future Despair 3. If Humans Were Free – the Self-Actualization Economy. . 107
  • 108. 1. A business as usual trend with: a. The increasing accelaration of change with, b. Intelligence & stupidity characterized decisionmaking (or lack of decisionmaking). 2. Irregular adoption of advanced technology a. High unemployment, where governments did not create long-range strategies and b. Mixed success on the use of universal basic income Giant corporation’s powers have often grown beyond government control, in this government-corporate, virtud-3D, multi-polar complex world of 2050. Scenario 1 It’s complicated – A mixed bag 108
  • 109. 1. GOVERNMENTS: a. Did not anticiapte the impact of artificial general intelligence and b. Had no strategies in place As unemployment exploded in the 2030’s Leaving the world of 2050 in political turmoil. 2. Social polarism and political grid-lock in many forms have grown 3. Global order has deteriorated into a combination of: a. Nation-States, b. Mega-corporations, c. Local militias, d. Terrorism & organized crime. Scenario 2 2. Political/Economic Turmoil – Future Despair 109
  • 110. 1. Governments did anticipate: a) The impacts of artificial intelligence, b) Conductive extensive research onhow to phase in universal basic income systems, and promoted self- employment. 2. Artist, media muguls, and entertainers helped to foster cultural changes from an employmnet culture to self- acutlization economy. Scenario 3 If humans were free– the Self-Actualization Economy 110
  • 111. GUIDELINE FOR A WOKSHOP ON FUTURE WORK/ TECHNOLOGY 2050 111
  • 112. 7 W O R K TA B L E S 1 . E d u c a t i o n & l e a r n i n g 3. S c i e n c e & Te c h n o l o g y. 6. F i n a n c i a l c a p i t a l 2 . G o v e r n m e n t 4. C u l t u r e 5. Business & Work 7. We l l n e s s a n d w o r k 112
  • 113. S c h e d u l e y a c t i v i t i e s • 10:00 a 11:00 • Primera Ronda Grupos de Trabajo • 11:05 a 11:10 • Receso • 11:11 a 12:11 • Segunda Ronda Grupos de Trabajo • 12:11 a 12:16 • Receso • 12:17 a 13:02 • Tercera Ronda Grupos de Trabajo • 13:03 a 13:33 • Consensos finales 6 Relatores Grupos de trabajo H o u r Ac t i v i t y 1 0 : 0 0 a 11 : 0 0 F I R S T R O U N D E a c h e x p e r t m a k e s h i s p r e s e n t a t i o n s a n d e a c h w o r k t a b l e c o n s e n s e s i t s v i s i o n s f o r 2 0 5 0 . 11 : 0 1 a 11 : 1 0 B r e a k 11 : 1 0 a 1 2 : 0 0 P R E S E N TAT I O N S O F E A C H W O R K I N G G R O U P. E a c h e x p e r t m a k e s i t s n o t e s o f w h a t h e w o u l d l i k e t o a d d o r c h a n g e . 1 2 : 0 1 a 1 2 : 1 0 B r e a k 1 2 : 11 a 1 3 : 3 0 S E C O N D R O U N D E a c h e x p e r t p o s e s h i s c h a n g e s o r a d d i t i o n s o n h i s n e w v i s i o n s a n d t h e g r o u p c o n s e n s e s h i s n e w v i s i o n s f o r 2 0 5 0 113
  • 114. Rapporteurs-Facilitators 1. Direct the 2 sessions of the group. 2. Compile the written views of each expert. 3. Regulate the time of each participant. 4. Summarize the visions of the group consensus. 5. Make the initial presentation of the group. 6. Make the summary of the final version of the group.114
  • 115. A c t o r s A c t i v i t i e s M i n u t e s F i r s t R o u n d T a r g e t : G a t h e r e x p e r t s o p i n i o n s R a p p o r t e u r & E x p e r t s P r e s e n t a t i o n s o f e a c h o n e 5 ’ E x p e r t Y o u r v i s i ó n 5 ’ e a c h R a p p o r t e u r S u g g e s t s c o n s e n s u s s y n t h e s i s a n d a s k s f o r f e e d b a c k 15’ S E C O N D R O U N D T a r g e t : I d e n t i f y t h e h o l i s t i c i m p a c t R a p p o r t e u r P r e s e n t s T h e m a t i c v i s i o n o f i t s t a b l e 10 ’ p e r g r o u p E x p e r t s T a k e n o t e o f c o n t r i b u t i o n s f r o m o t h e r t a b l e s f o r t h e i r g r o u p S i m u l t a n e o u s T E R C E R A R O N D A T a r g e t : I n t e g r a t e n e w o p i n i o n s a n d r e a c h c o n s e n s u s E x p e r t s A d d n e w c o n t r i b u t i o n s t o t h e t a b l e 5 ’ e a c h R a p p o r t e u r & E x p e r t s C o n s e n s u s 15 ‘ 115
  • 116. Ta b l e 1 E D U C AT I O N / L E A R N I N G 1. How should education, training and learning systems change? 2. And what strategies will make it happen? 116
  • 117. Ta b l e 1 R a p p o r t E d u c a t i o n / L e a r n i n g Main topics 1. Personalization of learning 2. Teachers 3. Students 4. Education system 5. Evaluation 6. Employers 7. Government Consensus with the Tables of: Government, Welfare and Work, Science and Technology, Culture 117
  • 118. Ta b l e 2 G O V E R N M E N T 1. Will a program be needed to guarantee income? 2. What type? When? Cash flow projections to show what is possible. 118
  • 119. Ta b l e 2 R a p p o r t G o v e r n m e n t Main topics 1. Democracy 2. Public administration 3. Legislation 4. Guaranteed Basic Income 5. Free time (quality) 6. Education (public processes) Consensus with the Tables Education, Science and Technology, Culture, Business and Work 119
  • 120. Ta b l e 3 S C I E N C E & T E C H N O L O G Y 1. Artificial Intelligence / Robotics / Synthetic Biology / Nanotechnology / etc. NT 2. What type? ... When? ... Cash flow projections to show what is possible. 120
  • 121. Ta b l e 3 R a p p o r t C i e n c i a y Te c n o l o g í a Main topics 1. Public policies 2. Job 3. Quality of life 4. Sustainability and population 5. Education 6. Rational use of energy Consensus with the Tables Education and Learning, Government, Culture, Business and Labor, Financial Capital, Welfare and Work 121
  • 122. Ta b l e 4 C U LT U R E 1. ¿What cultural changes will be needed? 2. How to innovate in the new content industry? 3. Culture says that jobs / employment are the source of self-esteem. 4. What will be the role of risk capital related to futures in the cultural industries? 122
  • 123. Ta b l e 4 R a p p o r t C u l t u r e Main topics 1. Humanization 2. Means 3. Values 4. Spirituality 5. Profile 6. Critical thinking 7. Government Consensus Humanization, Resources, Values, Spirituality, Profile and Critical Thinking. 123
  • 124. Ta b l e 5 B U S I N E S S & J O B S 1. Which will be the roles of companies and work, and their associations in a national long-range strategy? 2. How to reduce income gaps and concentration of wealth? 3. How to guarantee workers' rights and fair treatment when AI and other NTs change the nature of work and employment? 124
  • 125. Ta b l e 5 R a p p o r t B u s i n e s s & W o r k Main topics 1. Role of companies 2. Income Gaps and Wealth Concentration 3. Workers' rights when AI and NT change Consensus with other Tables Education / Learning, Government, Science and Technology, Culture, Financial Capital and Well-being and Work 125
  • 126. Ta b l e 6 F I N A N C I A L C A P I TA L 1. What will be the forms of financial transactions, the money market and its modes of accumulation and distribution? 2. What will be the future of the fiscal function with the virtual money? 3. Will there be a single global currency? ... 126
  • 127. Ta b l e 6 R a p p o r t F i n a n c i a l C a p i t a l Main topics 1. Money market 2. Fiscal function 3. Global single currency Consensus Acquisition of knowledge, social benefits, technologies, culture and work. 127
  • 128. Ta b l e 7 W E L L N E S S A N D W O R K 1. Will the working hours be relevant in the future? 2. How are we preparing for the labor demands of the new generations? 3. What is meaningful work and why is it important for new generations? 4. How should companies ensure the involvement of their employees? 128
  • 129. Ta b l e 7 R a p p o r t W e l l n e s s a n d w o r k Main topics 1. Technology as a means to facilitate processes 2. People with purpose 3. Equality and safety at work 4. The leader new role 129
  • 130. MÉXICO 2050 1 5 C h a l l e n g e s INVITATION O c t o b e r 1 1 t h
  • 131.
  • 132. I nv it at ion Oc tober 11th Aut hors presentation of MEXICO 2050. 15 Challenges 2015 - 2017
  • 133. 133
  • 134. ENJOY MEXICO Concepción Olavarrieta President of Nodo Mexicano. El Proyecto del Milenio Mexico Node Chair of the Millennium Project October 9th 2017, Mexico City