Learn about dozens of innovators and proofpoints that we are heading towards a future of abundance.

1. Peter H. Diamandis
Intro to Exponentials &
Road to Abundance

2. Abundance: The Implication
of Exponential Change
Peter H. Diamandis, MD

3. Human development over 150,000+ years…
LOCAL + LINEAR

4. EXPONENTIAL + GLOBAL
Human development over 150,000+ years…

5. Disruptive Stress
/Opportunity
Exponential Trend
Linear Trend

6. What does EXPONENTIAL
growth mean?

7. Take 30
paces…
LINEAR
01
02
03
04
05
06
07
08
09
10
11
12
13
30 meters

8. 01 02 04 08 16 32 64 128 256
… 1,073,741,824 meters
26X
around
the Earth!
Take 30
steps…
EXPONENTIAL

9. Moore’s Law
1965 Publication:
“# of transistors
doubled every year
from between 1958
until 1965.”
Moore’s Law has lasted 50+ years...

10. Integrated Circuits
2016: Intel Core i7-6950X
14.4 Billion Transistors
14 Nanometers
60 GHz
≈ $ . 00000024
1971: Intel 4004
2,300 Transistors
10,000 Nanometers
740 KHz (.00074 GHz)
≈ $1 (1968)
1958: 2 Transistors
Transistor Count:
Gate Process Length:
Speed:
Cost Of A Transistor:
2
½ inch
ß 80K (faster) & 4.2M (cheaper) à
330+ Billion-fold improvement (45 yrs)

11. 5 Mbytes - $120,000 128 Mbytes - $99 128 Gbytes - $99
1,000x

12. Calculations/Secper$1000computer
5 Paradigms of Exponential Computational Growth

13. The exponential growth of
computing on a Logarithmic Plot
Calc./second for a $1000 laptop vs. Time
CalculationsperSecondper$1000
2023
2050

14. “Unexpected Consequences & Business Models”
Faster,
Cheaper,
Computing
Power
Networks & Sensors
Synthetic Biology
Robotics
3D Printing
VR & AR
Artificial Intelligence
Blockchain
Unexpected
Consequences
& Biz Models
(e.g. Sharing
Economy)

15. Implications of
Exponentials
(Transportation)

16. Paradigm Change: Robotics

17. 1904
New York City

18. In 1912, traffic counts in New York showed
more cars than horses for the first time.
1917
New York City

19. AUTONOMOUS UBERS HIT THE STREETS

20. EVERY TESLA IN 2017 TO
BE FULLY AUTONOMOUS
8 Cameras, 12 Ultrasonic Sensors
feeding the NVIDIA DRIVE™ PX 2 AI
computing platform.

21. Experts Predict Car Ownership
“Dead” by 2025
GOOGLE SPINS OUT WAYMO /
PARTNERS WITH CHRYSLER & LYFT

22. Zunum Aero’s Hybrid-Electric Aircraft
Max Range: 700+ Miles
Max Cruise: 340 mph
Ops Cost: 8¢/seat mile
Delivery: 2022 (12 seat)

23. LARRY PAGE FUNDING FLYING CARS

24. AIRBUS PLANS TO TEST SELF-DRIVEN
AIRBORNE TAXI IN 2017

25. UBER ELEVATE PROGRAM CREATED

26. HYPERLOOP - ONE

27. HYPERLOOP - ONE

28. SpaceX – BFR – Point2Point

29. Implications of
Exponentials
(Energy)

30. 2016: RENEWABLES CHEAPER THAN COAL
• Solar/wind is now < than new fossil fuel in 30+ countries.
• Renewable energy now accounts for 25% of the world’s power
• Coal will not recover; Petroleum is not far behind.

31. SCOTLAND IS GENERATING 106% OF IT’S ENERGY FROM
WIND.

32. COSTA RICA NOW RUNNING ON RENEWABLES FOR >300 DAYS

33. NETHERLAND TO BAN ALL GAS/DIESEL CARS BY 2025

35. LOS ANGELES

36. 1 KM OF SOLAR ROADS DEPLOYED IN NORMANDY, FRANCE

37. Tesla Solar Roof Tiles

38. GIGAFACTORY OPENED FOR BUSINESS
Annual battery production capacity of 35 gigawatt-hrs (GWh).
“100 Giga-factories would give humanity enough
battery capacity to go fully renewable.”
- Elon Musk

39. Battery Price Projections
EIA: US Energy Information Administration – Official USG Energy Forecaster

40. Implications of
Exponentials
(Hyper-Connected World)

41. 1. Testing in 2019
2. Deployment in 2020
3. 10 - 100 Gbps speeds
4. 100,000 sensors per city block.
THE 5G
WORLD

42. Jacobs / Branson / Wyler
“Explosion of Networks…”

43. 0.0
1.0
2.0
3.0
4.0
5.0
6.0
7.0
8.0
GLOBAL UBIQUITOUS CONNECTIVITY
2010 2017
GLOBAL POPULATION (BILLIONS)
1.8B
3.8B
Global Population
Internet Users
4.2 BILLION
NEW MINDS
2022-2025
8.0B
100%
© 2015 PHD Ventures, Inc. All rights reserved. Do not reproduce without written permission.

44. What will 5 Billion New Minds…
create
consume
discover
desire invent
…Tens of trillions of annual PP
…Greatest period of Innovation (ever)

45. Implications of
Exponentials
(Health &Longevity)

46. ILLUMINA: A $100 GENOME IN 1 HOUR

47. CRISPR USED IN HUMANS FOR CANCER

48. Source: Sun Yat-sen University, China
Fall 2017; Chinese
researchers have cured the
world’s first genetic disease
by using CRISPR editing of
the DNA of human embryos.
Scientists altered lab-made
embryos to remove the blood
disease beta-thalassemia.
(Embryos were not implanted)
CRISPR USED TO CURE GENETIC DISEASE

49. ENGINEERED T-CELL THERAPY
Yielding “Extraordinary” success on specific cancers:
• 50% of Lymphoma patients went into remission
• 80% of non-Hodgkin’s Lymphoma
• 94% complete remission with acute lymphoblastic leukemia (ALL)

50. AGING IS REVERSIBLE – IN
HUMAN CELLS & LIVE MICE
Researchers at the Salk Institute were able
to turn adult cells back into embryonic-like
ones, in aging mice and in-vitro human
cells, extended the life of a mouse.
Human trials expected within 10 years
“Ageing is a plastic process and more
amenable to therapeutic interventions
than we previously thought.”
- Dr. Izpisua Belmonte, Salk Institute

51. PRIZE AWARDED APRIL
2017

52. Cancer
Early Detection
BOLD INNOVATOR: Dr. DANIEL KRAFT

53. VISIONEERS
BOLD INNOVATOR: PHILIP EDGCUMBE

54. Implications of
Exponentials
(Moonshots)

55. Moonshots Thinking
Going 10x bigger, rather than 10% bigger

56. “Making 100 Years
old, the new 60.”

57. Drones For Mining Resources
LL Chondrite Asteroids
Rich in PGMs (1000x best Earth mines)
Carbonaceous Chondrite Asteroids
20% Volatiles (H20, CH3)

58. SUMMARY
AWARDED & ACTIVE
$150M
UNDER DEVELOPMENT
$200M+

61. What’s Your Moonshot?

62. Implications of
Exponentials
(Abundance)

63. “Why are you so positive
about the future? Don’t
you watch the news?”
ABUNDANCE:
The Future Is Better Than You Think

64. (1) Global Income
(2) Lifespan
(3) Food
(4) Energy
(5) Transportation
(6) Communications
(1) Global Income
(2) Lifespan
(3) Food
(4) Energy
(5) Transportation
(6) Communications
Evidence for Abundance

65. Why do some people think
that the world is worse
today?
We Romanticize the Past

66. Let’s Look at the Reality of
Humanity’s History
• Famine
• Plague
• War

67. Famine in the Past
Resulting from bad weather & ruined Harvests
• France in 1692 – 1694
• ~2.8 million French died
from starvation (15% of the
population)

68. Plague in the Past
Black Death ravages Asia, Europe, & N. America
• Black Death in the 1330’s
• 40% of England wiped out
• 200 Million killed globally

69. War in the Past
Millions killed by violence – Peace seen as temporary
• Human violence caused 15%
of deaths in ancient
agricultural societies
• ~100x decrease in
homicides in Europe
between 1200 – 2000 AD

70. Homicide in Europe, 1200-2000
Source: Steven Pinkier & Eisner, 2003

71. Let’s Look at More
Evidence For Abundance

72. % OF WORLD POP. LIVING IN EXTREME POVERTY (1820 – 2015)
Source: World Poverty in Absolute numbers, Max Roser, World Bank
People Living in Extreme Poverty
Share of people living in extreme poverty Share of people not in extreme poverty
0%
100%
20%
40%
60%
80%
90%
10%
30%
50%
70%
1880 19401820 19001840 1860 1920 1960 20151980 2000

73. LITERATE AND ILLITERATE WORLD POPULATION (1800 – 2014)
Source: Literate World Population (Our World in Data based on OECD & UNESCO)
% Literate Population
World - Literate World Population World - Illiterate World Population
0%
100%
20%
40%
60%
80%
90%
10%
30%
50%
70%
%ofPopulation
1800 1880 19401820 19001840 1860 1920 1960 20141980 2000

74. GLOBAL VACCINATION PERCENTAGE (DPT3) (1980 – 2015)
Source: https://ourworldindata.org/vaccination/
0%
100%
20%
40%
60%
80%
90%
10%
30%
50%
70%
1980 2000 20151985 20051990 1995 2010
World - Vaccinated World - Not vaccinated
Absolute Relative

75. GLOBAL CHILD MORTALITY – FIRST 5 YEARS (1800 – 2015)
Source: Gapminder and World Bank
% Mortality Rate for Children under 5
0%
100%
20%
40%
60%
80%
90%
10%
30%
50%
70%
1800 1880 19401820 19001840 1860 1920 1960 20151980 2000
World - Share dying in first 5 years World - Share surviving first 5 years of life

76. Source: Historical Statistics of the United States, Series B-148; and Health, United States, 1998, Table 45.
MATERNAL MORTALITY RATES
Deathsper1,000LiveBirths
1900 2000
0
900
1950 19801920
300
600
1940 19701910 1960 19901930

77. GLOBAL AVERAGE LIFE EXPECTANCY (1543 – 2011)
Source: https://ourworldindata.org/life-expectancy/
Lifeexpectancyatbirth(inyears)
0
50
10
20
30
40
80
60
70
1543 1700 1800 1900 20111600
Canada Ethiopia Germany India Japan South Korea United Kingdom United States

78. Source: http://esa.un.org/unpd/wpp/Analitiytical-Figures/htm/fig_9.htm
NumberofCountries
1950 1990 2010 2030 2090
0
200
1970
50
100
150
2050 2070
6+ 5.0 – 5.9 4.0 – 4.9 3.0 – 3.9 2.1 – 2.9 Under 2.1
GLOBAL REDUCTION IN CHILDREN PER FAMILY

79. Source: National Highway Traffic Safety Administration
Deaths/100MillionMilesTraveled
1900 1920 1940 1960 2010
0
30
1910
15
20
25
1980 20001930 1950 1970 1990
5
10
Automobile Airline
AUTOMOBILE & AIRLINE FATALITY RATES

80. DeathRateper100,000
1900 1910 1920 1930 1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010
0
50
20
30
40
10
Flood Storm Epidemic Earthquake Drought
GLOBAL DEATH RATE FROM NATURAL CATASTROPHES

81. Source: Human Security Report Project, The Peace Research Institute of Oslo
World-WideBattleDeaths
0
25
5
10
15
20
Colonial Interstate Civil Civil (with foreign intervention)
THE WANING OF WAR
1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000

82. Why?
Why now?
Exponential Growth of
Technologies & Tools

83. If you’d like a copy of my PPT slides...
www.diamandis.com/slides

84. www.SingularityU.org
www.xprize.org
www.Diamandis.com
For a copy of these slides:
www.diamandis.com/slides